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    2012 
                           

                           
    JAHANGIRNAGAR
    UNIVERSITY             
     
    Khairuzzaman Mamun 
     




          A REPORT ON CEMENT
        COMPANIES IN BANGLADESH

     
A Report
                                    On
       Cement Companies in Bangladesh




Prepared for                                                    Prepared by
                                         1. Khairuzzaman Mamun
                                            ID No :20113137
Md. Tarikul Islam                           Contact no : 01761808592
Assistant Professor,                        Email : knpmmamun@gmail.com
Chireman,                                2. Md. Keramat Ali
Department of Finance & Banking             ID No: 20113207
Jahangirnagar University                 3. Md. Mojibur Rahman
Savar, Daka-1342                            ID No: 20113238
                                         4. Narayan Chandra Sarker
                                            ID No: 20113180
                                         5. Kazi Hossain Ansary
                                            ID No: 20113149


Submission Date: December 22,2012
December 21, 2012

Md. Tarikul Islam

Chairman

    Department of Finance & Banking

Jahangirnagar University,

Savar,Dhaka.

Dear Md. Tarikul Islam

Here is the report that you asked us to conduct on November 10, 2012 on A Report
Study On Cement Companies in Bangladesh

This study focused on different types of discussion and result about the Historical
Performance of Cement Companies in Bangladesh. We will be pleased if you have
any further query for this you can call us at your convenient time and place.

Sincerely yours,

      1. Khairuzzaman Mamun
         ID No :20113137
         Contact no : 01761808592
         Email : knpmmamun@gmail.com
      2. Md. Keramat Ali
         ID No: 20113207
      3. Md. Mojibur Rahman
         ID No: 20113238
      4. Narayan Chandra Sarker
         ID No: 20113180
      5. Kazi Hossain Ansary
         ID No: 20113149
                           
ABSTRACT

This report is aimed at finding the relationship between the net income and the
current asset, current liability, working capital, debt ratio, current ratio, quick ratio,
taking cement companies of Bangladesh into consideration. It overviews some
theoretical literature on these financial factors and presents the regression outputs
and their interpretation.

The findings of the study are:

    1. Position of the various financial performances of these companies.
    2. The regression output has components:

                 o   Regression statistics table
                 o   Correlation table
                 o   Model summery
                 o   ANOVA table
                 o   Regression coefficients table
                 o   Excluded Variables table.

    3. And their interpretation.

Quantitative data is taken from company’s annual reports, business research
companies’ archives and financial websites. The findings from the study can either
have a positive or negative impact on financial performance.
 
Sequence of contents 
 
 

    Introduction
        o   Current asset
        o   Current liabilities
        o   Working capital
        o   Debt Ratio
        o   Quick ratio
        o   Current ratio
        o   Net income
    Analysis and Interpretation
        regression output

    o   Regression statistics table
    o   Correlation table
    o   Model summery
    o   ANOVA table
    o   Regression coefficients table
    o   Excluded Variables table.



    Recommendations & suggestions
    Conclusions
    References
Introduction
This study focuses on current asset, current liability, working capital debt ratio,
quick ratio and current ratio. The study also focuses on their impact on net income
of the cement factories in Bangladesh.

A current asset current asset is an asset which can either be converted to cash or
used to pay current liabilities within 12 months. Typical current assets include
cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments, accounts receivable, inventory and
the portion of prepaid liabilities which will be paid within a year.

On a balance sheet, assets will typically be classified into current assets and long-
term assets.

Current liabilities are often understood as all liabilities of the business that are to
be settled in cash within the fiscal year or the operating cycle of a given firm,
whichever period is longer. A more complete definition is that current liabilities
are obligations that will be settled by current assets or by the creation of new
current liabilities. Accounts payable are due within 30 days, and are paid within 30
days, but do often run past 30 days or 60 days in some situations. The laws
regarding late payment and claims for unpaid accounts payable is related to the
issue of accounts payable. An operating cycle for a firm is the average time that is
required to go from cash to cash in producing revenues.

Working capital (abbreviated WC) is a financial metric which represents
operating liquidity available to a business, organization or other entity, including
governmental entity. Along with fixed assets such as plant and equipment, working
capital is considered a part of operating capital. Net working capital is calculated
as current assets minus current liabilities.

WC = Current Assets – Current Liabilities

It is a derivation of working capital that is commonly used in valuation techniques
such as DCFs (Discounted cash flows). If current assets are less than current
liabilities, an entity has a working capital deficiency, also called a working
capital deficit.

A company can be endowed with assets and profitability but short of liquidity if its
assets cannot readily be converted into cash. Positive working capital is required to
ensure that a firm is able to continue its operations and that it has sufficient funds
to satisfy both maturing short-term debt and upcoming operational expenses. The
management of working capital involves managing inventories, accounts
receivable and payable, and cash.

Debt Ratio is a financial ratio that indicates the percentage of a company's assets
that are provided via debt. It is the ratio of total debt (the sum of current liabilities
and long-term liabilities) and total assets (the sum of current assets, fixed assets,
and other assets such as 'goodwill').




or alternatively:




The Acid-test or quick ratio or liquid ratio measures the ability of a company to
use its near cash or quick assets to extinguish or retire its current liabilities
immediately. Quick assets include those current assets that presumably can be
quickly converted to cash at close to their book values. A company with a Quick
Ratio of less than 1 cannot currently pay back its current liabilities.




Note that Inventory is excluded from the sum of assets in the Quick Ratio, but
included in the Current Ratio. Ratios are tests of viability for business entities but
do not give a complete picture of the business' health. If a business has large
amounts in Accounts Receivable which are due for payment after a long period
(say 120 days), and essential business expenses and Accounts Payable due for
immediate payment, the Quick Ratio may look healthy when the business is
actually about to run out of cash. In contrast, if the business has negotiated fast
payment or cash from customers, and long terms from suppliers, it may have a
very      low      Quick      Ratio        and      yet     be      very      healthy.
Notice that very often Acid test refers instead of Quick ratio to Cash ratio:
The current ratio is a financial ratio that measures whether or not a firm has
enough resources to pay its debts over the next 12 months. It compares a firm's
current assets to its current liabilities. The current ratio is calculated by dividing
total current assets by total current liabilities. It is frequently used as an indicator of
a company's liquidity, its ability to meet short-term obligations.

    It is expressed as follows:




The current ratio is an indication of a firm's market liquidity and ability to meet
creditor's demands. Acceptable current ratios vary from industry to industry and
are generally between 1.5 and 3 for healthy businesses. If a company's current ratio
is in this range, then it generally indicates good short-term financial strength. If
current liabilities exceed current assets (the current ratio is below 1), then the
company may have problems meeting its short-term obligations. If the current ratio
is too high, then the company may not be efficiently using its current assets or its
short-term financing facilities. This may also indicate problems in working capital
management.

Net income also referred to as the bottom line, net profit, or net earnings is an
entity's income minus expenses for an accounting period. It is computed as the
residual of all revenues and gains over all expenses and losses for the period, and
has also been defined as the net increase in stockholder's equity that results from a
company's operations. In the context of the presentation of financial statements, the
IFRS Foundation defines net income as synonymous with profit and loss.

                               
Analysis and Interpretation
For analyzing and interpretation we have selected four cement company’s data.
The companies are HEIDEBERG CEMENT, ARMIT CEMENT, CONFIDENCE
CEMENT, MEGNA CEMENT. Then we have run regression by SPSS taking
NETINCOME as dependent variable and CA, CL, WC, DR, QT, CR as
independent variable.

WC = WORKING CAPITAL                CA = CURRENT ASSET
DR = DEFT RATIO                     CL = CURRENT LIABITY
QT = QUICK TEST
CR = CURRENT
RATIO

YEAR       CA            CL             WC         DR      QT      CR      NET INCOME
HEIDEBERG
CEMENT
 1995    291776135     232312702       59463433     0.42    0.63    1.26       49063770
 1996    283936620     280331281        3605339     0.35    0.45    1.01       87222766
 1997    487728422     466639344       21089078     0.23    1.02    1.43       90162723
 1998    656544310     483855466      172688844    0.186    1.09    1.36      137490404
 1999    662942602     500088523      162854079    0.166    1.11    1.33      190134844
 2000      1090451        590807         499644    0.307     1.8    2.12         203966
 2001      1049119        496514         552605    0.368    2.09     2.5         209023
 2002       814110        402845         411265        0    2.06     2.3          46570
 2003       958958       1659205        -700247        0     2.1    2.12          55373
ARMIT CEMENT
 1999     69982997      133915884      -63932887   0.489     0.2    0.52       12584566
 2000     95485808      113300823      -17815015   0.391    0.16    0.84       63728613
 2001    106532929     1168944862    -1062411933   0.374    0.22    0.63       22605647
 2002     92676487      193194810     -100518323   0.336    0.25    0.48       45325802
 2003     82506088      170931414      -88425326   0.292    0.17    0.48      -56047924
 2004     58364763      158144182      -99779419   0.292    0.17    0.37      -63145695
 2005    118037786      274693852     -156656066   0.186    0.18    0.43      -26640998
 2006    150168808      343833723     -193664915   0.121    0.17    0.44        6971807
CONFIDENCE
CEMENT
 1996    140230667     147230786       -7000119    0.411    0.21    0.95       5596310
 1997    374423669      70780203      303643466    0.167    4.02    5.29      18563667
 1998    170259858      86527911       83731947    0.297    1.03    1.97      70458069
MEGNA CEMENT
 1996    205110279     251268787       -46158508   0.566   0.811   0.811      22792205
 1997    342103994     335576756         6527238   0.583   0.979   1.019      32144414
1998         452766064    437159410          15606654        0.576      0.958    1.036             31311683
  1999         393683728    364468510          29215218        0.703      1.012     1.08             49641627
  2000         744257833    670755663          73502170        0.644      0.988     1.11            110573729
  2001        1018622921    990863219          27759702        0.597      0.965    1.028            132743297
  2002        1253123650   1229932887          23190763        0.577      0.884    1.019             51939193
  2003        1003252653    952991742          50260911        0.597      1.035    1.053             26021799
  2004         952008134    943392659           8615475        0.559      0.987    1.009             34311762
  2005        1180027914   1188086536          -8058622        0.517      0.941    0.993             75106875
  2006        1001283610   1064853393         -63569783        0.452      0.881     0.94             56437753

The regression output has components:

     •   Regression statistics table
     •   Correlation table
     •   Model summery
     •   ANOVA table
     •   Regression coefficients table
     •   Excluded Variables table.


INTERPRET REGRESSION STATISTICS TABLE

                                         Descriptive Statistics
                                Mean                                   Std. Deviation                           N
NETINCOME                               41213343.2258                           54399845.30082                             31
CA                                     399733915.0645                          390685882.39495                             31
CL                                     427652409.6452                          394522244.70347                             31
WC                                     -27918494.5806                          214100614.82741                             31
DR                                              .3792                                      .18861                          31
QR                                              .9539                                      .80888                          31
CR                                             1.2557                                      .93617                          31


This table presents mean and deviation of dependent variable net income and
independent variables CA, CL, WC, DR, QR, CR.

                                              Correlations



                                          NETINCOME            CA         CL       WC         DR       QR           CR
Pearson             NETINCOME
Correlation                                         1.000       .545       .381     .292       .165      .040            .022
                    CA                                  .545   1.000       .851     .256       .507      .046            -.080
                    CL                                  .381    .851     1.000     -.289       .501     -.197            -.311
                    WC                                  .292    .256      -.289    1.000       .001      .447            .426
DR                            .165    .507    .501    .001   1.000   -.270        -.345
                  QR                            .040    .046    -.197   .447   -.270   1.000         .952
                  CR                            .022    -.080   -.311   .426   -.345    .952        1.000
Sig. (1-tailed)   NETINCOME
                                                    .   .001    .017    .055    .187    .414         .452
                  CA                            .001        .   .000    .082    .002    .403         .334
                  CL                            .017    .000        .   .057    .002    .143         .045
                  WC                            .055    .082    .057       .    .498    .006         .008
                  DR                            .187    .002    .002    .498       .    .071         .029
                  QR                            .414    .403    .143    .006    .071       .         .000
                  CR                            .452    .334    .045    .008    .029    .000            .
N                 NETINCOME
                                                   31     31      31     31      31      31           31
                  CA                               31     31      31     31      31      31           31
                  CL                               31     31      31     31      31      31           31
                  WC                               31     31      31     31      31      31           31
                  DR                               31     31      31     31      31      31           31
                  QR                               31     31      31     31      31      31           31
                  CR                               31     31      31     31      31      31           31



This table presents the correlation and significance between the variables net
income, CA, CL, WC, DR, QR, CR by matrix representation.

                                          Model Summary

This is the following output of greatest interest is R Square.

                                     Explanation
Multiple R          .605(a)          R = square root of R2
R Square            .366             R2
Adjusted R Square   .239             Adjusted R2 used if more than one x variable
                                     This is the sample estimate of the standard deviation of the
Standard Error      47452486.75859
                                     error u
Observations        31               Number of observations used in the regression (n)

The above gives the overall goodness-of-fit measures:
   R2 = 0.366
   Correlation between y and y-hat is 0.366 (when squared gives 0.366).
   Adjusted R2 = R2 - (1-R2 )*(k-1)/(n-k) =0.239

R2 = 0.366 means that 36.6% of the variation of NETINCOME can be explained by the
regressors CA, WC, DR, QR, and CR.
INTERPRET ANOVA TABLE

An ANOVA table is given. This is often skipped.

             df    SS                        MS                 F                 Significance F
Regression 5       32486832573223480         6497366514644690 2.885               0.034(a)
Residual     25    56293462489355600         2251738499574224
Total        30    88780295062579000


The ANOVA (analysis of variance) table splits the sum of squares into its components.

Total sums of squares
= Residual (or error) sum of squares + Regression (or explained) sum of squares.

The column labeled F gives the overall F-test of H0: βi = 0 versus Ha: at least one of βi does not
equal zero. F = 2.885

The column labeled significance F has the associated P-value. Since 0.034 < 0.05, we reject H0
at significance level 0.05.

INTERPRET REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS TABLE

The regression output of most interest is the following table of coefficients and associated
output:

             Coefficient        St. error         t Stat P-value Lower 95%        Upper 95%
Intercept 22270965.80 29952516.092 0.744                    0.464 -39417395.839 83959327.447
CA                      0.090               0.029 3.142     0.004         0.031              0.149
WC                      0.044               0.047 0.938     0.357        -0.053              0.142
DR           -40844164.44 56981244.240 -0.717               0.480 -158199233.740 76510904.852
QR           -42245774.55 38256908.829 -1.104               0.280 -121037353.198 36545804.088
CR            31910230.87 33546570.740 0.951                0.351 -37180224.878 101000686.625

a Dependent Variable: NETINCOME.

Let βj denote the population coefficient of the jth regressor (intercept, CA, WC, DR, QR and
CR). Then

     •     Column "Coefficient" gives the least squares estimates of βj.
     •     Column "Standard error" gives the standard errors (i.e.the estimated standard deviation)
           of the least squares estimates bj of βj.
     •     Column "t Stat" gives the computed t-statistic for H0: βj = 0 against Ha: βj ≠ 0.
This is the coefficient divided by the standard error. It is compared to a t with (n-k)
         degrees of freedom.

     •   Column "P-value" gives the p-value for test of H0: βj = 0 against Ha: βj ≠ 0..

         This equals the Pr{|t| > t-Stat}where t is a t-distributed random variable with n-k degrees
         of freedom and t-Stat is the computed value of the t-statistic given in the previous
         column.
         Note that this p-value is for a two-sided test. For a one-sided test divide this p-value by 2
         (also checking the sign of the t-Stat).

     •   Columns "Lower 95%" and "Upper 95%" values define a 95% confidence interval for βj.

A simple summary of the above output is that the fitted line is

NETINCOME = 22270965.80 + 0.090 CA + .044 WC - 40844164.44 DR - 42245774.55 QR + 31910230.87 CR

CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR SLOPE COEFFICIENTS

95% confidence interval for slope coefficient CA is from output (0.031, 0 .149).

95% confidence interval for slope coefficient WC is from output (-0.053, 0.142).

95% confidence interval for slope coefficient DR is from output (-158199233.740, 76510904.852).

95% confidence interval for slope coefficient QR is from output (-121037353.198, 36545804.088).

95% confidence interval for slope coefficient CR is from output (-37180224.878, 101000686.625).



                                              Excluded Variables(b)

                                                              Partial
 Model               Beta In         t           Sig.       Correlation        Collinearity Statistics

                                                                                     Tolerance
 1        CL               .(a)           .             .                 .                              .000

a Predictors in the Model: (Constant), CR, CA, WC, DR, QR
b Dependent Variable: NETINCOME
Recommendations & suggestions
Since R2 = 0.366. It means that 36.6% of the variation of NETINCOME can be
explained by the regressors CA, WC, DR, QR, and CR. So, it should take into
consideration.

Again since, fitted line is

NETINCOME = 22270965.80 + 0.090 CA + .044 WC - 40844164.44 DR -
42245774.55 QR + 31910230.87 CR.

So, we are recommending that current asset, working capital and current ratio
should be increased and debt ratio, quick ratio should be decreased to increase net
income in cement companies in Bangladesh.
We know,


And also coefficient of quick ratio is negative so inventories per unit liabilities
must be increased for increasing the value of net income of cement factories in
Bangladesh.

                                 Conclusions
Based on this study it can be said that if cement companies in Bangladesh follow 
the suggestion of this study then they will be more benefited and more successful 
in their business. 

                                  References
      Book Name:
      Principles of Financial Management
      Satish M. Inamdar
      Sixth Edition, 2009

      Search engine: www.google.com
      Wikipedia
      Company’s Annual Report: Dhaka Stock Exchange

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A REPORT ON CEMENT COMPANIES IN BANGLADESH

  • 1.   2012        JAHANGIRNAGAR UNIVERSITY     Khairuzzaman Mamun    A REPORT ON CEMENT COMPANIES IN BANGLADESH  
  • 2. A Report On Cement Companies in Bangladesh Prepared for Prepared by 1. Khairuzzaman Mamun ID No :20113137 Md. Tarikul Islam Contact no : 01761808592 Assistant Professor, Email : knpmmamun@gmail.com Chireman, 2. Md. Keramat Ali Department of Finance & Banking ID No: 20113207 Jahangirnagar University 3. Md. Mojibur Rahman Savar, Daka-1342 ID No: 20113238 4. Narayan Chandra Sarker ID No: 20113180 5. Kazi Hossain Ansary ID No: 20113149 Submission Date: December 22,2012
  • 3. December 21, 2012 Md. Tarikul Islam Chairman Department of Finance & Banking Jahangirnagar University, Savar,Dhaka. Dear Md. Tarikul Islam Here is the report that you asked us to conduct on November 10, 2012 on A Report Study On Cement Companies in Bangladesh This study focused on different types of discussion and result about the Historical Performance of Cement Companies in Bangladesh. We will be pleased if you have any further query for this you can call us at your convenient time and place. Sincerely yours, 1. Khairuzzaman Mamun ID No :20113137 Contact no : 01761808592 Email : knpmmamun@gmail.com 2. Md. Keramat Ali ID No: 20113207 3. Md. Mojibur Rahman ID No: 20113238 4. Narayan Chandra Sarker ID No: 20113180 5. Kazi Hossain Ansary ID No: 20113149    
  • 4. ABSTRACT This report is aimed at finding the relationship between the net income and the current asset, current liability, working capital, debt ratio, current ratio, quick ratio, taking cement companies of Bangladesh into consideration. It overviews some theoretical literature on these financial factors and presents the regression outputs and their interpretation. The findings of the study are: 1. Position of the various financial performances of these companies. 2. The regression output has components: o Regression statistics table o Correlation table o Model summery o ANOVA table o Regression coefficients table o Excluded Variables table. 3. And their interpretation. Quantitative data is taken from company’s annual reports, business research companies’ archives and financial websites. The findings from the study can either have a positive or negative impact on financial performance.  
  • 5. Sequence of contents      Introduction o Current asset o Current liabilities o Working capital o Debt Ratio o Quick ratio o Current ratio o Net income Analysis and Interpretation regression output o Regression statistics table o Correlation table o Model summery o ANOVA table o Regression coefficients table o Excluded Variables table. Recommendations & suggestions Conclusions References
  • 6. Introduction This study focuses on current asset, current liability, working capital debt ratio, quick ratio and current ratio. The study also focuses on their impact on net income of the cement factories in Bangladesh. A current asset current asset is an asset which can either be converted to cash or used to pay current liabilities within 12 months. Typical current assets include cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments, accounts receivable, inventory and the portion of prepaid liabilities which will be paid within a year. On a balance sheet, assets will typically be classified into current assets and long- term assets. Current liabilities are often understood as all liabilities of the business that are to be settled in cash within the fiscal year or the operating cycle of a given firm, whichever period is longer. A more complete definition is that current liabilities are obligations that will be settled by current assets or by the creation of new current liabilities. Accounts payable are due within 30 days, and are paid within 30 days, but do often run past 30 days or 60 days in some situations. The laws regarding late payment and claims for unpaid accounts payable is related to the issue of accounts payable. An operating cycle for a firm is the average time that is required to go from cash to cash in producing revenues. Working capital (abbreviated WC) is a financial metric which represents operating liquidity available to a business, organization or other entity, including governmental entity. Along with fixed assets such as plant and equipment, working capital is considered a part of operating capital. Net working capital is calculated as current assets minus current liabilities. WC = Current Assets – Current Liabilities It is a derivation of working capital that is commonly used in valuation techniques such as DCFs (Discounted cash flows). If current assets are less than current liabilities, an entity has a working capital deficiency, also called a working capital deficit. A company can be endowed with assets and profitability but short of liquidity if its assets cannot readily be converted into cash. Positive working capital is required to ensure that a firm is able to continue its operations and that it has sufficient funds
  • 7. to satisfy both maturing short-term debt and upcoming operational expenses. The management of working capital involves managing inventories, accounts receivable and payable, and cash. Debt Ratio is a financial ratio that indicates the percentage of a company's assets that are provided via debt. It is the ratio of total debt (the sum of current liabilities and long-term liabilities) and total assets (the sum of current assets, fixed assets, and other assets such as 'goodwill'). or alternatively: The Acid-test or quick ratio or liquid ratio measures the ability of a company to use its near cash or quick assets to extinguish or retire its current liabilities immediately. Quick assets include those current assets that presumably can be quickly converted to cash at close to their book values. A company with a Quick Ratio of less than 1 cannot currently pay back its current liabilities. Note that Inventory is excluded from the sum of assets in the Quick Ratio, but included in the Current Ratio. Ratios are tests of viability for business entities but do not give a complete picture of the business' health. If a business has large amounts in Accounts Receivable which are due for payment after a long period (say 120 days), and essential business expenses and Accounts Payable due for immediate payment, the Quick Ratio may look healthy when the business is actually about to run out of cash. In contrast, if the business has negotiated fast payment or cash from customers, and long terms from suppliers, it may have a very low Quick Ratio and yet be very healthy. Notice that very often Acid test refers instead of Quick ratio to Cash ratio:
  • 8. The current ratio is a financial ratio that measures whether or not a firm has enough resources to pay its debts over the next 12 months. It compares a firm's current assets to its current liabilities. The current ratio is calculated by dividing total current assets by total current liabilities. It is frequently used as an indicator of a company's liquidity, its ability to meet short-term obligations. It is expressed as follows: The current ratio is an indication of a firm's market liquidity and ability to meet creditor's demands. Acceptable current ratios vary from industry to industry and are generally between 1.5 and 3 for healthy businesses. If a company's current ratio is in this range, then it generally indicates good short-term financial strength. If current liabilities exceed current assets (the current ratio is below 1), then the company may have problems meeting its short-term obligations. If the current ratio is too high, then the company may not be efficiently using its current assets or its short-term financing facilities. This may also indicate problems in working capital management. Net income also referred to as the bottom line, net profit, or net earnings is an entity's income minus expenses for an accounting period. It is computed as the residual of all revenues and gains over all expenses and losses for the period, and has also been defined as the net increase in stockholder's equity that results from a company's operations. In the context of the presentation of financial statements, the IFRS Foundation defines net income as synonymous with profit and loss.    
  • 9. Analysis and Interpretation For analyzing and interpretation we have selected four cement company’s data. The companies are HEIDEBERG CEMENT, ARMIT CEMENT, CONFIDENCE CEMENT, MEGNA CEMENT. Then we have run regression by SPSS taking NETINCOME as dependent variable and CA, CL, WC, DR, QT, CR as independent variable. WC = WORKING CAPITAL CA = CURRENT ASSET DR = DEFT RATIO CL = CURRENT LIABITY QT = QUICK TEST CR = CURRENT RATIO YEAR CA CL WC DR QT CR NET INCOME HEIDEBERG CEMENT 1995 291776135 232312702 59463433 0.42 0.63 1.26 49063770 1996 283936620 280331281 3605339 0.35 0.45 1.01 87222766 1997 487728422 466639344 21089078 0.23 1.02 1.43 90162723 1998 656544310 483855466 172688844 0.186 1.09 1.36 137490404 1999 662942602 500088523 162854079 0.166 1.11 1.33 190134844 2000 1090451 590807 499644 0.307 1.8 2.12 203966 2001 1049119 496514 552605 0.368 2.09 2.5 209023 2002 814110 402845 411265 0 2.06 2.3 46570 2003 958958 1659205 -700247 0 2.1 2.12 55373 ARMIT CEMENT 1999 69982997 133915884 -63932887 0.489 0.2 0.52 12584566 2000 95485808 113300823 -17815015 0.391 0.16 0.84 63728613 2001 106532929 1168944862 -1062411933 0.374 0.22 0.63 22605647 2002 92676487 193194810 -100518323 0.336 0.25 0.48 45325802 2003 82506088 170931414 -88425326 0.292 0.17 0.48 -56047924 2004 58364763 158144182 -99779419 0.292 0.17 0.37 -63145695 2005 118037786 274693852 -156656066 0.186 0.18 0.43 -26640998 2006 150168808 343833723 -193664915 0.121 0.17 0.44 6971807 CONFIDENCE CEMENT 1996 140230667 147230786 -7000119 0.411 0.21 0.95 5596310 1997 374423669 70780203 303643466 0.167 4.02 5.29 18563667 1998 170259858 86527911 83731947 0.297 1.03 1.97 70458069 MEGNA CEMENT 1996 205110279 251268787 -46158508 0.566 0.811 0.811 22792205 1997 342103994 335576756 6527238 0.583 0.979 1.019 32144414
  • 10. 1998 452766064 437159410 15606654 0.576 0.958 1.036 31311683 1999 393683728 364468510 29215218 0.703 1.012 1.08 49641627 2000 744257833 670755663 73502170 0.644 0.988 1.11 110573729 2001 1018622921 990863219 27759702 0.597 0.965 1.028 132743297 2002 1253123650 1229932887 23190763 0.577 0.884 1.019 51939193 2003 1003252653 952991742 50260911 0.597 1.035 1.053 26021799 2004 952008134 943392659 8615475 0.559 0.987 1.009 34311762 2005 1180027914 1188086536 -8058622 0.517 0.941 0.993 75106875 2006 1001283610 1064853393 -63569783 0.452 0.881 0.94 56437753 The regression output has components: • Regression statistics table • Correlation table • Model summery • ANOVA table • Regression coefficients table • Excluded Variables table. INTERPRET REGRESSION STATISTICS TABLE Descriptive Statistics Mean Std. Deviation N NETINCOME 41213343.2258 54399845.30082 31 CA 399733915.0645 390685882.39495 31 CL 427652409.6452 394522244.70347 31 WC -27918494.5806 214100614.82741 31 DR .3792 .18861 31 QR .9539 .80888 31 CR 1.2557 .93617 31 This table presents mean and deviation of dependent variable net income and independent variables CA, CL, WC, DR, QR, CR. Correlations NETINCOME CA CL WC DR QR CR Pearson NETINCOME Correlation 1.000 .545 .381 .292 .165 .040 .022 CA .545 1.000 .851 .256 .507 .046 -.080 CL .381 .851 1.000 -.289 .501 -.197 -.311 WC .292 .256 -.289 1.000 .001 .447 .426
  • 11. DR .165 .507 .501 .001 1.000 -.270 -.345 QR .040 .046 -.197 .447 -.270 1.000 .952 CR .022 -.080 -.311 .426 -.345 .952 1.000 Sig. (1-tailed) NETINCOME . .001 .017 .055 .187 .414 .452 CA .001 . .000 .082 .002 .403 .334 CL .017 .000 . .057 .002 .143 .045 WC .055 .082 .057 . .498 .006 .008 DR .187 .002 .002 .498 . .071 .029 QR .414 .403 .143 .006 .071 . .000 CR .452 .334 .045 .008 .029 .000 . N NETINCOME 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 CA 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 CL 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 WC 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 DR 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 QR 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 CR 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 This table presents the correlation and significance between the variables net income, CA, CL, WC, DR, QR, CR by matrix representation. Model Summary This is the following output of greatest interest is R Square. Explanation Multiple R .605(a) R = square root of R2 R Square .366 R2 Adjusted R Square .239 Adjusted R2 used if more than one x variable This is the sample estimate of the standard deviation of the Standard Error 47452486.75859 error u Observations 31 Number of observations used in the regression (n) The above gives the overall goodness-of-fit measures: R2 = 0.366 Correlation between y and y-hat is 0.366 (when squared gives 0.366). Adjusted R2 = R2 - (1-R2 )*(k-1)/(n-k) =0.239 R2 = 0.366 means that 36.6% of the variation of NETINCOME can be explained by the regressors CA, WC, DR, QR, and CR.
  • 12. INTERPRET ANOVA TABLE An ANOVA table is given. This is often skipped. df SS MS F Significance F Regression 5 32486832573223480 6497366514644690 2.885 0.034(a) Residual 25 56293462489355600 2251738499574224 Total 30 88780295062579000 The ANOVA (analysis of variance) table splits the sum of squares into its components. Total sums of squares = Residual (or error) sum of squares + Regression (or explained) sum of squares. The column labeled F gives the overall F-test of H0: βi = 0 versus Ha: at least one of βi does not equal zero. F = 2.885 The column labeled significance F has the associated P-value. Since 0.034 < 0.05, we reject H0 at significance level 0.05. INTERPRET REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS TABLE The regression output of most interest is the following table of coefficients and associated output: Coefficient St. error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Intercept 22270965.80 29952516.092 0.744 0.464 -39417395.839 83959327.447 CA 0.090 0.029 3.142 0.004 0.031 0.149 WC 0.044 0.047 0.938 0.357 -0.053 0.142 DR -40844164.44 56981244.240 -0.717 0.480 -158199233.740 76510904.852 QR -42245774.55 38256908.829 -1.104 0.280 -121037353.198 36545804.088 CR 31910230.87 33546570.740 0.951 0.351 -37180224.878 101000686.625 a Dependent Variable: NETINCOME. Let βj denote the population coefficient of the jth regressor (intercept, CA, WC, DR, QR and CR). Then • Column "Coefficient" gives the least squares estimates of βj. • Column "Standard error" gives the standard errors (i.e.the estimated standard deviation) of the least squares estimates bj of βj. • Column "t Stat" gives the computed t-statistic for H0: βj = 0 against Ha: βj ≠ 0.
  • 13. This is the coefficient divided by the standard error. It is compared to a t with (n-k) degrees of freedom. • Column "P-value" gives the p-value for test of H0: βj = 0 against Ha: βj ≠ 0.. This equals the Pr{|t| > t-Stat}where t is a t-distributed random variable with n-k degrees of freedom and t-Stat is the computed value of the t-statistic given in the previous column. Note that this p-value is for a two-sided test. For a one-sided test divide this p-value by 2 (also checking the sign of the t-Stat). • Columns "Lower 95%" and "Upper 95%" values define a 95% confidence interval for βj. A simple summary of the above output is that the fitted line is NETINCOME = 22270965.80 + 0.090 CA + .044 WC - 40844164.44 DR - 42245774.55 QR + 31910230.87 CR CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR SLOPE COEFFICIENTS 95% confidence interval for slope coefficient CA is from output (0.031, 0 .149). 95% confidence interval for slope coefficient WC is from output (-0.053, 0.142). 95% confidence interval for slope coefficient DR is from output (-158199233.740, 76510904.852). 95% confidence interval for slope coefficient QR is from output (-121037353.198, 36545804.088). 95% confidence interval for slope coefficient CR is from output (-37180224.878, 101000686.625). Excluded Variables(b) Partial Model Beta In t Sig. Correlation Collinearity Statistics Tolerance 1 CL .(a) . . . .000 a Predictors in the Model: (Constant), CR, CA, WC, DR, QR b Dependent Variable: NETINCOME
  • 14. Recommendations & suggestions Since R2 = 0.366. It means that 36.6% of the variation of NETINCOME can be explained by the regressors CA, WC, DR, QR, and CR. So, it should take into consideration. Again since, fitted line is NETINCOME = 22270965.80 + 0.090 CA + .044 WC - 40844164.44 DR - 42245774.55 QR + 31910230.87 CR. So, we are recommending that current asset, working capital and current ratio should be increased and debt ratio, quick ratio should be decreased to increase net income in cement companies in Bangladesh. We know, And also coefficient of quick ratio is negative so inventories per unit liabilities must be increased for increasing the value of net income of cement factories in Bangladesh. Conclusions Based on this study it can be said that if cement companies in Bangladesh follow  the suggestion of this study then they will be more benefited and more successful  in their business.  References Book Name: Principles of Financial Management Satish M. Inamdar Sixth Edition, 2009 Search engine: www.google.com Wikipedia Company’s Annual Report: Dhaka Stock Exchange