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Markets and Politics in Awarding
                  Infrastructure Concession
                          Contracts
                                              Jonathon Flegg
                                          j.c.flegg@nus.edu.sg




Concession contracts for private entities to         In short, while concession contracts attempt to
operate     publicly-owned    infrastructure   are   function like a market, their structure is set in
almost    universally   considered   to   be   an    accordance with politics. Moreover of genuine
institutional   innovation   for   realising   the   concern for achieving optimal policy is the
efficiency gains of the private sector. Given the    ability of political considerations to override the
usually competitive nature of the bidding            concession process if the government does not
process, the assumption of some private risk,        prefer the likely concessionaire: The costly
and the concessionaire‟s profit motive, it seems     problem of political risk. A final insight is that
tautological that there is a greater role for the    concession contracts can and do substitute for
market in concession contracts when compared         market forces but they are not necessarily a
with discretionary regulation.                       substitute for political forces or for discretionary
                                                     regulation.
This article takes a different approach to the
conventional wisdom in an attempt to remind us       Market in Function, Political in Structure
of some important „broader truths‟ about the
innately political nature of concessions. While      The structural characteristics of a concession,
certainly market forces are more evident in the      and critically the method by which a concession
operation of concession contracts, in practice       is awarded, are primarily the product of a set of
they are awarded within a wider institutional        pre-defined      political    objectives.      One
construct designed specifically to achieve the       government might have a policy preference for
government‟s preferred set of policy objectives.     deficit reduction over containing the „cost of


1|Page
living‟, while for a different government the                     This point is most obvious when the politics
relative importance of these policy objectives                    behind   concession    auctions   generate   an
might be in the opposite order. The government                    obviously sub-optimal outcome. For instance
that has placed a higher priority on deficit                      the New South Wales Government‟s 2002
reduction is likely to award the concession                       concession to build and operate Sydney‟s
contract to the firm that can operate the                         Cross-City Tunnel was offered to the bidder
infrastructure      with     the    lowest      government        who could supply the Roads and Traffic
subsidy or highest concession fee, while                          Authority with the highest “upfront fee”. The
governments concerned about the costs to                          remarkable winning sum ended up being A$97
customers might award the concession to the                       million, which was passed onto motorists
firm who will charge the lowest user charge or                    through higher tolls, and eventually sunk the
tariff.                                                           contract after less than two years of operation
                                                                  (Baker and Davies, 2006).
The awarding of a concession, if through an
auction and with an adequate number of                            In contrast the policy goal of deficit reduction
competitive       bidders,     is    thought      to   be     a   evident in the Argentinian concessions on
reasonably close substitute for a free market                     urban railways and waterways during the 1990s
solution1. Specifically those auctions that award                 seems to provide a better solution when the
the concession to the bid offering the lowest                     minimum subsidy bid criteria was coupled with
consumer price are generally considered most                      a fixed price (Gómez-Ibáñez, 1997).
efficient, as price is generally how firms
compete within the spot market (Kerf et al 1998;                  Pro-poor political motives can also sink a
OECD 2007). However here it is important to                       concession. The 1997 water and sewerage
note that when the bidding process functions in                   concession for the Bolivian capital of La Paz
a market-like way it is still conditional on the                  was awarded to the private operator willing to
political objectives that determine the auction                   connect the largest number of households in
structure.                                                        the poor neighbouring city of El Alto (Komives,
                                                                  2001; Estache et al 2002). The resulting tariff
1
  A vast literature exists on the optimal design of auction
                                                                  charged by the concessionaire together with the
processes (Kerf et al, 1988), as the design is critical to        particularly exorbitant connection fee, resulted
achieving an efficient outcome. Inappropriate design can result
in winning bids below that do not reach the fully competitive     in mass protests and the cancellation of
outcome, or can give rise to strategic voting or coordination
among bidders.                                                    concession.
2|Page
Direct Political Intervention and Political                 additional cost borne by firms as soon as they
Risk                                                        decide to invest in the expensive bidding
                                                            process.
Politics not only sets the structure of the bidding
process but also interferes within the process,             Concessions Rarely Substitute for
including measures designed to promote or                   Regulation
prejudice specific bidding firms.
                                                            On the menu of possibilities for dealing with
In 2005 the Croatian Premier ordered the                    natural      monopolies           in        infrastructure,
nation‟s        Telecommunications                Agency    discretionary regulation is a more political
deliberately ruled out Adriacella, an Arab                  option because of the risk of regulatory capture.
consortium, from being granted a mobile                     The   conventional wisdom              generally views
telecommunications concession because of                    concession      contracts    as        a    less     political
speculation about their “cooperation with the               substitute    for    discretionary         regulation     (C.
narcotics     trade”      (Cvitić,   2005).   A    2009     Kessides, 1993; I. N. Kessides, 2004; Gómez-
concession contract awarded to build and                    Ibáñez, 2003):
operate a light rail project on the congested
French      island   of    Reunion was cancelled            By    establishing      an    explicit        contractual
because of an opportunistic campaign directed               relationship,        concessions            limit       the
at the concessionaire by a newly-elected                    government’s discretionary powers and can
regional council (Thomson, 2010).                           reduce the risk of political expropriation (I. N.
                                                            Kessides, 2004: 105).
Because governments control the entire bid
structure they still have the capacity to appoint           However         in     practice        many          network
or   deny     potential     concessionaires       in   an   infrastructure concession contracts do not
uncompetitive or non-transparent way. This is               actually     replace      discretionary            regulation
even more the case in structures for choosing               (perhaps with the exception of the highway
concessionaires that are themselves non-                    sector). This important point has been noted by
transparent, such as by negotiation or beauty               the OECD (2007):
contests. When governments circumvent their
own tendering or contractual procedures in this             Concessions are not substitutes for regulation.
way the result is political risk, and is an                 Where there is a need for regulation, as in a
3|Page
situation of natural monopoly, a regulatory              But if concessions do not reside in the market,
regime may be created along with the                     where do they reside? Unlike private contracts
concession.                                              it is clear that they still belong in the public
                                                         realm, or at least to a sphere of “competition in
Most jurisdictions that utilise concessions for          the politics”.
water,    sanitation,   telecommunications         and
energy networks, also make the contracts                 At best concessions function like a market,
subject to a regulatory body. For instance, in           within     a   bidding structure      determined    by
1992 the end of Buenos Aires state-owned                 politics. Rarely however do they operate in such
water and sewerage utility, Obras Sanitarias de          an ideal way. In most jurisdictions, particularly
la Nación, was not only accompanied by the               in developing economies but also in developed
introduction of widespread water and sewerage            ones, the competitive process itself has very
concessions, but also a new peak concession              little   integrity,   given   that the     government
regulator, Ente Tripartito de Obras y Servicios          reserves the right to intervene specifically within
Sanitarios (Delfino et al 2007).                         the process to ensure the concession is
                                                         awarded to a firm with similar preferences.
Similar coupling of regulation and concessions           Finally, the idea that a concession contract
is common in many economies in Latin                     creates a market-like bubble unsusceptible to
America, East and South-East Asia, the United            politicised regulation is an exception rather than
States    and   Australia.   So    to   the   extent     rule.
concession contracts do not substitute for
regulation in the real world, they cannot be             To start the change governments committed to
viewed as operationally free from political              implementing          concession     contracts    must
forces.                                                  understand the costs that political risk place on
                                                         the private sector (and by incidence, end-
“Competition in the Politics”                            users), and seek in an enlightened way to „bind
                                                         their    own     hands‟    and     allow   competitive,
A useful distinction is often made between               transparent bidding to take place without
competition in the market and competition for            interference.
the   market.     A     concession      contract    is
fundamentally different from the free market
solution because it is an example of the later.
4|Page
Bibliography                                      Kerf, M., Gray, R. D., Irwin, T., Levesque, C.,
                                                  Taylor, R. R., and Klein, M. (1988).
Baker, J. and Davies, A. (2006, June 1).          Concessions for infrastructure: A guide to their
“Taxpayers to pay twice for tunnel”. Sydney       design and award. World Bank Technical
Morning Herald. Retrieved from:                   Papers 399. Retrieved from: http://rru.
http://www.smh.com.au .                           worldbank.org/Documents/Toolkits/concessions
                                                  _fulltoolkit.pdf .
Cvitić, P. (2005, July 18). “Sanader forbids
granting of concession to Adriacella”. Nacional   Kessides, C. (1993). Institutional options for the
(505). Retrieved from: http://nacional.hr/ .      provision of infrastructure. World Bank
                                                  Discussion Papers 212. Washington DC: World
Delfino, J. A., Casarin, A. A., Defino, M. E.     Bank.
(2007). “How Far Does it Go? The Buenos
Aries Water Concession a Decade After the         Kessides, I. A. (2004). Reforming Infrastructure:
Reform”. Social Policy and Development            Privatization, Regulation and Competition.
Programme Paper No. 32: United Nations            Washington, DC: World Bank.
Research Institute for Social Development.
                                                  Komives, K. (2001). “Designing Pro-Poor
Estache, A., Foster, V., and Wodon, Q. (2002).    Water and Sewer Concessions: Early Lessons
“Making Infrastructure Reform in Latin America    from Bolivia”. Water Policy 3(1): 61-79.
Work for the Poor”. CEPAL Review 78: 101-18.
                                                  OECD (2007). “Competition Policy and
Gómez-Ibáñez, J. A. (1997). “Privatizing          Concessions”. Retrieved from: http://
Transport in Argentina”. Kennedy School of        www.oecd.org/dataoecd/12/47/38706036.pdf/ .
Government Case Study CR1-96-1363.0.
(2003). Regulating Infrastructure: Monopoly,      Thomson, A. (2010, April 22). “How politics
Contracts, and Discretion. Harvard: Harvard       derailed a PPP”. Infrastructure Investor.
University Press.                                 Retrieved from:
                                                  http://www.infrastructureinvestor.com/ .




5|Page

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Markets and Politics in Awarding Infrastructure Concession Contracts

  • 1. Markets and Politics in Awarding Infrastructure Concession Contracts Jonathon Flegg j.c.flegg@nus.edu.sg Concession contracts for private entities to In short, while concession contracts attempt to operate publicly-owned infrastructure are function like a market, their structure is set in almost universally considered to be an accordance with politics. Moreover of genuine institutional innovation for realising the concern for achieving optimal policy is the efficiency gains of the private sector. Given the ability of political considerations to override the usually competitive nature of the bidding concession process if the government does not process, the assumption of some private risk, prefer the likely concessionaire: The costly and the concessionaire‟s profit motive, it seems problem of political risk. A final insight is that tautological that there is a greater role for the concession contracts can and do substitute for market in concession contracts when compared market forces but they are not necessarily a with discretionary regulation. substitute for political forces or for discretionary regulation. This article takes a different approach to the conventional wisdom in an attempt to remind us Market in Function, Political in Structure of some important „broader truths‟ about the innately political nature of concessions. While The structural characteristics of a concession, certainly market forces are more evident in the and critically the method by which a concession operation of concession contracts, in practice is awarded, are primarily the product of a set of they are awarded within a wider institutional pre-defined political objectives. One construct designed specifically to achieve the government might have a policy preference for government‟s preferred set of policy objectives. deficit reduction over containing the „cost of 1|Page
  • 2. living‟, while for a different government the This point is most obvious when the politics relative importance of these policy objectives behind concession auctions generate an might be in the opposite order. The government obviously sub-optimal outcome. For instance that has placed a higher priority on deficit the New South Wales Government‟s 2002 reduction is likely to award the concession concession to build and operate Sydney‟s contract to the firm that can operate the Cross-City Tunnel was offered to the bidder infrastructure with the lowest government who could supply the Roads and Traffic subsidy or highest concession fee, while Authority with the highest “upfront fee”. The governments concerned about the costs to remarkable winning sum ended up being A$97 customers might award the concession to the million, which was passed onto motorists firm who will charge the lowest user charge or through higher tolls, and eventually sunk the tariff. contract after less than two years of operation (Baker and Davies, 2006). The awarding of a concession, if through an auction and with an adequate number of In contrast the policy goal of deficit reduction competitive bidders, is thought to be a evident in the Argentinian concessions on reasonably close substitute for a free market urban railways and waterways during the 1990s solution1. Specifically those auctions that award seems to provide a better solution when the the concession to the bid offering the lowest minimum subsidy bid criteria was coupled with consumer price are generally considered most a fixed price (Gómez-Ibáñez, 1997). efficient, as price is generally how firms compete within the spot market (Kerf et al 1998; Pro-poor political motives can also sink a OECD 2007). However here it is important to concession. The 1997 water and sewerage note that when the bidding process functions in concession for the Bolivian capital of La Paz a market-like way it is still conditional on the was awarded to the private operator willing to political objectives that determine the auction connect the largest number of households in structure. the poor neighbouring city of El Alto (Komives, 2001; Estache et al 2002). The resulting tariff 1 A vast literature exists on the optimal design of auction charged by the concessionaire together with the processes (Kerf et al, 1988), as the design is critical to particularly exorbitant connection fee, resulted achieving an efficient outcome. Inappropriate design can result in winning bids below that do not reach the fully competitive in mass protests and the cancellation of outcome, or can give rise to strategic voting or coordination among bidders. concession. 2|Page
  • 3. Direct Political Intervention and Political additional cost borne by firms as soon as they Risk decide to invest in the expensive bidding process. Politics not only sets the structure of the bidding process but also interferes within the process, Concessions Rarely Substitute for including measures designed to promote or Regulation prejudice specific bidding firms. On the menu of possibilities for dealing with In 2005 the Croatian Premier ordered the natural monopolies in infrastructure, nation‟s Telecommunications Agency discretionary regulation is a more political deliberately ruled out Adriacella, an Arab option because of the risk of regulatory capture. consortium, from being granted a mobile The conventional wisdom generally views telecommunications concession because of concession contracts as a less political speculation about their “cooperation with the substitute for discretionary regulation (C. narcotics trade” (Cvitić, 2005). A 2009 Kessides, 1993; I. N. Kessides, 2004; Gómez- concession contract awarded to build and Ibáñez, 2003): operate a light rail project on the congested French island of Reunion was cancelled By establishing an explicit contractual because of an opportunistic campaign directed relationship, concessions limit the at the concessionaire by a newly-elected government’s discretionary powers and can regional council (Thomson, 2010). reduce the risk of political expropriation (I. N. Kessides, 2004: 105). Because governments control the entire bid structure they still have the capacity to appoint However in practice many network or deny potential concessionaires in an infrastructure concession contracts do not uncompetitive or non-transparent way. This is actually replace discretionary regulation even more the case in structures for choosing (perhaps with the exception of the highway concessionaires that are themselves non- sector). This important point has been noted by transparent, such as by negotiation or beauty the OECD (2007): contests. When governments circumvent their own tendering or contractual procedures in this Concessions are not substitutes for regulation. way the result is political risk, and is an Where there is a need for regulation, as in a 3|Page
  • 4. situation of natural monopoly, a regulatory But if concessions do not reside in the market, regime may be created along with the where do they reside? Unlike private contracts concession. it is clear that they still belong in the public realm, or at least to a sphere of “competition in Most jurisdictions that utilise concessions for the politics”. water, sanitation, telecommunications and energy networks, also make the contracts At best concessions function like a market, subject to a regulatory body. For instance, in within a bidding structure determined by 1992 the end of Buenos Aires state-owned politics. Rarely however do they operate in such water and sewerage utility, Obras Sanitarias de an ideal way. In most jurisdictions, particularly la Nación, was not only accompanied by the in developing economies but also in developed introduction of widespread water and sewerage ones, the competitive process itself has very concessions, but also a new peak concession little integrity, given that the government regulator, Ente Tripartito de Obras y Servicios reserves the right to intervene specifically within Sanitarios (Delfino et al 2007). the process to ensure the concession is awarded to a firm with similar preferences. Similar coupling of regulation and concessions Finally, the idea that a concession contract is common in many economies in Latin creates a market-like bubble unsusceptible to America, East and South-East Asia, the United politicised regulation is an exception rather than States and Australia. So to the extent rule. concession contracts do not substitute for regulation in the real world, they cannot be To start the change governments committed to viewed as operationally free from political implementing concession contracts must forces. understand the costs that political risk place on the private sector (and by incidence, end- “Competition in the Politics” users), and seek in an enlightened way to „bind their own hands‟ and allow competitive, A useful distinction is often made between transparent bidding to take place without competition in the market and competition for interference. the market. A concession contract is fundamentally different from the free market solution because it is an example of the later. 4|Page
  • 5. Bibliography Kerf, M., Gray, R. D., Irwin, T., Levesque, C., Taylor, R. R., and Klein, M. (1988). Baker, J. and Davies, A. (2006, June 1). Concessions for infrastructure: A guide to their “Taxpayers to pay twice for tunnel”. Sydney design and award. World Bank Technical Morning Herald. Retrieved from: Papers 399. Retrieved from: http://rru. http://www.smh.com.au . worldbank.org/Documents/Toolkits/concessions _fulltoolkit.pdf . Cvitić, P. (2005, July 18). “Sanader forbids granting of concession to Adriacella”. Nacional Kessides, C. (1993). Institutional options for the (505). Retrieved from: http://nacional.hr/ . provision of infrastructure. World Bank Discussion Papers 212. Washington DC: World Delfino, J. A., Casarin, A. A., Defino, M. E. Bank. (2007). “How Far Does it Go? The Buenos Aries Water Concession a Decade After the Kessides, I. A. (2004). Reforming Infrastructure: Reform”. Social Policy and Development Privatization, Regulation and Competition. Programme Paper No. 32: United Nations Washington, DC: World Bank. Research Institute for Social Development. Komives, K. (2001). “Designing Pro-Poor Estache, A., Foster, V., and Wodon, Q. (2002). Water and Sewer Concessions: Early Lessons “Making Infrastructure Reform in Latin America from Bolivia”. Water Policy 3(1): 61-79. Work for the Poor”. CEPAL Review 78: 101-18. OECD (2007). “Competition Policy and Gómez-Ibáñez, J. A. (1997). “Privatizing Concessions”. Retrieved from: http:// Transport in Argentina”. Kennedy School of www.oecd.org/dataoecd/12/47/38706036.pdf/ . Government Case Study CR1-96-1363.0. (2003). Regulating Infrastructure: Monopoly, Thomson, A. (2010, April 22). “How politics Contracts, and Discretion. Harvard: Harvard derailed a PPP”. Infrastructure Investor. University Press. Retrieved from: http://www.infrastructureinvestor.com/ . 5|Page