2. 2030 … Next 30 Years
“Knowledge Based Economy” a new Driver
Great Opportunity for Agriculture
Tremendous Prospects for Plant Science
3. Entertainment
Entertainment Energy
Energy
Industrial Materials
Industrial Materials
The 20th Century:
Century of Physics & Chemistry
Co-evolution and convergence of different scientific disciplines create many
new application opportunities with large societal benefits, both economic and
scientific.
Mathematics
Mechanics
Quantum Mechanics
Chemistry / Physics
Material Science
Electronics
Microbiology
Information
Information
Technology
Technology
Communication
Communication
Transportation
Transportation Pharmaceuticals
Pharmaceuticals
Food / Agriculture
Food / Agriculture
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Instruments
Instruments
4. The 21st Century: Century of
Biotechnology, Physics & Chemistry
Co-evolution and convergence of different scientific disciplines create many
new application opportunities with large societal benefits, both economic and
scientific.
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Convergence
Entertainment
Entertainment Energy
Energy
Industrial Materials
Industrial Materials
BIOTECHNOLOGY
BIOTECHNOLOGY
BIOTECHNOLOGY
BIOTECHNOLOGY
Mathematics
Mechanics
Quantum Mechanics
Chemistry / Physics
Material Science
Electronics
Microbiology
Information
Information
Technology
Technology
Communication
Communication
Transportation
Transportation Pharmaceuticals
Pharmaceuticals
Food / Agriculture
Food / Agriculture
Instruments
Instruments
5. Technology and Global impact
Molecular Biology
Molecular Biology
Nanotechnology
Nanotechnology
Informatics
Informatics
The next threshold
in human progress
Electricity
Electricity
Computers
Computers
Flight
Flight
20th Century
Advances
6. Did you know
Sales Per Year
Canada
Automobiles $ 47 Billion
Residential Housing $ 13 Billion
Computers $ 1.2 Billion
USA
Wall-Mart $ 339 Billion
Exxon $ 333 Billion
7. Did You Know
FOOD GROCERIES EXPENDITURE
Canada $ 64 Billion
USA $ 600+ Billion
8. FOOD for THOUGHT #1
Agriculture is a BIG Business
The pie is bigger than we ALL think
“THINK BIG”
9. The Age of Biology is beginning…
Unit of Heredity
(G. Mendel)
DNA is heredity
material
DNA structure
Genetic
code
DNA sequencing
First
transgenic
plants
HGP
First
commercial
biotech crops
1865 1944 1953 1965 1977 1982 1994
1990
Corn hybrids
1920s
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
Million bp sequenced
2000
• Over 6000 million bp sequenced
• 6 multi cellular genomes
• 60 microbial genomes
• Gene expression arrays, proteomics,
regulation cascades, HTS, SNPs….
• Over 100 million acres biotech crops
10. Platform Technologies
Digitize
Digitize
& Analyze
& Analyze
Discover
Discover
Control &
Control &
Manipulate
Manipulate
Genome
Genome Proteome
Proteome Life Networks
Life Networks
Directed
Directed
Evolution
Evolution
Functional
Functional
Genomics
Genomics
Genomic
Genomic
Sequencing
Sequencing
Protein
Protein
Engineering
Engineering
Protein
Protein
Function
Function
Protein
Protein
Structure
Structure
Cell
Cell
Systems
Systems
Chemo
Chemo
Genomics
Genomics
Protein & Cell
Protein & Cell
Signaling
Signaling
Gene
Gene Metabolic
Metabolic Protein
Protein Micro
Micro-
- Bio
Bio-
-
Genomics
Genomics Expression
Expression Path Eng.
Path Eng. Engineering
Engineering Biology
Biology Engineering
Engineering Fermentation
Fermentation
Enabling Technologies
Enabling Technologies
Further Building On:
Further Building On:
11. Genomics to identify genes and regulation
of expression…
A
T
C
A
G
C
T
G
A
Chromosomes
Genes
DNA
Sequences
Computer databases
Improved understanding of genes, gene function, and metabolic regulation
Proteomics
Metabolism
Regulation
Improved primary production = renewable resources
Improved primary production = renewable resources
12. Renewable resources are sustainable (Primary
energy capture to multiple uses)…
Oxygen
High energy
chemical bonds
& carbon skeletons
Photosynthesis
SOLAR ENERGY
CO2
Carbohydrates
Proteins
Nucleic acids
Lipids & Oils
Metabolites
Many chemicals
Energy, Food,
Feed, Fiber,
& Chemicals
Ecological cycles
> 1 million years
Fossil
Fuels
Consumption
& Processing
13. Traditional biomass approaches are
insufficient to meet demand…
CROP
Residues
TYPICAL BIOMASS
FORESTRY
Residues
PROCESS
Residues
MUNICIPAL
Waste
recycling
T
R
A
D
I
T
I
O
N
A
L
Lignin
Cellulose
Hemi-
cellulose
Other
Processing
METHODS
Designed
SOURCES
NEW FUTURE APPROACHES
High energy compounds
Novel building blocks
- carbon skeletons
- novel polymers
BIOPOWER
BIOFUELS
BIOPRODUCTS
Bioenergy Platform
Renewable Resources
14. A vision for renewable resources...
TODAY 2020 2050
Demand
Supplied from
Fossil Fuels
Supplied from
Renewables
5-fold
Fossil fuel use
is kept about flat
5-fold
again
Source: Renewable Resources Vision 2020
National security
Environmental footprint
Rural development
Economic sustainability
15. Facts and Figures: World Energy Use…
Natural Gas
23%
Coal 22%
Petroleum
40%
Nuclear
7%
0 50 100 150
US
Far East
C. & S. America
Canada & Mexico
W. Europe
E. Europe/F. Soviet
Middle East
Africa
Quadrillion Btus
Renewables
8%
Source: USDOE
World Energy Use = 382 Quads
or 65 million Btu/yr/capita
World Energy Use = 382 Quads
or 65 million Btu/yr/capita
BY TYPE: BY REGION:
16. US Renewable Energy…
Hydroelectric
47%
Wood and
Waste 45%
Solar & Wind
1.5%
Geothermal
5%
Ethanol Fuel
1.5%
Total renewable energy
use in the US = 7.5 Quads
(<8% total consumption)
Total renewable energy
use in the US = 7.5 Quads
(<8% total consumption) ♦ Today only ~4% of US
energy comes from
biomass
♦ Today only ~3% of US
chemicals and
materials come from
biomass
17. Canada: reserves and time left…
0
25
50
75
100
125
Crude oil Nat gas Coal
Proven Total projected
Known reserves:
Crude oil = 4.7 B bbls
Nat gas = 61 T cu ft
Coal = 9.5 B tons
Y-axis is # YEARS
until reserves are gone
At current rates of domestic
consumption plus export
18. Vision 2020 roadmap identifies several areas
and the need to integrate research...
Plant
Science
Utilization
(Demand)
Utilization
(Materials)
Processing
Production
Source: Plant/Crop-Based Renewable Resources Roadmap
Unit costs
Yield
Consistency
Infrastructure
Designer plants
Economics
Separations
Conversion
Bio-catalysts
Infrastructure
Economics
Functionality
Performance
Novel uses
Price/value
Performance
Perception
Genomics
Enzymes
Metabolism
Composition
Science and technology impact
Key areas for integrated research
19. Evolution of the bio-refinery?
Ethanol
BioFuels
Organic acids
B
I
O
P
R
O
C
E
S
S
I
N
G
Amino acids
Butanol
Levulinate
Xylose
Polyols
Chemicals
Many derivatives
Starch
Products
Dextrose
HFCS
Grains
Stover
Biomass
Marine
Other/
Waste
B
I
O
R
E
F
I
N
E
R
Y
Oil
Process
• Edible
• Industrial
Glycerol
+ fatty acids
Residue
Recycling
Gasification
Bioenergy
Methanol, H2
Fiber
Feed
Gluten
(Protein)
20. KEY COMPETENCIES
!Catalysis
!Chem Engineering
!Material Science
KEY COMPETENCIES
!Biotech Basics
!Bioprocessing
!Chem Engineering
!Material Science
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
Renewable Resources Based
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
FARM
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Commodity
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo
Carbo-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
hydrate
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Plant
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Expression
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Specialty
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Processor
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Oils
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Feed /
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
Food
85%
85%
85%
85%
85%
85%
85%
85% x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
x%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
Broad variety of commodity and differentiated chemicals and plastics
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil Based
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Well
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Refinery
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Petrochemicals
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Pressure
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Catalyst
Emerging Future: Duality in Feedstocks and Processes
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
Bioprocessing
22. Pharma
Pharma
Ag
Ag
Nutritional Supplements
Nutritional Supplements
Food Ingredients
Food Ingredients
Spec Chem
Spec Chem
Chemicals/Polymers
Chemicals/Polymers Food /Feed
Food /Feed
Opportunities for Plant-Produced,
Renewable Materials
Enzymes
Enzymes
Volume
Volume
-
- High Value Protein Manufacturing
High Value Protein Manufacturing
-
- (Chemicals/Seeds)
(Chemicals/Seeds)
-
- Large Volume Industrial Catalysts
Large Volume Industrial Catalysts
-
- PG, Oleochemicals
PG, Oleochemicals
-
- PLA, PHA’s
PLA, PHA’s
Value
Value
$/Lb.
$/Lb.
23. Use of biotech to modify existing
components…
From: Hu et al, (1999) Nature Biotechnology, 17, pp 808-812.
Typical wood: (or stalks/fiber)
Cellulose (1,4-glucan) – tensile strength
Lignin (phenolic polymers) – rigidity
Hemicellulose (mixed polysaccharides)
Down regulated
via anti-sense
Typical processing involves
removing lignin from
cellulosic components.
Not only was lignin down,
growth of the trees was
significantly enhanced.
24. Spider silk proteins…
♦ Seven known protein types
♦ Repetitive amino acid arrays
♦“Flagelliform” silk
♦ Highly elastic (200% extension)
♦“Frame dragline” silk
• Strength = 300,000 lbs/sq inch
• Lighter than steel or petro-polymers
Aerospace
Structural engineering
Ballistic protection
Novel fibers for communications
25. Sea shells contain in interesting
materials…
This may turn out to be
the least valuable material
Natural polymers such as
polyaspartate will become more
prominent as a future source of
renewable resources.
Bio-mineralization is
under genetic control
Advances in renewables
Advances in renewables
Novel genes
Functional materials
Functional materials
Biomimetics
New materials
New materials
• Nanoscale biopolymers for semiconductors
26. The marine environment has a vast array
of functional chemicals and polymers…
Millions of diverse species
Millions of diverse species
Billions of diverse genes
Billions of diverse genes
Pharmaceuticals
Nutraceuticals
Pharmaceuticals
Nutraceuticals
Advances in renewables
Advances in renewables
Novel genes
Functional materials
Functional materials
Biomimetics
New materials
New materials
Genes, proteins, chemicals
Genes, proteins, chemicals
27. Forestry bioresources…
Pulp & paper quality
Degree of lignification
Enzyme modification of fibers
Pulp & paper quality
Degree of lignification
Enzyme modification of fibers
Gasification of residues
• Methanol – fuels cells
• Base chemical molecules
Gasification of residues
• Methanol – fuels cells
• Base chemical molecules
Growth rate: productivity
Pest protection
Stress tolerance
Wood quality
Growth rate: productivity
Pest protection
Stress tolerance
Wood quality
Bio-diversity:
• Fungi
• Lichens/mosses
• Microbes
• Groundcover
• Insects
Bio-diversity:
• Fungi
• Lichens/mosses
• Microbes
• Groundcover
• Insects
Advanced management
• Remote sensing
Advanced management
• Remote sensing
28. Lactic
Acid
Lactide
Polylactic acid (PLA) from
grown carbon...
Fermentation
Dimerization
Controlled
polymerization
Polylactide
PLA Resins
• Melt processable
• Specific Mol Wts
• Polymer types
Thermoplastic &
other markets
D
E
X
T
R
O
S
E
NatureWorks® process
30. Genomics to identify genes and regulation
of expression…
A
T
C
A
G
C
T
G
A
Chromosomes
Genes
DNA
Sequences
Computer databases
Improved understanding of genes, gene function, and metabolic regulation
Proteomics
Metabolism
Regulation
Improved primary production = renewable resources
Improved primary production = renewable resources
31. Traits that are on the horizon...
! Crop protection.
– New approaches via natural genes….
! Crop performance.
– Fertilizer use efficiency, stress tolerance….
! Compositional quality.
– Focus on feed moving to food (more slowly)
! Nutraceutical & health related.
– Antioxidants, edible vaccines….
! Industrial renewable resources.
– Raw materials inputs, few novel products.
32. The next generation will involve selecting
technology to fit consumer needs...
Set of Future
Consumer
Needs
Designer
Crops
Grown
Germplasm Base
MAB
Transgenics
Harvest
IP
Store
Separations
Processing
Food &
Materials
Manufacture
Genes
Mapping
Sequencing
Expression
Bioinformatics
T
R
A
I
T
S
D
N
A
Structural Genomics
Functional Genomics
Proteomics
Informational Science
Gene Shuffling
33. Achieving sustainable development will
require business sectors to reform new sets...
FOOD
PROCESSING
RESOURCE
PRODUCTION
(agriculture)
PHARMA
Emerging arena of
“Health and Well-being”
MATERIALS
CHEMICALS
Emerging arena of
“Sustainable Industry”
Viable businesses will
be more integrated but
along a different dimension
Viable businesses will
be more integrated but
along a different dimension
What changes can you
implement to increase
the probability for future
sustainable development.
What changes can you
implement to increase
the probability for future
sustainable development.
34. The Value Chain
Wealth Creation
Technology Germplasm Seeds Grower Grain Primary Secondary Retailing
Handling Processing Processing
CONSUMER
35. The Value Chain
Agriculture industry must form new systems to create,
capture and deliver the value from the technology.
Technology
Technology Germplasm
Germplasm Seeds
Seeds Grower
Grower Grain
Grain Primary
Primary Secondary
Secondary Retailing
Retailing
Handling
Handling Processing
Processing Processing
Processing
Future focus on “output” traits will drive greater
co-ordination between all points in the value-chain.
36. Success Factors for Bio-Based
Economy
Consistent Supply
Perceived or Add Real Value
Functionality
Property
Create a New Innovative Product
Excellent Science
Resources to Commercialize
37. Success Factors for Bio-Based
Economy
Short Term Quick HITS
FOCUS, Focus. focus on WINNERS
Need the Biomass equivalent of:
- Ethylene
- Oil
It could be SUGARS from Biomass
not Valuable commodity - Food
38. FOOD for THOUGHT #2
NO one can do it alone
Major Successes will be through
Multi Disciplinary
“TEAM APPROACH”