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How Artificial Intelligence is Reducing Costs
and Improving Outcomes in Pharma R&D
Executive Summary
+ Tomorrow’s challenge is to develop new medicines that can
prevent or cure currently incurable diseases
+ Refresh the pharmaceutical drug pipeline, by taking better
advantage of the available data with new algorithms and
disruptive technologies
+ Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Pharma R&D will help to identify
and validate new drug targets, support early identification
of safety and efficacy issues, and improve patient
stratification
Artificial Intelligence in Pharma R&D
Use Cases
Human
Intelligence
Artificial
Intelligence
Average
Intelligent
Sub human
Par human
High human
Super humanPerformance
AI comparison with human performance
Borderline
performs better than all humans
Traditional Programming Machine Learning
Breast Cancer Diagnoses - 2017
Pathologist Performance A.I. Performance
https://research.googleblog.com/2017/03/assisting-pathologists-in-detecting.html
73% 92%
Doctors often use additional tests to find or diagnose breast cancer
The pathologist ended up
spending 30 hours on this
task on 130 slides
A closeup of a lymph node biopsy.
Skin Cancer Diagnoses - 2016
Pathologist Performance A.I. Performance
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v542/n7639/full/nature21056.html
96,5% 97,1%
If found early 95% of skin cancers can be treated successfully
Pathologist + A.I.
99,5%
Early Diagnosis of Congestive Heart Failure
http://ml.gatech.edu/
A machine learning
example from Georgia
Tech demonstrated that
machine-learning
algorithms could look at
many more factors in
patients’ charts than
doctors, and by adding
additional features there
was a substantial
increase in the ability of
the model to distinguish
people who have CHF
from people who don’t.
Human
performance
A.I.
performance
Predict Cardiac Failure Before It’s Diagnosed
https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.03686
In quantitative evaluation, our proposed representation significantly improves
the predictive modeling performance for onset of heart failure (HF), where
classification methods achieve up to 23% improvement in area under the
ROC curve (AUC) using this proposed representation.
AI results get better with
Machine Learning Problem Types
Distributed Machine Learning in Data Center
Data Size
Model Size
Model parallelism
Single machine
Data center
Data
parallelism
training very large models exploring several model
architectures, hyper-
parameter optimization,
training several
independent models
speeds up the training
Machine Learning Workflow
Collect data
Data
Preprocessing
Search
Analysis
Model
Training
Re-
simulation
Reports
Results
Model
Deployment
Training
data
Model
Testing
Train Test Loop
Test
data
Model Feedback Loop
Think Big Business Strategy
Data Strategy
Technology Strategy
Agile Delivery Model
Business Case Validation
Prototypes, MVPs
Data Exploration
Data AcquisitionStart Small
Value
Proposition
thank you
15

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How Artificial Intelligence is Reducing Costs and Improving Outcomes in Pharma R&D

  • 1. How Artificial Intelligence is Reducing Costs and Improving Outcomes in Pharma R&D
  • 2. Executive Summary + Tomorrow’s challenge is to develop new medicines that can prevent or cure currently incurable diseases + Refresh the pharmaceutical drug pipeline, by taking better advantage of the available data with new algorithms and disruptive technologies + Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Pharma R&D will help to identify and validate new drug targets, support early identification of safety and efficacy issues, and improve patient stratification
  • 3. Artificial Intelligence in Pharma R&D Use Cases
  • 4. Human Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Average Intelligent Sub human Par human High human Super humanPerformance AI comparison with human performance Borderline performs better than all humans
  • 6. Breast Cancer Diagnoses - 2017 Pathologist Performance A.I. Performance https://research.googleblog.com/2017/03/assisting-pathologists-in-detecting.html 73% 92% Doctors often use additional tests to find or diagnose breast cancer The pathologist ended up spending 30 hours on this task on 130 slides A closeup of a lymph node biopsy.
  • 7. Skin Cancer Diagnoses - 2016 Pathologist Performance A.I. Performance http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v542/n7639/full/nature21056.html 96,5% 97,1% If found early 95% of skin cancers can be treated successfully Pathologist + A.I. 99,5%
  • 8. Early Diagnosis of Congestive Heart Failure http://ml.gatech.edu/ A machine learning example from Georgia Tech demonstrated that machine-learning algorithms could look at many more factors in patients’ charts than doctors, and by adding additional features there was a substantial increase in the ability of the model to distinguish people who have CHF from people who don’t. Human performance A.I. performance
  • 9. Predict Cardiac Failure Before It’s Diagnosed https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.03686 In quantitative evaluation, our proposed representation significantly improves the predictive modeling performance for onset of heart failure (HF), where classification methods achieve up to 23% improvement in area under the ROC curve (AUC) using this proposed representation.
  • 10. AI results get better with
  • 12. Distributed Machine Learning in Data Center Data Size Model Size Model parallelism Single machine Data center Data parallelism training very large models exploring several model architectures, hyper- parameter optimization, training several independent models speeds up the training
  • 13. Machine Learning Workflow Collect data Data Preprocessing Search Analysis Model Training Re- simulation Reports Results Model Deployment Training data Model Testing Train Test Loop Test data Model Feedback Loop
  • 14. Think Big Business Strategy Data Strategy Technology Strategy Agile Delivery Model Business Case Validation Prototypes, MVPs Data Exploration Data AcquisitionStart Small Value Proposition