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1
Implications for the
Health Care System
Joan Escarrabill MD PhD
Chronic Care Program– Barcelona Esquerra.
Hospital Clínic (Barcelona)
Master Plan for Respiratory Diseases (PDMAR) & Home
Respiratory Therapies Observatory (ObsTRD). FORES.
Ministry of Health (Catalonia)
Implications for the Health Care System
2
Sustainability
AccessibilityOutcomes
3
Am J Prev Med 2012;42:639–45
Balanced strategies that implement
both population and individual-level
interventions:
 can best maximize health benefıts,
 minimize harm,
 avoid unnecessary healthcare costs.
P5 = Population perspective
Premature
translation
Lost in
translation
4
P4 Components Population perspectives
Predictive Ecologic model of Health, integrating multilevel
determinants of health
Preventive Principles of population screening
Personalized Principles of evidence based medicine
Participatory Essential public health functions (assessment,
policy development and assurance).
Information system
Am J Prev Med 2012;42:639–45
Common
pratincole
Grey
heron
Personalization and Health Care:
5 elements to discuss
5
Variability
Individual vs.
population
Business model
Results
Dissemination
6
The requirements for variation
Copious
Small in
extent
Undirected
Charles Darwin
(1809-1882)
Variations in clinical practice
7
Science 1973;182-1102-09  There are wide variations in
resource input, utilization of
services and expenditures.
 Variations indicate that there is a
considerable uncercertaunty
about the effectiveness of health
services
Discharge ratio in surgical procedures
8
Source: Methodology of Atlas of Variations in Medical Practice
Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS)
http://goo.gl/wwI6jh
Long-term Oxygen therapy (LTOT) 2012/13
n:
RV:
CSV:
EB:
26805 350 3704 5995 16756
5.44 9.79 25.59 11.10 7.51
0.34 3.18 0.44 0.47 0.41
0.27 0.94 0.31 0.30 0.29
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Tots 20-39 anys 40-64 anys 65-74 anys 75+ anys
O2 concentrador+liquid
Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS)
& Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES)
9
Standardized rates LTOT 2012/13
p(14): 120.17
p(86): 367.99
Ciutat de Barcelona
O2 concentrador+liquid 2012
10
Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS)
& Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES)
Home mechanical ventilation
by age-groups 2012/13
n:
RV:
CSV:
EB:
3738 200 1138 1049 1351
22.94 6.20 14.35 19.90 62.14
0.37 1.08 0.96 0.54 0.59
0.34 0.72 0.50 0.33 0.47
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Tots 20-39 anys 40-64 anys 65-74 anys 75+ anys
Vent. Mecànica
Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS)
& Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES)
Home mechanical ventilation
Standardized rates 2012/13
p(14): 7.75
p(86): 56.22
Ciutat de Barcelona
Vent. Mecànica 2012
12
Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS)
& Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES)
13
LTOT HMV
The same accessibility
No financial issues
Social
inequalities
14
Ann Intensive Care. 2014;4(1):2. doi: 10.1186/2110-5820-4-2
Personalization and Health Care:
5 elements to discuss
15
Variability
Individual vs.
population
Business model
Results
Dissemination
16
Better value through population
and personalised medicine.
J A Muir Gray. Lancet 2013;382:200-1
Effectivity
Quality
Safety
Value
Presonalised
Population
medicine
Customize evidence
 Biomarkers
 Personal values
 Clinical situation
 Context
Responsibilities to the
population to be served
 Avoid inequalities
 Distribution of resources
17
Comparative effectiveness
research
• Overall benefits
• Majority of patients
• Establish population
averages
Personalized medicine
• Subsets of patients
• To exploit differences
among subpopulations
Improve health care outcomes
Rationalize costs
18
Even today, countries with more social
provision of healthcare and less
individualistic attitudes have better health
outcomes across all social classes.
How can we balance the role of the
individual and the communal in
healthcare?
Personalization and Health Care:
5 elements to discuss
19
Variability
Individual vs.
population
Business model
Results
Dissemination
Disruptive business model
Solution
shop
Intutive Medicine
for unstructured
problems
Hypothesis testing
until diagnosis can
be made
Value-added
process
Empirical medicine
Standardization
Facilitated
network
Patient groups with
common needs
Long-term care:
adherence
20
Personalized
medicine
Focus on
results
21
Precision
medicine
Care plan:
adherence
Disruptive business model
• Changes in the role of health professionals.
• Implication of new professions
22
Lancet 2013;382:923-4
Increase
(emergency)
admission
Reduction
LOS
Pts > 85 yrs
Multimorbidity
Cognitive
impairementBalance
23
Lancet 2013;382:923-4
Increase
(emergency)
admission
Reduction
LOS
Pts > 85 yrs
Multimorbidity
Cognitive
impairementBalance
To identify the optimum
care pathway for adults
with medical illnesses
24
Future hospital
 Hospitals must be designed around the needs
of patients
 No “one size fits all” : Coordinated mangement
of patients with multiple comorbidities
 Specialist medical care will not be confined to
inside the hospital walls.
 Continuity of care
 Illnes can occur in any time: 24/7/365.
 Reorganisation of ‘front door’
 Vulnerable patients.
 Patient experience is valued as much as clinical
effectiveness
Three elements
25
Acute care
hub
Clinical
coordination
center
“Hub &
spoke”
Fast track
Ann Intern Med. 2012;157:448-449.
Personalization and Health Care:
5 elements to discuss
26
Variability
Individual vs.
population
Business model
Results
Dissemination
27
Value =
Outcomes
Cost
NEJM 2010;363:2477-81
28
Int J Epidemiol. 2010;39:97-106
 Factors at multiple levels
may influence health and
disease,
 Interrelation among these
factors often includes
dynamic feedback and
changes over time
ObesityGenes
Individual
behavior
Neighbourhood
School level
Health Policies
food portions,
dietary habits,
exercise,
television-viewing patterns
availability of grocery stores,
suitability of the walking environment,
advertising of high caloric foods
29
Int J Epidemiol. 2010;39:97-106
The impact of investing
in good food stores on
body mass index (BMI),
Agent’s diet
Availability of good food
stores
Her education level,
The diet of her parents and
friends
Genetic predispositions
Importance of friend networks
Chronic care related to patients’ needs
30
Health Affairs 2013;32:516–525
 Identifying the needs of patients
 Needs change over time
Social & Health needs
Technical complexity
Cognitive disorders
Multiple nedds (multimorbidity)
Barriers to access
Nursing home / Hospice
Frail patients (“potential risks”)
Post-discharge support
Organ failure
Personalization and Health Care:
5 elements to discuss
31
Variability
Individual vs.
population
Business model
Results
Dissemination
32
33
Alan Williams
(1927-2005)
Archie Cochrane
(1909-1988)
J Epidemiol & Community Health 1997;51:116-20
 Evidence based medicine in not enough
 Costs represent health gains that have been
denied to others.
 All health care activities which meet certain
minimum cost effectiveness requirements, when
provided for certain specified categories of
people, should be provided free within the NHS.
34
Lots of it, for a few Not much, to many
35
Value for money
JAMA. 2012;307(14):doi:10.1001/jama.2012.362
37
To conclude:
How many "P" are necessary?
38
Predictive
Preventive
Personalized
Participatory

Population
perspective
P4
P5
Policy
Productivity
Precision.
People (groups of persons with common needs)
Peculiarities
Payment.
Purpose.
Poverty.
Palliative
Proximity
Plurality
Planning
Proactivity
…
P18 ?
39
Thank you very much for your attention!!!

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20140613 brn symposium

  • 1. 1 Implications for the Health Care System Joan Escarrabill MD PhD Chronic Care Program– Barcelona Esquerra. Hospital Clínic (Barcelona) Master Plan for Respiratory Diseases (PDMAR) & Home Respiratory Therapies Observatory (ObsTRD). FORES. Ministry of Health (Catalonia)
  • 2. Implications for the Health Care System 2 Sustainability AccessibilityOutcomes
  • 3. 3 Am J Prev Med 2012;42:639–45 Balanced strategies that implement both population and individual-level interventions:  can best maximize health benefıts,  minimize harm,  avoid unnecessary healthcare costs. P5 = Population perspective Premature translation Lost in translation
  • 4. 4 P4 Components Population perspectives Predictive Ecologic model of Health, integrating multilevel determinants of health Preventive Principles of population screening Personalized Principles of evidence based medicine Participatory Essential public health functions (assessment, policy development and assurance). Information system Am J Prev Med 2012;42:639–45 Common pratincole Grey heron
  • 5. Personalization and Health Care: 5 elements to discuss 5 Variability Individual vs. population Business model Results Dissemination
  • 6. 6 The requirements for variation Copious Small in extent Undirected Charles Darwin (1809-1882)
  • 7. Variations in clinical practice 7 Science 1973;182-1102-09  There are wide variations in resource input, utilization of services and expenditures.  Variations indicate that there is a considerable uncercertaunty about the effectiveness of health services
  • 8. Discharge ratio in surgical procedures 8 Source: Methodology of Atlas of Variations in Medical Practice Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS) http://goo.gl/wwI6jh
  • 9. Long-term Oxygen therapy (LTOT) 2012/13 n: RV: CSV: EB: 26805 350 3704 5995 16756 5.44 9.79 25.59 11.10 7.51 0.34 3.18 0.44 0.47 0.41 0.27 0.94 0.31 0.30 0.29 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Tots 20-39 anys 40-64 anys 65-74 anys 75+ anys O2 concentrador+liquid Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS) & Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES) 9
  • 10. Standardized rates LTOT 2012/13 p(14): 120.17 p(86): 367.99 Ciutat de Barcelona O2 concentrador+liquid 2012 10 Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS) & Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES)
  • 11. Home mechanical ventilation by age-groups 2012/13 n: RV: CSV: EB: 3738 200 1138 1049 1351 22.94 6.20 14.35 19.90 62.14 0.37 1.08 0.96 0.54 0.59 0.34 0.72 0.50 0.33 0.47 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Tots 20-39 anys 40-64 anys 65-74 anys 75+ anys Vent. Mecànica Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS) & Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES)
  • 12. Home mechanical ventilation Standardized rates 2012/13 p(14): 7.75 p(86): 56.22 Ciutat de Barcelona Vent. Mecànica 2012 12 Source: Catalan Agency for Quality and Healthcare Assessment (AQuAS) & Home Respiratory Therapy Observatory (ObsTRD / FORES)
  • 13. 13 LTOT HMV The same accessibility No financial issues Social inequalities
  • 14. 14 Ann Intensive Care. 2014;4(1):2. doi: 10.1186/2110-5820-4-2
  • 15. Personalization and Health Care: 5 elements to discuss 15 Variability Individual vs. population Business model Results Dissemination
  • 16. 16 Better value through population and personalised medicine. J A Muir Gray. Lancet 2013;382:200-1 Effectivity Quality Safety Value Presonalised Population medicine Customize evidence  Biomarkers  Personal values  Clinical situation  Context Responsibilities to the population to be served  Avoid inequalities  Distribution of resources
  • 17. 17 Comparative effectiveness research • Overall benefits • Majority of patients • Establish population averages Personalized medicine • Subsets of patients • To exploit differences among subpopulations Improve health care outcomes Rationalize costs
  • 18. 18 Even today, countries with more social provision of healthcare and less individualistic attitudes have better health outcomes across all social classes. How can we balance the role of the individual and the communal in healthcare?
  • 19. Personalization and Health Care: 5 elements to discuss 19 Variability Individual vs. population Business model Results Dissemination
  • 20. Disruptive business model Solution shop Intutive Medicine for unstructured problems Hypothesis testing until diagnosis can be made Value-added process Empirical medicine Standardization Facilitated network Patient groups with common needs Long-term care: adherence 20
  • 21. Personalized medicine Focus on results 21 Precision medicine Care plan: adherence Disruptive business model • Changes in the role of health professionals. • Implication of new professions
  • 22. 22 Lancet 2013;382:923-4 Increase (emergency) admission Reduction LOS Pts > 85 yrs Multimorbidity Cognitive impairementBalance
  • 23. 23 Lancet 2013;382:923-4 Increase (emergency) admission Reduction LOS Pts > 85 yrs Multimorbidity Cognitive impairementBalance To identify the optimum care pathway for adults with medical illnesses
  • 24. 24 Future hospital  Hospitals must be designed around the needs of patients  No “one size fits all” : Coordinated mangement of patients with multiple comorbidities  Specialist medical care will not be confined to inside the hospital walls.  Continuity of care  Illnes can occur in any time: 24/7/365.  Reorganisation of ‘front door’  Vulnerable patients.  Patient experience is valued as much as clinical effectiveness
  • 25. Three elements 25 Acute care hub Clinical coordination center “Hub & spoke” Fast track Ann Intern Med. 2012;157:448-449.
  • 26. Personalization and Health Care: 5 elements to discuss 26 Variability Individual vs. population Business model Results Dissemination
  • 28. 28 Int J Epidemiol. 2010;39:97-106  Factors at multiple levels may influence health and disease,  Interrelation among these factors often includes dynamic feedback and changes over time ObesityGenes Individual behavior Neighbourhood School level Health Policies food portions, dietary habits, exercise, television-viewing patterns availability of grocery stores, suitability of the walking environment, advertising of high caloric foods
  • 29. 29 Int J Epidemiol. 2010;39:97-106 The impact of investing in good food stores on body mass index (BMI), Agent’s diet Availability of good food stores Her education level, The diet of her parents and friends Genetic predispositions Importance of friend networks
  • 30. Chronic care related to patients’ needs 30 Health Affairs 2013;32:516–525  Identifying the needs of patients  Needs change over time Social & Health needs Technical complexity Cognitive disorders Multiple nedds (multimorbidity) Barriers to access Nursing home / Hospice Frail patients (“potential risks”) Post-discharge support Organ failure
  • 31. Personalization and Health Care: 5 elements to discuss 31 Variability Individual vs. population Business model Results Dissemination
  • 32. 32
  • 33. 33 Alan Williams (1927-2005) Archie Cochrane (1909-1988) J Epidemiol & Community Health 1997;51:116-20  Evidence based medicine in not enough  Costs represent health gains that have been denied to others.  All health care activities which meet certain minimum cost effectiveness requirements, when provided for certain specified categories of people, should be provided free within the NHS.
  • 34. 34 Lots of it, for a few Not much, to many
  • 35. 35
  • 36. Value for money JAMA. 2012;307(14):doi:10.1001/jama.2012.362
  • 37. 37
  • 38. To conclude: How many "P" are necessary? 38 Predictive Preventive Personalized Participatory  Population perspective P4 P5 Policy Productivity Precision. People (groups of persons with common needs) Peculiarities Payment. Purpose. Poverty. Palliative Proximity Plurality Planning Proactivity … P18 ?
  • 39. 39 Thank you very much for your attention!!!