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My favorite
 Black Swan
 quotes




Images: www.sxc.hu – “The Black Swan” was written by N.N. Taleb
Nobody
      Knows
   What’s
Going
      On
We don’t learn
rules,      just

facts




We tend to learn the precise, not the general…
The Platonic fold is the explosive
boundary where the Platonic mindset
enters in contact with the messy
reality, where the gap between what
you know and what you think you
know becomes dangerously wide.
Ideas come and go –
stories stay




Metaphors and stories are far more potent (alas) than
ideas; they are easier to remember and more fun to read.
We tend to treat our knowledge
as personal property to be
protected and defended.
The minds of the gods
can not be read by just
watching their deeds.
Categorizing always produces
reduction in true complexity
There is nothing interesting
about the details of the
business world, which is


inelegant, dull,
pompous, greedy,
unintellectual,
selfish and
boring
The great strength of the free-
market system is the fact that
company executives


don’t
 need to know
   what’s
      going on
Most [financial] traders are
“picking pennies in front of a
                  steamroller”
exposing themselves to the high-impact
          rare event yet sleeping like
                babies, unaware of it.
minimal but
[Organize yourself] to do
intense work,       never attend business
“meetings”, avoid the company of “achievers” and
people in suits who don’t read books.
America is currently far more creative
    than these nations of museumgoers and
                        equation solvers.




It is also far more tolerant of
bottom-up tinkering and
undirected trial and error.
Mediocristan is where we must
endure the tyranny of the
collective, the routine, the
obvious and the predicted;




           Extremistan is where we are
           subjected to the tyranny of
                     the singular, the
          accidently, the unseen and the
For their lending business,

             dull
banks hire            people and
train them to be even more dull.
crippling
We harbor a
   dislike for the
         abstract.
The media seem to
       want to be


wrong with
  infinite
 precision

      (instead of
  accepting being
    approximately
           right)
A nerd is simply someone who
thinks exceedingly
inside the box
Information is

   BAD
for knowledge
When you are employed, hence
dependent on other people’s
judgment, looking busy can help
you claim responsibility for the
results in a random environment.
News shared with
         no
millions has
added value



Additional knowledge of
the minutiae of daily
business can be useless,
even actually toxic.
The problem with experts
is that they do not know
 what they do not know.
It is often said that
“is wise who can see
things coming”




                   Perhaps the wise one
                   is the one who knows
                  that he can not see
                        things far away.
Discoverers are
  sleepwalkers
stumbling upon
 results and not
 realizing what they
have in their hands.
We build toys.
Some of those toys
change the world.
… a strange activity called the business
meeting, in which well-fed, but
sedentary, men voluntarily restrict
their blood circulation with an
expensive device called a necktie.
Don’t ask the barber whether
you need a haircut…




  and don’t ask an
  academic if what he
  does is relevant.
Maximize the
 serendipity
  around you
American culture encourages the process of
failure, unlike the cultures of Europe and
Asia where failure is met with
stigma and embarrassment
The electricity blackout
experienced in the States
in 2003 is a perfect
example of what could
take place if one
of the big banks
went under today
In the last 50 years, the
ten most extreme days
in the financial markets

represent


half the returns
Worry less about
embarrassment than
about missing an opportunity

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My favorite "Black Swan" quotes

  • 1. My favorite Black Swan quotes Images: www.sxc.hu – “The Black Swan” was written by N.N. Taleb
  • 2. Nobody Knows What’s Going On
  • 3. We don’t learn rules, just facts We tend to learn the precise, not the general…
  • 4. The Platonic fold is the explosive boundary where the Platonic mindset enters in contact with the messy reality, where the gap between what you know and what you think you know becomes dangerously wide.
  • 5. Ideas come and go – stories stay Metaphors and stories are far more potent (alas) than ideas; they are easier to remember and more fun to read.
  • 6. We tend to treat our knowledge as personal property to be protected and defended.
  • 7. The minds of the gods can not be read by just watching their deeds.
  • 9. There is nothing interesting about the details of the business world, which is inelegant, dull, pompous, greedy, unintellectual, selfish and boring
  • 10. The great strength of the free- market system is the fact that company executives don’t need to know what’s going on
  • 11. Most [financial] traders are “picking pennies in front of a steamroller” exposing themselves to the high-impact rare event yet sleeping like babies, unaware of it.
  • 12. minimal but [Organize yourself] to do intense work, never attend business “meetings”, avoid the company of “achievers” and people in suits who don’t read books.
  • 13. America is currently far more creative than these nations of museumgoers and equation solvers. It is also far more tolerant of bottom-up tinkering and undirected trial and error.
  • 14. Mediocristan is where we must endure the tyranny of the collective, the routine, the obvious and the predicted; Extremistan is where we are subjected to the tyranny of the singular, the accidently, the unseen and the
  • 15. For their lending business, dull banks hire people and train them to be even more dull.
  • 16. crippling We harbor a dislike for the abstract.
  • 17. The media seem to want to be wrong with infinite precision (instead of accepting being approximately right)
  • 18. A nerd is simply someone who thinks exceedingly inside the box
  • 19. Information is BAD for knowledge
  • 20. When you are employed, hence dependent on other people’s judgment, looking busy can help you claim responsibility for the results in a random environment.
  • 21. News shared with no millions has added value Additional knowledge of the minutiae of daily business can be useless, even actually toxic.
  • 22. The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know.
  • 23. It is often said that “is wise who can see things coming” Perhaps the wise one is the one who knows that he can not see things far away.
  • 24. Discoverers are sleepwalkers stumbling upon results and not realizing what they have in their hands.
  • 25. We build toys. Some of those toys change the world.
  • 26. … a strange activity called the business meeting, in which well-fed, but sedentary, men voluntarily restrict their blood circulation with an expensive device called a necktie.
  • 27. Don’t ask the barber whether you need a haircut… and don’t ask an academic if what he does is relevant.
  • 29. American culture encourages the process of failure, unlike the cultures of Europe and Asia where failure is met with stigma and embarrassment
  • 30. The electricity blackout experienced in the States in 2003 is a perfect example of what could take place if one of the big banks went under today
  • 31. In the last 50 years, the ten most extreme days in the financial markets represent half the returns
  • 32. Worry less about embarrassment than about missing an opportunity