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Evolving Long Term Price for Indian Iron ore  Framework and Modelling   K K KUMAR GENERAL MANAGER-MARKETING & LOGISTICS MSPL LIMITED HOSPET,INDIA CHINA – INDIA IRON ORE SUMMIT BEIJING, CHINA 28-29 APRIL,2008
NOTICE ,[object Object],[object Object]
OVERVIEW ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CHINA IRON ORE IMPORTS MILLION TONNES Note : All data on calender year basis 21% 23% 25% 24% 22% 20% 18% India's Share in China's Imports 79.37  74.75  68.58  50.17  32.30  22.53  16.98  India's Imports to China 383.09  326.70  275.25  208.86  148.20  111.49  92.39  Total Imports by China 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001   383.09  326.70  275.25  208.86  148.20  111.49  92.39  Total 30.08  21.07  17.76  11.11  3.51  1.49  1.04  Others 1.21  1.56  1.16  1.61  0.67  0.32  0.27  Vietnam 3.39  2.62  2.52  2.40  0.34  0.25  0.15  Venezuela 4.82  4.68  3.36  3.50  2.20  1.98  1.84  Peru 5.93  3.87  2.79  2.80  1.42  0.85  0.38  Canada 2.82  2.35  1.61  1.99  1.64  1.23  0.19  Chile 12.23  12.56  10.55  11.10  9.56  10.30  8.97  South Africa 79.37  74.75  68.58  50.17  32.30  22.53  16.98  India 97.63  76.42  54.74  46.04  38.40  29.77  24.54  Brazil 145.61  126.82  112.18  78.14  58.17  42.78  38.02  Australia 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 COUNTRY
Impacts of China’s huge iron ore demand   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IMPACT OF CHINA’S HUGE IRON ORE DEMAND ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FUTURE OUTLOOK FOR IRON ORE IN CHINA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FUTURE OUTLOOK FOR IRON ORE IN CHINA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FUTURE OUTLOOK FOR IRON ORE IN CHINA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ROLE OF INDIAN IRON ORE IN CHINA ,[object Object],[object Object],Growth in production is driven by exports 93.79  89.27  78.14  62.57  48.02  41.64  37.49  32.91  31.27  35.61  31.70  31.34  28.00  31.50  Exports  172.00  155.00  142.70  122.80  99.07  86.22  73.21  74.94  70.68  75.72  66.60  66.58  64.50  58.67  Production  2006  2005  2004  2003  2002  2001  2000  1999  1998  1997  1996  1995  1994  1993  Year
ROLE OF INDIAN IRON ORE IN CHINA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ROLE OF INDIAN IRON ORE IN CHINA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
UNIQUE ASPECTS OF INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
UNIQUE ASPECTS OF INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE TAKEAWAY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARK PRICE SETTING TILL 2007 ,[object Object],THE PRICE NEGOTIAION PROCESS European Steel Mills (Corus, Arcelor-Mittal, Thyssen Krup, RIVA) Asian Steel Mills (NSE, POSCO, JFE) Chinese Steel Mills (Bao Steel) Brazilian Suppliers (CVRD, MBR) Australian Suppliers (Rio Tinto, Billiton) Other Suppliers (KUMBA, QCM, IOC, LKAB, Etc.) Views exchanged on markets Prices, quantum of increase  etc., BUYERS SELLER
INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARK PRICE SETTING IN 2008 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EVOLVING BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EVOLVING BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EVOLVING BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EVOLVING BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EVOLVING BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EVOLVING BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EVOLVING BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN IRON ORE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
WHAT HAPPENS AFTER THE BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN HIGH GRADE IS SETTLED ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
WHAT HAPPENS AFTER THE BENCHMARK PRICE FOR INDIAN HIGH GRADE IS SETTLED ,[object Object]
CLOSING REMARKS ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]

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Evolving Long Term Price For Indian Iron Ore (2)

  • 1. Evolving Long Term Price for Indian Iron ore Framework and Modelling K K KUMAR GENERAL MANAGER-MARKETING & LOGISTICS MSPL LIMITED HOSPET,INDIA CHINA – INDIA IRON ORE SUMMIT BEIJING, CHINA 28-29 APRIL,2008
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  • 4. CHINA IRON ORE IMPORTS MILLION TONNES Note : All data on calender year basis 21% 23% 25% 24% 22% 20% 18% India's Share in China's Imports 79.37 74.75 68.58 50.17 32.30 22.53 16.98 India's Imports to China 383.09 326.70 275.25 208.86 148.20 111.49 92.39 Total Imports by China 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001   383.09 326.70 275.25 208.86 148.20 111.49 92.39 Total 30.08 21.07 17.76 11.11 3.51 1.49 1.04 Others 1.21 1.56 1.16 1.61 0.67 0.32 0.27 Vietnam 3.39 2.62 2.52 2.40 0.34 0.25 0.15 Venezuela 4.82 4.68 3.36 3.50 2.20 1.98 1.84 Peru 5.93 3.87 2.79 2.80 1.42 0.85 0.38 Canada 2.82 2.35 1.61 1.99 1.64 1.23 0.19 Chile 12.23 12.56 10.55 11.10 9.56 10.30 8.97 South Africa 79.37 74.75 68.58 50.17 32.30 22.53 16.98 India 97.63 76.42 54.74 46.04 38.40 29.77 24.54 Brazil 145.61 126.82 112.18 78.14 58.17 42.78 38.02 Australia 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 COUNTRY
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  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.