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The Sixth Assessment
Cycle and How to be
Involved in the IPCC work
Edvin Aldrian
Outreach event in Mongolia
17 April 2019
Sixth Assessment Cycle (AR6)
3 Special Reports
Methodology Report update
May 2019: 2019 Refinement to the 2006
IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse
Gas Inventories
AR6 Main Report
2021: Working Group I, II, and III contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report
April 2022: Synthesis Report to the Sixth Assessment Report
Global Warming of 1.5 °C
(SR15)
Climate Change and Land
(SRCCL)
Ocean and Cryosphere
(SROCC)
October 2018 August 2019 September 2019
Attention on cities in AR6
including a conference and
special report on cities in
AR7
Cities
UNFCCC global stocktake 2023
UNFCCC COP24 - Talanoa (facilitative) dialogue
Working Group I Outline
Chapter 1: Framing, context, methods
Chapter 2: Changing state of the climate system
Chapter 3: Human influence on the climate system
Chapter 4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term
information
Chapter 5: Global carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks
Chapter 6: Short-lived climate forcers
Chapter 7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity
Chapter 8: Water cycle changes
Chapter 9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change
Chapter 10: Linking global to regional climate change
Chapter 11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate
Chapter 12: Climate change information for regional impact and for risk
assessment
Working Group II Outline
Chapter 1: Point of departure and key concepts
SECTION 1: Risks, adaptation and sustainability for systems impacted by
climate change
Chapter 2: Terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems and their services
Chapter 3: Ocean and coastal ecosystems and their services
Chapter 4: Water
Chapter 5: Food, fibre, and other ecosystem products
Chapter 6: Cities, settlements and key infrastructure
Chapter 7: Health, wellbeing and the changing structure of communities
Chapter 8: Poverty, livelihoods and sustainable development
Working Group II Outline (cont’d)
SECTION 2: Regions
Chapter 9: Africa
Chapter 10: Asia
Chapter 11: Australasia
Chapter 12: Central and South America
Chapter 13: Europe
Chapter 14: North America
Chapter 15: Small Islands
SECTION 3: Sustainable development pathways: integrating adaptation
and mitigation
Chapter 16: Key risks across sectors and regions
Chapter 17: Decision-making options for managing risk
Chapter 18: Climate resilient development pathways
15. Investment and finance
16. Innovation, technology development and transfer
5: Demand, services and social aspects of mitigation
6: Energy systems 9. Buildings
7. Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Uses 10. Transport
8. Urban systems and other settlements 11. Industry
12. Cross sectoral perspectives
Framing (1 chapter)
High-level assessment of emission trends, drivers and
pathways (3 chapters)
Sectoral chapters (8 chapters)
Institutional drivers (2 chapters)
Synthesis (1 chapter)
17. Accelerating the transition in the context of sustainable development
13. National and sub-national policies and institutions
14. International cooperation
1. Introduction and framing
2. Emissions trends and drivers
3. Mitigation pathways compatible with long-term goals
4. Mitigation and development pathways in the near- to mid-term
Set up sustainable development as key
framing concept
Balancing sources and sinks/warming levels
NDCs, emissions peaking, mid-century long-
term low greenhouse gas emission
development strategies
Orients sectors to human needs
The sectoral core: maps on to inventories
Financial flows + technological innovation
Synthesis sustainable development in different
geographical scales
Financial and technological drivers (2 chapters)
Responses not captured by sectoral framing
Institutions, policies and cooperation
Working Group III Outline
Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C
(SR15) Outline
Chapter 1: Framing and Context
Chapter 2: Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5°C in the context of
sustainable development
Chapter 3: Impacts of 1.5°C global warming on natural and human systems
Chapter 4: Strengthening and implementing the global response to the threat of
climate change
Chapter 5: Sustainable development, poverty eradication, and reducing
inequalities
Special Report on Climate Change and Land
(SRCCL) Outline
Chapter 1: Framing and Context
Chapter 2: Land–Climate interactions
Chapter 3: Desertification
Chapter 4: Land Degradation
Chapter 5: Food Security
Chapter 6: Interlinkages between desertification, land degradation, food security
and GHG fluxes: synergies, trade-offs and integrated response options
Chapter 7: Risk management and decision making in relation to sustainable
development
Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere
(SROCC)Outline
Chapter 1: Framing and Context of the Report
Chapter 2: High Mountain Areas
Chapter 3: Polar Regions
Chapter 4: Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low Lying Islands, Coasts and
Communities
Chapter 5: Changing Ocean, Marine Ecosystems, and Dependent Communities
Chapter 6: Extremes, Abrupt Changes and Managing Risks
2019 Refinement to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines
for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories
Outline
Overview Chapter
Volume 1: General Guidance and Reporting
Volume 2: Energy
Volume 3: Industrial Processes and Product Use
Volume 4: Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use
Volume 5: Waste
IPCC Reports - Preparatory Phase
Scoping
Approval of
Outline
Nomination
of Authors
Selection
of Authors
The outline is drafted and
developed by experts
nominated by the
government and observer
organizations
The panel approves the
outline
Government and observer
organizations nominate
experts as authors
Bureaux select authors
IPCC Reports - Drafts
Expert Review
(FOD)
Govt and
Expert Review
(SOD)
Final Draft
and SPM
Govt Review
of Final Draft
The 1st order draft is
reviewed by experts
(anyone can register)
The 2nd draft of the report
and 1st draft of the SPM is
reviewed by governments
and experts
Authors prepare final
drafts of the report and
SPM which hare sent to
governments
Governments review the
final draft SPM in
preparation for its
approval
Diversity is our strength…
…but we need to do better.
IPCC Sixth Assessment Report
Authors by regions
11% South-West Pacific
18% North America, Central
America and the Caribbean
11% Africa
19% Asia
34% Europe
7% South America
Bureaux selects Authors and Review Editors from lists of nominations
provided by governments and observer organizations. Look out for the
calls for nomination of authors and contact your IPCC Focal Point if you
are interested in being nominated.
As Authors or Review Editors
Contribute to existing literature
To be involved in the two review stages: Expert Review of the
First Order Draft and Government and Expert Review of the
Second Order Draft
As Expert Reviewers
IPCC assessments are as good as the literature available.
Look out for the various cut off dates for literature for the
different reports.
Author teams – CLAs, LAs, REs
Coordinating Lead Authors (CLAs)
Lead Authors (LAs)
Review Editors (REs)
Contributing Authors (CA)
Chapter Scientists (CS)
Usually more experienced scientists and practitioners
• CLAs and LAs develop the chapter content
• REs ensure comments from the review process are
taken into consideration by the team
Selected following a call for nominations
• Proposed by IPCC focal Points from governments
and observer organisations, and the IPCC Bureau
• Selected by the Bureau of the relevant IPCC
Working Group or Task Force
Call for nominations are published on the IPCC website:
http://ipcc.ch/
Author teams – CAs
Coordinating Lead Authors (CLAs)
Lead Authors (LAs)
Review Editors (REs)
Contributing Authors (CA)
Chapter Scientists (CS)
Prepare technical information in the form of
text, graphs or data
Contributions
• Solicited by LAs
• Fill gaps in expertise and regional
knowledge
Author teams – CS
Coordinating Lead Authors (CLAs)
Lead Authors (LAs)
Review Editors (REs)
Contributing Authors (CA)
Chapter Scientists (CS)
Scientific assistants who provide support to the author
teams
• Technical aspects including cross-checking between
findings in different parts of the report
• Additional fact-checking
• Reference management
• Are early career researchers who benefit from the
experience
Recruited
• Directly by CLAs
• Through a call issued by the TSUs
http://wg1.ipcc.ch/
http://www.ipcc-wg2.awi.de/
http://www.ipcc-wg3.ac.uk/
http://www.ipcc-
nggip.iges.or.jp/
- 2019 2020
How to Contribute?
Outreach Activities
WGI
FOD
(April – June)
SOD
(March –April)
WGII FOD
(Oct –Dec)
SOD
(Aug –Oct)
WGIII FOD
(Jan–Mar)
SOD
(Jul–Sep)
IPCC
IPCC
http://www.slideshare.net/ipcc-
media/presentations
https://www.youtube.com/c/ipccgeneva
Find us on:
Website: http://ipcc.ch/
IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int
IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int
@IPCC_CH
https://www.linkedin.com/company/ipcc
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ipccphoto/sets/
https://vimeo.com/ipcc
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
For more information:

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The Sixth Assessment Cycle and how to be involved in the IPCC work

  • 1. The Sixth Assessment Cycle and How to be Involved in the IPCC work Edvin Aldrian Outreach event in Mongolia 17 April 2019
  • 2. Sixth Assessment Cycle (AR6) 3 Special Reports Methodology Report update May 2019: 2019 Refinement to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories AR6 Main Report 2021: Working Group I, II, and III contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report April 2022: Synthesis Report to the Sixth Assessment Report Global Warming of 1.5 °C (SR15) Climate Change and Land (SRCCL) Ocean and Cryosphere (SROCC) October 2018 August 2019 September 2019 Attention on cities in AR6 including a conference and special report on cities in AR7 Cities UNFCCC global stocktake 2023 UNFCCC COP24 - Talanoa (facilitative) dialogue
  • 3. Working Group I Outline Chapter 1: Framing, context, methods Chapter 2: Changing state of the climate system Chapter 3: Human influence on the climate system Chapter 4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information Chapter 5: Global carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks Chapter 6: Short-lived climate forcers Chapter 7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity Chapter 8: Water cycle changes Chapter 9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change Chapter 10: Linking global to regional climate change Chapter 11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate Chapter 12: Climate change information for regional impact and for risk assessment
  • 4. Working Group II Outline Chapter 1: Point of departure and key concepts SECTION 1: Risks, adaptation and sustainability for systems impacted by climate change Chapter 2: Terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems and their services Chapter 3: Ocean and coastal ecosystems and their services Chapter 4: Water Chapter 5: Food, fibre, and other ecosystem products Chapter 6: Cities, settlements and key infrastructure Chapter 7: Health, wellbeing and the changing structure of communities Chapter 8: Poverty, livelihoods and sustainable development
  • 5. Working Group II Outline (cont’d) SECTION 2: Regions Chapter 9: Africa Chapter 10: Asia Chapter 11: Australasia Chapter 12: Central and South America Chapter 13: Europe Chapter 14: North America Chapter 15: Small Islands SECTION 3: Sustainable development pathways: integrating adaptation and mitigation Chapter 16: Key risks across sectors and regions Chapter 17: Decision-making options for managing risk Chapter 18: Climate resilient development pathways
  • 6. 15. Investment and finance 16. Innovation, technology development and transfer 5: Demand, services and social aspects of mitigation 6: Energy systems 9. Buildings 7. Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Uses 10. Transport 8. Urban systems and other settlements 11. Industry 12. Cross sectoral perspectives Framing (1 chapter) High-level assessment of emission trends, drivers and pathways (3 chapters) Sectoral chapters (8 chapters) Institutional drivers (2 chapters) Synthesis (1 chapter) 17. Accelerating the transition in the context of sustainable development 13. National and sub-national policies and institutions 14. International cooperation 1. Introduction and framing 2. Emissions trends and drivers 3. Mitigation pathways compatible with long-term goals 4. Mitigation and development pathways in the near- to mid-term Set up sustainable development as key framing concept Balancing sources and sinks/warming levels NDCs, emissions peaking, mid-century long- term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies Orients sectors to human needs The sectoral core: maps on to inventories Financial flows + technological innovation Synthesis sustainable development in different geographical scales Financial and technological drivers (2 chapters) Responses not captured by sectoral framing Institutions, policies and cooperation Working Group III Outline
  • 7. Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C (SR15) Outline Chapter 1: Framing and Context Chapter 2: Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5°C in the context of sustainable development Chapter 3: Impacts of 1.5°C global warming on natural and human systems Chapter 4: Strengthening and implementing the global response to the threat of climate change Chapter 5: Sustainable development, poverty eradication, and reducing inequalities
  • 8. Special Report on Climate Change and Land (SRCCL) Outline Chapter 1: Framing and Context Chapter 2: Land–Climate interactions Chapter 3: Desertification Chapter 4: Land Degradation Chapter 5: Food Security Chapter 6: Interlinkages between desertification, land degradation, food security and GHG fluxes: synergies, trade-offs and integrated response options Chapter 7: Risk management and decision making in relation to sustainable development
  • 9. Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere (SROCC)Outline Chapter 1: Framing and Context of the Report Chapter 2: High Mountain Areas Chapter 3: Polar Regions Chapter 4: Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low Lying Islands, Coasts and Communities Chapter 5: Changing Ocean, Marine Ecosystems, and Dependent Communities Chapter 6: Extremes, Abrupt Changes and Managing Risks
  • 10. 2019 Refinement to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Outline Overview Chapter Volume 1: General Guidance and Reporting Volume 2: Energy Volume 3: Industrial Processes and Product Use Volume 4: Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use Volume 5: Waste
  • 11. IPCC Reports - Preparatory Phase Scoping Approval of Outline Nomination of Authors Selection of Authors The outline is drafted and developed by experts nominated by the government and observer organizations The panel approves the outline Government and observer organizations nominate experts as authors Bureaux select authors
  • 12. IPCC Reports - Drafts Expert Review (FOD) Govt and Expert Review (SOD) Final Draft and SPM Govt Review of Final Draft The 1st order draft is reviewed by experts (anyone can register) The 2nd draft of the report and 1st draft of the SPM is reviewed by governments and experts Authors prepare final drafts of the report and SPM which hare sent to governments Governments review the final draft SPM in preparation for its approval
  • 13. Diversity is our strength… …but we need to do better.
  • 14. IPCC Sixth Assessment Report Authors by regions 11% South-West Pacific 18% North America, Central America and the Caribbean 11% Africa 19% Asia 34% Europe 7% South America
  • 15. Bureaux selects Authors and Review Editors from lists of nominations provided by governments and observer organizations. Look out for the calls for nomination of authors and contact your IPCC Focal Point if you are interested in being nominated. As Authors or Review Editors Contribute to existing literature To be involved in the two review stages: Expert Review of the First Order Draft and Government and Expert Review of the Second Order Draft As Expert Reviewers IPCC assessments are as good as the literature available. Look out for the various cut off dates for literature for the different reports.
  • 16. Author teams – CLAs, LAs, REs Coordinating Lead Authors (CLAs) Lead Authors (LAs) Review Editors (REs) Contributing Authors (CA) Chapter Scientists (CS) Usually more experienced scientists and practitioners • CLAs and LAs develop the chapter content • REs ensure comments from the review process are taken into consideration by the team Selected following a call for nominations • Proposed by IPCC focal Points from governments and observer organisations, and the IPCC Bureau • Selected by the Bureau of the relevant IPCC Working Group or Task Force Call for nominations are published on the IPCC website: http://ipcc.ch/
  • 17. Author teams – CAs Coordinating Lead Authors (CLAs) Lead Authors (LAs) Review Editors (REs) Contributing Authors (CA) Chapter Scientists (CS) Prepare technical information in the form of text, graphs or data Contributions • Solicited by LAs • Fill gaps in expertise and regional knowledge
  • 18. Author teams – CS Coordinating Lead Authors (CLAs) Lead Authors (LAs) Review Editors (REs) Contributing Authors (CA) Chapter Scientists (CS) Scientific assistants who provide support to the author teams • Technical aspects including cross-checking between findings in different parts of the report • Additional fact-checking • Reference management • Are early career researchers who benefit from the experience Recruited • Directly by CLAs • Through a call issued by the TSUs http://wg1.ipcc.ch/ http://www.ipcc-wg2.awi.de/ http://www.ipcc-wg3.ac.uk/ http://www.ipcc- nggip.iges.or.jp/
  • 19. - 2019 2020 How to Contribute? Outreach Activities WGI FOD (April – June) SOD (March –April) WGII FOD (Oct –Dec) SOD (Aug –Oct) WGIII FOD (Jan–Mar) SOD (Jul–Sep)
  • 20. IPCC IPCC http://www.slideshare.net/ipcc- media/presentations https://www.youtube.com/c/ipccgeneva Find us on: Website: http://ipcc.ch/ IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int @IPCC_CH https://www.linkedin.com/company/ipcc https://www.flickr.com/photos/ipccphoto/sets/ https://vimeo.com/ipcc THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! For more information:

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. The idea of slides 4 to 8 is to just show