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Three Horizons as a framework
for Transformative Innovation
“How to take effective and
responsible action in powerful
times?”
International Futures Forum (IFF): 2001
We face a real emergency – a
world of pressing challenges
And a conceptual emergency
– a struggle to make sense of a
world of boundless complexity
And an existential emergency
– we are in over our heads.
We need to develop our 21st
century competencies and the
culture and organisations to
support them.
Shifting systems to a
new pattern of
viability fit for the
future rather than just
fixing what’s failing in
the present. Growing
the new in the
presence of the old.
Transformative Innovation
Patterns: reading
the landscape of
change
Pathways: plotting a
way through towards
a desired future
Practice: making the
journey
Transformative Innovation
Agency
Uncertainty
Complexity
ScenariosPlans
Forecasts
Roadmaps Adaptive Pathways
(Three Horizons
sits here)
Thinking About The Future
Pattern
Making sense of the landscape of change through three
perspectives on the future potential of the present moment
Time
Three Horizons
The managerial perspective, keeping things going
First Horizon: Sustaining Innovation
Today’s Dominant Pattern: a
system losing strategic fit and
therefore dominance over time
Pattern
Time
H1
The visionary perspective, aspiring to a better way
Third Horizon: Transformative Innovation
Pattern
The Future Pattern: a system in
tune with deeper trends that
eventually emerges as the new
dominant system—perhaps a
generation from now
Time
H3
The entrepreneurial perspective, eager to try new things
Second Horizon: Disruptive Innovation
Pattern
Zone of Transition: a
system seeking to exploit
the opportunities emerging
in a changing world
Time
H2
+–
sustaining transformative
disruptive innovation
?
A transformative innovation system that contains three
ways of acting in and seeing the world.
Three Horizons: Bringing it Together
Pattern
Time
H2
H3
H1
Entrepreneur
Manager
Visionary
Three Horizons Voices and Relationships
Shifting from negative mindsets to positive perspectives enables people
to work across horizons and facilitate the conditions for transformative change.
Negative Mindsets Positive Perspectives
H1
H3
H2
IrrelevantDinosaur
H1
H3
H2
HopeScale
More information on Three
Horizons and the practice
of Transformative
Innovation which it
supports is available at:
IFF Practice Centre
www.iffpraxis.com
or contact:
enquiry@iffpraxis.com

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IFF Three Horizons Framing Transformative Innovation

  • 1. Three Horizons as a framework for Transformative Innovation
  • 2. “How to take effective and responsible action in powerful times?” International Futures Forum (IFF): 2001
  • 3. We face a real emergency – a world of pressing challenges And a conceptual emergency – a struggle to make sense of a world of boundless complexity And an existential emergency – we are in over our heads. We need to develop our 21st century competencies and the culture and organisations to support them.
  • 4. Shifting systems to a new pattern of viability fit for the future rather than just fixing what’s failing in the present. Growing the new in the presence of the old. Transformative Innovation
  • 5. Patterns: reading the landscape of change Pathways: plotting a way through towards a desired future Practice: making the journey Transformative Innovation
  • 7. Pattern Making sense of the landscape of change through three perspectives on the future potential of the present moment Time Three Horizons
  • 8. The managerial perspective, keeping things going First Horizon: Sustaining Innovation Today’s Dominant Pattern: a system losing strategic fit and therefore dominance over time Pattern Time H1
  • 9. The visionary perspective, aspiring to a better way Third Horizon: Transformative Innovation Pattern The Future Pattern: a system in tune with deeper trends that eventually emerges as the new dominant system—perhaps a generation from now Time H3
  • 10. The entrepreneurial perspective, eager to try new things Second Horizon: Disruptive Innovation Pattern Zone of Transition: a system seeking to exploit the opportunities emerging in a changing world Time H2 +– sustaining transformative disruptive innovation ?
  • 11. A transformative innovation system that contains three ways of acting in and seeing the world. Three Horizons: Bringing it Together Pattern Time H2 H3 H1 Entrepreneur Manager Visionary
  • 12. Three Horizons Voices and Relationships Shifting from negative mindsets to positive perspectives enables people to work across horizons and facilitate the conditions for transformative change. Negative Mindsets Positive Perspectives H1 H3 H2 IrrelevantDinosaur H1 H3 H2 HopeScale
  • 13. More information on Three Horizons and the practice of Transformative Innovation which it supports is available at: IFF Practice Centre www.iffpraxis.com or contact: enquiry@iffpraxis.com