Caribbean Infrastructure Evaluation

1. Caribbean Infrastructure Project Review
Initial Evaluation
Kenny Huang, Ph.D. 黃勝雄博士
Project Principle Investigator
Executive Council Member, APNIC
Member, Board of Directors, TWNIC
huangksh@gmail.com
JointWorld Bank Sponsored Project

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1 Community WiFi
2 Public Wireless Hotspots
3 Connections among Community-WiFi
4 Government backbone
Project Scope
1 Improving Govt. efficiency
2 Reducing Govt. comm. cost
3 Accelerating modernization
4 Improving Govt. service efficiency.
5 Improving efficiency & effectiveness for
information collection and propagation
6 Enabling WiFi connectivity for Govt.
7 Improving eGovt. ranking
8 Implementing hotspots in top 16 population
area
9 Public WiFi hotspots
10 Stimulating innovative business model by
integrating local program
Project Goals
Initial Proposal

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Design and Monitoring Framework
3
Stakeholder
Analysis
Problem
Analysis
Objectives
Analysis
Alternatives
Analysis
Design
Design
Summary
Performance
Targets/
Indicators
Data Sources/
Reporting
Mechanisms
Assumptions/
Risks
Impact
Activities with Milestones Inputs
Design and Monitoring Framework
Outcome
Outputs

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Stakeholder Analysis
4
Stakeholder Stakeholder’s Interest Perceived Problem Resource Mandate
Ministry of Public
Service
Improve equal access to the
Internet
Low Internet penetration,
inadequate donor funds
Policy making, Inter-agency
communication, annual
budget
To improve public
Internet access
NICTO : National ICT
Office
Improve Internet penetration
and provide alternative access
to users
Low Internet penetration , monopoly
market, high access cost
Policy facilitation, inter-
agency coordination, ICT
operation
To facilitate policy
making and manage
ICT infrastructure
NTRC : National
Telecommunication
Regulatory Commission
Spectrum management Internet access is inadequate Spectrum registration,
device certification, service
registration
To approve wireless
spectrum , wireless
service
Ministry of Education &
Community Centre
Capacity building and outreach
for using Internet
Internet and ICT resources is
inadequate
Community Center space
and facility
To extend wireless
coverage via owned
facility

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Problem Tree
5
Low Internet
penetration
High access cost
Limit access to
information &
knowledge
Small market Market failure
Inadequate
Internet access
Human right
infringement
Poor
infrastructure
Inadequate skills
in network
operation
Restrict national
competency
Limit network
services
Jeopardize
innovation
Inefficient
business processes

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Project Identification
Objectives Analysis
6
Low Internet
penetration
High access cost
Limit access to
information &
knowledge
Small market Market failure
Inadequate
Internet access
Human right
infringement
Poor
infrastructure
Inadequate skills
in network
operation
Restrict national
competency
Limit network
services
Jeopardize
innovation
Consultation on
Govt. intervention
strategy
Consultation on
stimulus planning
Enabling
Infrastructure
Capacity building
New net-enabled
innovations and
services
Stimulate
innovation
Improve national
competitiveness
Increase business
productivity
Equal access to the
Internet
Inefficient
business processes
Enable knowledge
&information
sharing
Enrich Internet
accessibility
Neutralize access
cost
appropriate
Internet
penetration

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Project Identification
Alternatives Analysis
7
Low Internet
penetration
High access cost
Limit access to
information &
knowledge
Small market Market failure
Inadequate
Internet access
Human right
infringement
Poor
infrastructure
Inadequate skills
in network
operation
Restrict national
competency
Limit network
services
Jeopardize
innovation
Enabling
Infrastructure
Capacity building
New net-enabled
innovations and
services
Stimulate
innovation
Improve national
competitiveness
Increase business
productivity
Equal access to the
Internet
Inefficient
business processes
Enable knowledge
&information
sharing
Enrich Internet
accessibility
Neutralize access
cost
Criteria (Socioeconomic): Universal access
Consultation on
Govt. intervention
strategy
Consultation on
stimulus planning
appropriate
Internet
penetration

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Design Summary
Impact
The Internet penetration has improved
Outcome
The population in target districts use advanced wireless services.
Outputs
1 Enabling infrastructure
2 Capacity building
Activities
1.1 site survey
1.2 conceptual design (device approved by NTRC)
1.3 Base station colocation and leasing
1.4 detail design (spectrum approved by NTRC)
1.5 infrastructure implementation
1.6 service activation
Inputs
Donor – $2.3 million (80% contribution)
•Consulting - $0.3 million
•Personnel - $0.45 million
•Equipment - $1.2 million
•Training - $0.25 million
•Contingencies - $0.1 million
Government - $0.47 million (20% contribution)
•Personnel - $0.2 million
•Transport and logistics - $0.1 million (NTRC; BS colocation)
•Operating expenses – $0.07 million
•Civil work – $0.1 million
2.1 site survey look and see
2.2 network engineering training
2.3 help desk training
2.4 remote hands and eyes SOP
2.5 network operation training

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Scenario 4 Assumptions:
1 Internet population measured in 24 hrs
2 supply side measurement
3 A/P concurrent utilization : 50%
4 subscriber average usage per day : 2 hrs
5 A/P average service hrs per day : 12 hrs
Add Internet Population : 10080
Penetration contribution : 54.6% (6.2% increase)
Scenario 3 Assumptions:
1 Internet population measured in 24 hrs
2 supply side measurement
3 A/P concurrent utilization : 50%
4 subscriber average usage per day : 1hrs
5 A/P average service hrs per day : 12 hrs
Add Internet Population : 26880
Penetration contribution : 65.0% (16.6% increase)
9
Internet Demographic and Scenario Modeling
Internet users : 78864 (ITU, 2013)
Population : 162781 (U.S. Census Bureau, 2013)
Internet penetration : 48.4%
1. ITU. (2013). Percentage of individuals using the Internet. Retrieved from http://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/stat/default.aspx
2. US Census Bureau. (2013). Countries and Areas Ranked by Population. Retrieved from http://www.census.gov/population/international/data/idb/rank.php
Wireless A/P installed : 56
Service Coverage : 1.76 KM2
Scenario 2 Assumptions:
1 Internet population measured in 24 hrs
2 supply side measurement
3 A/P concurrent utilization : 80%
4 subscriber average usage per day : 2 hrs
5 A/P average service hrs per day : 16 hrs
Add Internet Population : 21504
Penetration contribution : 61.6% (13.2% increase)
Scenario 1 Assumptions:
1 Internet population measured in 24 hrs
2 supply side measurement
3 A/P concurrent utilization : 80%
4 subscriber average usage per day : 1 hrs
5 A/P average service hrs per day : 16 hrs
Add Internet Population : 43008
Penetration contribution : 74.9% (26.5% increase)
Criteria : Worst Case Scenario

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Design Summary Performance Targets / Indicators
Impact
The Internet penetration has improved
The internet penetration increased from 48.4% to 54.6% at the
end of project implementation at year 4.
Outcome
The population in target districts use advanced wireless services.
The Internet infrastructure expanded to 5 districts with 1.7 sq. KM
wireless service coverage at the end of project implementation.
Internet users in the 5 selected districts increased 10080 at the
end of project implementation.
Outputs
1 Enabling infrastructure
2 Capacity building
The wireless service coverage increases 1.7 sq. KM in year 2. The
Internet users increased from 2520 in year 3, to 10080 in year 4.
Activities
1.1 site survey
1.2 conceptual design (device approved by NTRC)
1.3 Base station colocation and leasing
1.4 detail design (spectrum approved by NTRC)
1.5 infrastructure implementation
1.6 service activation
Inputs
Donor – $2.3 million (80% contribution)
•Consulting - $0.3 million
•Personnel - $0.45 million
•Equipment - $1.2 million
•Training - $0.25 million
•Contingencies - $0.1 million
Government - $0.47 million (20% contribution)
•Personnel - $0.2 million
•Transport and logistics - $0.1 million (NTRC; BS colocation)
•Operating expenses – $0.07 million
•Civil work – $0.1 million
2.1 site survey look and see
2.2 network engineering training
2.3 help desk training
2.4 remote hands and eyes SOP
2.5 network operation training

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Design Summary Performance Targets/Indicators
Data Sources/Reporting
Mechanisms
Impact
The Internet penetration has improved
The internet penetration increased from
48.4% to 54.6% at the end of project
implementation at year 4.
Annual Internet statistics report .
International Telecommunication Union
(ITU)
Outcome
The population in target districts use
advanced wireless services.
The Internet infrastructure expanded to 5
districts with 1.7 sq. KM wireless service
coverage at the end of project
implementation.
Internet users in the 5 selected districts
increased 10080 at the end of project
implementation.
Project Report , Ministry of Public Service
Outputs
1 Enabling infrastructure
2 Capacity building
The wireless service coverage increases 1.7
sq. KM in year 2. The Internet users
increased from 2520 in year 3, to 10080 in
year 4.
Records of Project Management Office,
NICTO
Activities
1.1 site survey
1.2 conceptual design (device approved by NTRC)
1.3 Base station colocation and leasing
1.4 detail design (spectrum approved by NTRC)
1.5 infrastructure implementation
1.6 service activation
Inputs
Donor – $2.3 million (80% contribution)
•Consulting - $0.3 million
•Personnel - $0.45 million
•Equipment - $1.2 million
•Training - $0.25 million
•Contingencies - $0.1 million
Government - $0.47 million (20%
contribution)
•Personnel - $0.2 million
•Transport and logistics - $0.1 million
(NTRC; BS colocation)
•Operating expenses – $0.07 million
•Civil work – $0.1 million
2.1 site survey look and see
2.2 network engineering training
2.3 help desk training
2.4 remote hands and eyes SOP
2.5 network operation training

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Assumptions and Risks Matrix
12
Mitigate
Monitor
Ignore
Mitigate
and create
contingency plan
Mitigate
Monitor
Killer:
Rethink
Project
Mitigate
and create
contingency plan
Mitigate
Low Medium High
High
Medium
Low
A: Probability of Failure
R: Expected Impact
A= assumption, R=risk
A:CriticallyImportant
R:Likelihood

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Design Summary
Performance
Targets/Indicators
Data Sources/
Reporting Mechanisms
Assumptions (A) /
Risks (R)
Impact
The Internet penetration of has
improved
The internet penetration
increased from 48.4% to 54.6%
at the end of project
implementation at year 4.
Annual Internet statistics report .
International
Telecommunication Union (ITU)
A: The Ministry's policy
regarding the provision of public
network services remains
unchanged.
Outcome
The population in target districts
use advanced wireless services.
The Internet infrastructure
expanded to 5 districts with 1.7
sq. KM wireless service coverage
at the end of project
implementation.
Internet users in the 5 selected
districts increased 10080 at the
end of project implementation.
Project Report , Ministry of
Public Service
A: The NICTO ensures that the
wireless network is well
maintained, following
a maintenance standard.
A: Operating expenses remain
stable
Outputs
1 Enabling infrastructure
2 Capacity building
The wireless service coverage
increases 1.7 sq. KM in year 2.
The Internet users increased
from 2520 in year 3, to 10080 in
year 4.
Records of Project Management
Office, NICTO
R: The spectrum registration or
wireless service application
rejected by NTRC
R: The existing towers of base
station can't be shared for
colcation of new system.
Activities
1.1 site survey
1.2 conceptual design (device approved by NTRC)
1.3 Base station colocation and leasing
1.4 detail design (spectrum approved by NTRC)
1.5 infrastructure implementation
1.6 service activation
Inputs
Donor – $2.3 million (80% )
•Consulting - $0.3 million
•Personnel - $0.45 million
•Equipment - $1.2 million
•Training - $0.25 million
•Contingencies - $0.1 million
Government - $0.47 million
(20%)
•Personnel - $0.2 million
•Transport and logistics - $0.1
million (NTRC; BS colocation)
•Operating expenses – $0.07
million
•Civil work – $0.1 million
2.1 site survey look and see
2.2 network engineering training
2.3 help desk training
2.4 remote hands and eyes SOP
2.5 network operation training

14. Dr. Kenny Huang Confidential — All rights reserved
Intellectual Property of Dr. Kenny Huang. Unauthorized use, dissemination, distribution, or reproduction of this page is strictly prohibited 14
Kenny Huang, Ph.D.
Project Principle Investigator
Executive Council Member, APNIC
Member, Board of Directors, TWNIC
huangksh@gmail.com