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Volume1, Number 6, – JUNE 2006
                                                                                                  People you should
    Peak Oil and Politics—What ARE Those Guys                                                     contact about peak oil:
                     Smoking!?                                                                    •Senator Barbara Boxer
The price of gasoline keeps rising,              real catastrophe.                                http://boxer.senate.gov/conta
there’s no spare oil production                  If it’s handled really well, we can strive         ct/email/policy.cfm
capacity left in the world, oil                  intelligently together to make a
                                                                                                  •Senator Dianne Feinstein
production has virtually stalled at the          sustainable world and better lives for
                                                                                                  http://www.senate.gov/~feins
level of late 2004, a report                     ourselves and our children.
                                                                                                    tein/email.html
commissioned by the US Department                It appears that world oil production
of Energy says we need a 20-year                 may be peaking right now, and if it              •Congressman Sam Farr
                                                                                                  1221 Longworth House
crash program to deal with peak oil              isn’t, it will soon. We need all levels of
                                                                                                    Office Building
—and the best the leader of the                  government to tackle this emergency as
                                                                                                    Washington, DC 20515
Senate can do is propose a $100.00               if our futures depend on them. First,
                                                                                                    (202) 225-2861
dollar tax rebate. We’re careering               state and Federal officials should admit           FAX (202) 225-6791
toward a cliff at 100 mph with                   publicly that the peaking of oil                 http://www.farr.house.gov/
monkeys driving the car! Could we                extraction is inevitable and imminent.
                                                                                                  •Governor Arnold Schw…
please find an adult to take the wheel?          Second, they must forcefully take steps
                                                                                                  http://www.govmail.ca.gov
Seriously, we have a big problem                 to prepare our state, nation and planet
that’s going to get worse, and there             to function with a relentlessly                  •President George Bush
are still many opportunities to take             diminishing supply of fossil fuel.               http://www.whitehouse.gov/
constructive action in advance of a              Third, they need to insist that we reduce
real crisis.                                     our carbon emissions, and apply
If our looming predicament is                    effective measures to make it so.
handled badly enough, what should
be just a tight spot could turn into a
                                   UPCOMING EVENTS
June 1st - SMC Discussion group, quot;Peak Oil       June 17th, SMC fundraiser yard sale, 860
and Politicsquot; at the Central Avenue Bakery 7-9   Congress Avenue, Pacific Grove, 8 am to 2 pm.
PM, Free
June 7th, quot;End of Suburbiaquot; movie showing at     June 20th, Sustainable Pacific Grove showing
Humanist Society, Café Stravaganza,              quot;The Power of Community – How Cuba
Crossroads, Carmel, public welcome, Free         Survived Peak Oilquot; 7 pm followed by a Q & A
June 8th, quot;Introduction to Peak Oilquot; at the      with SMC's Mark Folsom and Deborah Lindsay.
Green Party meeting at the Seniors Center on     June 23rd, Sustainable Big Sur Coast showing
the corner of Lighthouse and Dickman, with       quot;The Power of Community – How Cuba
Pierre Chomat, author of Oil Addiction: The      Survived Peak Oil, 7 pm followed by a lecture
World In Peril, and Deborah Lindsay, Director    from Julian Darley, Director of Post Carbon
of SMC 6 - 8 PM, Open to Public, Free Contact    Institute and author of quot;High Noon for Natural
George Riley, 831-645-9914 for more info,        Gasquot;


Mission: To insure an orderly transition through the fossil fuel decline by
cooperatively developing a sustainable economy for Monterey County.
SUSTAINABLE MONTEREY COUNTY




                                 1.   Transportation can meet our needs in the US while using
                                      much less energy
      WHAT                                 a. Rail and ships are more efficient than cars, trucks and airplanes.
 OPPORTUNITIES DO                          b. All vehicles can be made lighter and more energy efficient.
                                           c. We can use transportation less.
  WE HAVE TO LIVE
                                 2.   Food doesn’t have to cost 10 calories in fossil fuel for every calorie we eat.
WELL ON LESS FOSSIL                        a. Organic farming methods can reduce or eliminate the need for fertilizers
                                              and pesticides, which are both made from fossil fuels.
     ENERGY?
                                           b. We can get food from farms near our homes
                                           c. Foods that are less processed are probably healthier, as well as less
                                              energy intensive.
                                           d. We can eat less meat, especially less grain-fed meat, since it takes about
                                              10 calories of feed to make 1 calorie of meat.
So, we already have                        e. Food doesn’t need as much packaging.
                                 3.   Communities can be restructured to reduce the need for
examples of how to do                 automobile use.
much better, and there                     a. Allow mixed-use, with homes, stores, schools and businesses close
are still other                               together.
                                           b. Promote higher density near public transport.
opportunities that no                      c. Provide sidewalks and bike paths everywhere people want to go locally.
one is exploiting fully.                   d. Make car-free zones in some business districts.
                                 4.   Homes can be more energy efficient.
But it’s urgent that we                    a. Update appliances and lighting.
get moving before all                      b. Improve sealing and insulation.
the needed changes                         c. Use solar heating and natural ventilation.
                                           d. Let indoor temperatures vary more.
have to compete for                        e. Live in a smaller space.
declining resources with                   f. Heat or cool only space that’s in use.
                                           g. Use automatic light switches.
a population desperately         5.   Power generation can be less wasteful.
trying to maintain a                       a. Use waste heat from generating plants for space heat or industrial
way of life that can no                       processes (cogeneration).
                                           b. Generate more electricity from wind and tides, etc.
longer work. Many                          c. Develop micro-generators that make electricity with home heaters.
areas of our lives and                     d. Create and deploy new methods of energy storage, so the most efficient
our economy will need                         generators carry more of the load.
                                 6.   Develop more efficient biofuels, that don’t compete with food production, and
to undergo radical                    get them to market
conversion in                              a. Oil bearing algae show enormous promise.
                                           b. Cellulosic ethanol from crop waste, sawdust, paper, etc. should be much
the years ahead:                              more efficient than that from corn.
                                           c. Stop taxing imported biofuels.



 The peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and he world with an unprecedented risk
 management problem. As peaking is approached, liquid fuel prices and price volatility will
 increase dramatically, and, without timely mitigation, the economic, social, and political costs
 will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation options exist on both the supply and demand sides,
 but to have substantial impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of
 peaking.
      --Robert L. Hirsch, et al, Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation and Risk
          Management, Science Applications International, for the U.S. Dept. of Energy
SUSTAINABLE MONTEREY COUNTY




WHAT CAN GOVERNMENTS DO TO HELP?
They can stop making the
problem worse, for one                          Specific things I would like to see governments do
thing: They subsidize roads                                    include the following:
heavily, while leaving rail
transport to fall apart. They          1.   A crash program to fund energy research and development.
subsidize American corn-                        a. Energy storage options including compressed air, flywheels, batteries,
based ethanol, while taxing                         etc.
                                                b. Advanced biofuels including oil-bearing algae, cellulosic ethanol and
cane-based ethanol from                             genetically engineered organisms.
Brazil. They publish highly                     c. More efficient automotive technology, including continuously variable
misleading and overly                               transmissions, diesel hybrids, plug-in hybrids, efficient regenerative
optimistic projections of                           braking, and more.
future oil production, and                      d. Promote development of energy saving devices that can be retrofitted
                                                    to existing motor vehicles.
have since at least 50 years
                                                e. Advanced photovoltaic technology
ago. They promote                               f. Stage competitions and award prizes for key energy breakthroughs.
unworkable long-lead                   2.   Incentives, subsidies, taxes and all that
schemes like using                              a. Stop funding new highway construction.
hydrogen as a transportation                    b. Subsidize railroads at higher funding levels than roads.
                                                c. Remove special subsidies for oil companies.
fuel, while ignoring
                                                d. Remove subsidies for ethanol from corn.
technologies that are ready                     e. Remove taxes on imported ethanol.
to be applied starting right                    f. Levy a tax on gasoline and diesel fuel that assures a predictably rising
now. They subsidize oil                             price—use the proceeds to reduce payroll taxes.
companies that are already                      g. Push power companies to employ cogeneration wherever possible.
                                       3.   Regulation and other forms of coercion
doing very well.
                                                a. Cap carbon emissions and decrease the cap year after year.
                                                b. Raise vehicle fuel economy standards.
                                                c. Negotiate a treaty along the lines of the “Oil Depletion Protocol” and
                                                    stick to its terms.
                                                d. Relax some regulation for ultralight motor vehicles.
                                                e. Stop fighting wars to keep control of other countries’ oil.
                                       4.   Information
                                                a. Do energy planning in the open and publish the plans.
                                                b. Pressure oil producers to allow independent audits of reserves.
                                                c. Publish realistic projections of future energy production, rather than
                                                    fanciful nonsense.

                                               Develop new motor vehicle fuel economy
                                                               tests that are realistic and accurate.
                                             Further Reading
           Peaking of World Oil Production… www.projectcensored.org/newsflash/the_hirsch_report.pdf
                                    The Oil Drum http://www.theoildrum.com/
                                  Energy Bulletin http://www.energybulletin.net/
                           Oil Addiction: The World in Peril, Pierre Chomat
                                 The Party’s Over, Richard Heinberg
                                The Long Emergency, James Kunstler
                                 Hubbert’s Peak, Kenneth Deffeyes
LETTER FROM THE DIRECTOR,
     CONTACT
   INFORMATION
                             As you can see, Sustainable Monterey          camps; red versus blue, peace versus
                             County's newsletter has a new look!           war, growth versus conservation. An
 MARK FOLSOM:
                             Thank you so much to Adrienne Allen for       important note to remember is that we
 Phone: 831 648 1543         all her contributions. This goes along with   must face the issues of oil depletion
                             our new and ongoing efforts. This month       together, regardless of political affiliation
 E-Mail:
                             we had an excellent discussion meeting        or economic agenda. We will only
 folsomman@redshift.net
                             at the Pacific Grove Museum of Natural        weather the coming storm as a united
                             History, titled quot;Is Sustainable               community. Also, remember that a
                             Development possible in the face of fossil    thriving community is dependent on an
Steering Committee           fuel decline?quot; with guests, Chris Fitz,       active local economy. Spend your dollars
Members                      Director of LandWatch Monterey County         at a local shop, and sometime this month,
Deborah Lindsay,             and Ashley Hefner from Sustainable            reach over the fence and say hi to your
Director                     Monterey Bay. We are learning that the        neighbor. In June, we look at the larger
decal@deborahlindsay.com     issues of sustainability in our region are    implications of Peak Oil, with Mark
Ruth Smith, 831-620-1303     broad and multi-layered. No solution is       Folsom leading a discussion on the
Committee Chair and          simple and all require dialogue between       political angle of oil at the Central Avenue
Budget Chair                 groups that have been on opposite sides       Bakery, see the calendar of events for
Virginia Chomat,             of the coin for a long time. Our national     more details. Cheers! Deborah Lindsay.
Secretary and Co-treasurer   media have not helped with building
Pierre Chomat,               bridges between groups. On the contrary,
Resident Expert              we're generally lumped into one of two
Mark Folsom,
Newsletter Editor,
                             OIL PRODUCTION AND PRICES IN THE RECENT PAST
folsomman@redshift.net
George Wilson,
                             The figure below shows that past pauses
831-372-0659
                             in the rising trend of oil production have
Committee Evaluation
                             been preceded by falling prices. Now,
Coordinator
                             however, it’s different—production has
Denyse Frischmuth,
                             stopped rising, even though prices
831-643-0707
                             continue to rise sharply. These are not
Volunteer Coordinator and
                             normal times for oil production.
Urban Environmental
Accords Coordinator
Robert Frischmuth,
Co-Treasurer
Program Heads,
Annette Chaplin,
831-372-8725
Sustainable Pacific Grove
Linda Parker,
phone # 831-656-0664
surite@sbcglobal.net
Sustainable Big Sur Coast

Newsletter Design by
   Adrienne Allen
aa_nixon@comcast.net

    We’re on the Web!
          See us at:
http://www.postcarbon.org/
      groups/monterey

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Smc Newsletter June 06

  • 1. Volume1, Number 6, – JUNE 2006 People you should Peak Oil and Politics—What ARE Those Guys contact about peak oil: Smoking!? •Senator Barbara Boxer The price of gasoline keeps rising, real catastrophe. http://boxer.senate.gov/conta there’s no spare oil production If it’s handled really well, we can strive ct/email/policy.cfm capacity left in the world, oil intelligently together to make a •Senator Dianne Feinstein production has virtually stalled at the sustainable world and better lives for http://www.senate.gov/~feins level of late 2004, a report ourselves and our children. tein/email.html commissioned by the US Department It appears that world oil production of Energy says we need a 20-year may be peaking right now, and if it •Congressman Sam Farr 1221 Longworth House crash program to deal with peak oil isn’t, it will soon. We need all levels of Office Building —and the best the leader of the government to tackle this emergency as Washington, DC 20515 Senate can do is propose a $100.00 if our futures depend on them. First, (202) 225-2861 dollar tax rebate. We’re careering state and Federal officials should admit FAX (202) 225-6791 toward a cliff at 100 mph with publicly that the peaking of oil http://www.farr.house.gov/ monkeys driving the car! Could we extraction is inevitable and imminent. •Governor Arnold Schw… please find an adult to take the wheel? Second, they must forcefully take steps http://www.govmail.ca.gov Seriously, we have a big problem to prepare our state, nation and planet that’s going to get worse, and there to function with a relentlessly •President George Bush are still many opportunities to take diminishing supply of fossil fuel. http://www.whitehouse.gov/ constructive action in advance of a Third, they need to insist that we reduce real crisis. our carbon emissions, and apply If our looming predicament is effective measures to make it so. handled badly enough, what should be just a tight spot could turn into a UPCOMING EVENTS June 1st - SMC Discussion group, quot;Peak Oil June 17th, SMC fundraiser yard sale, 860 and Politicsquot; at the Central Avenue Bakery 7-9 Congress Avenue, Pacific Grove, 8 am to 2 pm. PM, Free June 7th, quot;End of Suburbiaquot; movie showing at June 20th, Sustainable Pacific Grove showing Humanist Society, Café Stravaganza, quot;The Power of Community – How Cuba Crossroads, Carmel, public welcome, Free Survived Peak Oilquot; 7 pm followed by a Q & A June 8th, quot;Introduction to Peak Oilquot; at the with SMC's Mark Folsom and Deborah Lindsay. Green Party meeting at the Seniors Center on June 23rd, Sustainable Big Sur Coast showing the corner of Lighthouse and Dickman, with quot;The Power of Community – How Cuba Pierre Chomat, author of Oil Addiction: The Survived Peak Oil, 7 pm followed by a lecture World In Peril, and Deborah Lindsay, Director from Julian Darley, Director of Post Carbon of SMC 6 - 8 PM, Open to Public, Free Contact Institute and author of quot;High Noon for Natural George Riley, 831-645-9914 for more info, Gasquot; Mission: To insure an orderly transition through the fossil fuel decline by cooperatively developing a sustainable economy for Monterey County.
  • 2. SUSTAINABLE MONTEREY COUNTY 1. Transportation can meet our needs in the US while using much less energy WHAT a. Rail and ships are more efficient than cars, trucks and airplanes. OPPORTUNITIES DO b. All vehicles can be made lighter and more energy efficient. c. We can use transportation less. WE HAVE TO LIVE 2. Food doesn’t have to cost 10 calories in fossil fuel for every calorie we eat. WELL ON LESS FOSSIL a. Organic farming methods can reduce or eliminate the need for fertilizers and pesticides, which are both made from fossil fuels. ENERGY? b. We can get food from farms near our homes c. Foods that are less processed are probably healthier, as well as less energy intensive. d. We can eat less meat, especially less grain-fed meat, since it takes about 10 calories of feed to make 1 calorie of meat. So, we already have e. Food doesn’t need as much packaging. 3. Communities can be restructured to reduce the need for examples of how to do automobile use. much better, and there a. Allow mixed-use, with homes, stores, schools and businesses close are still other together. b. Promote higher density near public transport. opportunities that no c. Provide sidewalks and bike paths everywhere people want to go locally. one is exploiting fully. d. Make car-free zones in some business districts. 4. Homes can be more energy efficient. But it’s urgent that we a. Update appliances and lighting. get moving before all b. Improve sealing and insulation. the needed changes c. Use solar heating and natural ventilation. d. Let indoor temperatures vary more. have to compete for e. Live in a smaller space. declining resources with f. Heat or cool only space that’s in use. g. Use automatic light switches. a population desperately 5. Power generation can be less wasteful. trying to maintain a a. Use waste heat from generating plants for space heat or industrial way of life that can no processes (cogeneration). b. Generate more electricity from wind and tides, etc. longer work. Many c. Develop micro-generators that make electricity with home heaters. areas of our lives and d. Create and deploy new methods of energy storage, so the most efficient our economy will need generators carry more of the load. 6. Develop more efficient biofuels, that don’t compete with food production, and to undergo radical get them to market conversion in a. Oil bearing algae show enormous promise. b. Cellulosic ethanol from crop waste, sawdust, paper, etc. should be much the years ahead: more efficient than that from corn. c. Stop taxing imported biofuels. The peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and he world with an unprecedented risk management problem. As peaking is approached, liquid fuel prices and price volatility will increase dramatically, and, without timely mitigation, the economic, social, and political costs will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have substantial impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of peaking. --Robert L. Hirsch, et al, Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation and Risk Management, Science Applications International, for the U.S. Dept. of Energy
  • 3. SUSTAINABLE MONTEREY COUNTY WHAT CAN GOVERNMENTS DO TO HELP? They can stop making the problem worse, for one Specific things I would like to see governments do thing: They subsidize roads include the following: heavily, while leaving rail transport to fall apart. They 1. A crash program to fund energy research and development. subsidize American corn- a. Energy storage options including compressed air, flywheels, batteries, based ethanol, while taxing etc. b. Advanced biofuels including oil-bearing algae, cellulosic ethanol and cane-based ethanol from genetically engineered organisms. Brazil. They publish highly c. More efficient automotive technology, including continuously variable misleading and overly transmissions, diesel hybrids, plug-in hybrids, efficient regenerative optimistic projections of braking, and more. future oil production, and d. Promote development of energy saving devices that can be retrofitted to existing motor vehicles. have since at least 50 years e. Advanced photovoltaic technology ago. They promote f. Stage competitions and award prizes for key energy breakthroughs. unworkable long-lead 2. Incentives, subsidies, taxes and all that schemes like using a. Stop funding new highway construction. hydrogen as a transportation b. Subsidize railroads at higher funding levels than roads. c. Remove special subsidies for oil companies. fuel, while ignoring d. Remove subsidies for ethanol from corn. technologies that are ready e. Remove taxes on imported ethanol. to be applied starting right f. Levy a tax on gasoline and diesel fuel that assures a predictably rising now. They subsidize oil price—use the proceeds to reduce payroll taxes. companies that are already g. Push power companies to employ cogeneration wherever possible. 3. Regulation and other forms of coercion doing very well. a. Cap carbon emissions and decrease the cap year after year. b. Raise vehicle fuel economy standards. c. Negotiate a treaty along the lines of the “Oil Depletion Protocol” and stick to its terms. d. Relax some regulation for ultralight motor vehicles. e. Stop fighting wars to keep control of other countries’ oil. 4. Information a. Do energy planning in the open and publish the plans. b. Pressure oil producers to allow independent audits of reserves. c. Publish realistic projections of future energy production, rather than fanciful nonsense. Develop new motor vehicle fuel economy tests that are realistic and accurate. Further Reading Peaking of World Oil Production… www.projectcensored.org/newsflash/the_hirsch_report.pdf The Oil Drum http://www.theoildrum.com/ Energy Bulletin http://www.energybulletin.net/ Oil Addiction: The World in Peril, Pierre Chomat The Party’s Over, Richard Heinberg The Long Emergency, James Kunstler Hubbert’s Peak, Kenneth Deffeyes
  • 4. LETTER FROM THE DIRECTOR, CONTACT INFORMATION As you can see, Sustainable Monterey camps; red versus blue, peace versus County's newsletter has a new look! war, growth versus conservation. An MARK FOLSOM: Thank you so much to Adrienne Allen for important note to remember is that we Phone: 831 648 1543 all her contributions. This goes along with must face the issues of oil depletion our new and ongoing efforts. This month together, regardless of political affiliation E-Mail: we had an excellent discussion meeting or economic agenda. We will only folsomman@redshift.net at the Pacific Grove Museum of Natural weather the coming storm as a united History, titled quot;Is Sustainable community. Also, remember that a Development possible in the face of fossil thriving community is dependent on an Steering Committee fuel decline?quot; with guests, Chris Fitz, active local economy. Spend your dollars Members Director of LandWatch Monterey County at a local shop, and sometime this month, Deborah Lindsay, and Ashley Hefner from Sustainable reach over the fence and say hi to your Director Monterey Bay. We are learning that the neighbor. In June, we look at the larger decal@deborahlindsay.com issues of sustainability in our region are implications of Peak Oil, with Mark Ruth Smith, 831-620-1303 broad and multi-layered. No solution is Folsom leading a discussion on the Committee Chair and simple and all require dialogue between political angle of oil at the Central Avenue Budget Chair groups that have been on opposite sides Bakery, see the calendar of events for Virginia Chomat, of the coin for a long time. Our national more details. Cheers! Deborah Lindsay. Secretary and Co-treasurer media have not helped with building Pierre Chomat, bridges between groups. On the contrary, Resident Expert we're generally lumped into one of two Mark Folsom, Newsletter Editor, OIL PRODUCTION AND PRICES IN THE RECENT PAST folsomman@redshift.net George Wilson, The figure below shows that past pauses 831-372-0659 in the rising trend of oil production have Committee Evaluation been preceded by falling prices. Now, Coordinator however, it’s different—production has Denyse Frischmuth, stopped rising, even though prices 831-643-0707 continue to rise sharply. These are not Volunteer Coordinator and normal times for oil production. Urban Environmental Accords Coordinator Robert Frischmuth, Co-Treasurer Program Heads, Annette Chaplin, 831-372-8725 Sustainable Pacific Grove Linda Parker, phone # 831-656-0664 surite@sbcglobal.net Sustainable Big Sur Coast Newsletter Design by Adrienne Allen aa_nixon@comcast.net We’re on the Web! See us at: http://www.postcarbon.org/ groups/monterey