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The Content Question Jeffrey Hart Professor Indiana University http://mypage.iu.edu/~hartj November 14, 2008
What are the key questions? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Telephone and Cable Companies Will Build the US Broadband Infrastructure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
US is Lagging in Broadband Takeup
US is Lagging in Broadband Speed
US is Behind in Fiber to the Home/Building
Verizon FiOS vs. AT&T U-Verse Both are capable of moderately high quality video content delivery. Both are betting that digital TV service revenues will grow faster than telephone services in the next 5-10 years.  FiOS U-Verse architecture FTTH FTTN latest stats on customer base 1.5 million 0.6 million download speeds 10 mps 6 mps
Broadband Video Trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Production Values and Potential Audience Size Small audience  Large audience Hi value  Lo value Chris Crocker Videos of my dog on YouTube Sanctuary ; other HD content Movies TV programs LonelyGirl15
The MeTV Hypothesis Source:  Eli M. Noam, “The Stages of Television: From Multi- Channel Television to Me-TV,” CITI Working Paper Series, 1995 Stages Delivery Audience Size Regulation Business Model Limited Terrestrial Broadcast Large Audiences Regulated Ad-supported Multi-Channel Cable, Satellite Smaller Audiences Lightly regulated Subscription Me TV Internet and other digital conduits Niche Audiences Lightly  regulated? Pay-per-view or download to own
Will Internet TV be like iTunes and iPods (the Vint Cerf Hypothesis)? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Long Tail Hypothesis In MeTV the user becomes a video programmer; in the  fat long tail case, the user may be the producer as well  as the consumer . Pareto Distribution (aka Power Law) “ fat tail means more Voices will be heard” See Chris Anderson,  The Long Tail  (New York: Hyperion, 2006).
Digital Divide Hypotheses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Media Usage Statistics Source: Study by Veronis Suhler Stevenson. The big news is that Internet use is rapidly displacing recorded music and newspaper use; and hours per day media use is reaching a plateau (around 3.5 hours per day on average).  TV use and web use are increasingly simultaneous (Nielsen data).
Web Sites of TV Networks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These sites contain video content that has already been broadcast.  There are sometimes ads attached to them, but the sites are used primarily to increase the number of  viewers or to provide services to existing viewers.
Impact of the Internet on Broadcast TV ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ad-Supported Internet Video Services  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of Ad-Supported Video ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Examples of User-Generated Video Sites ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Interesting Questions for Research ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Political Uses of Internet Video: 2008 Election ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Rkcsi08

  • 1. The Content Question Jeffrey Hart Professor Indiana University http://mypage.iu.edu/~hartj November 14, 2008
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. US is Lagging in Broadband Takeup
  • 5. US is Lagging in Broadband Speed
  • 6. US is Behind in Fiber to the Home/Building
  • 7. Verizon FiOS vs. AT&T U-Verse Both are capable of moderately high quality video content delivery. Both are betting that digital TV service revenues will grow faster than telephone services in the next 5-10 years. FiOS U-Verse architecture FTTH FTTN latest stats on customer base 1.5 million 0.6 million download speeds 10 mps 6 mps
  • 8.
  • 9. Production Values and Potential Audience Size Small audience Large audience Hi value Lo value Chris Crocker Videos of my dog on YouTube Sanctuary ; other HD content Movies TV programs LonelyGirl15
  • 10. The MeTV Hypothesis Source: Eli M. Noam, “The Stages of Television: From Multi- Channel Television to Me-TV,” CITI Working Paper Series, 1995 Stages Delivery Audience Size Regulation Business Model Limited Terrestrial Broadcast Large Audiences Regulated Ad-supported Multi-Channel Cable, Satellite Smaller Audiences Lightly regulated Subscription Me TV Internet and other digital conduits Niche Audiences Lightly regulated? Pay-per-view or download to own
  • 11.
  • 12. The Long Tail Hypothesis In MeTV the user becomes a video programmer; in the fat long tail case, the user may be the producer as well as the consumer . Pareto Distribution (aka Power Law) “ fat tail means more Voices will be heard” See Chris Anderson, The Long Tail (New York: Hyperion, 2006).
  • 13.
  • 14. Media Usage Statistics Source: Study by Veronis Suhler Stevenson. The big news is that Internet use is rapidly displacing recorded music and newspaper use; and hours per day media use is reaching a plateau (around 3.5 hours per day on average). TV use and web use are increasingly simultaneous (Nielsen data).
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.