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Monthly Market Outlook
May 2019
Equity & Fixed Income Outlook
Global Indices Performance
• German markets rose by 7.1%
during the month owing to a
decline in unemployment rate
and a spurt in overall Eurozone
GDP in the first quarter.
• China Markets were in red as
the Purchasing Managers Data
contracted further pointing to
slower growth in second
quarter
Germany - DAX Index; China - SSE Composite Index; France - CAC 40 Index; Japan - Nikkei; Eurozone - Euronext 100; Hong Kong - HangSeng; US - Dow Jones; Singapore - Strait Times; Russia - RTS Index; Indonesia - Jakarta Composite Index; U.K. - FTSE;
South Korea - Kospi; Brazil - Ibovespa Sao Paulo Index; Indonesia – Jakarta Composite Index; Switzerland – Swiss Market Index; Taiwan – Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation; India – S&P BSE Sensex; Returns in % terms. Data Source: MFI; Returns are
absolute returns for the PRI variant of the index calculated between March 29, 2019 – April 30, 2019. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future 2
7.1
5.8
5.0
4.4 4.2 4.2
3.1 3.1 2.9
2.4 2.2 2.2
1.0 0.9
-0.2 -0.4
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Germany
Singapore
Japan
France
Europe
Russia
Switzerland
Taiwan
SouthKorea
US
HongKong
UK
Brazil
India
Indonesia
China
Returns(%)
Returns Performance - April 2019
Sectoral Indices Performance - India
All indices are of S&P BSE and carry the prefix of S&P BSE; Abbreviated CD - S&P BSE Consumer Durables; CG - S&P BSE Capital Goods; FMCG - S&P BSE Fast Moving Consumer Goods; HC - S&P BSE Health Care; Infra. - S&P BSE India Infrastructure; IT - S&P
BSE Information Technology, NBFC – Non-banking Finance Companies. Data Source: MFI; Returns are absolute returns for the TRI variant of the index calculated between March 29, 2019 – April 30, 2019; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future
3
• IT Sector outperformed
owing to weak currency,
buybacks and strong Q4
FY19 numbers
• Telecom underperformed
on the back of weak Q4
FY19 results
6.4
1.6 1.4 1.2
0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1
-0.3
-1.8 -2.1 -2.4 -2.4
-3.2 -3.3
-5.0-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8 IT
Energy
Metal
BasicMaterials
Oil&Gas
FMCG
Auto
CD
HC
Finance
Infra
CG
Bankex
Power
Realty
Telecom
Returns(%)
Returns Performance - April 2019
OUR EQUITY OUTLOOK:
LONG TERM GROWTH STORY REMAINS INTACT
ALBEIT WITH A BUMPY RIDE
4
Bumpy Ride Ahead (Triggers to watch out for)
5
 General Election Outcome
 Budget to be presented post elections
 Re-balancing of MSCI Indices
 Monsoon
 Crude price volatility
 FII flows trend
 Rich Market Valuations
FII – Foreign Institutional Investor
Source: BSE India, Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.
Pre- & Post-Election Markets
6
4,200
4,600
5,000
5,400
5,800
6,200
6,600
Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04
S&PBSESensexLevels
Pre- and Post-election 2004
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09
S&PBSESensexLevels
Pre- and post-election 2009
20,000
21,000
22,000
23,000
24,000
25,000
26,000
Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14
S&PBSESensexLevels
Pre- and Post-election 2014
- Divides the chart into pre- and
post-election period
Markets can be volatile
around elections, invest in
Dynamic Asset Allocation/
Balanced Advantage Fund
category which seeks to
benefit from such volatility.
Monsoon Expectations
7
Source: Edelweiss Research. *Long Period Average
Possibility of El-Nino can
have adverse impact on
monsoon this year. This
may lead to volatility in
the markets
Monsoon (June-Sep) Year Rainfall (% of LPA*)
2008 98
2009 77
2010 98
2011 102
2012 93
2013 105
2014 88
2015 86
2016 97
2017 95
2018 91
2019 ?
MSCI Index Re-Balancing
8
MSCI to announce the
outcome of its Semi-annual
Index Review Process on
15th May
Saudi Arabia and Argentina
expected to be included in
the MSCI EM Index
Owing to China „A‟ share weight increase and inclusion of other countries in the MSCI EM Index,
India weight may decline leading to volatility in the markets
MSCI China „A‟ share
weight in the MSCI EM
Index expected to increase
Source: Morgan Stanley Research Report
Crude Prices
9
Crude oil prices have been on the rise since last few months and is expected to remain
volatile due to US sanctions on Iran (US announced an end to the waivers granted to few oil importing countries).
This might lead to inflation and may also impact trade & current account deficit
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
BrentCrude(InUSD/Barrel)
Source: CRISIL. Data as of April 30 2019
72.8
FPI Flows Trend – Month on Month
10
FPI flows could get volatile going ahead depending on stability of the new government, global growth
and Global Central Bank Policies
Source: NSDL; Data as of April 30, 2019. FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investors
-18,244
30,906
-4,262
17,220
33,981
21,193
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Apr-16
Oct-16
Apr-17
Oct-17
Apr-18
Oct-18
Apr-19
NetFPIFlows(InINRCrs.)
May seasonally tough for FPI flows
11
Source: NSDL; Data as of April 30, 2019
14,006
-5,768
2,543 7,711
-10,060
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
May-14
May-15
May-16
May-17
May-18
FPI Net Equity Flows Trend (INR Crs)
In the past, May has
witnessed a seasonal
decline in FPI flows
followed by a pick up
in the following 2-3
months
Valuations –
Divergence between Growth and Value Stocks
12
MSCI – Morgan Stanley Capital International. Source: Morgan Stanley; Data as of March 31, 2019
33.1
22.7
10
15
20
25
30
35
Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Sep-16
Dec-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Dec-17
Mar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
P/E ratio of MSCI India growth and MSCI India value
indices, 2010-19 (%)
MSCI Growth Index MSCI Value Index
Value and special
situation themes
expected to play out
due to significant
disconnect between
price and value in
many „Growth‟ and
„Value‟ stocks
Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact
13
Source: UBS. Data as of Oct 18
India ranks 77th in the Ease of Doing Business, improving significantly over last 5 years (142nd in 2014 and 100th in
2017 as per World Bank‟s Doing Business Report).
2 4 5 8 13 15
27 31 39 46 54
69 73 77
109
124
176
0
40
80
120
160
200
Singapore
Hongkong
SouthKorea
Unitedstates
Taiwan
Malaysia
Thailand
Russia
Japan
China
Mexico
Vietnam
Indonesia
India
Brazil
Philippines
Bangladesh
Ease of doing business ranking (%)
Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact
14
Source: UBS. Data as of CY 2017
There is a decline in China‟s share in global manufacture exports and an increase in India‟s share in the last two
years. This shift in export share from China to India is expected to benefit India in the long run.
19.7 18.5
18.4
0
5
10
15
20
1992
1997
2002
2007
2012
2017
China's share in global manufacture exports (%)
China's market shares Trend, prior to WTO accession
Trend, post WTO accession
1.6%
1.7%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016
India's manufactured exports share in global
manufactured exports (%)
Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact
15
Source: UBS, ILO Report dated 23rd April 2019.
India‟s working age as a % of China‟s working age is 88%. India has a demographic edge over other countries and
can reap the benefits of shift in the export share from China to India.
0% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 10% 14% 18% 21%
88%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Singapore
HongKong
Taiwan
Malaysia
Canada
Korea
Thailand
Philippines
Vietnam
Japan
Mexico
Russia
Brazil
Indonesia
UnitedStates
India
India‟s working age as % of China's working age
Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact
16
Source: RBI; Data as of Quarter ends.
RBI Consumer Confidence Survey Results indicate that Consumer Confidence is on a rise
suggesting that India‟s consumption story is here to stay which augurs well for the economy.
95.1
96.9
94.8
96.7
104.6
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106 Q4FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
Q4FY19
Consumer Confidence Index
Outlook – Asset Allocation, Value &
Special Situations Theme
17
Neutral stance on equities as valuations look
completely priced in.
Volatility may prevail due to global and domestic
factors
Recommend lump sum investment in Dynamic
Asset Allocation Schemes to benefit out of
volatility
Value and special situation themes expected to
play out during 2019
Equity accumulation, in mid/small/multicaps,
should be in a staggered manner via SIP/STP
Schemes to manage the bumpy ride:
Our Asset Allocation Bouquet
18
These schemes aim to benefit from volatility and manage equity exposure based on valuations
ICICI Prudential
Regular Savings Fund*
Conservative
Hybrid Fund
Equity
Savings
Fund
Dynamic Asset
Allocation or
Balanced
Advantage
Fund
Multi
Asset
Allocation
Aggressive
Hybrid
ICICI Prudential
Equity Savings Fund
ICICI Prudential Balanced
Advantage Fund
ICICI Prudential
Multi-Asset Fund
ICICI Prudential
Equity & Debt Fund
Net Equity–
10-25%
Net Equity–
15-50%
Net equity –
30-80%
Net Equity –
10-80%
Net Equity–
65-80%
The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document, *This scheme will attract debt taxation. ^Investors may please note that they will be bearing the
recurring expenses of this Scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which this Scheme makes investment.
ICICI Prudential
Asset Allocator Fund ^
Net Equity Level*:
0-100%
Fund of
Funds
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund*
19
Source: BSE India & MFIE, Data as of April 30, 2019. The in-house valuation model starts from March 2010onwards. ICICI Prudential BAF stands for ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund.
18,620
29,183
23,002
35,965
Net Equity
77.40
Net Equity
34.30
Net Equity
77.65
Net Equity
31.65
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Apr'10
Jan'11
Oct'11
Jul'12
Apr'13
Jan'14
Oct'14
Jul'15
Apr'16
Jan'17
Oct'17
Jul'18
Apr'19
ICICIPrudentialBalancedAdvantage
FundNetEquityExposure(%)
SensexLevels
S&P BSE Sensex Levels vis-a-vis ICICI Prudential BAF* Net Equity Exposure (%)
Sensex Level Net Equity Exposure %
* An open ended dynamic asset allocation fund. The investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document
ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund#
“Allocate between equity and debt at right time without tax impact*”
ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund is an open ended Fund of Funds which has a flexibility to invest across
equity and debt schemes#
Investment Universe:
•Up to 100% in equity mutual fund schemes managed by ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund or any other Mutual
Fund(s)
•Up to 100% in debt mutual fund schemes managed by ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund or any other Mutual
Fund(s)
Allocation between asset classes
•The Scheme will be actively managed by experienced Fund Managers.
•The Scheme allocates between equity and debt mutual fund schemes based on in-house valuation model.
*On change in allocation between equity and debt by the scheme, there will not be any tax implications on the investors. For more details on tax please consult with your tax advisor. The asset allocation and investment strategy
will be as per Scheme Information Document. Investors may note that they will be bearing the recurring expenses of this scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which the scheme makes investment.
(# An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETFs/ schemes
To hedge against inflation or in adverse market situations, the Scheme may invest up to 50% in gold mutual fund schemes. Note: Subscriptions under the dividend plan of the scheme have been discontinued w.e.f. March 06, 2019
20
Schemes to benefit from Value & Special
Situations Theme
21
Fund of
Funds
*An open ended equity scheme following special situations theme. ^An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy. The investment strategy of the schemes will be as per the Scheme
Information Document
01
02
Value Fund with Equity Levels –
65 - 100%
ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund^
Special Situations Fund with Equity & Equity related
instruments of special situations theme of around
80 - 100%.
ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund*
These schemes aim to create wealth over long term by investing in opportunities at
reasonable valuations
ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund
22
The investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document
(1) Special Situation due to temporary Crisis in
a. Company b. Sectors c. Economy
(2) Government
Action/Regulatory Changes
(3) Global Events/Uncertainties
Situations that can be turned into opportunities
Schemes to benefit from growth story
23
Equity Levels –
65 - 100%
Equity Levels–
65 - 100%
Equity Levels–
65 - 100%Smallcap Fund
Midcap Fund
Multicap Fund
These schemes aim to benefit from the long term growth story
* An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks. ^ An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks. # An open ended equity scheme investing across
large cap, mid cap, small cap stocks. The investment strategy of the schemes will be as per the Scheme Information Document
ICICI Prudential
Smallcap Fund*
ICICI Prudential
Midcap Fund^
ICICI Prudential
Multicap Fund#
GROWTH
ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund –
Investment Universe
24The investment strategy of the scheme will be as per the Scheme Information Document
Compounders with
Stable Growth
Long Term Wealth Creators
with Stable Growth
Consumption ideas, Brands
& High moat businesses
Structural
Growth
Long Term Wealth creators
Beneficiaries of Structural
changes in economy
Cyclical
Growth
Tactical Compounders
Beneficiary of Economic
Cycles
ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund
25
The investment strategy of the scheme will be as per the Scheme Information Document
Flexibility to invest across market capitalization
Well diversified across various sectors and stocks
Mix of Value and Growth Strategy
• Top down and bottom up approach
• Less sector skewness and Midcap/ Smallcap allocation would be based
directionally as per our In-House Market Cap Allocation Model
Our SIP Recommendations
26
ICICI Prudential
Value Discovery
Fund
(An open ended equity
scheme following a
value investment
strategy)
ICICI Prudential
Large & Midcap
Fund
(An open ended equity
scheme investing in both
largecap and midcap
stocks)
ICICI Prudential
Smallcap Fund
(An open ended equity
scheme predominantly
investing in smallcap
stocks)
ICICI
Prudential
Midcap Fund
(An open ended equity
scheme predominantly
investing in mid cap
stocks)
ICICI Prudential
US Bluechip Equity
Fund
(An open ended equity
scheme investing
predominantly in
securities of large cap
companies listed in
the United States of
America.)
Equity Valuation Index
27
Equity valuations show that
the market valuations are in
the zone where investors are
recommended to invest in
Dynamic Asset Allocation /
Balanced Advantage Funds &
Credit Risk/Medium Duration
Funds
Equity Valuation index is calculated by assigning equal weights to Price-to-Earnings (PE), Price-to-Book (PB), G-Sec*PE and Market Cap to GDP ratio. G-Sec – Government Securities. GDP – Gross Domestic Product; Asset Allocation – Schemes that
invest both in equity and fixed income
123.38
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
Apr-06
Apr-07
Apr-08
Apr-09
Apr-10
Apr-11
Apr-12
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Invest in Equities
Aggressively invest in Equities
Neutral
Incremental Money to Debt
Book Partial Profits
OUR FIXED INCOME OUTLOOK:
POSITIVE ON SHORTER END OF YIELD CURVE
(1-3 YEARS)
28
FPI Comfort – Political Stability and US Fed Stance
Data as of April 30, 2019; Source: Edelweiss Research. FII – Foreign Institutional Investor / FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investor 29
Going forward, FPI
flows would depend on
stability of the newly
elected government
and US Federal
Reserve‟s evolving rate
stance
2,213
-846
-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Apr-16
Oct-16
Apr-17
Oct-17
Apr-18
Oct-18
Apr-19
FII/FPI Debt Inflows (In USD Mn)
Fixed Income Market Remained Volatile in May
30
Reasons for
Volatility
MPC continuing
with neutral stance
On-going concerns
around NBFC
space
Govt. running high
cash balance with
RBI
MPC – Monetary Policy Committee; RBI – Reserve Bank of India
G-Sec Yield Curve Movement
31
Source: Crisil Research; Data as of April 30, 2019; G Sec – Government Securities
7.34
7.41
6.5
6.7
6.9
7.1
7.3
7.5
7.7
7.9
8.1
8.3
8.5
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
10-YrG-SecYields(%)
10 Yr G-Sec Yields (%)
Gsec - 5 Year Gsec-10 Year
Gsec yields went up as market was expecting a change in the stance of Monetary Policy Committee
Corporate Bond Yield Curve
32
Source Crisil Research, Data as of April 30, 2019
7.99
8.60
10.02
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
CorporateBondYields(%)
Corporate Bond Yields (%)
AAA- 3Year AA-3 Year A-3 Year
Corporate Bond space was also volatile due to the on-going NBFC concerns
Money Market Yield Curve
33
Source: CRISIL Research, Data as of April 30, 2019;
6%
7%
8%
9%
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
CD-1-Mnth CD-3-Mnth CD-6-Mnth CD-1-Yr
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
CP-1-Mnth CP-3-Month CP-6-Month CP-1-Year
Money market yield have moved up due to Government maintaining high cash balance with RBI
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year
AAA AA Gsec Repo
34
Corporate Bond spread over Repo
“High Margin of Safety”
Source: CRISIL Research; Data as of April 30, 2019
S
P
R
E
A
D
In the current
scenario, corporate
bonds could provide
better risk-adjusted
returns over G-Sec,
as they provide better
cushion from any
unforeseen event
Liquidity Conditions
35
Source: Morgan Stanley Research; Data as of April 30, 2019
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Aug-12
Apr-13
Dec-13
Aug-14
Apr-15
Dec-15
Aug-16
Apr-17
Dec-17
Aug-18
Apr-19
Daily Interbank Liquidity(in US$, Bn)
Liquidity Conditions remained in the deficit mode
Government Cash Balance with RBI
36
Source: RBI, Morgan Stanley Research; Data as of April 30, 2019.
-100
200
500
800
1100
Apr-18
Jun-18
Aug-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Government of India Surplus Cash Surplus with RBI (INR Bn)
The primary reason behind tight liquidity conditions is the Government of India
maintaining high cash balance with the RBI
RBI using OMOs & FX SWAP to Manage Liquidity
37
100
200
500
250
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jun-17
Aug-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Apr-18
Jun-18
Aug-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
OMO Operations (In INR Bn)
Source: RBI, Morgan Stanley Research; Data as of April 30, 2019. OMO – Open Market Operations
RBI is implementing measures like OMOs & Foreign Exchange Swap to manage liquidity
Inflation starting to accelerate
38
• Since August 2018,
inflation in India has
been trending lower
than the Central
Bank‟s target of 4%
(+/-2%)
• This had prompted
RBI to cut rates twice
in 2019 (Feb & Apr
2019)
• There was a pick-up
in inflation in the last
two consecutive
months
Source: RBI, Data as of March 31, 2019
4.3
4.6
4.9 4.9
4.2
3.7 3.7
3.4
2.3
2.1 2.0
2.6
2.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
CPI Inflation (%)
Outlook – Short Duration Play
39
We continue to remain sanguine towards the short end
of the yield curve and on spread assets
We may tactically alter duration based on the spread
opportunity available in different market segment
We believe the next rate cut would be data-dependent
Accrual schemes have moved into „buy‟ territory with
attractive valuations, reduced flows, and negative
sentiments (NBFC liquidity crunch).
Risk-reward benefit has turned favourable; good time to
earn carry with high credit spreads available in the
corporate bond space
NBFC – Non-Banking Financial Companies
Debt Valuation Index
Debt Valuation Index considers WPI, CPI, Sensex YOY returns, Gold YOY returns and Real estate YOY returns over G-Sec yield, Current Account Balance and Crude Oil Movement for calculation. WPI – Wholesale Price Index;
CPI – Consumer Price Index. None of the aforesaid recommendations are based on any assumptions. These are purely for reference and the investors are requested to consult their financial advisors before investing.
• We recommend investors
to invest in Low Duration
schemes or accrual
schemes such as ICICI
Prudential Credit Risk
Fund.
• For those investors who
aim to benefit from
volatility we recommend
investment in ICICI
Prudential All Seasons
Bond Fund.
40
Ultra Low Duration
Low Duration
High Duration
Aggressively in
High Duration
2.50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Apr-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jun-17
Aug-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Apr-18
Jun-18
Aug-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Ultra Low Duration
Low Duration
Moderate Duration
High Duration
Aggressively in High Duration
2.82
Triggers to watch out for
41
Reversal in perishable food items
Fiscal Slippages
Escalating trade tensions between US and China
High Quality Portfolio
Data as of April 30, 2019; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. *AAA, G-Sec and Cash
42
Scheme Name
Average
Maturity
Yield to Maturity
(YTM)
Modified
Duration
Exposure
to AAA*
securities
ICICI Prudential Money Market Fund 157.53 Days 7.57% 146.21 Days 100%
ICICI Prudential Savings Fund 361.28 Days 8.09% 274.17 Days 88.28%
ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund 2.57 Years 8.58% 1.90 Years 82.87%
ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund 2.32 Years 8.28% 1.60 Years 100%
ICICI Prudential Banking & PSU Debt Fund 3.24 Years 8.45% 1.98 Years 79.65%
Accrual Schemes
43
Scheme Name Yield to Maturity Modified Duration
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund 10.51% 1.42 Years
ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund 9.95% 2.05 Years
ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund 9.02% 189.36 Days
These schemes aim to provide better risk-adjusted returns based on our investment process
Data as of April 30, 2019; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future
Strong case for investment in Credit Risk Funds
44
Valuations are attractive
Industry Flows are slowing
down
Sentiments are Negative
Invest when Valuations are Attractive
45
YTM of ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund – 10.51%
(Takes exposure into AAA, AA and A instruments)
YTM of ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund – 9.95%
(Takes exposure predominantly in AAA & AA instruments)
YTM of ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund – 8.84%
(Takes exposure into Short duration instruments)
Source: Data as of April 30, 2019; YTM – Yield To Maturity
Invest when Flows are Muted
46
Source: MFIE. The funds considered are only Credit Risk Funds as per SEBI classification. Data as of March 31, 2019
90,924
81,181
76,000
78,000
80,000
82,000
84,000
86,000
88,000
90,000
92,000
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Credit Risk Funds Category AUM (In Crs) - Industry Level
Accrual Based Schemes Investment Process
Well Researched Credit Universe
• Based on various filters, qualitative and quantitative research
Broadened Exposure
• Mitigating concentration risk by diversification
Strict Internal Limits at Issuer Level and rating level
Managing Duration Risk
• Clearly defined modified duration range
These schemes have an
independent credit evaluation,
approval, and monitoring
process which does not solely
rely on the Fund Manager’s
judgment to invest in a paper.
These schemes focus on direct
origination* which helps in
alpha generation and
monitoring.
The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. *Direct origination means no involvement of intermediaries.
47
Mitigating Risk – ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund
48
20% in AAA & equivalent rated
debt instruments, TREPS &
Net Current Assets
The portfolio is well
diversified and invests
across various credit ratings
Conservative approach towards
duration– current modified
duration – 1.42 yrs
87* different securities with
average exposure of around
1.09% to each individual issuer
Liquidity
Management
Concentration
Management
Credit
Management
Duration
Management
Data as of April 30, 2019. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information Document of the Scheme. Please refer to the SID for investment pattern, strategy and risk factors.
The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. TREPS – Tri Party Repos; *Includes CPs and CDs.
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund
The scheme portfolio is well-diversified across a large number of securities which reduces
risk pertaining to high exposure in a single security.
10.51% Yield to Maturity
No. of securities in the scheme portfolio
Aims to invest in well researched
corporate bonds
Aims to generate alpha from any potential
credit upgrades
Average exposure to a single security in
the portfolio
Highest exposure to single security in the
portfolio
Exposure (as % of NAV) to the top 10 holdings
in the portfolio
87
1.09%
5.27%
33.05%
Data as of April 30, 2019; The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information document;
NAV – Net Asset Value
Aims to maintain stable accrual income with
Hold-to-Maturity approach
49
Fixed Income Recommendations
50
ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund
Cash Management Solutions
(which aim to benefit from better risk adjusted returns)
ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund
ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund
Accrual Schemes
(which aim to benefit from capturing yields at elevated levels)
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund
ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund
Dynamic Duration Schemes
( which aim to benefit from volatility by actively managing duration)
ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund
Low/Short Duration Schemes
(which aim to benefit from mitigating interest rate volatility)
Our Equity Schemes
Scheme Name Type of Scheme
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks
ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund
An open ended equity scheme investing in both large cap and mid cap
stocks.
ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks.
ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks.
ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy.
ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund
An open ended equity scheme investing across large cap, mid cap, small
cap stocks.
ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund An Open Ended Equity Scheme following Special Situation theme
ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity Fund
An open ended equity scheme investing predominantly in securities of large
cap companies listed in the United States of America.
51
Our Hybrid Schemes / Fund of Funds Scheme
Scheme Name Type of Scheme
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund An open ended dynamic asset allocation fund
ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund An open ended hybrid scheme investing predominantly in debt instruments
ICICI Prudential Equity Savings Fund
An open ended scheme investing in equity, arbitrage and
debt.
ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund
An open ended hybrid scheme investing predominantly in equity and equity
related instruments
ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund
An open ended scheme investing in Equity, Debt, Gold/Gold ETF/units of
REITs & InvITs and other asset classes as may be permitted from time to
time.
52
Scheme Name Type of Scheme
ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund
An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented
schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETFs/schemes.
Our Debt Schemes
Scheme Name Type of Scheme
ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund
An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the
Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 3 months and 6 months.
ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund
An open ended short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the
Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 1 Year and 3 Years.
ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund
An open ended medium term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the
Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 3 Years and 4 Years. The Macaulay
duration of the portfolio is 1 Year to 4 years under anticipated adverse situation.
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund
An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA and below rated
corporate bonds.
ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund
An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments
(including fixed rate instruments converted to floating rate exposures using
swaps/derivatives).
ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund An open ended dynamic debt scheme investing across duration.
ICICI Prudential Savings Fund
An open ended low duration debt scheme investing in instruments such that the
Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 6 months and 12 months
53
Our Debt Schemes
Scheme Name Type of Scheme
ICICI Prudential Banking & PSU Debt Fund
An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in Debt instruments of banks,
Public Sector Undertakings, Public Financial Institutions and Municipal Bonds
ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund
An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA+ and above rated
corporate bonds
ICICI Prudential Money Market Fund An open ended debt scheme investing in money market instruments
54
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended scheme investing across asset classes.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation solution
 A balanced fund aiming for long term capital appreciation and current income by investing in equity as well as
fixed income securities.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation solution
 An equity fund that aims for growth by investing in equity and derivatives.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
55
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for
them
ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for
them
ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme investing in both largecap and mid cap stocks
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for
them
56
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Medium term savings
 A debt scheme that aims to generate income through investing predominantly in AA and below rated
corporate bonds while maintaining the optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Medium term savings
 A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while
maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Medium to long term regular income solution
 A hybrid fund that aims to generate regular income through investments primarily in debt and money market
instruments and long term capital appreciation by investing a portion in equity.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
57
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Short term income generation and capital appreciation solution
 A debt fund that aims to generate income by investing in a range of debt and money market instruments of
various maturities.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 All duration savings
 A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while
maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long Term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme that seeks to generate capital appreciation by predominantly investing in equity
and equity related securities of small cap companies.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
58
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Short term savings
 An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Short term regular income
 An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in a range of debt and money market instruments
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long Term wealth creation
 An open-ended equity scheme that aims for capital appreciation by investing in diversified mid cap companies.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
59
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund (The scheme is suitable for investors who are seeking*)
 Long term wealth creation
 An equity scheme that invests in stocks based on special situations theme.
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
60
ICICI Prudential Equity Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended scheme that seeks to generate regular income through investments in fixed income securities,
arbitrage and other derivative strategies and aim for long term capital appreciation by investing in equity and
equity related instruments.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme investing across largecap, mid cap and small cap stocks.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme primarily investing in equity and equity related securities of companies listed on recognized stock
exchanges in the United States of America
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
61
ICICI Prudential Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Short term savings
 An open ended low duration debt scheme that aims to maximize income by investing in debt and money market
instruments while maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
ICICI Prudential Banking & PSU Debt Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Short term savings
 An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in Debt instruments of banks, Public Sector Undertakings,
Public Financial Institutions and Municipal Bonds
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
Riskometers
62
ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Short term savings
 An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in highest rated corporate bonds
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
ICICI Prudential Money Market Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Short term savings
 A money market scheme that seeks to provide reasonable returns, commensurate with low risk while providing
a high level of liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
•Long Term wealth creation
•An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes
and gold ETF/schemes.
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented
schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETFs/ schemes) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Moderate
LOW
Investors
understand that
their principal will
be at Moderately
high risk
HIGH
Disclaimer For Mutual Funds
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
All figures and other data given in this document are dated. The same may or may not be relevant at a future date. The AMC takes no responsibility of updating any data/information in this material
from time to time. The information shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without
prior written consent of ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited. Prospective investors are advised to consult their own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax,
legal and other financial implication or consequence of subscribing to the units of ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund. Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future.
Disclaimer: In the preparation of the material contained in this document, ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd. (the AMC) has used information that is publicly available, including
Budget speech and information developed in-house. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have
any future position in this stock(s). Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from members/persons other than the AMC and/or its affiliates and which may have
been made available to the AMC and/or to its affiliates. Information gathered and material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. The AMC however does not warrant the
accuracy, reasonableness and / or completeness of any information. We have included statements / opinions / recommendations in this document, which contain words, or phrases such as
“will”, “expect”, “should”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions, that are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by
the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respect to, but not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions
in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on our services and / or investments, the monetary and interest policies of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in
interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or other rates or prices etc. ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited (including its affiliates), the Mutual Fund, The Trust and any
of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as
also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. Further, the information contained herein should not be construed as forecast or promise or investment
advice. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any decision taken on this material.
63

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Monthly Market Outlook - May 2019

  • 1. Monthly Market Outlook May 2019 Equity & Fixed Income Outlook
  • 2. Global Indices Performance • German markets rose by 7.1% during the month owing to a decline in unemployment rate and a spurt in overall Eurozone GDP in the first quarter. • China Markets were in red as the Purchasing Managers Data contracted further pointing to slower growth in second quarter Germany - DAX Index; China - SSE Composite Index; France - CAC 40 Index; Japan - Nikkei; Eurozone - Euronext 100; Hong Kong - HangSeng; US - Dow Jones; Singapore - Strait Times; Russia - RTS Index; Indonesia - Jakarta Composite Index; U.K. - FTSE; South Korea - Kospi; Brazil - Ibovespa Sao Paulo Index; Indonesia – Jakarta Composite Index; Switzerland – Swiss Market Index; Taiwan – Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation; India – S&P BSE Sensex; Returns in % terms. Data Source: MFI; Returns are absolute returns for the PRI variant of the index calculated between March 29, 2019 – April 30, 2019. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future 2 7.1 5.8 5.0 4.4 4.2 4.2 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.4 2.2 2.2 1.0 0.9 -0.2 -0.4 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Germany Singapore Japan France Europe Russia Switzerland Taiwan SouthKorea US HongKong UK Brazil India Indonesia China Returns(%) Returns Performance - April 2019
  • 3. Sectoral Indices Performance - India All indices are of S&P BSE and carry the prefix of S&P BSE; Abbreviated CD - S&P BSE Consumer Durables; CG - S&P BSE Capital Goods; FMCG - S&P BSE Fast Moving Consumer Goods; HC - S&P BSE Health Care; Infra. - S&P BSE India Infrastructure; IT - S&P BSE Information Technology, NBFC – Non-banking Finance Companies. Data Source: MFI; Returns are absolute returns for the TRI variant of the index calculated between March 29, 2019 – April 30, 2019; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future 3 • IT Sector outperformed owing to weak currency, buybacks and strong Q4 FY19 numbers • Telecom underperformed on the back of weak Q4 FY19 results 6.4 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 -0.3 -1.8 -2.1 -2.4 -2.4 -3.2 -3.3 -5.0-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 IT Energy Metal BasicMaterials Oil&Gas FMCG Auto CD HC Finance Infra CG Bankex Power Realty Telecom Returns(%) Returns Performance - April 2019
  • 4. OUR EQUITY OUTLOOK: LONG TERM GROWTH STORY REMAINS INTACT ALBEIT WITH A BUMPY RIDE 4
  • 5. Bumpy Ride Ahead (Triggers to watch out for) 5  General Election Outcome  Budget to be presented post elections  Re-balancing of MSCI Indices  Monsoon  Crude price volatility  FII flows trend  Rich Market Valuations FII – Foreign Institutional Investor
  • 6. Source: BSE India, Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Pre- & Post-Election Markets 6 4,200 4,600 5,000 5,400 5,800 6,200 6,600 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04 S&PBSESensexLevels Pre- and Post-election 2004 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 S&PBSESensexLevels Pre- and post-election 2009 20,000 21,000 22,000 23,000 24,000 25,000 26,000 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 S&PBSESensexLevels Pre- and Post-election 2014 - Divides the chart into pre- and post-election period Markets can be volatile around elections, invest in Dynamic Asset Allocation/ Balanced Advantage Fund category which seeks to benefit from such volatility.
  • 7. Monsoon Expectations 7 Source: Edelweiss Research. *Long Period Average Possibility of El-Nino can have adverse impact on monsoon this year. This may lead to volatility in the markets Monsoon (June-Sep) Year Rainfall (% of LPA*) 2008 98 2009 77 2010 98 2011 102 2012 93 2013 105 2014 88 2015 86 2016 97 2017 95 2018 91 2019 ?
  • 8. MSCI Index Re-Balancing 8 MSCI to announce the outcome of its Semi-annual Index Review Process on 15th May Saudi Arabia and Argentina expected to be included in the MSCI EM Index Owing to China „A‟ share weight increase and inclusion of other countries in the MSCI EM Index, India weight may decline leading to volatility in the markets MSCI China „A‟ share weight in the MSCI EM Index expected to increase Source: Morgan Stanley Research Report
  • 9. Crude Prices 9 Crude oil prices have been on the rise since last few months and is expected to remain volatile due to US sanctions on Iran (US announced an end to the waivers granted to few oil importing countries). This might lead to inflation and may also impact trade & current account deficit 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 BrentCrude(InUSD/Barrel) Source: CRISIL. Data as of April 30 2019 72.8
  • 10. FPI Flows Trend – Month on Month 10 FPI flows could get volatile going ahead depending on stability of the new government, global growth and Global Central Bank Policies Source: NSDL; Data as of April 30, 2019. FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investors -18,244 30,906 -4,262 17,220 33,981 21,193 -20,000 -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 NetFPIFlows(InINRCrs.)
  • 11. May seasonally tough for FPI flows 11 Source: NSDL; Data as of April 30, 2019 14,006 -5,768 2,543 7,711 -10,060 -30,000 -20,000 -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 May-14 May-15 May-16 May-17 May-18 FPI Net Equity Flows Trend (INR Crs) In the past, May has witnessed a seasonal decline in FPI flows followed by a pick up in the following 2-3 months
  • 12. Valuations – Divergence between Growth and Value Stocks 12 MSCI – Morgan Stanley Capital International. Source: Morgan Stanley; Data as of March 31, 2019 33.1 22.7 10 15 20 25 30 35 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 P/E ratio of MSCI India growth and MSCI India value indices, 2010-19 (%) MSCI Growth Index MSCI Value Index Value and special situation themes expected to play out due to significant disconnect between price and value in many „Growth‟ and „Value‟ stocks
  • 13. Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact 13 Source: UBS. Data as of Oct 18 India ranks 77th in the Ease of Doing Business, improving significantly over last 5 years (142nd in 2014 and 100th in 2017 as per World Bank‟s Doing Business Report). 2 4 5 8 13 15 27 31 39 46 54 69 73 77 109 124 176 0 40 80 120 160 200 Singapore Hongkong SouthKorea Unitedstates Taiwan Malaysia Thailand Russia Japan China Mexico Vietnam Indonesia India Brazil Philippines Bangladesh Ease of doing business ranking (%)
  • 14. Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact 14 Source: UBS. Data as of CY 2017 There is a decline in China‟s share in global manufacture exports and an increase in India‟s share in the last two years. This shift in export share from China to India is expected to benefit India in the long run. 19.7 18.5 18.4 0 5 10 15 20 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 China's share in global manufacture exports (%) China's market shares Trend, prior to WTO accession Trend, post WTO accession 1.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 India's manufactured exports share in global manufactured exports (%)
  • 15. Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact 15 Source: UBS, ILO Report dated 23rd April 2019. India‟s working age as a % of China‟s working age is 88%. India has a demographic edge over other countries and can reap the benefits of shift in the export share from China to India. 0% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 10% 14% 18% 21% 88% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Singapore HongKong Taiwan Malaysia Canada Korea Thailand Philippines Vietnam Japan Mexico Russia Brazil Indonesia UnitedStates India India‟s working age as % of China's working age
  • 16. Long Term Growth Story Remains Intact 16 Source: RBI; Data as of Quarter ends. RBI Consumer Confidence Survey Results indicate that Consumer Confidence is on a rise suggesting that India‟s consumption story is here to stay which augurs well for the economy. 95.1 96.9 94.8 96.7 104.6 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Consumer Confidence Index
  • 17. Outlook – Asset Allocation, Value & Special Situations Theme 17 Neutral stance on equities as valuations look completely priced in. Volatility may prevail due to global and domestic factors Recommend lump sum investment in Dynamic Asset Allocation Schemes to benefit out of volatility Value and special situation themes expected to play out during 2019 Equity accumulation, in mid/small/multicaps, should be in a staggered manner via SIP/STP
  • 18. Schemes to manage the bumpy ride: Our Asset Allocation Bouquet 18 These schemes aim to benefit from volatility and manage equity exposure based on valuations ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund* Conservative Hybrid Fund Equity Savings Fund Dynamic Asset Allocation or Balanced Advantage Fund Multi Asset Allocation Aggressive Hybrid ICICI Prudential Equity Savings Fund ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund Net Equity– 10-25% Net Equity– 15-50% Net equity – 30-80% Net Equity – 10-80% Net Equity– 65-80% The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document, *This scheme will attract debt taxation. ^Investors may please note that they will be bearing the recurring expenses of this Scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which this Scheme makes investment. ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund ^ Net Equity Level*: 0-100% Fund of Funds
  • 19. ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund* 19 Source: BSE India & MFIE, Data as of April 30, 2019. The in-house valuation model starts from March 2010onwards. ICICI Prudential BAF stands for ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund. 18,620 29,183 23,002 35,965 Net Equity 77.40 Net Equity 34.30 Net Equity 77.65 Net Equity 31.65 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 Apr'10 Jan'11 Oct'11 Jul'12 Apr'13 Jan'14 Oct'14 Jul'15 Apr'16 Jan'17 Oct'17 Jul'18 Apr'19 ICICIPrudentialBalancedAdvantage FundNetEquityExposure(%) SensexLevels S&P BSE Sensex Levels vis-a-vis ICICI Prudential BAF* Net Equity Exposure (%) Sensex Level Net Equity Exposure % * An open ended dynamic asset allocation fund. The investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document
  • 20. ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund# “Allocate between equity and debt at right time without tax impact*” ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund is an open ended Fund of Funds which has a flexibility to invest across equity and debt schemes# Investment Universe: •Up to 100% in equity mutual fund schemes managed by ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund or any other Mutual Fund(s) •Up to 100% in debt mutual fund schemes managed by ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund or any other Mutual Fund(s) Allocation between asset classes •The Scheme will be actively managed by experienced Fund Managers. •The Scheme allocates between equity and debt mutual fund schemes based on in-house valuation model. *On change in allocation between equity and debt by the scheme, there will not be any tax implications on the investors. For more details on tax please consult with your tax advisor. The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. Investors may note that they will be bearing the recurring expenses of this scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which the scheme makes investment. (# An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETFs/ schemes To hedge against inflation or in adverse market situations, the Scheme may invest up to 50% in gold mutual fund schemes. Note: Subscriptions under the dividend plan of the scheme have been discontinued w.e.f. March 06, 2019 20
  • 21. Schemes to benefit from Value & Special Situations Theme 21 Fund of Funds *An open ended equity scheme following special situations theme. ^An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy. The investment strategy of the schemes will be as per the Scheme Information Document 01 02 Value Fund with Equity Levels – 65 - 100% ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund^ Special Situations Fund with Equity & Equity related instruments of special situations theme of around 80 - 100%. ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund* These schemes aim to create wealth over long term by investing in opportunities at reasonable valuations
  • 22. ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund 22 The investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document (1) Special Situation due to temporary Crisis in a. Company b. Sectors c. Economy (2) Government Action/Regulatory Changes (3) Global Events/Uncertainties Situations that can be turned into opportunities
  • 23. Schemes to benefit from growth story 23 Equity Levels – 65 - 100% Equity Levels– 65 - 100% Equity Levels– 65 - 100%Smallcap Fund Midcap Fund Multicap Fund These schemes aim to benefit from the long term growth story * An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks. ^ An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks. # An open ended equity scheme investing across large cap, mid cap, small cap stocks. The investment strategy of the schemes will be as per the Scheme Information Document ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund* ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund^ ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund# GROWTH
  • 24. ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund – Investment Universe 24The investment strategy of the scheme will be as per the Scheme Information Document Compounders with Stable Growth Long Term Wealth Creators with Stable Growth Consumption ideas, Brands & High moat businesses Structural Growth Long Term Wealth creators Beneficiaries of Structural changes in economy Cyclical Growth Tactical Compounders Beneficiary of Economic Cycles
  • 25. ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund 25 The investment strategy of the scheme will be as per the Scheme Information Document Flexibility to invest across market capitalization Well diversified across various sectors and stocks Mix of Value and Growth Strategy • Top down and bottom up approach • Less sector skewness and Midcap/ Smallcap allocation would be based directionally as per our In-House Market Cap Allocation Model
  • 26. Our SIP Recommendations 26 ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund (An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy) ICICI Prudential Large & Midcap Fund (An open ended equity scheme investing in both largecap and midcap stocks) ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in smallcap stocks) ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks) ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity Fund (An open ended equity scheme investing predominantly in securities of large cap companies listed in the United States of America.)
  • 27. Equity Valuation Index 27 Equity valuations show that the market valuations are in the zone where investors are recommended to invest in Dynamic Asset Allocation / Balanced Advantage Funds & Credit Risk/Medium Duration Funds Equity Valuation index is calculated by assigning equal weights to Price-to-Earnings (PE), Price-to-Book (PB), G-Sec*PE and Market Cap to GDP ratio. G-Sec – Government Securities. GDP – Gross Domestic Product; Asset Allocation – Schemes that invest both in equity and fixed income 123.38 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Invest in Equities Aggressively invest in Equities Neutral Incremental Money to Debt Book Partial Profits
  • 28. OUR FIXED INCOME OUTLOOK: POSITIVE ON SHORTER END OF YIELD CURVE (1-3 YEARS) 28
  • 29. FPI Comfort – Political Stability and US Fed Stance Data as of April 30, 2019; Source: Edelweiss Research. FII – Foreign Institutional Investor / FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investor 29 Going forward, FPI flows would depend on stability of the newly elected government and US Federal Reserve‟s evolving rate stance 2,213 -846 -4,000 -3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 FII/FPI Debt Inflows (In USD Mn)
  • 30. Fixed Income Market Remained Volatile in May 30 Reasons for Volatility MPC continuing with neutral stance On-going concerns around NBFC space Govt. running high cash balance with RBI MPC – Monetary Policy Committee; RBI – Reserve Bank of India
  • 31. G-Sec Yield Curve Movement 31 Source: Crisil Research; Data as of April 30, 2019; G Sec – Government Securities 7.34 7.41 6.5 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.3 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.5 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 10-YrG-SecYields(%) 10 Yr G-Sec Yields (%) Gsec - 5 Year Gsec-10 Year Gsec yields went up as market was expecting a change in the stance of Monetary Policy Committee
  • 32. Corporate Bond Yield Curve 32 Source Crisil Research, Data as of April 30, 2019 7.99 8.60 10.02 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 CorporateBondYields(%) Corporate Bond Yields (%) AAA- 3Year AA-3 Year A-3 Year Corporate Bond space was also volatile due to the on-going NBFC concerns
  • 33. Money Market Yield Curve 33 Source: CRISIL Research, Data as of April 30, 2019; 6% 7% 8% 9% Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 CD-1-Mnth CD-3-Mnth CD-6-Mnth CD-1-Yr 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 CP-1-Mnth CP-3-Month CP-6-Month CP-1-Year Money market yield have moved up due to Government maintaining high cash balance with RBI
  • 34. 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year AAA AA Gsec Repo 34 Corporate Bond spread over Repo “High Margin of Safety” Source: CRISIL Research; Data as of April 30, 2019 S P R E A D In the current scenario, corporate bonds could provide better risk-adjusted returns over G-Sec, as they provide better cushion from any unforeseen event
  • 35. Liquidity Conditions 35 Source: Morgan Stanley Research; Data as of April 30, 2019 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 Aug-12 Apr-13 Dec-13 Aug-14 Apr-15 Dec-15 Aug-16 Apr-17 Dec-17 Aug-18 Apr-19 Daily Interbank Liquidity(in US$, Bn) Liquidity Conditions remained in the deficit mode
  • 36. Government Cash Balance with RBI 36 Source: RBI, Morgan Stanley Research; Data as of April 30, 2019. -100 200 500 800 1100 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 Apr-19 Government of India Surplus Cash Surplus with RBI (INR Bn) The primary reason behind tight liquidity conditions is the Government of India maintaining high cash balance with the RBI
  • 37. RBI using OMOs & FX SWAP to Manage Liquidity 37 100 200 500 250 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 Apr-19 OMO Operations (In INR Bn) Source: RBI, Morgan Stanley Research; Data as of April 30, 2019. OMO – Open Market Operations RBI is implementing measures like OMOs & Foreign Exchange Swap to manage liquidity
  • 38. Inflation starting to accelerate 38 • Since August 2018, inflation in India has been trending lower than the Central Bank‟s target of 4% (+/-2%) • This had prompted RBI to cut rates twice in 2019 (Feb & Apr 2019) • There was a pick-up in inflation in the last two consecutive months Source: RBI, Data as of March 31, 2019 4.3 4.6 4.9 4.9 4.2 3.7 3.7 3.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 CPI Inflation (%)
  • 39. Outlook – Short Duration Play 39 We continue to remain sanguine towards the short end of the yield curve and on spread assets We may tactically alter duration based on the spread opportunity available in different market segment We believe the next rate cut would be data-dependent Accrual schemes have moved into „buy‟ territory with attractive valuations, reduced flows, and negative sentiments (NBFC liquidity crunch). Risk-reward benefit has turned favourable; good time to earn carry with high credit spreads available in the corporate bond space NBFC – Non-Banking Financial Companies
  • 40. Debt Valuation Index Debt Valuation Index considers WPI, CPI, Sensex YOY returns, Gold YOY returns and Real estate YOY returns over G-Sec yield, Current Account Balance and Crude Oil Movement for calculation. WPI – Wholesale Price Index; CPI – Consumer Price Index. None of the aforesaid recommendations are based on any assumptions. These are purely for reference and the investors are requested to consult their financial advisors before investing. • We recommend investors to invest in Low Duration schemes or accrual schemes such as ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund. • For those investors who aim to benefit from volatility we recommend investment in ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund. 40 Ultra Low Duration Low Duration High Duration Aggressively in High Duration 2.50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 Apr-19 Ultra Low Duration Low Duration Moderate Duration High Duration Aggressively in High Duration 2.82
  • 41. Triggers to watch out for 41 Reversal in perishable food items Fiscal Slippages Escalating trade tensions between US and China
  • 42. High Quality Portfolio Data as of April 30, 2019; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. *AAA, G-Sec and Cash 42 Scheme Name Average Maturity Yield to Maturity (YTM) Modified Duration Exposure to AAA* securities ICICI Prudential Money Market Fund 157.53 Days 7.57% 146.21 Days 100% ICICI Prudential Savings Fund 361.28 Days 8.09% 274.17 Days 88.28% ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund 2.57 Years 8.58% 1.90 Years 82.87% ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund 2.32 Years 8.28% 1.60 Years 100% ICICI Prudential Banking & PSU Debt Fund 3.24 Years 8.45% 1.98 Years 79.65%
  • 43. Accrual Schemes 43 Scheme Name Yield to Maturity Modified Duration ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund 10.51% 1.42 Years ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund 9.95% 2.05 Years ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund 9.02% 189.36 Days These schemes aim to provide better risk-adjusted returns based on our investment process Data as of April 30, 2019; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future
  • 44. Strong case for investment in Credit Risk Funds 44 Valuations are attractive Industry Flows are slowing down Sentiments are Negative
  • 45. Invest when Valuations are Attractive 45 YTM of ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund – 10.51% (Takes exposure into AAA, AA and A instruments) YTM of ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund – 9.95% (Takes exposure predominantly in AAA & AA instruments) YTM of ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund – 8.84% (Takes exposure into Short duration instruments) Source: Data as of April 30, 2019; YTM – Yield To Maturity
  • 46. Invest when Flows are Muted 46 Source: MFIE. The funds considered are only Credit Risk Funds as per SEBI classification. Data as of March 31, 2019 90,924 81,181 76,000 78,000 80,000 82,000 84,000 86,000 88,000 90,000 92,000 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Credit Risk Funds Category AUM (In Crs) - Industry Level
  • 47. Accrual Based Schemes Investment Process Well Researched Credit Universe • Based on various filters, qualitative and quantitative research Broadened Exposure • Mitigating concentration risk by diversification Strict Internal Limits at Issuer Level and rating level Managing Duration Risk • Clearly defined modified duration range These schemes have an independent credit evaluation, approval, and monitoring process which does not solely rely on the Fund Manager’s judgment to invest in a paper. These schemes focus on direct origination* which helps in alpha generation and monitoring. The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. *Direct origination means no involvement of intermediaries. 47
  • 48. Mitigating Risk – ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund 48 20% in AAA & equivalent rated debt instruments, TREPS & Net Current Assets The portfolio is well diversified and invests across various credit ratings Conservative approach towards duration– current modified duration – 1.42 yrs 87* different securities with average exposure of around 1.09% to each individual issuer Liquidity Management Concentration Management Credit Management Duration Management Data as of April 30, 2019. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information Document of the Scheme. Please refer to the SID for investment pattern, strategy and risk factors. The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. TREPS – Tri Party Repos; *Includes CPs and CDs.
  • 49. ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund The scheme portfolio is well-diversified across a large number of securities which reduces risk pertaining to high exposure in a single security. 10.51% Yield to Maturity No. of securities in the scheme portfolio Aims to invest in well researched corporate bonds Aims to generate alpha from any potential credit upgrades Average exposure to a single security in the portfolio Highest exposure to single security in the portfolio Exposure (as % of NAV) to the top 10 holdings in the portfolio 87 1.09% 5.27% 33.05% Data as of April 30, 2019; The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information document; NAV – Net Asset Value Aims to maintain stable accrual income with Hold-to-Maturity approach 49
  • 50. Fixed Income Recommendations 50 ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund Cash Management Solutions (which aim to benefit from better risk adjusted returns) ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund Accrual Schemes (which aim to benefit from capturing yields at elevated levels) ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund Dynamic Duration Schemes ( which aim to benefit from volatility by actively managing duration) ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund Low/Short Duration Schemes (which aim to benefit from mitigating interest rate volatility)
  • 51. Our Equity Schemes Scheme Name Type of Scheme ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund An open ended equity scheme investing in both large cap and mid cap stocks. ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks. ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks. ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy. ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund An open ended equity scheme investing across large cap, mid cap, small cap stocks. ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund An Open Ended Equity Scheme following Special Situation theme ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity Fund An open ended equity scheme investing predominantly in securities of large cap companies listed in the United States of America. 51
  • 52. Our Hybrid Schemes / Fund of Funds Scheme Scheme Name Type of Scheme ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund An open ended dynamic asset allocation fund ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund An open ended hybrid scheme investing predominantly in debt instruments ICICI Prudential Equity Savings Fund An open ended scheme investing in equity, arbitrage and debt. ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund An open ended hybrid scheme investing predominantly in equity and equity related instruments ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund An open ended scheme investing in Equity, Debt, Gold/Gold ETF/units of REITs & InvITs and other asset classes as may be permitted from time to time. 52 Scheme Name Type of Scheme ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETFs/schemes.
  • 53. Our Debt Schemes Scheme Name Type of Scheme ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 3 months and 6 months. ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund An open ended short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 1 Year and 3 Years. ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund An open ended medium term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 3 Years and 4 Years. The Macaulay duration of the portfolio is 1 Year to 4 years under anticipated adverse situation. ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA and below rated corporate bonds. ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments (including fixed rate instruments converted to floating rate exposures using swaps/derivatives). ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund An open ended dynamic debt scheme investing across duration. ICICI Prudential Savings Fund An open ended low duration debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 6 months and 12 months 53
  • 54. Our Debt Schemes Scheme Name Type of Scheme ICICI Prudential Banking & PSU Debt Fund An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in Debt instruments of banks, Public Sector Undertakings, Public Financial Institutions and Municipal Bonds ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA+ and above rated corporate bonds ICICI Prudential Money Market Fund An open ended debt scheme investing in money market instruments 54
  • 55. Riskometers ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation  An open ended scheme investing across asset classes. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation solution  A balanced fund aiming for long term capital appreciation and current income by investing in equity as well as fixed income securities. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation solution  An equity fund that aims for growth by investing in equity and derivatives. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them 55
  • 56. Riskometers ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation  An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation  An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation  An open ended equity scheme investing in both largecap and mid cap stocks *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them 56
  • 57. Riskometers ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Medium term savings  A debt scheme that aims to generate income through investing predominantly in AA and below rated corporate bonds while maintaining the optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Medium term savings  A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Medium to long term regular income solution  A hybrid fund that aims to generate regular income through investments primarily in debt and money market instruments and long term capital appreciation by investing a portion in equity. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them 57
  • 58. Riskometers ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Short term income generation and capital appreciation solution  A debt fund that aims to generate income by investing in a range of debt and money market instruments of various maturities. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  All duration savings  A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long Term wealth creation  An open ended equity scheme that seeks to generate capital appreciation by predominantly investing in equity and equity related securities of small cap companies. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them 58
  • 59. Riskometers ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Short term savings  An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Short term regular income  An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in a range of debt and money market instruments *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long Term wealth creation  An open-ended equity scheme that aims for capital appreciation by investing in diversified mid cap companies. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them 59
  • 60. Riskometers ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund (The scheme is suitable for investors who are seeking*)  Long term wealth creation  An equity scheme that invests in stocks based on special situations theme. *Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. 60 ICICI Prudential Equity Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation  An open ended scheme that seeks to generate regular income through investments in fixed income securities, arbitrage and other derivative strategies and aim for long term capital appreciation by investing in equity and equity related instruments. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation  An open ended equity scheme investing across largecap, mid cap and small cap stocks. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
  • 61. Riskometers ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Long term wealth creation  An open ended equity scheme primarily investing in equity and equity related securities of companies listed on recognized stock exchanges in the United States of America *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them 61 ICICI Prudential Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Short term savings  An open ended low duration debt scheme that aims to maximize income by investing in debt and money market instruments while maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. ICICI Prudential Banking & PSU Debt Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Short term savings  An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in Debt instruments of banks, Public Sector Undertakings, Public Financial Institutions and Municipal Bonds *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
  • 62. Riskometers 62 ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Short term savings  An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in highest rated corporate bonds *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. ICICI Prudential Money Market Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:  Short term savings  A money market scheme that seeks to provide reasonable returns, commensurate with low risk while providing a high level of liquidity *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. •Long Term wealth creation •An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETF/schemes. *Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETFs/ schemes) is suitable for investors who are seeking*: Moderate LOW Investors understand that their principal will be at Moderately high risk HIGH
  • 63. Disclaimer For Mutual Funds Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. All figures and other data given in this document are dated. The same may or may not be relevant at a future date. The AMC takes no responsibility of updating any data/information in this material from time to time. The information shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited. Prospective investors are advised to consult their own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal and other financial implication or consequence of subscribing to the units of ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund. Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future. Disclaimer: In the preparation of the material contained in this document, ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd. (the AMC) has used information that is publicly available, including Budget speech and information developed in-house. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this stock(s). Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from members/persons other than the AMC and/or its affiliates and which may have been made available to the AMC and/or to its affiliates. Information gathered and material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. The AMC however does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and / or completeness of any information. We have included statements / opinions / recommendations in this document, which contain words, or phrases such as “will”, “expect”, “should”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions, that are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respect to, but not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on our services and / or investments, the monetary and interest policies of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or other rates or prices etc. ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited (including its affiliates), the Mutual Fund, The Trust and any of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. Further, the information contained herein should not be construed as forecast or promise or investment advice. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any decision taken on this material. 63