1. © OECD/IEA 2013
WEO-2013 special analysis on
“Energy and Global Competitiveness”
Dr. Fatih Birol
IEA Chief Economist
Paris, 4 June 2013

2. © OECD/IEA 2013
Overview of WEO-2013
& related analysis
 A full update of energy projections
 By country, fuel & sector, through 2035, with a stopover in 2020
 Fuel focus: Oil
 Country focus: Brazil
 Other features:
 Unconventional gas developments & the uptake of IEA “Golden Rules”
 What the changing energy map means for global competiveness
 Special Reports in the WEO series
 Redrawing the Energy-Climate map – 10 June (London)
 Southeast Asia Energy Outlook – late September (East Asian Summit, Bali)

3. © OECD/IEA 2013
What the changing energy map
means for global competiveness
 Analysis led by the Directorate of Global Energy Economics, in close
cooperation with industry, governments & other stakeholders
 A special chapter in WEO-2013 with some 30 pages of analysis
 Timeline:
 Analysis & preparation of draft ongoing
 Today’s discussions will help seek expert views & advice
 Draft chapter sent for peer review: 2 August
 Launch to international press: 12 November, London
 IEA Ministerial meeting: 19-20 November, Paris

4. © OECD/IEA 2013
Approach and topics
 Foundations of global energy system shifting:
 Resurgence in oil & gas production in some countries
 Retreat from nuclear in some others
 Signs of increasing policy focus on energy efficiency
 Key areas for analysis:
 How big a concern energy competitiveness is in reality
 What persistent energy-price disparities mean for future economic balances
 Which industry sectors are likely to be most affected and why
 What industry & policy makers could do to improve energy competitiveness

5. © OECD/IEA 2013
This session
 Now three interventions by:
 Dr. Peter Westerheide, Chief Economist, BASF
 Mr. Joe Mastrangelo, CEO Power Conversion, General Electric
 Mr. Graham Weale, Chief Economist, RWE
 Then open discussion till 17h30
 Informal meeting, so Chatham House rule applies
 Objective is to seek your expert views on how best to shape the
WEO-2013 special analysis on “Energy & Global Competitiveness”