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Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(18th September 2019)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
#Serial Entrepreneur #Professor #Consultant
#Investor #Athlete #Mathematics #Keynote Speaker,,
-Nagoya University (Visiting Professor )
-K Consulting Co., Ltd (CEO)
-SLOGAN Inc. (Co-Founder&Executive Fellow)
-Institut Teknologi Bandung(Indonesia) and
Other Universities(Guest Lecture)
-Keynote Speaker in Events and Conferences
-Co-Founder of Tech Companies
Kazuaki ODA (“Kazu”)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Work Experience>
Andersen Consulting(ACCENTURE) [1993-1997]
management consultant in Japan and US
Internet Ad Agency (Mailnews Corporation) [1997-2003]
COO&CFO =>IPO and merged to Dentsu(*) group
(* No.1 Ad agency in Japan)
Internet Ad Agency (Cybercommunications Inc.)
[2003-2005]
CSO(Strategy) & CTO(Technology) of Dentsu Group
2 Mobile Service Companies [2005-2006]
=>bought out to public company
Many Other Companies
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Lectures Series in University>
(1)Overview and outlook of worldwide societies/economies
and how to select excellent companies.
(2)How to create and value up successful personal careers
and skills in this unpredictable future.
(3)The secrets of problem solving method and
logical thinking in global management consulting firms.
(4)Effective communication and presentation skills
(5)How to create new business structures and organizations.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
My Dream was ...
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
My Dream2 was ...
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.1997 July @Chicago
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Lectures in ITB (2012)
DAY1 Personal Business Career in Uncertain Age
DAY2 Business Development Process
(Case study of Internet Business)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
National University of Singapore
(NUS)
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Tokyo University
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University of Indonesia
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Beijing University
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Hokkaido University
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1997 June
@AC (Chicago)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Indian Institute of Management
Bangalore(IIM B)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Indian Institute of Science
Bangalore(IISc)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Indian Institute of
Technology Hyderabad
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Headstart Startup Event
in T-Hub and IIIT(Hyderabad)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
学生向けセミナーLectures and Seminars in the world(1/2) SLOGAN
Potential Incubation
Tokyo University
Kyoto UniversityBeijing University
University of Indonesia
Shanghai Jiao Tong
university
National University of
Singapore
Institut Teknologi Bandung
Binus University
Tokyo Institute of
Technology
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
学生向けセミナーLectures and Seminars in the world(2/2) SLOGAN
Potential Incubation
Kyushu University
Tsinghua University
University of Hong KongKeio University Universiti Malaya
Chinese University of Hong Kong Stanford University
Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific
Univ.Nagoya University
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Consultant?, Entrepreneur?
“That Is The Question”
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Comparison>
Consultant vs Entrepreneur
Consultant
(1) Back-end
(2) Analytical
(3) Specialized
(4) Player+α
(5) Planner
Entrepreneur
(1) Front-end
(2) Creative
(3) Generalized
(4) Player>Manager
(5) Doer
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.1997 July @Chicago
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Digital Mckinsey Partner
Talk Sesssion(Tokyo)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.1997 July @Chicago
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Why did they succeed?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Common Factors of
Those Succeeded Persons are,,,
1. 個性的 ( Unique )
2. 開放的 ( Open Minded )
3. 自立 ( Independent )
4. 楽観的 ( Optimistic )
5. 動機 ( Motivated )
6. 健康 ( Healthy )
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Why did they succeed?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
They were lucky!
Why did they succeed?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What made them succeeded?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What make them succeeded?
Their talents were
in good PLACE in good TIME.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
“What “TYPE”? (あなたはどれ?)
-OpenMind(開放的)
-Optimistic(楽天的)
-Arranger(調整力)
-Responsible(責任感)
-Defensive(保守的)
-Commit(コミット)
-Aggressive(積極的)
-Competitive(負けず嫌い)
-Conservative(保守的)
-Adaptive(適応力)
-Doer(実行者)
-Serious(神経質)
-Cautious(注意深い)
-Sympathy(共感力)
-Strict(厳格)
-Pioneer(開拓者)
-Motivator(モチベイター)
-Creative(想像力)
-Organizer(組織化)
-Harmony(協調性)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Company’s Business Life Cycle
Company
Scale
Time Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
The growth curve of Consulting industry
Market
Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time Scale
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
The growth curve of Internet industry
Market
Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time Scale
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Business
Size
Creation
The growth curve of Company
Time
Growth Mature Declining
(Ⅰ)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Innovator Leader Manager Officer
(Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Business
Size
Creation
Good “TYPE” in Each Phase
Time
Growth Mature Declining
(Ⅰ)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What “TYPE” Are You?
<Innovator>
-Creative
-OpenMind
-Optimistic
-Pioneer
-Doer
- - -
<Leader>
-Commit
-Aggressive
-Competitive
-Adaptive
-Motivator
- - -
<Manager>
-Organizer
-Harmony
-Responsible
-Sympathy
-Conservative
- - -
<Officer>
-Strict
-Serious
-Cautious
-Arranger
-Defensive
- - -
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Environmental Analysis
(Macro Economics)
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(Question)
Which Country Do You Want to Invest?
(1) Chica
(2) India
(3) Indonesia
(4) Japan
(5) USA
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.46
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(2000-2023:IMF, 2018, 2050estimates:PwC 2017)
GDP(PPP) of Japan, Indonesia, China, India, US
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(2000-2023:IMF, 2018, 2050estimates:PwC 2017)
Japan
US
China
India
Indonesia
GDP(PPP) of
Japan, Indonesia, China, India, US
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
China
India
US
Indonesia
Brazil
Pakistan
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Russia
Japan
Mexico
Philippine
Ethiopia
Vietnam
Germany
Egypt
Iran
Turkey
Republic of the Congo
Thailand
China
India
US
Indonesia
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Brazil
Philippine
Ethiopia
Pakistan
Mexico
Republic of the Congo
Egypt
Russia
Japan
Vietnam
India
China
Nigeria
US
Indonesia
Pakistan
Republic of the Congo
Ethiopia
Brazil
Philippine
Bangladesh
Mexico
Egypt
Tanzania
Uganda
Iran
Kenya
Tanzania
Uganda
Niger
Kenya
Zambia
Sudan
Mozambique
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
2100年の人口ランキングTOP10の国 (出典:NewsVision)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.52
Starbucks Latte index by “Economist”Resources: “Wall Street Journal” (www.wsj.com)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.53
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
GDP(PPP) per capita(USD)(IMF, 2017)
1 Qatar 124,927
11 United States 59,495
18 Australia 49,882
28 Japan 42,659
3 Singapore 90,531
30 Korea, South 39,387
79 China 16,624
97 Indonesia 12,378
122 India 7,174
17 Germany 50,206
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Market Cap Ranking(2016 August, bil USD)
571.71
542.84
447.76
364.64
362.17
①
②
③
④
⑤
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Market Cap Ranking (2018 March, bil USD)
851.32
719.25
702.76
700.67
464.19
①
②
③
④
⑧
⑥
⑦
491.98
467.11
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(Thousands of People)
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
Comparison of Population Structures
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Startup and Corporate Strategy
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Statement:
The odds of winning a lottery is 10%
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(Question)
You draw 10% lotteries 10 times.
Then what is the probability
that you win at least once till the end?
(1) 25%
(2) 45%
(3) 65%
(4) 85%
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
(1) 25%
(2) 45%
(3) 65%
(4) 85%
(Question)
You draw the lotteries 10 times.
Then what is the probability
that you win at least once till the end?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Mathematics tells us…
0
20
40
60
80
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Probability(%) of winning in
1/10 lottery with N times trial
Trial(N) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Probability(%) 10 19 27 34 41 47 52 57 61 65 69 72 75 77 79 81 83 85 86 88
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Time
Cash Position
“Cash Flow Management” is important!
<Key!(重要)>
* Burn Rate(現金の減る速度)
Fundraising
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Time
Cash Position
“Cash Flow Management” is important!
<Key!(重要)>
* Burn Rate(現金の減る速度)
Fundraising
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Time
Cash Position
Typical “Cash Position” of Growing Company
Series A
Series B
Series C
Fundraising
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Only one KPI to survive is
“CASH POSITION”
(現預金残高)
≠Current Floating Asset(流動資産)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Business Development Process
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Company’s Business Life Cycle
Company
Value
Time
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What the Market Growth Curve means?
Market
Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Scale
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What happens during Phase Ⅰ?
Market
Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Scale
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
・Process of creating ”0 to 1”
・Can’t figure out what would happen
・Believe your future to survive
・Based on creativity
・Some criticism from your family and friends
・Creating new service or product.
・HARD work during this phase!
Features of Phase Ⅰ
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What happens during Phase Ⅱ?
Market
Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Scale
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
・Process of developing “1 to 10”
・Demand > Supply(certain price)
・You can figure out your company’s future
・Others start to realize the attractive market
・In the hard competition for share
・Being well organized and systemized is the key to grow
・Speed and marketing are the keys of success
Features of PhaseⅡ
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What happens during Phase Ⅲ?
Market
Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Scale
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
・Process of developing “10 to 100”
・Demand=Supply(equilibrium price )
・Attractiveness of the market is apparent
・Hard competition with competitors for price and quality
・Being well organized is getting more important
・Profit rate is decreasing
・Some companies go bankrupt
Features of PhaseⅢ
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What happens during Phase Ⅳ?
Market
Scale
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Scale
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
・Process of declining from 100 to 80
・Matured market
・Supply >> Demand(Price decreasing)
・Peak for M&A(magical number “3”)
・Profit rate is the lowest
Features of PhaseⅣ
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Where Is It in Company Growth Curve?
Company
Value
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Potential Size
Present Size
Present Stage Matured Point
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Where Is It in Company Growth Curve?
Company
Value
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Potential Size
Present Size
Present Stage Matured Point
<=Market Size * Company’s Share
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Time
Company
Value
$50M
$10M
$1B
$300M
Series A
Series C、D、、
IPO (Initial Public Offering )
Secondary Public Offering
Series B
Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks)
Pre IPO Growth Post IPO Growth
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Time
$50M
$10M
$1B
$300M
Series A
Series C、D、、
IPO (Initial Public Offering )
Secondary Public Offerin
Series B
Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks)
IRR(Internal Rate of Return, 内部収益率)
Company
Value
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Time
Company
Value
$50M
$10M
$1B
$300M
Series A
Series C、D、、
IPO (Initial Public Offering )
Secondary Public Offering
Series B
Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks)
Pre IPO Growth Post IPO Growth
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Where Is It in Company Growth Curve?
Company
Value
(Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
Time
Potential Size
Present Size
Present Stage Matured Point
<=Market Size * Company’s Share
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<=Market Size * Company’s Share
Potential (Company) Size
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
What is your TARGET market?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
・Can You See the Market?
-Size Is Big Enough?
-Know How to Win?
-Qualified to Be A Winner?
・You Have A Good Team?
* Impossible to Have All Functions in YOU
Points!
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
・Can You See the Market?
-Size Is Big Enough?
-Know How to Win?
-Qualified to Be A Winner?
・You Have A Good Team?
* Impossible to Have All Functions in YOU
Important Points of STRATEGY
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Work1>
How Many McDonald's Are in India?
And How Much Is the Annual Revenue?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<Work2>
How Many “CHAI POINT’s” Are in India now?
And How Many “CHAI POINT’s” and
Its Revenue in 2030?
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
Thank You !!
Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
<facebook>
http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda(follow)
http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda2(friendship)
<Linkedin>
https://www.linkedin.com/in/kazuaki-oda
Kazuaki Oda
oda@slogan.jp
facebook Linkedin

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Entrepreneurship Workshop at IIT Kharagpur 20190921

  • 1. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (18th September 2019)
  • 2. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. #Serial Entrepreneur #Professor #Consultant #Investor #Athlete #Mathematics #Keynote Speaker,, -Nagoya University (Visiting Professor ) -K Consulting Co., Ltd (CEO) -SLOGAN Inc. (Co-Founder&Executive Fellow) -Institut Teknologi Bandung(Indonesia) and Other Universities(Guest Lecture) -Keynote Speaker in Events and Conferences -Co-Founder of Tech Companies Kazuaki ODA (“Kazu”)
  • 3. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Work Experience> Andersen Consulting(ACCENTURE) [1993-1997] management consultant in Japan and US Internet Ad Agency (Mailnews Corporation) [1997-2003] COO&CFO =>IPO and merged to Dentsu(*) group (* No.1 Ad agency in Japan) Internet Ad Agency (Cybercommunications Inc.) [2003-2005] CSO(Strategy) & CTO(Technology) of Dentsu Group 2 Mobile Service Companies [2005-2006] =>bought out to public company Many Other Companies
  • 4. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Lectures Series in University> (1)Overview and outlook of worldwide societies/economies and how to select excellent companies. (2)How to create and value up successful personal careers and skills in this unpredictable future. (3)The secrets of problem solving method and logical thinking in global management consulting firms. (4)Effective communication and presentation skills (5)How to create new business structures and organizations.
  • 5. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. My Dream was ...
  • 6. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. My Dream2 was ...
  • 7. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.1997 July @Chicago
  • 8. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Lectures in ITB (2012) DAY1 Personal Business Career in Uncertain Age DAY2 Business Development Process (Case study of Internet Business)
  • 9. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. National University of Singapore (NUS)
  • 10. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Tokyo University
  • 11. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. University of Indonesia
  • 12. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Beijing University
  • 13. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Hokkaido University
  • 14. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. 1997 June @AC (Chicago)
  • 15. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Indian Institute of Management Bangalore(IIM B)
  • 16. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Indian Institute of Science Bangalore(IISc)
  • 17. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad
  • 18. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Headstart Startup Event in T-Hub and IIIT(Hyderabad)
  • 19. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. 学生向けセミナーLectures and Seminars in the world(1/2) SLOGAN Potential Incubation Tokyo University Kyoto UniversityBeijing University University of Indonesia Shanghai Jiao Tong university National University of Singapore Institut Teknologi Bandung Binus University Tokyo Institute of Technology
  • 20. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. 学生向けセミナーLectures and Seminars in the world(2/2) SLOGAN Potential Incubation Kyushu University Tsinghua University University of Hong KongKeio University Universiti Malaya Chinese University of Hong Kong Stanford University Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific Univ.Nagoya University
  • 21. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
  • 22. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Consultant?, Entrepreneur? “That Is The Question”
  • 23. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Comparison> Consultant vs Entrepreneur Consultant (1) Back-end (2) Analytical (3) Specialized (4) Player+α (5) Planner Entrepreneur (1) Front-end (2) Creative (3) Generalized (4) Player>Manager (5) Doer
  • 24. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.1997 July @Chicago
  • 25. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
  • 26. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Digital Mckinsey Partner Talk Sesssion(Tokyo)
  • 27. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.1997 July @Chicago
  • 28. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
  • 29. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
  • 30. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Why did they succeed?
  • 31. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Common Factors of Those Succeeded Persons are,,, 1. 個性的 ( Unique ) 2. 開放的 ( Open Minded ) 3. 自立 ( Independent ) 4. 楽観的 ( Optimistic ) 5. 動機 ( Motivated ) 6. 健康 ( Healthy )
  • 32. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Why did they succeed?
  • 33. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. They were lucky! Why did they succeed?
  • 34. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What made them succeeded?
  • 35. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What make them succeeded? Their talents were in good PLACE in good TIME.
  • 36. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. “What “TYPE”? (あなたはどれ?) -OpenMind(開放的) -Optimistic(楽天的) -Arranger(調整力) -Responsible(責任感) -Defensive(保守的) -Commit(コミット) -Aggressive(積極的) -Competitive(負けず嫌い) -Conservative(保守的) -Adaptive(適応力) -Doer(実行者) -Serious(神経質) -Cautious(注意深い) -Sympathy(共感力) -Strict(厳格) -Pioneer(開拓者) -Motivator(モチベイター) -Creative(想像力) -Organizer(組織化) -Harmony(協調性)
  • 37. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Company’s Business Life Cycle Company Scale Time Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
  • 38. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. The growth curve of Consulting industry Market Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Scale
  • 39. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. The growth curve of Internet industry Market Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Scale
  • 40. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Business Size Creation The growth curve of Company Time Growth Mature Declining (Ⅰ)
  • 41. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Innovator Leader Manager Officer (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Business Size Creation Good “TYPE” in Each Phase Time Growth Mature Declining (Ⅰ)
  • 42. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What “TYPE” Are You? <Innovator> -Creative -OpenMind -Optimistic -Pioneer -Doer - - - <Leader> -Commit -Aggressive -Competitive -Adaptive -Motivator - - - <Manager> -Organizer -Harmony -Responsible -Sympathy -Conservative - - - <Officer> -Strict -Serious -Cautious -Arranger -Defensive - - -
  • 43. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
  • 44. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Environmental Analysis (Macro Economics)
  • 45. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Question) Which Country Do You Want to Invest? (1) Chica (2) India (3) Indonesia (4) Japan (5) USA
  • 46. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.46
  • 47. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (2000-2023:IMF, 2018, 2050estimates:PwC 2017) GDP(PPP) of Japan, Indonesia, China, India, US
  • 48. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (2000-2023:IMF, 2018, 2050estimates:PwC 2017) Japan US China India Indonesia GDP(PPP) of Japan, Indonesia, China, India, US
  • 49. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
  • 50. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. China India US Indonesia Brazil Pakistan Nigeria Bangladesh Russia Japan Mexico Philippine Ethiopia Vietnam Germany Egypt Iran Turkey Republic of the Congo Thailand China India US Indonesia Nigeria Bangladesh Brazil Philippine Ethiopia Pakistan Mexico Republic of the Congo Egypt Russia Japan Vietnam India China Nigeria US Indonesia Pakistan Republic of the Congo Ethiopia Brazil Philippine Bangladesh Mexico Egypt Tanzania Uganda Iran Kenya Tanzania Uganda Niger Kenya Zambia Sudan Mozambique
  • 51. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. 2100年の人口ランキングTOP10の国 (出典:NewsVision)
  • 52. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.52 Starbucks Latte index by “Economist”Resources: “Wall Street Journal” (www.wsj.com)
  • 53. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.53
  • 54. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. GDP(PPP) per capita(USD)(IMF, 2017) 1 Qatar 124,927 11 United States 59,495 18 Australia 49,882 28 Japan 42,659 3 Singapore 90,531 30 Korea, South 39,387 79 China 16,624 97 Indonesia 12,378 122 India 7,174 17 Germany 50,206
  • 55. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Market Cap Ranking(2016 August, bil USD) 571.71 542.84 447.76 364.64 362.17 ① ② ③ ④ ⑤
  • 56. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Market Cap Ranking (2018 March, bil USD) 851.32 719.25 702.76 700.67 464.19 ① ② ③ ④ ⑧ ⑥ ⑦ 491.98 467.11
  • 57. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Thousands of People) Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Comparison of Population Structures
  • 58. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved.
  • 59. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Startup and Corporate Strategy
  • 60. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Statement: The odds of winning a lottery is 10%
  • 61. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (Question) You draw 10% lotteries 10 times. Then what is the probability that you win at least once till the end? (1) 25% (2) 45% (3) 65% (4) 85%
  • 62. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. (1) 25% (2) 45% (3) 65% (4) 85% (Question) You draw the lotteries 10 times. Then what is the probability that you win at least once till the end?
  • 63. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Mathematics tells us… 0 20 40 60 80 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Probability(%) of winning in 1/10 lottery with N times trial Trial(N) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Probability(%) 10 19 27 34 41 47 52 57 61 65 69 72 75 77 79 81 83 85 86 88
  • 64. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Time Cash Position “Cash Flow Management” is important! <Key!(重要)> * Burn Rate(現金の減る速度) Fundraising
  • 65. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Time Cash Position “Cash Flow Management” is important! <Key!(重要)> * Burn Rate(現金の減る速度) Fundraising
  • 66. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Time Cash Position Typical “Cash Position” of Growing Company Series A Series B Series C Fundraising
  • 67. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Only one KPI to survive is “CASH POSITION” (現預金残高) ≠Current Floating Asset(流動資産)
  • 68. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Business Development Process
  • 69. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Company’s Business Life Cycle Company Value Time (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ)
  • 70. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What the Market Growth Curve means? Market Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Scale
  • 71. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What happens during Phase Ⅰ? Market Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Scale
  • 72. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. ・Process of creating ”0 to 1” ・Can’t figure out what would happen ・Believe your future to survive ・Based on creativity ・Some criticism from your family and friends ・Creating new service or product. ・HARD work during this phase! Features of Phase Ⅰ
  • 73. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What happens during Phase Ⅱ? Market Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Scale
  • 74. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. ・Process of developing “1 to 10” ・Demand > Supply(certain price) ・You can figure out your company’s future ・Others start to realize the attractive market ・In the hard competition for share ・Being well organized and systemized is the key to grow ・Speed and marketing are the keys of success Features of PhaseⅡ
  • 75. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What happens during Phase Ⅲ? Market Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Scale
  • 76. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. ・Process of developing “10 to 100” ・Demand=Supply(equilibrium price ) ・Attractiveness of the market is apparent ・Hard competition with competitors for price and quality ・Being well organized is getting more important ・Profit rate is decreasing ・Some companies go bankrupt Features of PhaseⅢ
  • 77. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What happens during Phase Ⅳ? Market Scale (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Scale
  • 78. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. ・Process of declining from 100 to 80 ・Matured market ・Supply >> Demand(Price decreasing) ・Peak for M&A(magical number “3”) ・Profit rate is the lowest Features of PhaseⅣ
  • 79. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Where Is It in Company Growth Curve? Company Value (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Potential Size Present Size Present Stage Matured Point
  • 80. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Where Is It in Company Growth Curve? Company Value (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Potential Size Present Size Present Stage Matured Point <=Market Size * Company’s Share
  • 81. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Time Company Value $50M $10M $1B $300M Series A Series C、D、、 IPO (Initial Public Offering ) Secondary Public Offering Series B Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks) Pre IPO Growth Post IPO Growth
  • 82. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Time $50M $10M $1B $300M Series A Series C、D、、 IPO (Initial Public Offering ) Secondary Public Offerin Series B Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks) IRR(Internal Rate of Return, 内部収益率) Company Value
  • 83. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Time Company Value $50M $10M $1B $300M Series A Series C、D、、 IPO (Initial Public Offering ) Secondary Public Offering Series B Fund Raising ( by Issuing Stocks) Pre IPO Growth Post IPO Growth
  • 84. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Where Is It in Company Growth Curve? Company Value (Ⅰ) (Ⅱ) (Ⅲ) (Ⅳ) Time Potential Size Present Size Present Stage Matured Point <=Market Size * Company’s Share
  • 85. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <=Market Size * Company’s Share Potential (Company) Size
  • 86. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. What is your TARGET market?
  • 87. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. ・Can You See the Market? -Size Is Big Enough? -Know How to Win? -Qualified to Be A Winner? ・You Have A Good Team? * Impossible to Have All Functions in YOU Points!
  • 88. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. ・Can You See the Market? -Size Is Big Enough? -Know How to Win? -Qualified to Be A Winner? ・You Have A Good Team? * Impossible to Have All Functions in YOU Important Points of STRATEGY
  • 89. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Work1> How Many McDonald's Are in India? And How Much Is the Annual Revenue?
  • 90. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <Work2> How Many “CHAI POINT’s” Are in India now? And How Many “CHAI POINT’s” and Its Revenue in 2030?
  • 91. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. Thank You !!
  • 92. Copyright © K Consulting All Rights Reserved. <facebook> http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda(follow) http://facebook.com/kazuaki.oda2(friendship) <Linkedin> https://www.linkedin.com/in/kazuaki-oda Kazuaki Oda oda@slogan.jp facebook Linkedin