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Comprehension
and Compression
Scientific Understanding, Pattern Recognition, and
Kolmogorov Complexity
John S. Wilkins
School of Historical and Philosophical Studies
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2. Traditional accounts and recent work
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2. Traditional accounts and recent work
3. The mechanics of understanding
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2. Traditional accounts and recent work
3. The mechanics of understanding
4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2. Traditional accounts and recent work
3. The mechanics of understanding
4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression
5. The subjects that understand
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2. Traditional accounts and recent work
3. The mechanics of understanding
4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression
5. The subjects that understand
6. Handwaving
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2. Traditional accounts and recent work
3. The mechanics of understanding
4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression
5. The subjects that understand
6. Handwaving
7. Phylogenies
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe
2. Traditional accounts and recent work
3. The mechanics of understanding
4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression
5. The subjects that understand
6. Handwaving
7. Phylogenies
8. Conclusions [tentative]
2
Outline
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
“The accompanying diagram will aid us in understanding this rather
perplexing subject.” [Darwin, Origin, chapter 4]
3
Understanding perplexing subjects
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
4
Biology and the big data problem
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
4
Biology and the big data problem
“It’s human DNA!”
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
“But besides this practical concern, there is a
second basic motivation for the scientific quest,
namely, man's insatiable intellectual curiosity, his
deep concern to know the world he lives in, and
to explain, and thus to understand, the unending
flow of phenomena it presents to him.”
[Carl Hempel 1962]
From the data up
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
“But besides this practical concern, there is a
second basic motivation for the scientific quest,
namely, man's insatiable intellectual curiosity, his
deep concern to know the world he lives in, and
to explain, and thus to understand, the unending
flow of phenomena it presents to him.”
[Carl Hempel 1962]
“Information is not knowledge.
Knowledge is not wisdom.
Wisdom is not truth.”
[Zappa 1979]
From the data up
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
“But besides this practical concern, there is a
second basic motivation for the scientific quest,
namely, man's insatiable intellectual curiosity, his
deep concern to know the world he lives in, and
to explain, and thus to understand, the unending
flow of phenomena it presents to him.”
[Carl Hempel 1962]
“Information is not knowledge.
Knowledge is not wisdom.
Wisdom is not truth.”
[Zappa 1979]
“Data is not information, information is not
knowledge, knowledge is not wisdom, wisdom is
not truth.”
[Robert Royar 1994]
Hempel, Carl G. "Explanation in Science and History," in
Frontiers of Science and Philosophy, ed. R.C. Colodny, 1962,
pp. 9- 19. Pittsburgh: The University of Pittsburgh Press.
Royar, Robert. “New Horizons, Clouded Vistas.” Computers
and Composition 11, no. 2 (January 1, 1994): 93–105.
Zappa, Frank. “Packard Goose”. 1979. Joe’s Garage: Acts I, II &
III. FZ Records.
From the data up
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The missing level in the
DIKW pyramid
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The missing level in the
DIKW pyramid
Understanding?
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The missing level in the
DIKW pyramid
Understanding?
If we approach this from
the machine learning
perspective, we might
get a better idea of
human scientific
understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence
or enlightenment
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence
or enlightenment
• “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no
basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163]
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence
or enlightenment
• “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no
basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163]
The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion:
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence
or enlightenment
• “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no
basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163]
The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion:
• Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152)
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence
or enlightenment
• “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no
basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163]
The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion:
• Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152)
• Of explanation (van Fraassen 1980)
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence
or enlightenment
• “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no
basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163]
The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion:
• Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152)
• Of explanation (van Fraassen 1980)
The utility of causal accounts ultimately constitutes understanding.
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation
(cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries)
Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence
or enlightenment
• “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no
basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163]
The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion:
• Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152)
• Of explanation (van Fraassen 1980)
The utility of causal accounts ultimately constitutes understanding.
Subjectivist or phenomenological accounts of understanding are merely psychologistic on
this approach.
7
Traditional accounts of understanding
Van Fraassen, Bas C. The ScienQfic Image. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1980.
Hempel, Carl G. Aspects of ScienQfic ExplanaQon, and Other Essays in the Philosophy of Science. New York: The Free Press, 1965.
Regt, Henk W. de. “Discussion Note: Making Sense of Understanding.” Philosophy of Science 71, no. 1 (January 1, 2004): 98–109.
Trout, J. D. “Scienffic Explanafon and the Sense of Understanding.” Philosophy of Science 69, no. 2 (June 1, 2002): 212–33.
Baumberger, Christoph, Claus Beisbart, and Georg Brun. “What Is Understanding? An Overview of Recent Debates in Epistemology and Philosophy of Science.” In Explaining
Understanding: New PerspecQves from Epistemolgy and Philosophy of Science, edited by Stephen Grimm Christoph Baumberger and Sabine Ammon, 1–34. Routledge, 2017.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Henk de Regt and his
collaborators have
developed an account
of understanding as:
8
Recent work on understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Henk de Regt and his
collaborators have
developed an account
of understanding as:
• Intelligibility
8
Recent work on understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Henk de Regt and his
collaborators have
developed an account
of understanding as:
• Intelligibility
• Empirical adequacy
8
Recent work on understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Henk de Regt and his
collaborators have
developed an account
of understanding as:
• Intelligibility
• Empirical adequacy
• Consistency
8
Recent work on understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Henk de Regt and his
collaborators have
developed an account
of understanding as:
• Intelligibility
• Empirical adequacy
• Consistency
These are contextual
features of disciplinary
or professional
understanding, without
reference to subjects
8
Recent work on understanding
De Regt, Henk W. Understanding ScienQfic Understanding. Oxford Studies in Philosophy of Science. Oxford University Press, 2017.
De Regt, Henk W., Sabine Leonelli, and Kai Eigner. ScienQfic Understanding: Philosophical PerspecQves. Piksburgh: University of
Piksburgh Press, 2009.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Henk de Regt and his
collaborators have
developed an account
of understanding as:
• Intelligibility
• Empirical adequacy
• Consistency
These are contextual
features of disciplinary
or professional
understanding, without
reference to subjects
8
Recent work on understanding
De Regt, Henk W. Understanding ScienQfic Understanding. Oxford Studies in Philosophy of Science. Oxford University Press, 2017.
De Regt, Henk W., Sabine Leonelli, and Kai Eigner. ScienQfic Understanding: Philosophical PerspecQves. Piksburgh: University of
Piksburgh Press, 2009.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
9
De Regt’s Criteria
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities
of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of
the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is
intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively
characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations.
9
De Regt’s Criteria
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities
of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of
the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is
intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively
characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations.
2.Empirical adequacy
Nuff said (for now; I’ll get back to this)
9
De Regt’s Criteria
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities
of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of
the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is
intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively
characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations.
2.Empirical adequacy
Nuff said (for now; I’ll get back to this)
3.Consistency: A phenomenon P is understood scientifically if and only if
there is an explanation of P that is based on an intelligible theory T and
conforms to the basic epistemic values of empirical adequacy and
internal consistency.
9
De Regt’s Criteria
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities
of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of
the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is
intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively
characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations.
2.Empirical adequacy
Nuff said (for now; I’ll get back to this)
3.Consistency: A phenomenon P is understood scientifically if and only if
there is an explanation of P that is based on an intelligible theory T and
conforms to the basic epistemic values of empirical adequacy and
internal consistency.
Note the passive nature here. It’s as if scientists don’t do very much in
understanding 9
De Regt’s Criteria
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
• because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological
knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding);
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
• because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological
knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding);
• but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological
approaches (with which I concur).
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
• because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological
knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding);
• but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological
approaches (with which I concur).
How to approach this?
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
• because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological
knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding);
• but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological
approaches (with which I concur).
How to approach this?
One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are
sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI).
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
• because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological
knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding);
• but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological
approaches (with which I concur).
How to approach this?
One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are
sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI).
• The mechanisms can be opaque “black boxes” in their operation (deep learning)
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
• because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological
knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding);
• but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological
approaches (with which I concur).
How to approach this?
One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are
sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI).
• The mechanisms can be opaque “black boxes” in their operation (deep learning)
• There is no subjectivity required (but there is a “subject”; that is, a learning
system)
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology…
• because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological
knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding);
• but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological
approaches (with which I concur).
How to approach this?
One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are
sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI).
• The mechanisms can be opaque “black boxes” in their operation (deep learning)
• There is no subjectivity required (but there is a “subject”; that is, a learning
system)
I will attempt to generalise ML and algorithmic information theoretic tools to apply to
this problem of understanding within knowing systems
10
Formal mechanics
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
• Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
• Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces
• Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion*
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
*Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be
translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility",
"force" [Wikipedia]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
• Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces
• Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion*
In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations.
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
*Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be
translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility",
"force" [Wikipedia]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
• Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces
• Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion*
In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations.
We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from
kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic
explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system)
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
*Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be
translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility",
"force" [Wikipedia]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
• Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces
• Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion*
In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations.
We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from
kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic
explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system)
• Of systems that are the subject of understanding
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
*Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be
translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility",
"force" [Wikipedia]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
• Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces
• Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion*
In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations.
We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from
kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic
explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system)
• Of systems that are the subject of understanding
• Of systems that understand
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
*Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be
translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility",
"force" [Wikipedia]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of
description:
• Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces
• Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion*
In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations.
We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from
kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic
explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system)
• Of systems that are the subject of understanding
• Of systems that understand
These coincide: as we move from kinematic descriptions to dynamic explanations of
knowing systems, we also move from considering knowledge to considering understanding
11
Kinematic versus dynamic
*Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be
translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility",
"force" [Wikipedia]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits
[working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits
[working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced
• E.g., regression and other statistical analyses
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits
[working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced
• E.g., regression and other statistical analyses
• Machine Learning classifications (ANNs)
12
Pattern recognition
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0069191
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits
[working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced
• E.g., regression and other statistical analyses
• Machine Learning classifications (ANNs)
• Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan)
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits
[working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced
• E.g., regression and other statistical analyses
• Machine Learning classifications (ANNs)
• Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan)
Less memory and cognitive resources are
required to retrieve and interpret patterns
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits
[working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced
• E.g., regression and other statistical analyses
• Machine Learning classifications (ANNs)
• Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan)
Less memory and cognitive resources are
required to retrieve and interpret patterns
A pattern therefore has information the data
does not
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions
Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty
Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits
[working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced
• E.g., regression and other statistical analyses
• Machine Learning classifications (ANNs)
• Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan)
Less memory and cognitive resources are
required to retrieve and interpret patterns
A pattern therefore has information the data
does not
[Here, information is a property of the state
of a knowing system]
12
Pattern recognition
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know
it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where
P is the phenomenon]
13
Machine learning and understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know
it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where
P is the phenomenon]
The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A
13
Machine learning and understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know
it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where
P is the phenomenon]
The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A
• If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set
13
Machine learning and understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know
it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where
P is the phenomenon]
The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A
• If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set
• If P is lossless, then the complexity of A equals the complexity of P [defn]
13
Machine learning and understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know
it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where
P is the phenomenon]
The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A
• If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set
• If P is lossless, then the complexity of A equals the complexity of P [defn]
So A is a compression algorithm*. By analogy, when we generate a pattern (such
as a regression curve) from a large or noisy data set, we are compressing the data
to generate information, and from that information we can fairly say we know the
domain the data set samples or represents.
13
Machine learning and understanding
* The worst compression is, of course, the data set itself plus a “print” command
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know
it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where
P is the phenomenon]
The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A
• If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set
• If P is lossless, then the complexity of A equals the complexity of P [defn]
So A is a compression algorithm*. By analogy, when we generate a pattern (such
as a regression curve) from a large or noisy data set, we are compressing the data
to generate information, and from that information we can fairly say we know the
domain the data set samples or represents.
The complexity of P is specified in Algorithmic Information Theory (AIT) as the
length (in bits) of the shortest program that generates P.
13
Machine learning and understanding
* The worst compression is, of course, the data set itself plus a “print” command
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov
(1926–2009)
14
Kolmogorov compressed
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov
(1926–2009)
Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L
that generates a string w
14
Kolmogorov compressed
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov
(1926–2009)
Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L
that generates a string w
• The most complex string in L is a fully random string
14
Kolmogorov compressed
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov
(1926–2009)
Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L
that generates a string w
• The most complex string in L is a fully random string
• A fully random string is incompressible
14
Kolmogorov compressed
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov
(1926–2009)
Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L
that generates a string w
• The most complex string in L is a fully random string
• A fully random string is incompressible
• The working memory of a ML system is thus the largest random string that it
can hold in memory while applying functions to it
14
Kolmogorov compressed
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov
(1926–2009)
Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L
that generates a string w
• The most complex string in L is a fully random string
• A fully random string is incompressible
• The working memory of a ML system is thus the largest random string that it
can hold in memory while applying functions to it
Thus K gives the complexity of a string (of digits, or other structured data)
14
Kolmogorov compressed
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov
(1926–2009)
Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L
that generates a string w
• The most complex string in L is a fully random string
• A fully random string is incompressible
• The working memory of a ML system is thus the largest random string that it
can hold in memory while applying functions to it
Thus K gives the complexity of a string (of digits, or other structured data)
If we conceive of ourselves as knowing systems analogous to ML systems, the
information in data is thus the K “program” in our cognitive processes
14
Kolmogorov compressed
Li, Ming, and Paul Vitányi. An IntroducQon to Kolmogorov Complexity and Its ApplicaQons. 4th ed. Texts in Computer Science. Springer Internafonal
Publishing, 2019.
Grünwald, Peter, and Paul M. B. Vitányi. “Shannon Informafon and Kolmogorov Complexity.” CoRR cs.IT/0410002 (2004).
Wallace, C. S., and D. L. Dowe. “Minimum Message Length and Kolmogorov Complexity.” The Computer Journal 42, no. 4 (January 1, 1999): 270–83.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
[Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator]
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
[Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator]
Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited
knowing system
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
[Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator]
Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited
knowing system
• Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
[Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator]
Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited
knowing system
• Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces
[Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible]
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
[Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator]
Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited
knowing system
• Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces
[Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible]
• Compression of data to information is a lossy process; the structure/pattern in the
data is simplified through regression, etc.
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
[Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator]
Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited
knowing system
• Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces
[Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible]
• Compression of data to information is a lossy process; the structure/pattern in the
data is simplified through regression, etc.
• The function of this information is to set the expectations of the knowing system
[but that’s another talk; contrastive explanation is why]
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the
knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant
for understanding the information
[Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator]
Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited
knowing system
• Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces
[Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible]
• Compression of data to information is a lossy process; the structure/pattern in the
data is simplified through regression, etc.
• The function of this information is to set the expectations of the knowing system
[but that’s another talk; contrastive explanation is why]
• In short: the information derived from the data sets the prior probabilities for
future data, highlighting anomalies and points of interest
15
Reducing the complexity of data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
16
Compression and generalisation
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Analysis
compresses to
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Analysis
compresses to
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
Kinematic rules
y = f(x)
applies to
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Analysis
compresses to
Dynamic or causal models
y = f(x)
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
Kinematic rules
y = f(x)
applies to
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Analysis
compresses to
Dynamic or causal models
y = f(x)
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
Kinematic rules
y = f(x)
applies to
Data Information
KnowledgeUnderstanding
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Analysis
compresses to
Dynamic or causal models
y = f(x)
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
Kinematic rules
y = f(x)
applies to
Data Information
KnowledgeUnderstanding
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Analysis
compresses to
Dynamic or causal models
y = f(x)
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
Kinematic rules
y = f(x)
applies to
Data Information
KnowledgeUnderstanding
Understanding
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Analysis
compresses to
Dynamic or causal models
y = f(x)
16
Compression and generalisation
Measurement
compresses to
Kinematic rules
y = f(x)
applies to
Data Information
KnowledgeUnderstanding
Understanding
What counts as wisdom is left to
you to decide
“Solomonoff held that
all inference problems
can be cast in the form
of extrapolation from an
ordered sequence of
binary symbols.”
[Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
• But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in
science?
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
• But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in
science?
• particular scientists
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
• But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in
science?
• particular scientists
• disciplines and sub disciplines
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
• But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in
science?
• particular scientists
• disciplines and sub disciplines
• research groups
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
• But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in
science?
• particular scientists
• disciplines and sub disciplines
• research groups
I would take this approach to apply equally well to both individual and collective
knowing systems/subjects.
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
• But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in
science?
• particular scientists
• disciplines and sub disciplines
• research groups
I would take this approach to apply equally well to both individual and collective
knowing systems/subjects.
We can say that Professor X understands some phenomenon, or that Discipline D
understands some phenomenon independently (individuals can fail to understand
what the discipline does, and vice versa)
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand
the universe, of course, as Hempel said.
• But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in
science?
• particular scientists
• disciplines and sub disciplines
• research groups
I would take this approach to apply equally well to both individual and collective
knowing systems/subjects.
We can say that Professor X understands some phenomenon, or that Discipline D
understands some phenomenon independently (individuals can fail to understand
what the discipline does, and vice versa)
[Does this mean we have actual Turing machines in our heads? No, it’s an abstract way
to consider the problem (just as neurones are not artificial neurones or v.v.)]
17
Subjects understanding
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave
at some:
18
Insert case studies here
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave
at some:
• Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.)
leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation
18
Insert case studies here
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave
at some:
• Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.)
leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation
• Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then
electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts
18
Insert case studies here
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave
at some:
• Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.)
leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation
• Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then
electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts
• Mendelian genetics (phenomenal) through to population genetics (kinematic),
through to molecular genetics (dynamic)
18
Insert case studies here
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave
at some:
• Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.)
leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation
• Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then
electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts
• Mendelian genetics (phenomenal) through to population genetics (kinematic),
through to molecular genetics (dynamic)
• Arguably: observational to theoretical ecology, through to ecological
thermodynamics and “ecological orbits” (Haynie 2001, Ginsburg and Colyvan 2004)
18
Insert case studies here
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave
at some:
• Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.)
leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation
• Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then
electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts
• Mendelian genetics (phenomenal) through to population genetics (kinematic),
through to molecular genetics (dynamic)
• Arguably: observational to theoretical ecology, through to ecological
thermodynamics and “ecological orbits” (Haynie 2001, Ginsburg and Colyvan 2004)
• Tectonic drift theory (Oreskes and le Grand 2003)
18
Insert case studies here
Ginzburg, Lev R., and Mark Colyvan. Ecological Orbits : How Planets Move and PopulaQons Grow. Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press,
2004.
Haynie, Donald T. Biological Thermodynamics. Cambridge ; New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
Oreskes, Naomi, and Homer E. LeGrand. Plate Tectonics: An Insider’s History of the Modern Theory of the Earth. Boulder, CO.: Westview Press,
2003.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/
subjectively
19
Case: Phylogenies
From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of
North American Equidae. Bull. Dept.
Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4):
165-198.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/
subjectively
• In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only
morphological-skeletal characters were available
19
Case: Phylogenies
From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of
North American Equidae. Bull. Dept.
Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4):
165-198.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/
subjectively
• In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only
morphological-skeletal characters were available
• Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the
apprehension of small data sets combined with
the “expertise” of the taxonomist
19
Case: Phylogenies
From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of
North American Equidae. Bull. Dept.
Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4):
165-198.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/
subjectively
• In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only
morphological-skeletal characters were available
• Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the
apprehension of small data sets combined with
the “expertise” of the taxonomist
• As phylogenetics became mathematised with
“numerical” taxonomy (computer-based, “total
evidence”), it was supposed to become more
objective
19
Case: Phylogenies
From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of
North American Equidae. Bull. Dept.
Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4):
165-198.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/
subjectively
• In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only
morphological-skeletal characters were available
• Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the
apprehension of small data sets combined with
the “expertise” of the taxonomist
• As phylogenetics became mathematised with
“numerical” taxonomy (computer-based, “total
evidence”), it was supposed to become more
objective
• It wasn’t (choice of principal components skewed
the results unpredictably)
19
Case: Phylogenies
From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of
North American Equidae. Bull. Dept.
Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4):
165-198.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/
subjectively
• In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only
morphological-skeletal characters were available
• Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the
apprehension of small data sets combined with
the “expertise” of the taxonomist
• As phylogenetics became mathematised with
“numerical” taxonomy (computer-based, “total
evidence”), it was supposed to become more
objective
• It wasn’t (choice of principal components skewed
the results unpredictably)
• Enter molecular data 19
Case: Phylogenies
From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of
North American Equidae. Bull. Dept.
Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4):
165-198.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation
studies
20
Molecular phylogenies
Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification
of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current
Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation
studies
• E.g., Sibley and Ahlquist’s
taxonomy of birds in 1980s
20
Molecular phylogenies
Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification
of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current
Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation
studies
• E.g., Sibley and Ahlquist’s
taxonomy of birds in 1980s
• Based on percentage of
similarity of total DNA [T50H];
a single number representing
billions of bases
20
Molecular phylogenies
Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification
of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current
Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation
studies
• E.g., Sibley and Ahlquist’s
taxonomy of birds in 1980s
• Based on percentage of
similarity of total DNA [T50H];
a single number representing
billions of bases
• “With few exceptions the
DNA comparisons “see” the
same clusters of species that
are seen by the human eye.”
20
Molecular phylogenies
Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification
of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current
Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Full genomic sequences
21
Sequence data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Full genomic sequences
• Molecular clocks
21
Sequence data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Full genomic sequences
• Molecular clocks
• Problems
21
Sequence data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Full genomic sequences
• Molecular clocks
• Problems
• Paralogy and
homology
21
Sequence data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Full genomic sequences
• Molecular clocks
• Problems
• Paralogy and
homology
• Statistical
probabilities of
sequences
21
Sequence data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Full genomic sequences
• Molecular clocks
• Problems
• Paralogy and
homology
• Statistical
probabilities of
sequences
• Hybridisation and
later transfer
21
Sequence data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• Full genomic sequences
• Molecular clocks
• Problems
• Paralogy and
homology
• Statistical
probabilities of
sequences
• Hybridisation and
later transfer
• What do the
diagrams summarise?
21
Sequence data
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing]
22
Phylogenies are compressed data
Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg
http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing]
• Its topology represents the analysed structure in the
very large data set
22
Phylogenies are compressed data
Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg
http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing]
• Its topology represents the analysed structure in the
very large data set
• Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot
eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the
species
22
Phylogenies are compressed data
Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg
http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing]
• Its topology represents the analysed structure in the
very large data set
• Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot
eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the
species
• In fact, they cannot even identify
alignments
22
Phylogenies are compressed data
Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg
http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing]
• Its topology represents the analysed structure in the
very large data set
• Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot
eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the
species
• In fact, they cannot even identify
alignments
• The bigger the data set, the more compression of
the data is required to be able to understand the
relationships
22
Phylogenies are compressed data
Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg
http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
• A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing]
• Its topology represents the analysed structure in the
very large data set
• Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot
eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the
species
• In fact, they cannot even identify
alignments
• The bigger the data set, the more compression of
the data is required to be able to understand the
relationships
• This is due to the fact that humans, and epistemic groups of
humans, have limitations on the working memory, cognitive
power, and information transmission channels, that they can bring
to a problem set, like any ML system
22
Phylogenies are compressed data
Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg
http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required
to comprehend the data structure
23
Big data is not always better
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required
to comprehend the data structure
A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages,
etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc.
23
Big data is not always better
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required
to comprehend the data structure
A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages,
etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc.
In light of Big Data, even empirical adequacy becomes a statistical
property, as error creeping into measurement is magnified
23
Big data is not always better
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required
to comprehend the data structure
A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages,
etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc.
In light of Big Data, even empirical adequacy becomes a statistical
property, as error creeping into measurement is magnified
So, to understand, compress.
23
Big data is not always better
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required
to comprehend the data structure
A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages,
etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc.
In light of Big Data, even empirical adequacy becomes a statistical
property, as error creeping into measurement is magnified
So, to understand, compress.
Mind, compression is not, ipso facto, comprehension.
23
Big data is not always better
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
• Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen)
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
• Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen)
• Generalisation/-ability
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
• Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen)
• Generalisation/-ability
• Causal explanation
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
• Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen)
• Generalisation/-ability
• Causal explanation
which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated.
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
• Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen)
• Generalisation/-ability
• Causal explanation
which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated.
The initial epistemic activities of measurement, analysis and kinematic
generalisation all involve compression so that we may comprehend the things
needing explanation
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
• Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen)
• Generalisation/-ability
• Causal explanation
which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated.
The initial epistemic activities of measurement, analysis and kinematic
generalisation all involve compression so that we may comprehend the things
needing explanation
• Compression of data is a kind of pattern matching, on the basis of which
ampliative inferences rest.
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical
consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes:
• Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen)
• Generalisation/-ability
• Causal explanation
which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated.
The initial epistemic activities of measurement, analysis and kinematic
generalisation all involve compression so that we may comprehend the things
needing explanation
• Compression of data is a kind of pattern matching, on the basis of which
ampliative inferences rest.
• Big data is not, in its own right, a good thing, so there!
24
Conclusions
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
25
Acknowledgements
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
25
For asking the question:
• Adam Ford
For discussion:
• The late John Collier
• Malte Ebach
Acknowledgements
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
25
For asking the question:
• Adam Ford
For discussion:
• The late John Collier
• Malte Ebach
• Ward Wheeler
• Marcus Hutter
Acknowledgements
John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au
25
For asking the question:
• Adam Ford
For discussion:
• The late John Collier
• Malte Ebach
• Ward Wheeler
• Marcus Hutter
For funding:
• ISHPSSSB Oslo conference organisers
For ear nibbles: Clio, a muse
Thank you
Acknowledgements

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Comprehension as compression

  • 1. Comprehension and Compression Scientific Understanding, Pattern Recognition, and Kolmogorov Complexity John S. Wilkins School of Historical and Philosophical Studies
  • 2. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2 Outline
  • 3. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2. Traditional accounts and recent work 2 Outline
  • 4. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2. Traditional accounts and recent work 3. The mechanics of understanding 2 Outline
  • 5. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2. Traditional accounts and recent work 3. The mechanics of understanding 4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression 2 Outline
  • 6. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2. Traditional accounts and recent work 3. The mechanics of understanding 4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression 5. The subjects that understand 2 Outline
  • 7. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2. Traditional accounts and recent work 3. The mechanics of understanding 4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression 5. The subjects that understand 6. Handwaving 2 Outline
  • 8. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2. Traditional accounts and recent work 3. The mechanics of understanding 4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression 5. The subjects that understand 6. Handwaving 7. Phylogenies 2 Outline
  • 9. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1. Understanding in music, business, and science maybe 2. Traditional accounts and recent work 3. The mechanics of understanding 4. Kolmogorov complexity and compression 5. The subjects that understand 6. Handwaving 7. Phylogenies 8. Conclusions [tentative] 2 Outline
  • 10. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au “The accompanying diagram will aid us in understanding this rather perplexing subject.” [Darwin, Origin, chapter 4] 3 Understanding perplexing subjects
  • 11. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 4 Biology and the big data problem
  • 12. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 4 Biology and the big data problem “It’s human DNA!”
  • 13. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au “But besides this practical concern, there is a second basic motivation for the scientific quest, namely, man's insatiable intellectual curiosity, his deep concern to know the world he lives in, and to explain, and thus to understand, the unending flow of phenomena it presents to him.” [Carl Hempel 1962] From the data up
  • 14. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au “But besides this practical concern, there is a second basic motivation for the scientific quest, namely, man's insatiable intellectual curiosity, his deep concern to know the world he lives in, and to explain, and thus to understand, the unending flow of phenomena it presents to him.” [Carl Hempel 1962] “Information is not knowledge. Knowledge is not wisdom. Wisdom is not truth.” [Zappa 1979] From the data up
  • 15. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au “But besides this practical concern, there is a second basic motivation for the scientific quest, namely, man's insatiable intellectual curiosity, his deep concern to know the world he lives in, and to explain, and thus to understand, the unending flow of phenomena it presents to him.” [Carl Hempel 1962] “Information is not knowledge. Knowledge is not wisdom. Wisdom is not truth.” [Zappa 1979] “Data is not information, information is not knowledge, knowledge is not wisdom, wisdom is not truth.” [Robert Royar 1994] Hempel, Carl G. "Explanation in Science and History," in Frontiers of Science and Philosophy, ed. R.C. Colodny, 1962, pp. 9- 19. Pittsburgh: The University of Pittsburgh Press. Royar, Robert. “New Horizons, Clouded Vistas.” Computers and Composition 11, no. 2 (January 1, 1994): 93–105. Zappa, Frank. “Packard Goose”. 1979. Joe’s Garage: Acts I, II & III. FZ Records. From the data up
  • 16. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The missing level in the DIKW pyramid
  • 17. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The missing level in the DIKW pyramid Understanding?
  • 18. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The missing level in the DIKW pyramid Understanding? If we approach this from the machine learning perspective, we might get a better idea of human scientific understanding
  • 19. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) 7 Traditional accounts of understanding
  • 20. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence or enlightenment 7 Traditional accounts of understanding
  • 21. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence or enlightenment • “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163] 7 Traditional accounts of understanding
  • 22. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence or enlightenment • “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163] The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion: 7 Traditional accounts of understanding
  • 23. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence or enlightenment • “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163] The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion: • Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152) 7 Traditional accounts of understanding
  • 24. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence or enlightenment • “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163] The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion: • Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152) • Of explanation (van Fraassen 1980) 7 Traditional accounts of understanding
  • 25. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence or enlightenment • “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163] The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion: • Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152) • Of explanation (van Fraassen 1980) The utility of causal accounts ultimately constitutes understanding. 7 Traditional accounts of understanding
  • 26. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Since Aristotle, understanding has been seen as based on causal explanation (cf. de Regt 2004, Baumberger et al. 2017 for summaries) Hempel and the logical empiricists rejected subjective elements such as feelings of confidence or enlightenment • “Empathic insight and subjective understanding provide no warrant of objective validity, no basis for the systematic prediction or explanation of phenomena…” [Hempel 1965, 163] The objectivist approach requires ultimately some pragmatist notion: • Of prediction (Trout 2002, Wittgenstein 1953 §152) • Of explanation (van Fraassen 1980) The utility of causal accounts ultimately constitutes understanding. Subjectivist or phenomenological accounts of understanding are merely psychologistic on this approach. 7 Traditional accounts of understanding Van Fraassen, Bas C. The ScienQfic Image. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1980. Hempel, Carl G. Aspects of ScienQfic ExplanaQon, and Other Essays in the Philosophy of Science. New York: The Free Press, 1965. Regt, Henk W. de. “Discussion Note: Making Sense of Understanding.” Philosophy of Science 71, no. 1 (January 1, 2004): 98–109. Trout, J. D. “Scienffic Explanafon and the Sense of Understanding.” Philosophy of Science 69, no. 2 (June 1, 2002): 212–33. Baumberger, Christoph, Claus Beisbart, and Georg Brun. “What Is Understanding? An Overview of Recent Debates in Epistemology and Philosophy of Science.” In Explaining Understanding: New PerspecQves from Epistemolgy and Philosophy of Science, edited by Stephen Grimm Christoph Baumberger and Sabine Ammon, 1–34. Routledge, 2017.
  • 27. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Henk de Regt and his collaborators have developed an account of understanding as: 8 Recent work on understanding
  • 28. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Henk de Regt and his collaborators have developed an account of understanding as: • Intelligibility 8 Recent work on understanding
  • 29. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Henk de Regt and his collaborators have developed an account of understanding as: • Intelligibility • Empirical adequacy 8 Recent work on understanding
  • 30. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Henk de Regt and his collaborators have developed an account of understanding as: • Intelligibility • Empirical adequacy • Consistency 8 Recent work on understanding
  • 31. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Henk de Regt and his collaborators have developed an account of understanding as: • Intelligibility • Empirical adequacy • Consistency These are contextual features of disciplinary or professional understanding, without reference to subjects 8 Recent work on understanding De Regt, Henk W. Understanding ScienQfic Understanding. Oxford Studies in Philosophy of Science. Oxford University Press, 2017. De Regt, Henk W., Sabine Leonelli, and Kai Eigner. ScienQfic Understanding: Philosophical PerspecQves. Piksburgh: University of Piksburgh Press, 2009.
  • 32. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Henk de Regt and his collaborators have developed an account of understanding as: • Intelligibility • Empirical adequacy • Consistency These are contextual features of disciplinary or professional understanding, without reference to subjects 8 Recent work on understanding De Regt, Henk W. Understanding ScienQfic Understanding. Oxford Studies in Philosophy of Science. Oxford University Press, 2017. De Regt, Henk W., Sabine Leonelli, and Kai Eigner. ScienQfic Understanding: Philosophical PerspecQves. Piksburgh: University of Piksburgh Press, 2009.
  • 33. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 9 De Regt’s Criteria
  • 34. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations. 9 De Regt’s Criteria
  • 35. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations. 2.Empirical adequacy Nuff said (for now; I’ll get back to this) 9 De Regt’s Criteria
  • 36. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations. 2.Empirical adequacy Nuff said (for now; I’ll get back to this) 3.Consistency: A phenomenon P is understood scientifically if and only if there is an explanation of P that is based on an intelligible theory T and conforms to the basic epistemic values of empirical adequacy and internal consistency. 9 De Regt’s Criteria
  • 37. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 1.Intelligibility: the value that scientists attribute to the cluster of qualities of a theory (in one or more of its representations) that facilitate the use of the theory: A scientific theory T (in one or more of its representations) is intelligible for scientists (in context C) if they can recognize qualitatively characteristic consequences of T without performing exact calculations. 2.Empirical adequacy Nuff said (for now; I’ll get back to this) 3.Consistency: A phenomenon P is understood scientifically if and only if there is an explanation of P that is based on an intelligible theory T and conforms to the basic epistemic values of empirical adequacy and internal consistency. Note the passive nature here. It’s as if scientists don’t do very much in understanding 9 De Regt’s Criteria
  • 38. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… 10 Formal mechanics
  • 39. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… • because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding); 10 Formal mechanics
  • 40. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… • because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding); • but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological approaches (with which I concur). 10 Formal mechanics
  • 41. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… • because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding); • but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological approaches (with which I concur). How to approach this? 10 Formal mechanics
  • 42. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… • because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding); • but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological approaches (with which I concur). How to approach this? One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI). 10 Formal mechanics
  • 43. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… • because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding); • but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological approaches (with which I concur). How to approach this? One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI). • The mechanisms can be opaque “black boxes” in their operation (deep learning) 10 Formal mechanics
  • 44. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… • because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding); • but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological approaches (with which I concur). How to approach this? One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI). • The mechanisms can be opaque “black boxes” in their operation (deep learning) • There is no subjectivity required (but there is a “subject”; that is, a learning system) 10 Formal mechanics
  • 45. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The mechanism of understanding is not generally considered in epistemology… • because we do not have the requisite neurobiological or neuropsychological knowledge yet (we do not understand understanding); • but also because there are objections to subjectivism in psychological approaches (with which I concur). How to approach this? One domain in which such matters are dealt with mechanically (i.e., mechanisms are sought) is machine learning (ML, a subset of AI). • The mechanisms can be opaque “black boxes” in their operation (deep learning) • There is no subjectivity required (but there is a “subject”; that is, a learning system) I will attempt to generalise ML and algorithmic information theoretic tools to apply to this problem of understanding within knowing systems 10 Formal mechanics
  • 46. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: 11 Kinematic versus dynamic
  • 47. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: • Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces 11 Kinematic versus dynamic
  • 48. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: • Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces • Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion* 11 Kinematic versus dynamic *Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility", "force" [Wikipedia]
  • 49. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: • Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces • Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion* In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations. 11 Kinematic versus dynamic *Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility", "force" [Wikipedia]
  • 50. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: • Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces • Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion* In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations. We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system) 11 Kinematic versus dynamic *Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility", "force" [Wikipedia]
  • 51. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: • Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces • Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion* In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations. We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system) • Of systems that are the subject of understanding 11 Kinematic versus dynamic *Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility", "force" [Wikipedia]
  • 52. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: • Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces • Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion* In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations. We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system) • Of systems that are the subject of understanding • Of systems that understand 11 Kinematic versus dynamic *Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility", "force" [Wikipedia]
  • 53. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au It may help if we avail ourselves of an old distinction in physics between two kinds of description: • Kinematics: description of motions without consideration of forces • Dynamics: the relations between forces and motion* In brief: between phenomenal accounts and causal explanations. We can explore the problem of understanding in knowing systems via the shift from kinematic accounts (what the behaviour of the system that understands is) to dynamic explanations (what forces the behaviour of the understanding system) • Of systems that are the subject of understanding • Of systems that understand These coincide: as we move from kinematic descriptions to dynamic explanations of knowing systems, we also move from considering knowledge to considering understanding 11 Kinematic versus dynamic *Dunamis [δύναμις] is an ordinary Greek word for possibility or capability. Depending on context, it could be translated "potency", "potential", "capacity", "ability", "power", "capability", "strength", "possibility", "force" [Wikipedia]
  • 54. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions 12 Pattern recognition
  • 55. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty 12 Pattern recognition
  • 56. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits [working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced 12 Pattern recognition
  • 57. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits [working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced • E.g., regression and other statistical analyses 12 Pattern recognition
  • 58. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits [working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced • E.g., regression and other statistical analyses • Machine Learning classifications (ANNs) 12 Pattern recognition https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0069191
  • 59. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits [working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced • E.g., regression and other statistical analyses • Machine Learning classifications (ANNs) • Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan) 12 Pattern recognition
  • 60. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits [working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced • E.g., regression and other statistical analyses • Machine Learning classifications (ANNs) • Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan) Less memory and cognitive resources are required to retrieve and interpret patterns 12 Pattern recognition
  • 61. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits [working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced • E.g., regression and other statistical analyses • Machine Learning classifications (ANNs) • Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan) Less memory and cognitive resources are required to retrieve and interpret patterns A pattern therefore has information the data does not 12 Pattern recognition
  • 62. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Knowing systems have a limit to their working memory under realistic assumptions Knowing systems also have to deal with noisy data and uncertainty Once the scale of the data set exceeds the capacity of the system’s cognitive limits [working memory, processing power] pattern recognition must be out-sourced • E.g., regression and other statistical analyses • Machine Learning classifications (ANNs) • Distance analyses (Hamming, Manhattan) Less memory and cognitive resources are required to retrieve and interpret patterns A pattern therefore has information the data does not [Here, information is a property of the state of a knowing system] 12 Pattern recognition
  • 63. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where P is the phenomenon] 13 Machine learning and understanding
  • 64. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where P is the phenomenon] The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A 13 Machine learning and understanding
  • 65. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where P is the phenomenon] The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A • If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set 13 Machine learning and understanding
  • 66. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where P is the phenomenon] The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A • If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set • If P is lossless, then the complexity of A equals the complexity of P [defn] 13 Machine learning and understanding
  • 67. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where P is the phenomenon] The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A • If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set • If P is lossless, then the complexity of A equals the complexity of P [defn] So A is a compression algorithm*. By analogy, when we generate a pattern (such as a regression curve) from a large or noisy data set, we are compressing the data to generate information, and from that information we can fairly say we know the domain the data set samples or represents. 13 Machine learning and understanding * The worst compression is, of course, the data set itself plus a “print” command
  • 68. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au As any ML system is a Turing machine, it follows that, even when we do not know it, there is an algorithm and data set A that generates the output pattern P [where P is the phenomenon] The information content of P is therefore the complexity of A • If P is lossy, then its information content is lower in complexity than the data set • If P is lossless, then the complexity of A equals the complexity of P [defn] So A is a compression algorithm*. By analogy, when we generate a pattern (such as a regression curve) from a large or noisy data set, we are compressing the data to generate information, and from that information we can fairly say we know the domain the data set samples or represents. The complexity of P is specified in Algorithmic Information Theory (AIT) as the length (in bits) of the shortest program that generates P. 13 Machine learning and understanding * The worst compression is, of course, the data set itself plus a “print” command
  • 69. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov (1926–2009) 14 Kolmogorov compressed
  • 70. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov (1926–2009) Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L that generates a string w 14 Kolmogorov compressed
  • 71. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov (1926–2009) Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L that generates a string w • The most complex string in L is a fully random string 14 Kolmogorov compressed
  • 72. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov (1926–2009) Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L that generates a string w • The most complex string in L is a fully random string • A fully random string is incompressible 14 Kolmogorov compressed
  • 73. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov (1926–2009) Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L that generates a string w • The most complex string in L is a fully random string • A fully random string is incompressible • The working memory of a ML system is thus the largest random string that it can hold in memory while applying functions to it 14 Kolmogorov compressed
  • 74. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov (1926–2009) Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L that generates a string w • The most complex string in L is a fully random string • A fully random string is incompressible • The working memory of a ML system is thus the largest random string that it can hold in memory while applying functions to it Thus K gives the complexity of a string (of digits, or other structured data) 14 Kolmogorov compressed
  • 75. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au AIT is based on the work of Andrey Kolmogorov (1903–1987) and Ray Solomonov (1926–2009) Kolmogorov Complexity (K) is the length of the shortest program in a language L that generates a string w • The most complex string in L is a fully random string • A fully random string is incompressible • The working memory of a ML system is thus the largest random string that it can hold in memory while applying functions to it Thus K gives the complexity of a string (of digits, or other structured data) If we conceive of ourselves as knowing systems analogous to ML systems, the information in data is thus the K “program” in our cognitive processes 14 Kolmogorov compressed Li, Ming, and Paul Vitányi. An IntroducQon to Kolmogorov Complexity and Its ApplicaQons. 4th ed. Texts in Computer Science. Springer Internafonal Publishing, 2019. Grünwald, Peter, and Paul M. B. Vitányi. “Shannon Informafon and Kolmogorov Complexity.” CoRR cs.IT/0410002 (2004). Wallace, C. S., and D. L. Dowe. “Minimum Message Length and Kolmogorov Complexity.” The Computer Journal 42, no. 4 (January 1, 1999): 270–83.
  • 76. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 77. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information [Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator] 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 78. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information [Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator] Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited knowing system 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 79. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information [Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator] Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited knowing system • Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 80. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information [Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator] Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited knowing system • Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces [Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible] 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 81. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information [Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator] Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited knowing system • Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces [Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible] • Compression of data to information is a lossy process; the structure/pattern in the data is simplified through regression, etc. 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 82. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information [Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator] Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited knowing system • Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces [Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible] • Compression of data to information is a lossy process; the structure/pattern in the data is simplified through regression, etc. • The function of this information is to set the expectations of the knowing system [but that’s another talk; contrastive explanation is why] 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 83. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Note that while using complexity metrics is based on the subject – the ML or the knowing system – it is not subjective, as the experience felt by the knower is not relevant for understanding the information [Nor is this an objectivist account, as it does not depend upon a truth operator] Complexity of the information is inversely related to the informativeness for a limited knowing system • Put another way, the tractability of inferences increases as complexity reduces [Inversely, tractability reduces as data complexity increases, unless it is compressible] • Compression of data to information is a lossy process; the structure/pattern in the data is simplified through regression, etc. • The function of this information is to set the expectations of the knowing system [but that’s another talk; contrastive explanation is why] • In short: the information derived from the data sets the prior probabilities for future data, highlighting anomalies and points of interest 15 Reducing the complexity of data
  • 84. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 16 Compression and generalisation “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 85. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 86. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Analysis compresses to 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 87. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Analysis compresses to 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to Kinematic rules y = f(x) applies to “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 88. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Analysis compresses to Dynamic or causal models y = f(x) 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to Kinematic rules y = f(x) applies to “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 89. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Analysis compresses to Dynamic or causal models y = f(x) 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to Kinematic rules y = f(x) applies to Data Information KnowledgeUnderstanding “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 90. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Analysis compresses to Dynamic or causal models y = f(x) 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to Kinematic rules y = f(x) applies to Data Information KnowledgeUnderstanding “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 91. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Analysis compresses to Dynamic or causal models y = f(x) 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to Kinematic rules y = f(x) applies to Data Information KnowledgeUnderstanding Understanding “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 92. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Analysis compresses to Dynamic or causal models y = f(x) 16 Compression and generalisation Measurement compresses to Kinematic rules y = f(x) applies to Data Information KnowledgeUnderstanding Understanding What counts as wisdom is left to you to decide “Solomonoff held that all inference problems can be cast in the form of extrapolation from an ordered sequence of binary symbols.” [Li and Vintányi 2019,63]
  • 93. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. 17 Subjects understanding
  • 94. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. • But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in science? 17 Subjects understanding
  • 95. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. • But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in science? • particular scientists 17 Subjects understanding
  • 96. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. • But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in science? • particular scientists • disciplines and sub disciplines 17 Subjects understanding
  • 97. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. • But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in science? • particular scientists • disciplines and sub disciplines • research groups 17 Subjects understanding
  • 98. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. • But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in science? • particular scientists • disciplines and sub disciplines • research groups I would take this approach to apply equally well to both individual and collective knowing systems/subjects. 17 Subjects understanding
  • 99. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. • But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in science? • particular scientists • disciplines and sub disciplines • research groups I would take this approach to apply equally well to both individual and collective knowing systems/subjects. We can say that Professor X understands some phenomenon, or that Discipline D understands some phenomenon independently (individuals can fail to understand what the discipline does, and vice versa) 17 Subjects understanding
  • 100. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au So, how might this analogy work in the arena of science? Scientists seek to understand the universe, of course, as Hempel said. • But what does “scientists” refer to? What are the knowing systems, or subjects, in science? • particular scientists • disciplines and sub disciplines • research groups I would take this approach to apply equally well to both individual and collective knowing systems/subjects. We can say that Professor X understands some phenomenon, or that Discipline D understands some phenomenon independently (individuals can fail to understand what the discipline does, and vice versa) [Does this mean we have actual Turing machines in our heads? No, it’s an abstract way to consider the problem (just as neurones are not artificial neurones or v.v.)] 17 Subjects understanding
  • 101. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave at some: 18 Insert case studies here
  • 102. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave at some: • Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.) leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation 18 Insert case studies here
  • 103. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave at some: • Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.) leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation • Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts 18 Insert case studies here
  • 104. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave at some: • Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.) leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation • Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts • Mendelian genetics (phenomenal) through to population genetics (kinematic), through to molecular genetics (dynamic) 18 Insert case studies here
  • 105. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave at some: • Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.) leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation • Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts • Mendelian genetics (phenomenal) through to population genetics (kinematic), through to molecular genetics (dynamic) • Arguably: observational to theoretical ecology, through to ecological thermodynamics and “ecological orbits” (Haynie 2001, Ginsburg and Colyvan 2004) 18 Insert case studies here
  • 106. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au I do not have time here to give more than one proper case study; so I will handwave at some: • Gas laws (Boyles’ Law, Charles’ Law, Gay-Lussac’s Law, Avogadro’s Law, etc.) leading to the Ideal Gas Law, to van der Waals’ equation • Periodic table construction by empirical lab work, followed first by valency, then electron shell, then quantum mechanical causal accounts • Mendelian genetics (phenomenal) through to population genetics (kinematic), through to molecular genetics (dynamic) • Arguably: observational to theoretical ecology, through to ecological thermodynamics and “ecological orbits” (Haynie 2001, Ginsburg and Colyvan 2004) • Tectonic drift theory (Oreskes and le Grand 2003) 18 Insert case studies here Ginzburg, Lev R., and Mark Colyvan. Ecological Orbits : How Planets Move and PopulaQons Grow. Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press, 2004. Haynie, Donald T. Biological Thermodynamics. Cambridge ; New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001. Oreskes, Naomi, and Homer E. LeGrand. Plate Tectonics: An Insider’s History of the Modern Theory of the Earth. Boulder, CO.: Westview Press, 2003.
  • 107. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/ subjectively 19 Case: Phylogenies From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of North American Equidae. Bull. Dept. Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4): 165-198.
  • 108. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/ subjectively • In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only morphological-skeletal characters were available 19 Case: Phylogenies From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of North American Equidae. Bull. Dept. Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4): 165-198.
  • 109. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/ subjectively • In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only morphological-skeletal characters were available • Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the apprehension of small data sets combined with the “expertise” of the taxonomist 19 Case: Phylogenies From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of North American Equidae. Bull. Dept. Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4): 165-198.
  • 110. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/ subjectively • In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only morphological-skeletal characters were available • Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the apprehension of small data sets combined with the “expertise” of the taxonomist • As phylogenetics became mathematised with “numerical” taxonomy (computer-based, “total evidence”), it was supposed to become more objective 19 Case: Phylogenies From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of North American Equidae. Bull. Dept. Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4): 165-198.
  • 111. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/ subjectively • In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only morphological-skeletal characters were available • Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the apprehension of small data sets combined with the “expertise” of the taxonomist • As phylogenetics became mathematised with “numerical” taxonomy (computer-based, “total evidence”), it was supposed to become more objective • It wasn’t (choice of principal components skewed the results unpredictably) 19 Case: Phylogenies From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of North American Equidae. Bull. Dept. Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4): 165-198.
  • 112. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Phylogenies used to be done qualitatively/ subjectively • In cases like the palaeontology of the horse, only morphological-skeletal characters were available • Consequently, the diagrams relied upon the apprehension of small data sets combined with the “expertise” of the taxonomist • As phylogenetics became mathematised with “numerical” taxonomy (computer-based, “total evidence”), it was supposed to become more objective • It wasn’t (choice of principal components skewed the results unpredictably) • Enter molecular data 19 Case: Phylogenies From Stirton, R. A. 1940. Phylogeny of North American Equidae. Bull. Dept. Geol. Sci., Univ. California 25(4): 165-198.
  • 113. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation studies 20 Molecular phylogenies Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
  • 114. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation studies • E.g., Sibley and Ahlquist’s taxonomy of birds in 1980s 20 Molecular phylogenies Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
  • 115. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation studies • E.g., Sibley and Ahlquist’s taxonomy of birds in 1980s • Based on percentage of similarity of total DNA [T50H]; a single number representing billions of bases 20 Molecular phylogenies Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
  • 116. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • At first, DNA-DNA hybridisation studies • E.g., Sibley and Ahlquist’s taxonomy of birds in 1980s • Based on percentage of similarity of total DNA [T50H]; a single number representing billions of bases • “With few exceptions the DNA comparisons “see” the same clusters of species that are seen by the human eye.” 20 Molecular phylogenies Sibley, Charles G., and Jon E. Ahlquist. “Phylogeny and Classification of Birds Based on the Data of DNA-DNA Hybridization.” Current Ornithology. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1983.
  • 117. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Full genomic sequences 21 Sequence data
  • 118. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Full genomic sequences • Molecular clocks 21 Sequence data
  • 119. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Full genomic sequences • Molecular clocks • Problems 21 Sequence data
  • 120. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Full genomic sequences • Molecular clocks • Problems • Paralogy and homology 21 Sequence data
  • 121. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Full genomic sequences • Molecular clocks • Problems • Paralogy and homology • Statistical probabilities of sequences 21 Sequence data
  • 122. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Full genomic sequences • Molecular clocks • Problems • Paralogy and homology • Statistical probabilities of sequences • Hybridisation and later transfer 21 Sequence data
  • 123. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • Full genomic sequences • Molecular clocks • Problems • Paralogy and homology • Statistical probabilities of sequences • Hybridisation and later transfer • What do the diagrams summarise? 21 Sequence data
  • 124. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing] 22 Phylogenies are compressed data Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
  • 125. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing] • Its topology represents the analysed structure in the very large data set 22 Phylogenies are compressed data Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
  • 126. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing] • Its topology represents the analysed structure in the very large data set • Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the species 22 Phylogenies are compressed data Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
  • 127. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing] • Its topology represents the analysed structure in the very large data set • Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the species • In fact, they cannot even identify alignments 22 Phylogenies are compressed data Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
  • 128. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing] • Its topology represents the analysed structure in the very large data set • Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the species • In fact, they cannot even identify alignments • The bigger the data set, the more compression of the data is required to be able to understand the relationships 22 Phylogenies are compressed data Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
  • 129. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au • A cladogram is a binary tree [B-Tree in computing] • Its topology represents the analysed structure in the very large data set • Contrary to Hollywood/TV, a biologist cannot eyeball a DNA sequence and identify the species • In fact, they cannot even identify alignments • The bigger the data set, the more compression of the data is required to be able to understand the relationships • This is due to the fact that humans, and epistemic groups of humans, have limitations on the working memory, cognitive power, and information transmission channels, that they can bring to a problem set, like any ML system 22 Phylogenies are compressed data Images: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cladogram_stomiid.svg http://fishesofaustralia.net.au/home/family/208
  • 130. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required to comprehend the data structure 23 Big data is not always better
  • 131. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required to comprehend the data structure A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages, etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc. 23 Big data is not always better
  • 132. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required to comprehend the data structure A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages, etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc. In light of Big Data, even empirical adequacy becomes a statistical property, as error creeping into measurement is magnified 23 Big data is not always better
  • 133. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required to comprehend the data structure A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages, etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc. In light of Big Data, even empirical adequacy becomes a statistical property, as error creeping into measurement is magnified So, to understand, compress. 23 Big data is not always better
  • 134. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au The more complete a large data set, the more compression is required to comprehend the data structure A total census, for example, is reduced to trends, thresholds, averages, etc. Economic activity is reduced to Gross Domestic Products, etc. In light of Big Data, even empirical adequacy becomes a statistical property, as error creeping into measurement is magnified So, to understand, compress. Mind, compression is not, ipso facto, comprehension. 23 Big data is not always better
  • 135. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: 24 Conclusions
  • 136. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: • Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen) 24 Conclusions
  • 137. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: • Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen) • Generalisation/-ability 24 Conclusions
  • 138. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: • Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen) • Generalisation/-ability • Causal explanation 24 Conclusions
  • 139. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: • Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen) • Generalisation/-ability • Causal explanation which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated. 24 Conclusions
  • 140. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: • Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen) • Generalisation/-ability • Causal explanation which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated. The initial epistemic activities of measurement, analysis and kinematic generalisation all involve compression so that we may comprehend the things needing explanation 24 Conclusions
  • 141. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: • Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen) • Generalisation/-ability • Causal explanation which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated. The initial epistemic activities of measurement, analysis and kinematic generalisation all involve compression so that we may comprehend the things needing explanation • Compression of data is a kind of pattern matching, on the basis of which ampliative inferences rest. 24 Conclusions
  • 142. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au Science is, in my view, an attempt to express the greatest amount of empirical consequences in the fewest terms. Understanding thus sets and constitutes: • Empirical adequacy (van Fraassen) • Generalisation/-ability • Causal explanation which are pretty much de Regt’s three criteria restated. The initial epistemic activities of measurement, analysis and kinematic generalisation all involve compression so that we may comprehend the things needing explanation • Compression of data is a kind of pattern matching, on the basis of which ampliative inferences rest. • Big data is not, in its own right, a good thing, so there! 24 Conclusions
  • 143. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 25 Acknowledgements
  • 144. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 25 For asking the question: • Adam Ford For discussion: • The late John Collier • Malte Ebach Acknowledgements
  • 145. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 25 For asking the question: • Adam Ford For discussion: • The late John Collier • Malte Ebach • Ward Wheeler • Marcus Hutter Acknowledgements
  • 146. John S Wilkins john@wilkins.id.au 25 For asking the question: • Adam Ford For discussion: • The late John Collier • Malte Ebach • Ward Wheeler • Marcus Hutter For funding: • ISHPSSSB Oslo conference organisers For ear nibbles: Clio, a muse Thank you Acknowledgements