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Sumie Nakayama - CCS on the global climate agenda
1. CCS on the Global Climate Agenda
November 6, 2014
Sumie Nakayama
J-POWER
THE GLOBAL STATUS OF CCS 2014
2. J-POWER, Who We Are
Total capacity
23 GW *
Overseas
5 GW
(As of June, 2014)
Japan
18 GW
Our Core
Business
Wholesale electric power business in
Japan
Overseas power generation business
Our Growth
Strategy
Start commercial operation of overseas
projects currently under development
Pursue increased profits under electric
system reform (deregulation)
Trends in power generation capacity
20
15
10
5
0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Overseas
Established by the government (1952) Fully privatized (2004)
(GW)
Domestic
* Capacity figures shown represent J-POWER’s net ownership interest.
Wind, gas
Coal-fired
Hydro
3. IPCC AR5 WG3 Summary for Policy Makers:
With RCP 2.6 Scenario, it is likely (66-100%) that temperature
increase will be kept less than 2 degree.
Figure SPM.4. GHG Emission Pathways 2000-2100: All AR5 Scenarios
4. Figure SPM.7. Direct Sectrial CO2 and Non-CO2 Emission in Baseline and Mitigation Scenarios with and without CCS
= 2℃ scenario = 2℃ scenario
As most of papers for 2 degree scenario assumes significant CO2 emission reduction by BECCS,
the number of papers that supports 2 degree scenario without CCS is very few, almost impossible.
5. 2 degree scenarios assume considerable level of world common carbon price
> 1000 USD/t-CO2
> 200 USD/t-CO2
6. 6
IEA ETP 2014: CCS plays a certain role for 2℃ scenario (but
not so considerable compared to renewables and energy efficiency).
Figure 1.3 Contribution to annual emissions reductions between 6DS and 2DS by technologies
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Emissions in 6DS (6 degree scenario)
Emissions in 2DS (2 degree scenario)
2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
CO2 Emissions (Gt)
CCS Renewable Energy
End-use fuel and electricity efficiency End-use fuel switching
Nuclear Power generation efficiency and fuel switching
7. Gap between Scenarios (Reality and Dream?)
IEA WEO 2014 also shows gaps between scenarios.
8. Gap between Time Scales
Climate Change International Policy Negotiation
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Negotiation on Post
2020 Agreement
2015
COP21
COP26?
Implementation of Agreement
(start of implementation delayed?)
2020 2030
COP20
Ratification Process
(negotiation extended?)
2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
CO2 Emissions (Gt)
CCS Renewable Energy
End-use fuel and electricity efficiency End-use fuel switching
Nuclear Power generation efficiency and fuel switching
2011
9. Gap between Time Scales
Climate Change International Policy Negotiation
2015
COP21
COP26?
2020 2030
COP20
Negotiation on Post
2020 Agreement
Ratification Process
(negotiation extended?)
Implementation of Agreement
(start of implementation delayed?)
2011
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
CO2 Emissions (Gt)
CCS Renewable Energy
End-use fuel and electricity efficiency End-use fuel switching
Nuclear Power generation efficiency and fuel switching
10. J-POWER’s “Step by Step Approach”
FY 1995~ 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ・・・
EAGLE Project
R&D of Fuel cell
Feasibility study
Step 1
Oxygen-blown IGCC
Step 2
IGCC with CO2 capture
Step 3
IGFC with CO2 capture
IGCC
(150t-coal/day)
Chemical
absorption
Physical
absorption
FS
Fuel cell
▽Mar. 2017
Demonstration start
△Nov. 2015
Power Receiving
Design
Manufacturing
Construction
:OCG Project scope
FS
Design
Manufacturing
Construction
▲Mar. 2013
Construction start
Demonstration
Demonstration
Demonstration
Design
Manufacturing
Construction
11. Osaki CoolGen IGCC+CO2 Capture Plant (Image)
Osaki 1-1 unit
owned by Chugoku
EPCO
Additional waste water
treatment unit
Air separation
unit
Combined Cycle
generation unit
CO2 capture unit
(planned in step2)
Coal gasification
unit
Gas clean up unit
Existing waste water
treatment unit
Coal storage yard
IGCC plant
Existing Osaki 1-1 unit
12. Visiting All Prospective CO2 Capture Technologies
12
J-POWER covers three major CO2 Capture technologies for coal-fired power stations.
Partnership: J-POWER/MHI @J-POWER Matsushima P/S
Method: Chemical Absorption (KS-1)
Gas flow rate: 1,750Nm3/h
CO2 Capture rate: 10 t/day
Test period: July ‘06 – October ‘08
PCF
Post-combustion
PCF
Oxyfuel Combustion
Coal Gasification
Pre-Combustion
Partnership: CS Energy, ACA, Glencore Xstrata, Schlumberger / J-POWER,
IHI, Mitsui @ Callide A P/S in QL, Australia
Fund: Australian, QLD Gov. and Japanese Gov.
Plant Capacity: 30MWe
CO2 Capture rate: Up to 75t/d
Storage: Saline Aquifer
Test period: June ‘12 – Early ‘15
Partnership: J-POWER/NEDO @J-POWER Wakamatsu Research Institute,
EAGLE plant
Method: Chemical / Physical Absorption
Gas flow rate: 1,000Nm3/h
CO2 Capture rate: 24 t/d
Test period: Nov. ‘08 – June ‘14
Pilot Plant
Demo. Plant
Pilot Plant