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A Futurist Deck
Jason Dojc
What book or film
best predicts the
future?
For a while, a lot of the marketing and tech world
referenced this movie
Particularly the scene when Tom Cruise gets bombarded
with individually targeted ads
And Google and
Facebook’s targeting
and retargeting
options have
certainly made us
feel that way during
our online activities
But I think this movie predicted and still predicts the
future
And not just because it predicted reality television
Because as we share on Snapchat, Instagram,
Facebook, Pinterest, Twitter, YouTube, etc…
We start acting in real life like we’re on camera
As our life’s moments are captured, curated, and shared
for our friends or the world to see
To the point that we manufacture our own on camera
moments…
…making our own ‘Truman Shows’
What haven’t we
heard about yet?
Maybe you’ve heard of Douglas Adams’ three laws of
technology adoption?
I've come up with a set of rules that describe our reactions
to technologies:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal
and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the
world works.
2. Anything that's invented between when you’re fifteen
and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and
you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you're thirty-five is against the
natural order of things.
Douglas Adams, The Salmon of Doubt
“Communications tools don't get socially interesting until
they get technologically boring.”
Maybe you’ve heard of Clay Shirky’s axiom of tech +
sociology?
A while ago, I came up with my own law of technology
which is probably why you likely haven’t heard of it
New technology rarely completely replaces old
technology. We generally find a new purpose for “old
tech”
Source: http://www.slideshare.net/jdojc/how-magazines-can-survive-the-digital-age
Jason Dojc’s Law of technology abandonment
And it stems from these observations…
Cars didn’t replace horses. Horse riding evolved from
transportation to recreation
Photography didn’t replace painting. Impressionism,
cubism, surrealism and several other important art
movements emerged after the invention of the
camera.
And vinyl. Still around for hard-core audiophiles but
also found new life as a DJ’s instrument.
What do you think
could never happen
What do you think
could never happen
by 2030? Why?
This will happen.
Robots will take over many walks of life
Fast food kitchens
Retail Clerks
Even the medical and legal professions are slowly
getting automated
60 million
Number of disputed
settled by disagreements
are resolved using
“online dispute
resolution” software,
without a traditional
lawyer.
3x more than lawsuits
dealt with in the entire
US justice system.
So even lawyers are looking one
day replaced by robots.
Except one particular lawyer…
Criminal lawyers will not be replaced by robots
even by 2030
You have the right to
an attorney
Only a human being can deal with the subtleties of
testimony and the the holistic thinking to try a case
And I doubt Miranda Rights will allow robot public
defenders to count as your legal counsel

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A Futurist Deck - 2018

  • 2. What book or film best predicts the future?
  • 3. For a while, a lot of the marketing and tech world referenced this movie
  • 4. Particularly the scene when Tom Cruise gets bombarded with individually targeted ads
  • 5. And Google and Facebook’s targeting and retargeting options have certainly made us feel that way during our online activities
  • 6. But I think this movie predicted and still predicts the future
  • 7. And not just because it predicted reality television
  • 8. Because as we share on Snapchat, Instagram, Facebook, Pinterest, Twitter, YouTube, etc…
  • 9. We start acting in real life like we’re on camera
  • 10. As our life’s moments are captured, curated, and shared for our friends or the world to see
  • 11. To the point that we manufacture our own on camera moments… …making our own ‘Truman Shows’
  • 13. Maybe you’ve heard of Douglas Adams’ three laws of technology adoption? I've come up with a set of rules that describe our reactions to technologies: 1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works. 2. Anything that's invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it. 3. Anything invented after you're thirty-five is against the natural order of things. Douglas Adams, The Salmon of Doubt
  • 14. “Communications tools don't get socially interesting until they get technologically boring.” Maybe you’ve heard of Clay Shirky’s axiom of tech + sociology?
  • 15. A while ago, I came up with my own law of technology which is probably why you likely haven’t heard of it
  • 16. New technology rarely completely replaces old technology. We generally find a new purpose for “old tech” Source: http://www.slideshare.net/jdojc/how-magazines-can-survive-the-digital-age Jason Dojc’s Law of technology abandonment
  • 17. And it stems from these observations…
  • 18. Cars didn’t replace horses. Horse riding evolved from transportation to recreation
  • 19. Photography didn’t replace painting. Impressionism, cubism, surrealism and several other important art movements emerged after the invention of the camera.
  • 20. And vinyl. Still around for hard-core audiophiles but also found new life as a DJ’s instrument.
  • 21. What do you think could never happen What do you think could never happen by 2030? Why?
  • 22. This will happen. Robots will take over many walks of life
  • 25. Even the medical and legal professions are slowly getting automated
  • 26. 60 million Number of disputed settled by disagreements are resolved using “online dispute resolution” software, without a traditional lawyer. 3x more than lawsuits dealt with in the entire US justice system.
  • 27.
  • 28. So even lawyers are looking one day replaced by robots. Except one particular lawyer…
  • 29. Criminal lawyers will not be replaced by robots even by 2030
  • 30. You have the right to an attorney Only a human being can deal with the subtleties of testimony and the the holistic thinking to try a case
  • 31. And I doubt Miranda Rights will allow robot public defenders to count as your legal counsel