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Debt Capital Markets International Economic Relations Metropolitan University Prague Martin Kolmhofer 2011/2012
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Bond Markets ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Issuers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
18.08. 2011
16.09. 2011
30.11.2011
 
What are “the markets”? "What are the financial markets? It is some boys sitting at their computers and who are wrong most of the time. We will put them on some glasses so they can see that Argentina does not need expensive money.“ (Domingo Cavallo, former Argentine Finance Minister)
What are “the markets”?
 
How to Read A BondTable ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Paris Club, London Club ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Credit Agency Ratings Government regulations or internal regulations restrict the amount that many pension funds and insurance companies can invest in bonds that have a high probability of default, those rated as “below investment grade”.
Institutional Investor Types ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Yield Curve The curve plots Treasury yields against a range of maturities, from 1 month to 30 years. It’s slope indicates the bond market’s expectation about the future course of the economy. The Yield Curve can  be regarded as a forecast of future short-term interest rates
The Yield Curve ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],When investors feel as though a major economic downturn or a substantial financial crisis is coming, the yield on short-term bonds will often rise above the yield for long-term bonds. This happened to Greece, to Ireland and to Portugal and all three of them ended up needing bailouts. Now it is happening to Italy
Junk Bonds ,[object Object],[object Object]
“ Monetizing” Debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Monetizing” Debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Monetizing” Debt How the ECB finances Euro area governments
“ Rolling over” Debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Rolling over” Debt 1928: 2011:
How much is too much?

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Bond Markets

  • 1. Debt Capital Markets International Economic Relations Metropolitan University Prague Martin Kolmhofer 2011/2012
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  • 9. What are “the markets”? "What are the financial markets? It is some boys sitting at their computers and who are wrong most of the time. We will put them on some glasses so they can see that Argentina does not need expensive money.“ (Domingo Cavallo, former Argentine Finance Minister)
  • 10. What are “the markets”?
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  • 14. Credit Agency Ratings Government regulations or internal regulations restrict the amount that many pension funds and insurance companies can invest in bonds that have a high probability of default, those rated as “below investment grade”.
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  • 16. The Yield Curve The curve plots Treasury yields against a range of maturities, from 1 month to 30 years. It’s slope indicates the bond market’s expectation about the future course of the economy. The Yield Curve can be regarded as a forecast of future short-term interest rates
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  • 21. “ Monetizing” Debt How the ECB finances Euro area governments
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  • 23. “ Rolling over” Debt 1928: 2011:
  • 24. How much is too much?