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Chapter 9: Elections,
Campaigns, and Voting
  A More Perfect Union 1/e
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• Civic Engagement and Political
  Participation
  – Voting
  – Volunteering
  – Running for Office




           ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   2
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• Elections in the United States
  – Nominations and Primary Elections
     • Types of Primary Elections
     • Presidential Primaries
  – General Elections
  – Referendum, Initiative, and Recall
  – The Act of Voting



            ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   3
Elections, Campaigns, and
               Voting
• Elections in the United States (continued)
  – The 2000 Election and Its Impact
  – Types of Ballots
  – Why Ballot Design Matters
  – Voting by Mail




            ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   4
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• Running for Office: The Choice to Run
  – Formal Eligibility Requirements
  – Informal Eligibility Requirements




           ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   5
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• The Nature of Campaigns Today
  – The Professionalism of Political Campaigns
  – Media and New Technologies: Transforming
    Political Campaigns
    • Personality versus Policy
    • Revolutionizing the Campaign: The Internet
  – Money and Modern Campaigns



           ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   6
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• Regulating Campaign Contributions
  – Regulatory Loopholes: Independent
    Expenditures
  – Regulatory Loopholes: Soft Money
  – The Impact of Regulation: The Growth of
    PACs
  – The Bipartisan Campaign Finance Reform Act
    of 2002
  – Regulatory Loophole: 527s
          ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   7
©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   8
©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   9
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• Presidential Campaigns
  – Party Conventions and the General Election
    Campaign
  – The Electoral College




          ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   10
©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   11
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• Who Votes? Factors in Voter Participation
  – Education Level—the Number one Predictor
    of Voting
  – The Age Factor
  – Race and Voter Participation
  – Income—a Reliable Predictor of Voting
  – Party Competitiveness and Voter Turnout



          ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   12
©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   13
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• How Voters Decide
  – Major Factors in Voter Decision Making
    • Party Identification
    • Policy Priorities
    • Incumbency
  – Campaign Influences on Voter Choice
    • Greater Reliance on Paid Professional Staffers
    • Negative Campaigning



           ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   14
©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   15
Elections, Campaigns, and
              Voting
• Why Some People Do Not Vote
  – Lack of Efficacy
  – Voter Fatigue and Negative Campaigns
  – The Structure of Elections
  – The Rational Abstention Thesis
  – The Impact of Nonvoting




          ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.   16
Chapter Three

  Elections
Exhibit 3-1      Qualified Political Parties in California
                                                                            Percent of
 Qualified party                    Website                                 registered
                                                                            voters*
 Democratic                         www.cadem.org                              42.5%
 Republican                         www.cagop.org                              34.3%
 American Independent www.aipca.org                                             2.0%
 Green                              www.cagreens.org                            0.9%
 Libertarian                        www.ca.lp.org                               0.5%
 Peace and Freedom                  www.peaceandfreedom.org                     0.4%
 Natural Law                        www.natural-law.org                         0.1%
 Other                                                                          0.5%
 Decline to state                                                              18.7%
* Does not total exactly 100% due to rounding.
15,837,108 registered voters in October 2006 — 70% of the 22,652,190 Californians eligible to vote.
Source: California Secretary of State
Expenditures in State
Exhibit 3-2
Assembly Campaigns: 1976-1998
Incumbents significantly outspend challengers
Expenditures in State
Exhibit 3-2
Assembly Campaigns: 1976-1998
Winners outspend losers
Exhibit 3-3
     The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees,
     and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of
     the total contributions in 2004 election cycle.

                         Interest Group, Policy or                 Amount to
                                                     Amount to
  Contributor Name       Candidate Supported or                     Ballot
                                                     Candidates
                         Opposed, and Outcome                      Measures
Agua Caliente Band of   Tribal Government
                                                      $688,650     $13,700,000
Cahuilla Indians        Pro Proposition 70 (lost)
California State
                        Public Sector Union
Council of Service
                        Pro Proposition 56 (lost)    $1,014,315    $12,818,278
Employees
                        Pro Proposition 72 (lost)
International Union
                        Political Party Committee
California Democratic   Largest recipients were
                                                     $11,413,588   $1,010,525
Party                   Michael Machado (won)
                        and Peg Pinard (lost)
San Manuel Band of      Tribal Government
                                                      $955,520     $11,000,000
Mission Indians         Pro Proposition 70 (lost)
Exhibit 3-3
     The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees,
     and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of
     the total contributions in 2004 election cycle.

                       Interest Group, Policy or                Amount to
                                                   Amount to
                       Candidate Supported or                    Ballot
  Contributor Name                                 Candidates
                       Opposed, and Outcome                     Measures
                      Public Sector Union
California Teachers   Pro Proposition 55 (won)
                                                   $1,838,925   $8,620,336
Association           Pro Proposition 56 (lost)
                      Pro Proposition 72 (lost)
Schwarzenegger’s      Candidate Committee
California Recovery   Pro Proposition 57 (won)        $0        $10,178,721
Team, Governor        Con Proposition 68 (lost)
                      Tribal Government
Morongo Band of
                      Pro Proposition 70 (lost)    $1,251,600   $8,334,600
Mission Indians
                      Con Proposition 68 (lost)
                      Tribal Government
Auburn Rancheria                                    $83,800     $8,285,047
                      Con Proposition 68 (lost)
Exhibit 3-3
     The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees,
     and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of
     the total contributions in 2004 election cycle.

                         Interest Group, Policy or                Amount to
                                                     Amount to
                         Candidate Supported or                    Ballot
  Contributor Name                                   Candidates
                         Opposed, and Outcome                     Measures
Rumsey Band of          Tribal Government
                                                      $97,000     $8,244,241
Wintun Indians          Con Proposition 68 (lost)
                        Political Party Committee
                        Largest recipients were
California Republican
                        Gary Podesto (lost), Dean    $6,314,060   $1,374,528
Party
                        Gardner (lost), and
                        Shirley Horton (won)
Pala Band of Mission    Tribal Government
                                                      $47,300     $6,693,293
Indians                 Con Proposition 68 (lost)
Pechanga Band of        Tribal Government
                                                     $498,004     $5,571,142
Luiseno Indians         Con Proposition 68 (lost)
Exhibit 3-3
     The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees,
     and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of
     the total contributions in 2004 election cycle.

                        Interest Group, Policy or                Amount to
                                                    Amount to
                        Candidate Supported or                    Ballot
  Contributor Name                                  Candidates
                        Opposed, and Outcome                     Measures
California Motor Car   Automotive
                                                    $453,456     $5,304,911
Dealers Association    Pro Proposition 64
                       Candidate self-finance
Poizner Family Trust   Republican candidate 21st    $5,313,732      $0
                       Assembly (lost)
Magna Entertainment    Gambling & Casinos
                                                     $54,200     $4,800,008
Corp                   Pro Proposition 68 (lost)
                       Telephone Utilities
SBC Communications                                  $558,874     $4,181,776
                       Con Proposition 67 (lost)
Exhibit 3-3
     The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees,
     and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of
     the total contributions in 2004 election cycle.

                          Interest Group, Policy or                Amount to
                                                      Amount to
                          Candidate Supported or                    Ballot
  Contributor Name                                    Candidates
                          Opposed, and Outcome                     Measures
                         Hospitals & Nursing
                         Homes
California Healthcare
                         Pro Proposition 67 (lost)    $354,276     $3,978,835
Association
                         Pro Proposition 72 (lost)
                         Pro Proposition 63 (won)
Viejas Band of           Tribal Government
                                                      $334,620     $3,302,426
Kumeyaay Indians         Con Proposition 68 (lost)
                         Gambling & Casinos
Pinnacle Entertainment                                 $2,000      $3,414,000
                         Pro Proposition 68 (lost)
League of California     Government
                                                         $0        $3,109,888
Cities                   Pro Proposition 1A (won)
Exhibit 3-4
 California Campaign Contribution Limits
                                                                                   From

          To                                                         Small                                  Candidate          Candidate (to self)
                                             Political Action                       Reg’d     Political
                             Individual                           Contribution                             (to another
                                               Committee                           Lobbyist    Party                        Contribution      Loan
                                                                   Committee                               candidate)


  Candidate
    State legislative    $3,300/election**    $3,300/election    $6,700/election      $0      No limit    $3,300/election     No limit      $100,000
    Governor*           $22,300/election     $22,300/election   $22,300/election      $0      No limit
    Other statewide      $5,600/election      $5,600/election   $11,100/election      $0      No limit


  Political Action
                            $5,600/year             --                 --             --         --             --               --             --
  Committee
  Small Contribution
                              $200/year             --                 --             --         --             --               --             --
  Committee

  Political Party          $27,900/year        $27,900/year            --             --         --             --               --             --

  Ballot Measure
                              No limit                                 --             --         --          No limit            --             --
  Committee

Source: State of California, Fair Political Practices Commission.
Exhibit 3-5   California Voter Participation by Race/Ethnicity 2004
Exhibit 3-5   California Voter Participation by Age 2004
Exhibit 3-5   California Voter Participation by Education
Exhibit 3-5   California Voter Participation by Income
Exhibit 3-6
Voter Participation: Percent of Eligible Population
Voting in General Elections
Exhibit 3-7
California’s Coastal-Inland Political Divide
Exhibit 3-7
November 2006 Gubernatorial Election
Exhibit 3-7
November 2004 Presidential Election
Exhibit 3-7
October 2003 Special Election:
Shall Gray Davis be Recalled?
Exhibit 3-7
November 2002 Gubernatorial Election
Exhibit 3-7
November 2000 Presidential Election
Exhibit 3-7
November 1998 Gubernatorial Election
Diminishing Democrat-Republican
Exhibit 3-8

Registration and Growth of Independents
Exhibit 3-9   Growing Latino Electorate
Exhibit 3-10
Increasing Absentee Voting

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Chapter 9 & 3

  • 1. Chapter 9: Elections, Campaigns, and Voting A More Perfect Union 1/e
  • 2. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Civic Engagement and Political Participation – Voting – Volunteering – Running for Office ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 2
  • 3. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Elections in the United States – Nominations and Primary Elections • Types of Primary Elections • Presidential Primaries – General Elections – Referendum, Initiative, and Recall – The Act of Voting ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 3
  • 4. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Elections in the United States (continued) – The 2000 Election and Its Impact – Types of Ballots – Why Ballot Design Matters – Voting by Mail ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 4
  • 5. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Running for Office: The Choice to Run – Formal Eligibility Requirements – Informal Eligibility Requirements ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 5
  • 6. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • The Nature of Campaigns Today – The Professionalism of Political Campaigns – Media and New Technologies: Transforming Political Campaigns • Personality versus Policy • Revolutionizing the Campaign: The Internet – Money and Modern Campaigns ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6
  • 7. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Regulating Campaign Contributions – Regulatory Loopholes: Independent Expenditures – Regulatory Loopholes: Soft Money – The Impact of Regulation: The Growth of PACs – The Bipartisan Campaign Finance Reform Act of 2002 – Regulatory Loophole: 527s ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 7
  • 8. ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 8
  • 9. ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 9
  • 10. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Presidential Campaigns – Party Conventions and the General Election Campaign – The Electoral College ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 10
  • 11. ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 11
  • 12. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Who Votes? Factors in Voter Participation – Education Level—the Number one Predictor of Voting – The Age Factor – Race and Voter Participation – Income—a Reliable Predictor of Voting – Party Competitiveness and Voter Turnout ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 12
  • 13. ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 13
  • 14. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • How Voters Decide – Major Factors in Voter Decision Making • Party Identification • Policy Priorities • Incumbency – Campaign Influences on Voter Choice • Greater Reliance on Paid Professional Staffers • Negative Campaigning ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 14
  • 15. ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 15
  • 16. Elections, Campaigns, and Voting • Why Some People Do Not Vote – Lack of Efficacy – Voter Fatigue and Negative Campaigns – The Structure of Elections – The Rational Abstention Thesis – The Impact of Nonvoting ©2011, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 16
  • 17. Chapter Three Elections
  • 18. Exhibit 3-1 Qualified Political Parties in California Percent of Qualified party Website registered voters* Democratic www.cadem.org 42.5% Republican www.cagop.org 34.3% American Independent www.aipca.org 2.0% Green www.cagreens.org 0.9% Libertarian www.ca.lp.org 0.5% Peace and Freedom www.peaceandfreedom.org 0.4% Natural Law www.natural-law.org 0.1% Other 0.5% Decline to state 18.7% * Does not total exactly 100% due to rounding. 15,837,108 registered voters in October 2006 — 70% of the 22,652,190 Californians eligible to vote. Source: California Secretary of State
  • 19. Expenditures in State Exhibit 3-2 Assembly Campaigns: 1976-1998 Incumbents significantly outspend challengers
  • 20. Expenditures in State Exhibit 3-2 Assembly Campaigns: 1976-1998 Winners outspend losers
  • 21. Exhibit 3-3 The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees, and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of the total contributions in 2004 election cycle. Interest Group, Policy or Amount to Amount to Contributor Name Candidate Supported or Ballot Candidates Opposed, and Outcome Measures Agua Caliente Band of Tribal Government $688,650 $13,700,000 Cahuilla Indians Pro Proposition 70 (lost) California State Public Sector Union Council of Service Pro Proposition 56 (lost) $1,014,315 $12,818,278 Employees Pro Proposition 72 (lost) International Union Political Party Committee California Democratic Largest recipients were $11,413,588 $1,010,525 Party Michael Machado (won) and Peg Pinard (lost) San Manuel Band of Tribal Government $955,520 $11,000,000 Mission Indians Pro Proposition 70 (lost)
  • 22. Exhibit 3-3 The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees, and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of the total contributions in 2004 election cycle. Interest Group, Policy or Amount to Amount to Candidate Supported or Ballot Contributor Name Candidates Opposed, and Outcome Measures Public Sector Union California Teachers Pro Proposition 55 (won) $1,838,925 $8,620,336 Association Pro Proposition 56 (lost) Pro Proposition 72 (lost) Schwarzenegger’s Candidate Committee California Recovery Pro Proposition 57 (won) $0 $10,178,721 Team, Governor Con Proposition 68 (lost) Tribal Government Morongo Band of Pro Proposition 70 (lost) $1,251,600 $8,334,600 Mission Indians Con Proposition 68 (lost) Tribal Government Auburn Rancheria $83,800 $8,285,047 Con Proposition 68 (lost)
  • 23. Exhibit 3-3 The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees, and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of the total contributions in 2004 election cycle. Interest Group, Policy or Amount to Amount to Candidate Supported or Ballot Contributor Name Candidates Opposed, and Outcome Measures Rumsey Band of Tribal Government $97,000 $8,244,241 Wintun Indians Con Proposition 68 (lost) Political Party Committee Largest recipients were California Republican Gary Podesto (lost), Dean $6,314,060 $1,374,528 Party Gardner (lost), and Shirley Horton (won) Pala Band of Mission Tribal Government $47,300 $6,693,293 Indians Con Proposition 68 (lost) Pechanga Band of Tribal Government $498,004 $5,571,142 Luiseno Indians Con Proposition 68 (lost)
  • 24. Exhibit 3-3 The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees, and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of the total contributions in 2004 election cycle. Interest Group, Policy or Amount to Amount to Candidate Supported or Ballot Contributor Name Candidates Opposed, and Outcome Measures California Motor Car Automotive $453,456 $5,304,911 Dealers Association Pro Proposition 64 Candidate self-finance Poizner Family Trust Republican candidate 21st $5,313,732 $0 Assembly (lost) Magna Entertainment Gambling & Casinos $54,200 $4,800,008 Corp Pro Proposition 68 (lost) Telephone Utilities SBC Communications $558,874 $4,181,776 Con Proposition 67 (lost)
  • 25. Exhibit 3-3 The top 20 contributors to candidates, party committees, and/or ballot measure committees accounted for 29 percent of the total contributions in 2004 election cycle. Interest Group, Policy or Amount to Amount to Candidate Supported or Ballot Contributor Name Candidates Opposed, and Outcome Measures Hospitals & Nursing Homes California Healthcare Pro Proposition 67 (lost) $354,276 $3,978,835 Association Pro Proposition 72 (lost) Pro Proposition 63 (won) Viejas Band of Tribal Government $334,620 $3,302,426 Kumeyaay Indians Con Proposition 68 (lost) Gambling & Casinos Pinnacle Entertainment $2,000 $3,414,000 Pro Proposition 68 (lost) League of California Government $0 $3,109,888 Cities Pro Proposition 1A (won)
  • 26. Exhibit 3-4 California Campaign Contribution Limits From To Small Candidate Candidate (to self) Political Action Reg’d Political Individual Contribution (to another Committee Lobbyist Party Contribution Loan Committee candidate) Candidate State legislative $3,300/election** $3,300/election $6,700/election $0 No limit $3,300/election No limit $100,000 Governor* $22,300/election $22,300/election $22,300/election $0 No limit Other statewide $5,600/election $5,600/election $11,100/election $0 No limit Political Action $5,600/year -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Committee Small Contribution $200/year -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Committee Political Party $27,900/year $27,900/year -- -- -- -- -- -- Ballot Measure No limit -- -- -- No limit -- -- Committee Source: State of California, Fair Political Practices Commission.
  • 27. Exhibit 3-5 California Voter Participation by Race/Ethnicity 2004
  • 28. Exhibit 3-5 California Voter Participation by Age 2004
  • 29. Exhibit 3-5 California Voter Participation by Education
  • 30. Exhibit 3-5 California Voter Participation by Income
  • 31. Exhibit 3-6 Voter Participation: Percent of Eligible Population Voting in General Elections
  • 33. Exhibit 3-7 November 2006 Gubernatorial Election
  • 34. Exhibit 3-7 November 2004 Presidential Election
  • 35. Exhibit 3-7 October 2003 Special Election: Shall Gray Davis be Recalled?
  • 36. Exhibit 3-7 November 2002 Gubernatorial Election
  • 37. Exhibit 3-7 November 2000 Presidential Election
  • 38. Exhibit 3-7 November 1998 Gubernatorial Election
  • 40. Exhibit 3-9 Growing Latino Electorate