Javantura v6 Conference What is the future of Earth and Sun in the close and far future? What is the future of this part of the Universe and how the whole Universe will end? What is the close future of humankind? What is the best way to deal with greatest challenges like climate changes, artificial intelligence, globalisation and generally very fast advancement of technology. What is the future we want? In this session we will discuss answers to these questions, as the basis for further discussion and as food for thoughts.

1. Future of Humankind
and of the Universe
Ivica Puljak
Faculty of Electrical Engineering,
Mechanical Engineering and Naval
Architecture in Split, Croatia

2. Why do I talk about this?
“When I want to learn about something,
I volunteer to teach a course on the subject”
Steven Weinberg

8. Even more optimistic

9. Two kind of optimists

10. Predicting the future

11. How the future will look like?”Ah niko, niko ništa ne zna.
Krhko je znanje!”
Dobriša Cesarić

12. Formula describing everyday life
► Here is written, for example, that:
▪ Astrology doesn’t work
▪ There is no afterlife
Quantum mechanics Spacetime Gravity
Other forces Matter Higgs boson
By Sean Carroll

14. What else do we know?
14
13.8 bilion years

15. What else do we know?
► Darwin’s theory
of natural selection
15

17. What else do we know?
► DNA
17

20. Eternal questions
What are we?
Where do we come from?
Where are we going?

21. What are we?

23. Human body consists of
about
7 000 000 000 000
000 000 000 000
000
Atoms
(7 x 1027)

24. 24

25. I. Puljak, FESB, Split 25

26. I. Puljak, FESB, Split 26
7 x 1027
Atoms

27. Where do we come from?

28. 28

29. 29

30. 30

31. 31

33. 33

34. 34

35. 35

36. 36

37. HE IS THE STAR
BUT NOT ONLY HIM …

38. AND I DESERVE SUCH A TREATMENT!
I’M THE STAR!

39. 39

40. Where are we going?

41. 100 billion
100 billion
10 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

42. Dark energy
68%
Dark matter
27%
“Normal matter”
5%

45. Where are we going?

46. 46

47. 47

48. 48

49. 49
Collision with Andromeda
... in about 3.75 billion years

50. TIME FOR
SOME GOOD
NEWS!

51. The world in 1800

52. The world today

53. Optimism and media

62. Izvor: Eurobarometer
Are people happier?
Bulgaria, Greece, Latvia, Romania (all 13%) and Lithuania (14%), with respondents in Latvia and
Croatia the most likely to strongly disagree (both 3%).
It is worth noting that in nine countries at least one in five neither agree nor disagree.
Base: All respondents (N=28,031)
7
QA1 Please tell me to what extent you personally agree or disagree with the following statements: 1.2 In general I consider myself a
happy person
83% in EU say they are happy!

63. Are people happier?

64. Is this true?

66. If we extrapolate … in about 100 years
Hunger
Poverty
Violence
More educated
Happier
Living longer

67. Most of people agree
LIFE
DEATH
HEALTH
SICKNESS
SUSTENANCE
HUNGER
ABUDANCE
POVERTY
PEACE
WAR
SAFETY
DANGER
FREEDOM
TIRANY
EQUAL RIGHTS
DISCRIMINATION
LITERACY
ILITERACY
KNOWLEDGE
IGNORANCE
INTELIGENCE
DULL-WITTEDNESS
HAPPINESS
MISERY
ENJOYING FRIENDS, FAMILY, CULTURE
DRUDGERY, MONOTONY

68. All these things can be measured.
And all have increased over time.
It is called progress.

69. THE WORLD HAS MADE
SPECTACULAR PROGRESS IN
EVERY SINGLE MEASURE OF
HUMAN WELL-BEING

70. NOW
YOU
KNOW!

71. https://www.huffingtonpost.com/

72. UNIVERSE DOESN’T CARE ABOUT YOU!
… BUT WE DO CARE!

73. The world we live in today

75. Welcome to the AGE OF ACCELERATION!
TECHNOLOGY
GLOBALIZATION
CLIMATE
CHANGE
Thomas : Friedman: ”Thank You for Being Late: An Optimist's Guide to Thriving in the Age of Accelerations ”

76. How to live in the AGE OF ACCELERATION?

78. The most important question ever?

79. Two biggest challanges
CLIMATE CHANGES
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

80. CLIMATE CHANGES
PROBLEM IS REAL AND HUGE!

81. … but problems are solvable …
KNOWLEDGE!

82. ”Poverty is the biggest polluter.”
Indira Gandhi

83. New movement: Ecomodernism
1. Some degree of pollution is an
inescapable consequence of Second
Law of Thermodynamics
2. Industrialization has been good for
humanity.
3. Tradeoff that pits human well-being
against environmental damage can be
renegotiated by technology.

84. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

85. Artificial intelligence

86. Artificial intelligence

87. General artificial intelligence (GAI)

89. GAI

90. GAI: good or bad?
Never
TECHNO-SCEPTICSIn 300
years
In 100
years LUDDITIES
AI OPTIMISTS
DIGITAL
UTOPIANS
In 50 years
In few
decades
In few
years
VIRTUALLY NOBODY
Definitely
bad
Probably
bad
Highly
uncertain
Probably
good
Definitely
good
If superhuman AI appears, will it be a good thing?
WhenwillAIsurpasshumanlevel?
Previous, this one and next slides from - Max Tegmark: “Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence”

91. Myths vs facts
MYTHICAL WORRY ACTUAL WORRY
AI turns evil AI turning competent,
with goals misaligned with ours
AI turns conscious

92. Myths vs facts
MYTH FACTS
Robots are main concern Misaligned intelligence is
the main concern;
it needs no body,
only an internet connection.

93. Myths vs facts
MYTHICAL WORRY ACTUAL WORRY
It’s at least decades away,
but it may take that long to
make it safe
Superintelligence is just
years away

94. Hans Moravec’s “landscape of human competences”
The Flood is coming … and is inevitable

95. Tell to your kids … to choose the peaks

96. WILLIAM GIBSON
THE FUTURE
IS ALREADY HERE.
IT’S JUST NOT
EVENLY DISTRIBUTED.

97. WE ARE ALL CYBORGS!

98. Modern chess: human vs machine
1997
DEEP BLUE GARRY KASPAROV
HUMAN
OR
MACHINE

99. Human and machine

100. Centaur

101. World’s computer champion 2016
Access to centuries of human chess experience
Decades of computer experience
Calculates 70 million chess position per second
Performed only 80 000 calculations per second
Never being taught any chess strategy
Self-learning chess by playing against itself
Google machine-learning program
28
wins
0
wins
72 draws

102. AlphaZero
Utter
ignorance
In four hours
Creative
mastery

103. The trolley problem

104. The philosophical car
70% probablility
of owner to be killed

105. Configuring new car
Transforming
a theoretical problem in
the philosophy of ethics
into
a practical problem of engineering

106. … we’ll be choosing on the streets
Schumacher-Kant team
Drunk teenager

107. New medicine is here

108. Within few decades
Big Data algorithms
+
constant stream
of biometric data
Monitoring our
health 24/7
Detecting very beggining of
Influenza
Cancer
Alzheimer’s disease
…
Recommend
appropriate treatments,
custom-built just for us

109. PEOPLE WILL ENJOY
THE BEST HEALTHCARE IN HISTORY …
… AND WILL PROBABLY BE SICK ALL THE TIME

110. Continue or quit smoking?
TODAY:
Please stop smoking
because general
statistics connects
smoking with lung
cancer
TOMORROW:
Please stop smoking
because biometric
sensor just detected 17
cancerous cells in your
upper left lung
TODAY:
Well, OK, I’ll quit one day …
or maybe not
TOMORROW:
Well, OK, I’ll quit one day …
sensor forwards data to
your insurance agency
or to your mother!

111. DISCUSSIONS IN
WHICH WE SHOULD
ALL GET INOLVED

112. I. Puljak, FESB,
112
• Where do we come from? Who we are?
• Where are we going?
• Does universe has a purpose or a sense?
• Is universe created or has appeared from nothing?
• Why there is something, rather then nothing?
• Up to now we thought these are the questions for
PHILOSOPHY OR RELIGION
• But, these are the qustions about nature and they are
in domain of
SCIENCE
By Lawrance Krauss

113. From observers of nature we became
CREATORS OF NATURE

114. The right question
What will be the future?
What is the future we want?

115. I am an optimist …
… because I believe in young generation.
… in those that will inherit them.
… or even better in those they will create ☺.

116. What is certain …
The future will be
hyper-super-ultra-mega
interesting!

117. NOT ONLY PARTICIPATE
CREATE IT!