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Department of Business Administration
                  College of Management


                                                   HARVARD BUSINESS SCHOOL │ 9-703-427 │ REV: NOVEMBER 22, 2005




      Case Study 1

           Intel Corporation: 1968-2003
            How did Intel transform from the CPU supplier to the main
            supplier of the building blocks for the Internet economy?

                                                                                Presented by Group 5

                                                                                          Chiang, Yi
                                                                                        Lin, Jie-Heng
                                                                                       Wu, Hsuan-Yi



 Course Lecturer: Prof. Chung-Jen Chen

12 October 2011                              Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                           1
Department of Business Administration
                  College of Management




         Outline

                         0      About Intel Corporation

                        1       Initial dominance and decline in DRAMs

                        2       Success in microprocessors

                        3       Becoming the builder of the Internet

                        4       Conclusions

                        5       Q&A


12 October 2011                              Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology   2
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management


                                                                     0     About Intel Corporation


  Spring 1968         Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore left Fairchild Semiconductor to start
                      Intel with the venture capitalist Arthur Rock. Later Andy Grove joined
                      with a group of team from Fairchild.




                         Robert Noyce            Gordon Moore            Arthur Rock     Andy Grove
                          1927-1990                  1929-                  1926-          1936-

                      1970s                      1980s                                 Late-1990s

                            DRAM                     Microprocessor                      Internet

12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                        3
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management




 Intel in
 DRAM Market
12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology   4
Department of Business Administration
                College of Management                                                              林玠恒 D00741002

                                                        1   Initial dominance and decline in DRAMs

             1970       Intel produced the world’s first 1-kilobit DRAM, 1103 (Goldilocks strategy).
Intel first
introduced 1K
DRAM (Lead)

TI and Mostek
had better design
and low cost.
                           Huge Lost in                       -72%                   -99%                    -87.5%
Intel lost a full
generation to              Net Income                        (1981)                 (1985)                   (1986)
Japanese (16K
vs. 64K)

Intel faced strong
                             Employee                         -16%                   -15%
price competition             laid off                       (1985)                 (1986)
from Japanese

Intel introduced
1-megabit DRAM
but has lost the
market                                                                    Source: Intel Case Exhibit 4 Volume Trends in DRAMs

             1985       Intel exited DRAM market.
   12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                                         5
Department of Business Administration
                College of Management                                                    林玠恒 D00741002



                 As first mover, why failed in the end?
            1. From radical innovation to incremental innovation…
            2. Appropriability and Complementary…
Models of Innovation                                           Who profits from innovations?




                     Henderson and Clark (1990)                                     Teece (1986)

   12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                  6
Department of Business Administration
               College of Management                                                 林玠恒 D00741002

                                                       1   Initial dominance and decline in DRAMs


                        How would you explain Intel’s initial dominance and
                        subsequent decline in DRAMs?
Key factors to               The industry was driven by necessity to cross-license
chip price:
                              among established players. Through the Credibility of
• Shape of
  learning curve              Noyce, Intel became part of that sharing network.
• Capacity                   Overestimated the entry barrier of DRAM market.
  expansion
                             Reacted too late for Moore’s Law in DRAM technology
                              (the costs of computing fall in half every 18 months).
                             Lost the advantage of dominant design due to its less
                              complementary assets
                             Gave up the business too late.
                              “We understood that to gain a 10% market share in DRAMs we would have to
                              make a $600 million investment in a new fab. We were doomed to fail because
                              there was industry overcapacity.” --- Grove


  12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                       7
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management




                                   “DRAM gave us fame,
                                   but EPROM gave us riches.”
                                   “We had microprocessors.”

                                                                         ---Andy Grove


12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology           8
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management




 Intel in
 Microprocessors
12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology   9
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management                                                         江     懿 B97203032

                                                                     2     Success in microprocessors




                   1971: Intel 4004      1972: Intel 8008     1974: Intel 808    1978: Intel 8086 y 8088

         1980      “Project Crush” + Design wins (Intel + IBM)
                   - IBM open standard
                   - Success in format war
                   - Being a free rider by design wins
         1983      License control
                   - Restrict licenses to four company
                   - More design wins and more revenue
                   - Set up the industry standard

                   Platform building: x86




                       1982: Intel 80286              1985: Intel 80386     1989: Intel 80486
                     Second-source strategy          Sole-source strategy: becoming proprietary

12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                             10
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management                                                   江     懿 B97203032

                                                                     2     Success in microprocessors


                  Intel vs. AMD
                  “AMD’s products were big, ugly, and late.” (mid-1980)
                  “By the Pentium generation, AMD couldn’t get any trade secrets and couldn’t
                  copy our microcode, so our products developed quite differently.” (1995)


 Tom Dunlap,
 senior vice
 president
 and general      1993: Intel Pentium 1995: Intel Pentium Pro 1997: Intel Pentium II 1999: Intel Pentium III
 counsel




                  1991: AMD AMx86 1996: AMD K5 1996: AMD K6 y AMD K6-2 1999: AMD Athlon K7
                                                                       (Classic y Thunderbird)



12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                         11
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management                                                   江   懿 B97203032

                                                                     2     Success in microprocessors




         1990      Success marketing: the “Red X” campaign specifically against AMD, and the
                   “Intel inside” end-user branding and advertising program to OEMs.




  Dennis Carter,
  head of
  corporate
  marketing


         1994      Pentium bug: good response to product flaw and effective end user promotion
  1990-1995        Architectural competition: RISC vs. CISC (Intel)




12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                   12
Department of Business Administration
                 College of Management                                                               江     懿 B97203032

                                                                            2       Success in microprocessors

                        Why has Intel been more successful in microprocessors?
         Strong         Exhibit 6 Comparative Intellectual Property Considerations
     Proprietary                                              DRAMs                Microprocessors            EPROMs
                         Patent Protection Law                  V                        V
                         Trade Secrets                          V                        V                       V
                         Copyrights                                                      V
                         Trademarks                                                      V
                         Chip Protection Act                                             V


    Successful          Invention of the            Emergence of Intel’s architecture                    Discontinuity from
                        microprocessor              as the dominant design for PCs                       RISC technology
     Protecting
     Strategies
   Afuah (2003)          Team Up                         Block            Intel sole-source
                                                                                                          Team Up
Source: lecture slide     Intel+IBM
                          Design Wins                          Run              Fight against AMD             Intel+HP

                                                                           Block
                                                                            Wintel PC + Intel inside

   12 October 2011                             Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                                    13
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management




 Intel in
 Internet Market
12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology   14
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management




                       The PC was at the center of computing during
                       the 1990s, but if you look at the next decade, it is
                       the Internet. The PC is still very important in the
                       Internet era, but there are lots of other things that
                       are important as well. People are going to access
                       the Net off their cell phones, and more cell
                       phones are sold today than PCs. Networking is
                       becoming more important, whether it’s in the
                       home, small business, or enterprise. If you want
                       to be involved in this new era, you have to look
                       for the new growth opportunities. That’s what we
                       are trying to do.
                                                                             ---Craig Barrett (1999)

12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                  15
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management                                                        吳宣儀 D00741004

                                                        3      Becoming the builder of the Internet

                   Evaluate Intel’s shift in strategy under CEO Craig Barrett.
         1998      Craig Barrett was named CEO in March, succeeding Grove.
                      • PhD in material science; Former Professor at Stanford University.
                      • Joined Intel in 1974; COO in 1993; President in 1997; CEO in 1998

                   Aggressive Strategy Moves
                     ▪ To enter new business: spent roughly $12 billion on
                       acquisitions and internal ventures in new markets such as
                       networks, wireless, communications, and online services
Craig Barrett
                       from 1998 to 2000.
 1927-1990
                     ▪ To shift to the new position: changed the corporate
                       mission statement to “being the preeminent building-block
                       supplier to the worldwide Internet economy” in 1999.
         2001      Huge lost in 2001
                           Lost in                         -13%                   -65%          ?
                         Net Income                       (1998)                 (2001)      (2002)
12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                        16
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management                                                吳宣儀 D00741004

                                                        3      Becoming the builder of the Internet


                     Why? 新官上任三把火
                      Intel invested a large amount in such a short time, but not
                      matured enough for the new competition and new business.
                      However, it could have been worse if Intel did do so.
                      1. There was a recession and decreasing on world PC
                         microprocessor revenue (Exhibit 8).
                      2. The competition in new business was even stronger than
                         its core business (see Exhibit 10b).
                      3. Internally, Intel had a series of implementation errors
                         (p.15).
   2001-2002         Intel shut down businesses ranging from Web hosting, network switching,
                     and network appliances to Intel consumer products. Barrett introduced a
                     back-to-basics program to achieve operational excellence.


12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                17
Department of Business Administration
                College of Management                                                             吳宣儀 D00741004

                                                           3      Becoming the builder of the Internet

                         Do you think that Intel should maintain these strategy moves
                         in 2003? Yes, because the strategic position was right to the
                         future market and demand. The lost was temporary due to
                         ill-management and unfocused diversification strategy.
32-bit Celeron (1999)                                       Microprocessor
                          Value-based lower prices
                             for higher volumes            Mainstream                    High performance
                                 32-bit Celeron            32-bit Pentium           32-bit Xeon          64-bit Itanium
32-bit Pentium (1997)               (1999)                     (1997)                 (1998)                (2001)
                                                                               Low- and mid-range
                            Low-end consumer PC                Mass PC         corporate server and     Corporate server
                                                                                   workstation
   32-bit Xeon (1998)
                             Client part                Network connectivity                      Server/data farm
                             Convergence of computing and communications is the major
 64-bit Itanium (2001)     growth driver of the Internet, and we are in both.” – Craig Barrett
              2002       Intel successfully pulled a generation ahead of AMD.
                         Intel had roughly 89% market segment share in mobile CPUs.
   12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                                 18
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management                                                      吳宣儀 D00741004

                                                                                         5     Conclusions

Technology Strategies              Maidique and Patch (1978)

                                       DRAMs                 Microprocessors                 Internet
 First-to-Market or                                                                  Protecting PC and
                              Intel Lead                    Intel Lead
 Leader Strategy                                                                     server platforms
 Second-to-Market                                                                    Establishing new
 or Fast Follower                                                                    standards in
 Strategy                     Beat by Japanese              Block                    network and
                                                                                     communications
                                                                                     (WiFi)
 Late-to-Market or
                              No complimentary
 Cost Minimization                                          Run and block                       ?
                              assets
 Strategy
 Market                                                     Intel got the lead for
 Segmentation or              Lost the market               segmentation                        ?
 Specialist Strategy                                        (brand value)



12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology                           19
Department of Business Administration
             College of Management




    Q&A
12 October 2011                         Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology   20

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Case Study: Intel Corporation 1968-2003

  • 1. Department of Business Administration College of Management HARVARD BUSINESS SCHOOL │ 9-703-427 │ REV: NOVEMBER 22, 2005 Case Study 1 Intel Corporation: 1968-2003 How did Intel transform from the CPU supplier to the main supplier of the building blocks for the Internet economy? Presented by Group 5 Chiang, Yi Lin, Jie-Heng Wu, Hsuan-Yi Course Lecturer: Prof. Chung-Jen Chen 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 1
  • 2. Department of Business Administration College of Management Outline 0 About Intel Corporation 1 Initial dominance and decline in DRAMs 2 Success in microprocessors 3 Becoming the builder of the Internet 4 Conclusions 5 Q&A 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 2
  • 3. Department of Business Administration College of Management 0 About Intel Corporation Spring 1968 Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore left Fairchild Semiconductor to start Intel with the venture capitalist Arthur Rock. Later Andy Grove joined with a group of team from Fairchild. Robert Noyce Gordon Moore Arthur Rock Andy Grove 1927-1990 1929- 1926- 1936- 1970s 1980s Late-1990s DRAM Microprocessor Internet 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 3
  • 4. Department of Business Administration College of Management Intel in DRAM Market 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 4
  • 5. Department of Business Administration College of Management 林玠恒 D00741002 1 Initial dominance and decline in DRAMs 1970 Intel produced the world’s first 1-kilobit DRAM, 1103 (Goldilocks strategy). Intel first introduced 1K DRAM (Lead) TI and Mostek had better design and low cost. Huge Lost in -72% -99% -87.5% Intel lost a full generation to Net Income (1981) (1985) (1986) Japanese (16K vs. 64K) Intel faced strong Employee -16% -15% price competition laid off (1985) (1986) from Japanese Intel introduced 1-megabit DRAM but has lost the market Source: Intel Case Exhibit 4 Volume Trends in DRAMs 1985 Intel exited DRAM market. 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 5
  • 6. Department of Business Administration College of Management 林玠恒 D00741002 As first mover, why failed in the end? 1. From radical innovation to incremental innovation… 2. Appropriability and Complementary… Models of Innovation Who profits from innovations? Henderson and Clark (1990) Teece (1986) 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 6
  • 7. Department of Business Administration College of Management 林玠恒 D00741002 1 Initial dominance and decline in DRAMs How would you explain Intel’s initial dominance and subsequent decline in DRAMs? Key factors to  The industry was driven by necessity to cross-license chip price: among established players. Through the Credibility of • Shape of learning curve Noyce, Intel became part of that sharing network. • Capacity  Overestimated the entry barrier of DRAM market. expansion  Reacted too late for Moore’s Law in DRAM technology (the costs of computing fall in half every 18 months).  Lost the advantage of dominant design due to its less complementary assets  Gave up the business too late. “We understood that to gain a 10% market share in DRAMs we would have to make a $600 million investment in a new fab. We were doomed to fail because there was industry overcapacity.” --- Grove 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 7
  • 8. Department of Business Administration College of Management “DRAM gave us fame, but EPROM gave us riches.” “We had microprocessors.” ---Andy Grove 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 8
  • 9. Department of Business Administration College of Management Intel in Microprocessors 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 9
  • 10. Department of Business Administration College of Management 江 懿 B97203032 2 Success in microprocessors 1971: Intel 4004 1972: Intel 8008 1974: Intel 808 1978: Intel 8086 y 8088 1980 “Project Crush” + Design wins (Intel + IBM) - IBM open standard - Success in format war - Being a free rider by design wins 1983 License control - Restrict licenses to four company - More design wins and more revenue - Set up the industry standard Platform building: x86 1982: Intel 80286 1985: Intel 80386 1989: Intel 80486 Second-source strategy Sole-source strategy: becoming proprietary 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 10
  • 11. Department of Business Administration College of Management 江 懿 B97203032 2 Success in microprocessors Intel vs. AMD “AMD’s products were big, ugly, and late.” (mid-1980) “By the Pentium generation, AMD couldn’t get any trade secrets and couldn’t copy our microcode, so our products developed quite differently.” (1995) Tom Dunlap, senior vice president and general 1993: Intel Pentium 1995: Intel Pentium Pro 1997: Intel Pentium II 1999: Intel Pentium III counsel 1991: AMD AMx86 1996: AMD K5 1996: AMD K6 y AMD K6-2 1999: AMD Athlon K7 (Classic y Thunderbird) 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 11
  • 12. Department of Business Administration College of Management 江 懿 B97203032 2 Success in microprocessors 1990 Success marketing: the “Red X” campaign specifically against AMD, and the “Intel inside” end-user branding and advertising program to OEMs. Dennis Carter, head of corporate marketing 1994 Pentium bug: good response to product flaw and effective end user promotion 1990-1995 Architectural competition: RISC vs. CISC (Intel) 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 12
  • 13. Department of Business Administration College of Management 江 懿 B97203032 2 Success in microprocessors Why has Intel been more successful in microprocessors? Strong Exhibit 6 Comparative Intellectual Property Considerations Proprietary DRAMs Microprocessors EPROMs Patent Protection Law V V Trade Secrets V V V Copyrights V Trademarks V Chip Protection Act V Successful Invention of the Emergence of Intel’s architecture Discontinuity from microprocessor as the dominant design for PCs RISC technology Protecting Strategies Afuah (2003) Team Up Block Intel sole-source Team Up Source: lecture slide Intel+IBM Design Wins Run Fight against AMD Intel+HP Block Wintel PC + Intel inside 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 13
  • 14. Department of Business Administration College of Management Intel in Internet Market 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 14
  • 15. Department of Business Administration College of Management The PC was at the center of computing during the 1990s, but if you look at the next decade, it is the Internet. The PC is still very important in the Internet era, but there are lots of other things that are important as well. People are going to access the Net off their cell phones, and more cell phones are sold today than PCs. Networking is becoming more important, whether it’s in the home, small business, or enterprise. If you want to be involved in this new era, you have to look for the new growth opportunities. That’s what we are trying to do. ---Craig Barrett (1999) 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 15
  • 16. Department of Business Administration College of Management 吳宣儀 D00741004 3 Becoming the builder of the Internet Evaluate Intel’s shift in strategy under CEO Craig Barrett. 1998 Craig Barrett was named CEO in March, succeeding Grove. • PhD in material science; Former Professor at Stanford University. • Joined Intel in 1974; COO in 1993; President in 1997; CEO in 1998 Aggressive Strategy Moves ▪ To enter new business: spent roughly $12 billion on acquisitions and internal ventures in new markets such as networks, wireless, communications, and online services Craig Barrett from 1998 to 2000. 1927-1990 ▪ To shift to the new position: changed the corporate mission statement to “being the preeminent building-block supplier to the worldwide Internet economy” in 1999. 2001 Huge lost in 2001 Lost in -13% -65% ? Net Income (1998) (2001) (2002) 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 16
  • 17. Department of Business Administration College of Management 吳宣儀 D00741004 3 Becoming the builder of the Internet Why? 新官上任三把火 Intel invested a large amount in such a short time, but not matured enough for the new competition and new business. However, it could have been worse if Intel did do so. 1. There was a recession and decreasing on world PC microprocessor revenue (Exhibit 8). 2. The competition in new business was even stronger than its core business (see Exhibit 10b). 3. Internally, Intel had a series of implementation errors (p.15). 2001-2002 Intel shut down businesses ranging from Web hosting, network switching, and network appliances to Intel consumer products. Barrett introduced a back-to-basics program to achieve operational excellence. 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 17
  • 18. Department of Business Administration College of Management 吳宣儀 D00741004 3 Becoming the builder of the Internet Do you think that Intel should maintain these strategy moves in 2003? Yes, because the strategic position was right to the future market and demand. The lost was temporary due to ill-management and unfocused diversification strategy. 32-bit Celeron (1999) Microprocessor Value-based lower prices for higher volumes Mainstream High performance 32-bit Celeron 32-bit Pentium 32-bit Xeon 64-bit Itanium 32-bit Pentium (1997) (1999) (1997) (1998) (2001) Low- and mid-range Low-end consumer PC Mass PC corporate server and Corporate server workstation 32-bit Xeon (1998) Client part Network connectivity Server/data farm Convergence of computing and communications is the major 64-bit Itanium (2001) growth driver of the Internet, and we are in both.” – Craig Barrett 2002 Intel successfully pulled a generation ahead of AMD. Intel had roughly 89% market segment share in mobile CPUs. 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 18
  • 19. Department of Business Administration College of Management 吳宣儀 D00741004 5 Conclusions Technology Strategies Maidique and Patch (1978) DRAMs Microprocessors Internet First-to-Market or Protecting PC and Intel Lead Intel Lead Leader Strategy server platforms Second-to-Market Establishing new or Fast Follower standards in Strategy Beat by Japanese Block network and communications (WiFi) Late-to-Market or No complimentary Cost Minimization Run and block ? assets Strategy Market Intel got the lead for Segmentation or Lost the market segmentation ? Specialist Strategy (brand value) 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 19
  • 20. Department of Business Administration College of Management Q&A 12 October 2011 Fall 2011 MBA Management of Technology 20