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Measures to improve air quality
November 2016
Beth Conlan
2© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Public health and legislative compliance challenge
• 2015 Air Quality Plans – review of evidence on measures
• Task 1 - Rapid Evidence Literature Review
• Task 2 – Development of Streamlined PCM
• Task 3 – Development of Translation Tool to assess pricing measures
Background
3© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• What quantifiable effect might a range of policy measures potentially have on NO2
concentrations?
•
• What quantifiable effect on perceptions or behaviours?
• What quantifiable effect on traffic flows, composition and speed?
• What are the unintended consequences, including effects on other pollutants and other
environmental/ social effects? Are there any disproportionate impacts on particular
groups of people/organisations?
• What are the contributory factors (triggers and barriers) to effective implementation of a
package of measures to reduce NO2 concentrations at both a local and national level?
Research questions
4© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Civil Service 2014 Guidance on Rapid Evidence Reviews
• Online searches ScienceDirect, PubMed and Scopus
• Grey literature including the EC catalogue of measures
• Search terms
• Inclusion/Exclusion criteria applied to title and abstract
• Limitation primary aim of measure e.g. congestion
• Design and implementation impacts measure effectiveness
Methodology
Has robust evidence been gathered to assess the impact on NO2 or factors
that affect NO2?
Is the measure applicable at the national scale?
Would impact be localised or widespread?
Is the impact sufficient for the measure to be considered effective?
5© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Avoid
Shift
Improve
Outcome
Impact
Reduce traffic
levels
Vehicle flow and
Speeds
Vehicle technology
mix
Vehicle emission
factors
Measures
Demand
management
Access control and
management
Promoting low
emission vehicles
6© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Cleaner vehicles are
taken up more quickly
Pollutant emissions are
displaced outside
hotspots or kept away
from populated areas
Demand for more
polluting transport is
reduced
Existing vehicle
operations are less
polluting
19. Bus
scrappage
5. HGV
scrappage
167 Subsidising
public transport
8. Promoting
freight
consolidation
centres
25. Promote
walking and
cycling
30. Promote car
sharing
47. Further rail
electrification
9. Promote
DeNox retrofit
24. Priority
parking for low
emission
vehicles
20. Grants to
buy new low
emission buses
26. Workplace-
charging levies
35. Local
congestion
charging
34. National
road pricing
29. Allowing low
emission
vehicles to use
bus lanes
32. Fiscal
incentives for
low emission
vehicles
37. New
managed
motorways
56. Improved
anti-idling
enforcement
38. Active traffic-
light
management
45. Improved
junction layout
43. Ramp
metering
44. Lower
motorway speed
limits
53. Increase fuel
duty/ target at
diesels
41. Promote
tele-working/
video-
conferencing
23. Bus operator
NOx emissions
cap
15. Promotion of
Low Emission
Zones
36. Pedestrian
walkways over
trunk roads
50. New roads
62. Planting
trees along
roadsides
52. Road
‘canopies’ in
hotspots
51. NOx-eating
paint walls
6. Fleet
recognition
schemes
63. Hosing down
roads on high
pollution days
14. Reduced
VED for early
purchase of new
vehicles
27. Pollution car
labelling scheme
21. Newer buses
used for high
pollution routes
13. Negotiate
new vehicle
emissions
standards
33. Promote
rollout of EV
charging
infrastructure
7. Lorry bans in
urban centres
Freight/HGVs/LGVs Buses Cars Congestion Other
3. Allow more
night time freight
delivery
1. Promoting
freight modal
shift
10. Promoting ecodriving
55. Strengthen
air quality
planning
regulations
46. Better traffic
management
48. Reduced
emissions from
shipping
59. Promote AQ-
beneficial
biofuels
Transport air quality policy map
Regulation
Taxation
Funding
Guidance/ info
National Local
28. Grants for
purchase of
ultra-low
emission cars
KEY
61. Queue
cascading
57. Improved
airport
operations
31. High
occupancy
vehicle lanes
60. Public
information
campaign
40. Queue
relocation
2. Lorry road
user charging
Infrastructure
18. Designating
new and /or
priority bus
measures
58. Improved
road surfaces
16. Restricted access zones
42. New tram
schemes
49. Public
procurement of
cleaner vehicles
54. Travel
planning
22. Provision of
school buses
39. Intelligent
Speed
Adaptation
12. Roadside vehicle emissions tests
11. Annual vehicle emissions tests
4. Lorry
overtaking bans
7© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Land Use Planning
– Promoting settlement patterns that:
• Reduce trip lengths
• Encourage the use of walking and cycling
• Provide an integrated transport network
• Information Technology
– Working from home patterns
– Online shopping
– Multi-modal journey planning websites
– Smart ticketing
• Procurement
– 2009 Clean Vehicles Directive
Additional measures
8© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Euro Standards for Diesel and Petrol Cars
9© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
10© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• The fiscal structure around transport use and the difference
between modes will significantly affect travel choices
• Key pricing mechanisms
– Vehicle, fuel and road taxes
– Parking charges and availability
– Public transport fares
– Road pricing
• Key principle is to:
– Reflect the real cost of all transport modes , including
environmental and social cost,
– ‘Variable’ pricing and not ‘fixed’ pricing
• London Congestion Charging scheme
– Impacted in traffic levels and composition
Pricing measures
0
50
100
150
200
250
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Index1997=100
All motoring costs
Rail fares
Bus & Coach fares
11© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Vehicle restricted areas are increasingly being used in towns and cities to
manage the impact of vehicles in a very direct way
– Full pedestrianisation
– Vehicle size and weight restrictions
– Time of day restrictions
– Low Emission Zones (LEZs)
• Experience with LEZ is growing
– London, Berlin, Stockholm, Milan
– Scale and type varies widely
– Most target heavy diesel vehicles
– Accelerates fleet renewal/technology uptake, but is one off
– Key benefits to date have been PM reductions through forcing DPF
– NO2 benefits have been limited, due to performance of Euro standards in
real world and focus on retrofit DPF
Access Control and LEZs
12© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Fiscal incentives
– Taxes and capital allowances
– Road pricing and parking charges
– Grants
• Infrastructure
– Electric charging points (Plugged in places)
– Gas refuelling
• Procurement and planning
– Clean vehicles directive
– Planning controls to support infrastructure
• Partnership working
– Bus and freight quality partnerships
Promoting low emission vehicles
Zero
emission
Ultra low
emission
Low emission
Carbon and air pollutants
13© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Encouraging model shift to walking, cycling and public
transport
• Supported by DfT in terms of travel choice and the ‘nudge’
principle
• Three key elements
– Information
– Incentives
– Infrastructure
• Sustainable travel towns results:
– Traffic reduction between 2% and 8%
– Estimated cost per vkm removed was 4.5p
• However, travel habits can be hard to change and effort
needs to be sustained
‘Smarter choices’
14© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• ICT is changing the way we travel and potentially
reducing trips
– Home shopping
– Teleworking
– Audio/video conferencing
• New travel information service
– Trip planner
– RTPI
• New mobility services
– Mobility service vs car ownership
– Car and bike share schemes
– Peugeot MU, Daimler Car2Go
ICT and new mobility services
Supports changes in travel behaviour and new transport technologies
15© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Control and manage the flow of vehicles round a network
– Smooth flow
– Reduce congestion and stop-start
– Prioritise certain vehicle types, e.g bus lanes
• New approaches to traffic management
– Traffic gating/routing to move vehicles away from
polluted areas
– Optimise for emissions and congestion
• Parking management
– Control and supply of parking influences demand
– Information on parking support efficient use
– Prioritise/price parking in relation go vehicle
type/emissions
Traffic and parking management
16© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• Driver behaviour significantly impacts on vehicle fuel use and potentially pollutant
emissions
– Typically eco-training can reduce fuel use by 15% in the short terms and some 8-10%
long term
– This should also reduce pollutant emissions, but little direct evidence of this
• Vehicle telematics can significant support the long term benefits of better driving
– Driver feedback systems and good management are key
– Location systems also help with routing and scheduling to reduce mileage
• Freight consolidation
– Supply side through ‘consolidation centres’ – show good mileage savings, but not cost
effective at present
– Demand side through techniques such as delivery and servicing plans
Fleet management and efficiency
17© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Summary of measures
Measure Outcome Impact Cost/Investment
A S I Traffic Speed Technology AQ CO2
Demand management and behaviour change
Planning measures   ++ ++ ++ Low
Alternatives to travel  ++ ++ ++ Low
Behaviour change
programmes
  ++ ++ ++ Low/Medium
Driver training/fleets  + + + Low
Shared modes   + + + + Medium
Pricing measures   ++ ++ ++ Medium/High
Access control and traffic management
Vehicle restricted areas  +++ +++ + Medium
Low Emission Zones   ++ +++ ++ High/Medium
Parking management   + + + + Low
Traffic management   + ++ + + Medium/Low
Promoting Low Emission Vehicles
Fiscal measures  ++ ++ ++ Medium
Infrastructure  + ++ ++ Medium/High
Procurement  + ++ ++ Low
Partnerships  + ++ ++ Low
18© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
• A wide range of measures can influence travel patterns, mode choice and technology
choice.
• The impact and cost of the measures can be very locally specific and so can vary
widely, therefore hard to draw out generic or transferable results. Local assessment
needed.
• Behaviour change measures have a range of benefits and can be very cost effective,
but potentially hard to maintain momentum
• Access control and traffic management measures are very direct and so can be very
effective, but potentially unpopular
• Low emission vehicles are potentially an alternative to behaviour change, but are still
costly and significant uptake is needed.
• An integrated, comprehensive and potentially radical package of measures will
be needed to generate real improvements in air quality
Summary
19© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
Thank you

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IAQM AGM 2016 - Dr Beth Conlan, Ricardo

  • 1. Measures to improve air quality November 2016 Beth Conlan
  • 2. 2© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Public health and legislative compliance challenge • 2015 Air Quality Plans – review of evidence on measures • Task 1 - Rapid Evidence Literature Review • Task 2 – Development of Streamlined PCM • Task 3 – Development of Translation Tool to assess pricing measures Background
  • 3. 3© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • What quantifiable effect might a range of policy measures potentially have on NO2 concentrations? • • What quantifiable effect on perceptions or behaviours? • What quantifiable effect on traffic flows, composition and speed? • What are the unintended consequences, including effects on other pollutants and other environmental/ social effects? Are there any disproportionate impacts on particular groups of people/organisations? • What are the contributory factors (triggers and barriers) to effective implementation of a package of measures to reduce NO2 concentrations at both a local and national level? Research questions
  • 4. 4© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Civil Service 2014 Guidance on Rapid Evidence Reviews • Online searches ScienceDirect, PubMed and Scopus • Grey literature including the EC catalogue of measures • Search terms • Inclusion/Exclusion criteria applied to title and abstract • Limitation primary aim of measure e.g. congestion • Design and implementation impacts measure effectiveness Methodology Has robust evidence been gathered to assess the impact on NO2 or factors that affect NO2? Is the measure applicable at the national scale? Would impact be localised or widespread? Is the impact sufficient for the measure to be considered effective?
  • 5. 5© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Avoid Shift Improve Outcome Impact Reduce traffic levels Vehicle flow and Speeds Vehicle technology mix Vehicle emission factors Measures Demand management Access control and management Promoting low emission vehicles
  • 6. 6© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Cleaner vehicles are taken up more quickly Pollutant emissions are displaced outside hotspots or kept away from populated areas Demand for more polluting transport is reduced Existing vehicle operations are less polluting 19. Bus scrappage 5. HGV scrappage 167 Subsidising public transport 8. Promoting freight consolidation centres 25. Promote walking and cycling 30. Promote car sharing 47. Further rail electrification 9. Promote DeNox retrofit 24. Priority parking for low emission vehicles 20. Grants to buy new low emission buses 26. Workplace- charging levies 35. Local congestion charging 34. National road pricing 29. Allowing low emission vehicles to use bus lanes 32. Fiscal incentives for low emission vehicles 37. New managed motorways 56. Improved anti-idling enforcement 38. Active traffic- light management 45. Improved junction layout 43. Ramp metering 44. Lower motorway speed limits 53. Increase fuel duty/ target at diesels 41. Promote tele-working/ video- conferencing 23. Bus operator NOx emissions cap 15. Promotion of Low Emission Zones 36. Pedestrian walkways over trunk roads 50. New roads 62. Planting trees along roadsides 52. Road ‘canopies’ in hotspots 51. NOx-eating paint walls 6. Fleet recognition schemes 63. Hosing down roads on high pollution days 14. Reduced VED for early purchase of new vehicles 27. Pollution car labelling scheme 21. Newer buses used for high pollution routes 13. Negotiate new vehicle emissions standards 33. Promote rollout of EV charging infrastructure 7. Lorry bans in urban centres Freight/HGVs/LGVs Buses Cars Congestion Other 3. Allow more night time freight delivery 1. Promoting freight modal shift 10. Promoting ecodriving 55. Strengthen air quality planning regulations 46. Better traffic management 48. Reduced emissions from shipping 59. Promote AQ- beneficial biofuels Transport air quality policy map Regulation Taxation Funding Guidance/ info National Local 28. Grants for purchase of ultra-low emission cars KEY 61. Queue cascading 57. Improved airport operations 31. High occupancy vehicle lanes 60. Public information campaign 40. Queue relocation 2. Lorry road user charging Infrastructure 18. Designating new and /or priority bus measures 58. Improved road surfaces 16. Restricted access zones 42. New tram schemes 49. Public procurement of cleaner vehicles 54. Travel planning 22. Provision of school buses 39. Intelligent Speed Adaptation 12. Roadside vehicle emissions tests 11. Annual vehicle emissions tests 4. Lorry overtaking bans
  • 7. 7© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Land Use Planning – Promoting settlement patterns that: • Reduce trip lengths • Encourage the use of walking and cycling • Provide an integrated transport network • Information Technology – Working from home patterns – Online shopping – Multi-modal journey planning websites – Smart ticketing • Procurement – 2009 Clean Vehicles Directive Additional measures
  • 8. 8© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Euro Standards for Diesel and Petrol Cars
  • 9. 9© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence
  • 10. 10© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • The fiscal structure around transport use and the difference between modes will significantly affect travel choices • Key pricing mechanisms – Vehicle, fuel and road taxes – Parking charges and availability – Public transport fares – Road pricing • Key principle is to: – Reflect the real cost of all transport modes , including environmental and social cost, – ‘Variable’ pricing and not ‘fixed’ pricing • London Congestion Charging scheme – Impacted in traffic levels and composition Pricing measures 0 50 100 150 200 250 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Index1997=100 All motoring costs Rail fares Bus & Coach fares
  • 11. 11© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Vehicle restricted areas are increasingly being used in towns and cities to manage the impact of vehicles in a very direct way – Full pedestrianisation – Vehicle size and weight restrictions – Time of day restrictions – Low Emission Zones (LEZs) • Experience with LEZ is growing – London, Berlin, Stockholm, Milan – Scale and type varies widely – Most target heavy diesel vehicles – Accelerates fleet renewal/technology uptake, but is one off – Key benefits to date have been PM reductions through forcing DPF – NO2 benefits have been limited, due to performance of Euro standards in real world and focus on retrofit DPF Access Control and LEZs
  • 12. 12© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Fiscal incentives – Taxes and capital allowances – Road pricing and parking charges – Grants • Infrastructure – Electric charging points (Plugged in places) – Gas refuelling • Procurement and planning – Clean vehicles directive – Planning controls to support infrastructure • Partnership working – Bus and freight quality partnerships Promoting low emission vehicles Zero emission Ultra low emission Low emission Carbon and air pollutants
  • 13. 13© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Encouraging model shift to walking, cycling and public transport • Supported by DfT in terms of travel choice and the ‘nudge’ principle • Three key elements – Information – Incentives – Infrastructure • Sustainable travel towns results: – Traffic reduction between 2% and 8% – Estimated cost per vkm removed was 4.5p • However, travel habits can be hard to change and effort needs to be sustained ‘Smarter choices’
  • 14. 14© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • ICT is changing the way we travel and potentially reducing trips – Home shopping – Teleworking – Audio/video conferencing • New travel information service – Trip planner – RTPI • New mobility services – Mobility service vs car ownership – Car and bike share schemes – Peugeot MU, Daimler Car2Go ICT and new mobility services Supports changes in travel behaviour and new transport technologies
  • 15. 15© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Control and manage the flow of vehicles round a network – Smooth flow – Reduce congestion and stop-start – Prioritise certain vehicle types, e.g bus lanes • New approaches to traffic management – Traffic gating/routing to move vehicles away from polluted areas – Optimise for emissions and congestion • Parking management – Control and supply of parking influences demand – Information on parking support efficient use – Prioritise/price parking in relation go vehicle type/emissions Traffic and parking management
  • 16. 16© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • Driver behaviour significantly impacts on vehicle fuel use and potentially pollutant emissions – Typically eco-training can reduce fuel use by 15% in the short terms and some 8-10% long term – This should also reduce pollutant emissions, but little direct evidence of this • Vehicle telematics can significant support the long term benefits of better driving – Driver feedback systems and good management are key – Location systems also help with routing and scheduling to reduce mileage • Freight consolidation – Supply side through ‘consolidation centres’ – show good mileage savings, but not cost effective at present – Demand side through techniques such as delivery and servicing plans Fleet management and efficiency
  • 17. 17© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Summary of measures Measure Outcome Impact Cost/Investment A S I Traffic Speed Technology AQ CO2 Demand management and behaviour change Planning measures   ++ ++ ++ Low Alternatives to travel  ++ ++ ++ Low Behaviour change programmes   ++ ++ ++ Low/Medium Driver training/fleets  + + + Low Shared modes   + + + + Medium Pricing measures   ++ ++ ++ Medium/High Access control and traffic management Vehicle restricted areas  +++ +++ + Medium Low Emission Zones   ++ +++ ++ High/Medium Parking management   + + + + Low Traffic management   + ++ + + Medium/Low Promoting Low Emission Vehicles Fiscal measures  ++ ++ ++ Medium Infrastructure  + ++ ++ Medium/High Procurement  + ++ ++ Low Partnerships  + ++ ++ Low
  • 18. 18© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence • A wide range of measures can influence travel patterns, mode choice and technology choice. • The impact and cost of the measures can be very locally specific and so can vary widely, therefore hard to draw out generic or transferable results. Local assessment needed. • Behaviour change measures have a range of benefits and can be very cost effective, but potentially hard to maintain momentum • Access control and traffic management measures are very direct and so can be very effective, but potentially unpopular • Low emission vehicles are potentially an alternative to behaviour change, but are still costly and significant uptake is needed. • An integrated, comprehensive and potentially radical package of measures will be needed to generate real improvements in air quality Summary
  • 19. 19© Ricardo-AEA LtdRicardo Energy & Environment in Confidence Thank you

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Lots of measures but can be consolidated in a known Avoid/Shfit/Improve framework the impact metric is what we are interested in getting quanitffied evidence on
  2. Complex policy picture for AQ and transport Aim of project is to consider the evidence for measures in the literature To do this a framework was developed Avoid Shift and Improve
  3. Main content slide. Other slide layouts are available via Home tab > Slides group > Layout. Edit the project number, confidential level (and client name), date and document number (RD or for proposals use B&T number) in the footer via View tab > Presentation Views group > Slide Master. Be sure to scroll all the way up to the top “slide master” to edit these, as you can not edit them in the “layouts”. Also go there to remove or edit the “INTERNAL UNAPPROVED DRAFT” tag before releasing to clients.