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Risk-Benefit Analysis

By Grosan Radu
      AN 4 CTI
What is Risk-Benefit Analysis

Risk-benefit analysis is the comparison of the risk of
  a situation to its related benefits. Exposure to
  personal risk is recognized as a normal aspect of
  everyday life.

We accept a certain level of risk in our lives as
 necessary to achieve certain benefits. In most of
 these risks we feel as though we have some sort
 of control over the situation.
An example

Driving an automobile is a risk most people take
  daily. "The controlling factor appears to be their
  perception of their individual ability to manage
  the risk-creating situation."

Analyzing the risk of a situation is very dependent
 on the individual doing the analysis.
When individuals are exposed to involuntary
 risk, risk which they have no control, they make
 risk aversion their primary goal.

Under these circumstances individuals require the
 probabilty of risk to be as much as one thousand
 times smaller then for the same situation under
 their perceived control.
Evaluations of future risk

• Real future risk as disclosed by the fully
  matured future circumstances when they
  develop.

• Statistical risk, as determined by currently
  available data, as measured actuarially for
  insurance premiums.
• Projected risk, as analytically based on system
  models structured from historical studies.



• Perceived risk, as intuitively seen by
  individuals.
Air transportation as an example:

• Flight insurance company - statistical risk.
• Passenger - percieved risk.
• Federal Aviation Administration(FAA) -
  projected risks.
Conclusion

   Hopefully the real risks turn out to be less
than the projected risks.

   Although many people feel that flying is
more risky than driving, statistics show
otherwise.
Perception of control is a very important factor
that explains why voluntary activities have risks of
100 to 1000 times greater than involuntary
activities.

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Resource1

  • 2. What is Risk-Benefit Analysis Risk-benefit analysis is the comparison of the risk of a situation to its related benefits. Exposure to personal risk is recognized as a normal aspect of everyday life. We accept a certain level of risk in our lives as necessary to achieve certain benefits. In most of these risks we feel as though we have some sort of control over the situation.
  • 3. An example Driving an automobile is a risk most people take daily. "The controlling factor appears to be their perception of their individual ability to manage the risk-creating situation." Analyzing the risk of a situation is very dependent on the individual doing the analysis.
  • 4. When individuals are exposed to involuntary risk, risk which they have no control, they make risk aversion their primary goal. Under these circumstances individuals require the probabilty of risk to be as much as one thousand times smaller then for the same situation under their perceived control.
  • 5. Evaluations of future risk • Real future risk as disclosed by the fully matured future circumstances when they develop. • Statistical risk, as determined by currently available data, as measured actuarially for insurance premiums.
  • 6. • Projected risk, as analytically based on system models structured from historical studies. • Perceived risk, as intuitively seen by individuals.
  • 7. Air transportation as an example: • Flight insurance company - statistical risk. • Passenger - percieved risk. • Federal Aviation Administration(FAA) - projected risks.
  • 8. Conclusion Hopefully the real risks turn out to be less than the projected risks. Although many people feel that flying is more risky than driving, statistics show otherwise.
  • 9. Perception of control is a very important factor that explains why voluntary activities have risks of 100 to 1000 times greater than involuntary activities.