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CURRENCY EXCHANGE
By:
Kapil P. Israni
Roll No. 16
INTRODUCTION

• Bretton woods system of monetary management

• OTC Market

• Vehicle Currency
EXCHANGE RATE MECHANISM

• DIRECT
     Eg: 1 USD = 44.45


• INDIRECT
     Eg: Rs. 100=USD 2.2548
MARKET PARTICIPANTS

• Banks

• Commercial Companies

• Central Banks

• Hedge Funds (Speculators)

• Money Transfer/Remittance co’s.
DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATES

• International parity condition

• Balance of payment model

• Asset market model
ion,
                                                                 Inc.



The relation Between the Current Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate
      and the Expected Dollar Return on Euro Deposits


       Today’s dollar/euro
       exchange rate, E$/€

        1.07

        1.05

        1.03
        1.02

        1.00
                  0.031      0.050 0.069 0.079 0.100
                                  Expected dollar return on
                                  euro deposits, R€ + (Ee$/€ -
                                  E$/€)/(E$/€)
ion,
                                                                  Inc.



Determination of the Equilibrium Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate


  Exchange rate, E$/€
                        Return on
                        dollar deposits


       E2$/€             2


       E1$/€                   1
                                          3
       E3$/€

                                   Expected return
                                   on euro deposits

                             R$               Rates of return
                                              (in dollar terms)
ion,
                                                            Inc.




      Effect of a Rise in the Dollar Interest Rate


Exchange rate, E$/€
                            Dollar return




    E1$/€               1          1'

    E2$/€                          2

                                            Expected
                                            euro return

                       R1        R2$    Rates of return
                       $                (in dollar terms)
ion, In
                                                                   c.




       Effect of a Rise in the Euro Interest Rate


Exchange rate, E$/€
                          Dollar return


                                          Rise in euro
                                          interest rate

    E2$/€                        2

    E1$/€                        1
                                               Expected
                                               euro return


                               R$    Rates of return
                                     (in dollar terms)
DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATES

• International parity condition

• Balance of payment model

• Asset market model
DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATES
• Economic Factors:-

• Inflation

• Interest rates

• Budget / Trade deficits

• Fisher effect (Domestic & International)
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
• SPOT (T+2 transaction)

• FORWARD (Forward future date)

• SWAP

• FUTURE (3 months)

• OPTION

• SPECULATION
THANK YOU

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Currency Exchange Rates Explained

  • 1. CURRENCY EXCHANGE By: Kapil P. Israni Roll No. 16
  • 2. INTRODUCTION • Bretton woods system of monetary management • OTC Market • Vehicle Currency
  • 3.
  • 4. EXCHANGE RATE MECHANISM • DIRECT Eg: 1 USD = 44.45 • INDIRECT Eg: Rs. 100=USD 2.2548
  • 5. MARKET PARTICIPANTS • Banks • Commercial Companies • Central Banks • Hedge Funds (Speculators) • Money Transfer/Remittance co’s.
  • 6. DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATES • International parity condition • Balance of payment model • Asset market model
  • 7. ion, Inc. The relation Between the Current Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate and the Expected Dollar Return on Euro Deposits Today’s dollar/euro exchange rate, E$/€ 1.07 1.05 1.03 1.02 1.00 0.031 0.050 0.069 0.079 0.100 Expected dollar return on euro deposits, R€ + (Ee$/€ - E$/€)/(E$/€)
  • 8. ion, Inc. Determination of the Equilibrium Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate Exchange rate, E$/€ Return on dollar deposits E2$/€ 2 E1$/€ 1 3 E3$/€ Expected return on euro deposits R$ Rates of return (in dollar terms)
  • 9. ion, Inc. Effect of a Rise in the Dollar Interest Rate Exchange rate, E$/€ Dollar return E1$/€ 1 1' E2$/€ 2 Expected euro return R1 R2$ Rates of return $ (in dollar terms)
  • 10. ion, In c. Effect of a Rise in the Euro Interest Rate Exchange rate, E$/€ Dollar return Rise in euro interest rate E2$/€ 2 E1$/€ 1 Expected euro return R$ Rates of return (in dollar terms)
  • 11. DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATES • International parity condition • Balance of payment model • Asset market model
  • 12. DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATES • Economic Factors:- • Inflation • Interest rates • Budget / Trade deficits • Fisher effect (Domestic & International)
  • 13. FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS • SPOT (T+2 transaction) • FORWARD (Forward future date) • SWAP • FUTURE (3 months) • OPTION • SPECULATION