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Boulder County
MARKET UPDATE
                                                                                          BOULDER, CO




· Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes
· Trends in Pricing
· Current Levels of Supply and Demand
· Value Metrics


· Report for the week of
November 30, 2009




· Presented by Anthony Knight
TRG National Title
www.positiveangles.wordpress.com - anthony_aknight@yahoo.com
303-475-8075




        Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright © 2005-2009 Altos Research LLC
City Overview
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                                        BOULDER, CO


  This Week                                                                              Real-Time Market Profile                                 Trend
     The median list price in BOULDER, CO                           Median List Price                                               $ 749,000      ≠≠
     this week is $749,000. The 117                                 Average List Price                                            $ 1,151,769
     properties have been on the market                             Asking Price Per Square Foot                                        $ 272      ≠≠
     for an average of 199 days.                                    Average Days on Market (DoM)                                          199      ==

                                                                    Inventory of Properties Listed                                        117      ≠≠

                                                                    Most Expensive Listing                                        $ 5,295,000
     Inventory has been lightening lately                           Least Expensive Listing                                         $ 239,900

     and the Market Action Index has been                           Average Age of Listing                                                 36
     trending up. Though days-on-market                             Percent of Properties with Price Decrease                            36 %
     is increasing, these are mildly positive                       Percent Relisted (reset DOM)                                          9%
     indications for the market.                                    Percent Flip (price increased)                                        3%
                                                                    Median House Size (sq ft)                                            3036
                                                                    Median Lot Size                                           0.25 - 0.50 acre
                                                                    Median Number of Bedrooms                                             4.0


  Supply and Demand
                                                                    Median Number of Bathrooms                                            3.0

                                                                                         Altos Research Value Statistics
    Home sales have been exceeding                                  Market Action Index                Strong Buyer's                    17.6      ==
    new inventory for several weeks.                                 The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring
                                                                     the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30
    While still a Buyer's market, prices                             implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the
    seem to have responded by moving                                 buyer.
    upward. If the demand trends
    continue, expect prices to keep                           Trend Key:                         == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend
    marching upward, especially once                                     ±+    No change          = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
    we see a Seller's Market.




  Characteristics per Quartile

      Quartile   Median Price   Sq. Ft. Lot Size     Beds   Baths      Age Inventory New         Absorbed   DOM

                                       0.25 - 0.50
    Top/First     $ 2,250,000   5371          acre   4.0     5.0        13        29         0        6     202         Most expensive 25% of properties

                                        0.50 - 1.0
Upper/Second        $ 999,000   3876         acre    4.0     4.0        26        29         2        5     233         Upper-middle 25% of properties

                                       0.25 - 0.50
  Lower/Third       $ 649,000   2400          acre   4.0     3.0        40        29         0        2     195         Lower-middle 25% of properties

                                           6,501 -
Bottom/Fourth       $ 439,500   1976    8,000 sqft   3.0     3.0        32        30         1        3     165         Least expensive 25% of properties




Page 2 of 31                                  Monday November 30, 2009
City Overview
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                        BOULDER, CO


 Median Price
    Again this week in this zip code we see a downward notch for prices. Pricing has been weak in recent weeks and versus their
    absolute-high level. At this point, we will be looking for a persistent upward shift in the Market Action Index as a leading
    indicator for a trough in prices.




                                               7-day Average                  90-day Average




 Quartile Prices
    In the quartile market segments, we see the upper-half of the market (Quartiles 1 and 2) in this zip code showing weakness
    recently while the lower-half prices have remained strong. Quartiles 3 and 4 have been increasing in the last few weeks. These
    convergent trends cannot continue indefinitely, so look to the Market Action Index Quartile breakdown to see which group will
    change direction.




               First/Top                      Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                    Fourth/Bottom




Page 3 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
City Overview
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                         BOULDER, CO


 Price per Square Foot
    The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can
    see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a
    precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities.




                                               7-day Average                  90-day Average




 Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale
    Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to
    the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.




                                             7-day Average                  90-day Average




Page 4 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
City Overview
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                           BOULDER, CO


 Market Action Index
    The BOULDER market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index
    stands at 17.60. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.




                                                90-day Average                Buyers/Sellers Cutoff




 Market Action Index per Quartile
   Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of
   demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.




           First/Top                       Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom

                                                          Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
   Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by
   analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage
   zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

   The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the
   current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 5 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
City Overview
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO


 Days on Market
    The properties have been on the market for an average of 199 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the
    past 161 or so days.




                                                7-day Average                90-day Average




 Days on Market per Quartile
    It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.




           First/Top                       Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 6 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                                         BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                               80301
  This Week                                                                               Real-Time Market Profile                                 Trend
     The median list price in BOULDER, CO                            Median List Price                                               $ 504,500      ≠≠
     80301 this week is $504,500. The 14                             Average List Price                                              $ 806,629
     properties have been on the market                              Asking Price Per Square Foot                                        $ 213      ≠≠
     for an average of 201 days.                                     Average Days on Market (DoM)                                          201      ==

                                                                     Inventory of Properties Listed                                         14      ≠≠

                                                                     Most Expensive Listing                                        $ 2,199,000
     Inventory has been decreasing lately                            Least Expensive Listing                                         $ 365,000

     but the Market Action Index is falling                          Average Age of Listing                                                 23
     also. With days-on-market climbing,                             Percent of Properties with Price Decrease                            36 %
     these are relatively negative                                   Percent Relisted (reset DOM)                                         14 %
     implications for the market.                                    Percent Flip (price increased)                                        0%
                                                                     Median House Size (sq ft)                                            2999
                                                                     Median Lot Size                                           0.25 - 0.50 acre
                                                                     Median Number of Bedrooms                                             4.0


  Supply and Demand
                                                                     Median Number of Bathrooms                                            3.0

                                                                                          Altos Research Value Statistics
    Home sales have been exceeding                                   Market Action Index                Strong Buyer's                    17.2      ≠≠
    new inventory for several weeks.                                  The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring
                                                                      the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30
    However because of excess                                         implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the
    inventory, prices have not yet                                    buyer.
    stopped falling. Should the sales
    trend continue, expect prices to                           Trend Key:                         == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend
    level off soon and potentially to                                     ±+    No change          = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
    resume their climb from there.
    Watch prices as the market
    transitions from a Buyer's market to
    a Seller's market.



  Characteristics per Quartile

      Quartile   Median Price   Sq. Ft. Lot Size      Beds   Baths      Age Inventory New         Absorbed   DOM


    Top/First     $ 1,999,000   6238 not available    4.0     6.0        13         3         0        0     282         Most expensive 25% of properties

                                            8,001 -
Upper/Second        $ 630,000   2952    10,000 sqft   4.0     3.0        31         3         0        0     254         Upper-middle 25% of properties

                                        0.25 - 0.50
  Lower/Third       $ 483,450   2957           acre   4.0     3.0        18         4         1        1     198         Lower-middle 25% of properties

                                        0.25 - 0.50
Bottom/Fourth       $ 387,450   2134           acre   3.5     3.0        28         4         0        0     102         Least expensive 25% of properties




Page 7 of 31                                   Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                80301

 Median Price
    Prices in this zip code have been on a downward trend recently and this week, while essentially flat, doesn't break us out of that
    cycle.




                                                7-day Average                  90-day Average




 Quartile Prices
    In the quartile market segments, we see the market's price weakness almost across the board. Prices in Quartile 4 have been
    mixed recently, while the rest of the market is trending downward. Look for a strong, persistent up shift in the Market Action
    Index as a leading indicator of the trough in the market.




               First/Top                       Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 8 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                         BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80301

 Price per Square Foot
    The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can
    see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a
    precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities.




                                               7-day Average                  90-day Average




 Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale
    Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to
    the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.




                                             7-day Average                  90-day Average




Page 9 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                            BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                  80301

  Market Action Index
     The BOULDER, 80301 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action
     Index stands at 17.22. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.




                                                 90-day Average                Buyers/Sellers Cutoff




  Market Action Index per Quartile
    Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of
    demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.




            First/Top                       Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom

                                                           Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by
    analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage
    zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the
    current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 10 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                80301

 Days on Market
    The properties have been on the market for an average of 201 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the
    past 147 or so days.




                                                7-day Average                90-day Average




 Days on Market per Quartile
    It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.




           First/Top                       Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 11 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                                        BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                             80304
  This Week                                                                              Real-Time Market Profile                                 Trend
     The median list price in BOULDER, CO                           Median List Price                                               $ 887,000      ≠≠
     80304 this week is $887,000. The 42                            Average List Price                                            $ 1,147,048
     properties have been on the market                             Asking Price Per Square Foot                                        $ 315      ≠≠
     for an average of 164 days.                                    Average Days on Market (DoM)                                          164      ≠≠

                                                                    Inventory of Properties Listed                                         42      ==

                                                                    Most Expensive Listing                                        $ 3,200,000
     Demand measured by the Market                                  Least Expensive Listing                                         $ 239,900

     Action Index is increasing and days-                           Average Age of Listing                                                 33
     on-market is trending downward.                                Percent of Properties with Price Decrease                            40 %
     Even as more properties come                                   Percent Relisted (reset DOM)                                          2%
     available, these are positive trends                           Percent Flip (price increased)                                        5%
     for the market.                                                Median House Size (sq ft)                                            3201
                                                                    Median Lot Size                                           0.25 - 0.50 acre
                                                                    Median Number of Bedrooms                                             4.0


  Supply and Demand
                                                                    Median Number of Bathrooms                                            3.5

                                                                                         Altos Research Value Statistics
    Inventory levels have been relatively                           Market Action Index                Strong Buyer's                    14.1      ==
    consistent relative to sales. Despite                            The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring
                                                                     the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30
    the fact that there is a relatively                              implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the
    high amount of available inventory,                              buyer.
    this Buyer's market is still seeing
    prices move higher. Given inventory                       Trend Key:                         == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend
    levels, these price conditions are                                   ±+    No change          = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
    relatively fragile. If the market
    cools off further, the price trend is
    likely to reverse.




  Characteristics per Quartile

      Quartile   Median Price   Sq. Ft. Lot Size     Beds   Baths      Age Inventory New         Absorbed   DOM

                                       0.25 - 0.50
     Top/First    $ 2,100,000   5143          acre   4.5     5.0        12        10         0        2     171         Most expensive 25% of properties

                                       0.25 - 0.50
 Upper/Second     $ 1,112,500   3910          acre   4.0     4.0        28        10         0        2     178         Upper-middle 25% of properties

                                       0.25 - 0.50
  Lower/Third       $ 753,900   2660          acre   4.0     3.0        30        11         2        0     231         Lower-middle 25% of properties

                                           4,501 -
Bottom/Fourth       $ 519,900   1692    6,500 sqft   3.0     2.0        45        11         0        0      78         Least expensive 25% of properties




Page 12 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                             BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                  80304

  Median Price
     Again this week in this zip code we see a downward notch for prices. Pricing has been weak in recent weeks and versus their
     absolute-high level. At this point, we will be looking for a persistent upward shift in the Market Action Index as a leading
     indicator for a trough in prices.




                                                  7-day Average                   90-day Average




  Quartile Prices
     In the quartile market segments, we see pricing in this zip code is lacking strong directional indication lately. Quartiles 1 and 3
     are up while Quartiles 2 and 4 are basically flat in recent weeks. Watch for persistent shifts in the Market Action Index for a
     leading indicator of stronger price moves in the market as a whole.




                First/Top                        Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 13 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                         BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                              80304

  Price per Square Foot
     The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can
     see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a
     precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities.




                                                7-day Average                  90-day Average




  Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale
     Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market
     Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.




                                              7-day Average                  90-day Average




Page 14 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                            BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                 80304

  Market Action Index
     The BOULDER, 80304 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action
     Index stands at 14.07. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.




                                                 90-day Average                Buyers/Sellers Cutoff




  Market Action Index per Quartile
    Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of
    demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.




            First/Top                       Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom

                                                           Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by
    analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage
    zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the
    current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 15 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80304

  Days on Market
    The properties have been on the market for an average of 164 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the
    past 133 or so days.




                                                7-day Average                90-day Average




  Days on Market per Quartile
    It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.




           First/Top                       Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 16 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
  Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                                         BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                              80303
  This Week                                                                               Real-Time Market Profile                                 Trend
     The median list price in BOULDER, CO                            Median List Price                                               $ 680,000      ==
     80303 this week is $680,000. The 24                             Average List Price                                              $ 969,302
     properties have been on the market                              Asking Price Per Square Foot                                        $ 254      ==
     for an average of 211 days.                                     Average Days on Market (DoM)                                          211      ==

                                                                     Inventory of Properties Listed                                         24      ≠≠

                                                                     Most Expensive Listing                                        $ 5,295,000
     Inventory has been lightening lately                            Least Expensive Listing                                         $ 279,900

     and the Market Action Index has been                            Average Age of Listing                                                 37
     trending up. Though days-on-market                              Percent of Properties with Price Decrease                            33 %
     is increasing, these are mildly positive                        Percent Relisted (reset DOM)                                         17 %
     indications for the market.                                     Percent Flip (price increased)                                        4%
                                                                     Median House Size (sq ft)                                            2917
                                                                     Median Lot Size                                            0.50 - 1.0 acre
                                                                     Median Number of Bedrooms                                             4.0


  Supply and Demand
                                                                     Median Number of Bathrooms                                            4.0

                                                                                          Altos Research Value Statistics
    The market has shown some                                        Market Action Index                Strong Buyer's                    15.4      ==
    evidence of slowing recently. Both                                The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring
                                                                      the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30
    prices and inventory levels are                                   implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the
    relatively unchanged in recent                                    buyer.
    weeks. Watch the Market Action
    Index for changes as it can be a                           Trend Key:                         == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend
    leading indicator for price changes.                                  ±+    No change          = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend




  Characteristics per Quartile

      Quartile   Median Price   Sq. Ft. Lot Size      Beds   Baths      Age Inventory New         Absorbed   DOM

                                        0.25 - 0.50
     Top/First    $ 1,374,500   5372           acre   5.0     5.0        10         6         0        0     257         Most expensive 25% of properties


 Upper/Second       $ 799,500   3650 not available    4.5     3.5        42         6         0        0     248         Upper-middle 25% of properties

                                          1.0 - 2.5
  Lower/Third       $ 609,450   2278         acres    4.0     3.0        45         6         0        1     168         Lower-middle 25% of properties

                                        0.25 - 0.50
Bottom/Fourth       $ 412,825   2112           acre   3.0     3.0        44         6         0        0     170         Least expensive 25% of properties




Page 17 of 31                                  Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                             BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                  80303

  Median Price
     In this zip code this week saw relatively little price change from last week. However, we continue to demonstrate a nice up
     trend in general over the last several weeks.




                                                  7-day Average                   90-day Average




  Quartile Prices
     In the quartile market segments, we see prices in the individual quartiles not demonstrating strong directional correlation
     lately. Quartile 2 has been trending up recently, but unless we see a persistent up-shift in the Market Action Index, it will likely
     resume the trend of the rest of the market.




                First/Top                        Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 18 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80303

  Price per Square Foot
     The market appears to be placing an increasing premium on homes. When list prices and price per square foot consistently
     increase in tandem, as they're doing now, you can often find short-term investment opportunities. Watch the Market Action
     Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator for these trends to flatten or drop.




                                                7-day Average                  90-day Average




  Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale
     Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to
     the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.




                                              7-day Average                  90-day Average




Page 19 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                            BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                 80303

   Market Action Index
     The BOULDER, 80303 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action
     Index stands at 15.37. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.




                                                 90-day Average                Buyers/Sellers Cutoff




   Market Action Index per Quartile
    Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of
    demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.




            First/Top                       Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom

                                                           Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by
    analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage
    zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the
    current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 20 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80303

  Days on Market
    The properties have been on the market for an average of 211 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the
    past 161 or so days.




                                                7-day Average                90-day Average




  Days on Market per Quartile
    It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.




           First/Top                       Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 21 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                                         BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                              80302
   This Week                                                                              Real-Time Market Profile                                 Trend
      The median list price in BOULDER, CO                           Median List Price                                               $ 872,000      ==
      80302 this week is $872,000. The 30                            Average List Price                                            $ 1,446,137
      properties have been on the market                             Asking Price Per Square Foot                                        $ 333      ==
      for an average of 217 days.                                    Average Days on Market (DoM)                                          217      ≠≠

                                                                     Inventory of Properties Listed                                         30      ≠≠

                                                                     Most Expensive Listing                                        $ 4,750,000
      Inventory is tightening and days-on-                           Least Expensive Listing                                         $ 345,000

      market is falling. The Market Action                           Average Age of Listing                                                 47
      Index shows demand heating up.                                 Percent of Properties with Price Decrease                            30 %
      These are relatively bullish signs for                         Percent Relisted (reset DOM)                                         10 %
      prices.                                                        Percent Flip (price increased)                                        0%
                                                                     Median House Size (sq ft)                                            3496
                                                                     Median Lot Size                                           0.25 - 0.50 acre
                                                                     Median Number of Bedrooms                                             4.0


   Supply and Demand
                                                                     Median Number of Bathrooms                                            3.0

                                                                                          Altos Research Value Statistics
     Home sales have been exceeding                                  Market Action Index                Strong Buyer's                    18.2      ==
     new inventory for several weeks.                                 The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring
                                                                      the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30
     While still a Buyer's market, prices                             implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the
     seem to have responded by moving                                 buyer.
     upward. If the demand trends
     continue, expect prices to keep                           Trend Key:                         == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend
     marching upward, especially once                                     ±+    No change          = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
     we see a Seller's Market.




   Characteristics per Quartile

       Quartile   Median Price   Sq. Ft. Lot Size     Beds   Baths      Age Inventory New         Absorbed   DOM

                                         0.50 - 1.0
     Top/First     $ 2,700,000   5425         acre    5.0     5.0        46         7         0        0     195         Most expensive 25% of properties

                                        0.25 - 0.50
 Upper/Second      $ 1,495,000   4332          acre   4.0     4.0        12         7         0        3     302         Upper-middle 25% of properties

                                            8,001 -
   Lower/Third       $ 674,500   2394   10,000 sqft   4.0     3.0        40         8         0        1     122         Lower-middle 25% of properties

                                          1.0 - 2.5
 Bottom/Fourth       $ 399,950   1593        acres    3.0     2.0        31         8         0        0     257         Least expensive 25% of properties




Page 22 of 31                                  Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80302

  Median Price
     Despite this week's down tic, price trends in this zip code have generally been moving up lately. We are below the market's high
     point, and we'll investigate the Market Action Index later on to see if we expect this week's blip to become a downward trend.




                                                7-day Average                  90-day Average




  Quartile Prices
     In the quartile market segments, we see the upper-half of the market (Quartiles 1 and 2) in this zip code showing weakness
     recently while the lower-half prices have remained strong. Quartiles 3 and 4 have been increasing in the last few weeks. These
     convergent trends cannot continue indefinitely, so look to the Market Action Index Quartile breakdown to see which group will
     change direction.




                First/Top                      Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 23 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80302

  Price per Square Foot
     The market appears to be placing an increasing premium on homes. When list prices and price per square foot consistently
     increase in tandem, as they're doing now, you can often find short-term investment opportunities. Watch the Market Action
     Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator for these trends to flatten or drop.




                                                7-day Average                  90-day Average




  Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale
     Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to
     the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.




                                              7-day Average                  90-day Average




Page 24 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                            BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                 80302

  Market Action Index
     The BOULDER, 80302 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action
     Index stands at 18.17. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.




                                                 90-day Average                Buyers/Sellers Cutoff




  Market Action Index per Quartile
    Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of
    demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.




            First/Top                       Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom

                                                           Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by
    analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage
    zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the
    current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 25 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
    Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                           BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                80302

   Days on Market
     The properties have been on the market for an average of 217 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the
     past 161 or so days.




                                                 7-day Average                90-day Average




   Days on Market per Quartile
     It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.




            First/Top                       Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 26 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                                         BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                              80305
   This Week                                                                              Real-Time Market Profile                                 Trend
      The median list price in BOULDER, CO                           Median List Price                                               $ 749,000      ≠≠
      80305 this week is $749,000. The 7                             Average List Price                                            $ 1,234,400
      properties have been on the market                             Asking Price Per Square Foot                                        $ 311      ≠≠
      for an average of 265 days.                                    Average Days on Market (DoM)                                          265      ==

                                                                     Inventory of Properties Listed                                          7      ≠≠

                                                                     Most Expensive Listing                                        $ 2,880,000
      Inventory has been lightening lately                           Least Expensive Listing                                         $ 394,900

      and the Market Action Index has been                           Average Age of Listing                                                 36
      trending up. Though days-on-market                             Percent of Properties with Price Decrease                            43 %
      is increasing, these are mildly positive                       Percent Relisted (reset DOM)                                         14 %
      indications for the market.                                    Percent Flip (price increased)                                       14 %
                                                                     Median House Size (sq ft)                                            2709
                                                                     Median Lot Size                                           0.25 - 0.50 acre
                                                                     Median Number of Bedrooms                                             4.0


   Supply and Demand
                                                                     Median Number of Bathrooms                                            3.0

                                                                                          Altos Research Value Statistics
     Inventory levels have been relatively                           Market Action Index                Strong Buyer's                    15.9      ==
     consistent relative to sales. Despite                            The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring
                                                                      the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30
     the fact that there is a relatively                              implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the
     high amount of available inventory,                              buyer.
     this Buyer's market is still seeing
     prices move higher. Given inventory                       Trend Key:                         == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend
     levels, these price conditions are                                   ±+    No change          = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
     relatively fragile. If the market
     cools off further, the price trend is
     likely to reverse.




   Characteristics per Quartile

       Quartile   Median Price   Sq. Ft. Lot Size     Beds   Baths      Age Inventory New         Absorbed   DOM

                                        0.25 - 0.50
     Top/First     $ 2,880,000   4519          acre   4.0     6.0         9         1         0        1     105         Most expensive 25% of properties

                                         0.50 - 1.0
 Upper/Second      $ 1,698,500   4831         acre    4.5     3.0        40         2         0        2     378         Upper-middle 25% of properties

                                        0.25 - 0.50
   Lower/Third       $ 699,500   2576          acre   4.0     3.0        46         2         0        1     354         Lower-middle 25% of properties

                                            4,501 -
 Bottom/Fourth       $ 482,400   1768    6,500 sqft   3.5     2.0        34         2         0        2     144         Least expensive 25% of properties




Page 27 of 31                                  Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                            BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                 80305

  Median Price
     Again this week in this zip code we see a downward notch for prices. Pricing has been weak in recent weeks and versus their
     absolute-high level. At this point, we will be looking for a persistent upward shift in the Market Action Index as a leading
     indicator for a trough in prices.




                                                 7-day Average                   90-day Average




  Quartile Prices
     Not surprisingly, given the condition of the overall market, all quartiles have shown price strength in recent weeks. All have
     been increasing in price lately. Watch for a persistent decline in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator for the top of the
     market.




                First/Top                       Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 28 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80305

  Price per Square Foot
     The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can
     see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a
     precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities.




                                                7-day Average                  90-day Average




  Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale
     Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to
     the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.




                                              7-day Average                  90-day Average




Page 29 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                            BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                                 80305

   Market Action Index
     The BOULDER, 80305 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action
     Index stands at 15.90. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.




                                                 90-day Average                Buyers/Sellers Cutoff




   Market Action Index per Quartile
    Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of
    demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.




            First/Top                       Second/Upper                   Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom

                                                           Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by
    analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage
    zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the
    current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 30 of 31                                 Monday November 30, 2009
Neighborhood Detail
   Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075
                                                                                                          BOULDER, CO
                                                                                                               80305

  Days on Market
    The properties have been on the market for an average of 265 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the
    past 224 or so days.




                                                7-day Average                90-day Average




  Days on Market per Quartile
    It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.




           First/Top                       Second/Upper                  Third/Lower                     Fourth/Bottom




Page 31 of 31                                Monday November 30, 2009

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Boulder County Market Update

  • 1. Boulder County MARKET UPDATE BOULDER, CO · Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes · Trends in Pricing · Current Levels of Supply and Demand · Value Metrics · Report for the week of November 30, 2009 · Presented by Anthony Knight TRG National Title www.positiveangles.wordpress.com - anthony_aknight@yahoo.com 303-475-8075 Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright © 2005-2009 Altos Research LLC
  • 2. City Overview Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend The median list price in BOULDER, CO Median List Price $ 749,000 ≠≠ this week is $749,000. The 117 Average List Price $ 1,151,769 properties have been on the market Asking Price Per Square Foot $ 272 ≠≠ for an average of 199 days. Average Days on Market (DoM) 199 == Inventory of Properties Listed 117 ≠≠ Most Expensive Listing $ 5,295,000 Inventory has been lightening lately Least Expensive Listing $ 239,900 and the Market Action Index has been Average Age of Listing 36 trending up. Though days-on-market Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 36 % is increasing, these are mildly positive Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 9% indications for the market. Percent Flip (price increased) 3% Median House Size (sq ft) 3036 Median Lot Size 0.25 - 0.50 acre Median Number of Bedrooms 4.0 Supply and Demand Median Number of Bathrooms 3.0 Altos Research Value Statistics Home sales have been exceeding Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 17.6 == new inventory for several weeks. The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 While still a Buyer's market, prices implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the seem to have responded by moving buyer. upward. If the demand trends continue, expect prices to keep Trend Key: == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend marching upward, especially once ±+ No change = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend we see a Seller's Market. Characteristics per Quartile Quartile Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM 0.25 - 0.50 Top/First $ 2,250,000 5371 acre 4.0 5.0 13 29 0 6 202 Most expensive 25% of properties 0.50 - 1.0 Upper/Second $ 999,000 3876 acre 4.0 4.0 26 29 2 5 233 Upper-middle 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Lower/Third $ 649,000 2400 acre 4.0 3.0 40 29 0 2 195 Lower-middle 25% of properties 6,501 - Bottom/Fourth $ 439,500 1976 8,000 sqft 3.0 3.0 32 30 1 3 165 Least expensive 25% of properties Page 2 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 3. City Overview Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO Median Price Again this week in this zip code we see a downward notch for prices. Pricing has been weak in recent weeks and versus their absolute-high level. At this point, we will be looking for a persistent upward shift in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator for a trough in prices. 7-day Average 90-day Average Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see the upper-half of the market (Quartiles 1 and 2) in this zip code showing weakness recently while the lower-half prices have remained strong. Quartiles 3 and 4 have been increasing in the last few weeks. These convergent trends cannot continue indefinitely, so look to the Market Action Index Quartile breakdown to see which group will change direction. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 3 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 4. City Overview Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO Price per Square Foot The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities. 7-day Average 90-day Average Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply. 7-day Average 90-day Average Page 4 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 5. City Overview Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO Market Action Index The BOULDER market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 17.60. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice. 90-day Average Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory. Page 5 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 6. City Overview Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 199 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 161 or so days. 7-day Average 90-day Average Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 6 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 7. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80301 This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend The median list price in BOULDER, CO Median List Price $ 504,500 ≠≠ 80301 this week is $504,500. The 14 Average List Price $ 806,629 properties have been on the market Asking Price Per Square Foot $ 213 ≠≠ for an average of 201 days. Average Days on Market (DoM) 201 == Inventory of Properties Listed 14 ≠≠ Most Expensive Listing $ 2,199,000 Inventory has been decreasing lately Least Expensive Listing $ 365,000 but the Market Action Index is falling Average Age of Listing 23 also. With days-on-market climbing, Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 36 % these are relatively negative Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 14 % implications for the market. Percent Flip (price increased) 0% Median House Size (sq ft) 2999 Median Lot Size 0.25 - 0.50 acre Median Number of Bedrooms 4.0 Supply and Demand Median Number of Bathrooms 3.0 Altos Research Value Statistics Home sales have been exceeding Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 17.2 ≠≠ new inventory for several weeks. The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 However because of excess implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the inventory, prices have not yet buyer. stopped falling. Should the sales trend continue, expect prices to Trend Key: == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend level off soon and potentially to ±+ No change = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend resume their climb from there. Watch prices as the market transitions from a Buyer's market to a Seller's market. Characteristics per Quartile Quartile Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM Top/First $ 1,999,000 6238 not available 4.0 6.0 13 3 0 0 282 Most expensive 25% of properties 8,001 - Upper/Second $ 630,000 2952 10,000 sqft 4.0 3.0 31 3 0 0 254 Upper-middle 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Lower/Third $ 483,450 2957 acre 4.0 3.0 18 4 1 1 198 Lower-middle 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Bottom/Fourth $ 387,450 2134 acre 3.5 3.0 28 4 0 0 102 Least expensive 25% of properties Page 7 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 8. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80301 Median Price Prices in this zip code have been on a downward trend recently and this week, while essentially flat, doesn't break us out of that cycle. 7-day Average 90-day Average Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see the market's price weakness almost across the board. Prices in Quartile 4 have been mixed recently, while the rest of the market is trending downward. Look for a strong, persistent up shift in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator of the trough in the market. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 8 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 9. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80301 Price per Square Foot The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities. 7-day Average 90-day Average Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply. 7-day Average 90-day Average Page 9 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 10. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80301 Market Action Index The BOULDER, 80301 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 17.22. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice. 90-day Average Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory. Page 10 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 11. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80301 Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 201 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 147 or so days. 7-day Average 90-day Average Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 11 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 12. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80304 This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend The median list price in BOULDER, CO Median List Price $ 887,000 ≠≠ 80304 this week is $887,000. The 42 Average List Price $ 1,147,048 properties have been on the market Asking Price Per Square Foot $ 315 ≠≠ for an average of 164 days. Average Days on Market (DoM) 164 ≠≠ Inventory of Properties Listed 42 == Most Expensive Listing $ 3,200,000 Demand measured by the Market Least Expensive Listing $ 239,900 Action Index is increasing and days- Average Age of Listing 33 on-market is trending downward. Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 40 % Even as more properties come Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 2% available, these are positive trends Percent Flip (price increased) 5% for the market. Median House Size (sq ft) 3201 Median Lot Size 0.25 - 0.50 acre Median Number of Bedrooms 4.0 Supply and Demand Median Number of Bathrooms 3.5 Altos Research Value Statistics Inventory levels have been relatively Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 14.1 == consistent relative to sales. Despite The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 the fact that there is a relatively implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the high amount of available inventory, buyer. this Buyer's market is still seeing prices move higher. Given inventory Trend Key: == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend levels, these price conditions are ±+ No change = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend relatively fragile. If the market cools off further, the price trend is likely to reverse. Characteristics per Quartile Quartile Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM 0.25 - 0.50 Top/First $ 2,100,000 5143 acre 4.5 5.0 12 10 0 2 171 Most expensive 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Upper/Second $ 1,112,500 3910 acre 4.0 4.0 28 10 0 2 178 Upper-middle 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Lower/Third $ 753,900 2660 acre 4.0 3.0 30 11 2 0 231 Lower-middle 25% of properties 4,501 - Bottom/Fourth $ 519,900 1692 6,500 sqft 3.0 2.0 45 11 0 0 78 Least expensive 25% of properties Page 12 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 13. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80304 Median Price Again this week in this zip code we see a downward notch for prices. Pricing has been weak in recent weeks and versus their absolute-high level. At this point, we will be looking for a persistent upward shift in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator for a trough in prices. 7-day Average 90-day Average Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see pricing in this zip code is lacking strong directional indication lately. Quartiles 1 and 3 are up while Quartiles 2 and 4 are basically flat in recent weeks. Watch for persistent shifts in the Market Action Index for a leading indicator of stronger price moves in the market as a whole. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 13 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 14. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80304 Price per Square Foot The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities. 7-day Average 90-day Average Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply. 7-day Average 90-day Average Page 14 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 15. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80304 Market Action Index The BOULDER, 80304 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 14.07. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice. 90-day Average Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory. Page 15 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 16. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80304 Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 164 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 133 or so days. 7-day Average 90-day Average Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 16 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 17. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80303 This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend The median list price in BOULDER, CO Median List Price $ 680,000 == 80303 this week is $680,000. The 24 Average List Price $ 969,302 properties have been on the market Asking Price Per Square Foot $ 254 == for an average of 211 days. Average Days on Market (DoM) 211 == Inventory of Properties Listed 24 ≠≠ Most Expensive Listing $ 5,295,000 Inventory has been lightening lately Least Expensive Listing $ 279,900 and the Market Action Index has been Average Age of Listing 37 trending up. Though days-on-market Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 33 % is increasing, these are mildly positive Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 17 % indications for the market. Percent Flip (price increased) 4% Median House Size (sq ft) 2917 Median Lot Size 0.50 - 1.0 acre Median Number of Bedrooms 4.0 Supply and Demand Median Number of Bathrooms 4.0 Altos Research Value Statistics The market has shown some Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 15.4 == evidence of slowing recently. Both The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 prices and inventory levels are implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the relatively unchanged in recent buyer. weeks. Watch the Market Action Index for changes as it can be a Trend Key: == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend leading indicator for price changes. ±+ No change = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend Characteristics per Quartile Quartile Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM 0.25 - 0.50 Top/First $ 1,374,500 5372 acre 5.0 5.0 10 6 0 0 257 Most expensive 25% of properties Upper/Second $ 799,500 3650 not available 4.5 3.5 42 6 0 0 248 Upper-middle 25% of properties 1.0 - 2.5 Lower/Third $ 609,450 2278 acres 4.0 3.0 45 6 0 1 168 Lower-middle 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Bottom/Fourth $ 412,825 2112 acre 3.0 3.0 44 6 0 0 170 Least expensive 25% of properties Page 17 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 18. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80303 Median Price In this zip code this week saw relatively little price change from last week. However, we continue to demonstrate a nice up trend in general over the last several weeks. 7-day Average 90-day Average Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see prices in the individual quartiles not demonstrating strong directional correlation lately. Quartile 2 has been trending up recently, but unless we see a persistent up-shift in the Market Action Index, it will likely resume the trend of the rest of the market. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 18 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 19. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80303 Price per Square Foot The market appears to be placing an increasing premium on homes. When list prices and price per square foot consistently increase in tandem, as they're doing now, you can often find short-term investment opportunities. Watch the Market Action Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator for these trends to flatten or drop. 7-day Average 90-day Average Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply. 7-day Average 90-day Average Page 19 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 20. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80303 Market Action Index The BOULDER, 80303 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 15.37. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice. 90-day Average Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory. Page 20 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 21. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80303 Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 211 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 161 or so days. 7-day Average 90-day Average Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 21 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 22. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80302 This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend The median list price in BOULDER, CO Median List Price $ 872,000 == 80302 this week is $872,000. The 30 Average List Price $ 1,446,137 properties have been on the market Asking Price Per Square Foot $ 333 == for an average of 217 days. Average Days on Market (DoM) 217 ≠≠ Inventory of Properties Listed 30 ≠≠ Most Expensive Listing $ 4,750,000 Inventory is tightening and days-on- Least Expensive Listing $ 345,000 market is falling. The Market Action Average Age of Listing 47 Index shows demand heating up. Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 30 % These are relatively bullish signs for Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 10 % prices. Percent Flip (price increased) 0% Median House Size (sq ft) 3496 Median Lot Size 0.25 - 0.50 acre Median Number of Bedrooms 4.0 Supply and Demand Median Number of Bathrooms 3.0 Altos Research Value Statistics Home sales have been exceeding Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 18.2 == new inventory for several weeks. The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 While still a Buyer's market, prices implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the seem to have responded by moving buyer. upward. If the demand trends continue, expect prices to keep Trend Key: == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend marching upward, especially once ±+ No change = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend we see a Seller's Market. Characteristics per Quartile Quartile Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM 0.50 - 1.0 Top/First $ 2,700,000 5425 acre 5.0 5.0 46 7 0 0 195 Most expensive 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Upper/Second $ 1,495,000 4332 acre 4.0 4.0 12 7 0 3 302 Upper-middle 25% of properties 8,001 - Lower/Third $ 674,500 2394 10,000 sqft 4.0 3.0 40 8 0 1 122 Lower-middle 25% of properties 1.0 - 2.5 Bottom/Fourth $ 399,950 1593 acres 3.0 2.0 31 8 0 0 257 Least expensive 25% of properties Page 22 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 23. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80302 Median Price Despite this week's down tic, price trends in this zip code have generally been moving up lately. We are below the market's high point, and we'll investigate the Market Action Index later on to see if we expect this week's blip to become a downward trend. 7-day Average 90-day Average Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see the upper-half of the market (Quartiles 1 and 2) in this zip code showing weakness recently while the lower-half prices have remained strong. Quartiles 3 and 4 have been increasing in the last few weeks. These convergent trends cannot continue indefinitely, so look to the Market Action Index Quartile breakdown to see which group will change direction. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 23 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 24. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80302 Price per Square Foot The market appears to be placing an increasing premium on homes. When list prices and price per square foot consistently increase in tandem, as they're doing now, you can often find short-term investment opportunities. Watch the Market Action Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator for these trends to flatten or drop. 7-day Average 90-day Average Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply. 7-day Average 90-day Average Page 24 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 25. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80302 Market Action Index The BOULDER, 80302 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 18.17. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice. 90-day Average Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory. Page 25 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 26. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80302 Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 217 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 161 or so days. 7-day Average 90-day Average Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 26 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 27. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80305 This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend The median list price in BOULDER, CO Median List Price $ 749,000 ≠≠ 80305 this week is $749,000. The 7 Average List Price $ 1,234,400 properties have been on the market Asking Price Per Square Foot $ 311 ≠≠ for an average of 265 days. Average Days on Market (DoM) 265 == Inventory of Properties Listed 7 ≠≠ Most Expensive Listing $ 2,880,000 Inventory has been lightening lately Least Expensive Listing $ 394,900 and the Market Action Index has been Average Age of Listing 36 trending up. Though days-on-market Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 43 % is increasing, these are mildly positive Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 14 % indications for the market. Percent Flip (price increased) 14 % Median House Size (sq ft) 2709 Median Lot Size 0.25 - 0.50 acre Median Number of Bedrooms 4.0 Supply and Demand Median Number of Bathrooms 3.0 Altos Research Value Statistics Inventory levels have been relatively Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 15.9 == consistent relative to sales. Despite The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 the fact that there is a relatively implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the high amount of available inventory, buyer. this Buyer's market is still seeing prices move higher. Given inventory Trend Key: == Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend levels, these price conditions are ±+ No change = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend relatively fragile. If the market cools off further, the price trend is likely to reverse. Characteristics per Quartile Quartile Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM 0.25 - 0.50 Top/First $ 2,880,000 4519 acre 4.0 6.0 9 1 0 1 105 Most expensive 25% of properties 0.50 - 1.0 Upper/Second $ 1,698,500 4831 acre 4.5 3.0 40 2 0 2 378 Upper-middle 25% of properties 0.25 - 0.50 Lower/Third $ 699,500 2576 acre 4.0 3.0 46 2 0 1 354 Lower-middle 25% of properties 4,501 - Bottom/Fourth $ 482,400 1768 6,500 sqft 3.5 2.0 34 2 0 2 144 Least expensive 25% of properties Page 27 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 28. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80305 Median Price Again this week in this zip code we see a downward notch for prices. Pricing has been weak in recent weeks and versus their absolute-high level. At this point, we will be looking for a persistent upward shift in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator for a trough in prices. 7-day Average 90-day Average Quartile Prices Not surprisingly, given the condition of the overall market, all quartiles have shown price strength in recent weeks. All have been increasing in price lately. Watch for a persistent decline in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator for the top of the market. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 28 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 29. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80305 Price per Square Foot The market's downward trends are shared across both price and value. People are recently placing less value on homes (you can see the recent declines in price per square foot as evidence.) Look for significant changes in the Market Action Index as a precursor to price and value changes, possibly as inflection points for good investment opportunities. 7-day Average 90-day Average Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply. 7-day Average 90-day Average Page 29 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 30. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80305 Market Action Index The BOULDER, 80305 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 15.90. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice. 90-day Average Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory. Page 30 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009
  • 31. Neighborhood Detail Anthony Knight | 303-475-8075 BOULDER, CO 80305 Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 265 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 224 or so days. 7-day Average 90-day Average Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 31 of 31 Monday November 30, 2009