Learning targets: This presentation will help you understand:
(1) The scope of human population growth
(2) The effect of population, affluence and technology on the environment
(3) Fundamentals of demography
(4) The demographic transition
(5) Factors that affect population growth
(6) Three Technological Eras
(7) Basic Concepts of Population Growth
(8) Factors Affecting Human Population Size
(9) Factors Affecting Birth Rates and Total Fertility Rates
(10) Population Movements
(11) Population Trend Comparisons
(12) Human Population Issues
2. “the power of
population
growth is greater
than the power
of Earth to
produce
subsistence.”
Thomas Malthus
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3. BASIC CONCEPTS
of Population Growth
Biosphere
all life on Earth
Population: all members of a single species living in a
given time and place and actually or potentially
interbreeding.
4. Species: all individuals that are
capable of interbreeding and is
made up of populations.
Ecosystem:
all the interacting
populations in a given
time and place.
Communities:
all the organisms
and their non-
living environment
in a defined area.
BASIC CONCEPTS
of Population Growth
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5. Sex Ratio and Age Distribution
– together they tell how a population will grow.
Sex Ratio –
relative number of
males and females in a
population.
Age Distribution –
number of individuals of
each age in a population.
BASIC CONCEPTS
of Population Growth
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6. DEMOGRAPHY
– study of populations, their characteristics and changes.
study population size;
density and distribution;
age structure;
sex ratio;
Birth rate;
Death rate;
Immigration and
emigration rates
Demographers
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12. POPULATION
MOVEMENTS
Migration
– permanent change of residence of a person or group.
Emigration – movement of
people out of a country.
Immigration – movement
of people into a country.
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13. Push factors
1. No job opportunities;
2. Poverty;
3. War; and
4. Environmental disasters
Circumstances in the country or
origin that lead people to emigrate.
Pull factors
1. Economic opportunity;
2. Political freedom; and
(i.e. Democracy)
3. Better standards of living
Conditions in the destination country
that make emigration attractive.
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14. 1. Change in population size
= (births – deaths) + (immigrants – emigrants)
2. (Crude) Birth rate - the number of individuals born
during a specified time interval.
Affect
ing
Population SizeHUMAN
FACTORS
Natural increase
– when the birth rate is
higher than the death
rate, more people are
being born than are
dying so the population
grows.
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15. 3. (Crude) Death rate - the number of individuals
who die during a specified time interval.
Affect
ing
Population SizeHUMAN
FACTORS
Natural decrease – when
the death rate is higher
than the birth rate.
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17. 4. Total Fertility Rate (TFR) – the average number of
children a woman has during her reproductive years.
– Biotic potential: the maximum rate at which a population
could increase when birth rate is maximal and death
rate minimal.
5. Replacement Fertility - number of children
needed to replace everyone in the population.
Zero Population Growth:
• birth rate = death rate.
Affect
ing
Population SizeHUMAN
FACTORS
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18. Demographics Profile 2013
Philippines
(as of July 2013)
Worldwide
(as of July 2013)
Population 7.2 billion
Growth Rate 1.84% 1.095%
Birth Rate 24.62 births/1,000 18.9 births/1,000 population
Death Rate 4.95 deaths/1,000 7.9 deaths/1,000 population
Fertility rate 3.1 children born/woman 2.45 children born/woman
Infant
mortality rate
total: 18.19 deaths/1,000 live
births
total:37.61 deaths/1,000 live
births
Maternal
mortality rate
99 deaths/100,000 live births
(2010)
People living
with HIV/AIDS
8,700 (2009 est.) 33.3 million (2009 est.)
23. 1.Children in labor force
2.Cost of raising and
educating children
TOTAL
FERTILITYRates
FACTORS AFFECTING
Birth
24. 1.Children in labor force
2.Cost of raising and
educating children
3.Urbanization
TOTAL
FERTILITYRates
FACTORS AFFECTING
Birth
25. 1.Children in labor force
2.Cost of raising and
educating children
3.Urbanization
4.Education level and
employment for women
TOTAL
FERTILITYRates
FACTORS AFFECTING
Birth
26. 1.Children in labor force
2.Cost of raising and
educating children
3.Urbanization
4.Education level and
employment for women
5.Infant mortality rate
TOTAL
FERTILITYRates
FACTORS AFFECTING
Birth
27. 1.Children in labor force
2.Cost of raising and
educating children
3.Urbanization
4.Education level and
employment for women
5.Infant mortality rate
6.Population’s religious
beliefs, customs and
traditions
TOTAL
FERTILITYRates
FACTORS AFFECTING
Birth
28. 1.Children in labor force
2.Cost of raising and
educating children
3.Urbanization
4.Education level and
employment for women
5.Infant mortality rate
6.Populations religious
beliefs, customs and
traditions
7.Average marrying age
TOTAL
FERTILITYRates
FACTORS AFFECTING
Birth
29. 1.Children in labor force
2.Cost of raising and
educating children
3.Urbanization
4.Education level and
employment for women
5.Infant mortality rate
6.Populations religious
beliefs, customs and
traditions
7.Average marrying age
8.Availability of birth
control and abortions
TOTAL
FERTILITYRates
FACTORS AFFECTING
Birth
31. MEGACITIES
As of 2013, there are 24 megacities in existence according to the Population Reference Bureau.
- is usually defined as a metropolitan
area with a total population in excess
of ten million people.
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33. MEGACITIES
Rank Megacity Country Population
1 Tokyo Japan 34,800,000
2 Guangzhou China 31,700,000
3 Shanghai China 28,900,000
4 Jakarta Indonesia 26,400,000
5 Seoul South Korea 25,800,000
6 Delhi (India) India 24,000,000
7 Mexico City Mexico 23,800,000
8 Karach Pakistan 23,500,000
9 Manila Philippines 22,200,000
10 New York City United States 21,600,000
11 São Paulo Brazil 21,600,000
12 Mumbai India 21,400,000
13 Beijing China 19,300,000
14 Los Angeles United States 17,200,000
15 Osaka Japan 16,800,000
16 Dhaka Bangladesh 16,300,000
17 Cairo Egypt 16,100,000
18 Kolkata India 16,000,000
19 London
United
Kingdom
15,500,000
20 Buenos Aires Argentina 14,500,000
21 Bangkok Thailand 14,500,000
22 Istanbul Turkey 14 160 467
23 Lagos Nigeria 13,200,000
24 Tehran Iran 13,200,000
42. DEVELOPED
COUNTRIES
Low infant mortality rate
Life expectancy of 77 years
Total fertility rate = 2.0
Per capita GDP = $36,110
Compari
sons
TREND
POPULATION
DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
High infant mortality rate
Life expectancy of 52 years
Total fertility rate = 5.7
Per capita GDP = $800
Developing Countries
- also called a less-developed
country (LDC),is a nation with a
lower living standard,
underdeveloped industrial base.
Developed Countries
- is a sovereign state that has a
highly developed economy and
advanced technological
infrastructure relative to other less
industrialized nations.
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43. THE WEALTH GAP AND POPULATION
GROWTH CAUSE CONFLICT
The stark contrast between affluent and poor societies
causes social and environmental stress.
* The richest 20% use 86% of the world’s resources
* Leaves 14% of the resources for 80% of the world’s people to share
* Tensions between “haves” and “have-not’s” are increasing
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44.
45. Major Social Factor
Determining Family Size is the
ROLE OF WOMEN IN SOCIETY
• Early marriages foster high
fertility rates.
• Lack of education
opportunities for women
reduces their options.
• When level of education
increases, fertility rates fall.
• The most important factor is
the ability of women to control
the size of their family.
• Access to birth control is key
47. CAGE PEOPLE IN HONGKONG
Cage home refers to a type of residence
that is big enough for one bunk bed and
surrounded by a metal cage.
In 2007, there were approximately
53,200 people living in caged homes.
PROBLEMS
Safety
Unhygienic
Limited Space
Psychological welfare
53. And a larger ecological footprint
Benefit is all a
matter of one’s
Perspective...
54.
55. Cutting Global
Population Growth
• Family planning
• Improve health care
• Elevate the status of
women
• Increase education
• Involve men in parenting
• Reduce poverty
• Sustainability
• Equal distribution of
wealth
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Notes de l'éditeur
The human population continues to grow rapidly. The fact is, humanity today represents something unprecedented in the history of the world: never before has one species had such a great impact on the environment in such a short time and continued to increase at such a rapid rate. These qualities make the human population the underlying environmental issue.
Before you start going out and saying “The end is certain!”, realize that people are able to come up with ideas to extend their ability to inhabit this Earth, at least temporarily. More than 200 years ago, Thomas Malthus, an English economist and demographer (population expert), eloquently stated the human population problem.
Philippines is one of the poorest country in the world. Everything now depends on how much you will earn for living. So how many people now live in poverty specifically in the rural areas? How many of us live like that. I want to show you this chart. Very simple, poor and rich and here we’ll put the 7 billion people in a very simplified way lying out here from the poorest to the richest. Now, how much does the richest billion earn in dollar per day? Let’s take a look here. Then let’s look at the middle billion. How much do they earn in income , just 10. And then let’s go over here to the poorest billion. How much do they get? Well, just one! This is the difference of the world today. And the economists of today, they draw a line which they called as line for extreme poverty. That’s when you can hardly buy food. In short, perte jud lisuda! 1 billion people is clearly below that place and the 2nd billion is somewhere divided on that line and the others are above it.
The poorest people. They can hardly afford to buy shoes… and when they get shoes, the next they will do is to buy a bicycle… this is a normal instinct! And after bicycle to a motorbike…and after motorbike, a car! And for the richest billion? They can fly by air on holiday.
Of course there are much people richer than the airplane people. Some are so rich that they are even contemplating that they should go as tourist out into space.
And the difference income of the airplane people to the very rich people is almost as big as it is from the airplane people all the way down to the poorest ones. The most important thing to remember in this chart is this.
The problem for us/of the people living 100 dollar a day is when they look down to the lower income ones, they look it as equally poor. They can’t see the difference! They think that everyone is living the same amount of money because they are all poor.
It is such a huge challenge when we see people are becoming eager to strive in making a living pedaling their way out of extreme poverty. One thing helps! Education is so important for the progress of people and nations. But how many know what has really happen with education?
Of course! its 75%. The common view about the world is outdated in several decades where the media have missed to communicate. Our world is changing every time. Back to our topic,
Back to our topic, it takes a hard work for us to get away from it! Our government can help if things like school, health, vaccines, roads, electricity etc. are provided but we can be more successful if we do our part. HARDWORK! It is possible within some decades and yes getting out of poverty is just a beginning. People will continue along the line to a good life.
But what does a good life mean?
For most people in the world. The good life we are striving for means more machines and much more use of energy so does a problem because all these adds to one of the great threats for the future. Severe climate change. 80% of the world still uses fossil fuels and the science shows that our climate may change dramatically in the future because of the carbon dioxide emission from continuing burning of fossil fuels.
I am not the best person to tell you how bad climate change will be nor I’m a specialists to tell you on how to prevent it. What I can do is to show you a data to make you understand who is the one that emits more CFC’s in our atmosphere.
Remember the information provided, from the poorest billion to the riches billion. From the one who can hardly afford shoes to the one who fly with air. Now this shows the total amount of fossil fuel used in the world during one week (Coal, Oil and Natural gas) and the total percent of carbon dioxide.
So how much of that is used by the richest billion? Half of it! And the 2nd richest billion? Half of what’s left. More than half of what’s left and others use hardly anything. It’s so clear that almost all of the fossil fuels are used mostly by the top 3 richest billions. More than 85%, but according to UNESCO, at least the richest billion now have stop increasing but we are yet to see whether they will decreae. And in the coming decades, if the economic growth of the following billion, that will increase the demand use of carbon dioxide emission. And regarding the population growth, it could destroy our planet in the near future.