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Data
& Journalism
Lutz Finger

Blog	
  :	
  LutzFinger.com	
  
linkedin.com/in/lutzfinger	
  
	
  
www.facebook.com/lutz.finger	
  
@LutzFinger	
  
The philosophy of the day is

data-ism.
- DAVID BROOKS
Why this Hype?
Google Searches for “big data”

30+ Petabytes
of usergenerated Data

4TB = 11 million
PDF of images
in 24 HOURS

75 Million
events
Per day

1) MORE Data - “big data”
2) Better Technology
Source:	
  WikiBon	
  &	
  Google	
  Trends	
  –	
  Apr.	
  2013	
  
Definition – 5 V’s of “big Data”
Volume	
  

Variety	
  

Data at Scale
(TB, PB,… )

Data in many Forms
(Structured,
Unstructured, ..)

Velocity	
  
Speed
(Streaming, Real
Time, Near Time, ..)

Veracity	
  
Uncertainty
(imprecise, not always
up-to-date ..)

Value	
  
BIG Data is Hype… go to SMALL data
small as in…
Seizing	
  market	
  opportuniPes	
  

Holding	
  on	
  to	
  customers	
  

CompePng	
  more	
  effecPvely	
  

BoosPng	
  financial	
  performance	
  
0%	
  

10%	
  

20%	
  

30%	
  

40%	
  

50%	
  

60%	
  

70%	
  

Survey	
  from	
  C-­‐Level	
  by	
  The	
  Economist	
  Intelligence	
  Unit	
  -­‐	
  2013	
  
Be Aware: Social Media

Data
vs.

Usage
Predicting Osama Bin Laden’s Location

200	
  km	
  

Source:	
  TwiZer	
  &	
  University	
  of	
  Tennessee	
  
Find Influencer
INFLUENCER = EXPERT
•  Opinion leaders (Katz 1955)
•  Influentials (Merton 1968)
•  Law of the Few (Gladwell 2000)
A few person decide what we do…
There are no universal influencers.
It’s a myth.
The Reality: Influence is Homophily
Influence is
often
overestimated.

• 
• 
• 
• 

4 years
1001 Students on Facebook
traditional Self-reported Data
How did taste Spread

Source:	
  Kevin	
  Lewisa,	
  Marco	
  Gonzaleza	
  and	
  Jason	
  
Kaufman	
  (2012):	
  PNAS	
  Vol	
  109,	
  no	
  1	
  

It needs:
•  Reach
•  Readiness
•  Topic
Dependence
REACH is the KNOWN Game
•  Aja Dior M.?
•  AP News?
Aja Dior M.
omgg, my aunt tiffany who work for
whitney houston just found whitney
houston dead in the tub. such ashamed
& sad :(

45 min
How to measure Reach?
How to measure Reach
Only Twitter
What will that
Mean for the rest?
Engagement as Factor

No Name

No Name
Many tools offer Engagement Metrics

Taken	
  from	
  Social	
  Bakers	
  
Predict
Be there before the story breaks

Study	
  by	
  Fisheye	
  AnalyPcs	
  
Facebook Parties

Study	
  by	
  Fisheye	
  AnalyPcs	
  
Prediction is difficult – especially
about the future.
Nils Bohr
Political Prediction

Kirsten	
  Long	
  &	
  Rachel	
  Van	
  Dongen,	
  PoliPco,	
  Dec	
  12	
  	
  

1. Santorum 2. Romney (-8 votes) 3. Paul (-3.000 votes)
Deep Water Horizon & Social Outreach
What is
wrong
here?

Study	
  by	
  Fisheye	
  AnalyPcs	
  
Content Validation
Many have an interest to reach YOU …
Sometimes with Bots
Bots are easy to create…
@you malware.com
@you-as-well malware.com
D fresh-contact malware.com
Networks try to act…

2011
20% detection

2012

2013
7% SPAM
But they are hard to identify
Social Friend

@JamesMTitus

Knowledge

Lajello

Silent Influencer

@Al_AGW
Example: Online Reviews

Arjun	
  Mukherjee	
  et.al.	
  	
  
Tools
Timing is Everything
Search	
  Frequency	
  

Max.	
  every	
  Monday	
  

Min.	
  every	
  Saturday	
  

“Job”	
  

Search	
  Frequency	
  

Max.	
  every	
  Saturday	
  

Max.	
  every	
  Sunday	
  

What	
  are	
  the	
  SEARCH	
  terms?	
  
Source:	
  Google	
  Trends	
  
Mood of the nation

Study	
  by	
  Fisheye	
  AnalyPcs	
  
Tools for Content discovery

Source:	
  Tame.it	
  
News of the World
10th June 2011:

2.6 million readers
Ready to Switch?
Indicated
desire to
switch
1%

Former
NOTW
subscribers
4%

had to look for a new SUNDAY paper

To Which Sunday Paper?
Star on Sunday
General / Misc
9%
5%
Sunday Sport Standard
2%
The Observer
2%
Daily star on
Sunday Star
Sunday
2%
15%
Sunday Time
7%

95% no info on switching

Sunday Herald
2%

Daily Mail
22%

Sun On
Sunday
8%
Sunday Mirror
26%

Timeframe:	
  Jul	
  2011	
  

Study	
  by	
  Fisheye	
  AnalyPcs	
  
Analyze by Audience

Source:	
  PeerIndex	
  
Automate Monitoring
Difficulty of Keyword Setup
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Data and Journalism

  • 2. Lutz Finger Blog  :  LutzFinger.com   linkedin.com/in/lutzfinger     www.facebook.com/lutz.finger   @LutzFinger  
  • 3. The philosophy of the day is data-ism. - DAVID BROOKS
  • 4. Why this Hype? Google Searches for “big data” 30+ Petabytes of usergenerated Data 4TB = 11 million PDF of images in 24 HOURS 75 Million events Per day 1) MORE Data - “big data” 2) Better Technology Source:  WikiBon  &  Google  Trends  –  Apr.  2013  
  • 5. Definition – 5 V’s of “big Data” Volume   Variety   Data at Scale (TB, PB,… ) Data in many Forms (Structured, Unstructured, ..) Velocity   Speed (Streaming, Real Time, Near Time, ..) Veracity   Uncertainty (imprecise, not always up-to-date ..) Value  
  • 6. BIG Data is Hype… go to SMALL data
  • 7. small as in… Seizing  market  opportuniPes   Holding  on  to  customers   CompePng  more  effecPvely   BoosPng  financial  performance   0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%   Survey  from  C-­‐Level  by  The  Economist  Intelligence  Unit  -­‐  2013  
  • 8. Be Aware: Social Media Data vs. Usage
  • 9. Predicting Osama Bin Laden’s Location 200  km   Source:  TwiZer  &  University  of  Tennessee  
  • 11. INFLUENCER = EXPERT •  Opinion leaders (Katz 1955) •  Influentials (Merton 1968) •  Law of the Few (Gladwell 2000)
  • 12. A few person decide what we do…
  • 13. There are no universal influencers. It’s a myth.
  • 14. The Reality: Influence is Homophily Influence is often overestimated. •  •  •  •  4 years 1001 Students on Facebook traditional Self-reported Data How did taste Spread Source:  Kevin  Lewisa,  Marco  Gonzaleza  and  Jason   Kaufman  (2012):  PNAS  Vol  109,  no  1   It needs: •  Reach •  Readiness •  Topic Dependence
  • 15. REACH is the KNOWN Game •  Aja Dior M.? •  AP News? Aja Dior M. omgg, my aunt tiffany who work for whitney houston just found whitney houston dead in the tub. such ashamed & sad :( 45 min
  • 16. How to measure Reach?
  • 17. How to measure Reach Only Twitter What will that Mean for the rest?
  • 18. Engagement as Factor No Name No Name
  • 19. Many tools offer Engagement Metrics Taken  from  Social  Bakers  
  • 21. Be there before the story breaks Study  by  Fisheye  AnalyPcs  
  • 22. Facebook Parties Study  by  Fisheye  AnalyPcs  
  • 23. Prediction is difficult – especially about the future. Nils Bohr
  • 24. Political Prediction Kirsten  Long  &  Rachel  Van  Dongen,  PoliPco,  Dec  12     1. Santorum 2. Romney (-8 votes) 3. Paul (-3.000 votes)
  • 25. Deep Water Horizon & Social Outreach What is wrong here? Study  by  Fisheye  AnalyPcs  
  • 27. Many have an interest to reach YOU …
  • 29. Bots are easy to create… @you malware.com @you-as-well malware.com D fresh-contact malware.com
  • 30. Networks try to act… 2011 20% detection 2012 2013 7% SPAM
  • 31. But they are hard to identify Social Friend @JamesMTitus Knowledge Lajello Silent Influencer @Al_AGW
  • 32. Example: Online Reviews Arjun  Mukherjee  et.al.    
  • 33. Tools
  • 34. Timing is Everything Search  Frequency   Max.  every  Monday   Min.  every  Saturday   “Job”   Search  Frequency   Max.  every  Saturday   Max.  every  Sunday   What  are  the  SEARCH  terms?   Source:  Google  Trends  
  • 35. Mood of the nation Study  by  Fisheye  AnalyPcs  
  • 36. Tools for Content discovery Source:  Tame.it  
  • 37. News of the World 10th June 2011: 2.6 million readers Ready to Switch? Indicated desire to switch 1% Former NOTW subscribers 4% had to look for a new SUNDAY paper To Which Sunday Paper? Star on Sunday General / Misc 9% 5% Sunday Sport Standard 2% The Observer 2% Daily star on Sunday Star Sunday 2% 15% Sunday Time 7% 95% no info on switching Sunday Herald 2% Daily Mail 22% Sun On Sunday 8% Sunday Mirror 26% Timeframe:  Jul  2011   Study  by  Fisheye  AnalyPcs  
  • 38. Analyze by Audience Source:  PeerIndex