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International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET)
Volume 6, Issue 10, Oct 2015, pp. 77-96, Article ID: IJCIET_06_10_007
Available online at
http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=6&IType=10
ISSN Print: 0976-6308 and ISSN Online: 0976-6316
© IAEME Publication
IMPACTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ON
ENVIRONMENT - A REVIEW
A. Kalimuthu
Country Director, Water for People, New Delhi and Research Scholar,
Faculty of Agriculture and Animal husbandry, Gandhigram Rural Institute
(Deemed University), Gandhigram, Dindigul, TN, India
Dr. T. T. Ranganathan
Professor, Faculty of Agriculture and Animal husbandry
Gandhigram Rural Institute (Deemed University),
Gandhigram, Dindigul, TN, India
ABSTRACT
Earth’s environment is very sensitive and dynamic. Generation of
greenhouse gases more than what the nature can bear results in global
warming (climate change). A comprehensive review of impact of global
warming on the environment is presented. It will be helpful for researchers
and planners. Review stresses the urgency to check and control the
greenhouse gases emission to save the biosphere in the earth planet.
Key words: Global Warming, Climate Change, Environmental Impact
Cite this Article: A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan. Impacts of Global
Warming on Environment-A Review. International Journal of Civil
Engineering and Technology, 6(10), 2015, pp. 77-96.
http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=6&IType=10
1. INTRODUCTION
Global warming indicates an average increase in the earth’s temperature, which in
turn results in climate change. Average temperature of earth is about 590
F (150
C).
During the last century, the average temperature has risen by about 10
F. By 2100, it is
believed that the temperature rise would be between 2.5 and 100
F. Rise in temperature
will cause dramatic changes such as rise in sea level, changes in rainfall patterns, wide
range of impacts on plants, wildlife and humans.
1.1 Green house gases and green house effect
The trapping of energy from the sun by certain gases in atmosphere leading to rise in
earth’s temperature is termed as green house effect. Gases such as water vapour,
carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide and methane act as the trap. These gases absorb and
A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan
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reflect infra-red waves radiated by earth. By doing so, these gases conserve heat on
the earth crust as in green house.
Greenhouse effect has both advantage and disadvantage like a knife with two
edges. Certain minimum green house effect is required to keep environment suitable
for living. If it does not exist, earth would be cooled, and ice would cover the earth
from pole to pole. But, if it is concentrated, it could make the earth warmer than
usual. Even a little extra warming may cause problems for human, plants and animals.
1.2. Greenhouse gases
In the environment, greenhouse gases occur either i) naturally or ii) from human
activities. The most abundant greenhouse gas is Carbon dioxide and is derived from
the emission from volcanic eruption, respiration of animals, burning and decay of
organic matter such as plants. Photosynthesis by plants and ocean absorb carbon
dioxide. Human activities like burning of fossil fuel, solid wastes, wood and wood
products, driving vehicles and generating electricity increase the release of carbon
dioxide. Deforestation reduced the absorption of carbon dioxide by Photosynthesis.
Human activities have caused release of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere much faster
than absorption by natural processes. In 1750, carbon dioxide concentration was 281
molecules per million molecules of air (parts per million, ppm). Today atmospheric
carbon dioxide concentrations are 368 ppm. Increase is 31% (Mariappan, 2014)
Methane traps 20 times more heat than carbon dioxide. It is emitted during the
production and transport of coal, natural gases and oil. It is also emitted from rotting
organic waste in sand fills, by the cows as a by product of digestion. Since 1750, the
amount of methane in the atmosphere has more than doubled.
Nitrous oxide traps 300 times more heat than carbon dioxide. Burning fossil fuel
and ploughing farm release nitrous oxide. Since 1750, its level increased by 17%.
Hydrocarbons formed from the manufacture of foams, coolants such as
chlorofluorocarbons used in refrigerators. 1n 2000, scientists discovered a new
greenhouse gas called trifluoromethyl sulpur penta fluoride. It can trap more
effectively than all other greenhouse gases (Mariappan, 2014).
2. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON VARIOUS SECTORS
The impacts of climate change can be classified into six key sectors such as
Agriculture, Health, Water Resource, Forest, Coastal Ecosystem and Biodiversity.
The expected types of issues in each sector are listed in Table 1.
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Table 1 Major Sectors and Climate Change Issues
Impacts due to climate change on Type of Issues
Agriculture
High demand of water for irrigation and
inadequacy
Low crop yield and food security
Water Resource
Fresh water depletion, drought and
unavailability
Water quality deterioration
Increased conflicts for water
Health
Weather related mortality and morbidity
Infectious diseases
Reparatory Illness due to air quality
Forest
Change in forest composition
Shift in geographic range of forests
Forest health and productivity
Coastal System
Erosion of beaches
Inundate coastal lands
Higher cost to protect coastal communities
Biodiversity (Species and Natural
Areas)
Shift in ecological zones
Loss of habitat and species
Source: Presentation made by Mr. Atiq in Plan Asia Meet in Bangkok (2010)
2.1. Agriculture sector
Agriculture is the backbone of majority of the rural households and attached urban
population in developing countries like India. Hence, preparing the agricultural sector
to adapt to the negative effects of climate variabilities may be necessary to ensure
food security for the country and to protect the livelihood of rural households.
Adaptation to climate change is an effective measure at the farm level, which can
reduce climate vulnerability by making rural households and communities better able
to prepare themselves and their farming to changes and variability in climate,
avoiding projected damages and supporting them in dealing with adverse events
(IPCC, 2001).
Agriculture is inherently sensitive to climate conditions and is one of the most
vulnerable sectors to the risks and impact of global climate change (Parry et al.,
1999). The climatic variables (rainfall, temperature, humidity and evapotranspiration)
and seasonal characteristics play a significant role in the regular agricultural activities.
The agricultural sector is vulnerable to climate change physically and economically.
Due to climate change, agricultural supply will be affected, especially relative prices
of agricultural commodities and consequently reallocation of resources within the
agricultural sector, altering the structure of the economies of numerous countries and
the international trade pattern (Deke et al., 2001).
In developing countries, where production is highly rain dependent and climate
variability and change have been and continue to be the principal source of
fluctuations in global food production (Oseniet al., 2011). The agricultural sector has
several links with other sectors. Globally, agriculture sector is the largest user of
water, so any changes in water availability through precipitation, groundwater storage
and changes in evapotranspiration as the Earth’s temperature rises, will have
significant effects on water availability for agriculture activities (Hutchinson et al.,
2013). It will also have effects on the potential start of the crop cycle as well as on
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the length of the crop cycle. In addition, agriculture competes intensely for water
with the tourism, industrial and residential sectors. The availability of water resource
will be the deciding factors, for allocation of water to the agricultural sector and also
the public sector allocation of water based on perceived importance of water to each
sector in the country. The utmost rainfall variability is considered to be an important
cause of drought. The recurrent drought and its severity accelerate to increase the
vulnerability and poverty (Rakibet al., 2014).
The climate change is extremely affecting and altering the distribution, quality of
natural resources and the related livelihoods of the people. Due to change in climate,
the demand for drinking water and for irrigation is increasing and it also increases
competition and conflict among the rural, urban and the industrial users. This may
lead to sustainability crises for requirement of food, fodder and fuel wood. Change in
temperature and rainfall pattern may also alter the distribution of disease vectors
carrying malaria, dengue, diarrhoea, bird flu etc. as well as rodents and other pest
problems (Anita et al., 2012).
More and more, anthropogenic activities are having adverse impacts on the
Earth’s climate (Hutchinson et al., 2013). As a result, all countries are now trying to
take joint actions to define ways to reducing the negative impacts as well as preparing
local communities to adapt in order to cope with, or even benefit from the projected
climate change.
The review of existing climate change related study results indicates that the
effects of climate change will not be uniform across the globe (Gbetibouoet al., 2005).
Developed countries will be less affected by climate change whereas the developing
countries are the most affected from the negative consequences of global warming
and the effects of climate change are predicted to be greater, although they have
contributed relatively little to the cause of global warming.
In the changing climate scenarios, the climate risk assessment to the agricultural
ecosystems holds the key to understand future food security situations. The existing
practices of climate risk assessment are quite broad. There is a greater need for area
and crop specific assessment and these in depth assessments will help to define an
actionable framework for developing adaptation strategies at local levels.
The agricultural land is relatively more fragile and requires replenishment of
nutrients lost through crop production. This loss of nutrients from the topsoil is
compensated through animal residues (Raina et al., 2011). Also, it is evident that the
farmers using improved seeds, fertilizer, mechanization and irrigation in years with
favorable rainfall gain a good agriculture return. The improved adaptation techniques
include improved seeds like hybrid and open pollinated varieties, timely planting,
proper spacing, timely weeding and harvesting. Varying site factors like altitude,
slope direction, temperature, humidity, rainfall, availability of irrigation and distance
from the snowline or plains are the driving force for the diversification of agriculture
into various farming situations (Raina et al., 2011), the adaptation techniques should
take care of all these factors to gain a better result.
The choice of adaptation methods by farmers depends on various social, economic
and environmental factors. The study in the field of climate change coping
mechanism indicate that farmers’ awareness, investment in new heat tolerant
varieties, crop insurance, social awareness and protection programs may be some
important aspects of the adaptation to climate change (Schlenkeret al., 2010). It is
also important to have correct and apt knowledge about the type and extent of
adaptation methods being practiced by farmers and assessing the need for further
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advances in existing adaptation practices. Hence, understanding how farmers perceive
changes in climate and what factors shape their adaptive behavior, especially with
respect to various agro-ecological zones in India will be a great contribution for the
agriculture sector in the country.
2.2. Water Resources
In general, the availability of fresh water in a region (in terms of surface, sub-surface,
ground water and glaciers) is above 1700 cu.m/ capita / annum is considered as
“Satisfactory Level” and the level falls between 1000 to 1700 cu.m/ capita/ annum is
considered as “Stressed Stage” and less than 1000 cu.m/ capita/ annum is considered
as “Water Scarcity Region”. The available data around fresh water in India indicates
that the availability is drastically going down (Figure 1). The data shows that during
1955’s per capita availability of fresh water was around 5277 m3
per annum and in the
year 2000, the available scared resource has come down to 2200 m3
per annum. The
projection is that the availability will go below 1000 m3
per annum per capita in 25
years, it means, India is heading towards water scarcity.
Source: Central Water Commission (2014)
Figure 1 Availability of renewable fresh water in India
Though it is difficult to state the exact percentage, there is a significant
contribution of climate change for the changes in fresh water availability in the
country. Ever increase population growth and improved standard of living demands
high quantum of fresh water for consumption, whereas the fresh water level is keep
going down, this mismatch would result conflicts.
The fresh water demand for Agriculture sector to ensure food security for the
growing population and also demand from the Industrial sector is also further
aggravate the situation. The data on fresh water utilization indicates that nearly 90%
of the available resources are being consumed by Agriculture sector, 6 % by the
Industries and the remaining 4% is by the Domestic sector including for drinking
(Figure 2).
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Source: DDWS (2008)
Figure 2 Fresh water usage in India
There are many research / studies going on in India and aboard around the ground
water depletion, as per the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE)
Satellites data of NASA, at an average rate of 4 cm a year is being depleted in north-
western India, this works out to be 18 cu.km of water a year. Over a period of 6 years
of study indicates that the depletion was 109 cu.km
The lowering of ground water level force the community/farmers to go for deeper
aquifer to meet their fresh water needs for drinking and agriculture. The farmers
spent a huge sum to find a deep source and while go for deep aquifer, they encounter
many water quality issues as well. Presence of excess chemicals /minerals higher
than the prescribed limit by World Health Organization (WHO) /Government make
the water unfit for drinking and use for agriculture. The WHO data shows that over
exploitation of ground water necessitate to go for deeper aquifers, result a major water
quality issues such as Arsenic, Fluoride etc., over 13 million people in 4 states in
India are at risk due to arsenic contamination and 66 million people in 17 states in
India are at risk due to Fluoride contamination. The table 2 lists various water quality
issues prevailing in India.
Table 2 Water quality issues in India
Water Quality Problem Remarks
Fluoride
The population at risk is estimated to be around 66 million
in 17 states
Arsenic
The population at risk is estimated to be more than 13 million in 4
states
Iron
Around 1.5 lacks habitations spread over 16 states in the country are
found to be affected
Nitrate
Nitrate is emerging as a major problem in the States of
Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Uttar
Pradesh
Brackishness
A major problem in parts of the States of Gujarat,
Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Orissa, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil
Nadu, Haryana and Madhya Pradesh
Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review
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2.3. Temperature and Precipitation
The figure 3 indicates that there is considerable increase in the mean temperature,
particularly in the last few decades. There are considerable impacts due to rise in the
mean temperature, especially on the water related aspects. For example, increase in
temperature results more evaporation loss in the water stored in the pond/ tank/
reservoir, thus affects the prolong availability of water for irrigation. Rise in
temperature result demands more water for crop production and also for human
consumption.
Source: AR4, IPCC (2007)
Figure 3 Projected global mean temperature rise
The rise in temperature and precipitation will result in many outbreaks of diseases.
Also, increate in temperature will force the living organism to shift or move and also
extinct. The figure 4 depicts the increase and decrease Annual Mean Temperature
across the country for a period of 60 years from 1951 to 2010.
Source: Indian Meteorological Department (2013)
Figure 4 Annual mean temperature trend in India for 1951 - 2010
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Figures 5 and 6 clearly indicate that the number of hot and rainy days will go up
in various regions globally and it would lead to many issues to the human being. It is
essential to validate these changes in temperature and rainy days projection for local
level to work out an area specific mitigation and coping strategy. There should
detailed strategies to facilitate the vulnerable communities and marginal farmers to
adapt to the changes such as increased number or hot days or number of heavy rainy
days to cope with the change in climate conditions. The 60 years annual rainfall trend
(1951-2010) given the map by IMD indicates that there is an increase and decrease of
rainfall trend across the country and a few locations the trend the very significant at
95%.
Source: AR4, IPCC (2007)
Figure 5 Projected numbers of hot days due to climate change
Figure 6 Projected numbers of rainy days due to climate change
Also, analysis of for the past 100 years average rainfall data of India, especially
three and five years moving average reveals that there is mild shift the quantum of
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rainfall received and in the one decade, the data is almost equal to average annual
rainfall and number of rainy years over the average is reducing compared to the past
(Figure 8). The data from 1916 to 1964 and 1965 to 2000 indicates that number of
rainy year over the national average is reduced in the later segment. It is a clear
indication that there is change in the rainfall patter in India. The same is confirmed
the analysis and annual rainfall trend released by IMD for a period of 60 years from
1951 to 2010.
Source: Indian Meteorological Department (2012)
Figure 7 Average annual rainfall moving average of India
Source: Indian Meteorological Department (2013)
Figure 8 Annual rainfall trend for 1951 - 2010
0
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Rainfallinmm
100 Years Rainfall and Moving Average Trend
Annual Rainfall Annual Average Rainfall 3 Years Moving Average 5 years moving Average
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2.4. Health
The change in climate threatens health and well-being of human being in multiple
ways, including through more extreme weather events, wildfires and decreased air
quality, diseases transmitted by insects, food and water. Climate change impacts on
human health can be divided into direct and indirect effects. The extreme events such
as droughts, flood, heat waves, wind storms, might case direct health issues and
indirect effects may arise from the disruption of natural systems, causing infectious
disease, malnutrition, food and water borne illness, and increased air pollution.
Increases in heat waves will increase the number of deaths and illnesses occurring
from heat stress, heatstroke, cardiovascular disease and kidney disease. Increases in
temperature and rainfall are expected to contribute to increased outbreaks of cholera,
diarrhoea, salmonella, campylobacter, enteric infections, and rotavirus.
Climate change would aggravate over the next few decades include heat stress,
vector borne diseases (such as malaria, dengue fever and yellow fever); extreme
weather events; air pollution; communicable diseases (such as HIV/AIDS, TB and
cholera) and non-communicable diseases (such as cardio-vascular and respiratory
diseases). Climate change could also have deleterious effects on mental and
occupational health, and its adverse impacts would be worsened by food insecurity,
hunger and malnutrition.
Sea level rise is already putting low-lying coastal populations at risk, and intense
rainfall events are projected to increase with climate change. This increases the risk of
flooding, which can introduce chemicals, pesticides, and heavy metals into water
systems and increase the risk of water-borne disease outbreak. Droughts, which are
expected to become more common, can destroy crops and grazing land, reduce the
quantity and quality of water resources, and increase risk of fire.
As per IPCC report, these impacts of climate change on human health and social
wellbeing are varied and occur through many different pathways. Among the key
risks are:
 Death, injury, ill-health or disrupted livelihoods in low-lying coastal zones and island
states
 Breakdown of infrastructure networks and critical services such as electricity, water
supply, and health and emergency services
 Higher mortality and morbidity during periods of extreme heat and
 Food insecurity and the breakdown of food systems, particularly for poorer
populations.
Some the above mentioned extreme weather related health issues can be
summarized in table 6.
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Table 6 Diseases projection due to climate change
Floods and storms Drought Fire
Increased or decreased vector (e.g.
mosquito) abundance (e.g. if
breeding sites are washed away).
Increased risk of respiratory and
diarrhoeal diseases.
Drowning
Injuries
Health effects associated with
population displacement.
Impacts on Food supply
Mental Health Impacts
Changes in abundance of
vectors that breeds in dried up
river beds.
Food shortage
Illness
Malnutrition
Increased risk of infections
Death (starvation)
Health impacts associated with
population displacement
Burns and smoke
inhalation
Soil erosion and increased
risks of land slides
Increased mortality and
morbidity
Increased risk of hospital
and emergency
admissions
Source: www.sanbi.org/climatechangefactsheet(2013)
2.5. Forest
Forests play a critical role in maintaining a varied range of delicate relationships with
nature and its ecosystems. Forests are highly sensitive to climate change. Climate is
one of the most important determinants of vegetation patterns globally and thus
climate change can significantly alter the distribution, structure and ecology of
forests. Forest type distribution, carbon stocks or emissions and climate change are
interlinked processes. Impacts on the wellbeing of forests likely to be caused by
climate change will therefore have a dramatic effect. According to the latest
projections by UNEP (2015), changes in climate will mean that by 2050 the world’s
ecosystems, including its all-important forests, will be releasing more carbon than
they are capable of absorbing. Increase in temperatures might force many living
organisms to migrate to cooler areas, while new organisms arrive. Such movements
involve all species, including plants. Various studies have noted that a number of bird,
tree, scrub and herb species have migrated by an average of six kilometres every ten
years, or have sought higher altitudes of between one and four metres (Parmesan et
al.,2003).
The present environmental situation is heavily influenced by climate change and it
could lead to a massive destruction of forests and the extinction of countless species.
For example, modeling focusing on the Amazon region has indicated that 43 per cent
of 193 representative plant species could become non-viable by the year 2095 due to
the fact that changes in climate will have fundamentally altered the composition of
species habitats (UNEP/Miles et al. 2004).
Changes in the growth and regeneration capacity of many tree species can be
possible, even a mild increases of as little as 1°C in mean annual air temperature.
This mild increase in air temperature can significantly alter the function and
composition of forests and also possibly can cause forest cover to disappear
completely. Since the forest is water dependent, either the extreme drought or water
logging will force the forest cover decline. The changes in the temperature and
rainfall might influence the change in soil water availability; as a result tropical
forests existence and survival become an issue. Decreases in soil moisture may
accelerate forest loss in many areas where water availability is already marginal. In
other areas, increasing precipitation may be more than adequate to meet increased
evaporative demand and may even lead to erosion.
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Forests are particularly sensitive to climate change, because the long life-span of
trees does not allow for rapid adaptation to environmental changes. Adaptation
measures for forestry need to be planned well in advance of expected changes in
growing conditions because the forests regenerated today will have to cope with the
future climate conditions of at least several decades, often even more than 100 years
(Marcus et al.,2008).
2.6. Coastal Area
Worldwide, the human activities are transforming natural ecosystems. Certain
ecosystem types are being lost, while completely new ones are emerging in their place
(Ellis et al., 2008). “Emerging” or “novel” ecosystems have two key characteristics
(Hobbs et al., 2006): (1) they contain new combinations of species, which can change
how the ecosystem functions and (2) they result from human activities but
nevertheless can persist without continued intervention by humans. Novel ecosystems
often differ considerably from either wild or intensively managed systems, for
example in fishery production, shoreline erosion control and maintenance of water
quality.
Gradual changes in environmental conditions such as water temperature do not
necessarily produce gradual responses in the ecosystem - a small change can cross a
“tipping point”, producing a sudden or large shift in the system. Such non-linear
responses to a stressor can occur either because (1) the change pushes a key species
over a threshold in its physiological tolerances or (2) the stressor affects species
differently and disrupts the complex interactions among them. Such complex
relationships in ecosystems mean that a change is often difficult to reverse once it has
occurred. A classic example involves submerged vegetation. Loss of sea grasses due
to nutrient pollution destabilizes the underlying sediment and allows it to be mixed up
into the water column. This suspended sediment in turn reduces light and interferes
with reestablishment of grasses, even if nutrient loading is reduced well below its
original level (Schefferet al.,2001).
The review of IPCC document on Coastal system and low lying areas indicates
that Coasts are highly vulnerable to extreme events, such as storms. Annually, about
120 million people are exposed to tropical cyclone hazards, which killed 250,000
people from 1980 to 2000. Through the 20th century, global rise of sea level
contributed to increased coastal inundation, erosion and ecosystem losses, but with
considerable local and regional variation due to other factors. Anticipated climate
related changes include:
 An accelerated rise in sea level of up to 0.6 m or more by 2100 (Fig.1.9)
 A further rise in sea surface temperatures by up to 3°C. Increases in sea surface
temperature of about 1 to 3°C are projected to result in more frequent coral bleaching
events and widespread mortality, unless there is thermal adaptation or acclimatization
by corals
 An intensification of tropical and extra-tropical cyclones; larger extreme waves and
storm surges and
 Altered precipitation/run-off and ocean acidification.
Degradation of coastal ecosystems, especially wetlands and coral reefs, has
serious implications for the wellbeing of societies dependent on the coastal
ecosystems for goods and services. Increased flooding and the degradation of
freshwater, fisheries and other resources could impact hundreds of millions of people,
and socio-economic costs on coasts will escalate as a result of climate change.
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Source: AR4, IPCC (2007)
Figure 9 Expected global mean sea level raise
As per EPA, one of the most obvious effects of climate change on human made
structures is sea level rise, which causes destruction through erosion and the intrusion
of salt water into the water table. According to the IPCC (2001) and (Church et al.,
2001), it is very likely that warming will contribute significantly to future sea level
rise, through thermal expansion of sea water and widespread loss of land ice. Human
habitat could be affected significantly, as nearly 20 per cent of the world’s population
lives within 30 km of the sea, and approximately 40 per cent live within 100 km of the
coast (Cohen et al., 1997 and Gommeset al., 1998). As indicated by Nurse et al.
(2001), low-lying coastal regions and islands in particular are the most vulnerable to
rising seas. The problem may be even more severe in the future as coastal populations
worldwide expand. The major effects of a rise in sea level are the loss of land due to
inundation and erosion, increased flooding during storm surges and rainstorms, and
the intrusion of saltwater into aquifers, estuaries and wetlands (Tituset al., 1993).
Coastal ecosystems are of vital socio-economic and ecological importance to humans.
A 1997 study estimated the total value of ecosystem services provided by coastal
marine habitats to be in excess of 14 trillion U.S. dollars per year: over 40% of the
world’s total (Robert et al., (1997). Therefore, understanding the future of coastal
ecosystems has major implications for human society.
2.7. Biodiversity
Biological diversity deals with the degree of nature’s variety in the biosphere.
Biological diversity or biodiversity, encompasses the variety of all life on earth.
Biodiversity manifests itself at three levels: Species diversity which refers to the
numbers and kinds of living organisms. Genetic diversity refers to genetic variation
within species and ecosystem diversity which denotes the variety of habitats,
biological communities and ecological processes (MoE&F, GoI). During the last
century, population growth, market pressures and new technological development in
agriculture have influenced the pattern of agricultural development tending towards
agriculture intensification, (i.e. increasing scales of monoculture production, intensive
mechanical tillage, irrigation and the use of synthetic fertilizer, pest control agents and
a restricted diversity of crop and livestock varieties), often leading to natural
resources degradation. Biodiversity losses can be attributed to the resource demands
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of our rapidly growing human population. In modern times, the human population has
increased from about one billion in 1900 to almost six billion today. Like other living
beings, we use natural resources to survive, but we are far more resourceful and
destructive to other life-forms than any species previously known.
Climate change, on account of a buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere
leading to global warming, poses significant threat to biodiversity, ecosystems, and
the goods and services they provide. There are indications that the projected changes
in temperature and CO2 concentration may alter growth, reproduction and host-
pathogen relationships in both plants and animals.
The multiple components of climate change are anticipated to affect all the levels
of biodiversity. A study of 9650 inter specific systems, including pollinators and
parasites, suggested that around 6300 species could disappear following the extinction
of their associated species (Kohet al., 2004). In addition, for many species, the
primary impact of climate change may be mediated through effects on synchrony with
species food and habitat requirements. Climate change has led to phenological shifts
in flowering plants and insect pollinators, causing mismatches between plant and
pollinator populations that lead to the extinctions of both the plant and the pollinator
with expected consequences on the structure of plant–pollinator networks (Rafferty, et
al., 2010).
Review of IPCC report on climate change and biodiversity reveals that at Global
level, the human activities have caused and continue to cause a loss in biodiversity
through land use, soil and water pollution, degradation/desertification, air pollution,
habitat fragmentation, exploitation of species and introduction of non- native species
etc. Increase in land and ocean surface temperature, changes in the spatial and
temporal patterns of precipitation, rise in sea level etc. are affecting the timing of
reproduction of animals and plants, migration of animals, length of growing season,
species distribution and the frequency of pest and disease outbreaks. Also, climate
change is projected to affect individual organisms, population, species distributions,
and ecosystem composition and function both directly and indirectly. Varies climate
related changes will disturb and increase the rate of species loss and create
opportunities for the establishment of new species. The impact of sea level rise on
coastal ecosystem will vary regionally and will depend on the erosion processes from
the sea and depositional processes from the land. Hence, climate change impacts on
the biodiversity are expected to be huge.
3. SUMMARY
It is evident that impacts of climate change are cutting across all major sectors,
especially agriculture, water resource, health, forest, coastal ecosystem and
biodiversity. Also, the review of existing climate change related studies, literature,
future projection, mitigation, adaptive techniques are indicating that the existing facts
and figures are still limited and these learning cannot be applied universally, in order
to plan a realistic adaptive measures to cope with the changing climate, location and
issue based in depth studies are essential. Also, it is very clear that out of all sectors,
agriculture going to be affected very severally, especially preparing small and
marginal farmers to undertake a realistic adaptive measure is very critical in order to
keep them active in the business of agriculture to ensure food security of the global
population.
Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review
http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 91 editor@iaeme.com
Two major ways are there to control global warming.
 Carbon sequestration (keeping the carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere).
 Reduce production of greenhouse gases (Alternate sources of energy).
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Ijciet 06 10_007

  • 1. http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 77 editor@iaeme.com International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET) Volume 6, Issue 10, Oct 2015, pp. 77-96, Article ID: IJCIET_06_10_007 Available online at http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=6&IType=10 ISSN Print: 0976-6308 and ISSN Online: 0976-6316 © IAEME Publication IMPACTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ON ENVIRONMENT - A REVIEW A. Kalimuthu Country Director, Water for People, New Delhi and Research Scholar, Faculty of Agriculture and Animal husbandry, Gandhigram Rural Institute (Deemed University), Gandhigram, Dindigul, TN, India Dr. T. T. Ranganathan Professor, Faculty of Agriculture and Animal husbandry Gandhigram Rural Institute (Deemed University), Gandhigram, Dindigul, TN, India ABSTRACT Earth’s environment is very sensitive and dynamic. Generation of greenhouse gases more than what the nature can bear results in global warming (climate change). A comprehensive review of impact of global warming on the environment is presented. It will be helpful for researchers and planners. Review stresses the urgency to check and control the greenhouse gases emission to save the biosphere in the earth planet. Key words: Global Warming, Climate Change, Environmental Impact Cite this Article: A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment-A Review. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology, 6(10), 2015, pp. 77-96. http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=6&IType=10 1. INTRODUCTION Global warming indicates an average increase in the earth’s temperature, which in turn results in climate change. Average temperature of earth is about 590 F (150 C). During the last century, the average temperature has risen by about 10 F. By 2100, it is believed that the temperature rise would be between 2.5 and 100 F. Rise in temperature will cause dramatic changes such as rise in sea level, changes in rainfall patterns, wide range of impacts on plants, wildlife and humans. 1.1 Green house gases and green house effect The trapping of energy from the sun by certain gases in atmosphere leading to rise in earth’s temperature is termed as green house effect. Gases such as water vapour, carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide and methane act as the trap. These gases absorb and
  • 2. A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 78 editor@iaeme.com reflect infra-red waves radiated by earth. By doing so, these gases conserve heat on the earth crust as in green house. Greenhouse effect has both advantage and disadvantage like a knife with two edges. Certain minimum green house effect is required to keep environment suitable for living. If it does not exist, earth would be cooled, and ice would cover the earth from pole to pole. But, if it is concentrated, it could make the earth warmer than usual. Even a little extra warming may cause problems for human, plants and animals. 1.2. Greenhouse gases In the environment, greenhouse gases occur either i) naturally or ii) from human activities. The most abundant greenhouse gas is Carbon dioxide and is derived from the emission from volcanic eruption, respiration of animals, burning and decay of organic matter such as plants. Photosynthesis by plants and ocean absorb carbon dioxide. Human activities like burning of fossil fuel, solid wastes, wood and wood products, driving vehicles and generating electricity increase the release of carbon dioxide. Deforestation reduced the absorption of carbon dioxide by Photosynthesis. Human activities have caused release of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere much faster than absorption by natural processes. In 1750, carbon dioxide concentration was 281 molecules per million molecules of air (parts per million, ppm). Today atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations are 368 ppm. Increase is 31% (Mariappan, 2014) Methane traps 20 times more heat than carbon dioxide. It is emitted during the production and transport of coal, natural gases and oil. It is also emitted from rotting organic waste in sand fills, by the cows as a by product of digestion. Since 1750, the amount of methane in the atmosphere has more than doubled. Nitrous oxide traps 300 times more heat than carbon dioxide. Burning fossil fuel and ploughing farm release nitrous oxide. Since 1750, its level increased by 17%. Hydrocarbons formed from the manufacture of foams, coolants such as chlorofluorocarbons used in refrigerators. 1n 2000, scientists discovered a new greenhouse gas called trifluoromethyl sulpur penta fluoride. It can trap more effectively than all other greenhouse gases (Mariappan, 2014). 2. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON VARIOUS SECTORS The impacts of climate change can be classified into six key sectors such as Agriculture, Health, Water Resource, Forest, Coastal Ecosystem and Biodiversity. The expected types of issues in each sector are listed in Table 1.
  • 3. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 79 editor@iaeme.com Table 1 Major Sectors and Climate Change Issues Impacts due to climate change on Type of Issues Agriculture High demand of water for irrigation and inadequacy Low crop yield and food security Water Resource Fresh water depletion, drought and unavailability Water quality deterioration Increased conflicts for water Health Weather related mortality and morbidity Infectious diseases Reparatory Illness due to air quality Forest Change in forest composition Shift in geographic range of forests Forest health and productivity Coastal System Erosion of beaches Inundate coastal lands Higher cost to protect coastal communities Biodiversity (Species and Natural Areas) Shift in ecological zones Loss of habitat and species Source: Presentation made by Mr. Atiq in Plan Asia Meet in Bangkok (2010) 2.1. Agriculture sector Agriculture is the backbone of majority of the rural households and attached urban population in developing countries like India. Hence, preparing the agricultural sector to adapt to the negative effects of climate variabilities may be necessary to ensure food security for the country and to protect the livelihood of rural households. Adaptation to climate change is an effective measure at the farm level, which can reduce climate vulnerability by making rural households and communities better able to prepare themselves and their farming to changes and variability in climate, avoiding projected damages and supporting them in dealing with adverse events (IPCC, 2001). Agriculture is inherently sensitive to climate conditions and is one of the most vulnerable sectors to the risks and impact of global climate change (Parry et al., 1999). The climatic variables (rainfall, temperature, humidity and evapotranspiration) and seasonal characteristics play a significant role in the regular agricultural activities. The agricultural sector is vulnerable to climate change physically and economically. Due to climate change, agricultural supply will be affected, especially relative prices of agricultural commodities and consequently reallocation of resources within the agricultural sector, altering the structure of the economies of numerous countries and the international trade pattern (Deke et al., 2001). In developing countries, where production is highly rain dependent and climate variability and change have been and continue to be the principal source of fluctuations in global food production (Oseniet al., 2011). The agricultural sector has several links with other sectors. Globally, agriculture sector is the largest user of water, so any changes in water availability through precipitation, groundwater storage and changes in evapotranspiration as the Earth’s temperature rises, will have significant effects on water availability for agriculture activities (Hutchinson et al., 2013). It will also have effects on the potential start of the crop cycle as well as on
  • 4. A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 80 editor@iaeme.com the length of the crop cycle. In addition, agriculture competes intensely for water with the tourism, industrial and residential sectors. The availability of water resource will be the deciding factors, for allocation of water to the agricultural sector and also the public sector allocation of water based on perceived importance of water to each sector in the country. The utmost rainfall variability is considered to be an important cause of drought. The recurrent drought and its severity accelerate to increase the vulnerability and poverty (Rakibet al., 2014). The climate change is extremely affecting and altering the distribution, quality of natural resources and the related livelihoods of the people. Due to change in climate, the demand for drinking water and for irrigation is increasing and it also increases competition and conflict among the rural, urban and the industrial users. This may lead to sustainability crises for requirement of food, fodder and fuel wood. Change in temperature and rainfall pattern may also alter the distribution of disease vectors carrying malaria, dengue, diarrhoea, bird flu etc. as well as rodents and other pest problems (Anita et al., 2012). More and more, anthropogenic activities are having adverse impacts on the Earth’s climate (Hutchinson et al., 2013). As a result, all countries are now trying to take joint actions to define ways to reducing the negative impacts as well as preparing local communities to adapt in order to cope with, or even benefit from the projected climate change. The review of existing climate change related study results indicates that the effects of climate change will not be uniform across the globe (Gbetibouoet al., 2005). Developed countries will be less affected by climate change whereas the developing countries are the most affected from the negative consequences of global warming and the effects of climate change are predicted to be greater, although they have contributed relatively little to the cause of global warming. In the changing climate scenarios, the climate risk assessment to the agricultural ecosystems holds the key to understand future food security situations. The existing practices of climate risk assessment are quite broad. There is a greater need for area and crop specific assessment and these in depth assessments will help to define an actionable framework for developing adaptation strategies at local levels. The agricultural land is relatively more fragile and requires replenishment of nutrients lost through crop production. This loss of nutrients from the topsoil is compensated through animal residues (Raina et al., 2011). Also, it is evident that the farmers using improved seeds, fertilizer, mechanization and irrigation in years with favorable rainfall gain a good agriculture return. The improved adaptation techniques include improved seeds like hybrid and open pollinated varieties, timely planting, proper spacing, timely weeding and harvesting. Varying site factors like altitude, slope direction, temperature, humidity, rainfall, availability of irrigation and distance from the snowline or plains are the driving force for the diversification of agriculture into various farming situations (Raina et al., 2011), the adaptation techniques should take care of all these factors to gain a better result. The choice of adaptation methods by farmers depends on various social, economic and environmental factors. The study in the field of climate change coping mechanism indicate that farmers’ awareness, investment in new heat tolerant varieties, crop insurance, social awareness and protection programs may be some important aspects of the adaptation to climate change (Schlenkeret al., 2010). It is also important to have correct and apt knowledge about the type and extent of adaptation methods being practiced by farmers and assessing the need for further
  • 5. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 81 editor@iaeme.com advances in existing adaptation practices. Hence, understanding how farmers perceive changes in climate and what factors shape their adaptive behavior, especially with respect to various agro-ecological zones in India will be a great contribution for the agriculture sector in the country. 2.2. Water Resources In general, the availability of fresh water in a region (in terms of surface, sub-surface, ground water and glaciers) is above 1700 cu.m/ capita / annum is considered as “Satisfactory Level” and the level falls between 1000 to 1700 cu.m/ capita/ annum is considered as “Stressed Stage” and less than 1000 cu.m/ capita/ annum is considered as “Water Scarcity Region”. The available data around fresh water in India indicates that the availability is drastically going down (Figure 1). The data shows that during 1955’s per capita availability of fresh water was around 5277 m3 per annum and in the year 2000, the available scared resource has come down to 2200 m3 per annum. The projection is that the availability will go below 1000 m3 per annum per capita in 25 years, it means, India is heading towards water scarcity. Source: Central Water Commission (2014) Figure 1 Availability of renewable fresh water in India Though it is difficult to state the exact percentage, there is a significant contribution of climate change for the changes in fresh water availability in the country. Ever increase population growth and improved standard of living demands high quantum of fresh water for consumption, whereas the fresh water level is keep going down, this mismatch would result conflicts. The fresh water demand for Agriculture sector to ensure food security for the growing population and also demand from the Industrial sector is also further aggravate the situation. The data on fresh water utilization indicates that nearly 90% of the available resources are being consumed by Agriculture sector, 6 % by the Industries and the remaining 4% is by the Domestic sector including for drinking (Figure 2).
  • 6. A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 82 editor@iaeme.com Source: DDWS (2008) Figure 2 Fresh water usage in India There are many research / studies going on in India and aboard around the ground water depletion, as per the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) Satellites data of NASA, at an average rate of 4 cm a year is being depleted in north- western India, this works out to be 18 cu.km of water a year. Over a period of 6 years of study indicates that the depletion was 109 cu.km The lowering of ground water level force the community/farmers to go for deeper aquifer to meet their fresh water needs for drinking and agriculture. The farmers spent a huge sum to find a deep source and while go for deep aquifer, they encounter many water quality issues as well. Presence of excess chemicals /minerals higher than the prescribed limit by World Health Organization (WHO) /Government make the water unfit for drinking and use for agriculture. The WHO data shows that over exploitation of ground water necessitate to go for deeper aquifers, result a major water quality issues such as Arsenic, Fluoride etc., over 13 million people in 4 states in India are at risk due to arsenic contamination and 66 million people in 17 states in India are at risk due to Fluoride contamination. The table 2 lists various water quality issues prevailing in India. Table 2 Water quality issues in India Water Quality Problem Remarks Fluoride The population at risk is estimated to be around 66 million in 17 states Arsenic The population at risk is estimated to be more than 13 million in 4 states Iron Around 1.5 lacks habitations spread over 16 states in the country are found to be affected Nitrate Nitrate is emerging as a major problem in the States of Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Uttar Pradesh Brackishness A major problem in parts of the States of Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Orissa, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Haryana and Madhya Pradesh
  • 7. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 83 editor@iaeme.com 2.3. Temperature and Precipitation The figure 3 indicates that there is considerable increase in the mean temperature, particularly in the last few decades. There are considerable impacts due to rise in the mean temperature, especially on the water related aspects. For example, increase in temperature results more evaporation loss in the water stored in the pond/ tank/ reservoir, thus affects the prolong availability of water for irrigation. Rise in temperature result demands more water for crop production and also for human consumption. Source: AR4, IPCC (2007) Figure 3 Projected global mean temperature rise The rise in temperature and precipitation will result in many outbreaks of diseases. Also, increate in temperature will force the living organism to shift or move and also extinct. The figure 4 depicts the increase and decrease Annual Mean Temperature across the country for a period of 60 years from 1951 to 2010. Source: Indian Meteorological Department (2013) Figure 4 Annual mean temperature trend in India for 1951 - 2010
  • 8. A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 84 editor@iaeme.com Figures 5 and 6 clearly indicate that the number of hot and rainy days will go up in various regions globally and it would lead to many issues to the human being. It is essential to validate these changes in temperature and rainy days projection for local level to work out an area specific mitigation and coping strategy. There should detailed strategies to facilitate the vulnerable communities and marginal farmers to adapt to the changes such as increased number or hot days or number of heavy rainy days to cope with the change in climate conditions. The 60 years annual rainfall trend (1951-2010) given the map by IMD indicates that there is an increase and decrease of rainfall trend across the country and a few locations the trend the very significant at 95%. Source: AR4, IPCC (2007) Figure 5 Projected numbers of hot days due to climate change Figure 6 Projected numbers of rainy days due to climate change Also, analysis of for the past 100 years average rainfall data of India, especially three and five years moving average reveals that there is mild shift the quantum of
  • 9. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 85 editor@iaeme.com rainfall received and in the one decade, the data is almost equal to average annual rainfall and number of rainy years over the average is reducing compared to the past (Figure 8). The data from 1916 to 1964 and 1965 to 2000 indicates that number of rainy year over the national average is reduced in the later segment. It is a clear indication that there is change in the rainfall patter in India. The same is confirmed the analysis and annual rainfall trend released by IMD for a period of 60 years from 1951 to 2010. Source: Indian Meteorological Department (2012) Figure 7 Average annual rainfall moving average of India Source: Indian Meteorological Department (2013) Figure 8 Annual rainfall trend for 1951 - 2010 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1901 1904 1907 1910 1913 1916 1919 1922 1925 1928 1931 1934 1937 1940 1943 1946 1949 1952 1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 Rainfallinmm 100 Years Rainfall and Moving Average Trend Annual Rainfall Annual Average Rainfall 3 Years Moving Average 5 years moving Average
  • 10. A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 86 editor@iaeme.com 2.4. Health The change in climate threatens health and well-being of human being in multiple ways, including through more extreme weather events, wildfires and decreased air quality, diseases transmitted by insects, food and water. Climate change impacts on human health can be divided into direct and indirect effects. The extreme events such as droughts, flood, heat waves, wind storms, might case direct health issues and indirect effects may arise from the disruption of natural systems, causing infectious disease, malnutrition, food and water borne illness, and increased air pollution. Increases in heat waves will increase the number of deaths and illnesses occurring from heat stress, heatstroke, cardiovascular disease and kidney disease. Increases in temperature and rainfall are expected to contribute to increased outbreaks of cholera, diarrhoea, salmonella, campylobacter, enteric infections, and rotavirus. Climate change would aggravate over the next few decades include heat stress, vector borne diseases (such as malaria, dengue fever and yellow fever); extreme weather events; air pollution; communicable diseases (such as HIV/AIDS, TB and cholera) and non-communicable diseases (such as cardio-vascular and respiratory diseases). Climate change could also have deleterious effects on mental and occupational health, and its adverse impacts would be worsened by food insecurity, hunger and malnutrition. Sea level rise is already putting low-lying coastal populations at risk, and intense rainfall events are projected to increase with climate change. This increases the risk of flooding, which can introduce chemicals, pesticides, and heavy metals into water systems and increase the risk of water-borne disease outbreak. Droughts, which are expected to become more common, can destroy crops and grazing land, reduce the quantity and quality of water resources, and increase risk of fire. As per IPCC report, these impacts of climate change on human health and social wellbeing are varied and occur through many different pathways. Among the key risks are:  Death, injury, ill-health or disrupted livelihoods in low-lying coastal zones and island states  Breakdown of infrastructure networks and critical services such as electricity, water supply, and health and emergency services  Higher mortality and morbidity during periods of extreme heat and  Food insecurity and the breakdown of food systems, particularly for poorer populations. Some the above mentioned extreme weather related health issues can be summarized in table 6.
  • 11. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 87 editor@iaeme.com Table 6 Diseases projection due to climate change Floods and storms Drought Fire Increased or decreased vector (e.g. mosquito) abundance (e.g. if breeding sites are washed away). Increased risk of respiratory and diarrhoeal diseases. Drowning Injuries Health effects associated with population displacement. Impacts on Food supply Mental Health Impacts Changes in abundance of vectors that breeds in dried up river beds. Food shortage Illness Malnutrition Increased risk of infections Death (starvation) Health impacts associated with population displacement Burns and smoke inhalation Soil erosion and increased risks of land slides Increased mortality and morbidity Increased risk of hospital and emergency admissions Source: www.sanbi.org/climatechangefactsheet(2013) 2.5. Forest Forests play a critical role in maintaining a varied range of delicate relationships with nature and its ecosystems. Forests are highly sensitive to climate change. Climate is one of the most important determinants of vegetation patterns globally and thus climate change can significantly alter the distribution, structure and ecology of forests. Forest type distribution, carbon stocks or emissions and climate change are interlinked processes. Impacts on the wellbeing of forests likely to be caused by climate change will therefore have a dramatic effect. According to the latest projections by UNEP (2015), changes in climate will mean that by 2050 the world’s ecosystems, including its all-important forests, will be releasing more carbon than they are capable of absorbing. Increase in temperatures might force many living organisms to migrate to cooler areas, while new organisms arrive. Such movements involve all species, including plants. Various studies have noted that a number of bird, tree, scrub and herb species have migrated by an average of six kilometres every ten years, or have sought higher altitudes of between one and four metres (Parmesan et al.,2003). The present environmental situation is heavily influenced by climate change and it could lead to a massive destruction of forests and the extinction of countless species. For example, modeling focusing on the Amazon region has indicated that 43 per cent of 193 representative plant species could become non-viable by the year 2095 due to the fact that changes in climate will have fundamentally altered the composition of species habitats (UNEP/Miles et al. 2004). Changes in the growth and regeneration capacity of many tree species can be possible, even a mild increases of as little as 1°C in mean annual air temperature. This mild increase in air temperature can significantly alter the function and composition of forests and also possibly can cause forest cover to disappear completely. Since the forest is water dependent, either the extreme drought or water logging will force the forest cover decline. The changes in the temperature and rainfall might influence the change in soil water availability; as a result tropical forests existence and survival become an issue. Decreases in soil moisture may accelerate forest loss in many areas where water availability is already marginal. In other areas, increasing precipitation may be more than adequate to meet increased evaporative demand and may even lead to erosion.
  • 12. A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 88 editor@iaeme.com Forests are particularly sensitive to climate change, because the long life-span of trees does not allow for rapid adaptation to environmental changes. Adaptation measures for forestry need to be planned well in advance of expected changes in growing conditions because the forests regenerated today will have to cope with the future climate conditions of at least several decades, often even more than 100 years (Marcus et al.,2008). 2.6. Coastal Area Worldwide, the human activities are transforming natural ecosystems. Certain ecosystem types are being lost, while completely new ones are emerging in their place (Ellis et al., 2008). “Emerging” or “novel” ecosystems have two key characteristics (Hobbs et al., 2006): (1) they contain new combinations of species, which can change how the ecosystem functions and (2) they result from human activities but nevertheless can persist without continued intervention by humans. Novel ecosystems often differ considerably from either wild or intensively managed systems, for example in fishery production, shoreline erosion control and maintenance of water quality. Gradual changes in environmental conditions such as water temperature do not necessarily produce gradual responses in the ecosystem - a small change can cross a “tipping point”, producing a sudden or large shift in the system. Such non-linear responses to a stressor can occur either because (1) the change pushes a key species over a threshold in its physiological tolerances or (2) the stressor affects species differently and disrupts the complex interactions among them. Such complex relationships in ecosystems mean that a change is often difficult to reverse once it has occurred. A classic example involves submerged vegetation. Loss of sea grasses due to nutrient pollution destabilizes the underlying sediment and allows it to be mixed up into the water column. This suspended sediment in turn reduces light and interferes with reestablishment of grasses, even if nutrient loading is reduced well below its original level (Schefferet al.,2001). The review of IPCC document on Coastal system and low lying areas indicates that Coasts are highly vulnerable to extreme events, such as storms. Annually, about 120 million people are exposed to tropical cyclone hazards, which killed 250,000 people from 1980 to 2000. Through the 20th century, global rise of sea level contributed to increased coastal inundation, erosion and ecosystem losses, but with considerable local and regional variation due to other factors. Anticipated climate related changes include:  An accelerated rise in sea level of up to 0.6 m or more by 2100 (Fig.1.9)  A further rise in sea surface temperatures by up to 3°C. Increases in sea surface temperature of about 1 to 3°C are projected to result in more frequent coral bleaching events and widespread mortality, unless there is thermal adaptation or acclimatization by corals  An intensification of tropical and extra-tropical cyclones; larger extreme waves and storm surges and  Altered precipitation/run-off and ocean acidification. Degradation of coastal ecosystems, especially wetlands and coral reefs, has serious implications for the wellbeing of societies dependent on the coastal ecosystems for goods and services. Increased flooding and the degradation of freshwater, fisheries and other resources could impact hundreds of millions of people, and socio-economic costs on coasts will escalate as a result of climate change.
  • 13. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 89 editor@iaeme.com Source: AR4, IPCC (2007) Figure 9 Expected global mean sea level raise As per EPA, one of the most obvious effects of climate change on human made structures is sea level rise, which causes destruction through erosion and the intrusion of salt water into the water table. According to the IPCC (2001) and (Church et al., 2001), it is very likely that warming will contribute significantly to future sea level rise, through thermal expansion of sea water and widespread loss of land ice. Human habitat could be affected significantly, as nearly 20 per cent of the world’s population lives within 30 km of the sea, and approximately 40 per cent live within 100 km of the coast (Cohen et al., 1997 and Gommeset al., 1998). As indicated by Nurse et al. (2001), low-lying coastal regions and islands in particular are the most vulnerable to rising seas. The problem may be even more severe in the future as coastal populations worldwide expand. The major effects of a rise in sea level are the loss of land due to inundation and erosion, increased flooding during storm surges and rainstorms, and the intrusion of saltwater into aquifers, estuaries and wetlands (Tituset al., 1993). Coastal ecosystems are of vital socio-economic and ecological importance to humans. A 1997 study estimated the total value of ecosystem services provided by coastal marine habitats to be in excess of 14 trillion U.S. dollars per year: over 40% of the world’s total (Robert et al., (1997). Therefore, understanding the future of coastal ecosystems has major implications for human society. 2.7. Biodiversity Biological diversity deals with the degree of nature’s variety in the biosphere. Biological diversity or biodiversity, encompasses the variety of all life on earth. Biodiversity manifests itself at three levels: Species diversity which refers to the numbers and kinds of living organisms. Genetic diversity refers to genetic variation within species and ecosystem diversity which denotes the variety of habitats, biological communities and ecological processes (MoE&F, GoI). During the last century, population growth, market pressures and new technological development in agriculture have influenced the pattern of agricultural development tending towards agriculture intensification, (i.e. increasing scales of monoculture production, intensive mechanical tillage, irrigation and the use of synthetic fertilizer, pest control agents and a restricted diversity of crop and livestock varieties), often leading to natural resources degradation. Biodiversity losses can be attributed to the resource demands
  • 14. A. Kalimuthu and Dr. T. T. Ranganathan http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 90 editor@iaeme.com of our rapidly growing human population. In modern times, the human population has increased from about one billion in 1900 to almost six billion today. Like other living beings, we use natural resources to survive, but we are far more resourceful and destructive to other life-forms than any species previously known. Climate change, on account of a buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere leading to global warming, poses significant threat to biodiversity, ecosystems, and the goods and services they provide. There are indications that the projected changes in temperature and CO2 concentration may alter growth, reproduction and host- pathogen relationships in both plants and animals. The multiple components of climate change are anticipated to affect all the levels of biodiversity. A study of 9650 inter specific systems, including pollinators and parasites, suggested that around 6300 species could disappear following the extinction of their associated species (Kohet al., 2004). In addition, for many species, the primary impact of climate change may be mediated through effects on synchrony with species food and habitat requirements. Climate change has led to phenological shifts in flowering plants and insect pollinators, causing mismatches between plant and pollinator populations that lead to the extinctions of both the plant and the pollinator with expected consequences on the structure of plant–pollinator networks (Rafferty, et al., 2010). Review of IPCC report on climate change and biodiversity reveals that at Global level, the human activities have caused and continue to cause a loss in biodiversity through land use, soil and water pollution, degradation/desertification, air pollution, habitat fragmentation, exploitation of species and introduction of non- native species etc. Increase in land and ocean surface temperature, changes in the spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation, rise in sea level etc. are affecting the timing of reproduction of animals and plants, migration of animals, length of growing season, species distribution and the frequency of pest and disease outbreaks. Also, climate change is projected to affect individual organisms, population, species distributions, and ecosystem composition and function both directly and indirectly. Varies climate related changes will disturb and increase the rate of species loss and create opportunities for the establishment of new species. The impact of sea level rise on coastal ecosystem will vary regionally and will depend on the erosion processes from the sea and depositional processes from the land. Hence, climate change impacts on the biodiversity are expected to be huge. 3. SUMMARY It is evident that impacts of climate change are cutting across all major sectors, especially agriculture, water resource, health, forest, coastal ecosystem and biodiversity. Also, the review of existing climate change related studies, literature, future projection, mitigation, adaptive techniques are indicating that the existing facts and figures are still limited and these learning cannot be applied universally, in order to plan a realistic adaptive measures to cope with the changing climate, location and issue based in depth studies are essential. Also, it is very clear that out of all sectors, agriculture going to be affected very severally, especially preparing small and marginal farmers to undertake a realistic adaptive measure is very critical in order to keep them active in the business of agriculture to ensure food security of the global population.
  • 15. Impacts of Global Warming on Environment - A Review http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 91 editor@iaeme.com Two major ways are there to control global warming.  Carbon sequestration (keeping the carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere).  Reduce production of greenhouse gases (Alternate sources of energy). REFERENCES [1] Abid. M., et al., (2015), Farmers’ perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants. Earth System. Dynamics (2015), Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 225–243, 2015. [2] Anita Kumari., P Kaushal, JK Dubey., and DK Sharma,(2012)., An Impact Study on Climate Change. International Journal of Farm Sciences 2(2) :95-101, 2012 [3] Anita Kumar., P.Kaushal.,J.K.Dubey., and D.K.Sharma., (2012)., Climate Change – an impact study in Himachal Pradesh. International Journal of Farm Sciences 2(2):95-101, 2012. [4] AproniusMbilinyi, Georgina Ole Saibul, Vivian Kazi, (2013), Climate Change to Small Scale Farmers; Voices of Farmers in Village Communities in Tanzania. The Economic and Social Research Foundation. [5] Asha latha K V., MunisamyGopinath, and A. R. S. Bhat, (2012), Impact of Climate Change on Rainfed Agriculture in India: A Case Study of Dharwad. International Journal of Environmental Science and Development, Vol. 3, No. 4. [6] Anselm A. Enete., Anthony N. Onyekuru., Ignatius I. Madu., Elizabeth A. Onwubuya., Josephat C. Mojekwu., and Fidelis Eze. (2011), Indigenous Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: Study of Southeast Nigeria. African Technology Policy Studies Network. P O Box 10081, 00100 GPO Nairobi Kenya [7] AtiqKainan Ahmed., (2010), Climate Change and Anticipated Impacts in Asian Countries. Presention made in Plan Asia regional water and environmental sanitation network meeting, Bangkok, 25 January, 2010 [8] Anonymous, Climate Change Impact on Agricultural Production and Adaptation Strategies: Farmers’ Perception and Experiences. USAID Project, “Improved Modeling of Household Food Security Decision Making and Investments Given Climate Change Uncertainty” Associate Award AIDOAA-LA-11-00010 under Food Security III, CDG-A-00-02-00021-00 [9] Brian Joyce., Sebastian Vicuña., Larry Dale., John Dracup., Michael Hanemann., David Purkey, and David Yates., (2006).,Climate Change Impacts on Water for Agriculture in California ; A case study in the Sacramento Valley. California Climate Change Center, California. [10] Celine Bellard., Cleo Bertelsmeier., Paul Leadley., WilfriedThuiller., and Franck Courchamp., (2012).,Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters, (2012).doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x. [11] Confalonieri, R., M. Donatelli., S. Bregaglio., F.N. Tubiello., and E. Fernandes., (2012), Agro-ecological Zones Simulator (AZS): A component based, open- access, transparent platform for climate change – Crop productivity impact assessment in Latin America. International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, Sixth Biennial Meeting, Leipzig, Germany. [12] Central Water Commission., (2014)., Water Management Challenges and Capacity Building needs., This was presented in a national workshop by Mr. Navin Kumar, Director, Central Water Commission on 22nd January 2014
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