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WBG Support To Youth Employment
Programs :
Selected Findings From An IEG Evaluation
        Creating Opportunities for Youth Employment
                      The World Bank
                     September 25, 2012


             Independent Evaluation Group (IEG)
Three questions

1. What is the nature of the Bank Group’s support to
   countries tackling youth employment problems?

2. What is the evidence that the Bank Group supports
   priority country needs in youth employment issues?

3. What is the evidence regarding the effectiveness of
   that support?
Differences in youth employment across
countries need different approaches
Nature of Problem              Context
High unemployment for          Economic crisis, structural reforms and lack of job
all young workers                creation in all countries
                               Youth cohort growth is larger than job growth (e.g.
                                 Sub-Saharan Africa)
High unemployment for          Voluntary unemployment among higher-income
highly-educated youth            youth in MICs and LICs (e.g. Sri Lanka and
                                 MENA region)
Large number of casual, low-   In MICs and LICs with a small formal sector
productivity, low-paid jobs    Rural areas (farm and off-farm)
held by youth                  Children in workforce and low school enrollment
High unemployment              Regional disparities in all countries
concentrated in subgroups of   Discrimination against subgroups
youth (minorities, poor)
What is the Bank doing?
Between FY01 and FY11, the Bank loaned $2.85 billion to
youth employment through 90 operations in 57 countries,
reflecting 0.9% of total lending
                700                                                                                             13.5
                                                 World Development                      Global Crisis
                                                 Report on Youth
                600
                                                                                                                13




                                                                                                                       Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
                500
                             Youth Unemployment Rate
                                                                                                                12.5
 US$ Millions




                400


                300
                                                                                                                12

                200

                                                                                                                11.5
                100


                  0                                                                                             11
                      2001      2002    2003    2004   2005     2006      2007   2008   2009      2010   2011
                                                       Fiscal Year of Approval

                                        IBRD Actual      IDA Actual        Youth Unemployment Rate
Where did lending for youth employment go?

►70% of lending to 10 countries, and 30% to 47 countries

►Education
   • 40% of 90 projects and of $2.35 billion lending for YE
   • Other sectors: SP, FPD, PREM, SDN

►Projects have a supply-side approach:
   • Most often supported: Labor market information, quality of
     formal TVET, information on training, skills recognition
   • Few interventions to support hiring, self-employment, business
     environment
   • Comprehensive approach missing including demand-side
What is the evidence regarding the effectiveness of Bank
support?

► Youth employment is not a strategic issue in most CAS and CPS

► Evidence is scant on employment/earning effect in projects:
   • Tracer studies find positive employment and earning effects of TVET
   • Workplace training increases effectiveness of formal TVET, but is
     restricted by small formal sector
   • Little is known from Bank support to:
       – Smoothing the transition from school to work and facilitating job mobility
       – Job creation / work opportunity interventions


► Few Bank operations identify impact on low-income youth
► Need better diagnostics to inform policy
Key lessons

►Apply an evidence-based approach to youth employment
 programs

►At the country level, take a strategic approach to youth
 employment by addressing the issue comprehensively,
 working across teams:
   •   Participation of private sector
   •   Monitoring and follow up of individual program participants, and
   •   A combination of complementary interventions,
   •   Work in rural low-income areas, programs stimulating the market
       environment for growth of farms, household enterprises and rural
       agribusinesses is essential, including addressing constraints faced by
       rural youth in accessing land, credit and skill.

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Evaluation of World Bank Group Support to Youth Employment

  • 1. WBG Support To Youth Employment Programs : Selected Findings From An IEG Evaluation Creating Opportunities for Youth Employment The World Bank September 25, 2012 Independent Evaluation Group (IEG)
  • 2. Three questions 1. What is the nature of the Bank Group’s support to countries tackling youth employment problems? 2. What is the evidence that the Bank Group supports priority country needs in youth employment issues? 3. What is the evidence regarding the effectiveness of that support?
  • 3. Differences in youth employment across countries need different approaches Nature of Problem Context High unemployment for Economic crisis, structural reforms and lack of job all young workers creation in all countries Youth cohort growth is larger than job growth (e.g. Sub-Saharan Africa) High unemployment for Voluntary unemployment among higher-income highly-educated youth youth in MICs and LICs (e.g. Sri Lanka and MENA region) Large number of casual, low- In MICs and LICs with a small formal sector productivity, low-paid jobs Rural areas (farm and off-farm) held by youth Children in workforce and low school enrollment High unemployment Regional disparities in all countries concentrated in subgroups of Discrimination against subgroups youth (minorities, poor)
  • 4. What is the Bank doing? Between FY01 and FY11, the Bank loaned $2.85 billion to youth employment through 90 operations in 57 countries, reflecting 0.9% of total lending 700 13.5 World Development Global Crisis Report on Youth 600 13 Youth Unemployment Rate (%) 500 Youth Unemployment Rate 12.5 US$ Millions 400 300 12 200 11.5 100 0 11 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Fiscal Year of Approval IBRD Actual IDA Actual Youth Unemployment Rate
  • 5. Where did lending for youth employment go? ►70% of lending to 10 countries, and 30% to 47 countries ►Education • 40% of 90 projects and of $2.35 billion lending for YE • Other sectors: SP, FPD, PREM, SDN ►Projects have a supply-side approach: • Most often supported: Labor market information, quality of formal TVET, information on training, skills recognition • Few interventions to support hiring, self-employment, business environment • Comprehensive approach missing including demand-side
  • 6. What is the evidence regarding the effectiveness of Bank support? ► Youth employment is not a strategic issue in most CAS and CPS ► Evidence is scant on employment/earning effect in projects: • Tracer studies find positive employment and earning effects of TVET • Workplace training increases effectiveness of formal TVET, but is restricted by small formal sector • Little is known from Bank support to: – Smoothing the transition from school to work and facilitating job mobility – Job creation / work opportunity interventions ► Few Bank operations identify impact on low-income youth ► Need better diagnostics to inform policy
  • 7. Key lessons ►Apply an evidence-based approach to youth employment programs ►At the country level, take a strategic approach to youth employment by addressing the issue comprehensively, working across teams: • Participation of private sector • Monitoring and follow up of individual program participants, and • A combination of complementary interventions, • Work in rural low-income areas, programs stimulating the market environment for growth of farms, household enterprises and rural agribusinesses is essential, including addressing constraints faced by rural youth in accessing land, credit and skill.