This Journal Club presentation provides a summary and discussion of the following free access article published in UOG:
Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic twins: A regional cohort study
Southwest Thames Obstetric Research Collaborative (STORK)
Volume 39, Issue 5, Date: May 2012, pages 500-504
This can be accessed here:
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/uog.11110/abstract
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UOG Journal Club: Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic twins: A regional coh…
1. UOG Journal Club: May 2012
Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic twins:
a regional cohort study
Southwest Thames Obstetric Research Collaborative (STORK)
Volume 39, Issue 5, Date: May 2012, pages 500–504
Journal Club slides prepared by Dr Asma Khalil
(UOG Editor for Trainees)
2. Stillbirth rate in twin pregnancy
Current evidence
10 Large numbers (n = 35 647)
9 But no data on chorionicity
Stillbirth rate per 1000
8
7
fetuses at risk
6
5
4
3 Twins
2 Singleton
1
0
28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42
Gestational age (weeks)
Joseph K et al., BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2003
3. Cumulative perinatal loss rate in twins
Current evidence
Monochorionic
Chorionicity data
But small numbers (n = 467)
Cumulative loss rate (%)
Fetal loss: MC DC
Pregnancies (%) 12.7 2.5*
Fetuses (%) 12.2 1.8*
Perinatal loss:
Dichorionic Pregnancies (%) 4.9 2.8
Fetuses (%) 2.8 1.6
Gestation (weeks) * P < 0.05
Sebire NJ et al., BJOG 1997
4. Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic
twins: a regional cohort study
STORK, UOG 2012
Objective
Evaluate the prospective risk of late stillbirth in a large regional
cohort of twin pregnancies of known chorionicity
Retrospective data;
3005 twin pregnancies
delivered after 26 weeks
from 2000 to 2009
5. Methodology
Inclusion criteria Exclusion criteria
1) Confirmed diamniotic twin 1) Unknown chorionicity
pregnancy at 11 weeks 2) Delivery < 26 weeks
2) 9 hospitals in the Southwest Thames 3) TOP
region of England 4) Stillbirth with a birth weight of < 500g
3) 2000-2009
Data sources
•Scan data: computerized search of each hospital’s obstetric ultrasound computer
database of all twins at 11–14-week nuchal scan
•Stillbirth data: Centre for Maternal and Child Enquiries (CMACE)
Mandatory national register of all stillbirths
GA at IUD and delivery
•Computerized maternity records were cross-linked to stillbirth data
7. Pregnancy management
11–14 weeks Delivery
•GA according to the CRL • Mode according to patient’s
•Chorionicity (lambda/T-signs) decision and local clinical practice
20–22 weeks • Routine IOL ≥ 38 weeks
•Routine anomaly scan • Elective CS ≥ 36 weeks for MC
and ≥ 37 weeks for DC twins
3rd trimester
•Ultrasound every 3–5 weeks Analysis
•Scans more frequently
• SB risk: derived for each 2-week
as clinically indicated GA interval from 26 weeks
•MC twins had additional scans at
• SB risk expressed per fetus
17 and 19 weeks (for TTTS)
8. Results
MC pregnancies DC pregnancies
Live births
(n = 528) (n = 2424)
GA at delivery (weeks) 36 (34–37) 37 (35–38)*
Birth weight centile 18.4 (4.0–44.8) 22.9 (6.2–50.7)*
Stillbirths MC pregnancies DC pregnancies
(n = 21) (n = 32)
GA at death (weeks) 32 (31–34) 34 (32–36)
Birth weight centile 3.9 (0.2–28.3) 1.1 (0.1–10.0)
* P < 0.05
9. Timing of birth in twin pregnancy
Modal time of delivery
MC = 36–37 weeks
DC = 37–38 weeks
Birth (%)
Monochorionic
Dichorionic
Gestational age (weeks)
10. Late stillbirth risk in twin pregnancy
9
8
1000 ongoing fetuses
7 Monochorionic
Stillbirth risk per
6
5
4
3
Dichorionic
2
1
0
26 28 30 32 34 ≥ 36
Gestational age (weeks)
SB risk in MC twins did not change significantly between 26 and 36 weeks (OR = 1.85 (0.3–13.2))
11. Late stillbirth risk in twin pregnancy
Risk of stillbirth compared to 26+0–27+6 weeks
Monochorionic Dichorionic
>36 >36
Gestational age
Gestational age
34-36 34-36
(weeks)
(weeks)
32-34 32-34
30-32 30-32
28-30 28-30
0.1 1 10 0.1 1 10
Odds ratio Odds ratio
Total stillbirth rate: MC twins = 19.1 (12.5–29.1) fetuses/1000 ongoing fetuses
DC twins = 6.5 (4.6–9.2) ) fetuses/1000 ongoing fetuses
OR = 2.97 (95% CI 1.7–5.28)
12. Strengths
Current study Previous studies
•Management according to a • Smaller numbers
protocol consistent with current
clinical practice • No standardized protocol for fetal
•Modal time of delivery for MC surveillance
and DC twins of 36 and 37 wk
• Elective delivery of many MC twins
•Largest twin cohort to provide
data on chorionicity-related risk of before 37 weeks
late SB
Limitations
• Retrospective design (validation of the ultrasound database against delivery suite
and national SB registers)
• Assumptions made about GA at which IUD was diagnosed
13. Stillbirth versus prematurity
Stillbirth risk
Total stillbirth rate >26 weeks approaches 2% in MC twins
Late preterm delivery
1) Infant death rate >32 weeks is 1%
2) Respiratory distress syndrome at 32 weeks 5%
3) Cerebral palsy is 3 x higher at 34 weeks than at term
14. Prospective risk of late stillbirth in MC twins
STORK, UOG 2012
Conclusion
The risk of SB in MC twins does not appear to
increase significantly near term
The data do not support a policy of elective delivery
at less than 36 weeks in uncomplicated MC twins
15. Prospective risk of late stillbirth in MC twins
STORK, UOG 2012
Discussion points
• What is your local hospital policy for timing of delivery of MC and DC
twins?
• Is the clinical evidence for your local policy robust?
• How did the researchers capture all twin pregnancies in this cohort?
• How did the researchers capture all the stillbirths from this cohort?
• Was the stillbirth risk in MC different from that of DC twins?
• Did the stillbirth risk in MC twins increase significantly at any gestational
age?
• Do the risks of continuing MC pregnancy beyond 34 weeks’ gestation
outweigh the risks of preterm delivery?