1. Uganda Knowledge Needs for Agricultural Policy and Program Design – A SAKSS Uganda workshop 27 October 2011; Imperial Royale Hotel, Kampala, Uganda Welfare Trends for Uganda’s Smallholder Farming Households Bjorn Van Campenhout – IFPRI, Kampala

2. Poverty or welfare -> real interesting when one starts to compare over space over time Often repeated cross-sections Now also panel data

3. Impressive poverty reduction track record But do smallholder farmers also benefit?

6. What does panel data say? subsistence farmer +0.227US/day wage employed +0.445US/day non-ag enterprise +0.401US/day

7. Green= subsistence Blue= wage earner Red= non-ag enterprise

8. red= subsistence in 2006 and 2009 Green= subsistence in 2006 but not in 2009

9. red= subsistence in 2006 and 2009 blue= non- subsistence in 2006 and 2009

11. Conclusion: smallholders seem to enjoy equal reductions in poverty but they are much poorer to begin with