Cindy Burbank's Presentation to the 2009 Highway Users Annual Meeting

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Cindy Burbank's, VP of Parsons-Brinkerhoff, presentation on climate change to the 2009 Highway Users Annual Meeting

Actualités & Politique Technologie

Climate Change Effective Strategies for Highway Users AHUA Conference October 20, 2009

Climate change is real … and is already happening ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

60-80% GHG reductions are needed ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What should the GHG reduction target be for the transportation sector? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Five GHG Reduction “Legs” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Vehicle/fuel improvements will be the dominant source of GHG reductions for LDVs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Vehicle “decarbonization” is necessary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

But more GHG reductions are needed ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

One Scenario to Achieve 74% LDV GHG Reduction by 2050 1% Annual VMT Growth + 100 mpgge LDV Fleet + 10% Operational Efficiency

U.S. VMT growth rates are declining– but will zero or negative VMT growth be expected? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Alan Pisarski and Cambridge Systematics

Many strategies to reduce LDV VMT* ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Strategies: Pricing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Carpooling and Vanpooling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Transit helps reduce GHG – but < 2% ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Land use effect on GHG: Small, even with aggressive assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

“ Moving Cooler” – Heroic strategies reduce GHG only 16% over 40 years ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Vehicle/system operations to reduce GHG ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Eco-driving vs. land use ,[object Object],[object Object]

State Climate Action Plans ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

State Climate Plans – Transportation Elements Vary All Across the Map 17% 49% 14% 21% 2028 VT 14% 31% 10% 46% 2020 RI 0% 18% 36% 45% 2025 PA 4% 27% 11% 59% 2020 NY 20% 45% 12% 24% 2025 MD 1% 21% 25% 53% 2020 ME 2% 8% 38% 51% 2020 CT 1% 29% 55% 14% 2020 SC 15% 38% 12% 35% 2020 NC 25% 25% 35% 15% 2025 MN Other Smart Growth and Transit Low Carbon Fuels Vehicle Year State

Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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