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AGRICULTURE and BIOPRODUCTS
Thanks to Pete Desai
2030 … Next 30 Years
“Knowledge Based Economy” a new Driver
Great Opportunity for Agriculture
Tremendous Prospects for Plant Science
Entertainment
Entertainment Energy
Energy
Industrial Materials
Industrial Materials
The 20th Century:
Century of Physics & Chemistry
Co-evolution and convergence of different scientific disciplines create many
new application opportunities with large societal benefits, both economic and
scientific.
Mathematics
Mechanics
Quantum Mechanics
Chemistry / Physics
Material Science
Electronics
Microbiology
Information
Information
Technology
Technology
Communication
Communication
Transportation
Transportation Pharmaceuticals
Pharmaceuticals
Food / Agriculture
Food / Agriculture
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Instruments
Instruments
The 21st Century: Century of
Biotechnology, Physics & Chemistry
Co-evolution and convergence of different scientific disciplines create many
new application opportunities with large societal benefits, both economic and
scientific.
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Entertainment
Entertainment Energy
Energy
Industrial Materials
Industrial Materials
BIOTECHNOLOGY
BIOTECHNOLOGY
BIOTECHNOLOGY
BIOTECHNOLOGY
Mathematics
Mechanics
Quantum Mechanics
Chemistry / Physics
Material Science
Electronics
Microbiology
Information
Information
Technology
Technology
Communication
Communication
Transportation
Transportation Pharmaceuticals
Pharmaceuticals
Food / Agriculture
Food / Agriculture
Instruments
Instruments
Technology and Global impact
Molecular Biology
Molecular Biology
Nanotechnology
Nanotechnology
Informatics
Informatics
The next threshold
in human progress
Electricity
Electricity
Computers
Computers
Flight
Flight
20th Century
Advances
Did you know
Sales Per Year
Canada
Automobiles $ 47 Billion
Residential Housing $ 13 Billion
Computers $ 1.2 Billion
USA
Wall-Mart $ 339 Billion
Exxon $ 333 Billion
Did You Know
FOOD GROCERIES EXPENDITURE
Canada $ 64 Billion
USA $ 600+ Billion
FOOD for THOUGHT #1
Agriculture is a BIG Business
The pie is bigger than we ALL think
“THINK BIG”
The Age of Biology is beginning…
Unit of Heredity
(G. Mendel)
DNA is heredity
material
DNA structure
Genetic
code
DNA sequencing
First
transgenic
plants
HGP
First
commercial
biotech crops
1865 1944 1953 1965 1977 1982 1994
1990
Corn hybrids
1920s
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
Million bp sequenced
2000
• Over 6000 million bp sequenced
• 6 multi cellular genomes
• 60 microbial genomes
• Gene expression arrays, proteomics,
regulation cascades, HTS, SNPs….
• Over 100 million acres biotech crops
Platform Technologies
Digitize
Digitize
& Analyze
& Analyze
Discover
Discover
Control &
Control &
Manipulate
Manipulate
Genome
Genome Proteome
Proteome Life Networks
Life Networks
Directed
Directed
Evolution
Evolution
Functional
Functional
Genomics
Genomics
Genomic
Genomic
Sequencing
Sequencing
Protein
Protein
Engineering
Engineering
Protein
Protein
Function
Function
Protein
Protein
Structure
Structure
Cell
Cell
Systems
Systems
Chemo
Chemo
Genomics
Genomics
Protein & Cell
Protein & Cell
Signaling
Signaling
Gene
Gene Metabolic
Metabolic Protein
Protein Micro
Micro-
- Bio
Bio-
-
Genomics
Genomics Expression
Expression Path Eng.
Path Eng. Engineering
Engineering Biology
Biology Engineering
Engineering Fermentation
Fermentation
Enabling Technologies
Enabling Technologies
Further Building On:
Further Building On:
Genomics to identify genes and regulation
of expression…
A
T
C
A
G
C
T
G
A
Chromosomes
Genes
DNA
Sequences
Computer databases
Improved understanding of genes, gene function, and metabolic regulation
Proteomics
Metabolism
Regulation
Improved primary production = renewable resources
Improved primary production = renewable resources
Renewable resources are sustainable (Primary
energy capture to multiple uses)…
Oxygen
High energy
chemical bonds
& carbon skeletons
Photosynthesis
SOLAR ENERGY
CO2
Carbohydrates
Proteins
Nucleic acids
Lipids & Oils
Metabolites
Many chemicals
Energy, Food,
Feed, Fiber,
& Chemicals
Ecological cycles
> 1 million years
Fossil
Fuels
Consumption
& Processing
Traditional biomass approaches are
insufficient to meet demand…
CROP
Residues
TYPICAL BIOMASS
FORESTRY
Residues
PROCESS
Residues
MUNICIPAL
Waste
recycling
T
R
A
D
I
T
I
O
N
A
L
Lignin
Cellulose
Hemi-
cellulose
Other
Processing
METHODS
Designed
SOURCES
NEW FUTURE APPROACHES
High energy compounds
Novel building blocks
- carbon skeletons
- novel polymers
BIOPOWER
BIOFUELS
BIOPRODUCTS
Bioenergy Platform
Renewable Resources
A vision for renewable resources...
TODAY 2020 2050
Demand
Supplied from
Fossil Fuels
Supplied from
Renewables
5-fold
Fossil fuel use
is kept about flat
5-fold
again
Source: Renewable Resources Vision 2020
National security
Environmental footprint
Rural development
Economic sustainability
Facts and Figures: World Energy Use…
Natural Gas
23%
Coal 22%
Petroleum
40%
Nuclear
7%
0 50 100 150
US
Far East
C. & S. America
Canada & Mexico
W. Europe
E. Europe/F. Soviet
Middle East
Africa
Quadrillion Btus
Renewables
8%
Source: USDOE
World Energy Use = 382 Quads
or 65 million Btu/yr/capita
World Energy Use = 382 Quads
or 65 million Btu/yr/capita
BY TYPE: BY REGION:
US Renewable Energy…
Hydroelectric
47%
Wood and
Waste 45%
Solar & Wind
1.5%
Geothermal
5%
Ethanol Fuel
1.5%
Total renewable energy
use in the US = 7.5 Quads
(<8% total consumption)
Total renewable energy
use in the US = 7.5 Quads
(<8% total consumption) ♦ Today only ~4% of US
energy comes from
biomass
♦ Today only ~3% of US
chemicals and
materials come from
biomass
Canada: reserves and time left…
0
25
50
75
100
125
Crude oil Nat gas Coal
Proven Total projected
Known reserves:
Crude oil = 4.7 B bbls
Nat gas = 61 T cu ft
Coal = 9.5 B tons
Y-axis is # YEARS
until reserves are gone
At current rates of domestic
consumption plus export
Vision 2020 roadmap identifies several areas
and the need to integrate research...
Plant
Science
Utilization
(Demand)
Utilization
(Materials)
Processing
Production
Source: Plant/Crop-Based Renewable Resources Roadmap
Unit costs
Yield
Consistency
Infrastructure
Designer plants
Economics
Separations
Conversion
Bio-catalysts
Infrastructure
Economics
Functionality
Performance
Novel uses
Price/value
Performance
Perception
Genomics
Enzymes
Metabolism
Composition
Science and technology impact
Key areas for integrated research
Evolution of the bio-refinery?
Ethanol
BioFuels
Organic acids
B
I
O
P
R
O
C
E
S
S
I
N
G
Amino acids
Butanol
Levulinate
Xylose
Polyols
Chemicals
Many derivatives
Starch
Products
Dextrose
HFCS
Grains
Stover
Biomass
Marine
Other/
Waste
B
I
O
R
E
F
I
N
E
R
Y
Oil
Process
• Edible
• Industrial
Glycerol
+ fatty acids
Residue
Recycling
Gasification
Bioenergy
Methanol, H2
Fiber
Feed
Gluten
(Protein)
KEY COMPETENCIES
!Catalysis
!Chem Engineering
!Material Science
KEY COMPETENCIES
!Biotech Basics
!Bioprocessing
!Chem Engineering
!Material Science
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
85%
85%
85%
85%
85%
85%
85%
85% x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
Broad variety of commodity and differentiated chemicals and plastics
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Emerging Future: Duality in Feedstocks and Processes
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Technology Progress
Gas
Gas
Seed
Seed
Products
Products
Products
Products
Fermentation
Fermentation
Enzymatic
Enzymatic
Biocatalysis
Bioreactor
Separation
Recovery
Plant Growth
Identity Preservation
Separation
BIOPROCESSING
BIOPROCESSING
BIOPROCESSING
BIOPROCESSING
PLANT EXPRESSION
PLANT EXPRESSION
PLANT EXPRESSION
PLANT EXPRESSION
PLANT EXPRESSION
PLANT EXPRESSION
PLANT EXPRESSION
PLANT EXPRESSION
Liquid or
Liquid or
Solid Biomass
Solid Biomass
Pharma
Pharma
Ag
Ag
Nutritional Supplements
Nutritional Supplements
Food Ingredients
Food Ingredients
Spec Chem
Spec Chem
Chemicals/Polymers
Chemicals/Polymers Food /Feed
Food /Feed
Opportunities for Plant-Produced,
Renewable Materials
Enzymes
Enzymes
Volume
Volume
-
- High Value Protein Manufacturing
High Value Protein Manufacturing
-
- (Chemicals/Seeds)
(Chemicals/Seeds)
-
- Large Volume Industrial Catalysts
Large Volume Industrial Catalysts
-
- PG, Oleochemicals
PG, Oleochemicals
-
- PLA, PHA’s
PLA, PHA’s
Value
Value
$/Lb.
$/Lb.
Use of biotech to modify existing
components…
From: Hu et al, (1999) Nature Biotechnology, 17, pp 808-812.
Typical wood: (or stalks/fiber)
Cellulose (1,4-glucan) – tensile strength
Lignin (phenolic polymers) – rigidity
Hemicellulose (mixed polysaccharides)
Down regulated
via anti-sense
Typical processing involves
removing lignin from
cellulosic components.
Not only was lignin down,
growth of the trees was
significantly enhanced.
Spider silk proteins…
♦ Seven known protein types
♦ Repetitive amino acid arrays
♦“Flagelliform” silk
♦ Highly elastic (200% extension)
♦“Frame dragline” silk
• Strength = 300,000 lbs/sq inch
• Lighter than steel or petro-polymers
Aerospace
Structural engineering
Ballistic protection
Novel fibers for communications
Sea shells contain in interesting
materials…
This may turn out to be
the least valuable material
Natural polymers such as
polyaspartate will become more
prominent as a future source of
renewable resources.
Bio-mineralization is
under genetic control
Advances in renewables
Advances in renewables
Novel genes
Functional materials
Functional materials
Biomimetics
New materials
New materials
• Nanoscale biopolymers for semiconductors
The marine environment has a vast array
of functional chemicals and polymers…
Millions of diverse species
Millions of diverse species
Billions of diverse genes
Billions of diverse genes
Pharmaceuticals
Nutraceuticals
Pharmaceuticals
Nutraceuticals
Advances in renewables
Advances in renewables
Novel genes
Functional materials
Functional materials
Biomimetics
New materials
New materials
Genes, proteins, chemicals
Genes, proteins, chemicals
Forestry bioresources…
Pulp & paper quality
Degree of lignification
Enzyme modification of fibers
Pulp & paper quality
Degree of lignification
Enzyme modification of fibers
Gasification of residues
• Methanol – fuels cells
• Base chemical molecules
Gasification of residues
• Methanol – fuels cells
• Base chemical molecules
Growth rate: productivity
Pest protection
Stress tolerance
Wood quality
Growth rate: productivity
Pest protection
Stress tolerance
Wood quality
Bio-diversity:
• Fungi
• Lichens/mosses
• Microbes
• Groundcover
• Insects
Bio-diversity:
• Fungi
• Lichens/mosses
• Microbes
• Groundcover
• Insects
Advanced management
• Remote sensing
Advanced management
• Remote sensing
Lactic
Acid
Lactide
Polylactic acid (PLA) from
grown carbon...
Fermentation
Dimerization
Controlled
polymerization
Polylactide
PLA Resins
• Melt processable
• Specific Mol Wts
• Polymer types
Thermoplastic &
other markets
D
E
X
T
R
O
S
E
NatureWorks® process
Genomics can assist in moving special
fatty acids between plant species…
Fatty acids and/or their triglycerides
= renewable industrial materials.
Moving genes to high-yielding crops.
PLANT FATTY ACID USES
Coriander Petroselinic (C18:1 !
!
!
!6) Nylon, Detergents
Cuphae Caprylate (C8:0) Detergents, lubricant
Forest vine Palmitoleic (C18:1 !
!
!
!9) Detergents
Honesty Nervonic (C24:1 !
!
!
!15) Slip agent
Jojoba Wax and esters (C40-44) Lubricant, cosmetics
Lesquerella Densipolic (12-OH C18:2 !
!
!
!9,15) Coatings
Meadowfoam Arachidonic (C20:1 !
!
!
!5) Anti-corrosion
Vernonia Vernolic (12-epoxy C18:1 !
!
!
!9) Plasticizer, polymers
Genomics to identify genes and regulation
of expression…
A
T
C
A
G
C
T
G
A
Chromosomes
Genes
DNA
Sequences
Computer databases
Improved understanding of genes, gene function, and metabolic regulation
Proteomics
Metabolism
Regulation
Improved primary production = renewable resources
Improved primary production = renewable resources
Traits that are on the horizon...
! Crop protection.
– New approaches via natural genes….
! Crop performance.
– Fertilizer use efficiency, stress tolerance….
! Compositional quality.
– Focus on feed moving to food (more slowly)
! Nutraceutical & health related.
– Antioxidants, edible vaccines….
! Industrial renewable resources.
– Raw materials inputs, few novel products.
The next generation will involve selecting
technology to fit consumer needs...
Set of Future
Consumer
Needs
Designer
Crops
Grown
Germplasm Base
MAB
Transgenics
Harvest
IP
Store
Separations
Processing
Food &
Materials
Manufacture
Genes
Mapping
Sequencing
Expression
Bioinformatics
T
R
A
I
T
S
D
N
A
Structural Genomics
Functional Genomics
Proteomics
Informational Science
Gene Shuffling
Achieving sustainable development will
require business sectors to reform new sets...
FOOD
PROCESSING
RESOURCE
PRODUCTION
(agriculture)
PHARMA
Emerging arena of
“Health and Well-being”
MATERIALS
CHEMICALS
Emerging arena of
“Sustainable Industry”
Viable businesses will
be more integrated but
along a different dimension
Viable businesses will
be more integrated but
along a different dimension
What changes can you
implement to increase
the probability for future
sustainable development.
What changes can you
implement to increase
the probability for future
sustainable development.
The Value Chain
Wealth Creation
Technology Germplasm Seeds Grower Grain Primary Secondary Retailing
Handling Processing Processing
CONSUMER
The Value Chain
Agriculture industry must form new systems to create,
capture and deliver the value from the technology.
Technology
Technology Germplasm
Germplasm Seeds
Seeds Grower
Grower Grain
Grain Primary
Primary Secondary
Secondary Retailing
Retailing
Handling
Handling Processing
Processing Processing
Processing
Future focus on “output” traits will drive greater
co-ordination between all points in the value-chain.
Success Factors for Bio-Based
Economy
Consistent Supply
Perceived or Add Real Value
Functionality
Property
Create a New Innovative Product
Excellent Science
Resources to Commercialize
Success Factors for Bio-Based
Economy
Short Term Quick HITS
FOCUS, Focus. focus on WINNERS
Need the Biomass equivalent of:
- Ethylene
- Oil
It could be SUGARS from Biomass
not Valuable commodity - Food
FOOD for THOUGHT #2
NO one can do it alone
Major Successes will be through
Multi Disciplinary
“TEAM APPROACH”
Think Global
Act Local
If you do what you always did then
“You will get what you always got”
*

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Krishi and Products

  • 2. 2030 … Next 30 Years “Knowledge Based Economy” a new Driver Great Opportunity for Agriculture Tremendous Prospects for Plant Science
  • 3. Entertainment Entertainment Energy Energy Industrial Materials Industrial Materials The 20th Century: Century of Physics & Chemistry Co-evolution and convergence of different scientific disciplines create many new application opportunities with large societal benefits, both economic and scientific. Mathematics Mechanics Quantum Mechanics Chemistry / Physics Material Science Electronics Microbiology Information Information Technology Technology Communication Communication Transportation Transportation Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceuticals Food / Agriculture Food / Agriculture Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Instruments Instruments
  • 4. The 21st Century: Century of Biotechnology, Physics & Chemistry Co-evolution and convergence of different scientific disciplines create many new application opportunities with large societal benefits, both economic and scientific. Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Convergence Entertainment Entertainment Energy Energy Industrial Materials Industrial Materials BIOTECHNOLOGY BIOTECHNOLOGY BIOTECHNOLOGY BIOTECHNOLOGY Mathematics Mechanics Quantum Mechanics Chemistry / Physics Material Science Electronics Microbiology Information Information Technology Technology Communication Communication Transportation Transportation Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceuticals Food / Agriculture Food / Agriculture Instruments Instruments
  • 5. Technology and Global impact Molecular Biology Molecular Biology Nanotechnology Nanotechnology Informatics Informatics The next threshold in human progress Electricity Electricity Computers Computers Flight Flight 20th Century Advances
  • 6. Did you know Sales Per Year Canada Automobiles $ 47 Billion Residential Housing $ 13 Billion Computers $ 1.2 Billion USA Wall-Mart $ 339 Billion Exxon $ 333 Billion
  • 7. Did You Know FOOD GROCERIES EXPENDITURE Canada $ 64 Billion USA $ 600+ Billion
  • 8. FOOD for THOUGHT #1 Agriculture is a BIG Business The pie is bigger than we ALL think “THINK BIG”
  • 9. The Age of Biology is beginning… Unit of Heredity (G. Mendel) DNA is heredity material DNA structure Genetic code DNA sequencing First transgenic plants HGP First commercial biotech crops 1865 1944 1953 1965 1977 1982 1994 1990 Corn hybrids 1920s 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 Million bp sequenced 2000 • Over 6000 million bp sequenced • 6 multi cellular genomes • 60 microbial genomes • Gene expression arrays, proteomics, regulation cascades, HTS, SNPs…. • Over 100 million acres biotech crops
  • 10. Platform Technologies Digitize Digitize & Analyze & Analyze Discover Discover Control & Control & Manipulate Manipulate Genome Genome Proteome Proteome Life Networks Life Networks Directed Directed Evolution Evolution Functional Functional Genomics Genomics Genomic Genomic Sequencing Sequencing Protein Protein Engineering Engineering Protein Protein Function Function Protein Protein Structure Structure Cell Cell Systems Systems Chemo Chemo Genomics Genomics Protein & Cell Protein & Cell Signaling Signaling Gene Gene Metabolic Metabolic Protein Protein Micro Micro- - Bio Bio- - Genomics Genomics Expression Expression Path Eng. Path Eng. Engineering Engineering Biology Biology Engineering Engineering Fermentation Fermentation Enabling Technologies Enabling Technologies Further Building On: Further Building On:
  • 11. Genomics to identify genes and regulation of expression… A T C A G C T G A Chromosomes Genes DNA Sequences Computer databases Improved understanding of genes, gene function, and metabolic regulation Proteomics Metabolism Regulation Improved primary production = renewable resources Improved primary production = renewable resources
  • 12. Renewable resources are sustainable (Primary energy capture to multiple uses)… Oxygen High energy chemical bonds & carbon skeletons Photosynthesis SOLAR ENERGY CO2 Carbohydrates Proteins Nucleic acids Lipids & Oils Metabolites Many chemicals Energy, Food, Feed, Fiber, & Chemicals Ecological cycles > 1 million years Fossil Fuels Consumption & Processing
  • 13. Traditional biomass approaches are insufficient to meet demand… CROP Residues TYPICAL BIOMASS FORESTRY Residues PROCESS Residues MUNICIPAL Waste recycling T R A D I T I O N A L Lignin Cellulose Hemi- cellulose Other Processing METHODS Designed SOURCES NEW FUTURE APPROACHES High energy compounds Novel building blocks - carbon skeletons - novel polymers BIOPOWER BIOFUELS BIOPRODUCTS Bioenergy Platform Renewable Resources
  • 14. A vision for renewable resources... TODAY 2020 2050 Demand Supplied from Fossil Fuels Supplied from Renewables 5-fold Fossil fuel use is kept about flat 5-fold again Source: Renewable Resources Vision 2020 National security Environmental footprint Rural development Economic sustainability
  • 15. Facts and Figures: World Energy Use… Natural Gas 23% Coal 22% Petroleum 40% Nuclear 7% 0 50 100 150 US Far East C. & S. America Canada & Mexico W. Europe E. Europe/F. Soviet Middle East Africa Quadrillion Btus Renewables 8% Source: USDOE World Energy Use = 382 Quads or 65 million Btu/yr/capita World Energy Use = 382 Quads or 65 million Btu/yr/capita BY TYPE: BY REGION:
  • 16. US Renewable Energy… Hydroelectric 47% Wood and Waste 45% Solar & Wind 1.5% Geothermal 5% Ethanol Fuel 1.5% Total renewable energy use in the US = 7.5 Quads (<8% total consumption) Total renewable energy use in the US = 7.5 Quads (<8% total consumption) ♦ Today only ~4% of US energy comes from biomass ♦ Today only ~3% of US chemicals and materials come from biomass
  • 17. Canada: reserves and time left… 0 25 50 75 100 125 Crude oil Nat gas Coal Proven Total projected Known reserves: Crude oil = 4.7 B bbls Nat gas = 61 T cu ft Coal = 9.5 B tons Y-axis is # YEARS until reserves are gone At current rates of domestic consumption plus export
  • 18. Vision 2020 roadmap identifies several areas and the need to integrate research... Plant Science Utilization (Demand) Utilization (Materials) Processing Production Source: Plant/Crop-Based Renewable Resources Roadmap Unit costs Yield Consistency Infrastructure Designer plants Economics Separations Conversion Bio-catalysts Infrastructure Economics Functionality Performance Novel uses Price/value Performance Perception Genomics Enzymes Metabolism Composition Science and technology impact Key areas for integrated research
  • 19. Evolution of the bio-refinery? Ethanol BioFuels Organic acids B I O P R O C E S S I N G Amino acids Butanol Levulinate Xylose Polyols Chemicals Many derivatives Starch Products Dextrose HFCS Grains Stover Biomass Marine Other/ Waste B I O R E F I N E R Y Oil Process • Edible • Industrial Glycerol + fatty acids Residue Recycling Gasification Bioenergy Methanol, H2 Fiber Feed Gluten (Protein)
  • 20. KEY COMPETENCIES !Catalysis !Chem Engineering !Material Science KEY COMPETENCIES !Biotech Basics !Bioprocessing !Chem Engineering !Material Science Renewable Resources Based Renewable Resources Based Renewable Resources Based Renewable Resources Based Renewable Resources Based Renewable Resources Based Renewable Resources Based Renewable Resources Based FARM FARM FARM FARM FARM FARM FARM FARM Commodity Commodity Commodity Commodity Commodity Commodity Commodity Commodity Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Carbo Carbo Carbo Carbo Carbo Carbo Carbo Carbo- - - - - - - - hydrate hydrate hydrate hydrate hydrate hydrate hydrate hydrate Plant Plant Plant Plant Plant Plant Plant Plant Expression Expression Expression Expression Expression Expression Expression Expression Specialty Specialty Specialty Specialty Specialty Specialty Specialty Specialty Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Processor Oils Oils Oils Oils Oils Oils Oils Oils Feed / Feed / Feed / Feed / Feed / Feed / Feed / Feed / Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food Food 85% 85% 85% 85% 85% 85% 85% 85% x% x% x% x% x% x% x% x% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% Broad variety of commodity and differentiated chemicals and plastics Oil Based Oil Based Oil Based Oil Based Oil Based Oil Based Oil Based Oil Based Oil Oil Oil Oil Oil Oil Oil Oil Well Well Well Well Well Well Well Well Refinery Refinery Refinery Refinery Refinery Refinery Refinery Refinery Petrochemicals Petrochemicals Petrochemicals Petrochemicals Petrochemicals Petrochemicals Petrochemicals Petrochemicals Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% Heat Heat Heat Heat Heat Heat Heat Heat Pressure Pressure Pressure Pressure Pressure Pressure Pressure Pressure Catalyst Catalyst Catalyst Catalyst Catalyst Catalyst Catalyst Catalyst Emerging Future: Duality in Feedstocks and Processes Bioprocessing Bioprocessing Bioprocessing Bioprocessing Bioprocessing Bioprocessing Bioprocessing Bioprocessing
  • 21. Technology Progress Gas Gas Seed Seed Products Products Products Products Fermentation Fermentation Enzymatic Enzymatic Biocatalysis Bioreactor Separation Recovery Plant Growth Identity Preservation Separation BIOPROCESSING BIOPROCESSING BIOPROCESSING BIOPROCESSING PLANT EXPRESSION PLANT EXPRESSION PLANT EXPRESSION PLANT EXPRESSION PLANT EXPRESSION PLANT EXPRESSION PLANT EXPRESSION PLANT EXPRESSION Liquid or Liquid or Solid Biomass Solid Biomass
  • 22. Pharma Pharma Ag Ag Nutritional Supplements Nutritional Supplements Food Ingredients Food Ingredients Spec Chem Spec Chem Chemicals/Polymers Chemicals/Polymers Food /Feed Food /Feed Opportunities for Plant-Produced, Renewable Materials Enzymes Enzymes Volume Volume - - High Value Protein Manufacturing High Value Protein Manufacturing - - (Chemicals/Seeds) (Chemicals/Seeds) - - Large Volume Industrial Catalysts Large Volume Industrial Catalysts - - PG, Oleochemicals PG, Oleochemicals - - PLA, PHA’s PLA, PHA’s Value Value $/Lb. $/Lb.
  • 23. Use of biotech to modify existing components… From: Hu et al, (1999) Nature Biotechnology, 17, pp 808-812. Typical wood: (or stalks/fiber) Cellulose (1,4-glucan) – tensile strength Lignin (phenolic polymers) – rigidity Hemicellulose (mixed polysaccharides) Down regulated via anti-sense Typical processing involves removing lignin from cellulosic components. Not only was lignin down, growth of the trees was significantly enhanced.
  • 24. Spider silk proteins… ♦ Seven known protein types ♦ Repetitive amino acid arrays ♦“Flagelliform” silk ♦ Highly elastic (200% extension) ♦“Frame dragline” silk • Strength = 300,000 lbs/sq inch • Lighter than steel or petro-polymers Aerospace Structural engineering Ballistic protection Novel fibers for communications
  • 25. Sea shells contain in interesting materials… This may turn out to be the least valuable material Natural polymers such as polyaspartate will become more prominent as a future source of renewable resources. Bio-mineralization is under genetic control Advances in renewables Advances in renewables Novel genes Functional materials Functional materials Biomimetics New materials New materials • Nanoscale biopolymers for semiconductors
  • 26. The marine environment has a vast array of functional chemicals and polymers… Millions of diverse species Millions of diverse species Billions of diverse genes Billions of diverse genes Pharmaceuticals Nutraceuticals Pharmaceuticals Nutraceuticals Advances in renewables Advances in renewables Novel genes Functional materials Functional materials Biomimetics New materials New materials Genes, proteins, chemicals Genes, proteins, chemicals
  • 27. Forestry bioresources… Pulp & paper quality Degree of lignification Enzyme modification of fibers Pulp & paper quality Degree of lignification Enzyme modification of fibers Gasification of residues • Methanol – fuels cells • Base chemical molecules Gasification of residues • Methanol – fuels cells • Base chemical molecules Growth rate: productivity Pest protection Stress tolerance Wood quality Growth rate: productivity Pest protection Stress tolerance Wood quality Bio-diversity: • Fungi • Lichens/mosses • Microbes • Groundcover • Insects Bio-diversity: • Fungi • Lichens/mosses • Microbes • Groundcover • Insects Advanced management • Remote sensing Advanced management • Remote sensing
  • 28. Lactic Acid Lactide Polylactic acid (PLA) from grown carbon... Fermentation Dimerization Controlled polymerization Polylactide PLA Resins • Melt processable • Specific Mol Wts • Polymer types Thermoplastic & other markets D E X T R O S E NatureWorks® process
  • 29. Genomics can assist in moving special fatty acids between plant species… Fatty acids and/or their triglycerides = renewable industrial materials. Moving genes to high-yielding crops. PLANT FATTY ACID USES Coriander Petroselinic (C18:1 ! ! ! !6) Nylon, Detergents Cuphae Caprylate (C8:0) Detergents, lubricant Forest vine Palmitoleic (C18:1 ! ! ! !9) Detergents Honesty Nervonic (C24:1 ! ! ! !15) Slip agent Jojoba Wax and esters (C40-44) Lubricant, cosmetics Lesquerella Densipolic (12-OH C18:2 ! ! ! !9,15) Coatings Meadowfoam Arachidonic (C20:1 ! ! ! !5) Anti-corrosion Vernonia Vernolic (12-epoxy C18:1 ! ! ! !9) Plasticizer, polymers
  • 30. Genomics to identify genes and regulation of expression… A T C A G C T G A Chromosomes Genes DNA Sequences Computer databases Improved understanding of genes, gene function, and metabolic regulation Proteomics Metabolism Regulation Improved primary production = renewable resources Improved primary production = renewable resources
  • 31. Traits that are on the horizon... ! Crop protection. – New approaches via natural genes…. ! Crop performance. – Fertilizer use efficiency, stress tolerance…. ! Compositional quality. – Focus on feed moving to food (more slowly) ! Nutraceutical & health related. – Antioxidants, edible vaccines…. ! Industrial renewable resources. – Raw materials inputs, few novel products.
  • 32. The next generation will involve selecting technology to fit consumer needs... Set of Future Consumer Needs Designer Crops Grown Germplasm Base MAB Transgenics Harvest IP Store Separations Processing Food & Materials Manufacture Genes Mapping Sequencing Expression Bioinformatics T R A I T S D N A Structural Genomics Functional Genomics Proteomics Informational Science Gene Shuffling
  • 33. Achieving sustainable development will require business sectors to reform new sets... FOOD PROCESSING RESOURCE PRODUCTION (agriculture) PHARMA Emerging arena of “Health and Well-being” MATERIALS CHEMICALS Emerging arena of “Sustainable Industry” Viable businesses will be more integrated but along a different dimension Viable businesses will be more integrated but along a different dimension What changes can you implement to increase the probability for future sustainable development. What changes can you implement to increase the probability for future sustainable development.
  • 34. The Value Chain Wealth Creation Technology Germplasm Seeds Grower Grain Primary Secondary Retailing Handling Processing Processing CONSUMER
  • 35. The Value Chain Agriculture industry must form new systems to create, capture and deliver the value from the technology. Technology Technology Germplasm Germplasm Seeds Seeds Grower Grower Grain Grain Primary Primary Secondary Secondary Retailing Retailing Handling Handling Processing Processing Processing Processing Future focus on “output” traits will drive greater co-ordination between all points in the value-chain.
  • 36. Success Factors for Bio-Based Economy Consistent Supply Perceived or Add Real Value Functionality Property Create a New Innovative Product Excellent Science Resources to Commercialize
  • 37. Success Factors for Bio-Based Economy Short Term Quick HITS FOCUS, Focus. focus on WINNERS Need the Biomass equivalent of: - Ethylene - Oil It could be SUGARS from Biomass not Valuable commodity - Food
  • 38. FOOD for THOUGHT #2 NO one can do it alone Major Successes will be through Multi Disciplinary “TEAM APPROACH”
  • 40. If you do what you always did then “You will get what you always got” *