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ICT와 사회과학 지식간 학제간 연구동향 및 쟁점
- 이해를 넘어 활용으로
Virtual Knowledge Studio (VKS)
박한우 교수
영남대 언론정보학과
영남대사이버감성연구소장
아시아트리플헬릭스학회장
대구경북소셜미디어포럼고문
영국옥스퍼드인터넷연구소(전)
WCU웹보메트릭스사업단
네델란드왕립아카데미(전)
TEDxPalgong (전)
hanpark@ynu.ac.kr
www.hanpark.net
http://novaspivack.typepad.com/nova_spivacks_weblog/2007/02/steps_towards_a.html 에서 재인용
All models are wrong but some are useful
Emergence of data author on dataverse
Andersons claims
 Data is everything we need.
 We don't have to settle for models.
 Agnostic statistics.
 Out with every theory of human behavior.
 This approach to science — hypothesize,
model, test — is becoming obsolete.
 Petabytes allow us to say: "Correlation is
enough." We can stop looking for models.
 What can science learn from Google? E-
Science.
Computational (Social) Science
Park, H. W., & Leydesdorff, L. (2013 Work-In-Progress). Decomposing a Data-Driven Science Using a Scientometric Method.
 Focus on the methodological perspective based
on the use of new digital tools to manage the
data deluge.
 Development of e-science tools to automate
research process.
 Experimentation with new types of data
visualization.
http://www.nature.com/news/compu
-social-science-making-the-links-1.1
http://participatorysociety.org/wiki/index
.php?title=Online_Research
Why Data Science?
Savage and Burrows (2007, p.
886) lament, ―Fifty years ago,
academic social scientists might
be seen as occupying the apex
of the – generally limited – social
science research ‗apparatus‘.
Now they occupy an increasingly
marginal position in the huge
research infrastructure‖.
Bonacich, P. (2004).
The Invasion of the Physicists. Social Networks 26(3): 285-288
Global Communication 2team
(빅)데이터과학의도전
이론의 종말-증거기반 경영
Jeffrey Pfeffer, Robert I. Sutton (200
6)
How companies can bolster performance and
trump the competition through evidence-based
management, an approach to decision-making and
action that is driven by hard facts rather than half-
· 빅데이터의 등장으로 전통적인
과학 연구방법론 퇴색
· 인식의 한계치를 넘어선 데이터
(팩트가아닌패턴)
The Signal and the Noise:
Why Most Predictions Fail but Some Don't. Nate
Silver
I do not go as far as a Popper in asserting that such
theories are therefore unscientific or that they lack any
value. However, the fact that the few theories we can
test have produced quite poor results suggests that
many of the ideas we haven‘t tested are very wrong as
well. We are undoubtedly living with many delusions that
we do not even realize.
page 15
OECD (2012). OECD Technology Foresight
Forum 2012 - Harnessing data as a new source
of growth: Big data analytics and policies. OECD
Headquarters, Paris, France 22 October 2012
Big data and the end of theory?
 Does big data have the answers? Maybe some, but not all,
says - Mark Graham
 In 2008, Chris Anderson, then editor of Wired, wrote a
provocative piece titled The End of Theory. Anderson was
referring to the ways that computers, algorithms, and big data
can potentially generate more insightful, useful, accurate, or
true results than specialists or domain experts who
traditionally craft carefully targeted hypotheses and research
strategies.
 We may one day get to the point where sufficient quantities
of big data can be harvested to answer all of the social
questions that most concern us. I doubt it though. There will
always be digital divides; always be uneven data shadows;
and always be biases in how information and technology are
used and produced.
 And so we shouldn't forget the important role of specialists to
contextualize and offer insights into what our data do, and
maybe more importantly, don't tell us.http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2012/mar/09/big-data-
theory
Yet, there still are serious problems to overcome. A
trenchant critique concerning the big data field as it is
nowadays came in the form of six statements intending
to temper unbridled enthusiasm. [42] These six
provocative statements are:
 Big data change the definition of knowledge;
 Claims to accuracy and objectivity are misleading;
 More data are not always better data;
 Taken out of context, big data loses its meaning;
 Just because it is accessible, it does not make it ethical;
and
 (Limited) access to big data creates a new digital divide.
Rousseau (2012)
Global Communication 2team
빅데이터에 대한 부정적인 시각 등장
-빅데이터의 가치
-저장, 분석 및 해석기술 한계 존재
-현재의 붐은 호들갑스러운 측면 존재
빅데이터 갭: Promise VS Capabilities
빅데이터의도전
http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2012/02/16/how-target-figured-out-a-teen-girl-was-pregnant-before-her-father-did/
어떤 실험을 하는지 우리는 알고 있는가?
http://www.nature.com/news/facebook-experiment-boosts-us-voter-turnout-1.11401
우리는 정확히 인지하지 못한 채 동의했다
This approach to science is attributed to the late Jim
Gray, one of the most influential computer scientists, at
Microsoft.
http://www.bbk.ac.uk/innovation/news-events/docs/s2/MEYER_new-triple-helix-environments.pdf
The Triple Helix 2 in Mode 2
• Internal transformation wit
hin each helix: e.g. an entr
epreneurial university
- University R&D plays a
role as an ‗entrepreneurial
mediator‘
Double, Triple, Quadruple Helix, …, an
d an N-tuple of Helices
http://www.leydesdorff.net/ntuple/index.htm
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/08109028.2011.641384
Applied and Basic research
Quest for
fundamental
understanding
?
Hig
h
Pure basic rese
arch (Bohr)
Use-inspired basic
research(Pasteur)
Lo
w
–
Pure applied resea
rch (Edison)
Low High
Considerations of use?
Pasteur's quadrant
Pasteur's quadrant is a label given to a class of scientific research methods that both seek
fundamental understanding of scientific problems, and, at the same time, seek to be
eventually beneficial to society. Louis Pasteur's research is thought to exemplify this type of
method, which bridges the gap between "basic" and "applied" research.[1] The term was
introduced by Donald Stokes in his book, Pasteur's Quadrant
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pasteur's_quadrant
http://www.euroreg-unicaconference.pl/unica_conference_presentation_09.pdf
http://www.euroreg-unicaconference.pl/unica_conference_presentation_09.pdf
http://pactlab-dev.spcomm.uiuc.edu/class/08SP/280/Diffusion-Certainty%20Lecture%20Notes.pdf
Re-setting science and innovation for the next 20
years: New Zealand, new futures,
new ways of science engaging with society? years
New Zealand, new futures,
new ways of science engaging with
society?
New Zealand, new futures,
new ways of science engaging with
society?
• New ways of doing science
The responsibilities of government, business and citizens may also move into
the realm of post-normal science in which people are credited with
multiple capacities and expertise that can support the co-production of
knowledge about sustainability alongside
e-Science: As society‘s ‗grand challenges‘ such as climate
change and food security demand more complex analysis of
ever-larger datasets, and global cooperation between scientists
and other stakeholders, many countries have begun to invest
in the infrastructure to support the sharing of knowledge (data,
models) and high-performance computing resources. T professional experts
http://scientists.org.nz/files/journal/2011-68/NZSR_68_1.pdf#page=26
Ict와 사회과학지식간 학제간 연구동향(23 march2013)

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Ict와 사회과학지식간 학제간 연구동향(23 march2013)

  • 1. ICT와 사회과학 지식간 학제간 연구동향 및 쟁점 - 이해를 넘어 활용으로 Virtual Knowledge Studio (VKS) 박한우 교수 영남대 언론정보학과 영남대사이버감성연구소장 아시아트리플헬릭스학회장 대구경북소셜미디어포럼고문 영국옥스퍼드인터넷연구소(전) WCU웹보메트릭스사업단 네델란드왕립아카데미(전) TEDxPalgong (전) hanpark@ynu.ac.kr www.hanpark.net
  • 2.
  • 4. All models are wrong but some are useful Emergence of data author on dataverse
  • 5. Andersons claims  Data is everything we need.  We don't have to settle for models.  Agnostic statistics.  Out with every theory of human behavior.  This approach to science — hypothesize, model, test — is becoming obsolete.  Petabytes allow us to say: "Correlation is enough." We can stop looking for models.  What can science learn from Google? E- Science.
  • 6. Computational (Social) Science Park, H. W., & Leydesdorff, L. (2013 Work-In-Progress). Decomposing a Data-Driven Science Using a Scientometric Method.  Focus on the methodological perspective based on the use of new digital tools to manage the data deluge.  Development of e-science tools to automate research process.  Experimentation with new types of data visualization.
  • 9.
  • 10. Why Data Science? Savage and Burrows (2007, p. 886) lament, ―Fifty years ago, academic social scientists might be seen as occupying the apex of the – generally limited – social science research ‗apparatus‘. Now they occupy an increasingly marginal position in the huge research infrastructure‖. Bonacich, P. (2004). The Invasion of the Physicists. Social Networks 26(3): 285-288
  • 11. Global Communication 2team (빅)데이터과학의도전 이론의 종말-증거기반 경영 Jeffrey Pfeffer, Robert I. Sutton (200 6) How companies can bolster performance and trump the competition through evidence-based management, an approach to decision-making and action that is driven by hard facts rather than half- · 빅데이터의 등장으로 전통적인 과학 연구방법론 퇴색 · 인식의 한계치를 넘어선 데이터 (팩트가아닌패턴)
  • 12. The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail but Some Don't. Nate Silver I do not go as far as a Popper in asserting that such theories are therefore unscientific or that they lack any value. However, the fact that the few theories we can test have produced quite poor results suggests that many of the ideas we haven‘t tested are very wrong as well. We are undoubtedly living with many delusions that we do not even realize. page 15
  • 13. OECD (2012). OECD Technology Foresight Forum 2012 - Harnessing data as a new source of growth: Big data analytics and policies. OECD Headquarters, Paris, France 22 October 2012
  • 14. Big data and the end of theory?  Does big data have the answers? Maybe some, but not all, says - Mark Graham  In 2008, Chris Anderson, then editor of Wired, wrote a provocative piece titled The End of Theory. Anderson was referring to the ways that computers, algorithms, and big data can potentially generate more insightful, useful, accurate, or true results than specialists or domain experts who traditionally craft carefully targeted hypotheses and research strategies.  We may one day get to the point where sufficient quantities of big data can be harvested to answer all of the social questions that most concern us. I doubt it though. There will always be digital divides; always be uneven data shadows; and always be biases in how information and technology are used and produced.  And so we shouldn't forget the important role of specialists to contextualize and offer insights into what our data do, and maybe more importantly, don't tell us.http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2012/mar/09/big-data- theory
  • 15.
  • 16. Yet, there still are serious problems to overcome. A trenchant critique concerning the big data field as it is nowadays came in the form of six statements intending to temper unbridled enthusiasm. [42] These six provocative statements are:  Big data change the definition of knowledge;  Claims to accuracy and objectivity are misleading;  More data are not always better data;  Taken out of context, big data loses its meaning;  Just because it is accessible, it does not make it ethical; and  (Limited) access to big data creates a new digital divide. Rousseau (2012)
  • 17. Global Communication 2team 빅데이터에 대한 부정적인 시각 등장 -빅데이터의 가치 -저장, 분석 및 해석기술 한계 존재 -현재의 붐은 호들갑스러운 측면 존재 빅데이터 갭: Promise VS Capabilities 빅데이터의도전
  • 19. 어떤 실험을 하는지 우리는 알고 있는가? http://www.nature.com/news/facebook-experiment-boosts-us-voter-turnout-1.11401
  • 20. 우리는 정확히 인지하지 못한 채 동의했다
  • 21.
  • 22. This approach to science is attributed to the late Jim Gray, one of the most influential computer scientists, at Microsoft.
  • 23.
  • 25. The Triple Helix 2 in Mode 2 • Internal transformation wit hin each helix: e.g. an entr epreneurial university - University R&D plays a role as an ‗entrepreneurial mediator‘
  • 26. Double, Triple, Quadruple Helix, …, an d an N-tuple of Helices http://www.leydesdorff.net/ntuple/index.htm
  • 28. Applied and Basic research Quest for fundamental understanding ? Hig h Pure basic rese arch (Bohr) Use-inspired basic research(Pasteur) Lo w – Pure applied resea rch (Edison) Low High Considerations of use? Pasteur's quadrant Pasteur's quadrant is a label given to a class of scientific research methods that both seek fundamental understanding of scientific problems, and, at the same time, seek to be eventually beneficial to society. Louis Pasteur's research is thought to exemplify this type of method, which bridges the gap between "basic" and "applied" research.[1] The term was introduced by Donald Stokes in his book, Pasteur's Quadrant http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pasteur's_quadrant
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 37. Re-setting science and innovation for the next 20 years: New Zealand, new futures, new ways of science engaging with society? years New Zealand, new futures, new ways of science engaging with society? New Zealand, new futures, new ways of science engaging with society? • New ways of doing science The responsibilities of government, business and citizens may also move into the realm of post-normal science in which people are credited with multiple capacities and expertise that can support the co-production of knowledge about sustainability alongside e-Science: As society‘s ‗grand challenges‘ such as climate change and food security demand more complex analysis of ever-larger datasets, and global cooperation between scientists and other stakeholders, many countries have begun to invest in the infrastructure to support the sharing of knowledge (data, models) and high-performance computing resources. T professional experts http://scientists.org.nz/files/journal/2011-68/NZSR_68_1.pdf#page=26

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Most large retailers similarly analyse enormous quantities of data from their databases of sales (which are linked to you by credit card numbers and loyalty cards) in order to make uncanny predictions about your future behaviours. In a now famous case, the American retailer, Target, upset a Minneapolis man by knowing more about his teenage daughter's sex life than he did. Target was able to predict his daughter's pregnancy by monitoring her shopping patterns and comparing that information to an enormous database detailing billions of dollars of sales. This ultimately allows the company to make uncanny predictions about its shoppers.