Climate change presents a "wicked" problem with many interconnected elements and no clear solution. It fits the criteria of a wicked problem as defined by Rittel and Webber in that it is difficult to define, has no stopping point, and solutions cannot be easily tested. While looking to the past can help inform actions, climate change is part of a larger set of interconnected global issues. Addressing it will require solutions that are holistic rather than focusing on single aspects. Inaction comes at a high cost, so uncertainty should not prevent steps toward managing risks in smarter ways.
1. Climate Change: A Wicked but
Solvable Problem
A Digital Artifact
by Leisa Perch
2. Wicked Problems
• Rittel and Webber (1972) in “Dilemmas in a
General Theory of Planning” defined 10
general criteria.
• Tackling climate change fits these to a “T”.
This presentation shows how.
• Links made with available science and
experiences throughout the course in shaping
this artifact.
3.
4.
5. Explanations and Interests: This is natural for who?
Venice flooding 2008 – Photo by Andrea Pattero/AFP/Getty Images
6. Looking Back can only help so much
Adapted from Climate Change and Sustaining Caribbean Tourism by Mareba Scott, CC and Tourism, BVI, 2007
7. One Issue, Many Elements
Source: Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, WRI, 2003
8. Part of a Much Bigger Problem
National Footprint Accounts, 2011 Edition
10. Not right or wrong: Better or Worse
Exposure to natural disaster
Social Susceptibility
Fe
m
Sub
al e he
ad
ed
sta
nda
rd
Social Resilience
ho
us
hou
eh
ol
d
Nation
sin
g
th
Heal
ing
well-be
(Individual,
status
Low health
re
e a
ron
p
n
tio
uca
d
el e
lev
e
uat
deq
A
Strength of
social capita
l
Household or
as
Community)
er
ast
g
ll
dis
we -bein
n
g i
ic
in
m
Liv
no
co
fe
l o
ve
le
w
Lo
Eco
Ade
qua
t
Measure of social vulnerability
Construct of Social Vulnerability developed by Asha Kambon, 2005
nom
i
c w
ell-bein
g
e le
vels
of h
ous
in
g
13. Failure can be costly…..little room for trial and
error
Heavy rain: the Brazilian town of Jacuipe is swamped by
floodwaters from the Jacuipe River. (AFP: Thiago Sampaio)
Pakistan post flood – displaced families. (All rights
reserved by UNDP Pakistan)
14. Key Messages
Uncertainty
is not an
excuse for
inaction
The
Cos
t of
Too Inact
ion
Hig
is
h
The
responsibility
is ours
Managing Risk
is the SMART
thing to do!