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@louisdorard
#apisberlin
PredictiveAPIs
–Mike Gualtieri, Principal Analyst at Forrester
“Predictive apps are
the next big thing
in app development.”
–Waqar Hasan, VISA
“Predictive is the ‘killer app’ for
big data.”
1. Machine Learning
2. Data
BUT
–McKinsey & Co.
“A significant constraint on
realizing value from big data
will be a shortage of talent,
particularly of people with
deep expertise in statistics and
machine learning.”
What the @#?~%

is ML?
“How much is this house worth?
— X $”


-> Regression
Bedrooms Bathrooms Surface (foot²) Year built Type Price ($)
3 1 860 1950 house 565,000
3 1 1012 1951 house
2 1.5 968 1976 townhouse 447,000
4 1315 1950 house 648,000
3 2 1599 1964 house
3 2 987 1951 townhouse 790,000
1 1 530 2007 condo 122,000
4 2 1574 1964 house 835,000
4 2001 house 855,000
3 2.5 1472 2005 house
4 3.5 1714 2005 townhouse
Bedrooms Bathrooms Surface (foot²) Year built Type Price ($)
3 1 860 1950 house 565,000
3 1 1012 1951 house
2 1.5 968 1976 townhouse 447,000
4 1315 1950 house 648,000
3 2 1599 1964 house
3 2 987 1951 townhouse 790,000
1 1 530 2007 condo 122,000
4 2 1574 1964 house 835,000
4 2001 house 855,000
3 2.5 1472 2005 house
4 3.5 1714 2005 townhouse
“Which type of email is this?
— Spam/Ham”


-> Classification
WATCH
OUT!
• Need examples of inputs AND outputs
• Need enough examples
??
Predictive APIs
The two phases of machine learning:
• TRAIN a model
• PREDICT with a model
The two methods of predictive APIs:
• TRAIN a model
• PREDICT with a model
The two methods of predictive APIs:
• model = create_model(dataset)
• predicted_output =
create_prediction(model, new_input)
from bigml.api import BigML

# create a model
api = BigML()
source =
api.create_source('training_data.csv')
dataset = api.create_dataset(source)
model = api.create_model(dataset)

# make a prediction
prediction = api.create_prediction(model,
new_input)
print "Predicted output value:
",prediction['object']['output']
http://bit.ly/bigml_wakari
Different needs,
different Predictive APIs
ABSTRACTION
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
ABSTRACTION
Algorithmic APIs:
• ErsatzLabs -> deep learning
• BigML -> decision trees
• Wise.io -> random forests
ABSTRACTION
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
Generic Predictive APIs:
• BigML
• Google Prediction API
• Amazon
• PredicSis
• WolframCloud
ABSTRACTION
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
Text classification APIs:
• uClassify.com
• MonkeyLearn.com
• Cortical.io
ABSTRACTION
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
Problem-specific Predictive APIs:
• Churn: Framed.io, ChurnSpotter.io
• Fraud detection: SiftScience.com
• Lead scoring: Infer.com
• Personal assistant (Siri): Wit.ai
ABSTRACTION
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
Fixed-model Predictive APIs:
• Text: Datumbox.com, Semantria.com
• Vision: Indico, AlchemyAPI.com
• Siri-like: maluuba.com
ABSTRACTION
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
CUSTOMIZATION
Algorithmic
Generic
Generic for text
Problem-specific
Fixed-model
Custom ML

algorithm?
Custom data processing

algorithm?
Data processing
APIfication
MLlib
• “Open source prediction server”
• Based on Spark
• Expose predictive models as (scalable
& robust) APIs
= PAPI+
• Send (new) data
• Send prediction queries
cli = predictionio.EventClient("<my_app_id>")
cli.record_user_action_on_item("view","John","Item")
eng = predictionio.EngineClient("<my_engine_url>")
rec = eng.send_query({"uid":"John","n":5})
Use cases
• Increase e-commerce revenue with recos
• Reduce attrition (“churn”)
• Automate decision making
• Predict real-estate prices w. open data
• Predict crowds (SNCF & La Poste)
• …
papis.io/connect
(discount code: APIDAYS)

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Predictive APIs at APIdays Berlin