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UOG Journal Club: May 2012
Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic twins:
                 a regional cohort study
         Southwest Thames Obstetric Research Collaborative (STORK)
             Volume 39, Issue 5, Date: May 2012, pages 500–504




                     Journal Club slides prepared by Dr Asma Khalil
                     (UOG Editor for Trainees)
Stillbirth rate in twin pregnancy
                                        Current evidence
                         10           Large numbers (n = 35 647)
                             9        But no data on chorionicity
  Stillbirth rate per 1000




                             8
                             7
       fetuses at risk




                             6
                             5
                             4
                             3                            Twins
                             2                                       Singleton
                             1
                             0
                                 28     30    32     34    36       38       40       42
                                             Gestational age (weeks)

                                                          Joseph K et al., BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2003
Cumulative perinatal loss rate in twins
                                              Current evidence
                                  Monochorionic
                                                           Chorionicity data
                                                      But small numbers (n = 467)
Cumulative loss rate (%)




                                                      Fetal loss:          MC           DC

                                                      Pregnancies (%)     12.7         2.5*

                                                      Fetuses (%)         12.2         1.8*
                                                      Perinatal loss:
                                       Dichorionic    Pregnancies (%)      4.9          2.8

                                                      Fetuses (%)          2.8          1.6


                              Gestation (weeks)                                          * P < 0.05
                                                                        Sebire NJ et al., BJOG 1997
Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic
           twins: a regional cohort study
                         STORK, UOG 2012



Objective

Evaluate the prospective risk of late stillbirth in a large regional
cohort of twin pregnancies of known chorionicity

                 Retrospective data;
                 3005 twin pregnancies
                 delivered after 26 weeks
                 from 2000 to 2009
Methodology

Inclusion criteria                         Exclusion criteria

1) Confirmed diamniotic twin               1) Unknown chorionicity
   pregnancy at 11 weeks                   2) Delivery < 26 weeks
2) 9 hospitals in the Southwest Thames     3) TOP
   region of England                       4) Stillbirth with a birth weight of < 500g
3) 2000-2009

                                Data sources
•Scan data: computerized search of each hospital’s obstetric ultrasound computer
database of all twins at 11–14-week nuchal scan
•Stillbirth data: Centre for Maternal and Child Enquiries (CMACE)
       Mandatory national register of all stillbirths
       GA at IUD and delivery
•Computerized maternity records were cross-linked to stillbirth data
SOUTHWEST THAMES OBSTETRIC RESEARCH COLLABORATIVE (STORK)
               Nine UK hospitals, 16 collaborators
Pregnancy management
        11–14 weeks                              Delivery
•GA according to the CRL            • Mode according to patient’s
•Chorionicity (lambda/T-signs)        decision and local clinical practice

        20–22 weeks                 • Routine IOL ≥ 38 weeks

•Routine anomaly scan               • Elective CS ≥ 36 weeks for MC
                                      and ≥ 37 weeks for DC twins
         3rd trimester
•Ultrasound every 3–5 weeks                     Analysis
•Scans more frequently
                                    • SB risk: derived for each 2-week
as clinically indicated               GA interval from 26 weeks
•MC twins had additional scans at
                                    • SB risk expressed per fetus
17 and 19 weeks (for TTTS)
Results
                         MC pregnancies     DC pregnancies
     Live births
                            (n = 528)          (n = 2424)

GA at delivery (weeks)      36 (34–37)        37 (35–38)*
Birth weight centile      18.4 (4.0–44.8)   22.9 (6.2–50.7)*




     Stillbirths         MC pregnancies     DC pregnancies
                             (n = 21)           (n = 32)
 GA at death (weeks)        32 (31–34)        34 (32–36)
 Birth weight centile     3.9 (0.2–28.3)     1.1 (0.1–10.0)


                                                               * P < 0.05
Timing of birth in twin pregnancy
            Modal time of delivery
             MC = 36–37 weeks
             DC = 37–38 weeks
Birth (%)




                           Monochorionic



                                         Dichorionic




                     Gestational age (weeks)
Late stillbirth risk in twin pregnancy
                                   9
                                   8
           1000 ongoing fetuses




                                   7                       Monochorionic
             Stillbirth risk per




                                   6
                                   5
                                   4
                                   3
                                                            Dichorionic
                                   2
                                   1
                                   0
                                       26   28        30        32         34   ≥ 36
                                                 Gestational age (weeks)



SB risk in MC twins did not change significantly between 26 and 36 weeks (OR = 1.85 (0.3–13.2))
Late stillbirth risk in twin pregnancy
              Risk of stillbirth compared to 26+0–27+6 weeks

                                Monochorionic                                       Dichorionic
                    >36                                                 >36




                                                     Gestational age
 Gestational age




                   34-36                                               34-36
    (weeks)




                                                        (weeks)
                   32-34                                               32-34

                   30-32                                               30-32

                   28-30                                               28-30

                          0.1         1         10                            0.1        1        10
                                  Odds ratio                                        Odds ratio


Total stillbirth rate: MC twins = 19.1 (12.5–29.1) fetuses/1000 ongoing fetuses
                       DC twins = 6.5 (4.6–9.2) ) fetuses/1000 ongoing fetuses
                       OR = 2.97 (95% CI 1.7–5.28)
Strengths
         Current study                                Previous studies
•Management according to a                     • Smaller numbers
protocol consistent with current
clinical practice                              • No standardized protocol for fetal
•Modal time of delivery for MC                   surveillance
and DC twins of 36 and 37 wk
                                               • Elective delivery of many MC twins
•Largest twin cohort to provide
data on chorionicity-related risk of            before 37 weeks
late SB

                                 Limitations
• Retrospective design (validation of the ultrasound database against delivery suite
  and national SB registers)
• Assumptions made about GA at which IUD was diagnosed
Stillbirth versus prematurity
                        Stillbirth risk

Total stillbirth rate >26 weeks approaches 2% in MC twins


                   Late preterm delivery

1) Infant death rate >32 weeks is 1%

2) Respiratory distress syndrome at 32 weeks 5%

3) Cerebral palsy is 3 x higher at 34 weeks than at term
Prospective risk of late stillbirth in MC twins
                     STORK, UOG 2012




                   Conclusion
 The risk of SB in MC twins does not appear to
  increase significantly near term
 The data do not support a policy of elective delivery
  at less than 36 weeks in uncomplicated MC twins
Prospective risk of late stillbirth in MC twins
                             STORK, UOG 2012

                         Discussion points
• What is your local hospital policy for timing of delivery of MC and DC
  twins?
• Is the clinical evidence for your local policy robust?
• How did the researchers capture all twin pregnancies in this cohort?
• How did the researchers capture all the stillbirths from this cohort?
• Was the stillbirth risk in MC different from that of DC twins?
• Did the stillbirth risk in MC twins increase significantly at any gestational
  age?
• Do the risks of continuing MC pregnancy beyond 34 weeks’ gestation
  outweigh the risks of preterm delivery?

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UOG Journal Club: Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic twins: A regional coh…

  • 1. UOG Journal Club: May 2012 Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic twins: a regional cohort study Southwest Thames Obstetric Research Collaborative (STORK) Volume 39, Issue 5, Date: May 2012, pages 500–504 Journal Club slides prepared by Dr Asma Khalil (UOG Editor for Trainees)
  • 2. Stillbirth rate in twin pregnancy Current evidence 10 Large numbers (n = 35 647) 9 But no data on chorionicity Stillbirth rate per 1000 8 7 fetuses at risk 6 5 4 3 Twins 2 Singleton 1 0 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 Gestational age (weeks) Joseph K et al., BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2003
  • 3. Cumulative perinatal loss rate in twins Current evidence Monochorionic Chorionicity data But small numbers (n = 467) Cumulative loss rate (%) Fetal loss: MC DC Pregnancies (%) 12.7 2.5* Fetuses (%) 12.2 1.8* Perinatal loss: Dichorionic Pregnancies (%) 4.9 2.8 Fetuses (%) 2.8 1.6 Gestation (weeks) * P < 0.05 Sebire NJ et al., BJOG 1997
  • 4. Prospective risk of late stillbirth in monochorionic twins: a regional cohort study STORK, UOG 2012 Objective Evaluate the prospective risk of late stillbirth in a large regional cohort of twin pregnancies of known chorionicity Retrospective data; 3005 twin pregnancies delivered after 26 weeks from 2000 to 2009
  • 5. Methodology Inclusion criteria Exclusion criteria 1) Confirmed diamniotic twin 1) Unknown chorionicity pregnancy at 11 weeks 2) Delivery < 26 weeks 2) 9 hospitals in the Southwest Thames 3) TOP region of England 4) Stillbirth with a birth weight of < 500g 3) 2000-2009 Data sources •Scan data: computerized search of each hospital’s obstetric ultrasound computer database of all twins at 11–14-week nuchal scan •Stillbirth data: Centre for Maternal and Child Enquiries (CMACE)  Mandatory national register of all stillbirths  GA at IUD and delivery •Computerized maternity records were cross-linked to stillbirth data
  • 6. SOUTHWEST THAMES OBSTETRIC RESEARCH COLLABORATIVE (STORK) Nine UK hospitals, 16 collaborators
  • 7. Pregnancy management 11–14 weeks Delivery •GA according to the CRL • Mode according to patient’s •Chorionicity (lambda/T-signs) decision and local clinical practice 20–22 weeks • Routine IOL ≥ 38 weeks •Routine anomaly scan • Elective CS ≥ 36 weeks for MC and ≥ 37 weeks for DC twins 3rd trimester •Ultrasound every 3–5 weeks Analysis •Scans more frequently • SB risk: derived for each 2-week as clinically indicated GA interval from 26 weeks •MC twins had additional scans at • SB risk expressed per fetus 17 and 19 weeks (for TTTS)
  • 8. Results MC pregnancies DC pregnancies Live births (n = 528) (n = 2424) GA at delivery (weeks) 36 (34–37) 37 (35–38)* Birth weight centile 18.4 (4.0–44.8) 22.9 (6.2–50.7)* Stillbirths MC pregnancies DC pregnancies (n = 21) (n = 32) GA at death (weeks) 32 (31–34) 34 (32–36) Birth weight centile 3.9 (0.2–28.3) 1.1 (0.1–10.0) * P < 0.05
  • 9. Timing of birth in twin pregnancy Modal time of delivery MC = 36–37 weeks DC = 37–38 weeks Birth (%) Monochorionic Dichorionic Gestational age (weeks)
  • 10. Late stillbirth risk in twin pregnancy 9 8 1000 ongoing fetuses 7 Monochorionic Stillbirth risk per 6 5 4 3 Dichorionic 2 1 0 26 28 30 32 34 ≥ 36 Gestational age (weeks) SB risk in MC twins did not change significantly between 26 and 36 weeks (OR = 1.85 (0.3–13.2))
  • 11. Late stillbirth risk in twin pregnancy Risk of stillbirth compared to 26+0–27+6 weeks Monochorionic Dichorionic >36 >36 Gestational age Gestational age 34-36 34-36 (weeks) (weeks) 32-34 32-34 30-32 30-32 28-30 28-30 0.1 1 10 0.1 1 10 Odds ratio Odds ratio Total stillbirth rate: MC twins = 19.1 (12.5–29.1) fetuses/1000 ongoing fetuses DC twins = 6.5 (4.6–9.2) ) fetuses/1000 ongoing fetuses OR = 2.97 (95% CI 1.7–5.28)
  • 12. Strengths Current study Previous studies •Management according to a • Smaller numbers protocol consistent with current clinical practice • No standardized protocol for fetal •Modal time of delivery for MC surveillance and DC twins of 36 and 37 wk • Elective delivery of many MC twins •Largest twin cohort to provide data on chorionicity-related risk of before 37 weeks late SB Limitations • Retrospective design (validation of the ultrasound database against delivery suite and national SB registers) • Assumptions made about GA at which IUD was diagnosed
  • 13. Stillbirth versus prematurity Stillbirth risk Total stillbirth rate >26 weeks approaches 2% in MC twins Late preterm delivery 1) Infant death rate >32 weeks is 1% 2) Respiratory distress syndrome at 32 weeks 5% 3) Cerebral palsy is 3 x higher at 34 weeks than at term
  • 14. Prospective risk of late stillbirth in MC twins STORK, UOG 2012 Conclusion  The risk of SB in MC twins does not appear to increase significantly near term  The data do not support a policy of elective delivery at less than 36 weeks in uncomplicated MC twins
  • 15. Prospective risk of late stillbirth in MC twins STORK, UOG 2012 Discussion points • What is your local hospital policy for timing of delivery of MC and DC twins? • Is the clinical evidence for your local policy robust? • How did the researchers capture all twin pregnancies in this cohort? • How did the researchers capture all the stillbirths from this cohort? • Was the stillbirth risk in MC different from that of DC twins? • Did the stillbirth risk in MC twins increase significantly at any gestational age? • Do the risks of continuing MC pregnancy beyond 34 weeks’ gestation outweigh the risks of preterm delivery?