1. Monetary Policy
&
Function Of Tight Monetary
Policy In Pakistan
By JOF’s
MEMBERS ARE:
Jawad Ahmed (Researcher, Presenter)
Osama Siddiqui (Research coordinator, Presenter)
Syed Faisal Ali (Proof reader, Presenter)
Bilal Mughal (Asst. Researcher)
Altaf Ahmed (Asst. Presenter)
2. Monetary Policy
Definition:
“Monetary policy is concerned with deciding how much money
the economy should have or perhaps more correctly deciding
whether to increases or decrease the purchasing power of
money.”
According to Macconal:
“Changing the money supply to assist the economy to
achieve a full employment”
3. HISTORY
The Bank of England in 1699, which acquired
the responsibility to print notes and back them with
gold, the idea of monetary policy as independent of
executive action began to be established.
4. TYPES OF MONETARY POLICY
Contractionary / Tight monetary policy
“Tight monetary policy, also called contractionary monetary
policy, tends to curb inflation by contracting/reducing the money
supply”
Expansionary /Easy monetary policy
“Easy monetary policy, also called expansionary monetary policy, tends
to encourage growth by expanding the money supply
5. Tools of Monetary Policy
Quantitative Tools
Open Market Operations
Bank Rate
Cash Reserve Requirement
Liquidity ratio
Special deposit
Qualitative Tools
Credit rationing
Credit ceiling
Moral persuasion
Direct action
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6. Targets for monetary policy:
Employment, economic growth, and inflation can
not control directly, it must choose settings, or
targets, for variables that it can control in order to
best achieve its goals.
In practice, there are two types of targets:
1. Money supply targets.
2. Interest rate targets.
10. Various Monetary policy of SBP in
different years
In 2000-01 With the free fall of the Rupee in mid-September
2000, SBP had to tighten its monetary policy to defend the
exchange rate
In 2001-02 The tight monetary discipline visible in FY01 was
perceptibly eased in FY02.
In2002-03 a substantial increase in the annual external
account surplus and the easier monetary stance of the SBP
left the money market wash with liquidity during FY03
In 2004-05 During FY04 the thrust of monetary management
was towards aligning the market expectations with
monetary policy stance. Initially during FY04 when interest
rates were under downward pressure
11. In 2005-06 April 2005 in response to the headline when
inflation reaching at 11.3%, SBP remains in monetary
tightening phase
In 2006-07During July-April 14, net credit to private sector
grew by Rs266.4 billion (or 12.6 %) against Rs 339.7 billion
(or 19.8 %) in the corresponding period of FY05 Despite
liquidity in the system
In 2007-08 SBP will be closely monitoring the economic
developments and outlook for FY07 and will take
appropriate actions as and when required in pursuit of
maintaining the objective of price stability without
prejudice to economic growth.
Various Monetary policy of SBP in
different years
12. In 2008-09The tight monetary policy was continued by
SBP under the macroeconomic stabilization programme
and discount rate was raised by 200 bps on 13 November
2008 resulting in cumulative increase of 300 bps.
In 2009-10 The overall level of risk and uncertainty in the
economy has increased and the pressure on the fiscal
position, has escalated and growth in the real economy is
limited. Striking a balance between monetary and financial
stability SBP has decided to support the recovering real
economic activity Therefore, effective 25th November,
2009, the SBP policy rate will be lowered by 50 bps to 12.5
percent
Various Monetary policy of SBP in
different years
13. 2013-14
In the monetary policy statement of February 2013, the
SBP highlighted two main challenges for monetary
policy: to manage the balance of payment position and to
contain the possible increase in inflation.
A cumulative decline of 450 basis points in the policy
rate of SBP since the beginning of FY12 has played a role
in this uptick. Moreover, an analysis of the balance sheets
of the main sectors supports this assessment.
In conclusion, given the risks to the balance of payments
position, the Central Board of Directors of SBP has
decided to keep the policy rate unchanged at 9.5 percent.
Various Monetary policy of SBP in
different years
14. 2014 (March)
Almost all major economic indicators have moved in the
desired direction over the past few months. Inflation has come
down and growth in Large Scale Manufacturing (LSM) has
been strong. Similarly, the fiscal deficit has been contained
during the first half of the of concern for some time, have
increased noticeably.
In conclusion, given the risks to the balance of payments
position, the SBP’s Board of Directors has decided to keep the
policy rate unchanged at 10.0 percent.
fiscal year while the private sector credit has increased.
Moreover, reflecting positive sentiments prevailing in the
market, the fiscal authority has been able to borrow long term
and rupee has appreciated against the US dollar. Above all,
the foreign exchange reserves of SBP, a key source
Various Monetary policy of SBP in
different years
15. Conclusion
SBP has encountered difficulties to targeting the
inflation, economic growth, employment and interest rate
objectives. but still there are certain difficulties which are
a huge hindrance in the way of Economic Policy. so SBP
can control all hurdles with some suitable policies………..
(a) improve its capacity to forecast liquidity conditions and
actively preempt inflationary pressures
(b) develop a greater understanding of the channels of
transmission of monetary policy
(c) have an increasingly transparent policy framework