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August, 2009

                                  Financing – Overview

                                  Abu Dhabi




                                              CONFIDENTIAL
Copyright © 2009 Mahender Bisht
Contents




I.    Capital Structure

II.   Financing Options

III. Financing Process

IV. Financing in Middle East




                               2
Capital Structure
The Need for Capital


 The goal of a Firm is Value Creation

                                            Revenue




                                                                                   Value
     Investment
                                                                                  Creation




                                Working    Raw materials
               Capital assets                               Labor         Taxes
                                capital    and supplies



 Value is measured by the Cash produced by a firm
 A firm must generate Revenues to produce Cash
 Revenue generation requires Capital to establish and operate the firm‟s business


                                                                                             3
Capital Structure
Sources of Capital


 A Firm‟s Capital requirement can be met externally or internally

                                        Capital provided by a third-party
                          Debt          Allows first-claim on cash generated by the Firm
                                        Obligation to repay a fixed amount by a certain date
       External
       Capital
                                        Capital provided by the owner(s) of the Firm
                        Owner’s
                         Equity         Gives Owner(s) full claim on the Firm‟s earnings,
                                         after payment to debtor(s)



                                        Capital generated by the Firm and retained after
       Internal         Retained         payment to external capital providers
       Capital          Earnings
                                        Most preferred source of financing, if available



 Other sources of capital also exist, depending on business situation
     ‒ For example, factoring (selling account receivables), asset liquidation, working capital
       (delaying supplier payments, securing advance payments from customers) etc.


                                                                                                  4
Capital Structure
 Cost of Capital


  Given the availability of different capital sources, cost of capital becomes a key
   determinant for choosing the capital source
  Cost of Capital has financial as well as non-financial aspects


               Equity                             Debt                         Retained Earnings

   High financial cost – equity     Lower financial cost than           Minimal financial cost
    holders carry high risk and       equity                              Reduces the dividend
    hence demand appropriate         Reduces agency costs                 payment to equity holders
    payment
                                       ‒ Managers must choose             Introduces agency cost
   Introduces agency costs              projects that deliver returns      ‒ Managers may select
     ‒ Managers may select               sufficient to service debt           negative NPV projects over
       negative NPV projects over    Introduces Bankruptcy costs             positive NPV projects to
       positive NPV projects to                                               minimize own effort and
       minimize own effort and         ‒ Firm might be forced to
                                         liquidate assets or give-up          risk
       risk
                                         control in case of missed        Zero transaction costs and
                                         debt-service payments             easily available
                                     Increases firm value by
                                      amount of tax-deductible
                                      interest payment
  Least                                                                                               Most
preferred                                                                                           preferred


                                                                                                                5
Capital Structure
Optimal Capital Structure


 The value of the firm can be thought of as a pie
                                                                            30%
 The goal of the manager is to increase the size of the pie                Equity
  (from equity holder‟s perspective)
                                                                         70%
 Everything else the same, cost of capital employed can                 Debt
  increase the value of the firm

 The most appropriate measure of a Firm‟s capital cost is the Weighted Average Cost
  of Capital (WACC)


        The Weighted Average Cost of
         Capital (WACC) measures the                 WACC        Value
         cost of each component of
         financing
           – e.g. debt and equity
                                                     WACC        Value
           – weighted by its relative size




                                                                                       6
Capital Structure
Optimal Capital Structure (contd.)


 The Optimal Capital Structure minimizes the WACC and hence maximizes the
  firm value

                                                           Ke                    Ke = Cost of Equity
                                                                                 Kd = Cost of Debt
                                                           WACC

 Capital                                                   Kd
 Costs




                                                                Debt as % of
                                                                market value



  A change in leverage changes the risk profile and Cost of Capital of the firm
  Even though Cost of Debt is lower, the benefits of borrowing have to be weighed off against
   the cost of higher leverage
       ‒ Inability to service debt may lead to financial distress and ultimate liquidation




                                                                                                       7
Contents




I.    Capital Structure

II.   Financing Options

III. Financing Process

IV. Financing in Middle East




                               8
Financing Options
Debt Finance



             Basic loan – contract between a borrower and a lender (typically a bank)
             Syndicated loan – contract between a borrower and a syndicate (group) of lenders

 Loans       Typically short terms (less than 5 years) with principal repayment typically during the bond‟s life
              (on a regular basis)
             Can be publicly traded or be used as collaterals for other structured products by the lenders


             Issued by a Company (or Government) directly to Investors (or public)
             Can be traded on public exchange

 Bonds       Typically longer terms (5 yr, 10 yr, 30 yr)
             Typically principal repayment at the end of bond term



             Typically an agreement with a between a buyer and a supplier to use assets without upfront
              payment
             Repayment during the term of the lease
 Lease
             Can be Operating lease (off-balance sheet) if term is shorter than the useful life of asset leased




                                                                                                                    9
Debt Finance
Key Characteristics of Debt

                     Fixed rate – guaranteed payment amounts throughout debt term
    Coupon /         Floating rate – typically, reference rate (e.g. T-bonds) + spread
  Interest rate      Zero coupon – no interest payments; debt sold at a discount to face value


                     Coupon payment dates (monthly / quarterly / semi-annually / annually)
   Payment
                     Principal repayment – at the end of term or with coupon payments
   schedule

                     Secured debt: asset-backed, mortgage-backed
                     Non-recourse debt: claim limited to collateral used as security
    Security
                     Unsecured debt: no collateral


                     Order in which creditors can lay claim on borrower‟s asset in case of liquidation
                      ‒ Senior debt: Priority over other unsecured debt
     Status           ‒ Subordinated debt: Lower priority than senior debt
                      ‒ Mezzanine debt: Lower priority that other debt but higher than common shares

                     Agreements to protect debt-holders
 Covenants /          ‒ Negative covenants restrict debtor from taking certain actions (e.g. issuing more
                         senior debt)
Call Provisions
                      ‒ Positive covenants encourage debtor to take certain actions (e.g. use asset-sale
                         proceeds to buy other assets only)



                                                                                                            10
Financing Options
Equity Finance

 Equity
  – Basic types of equity
    - Preferred stock
    - Common stock
  – Basic characteristics of equity
    - Terms of preferred stock
      - Liquidation value
      - Dividend preference
    - Terms of common stock




                                      11
Contents




I.    Capital Structure

II.   Financing Options

III. Financing Process

IV. Financing in Middle East




                               12
Financing process
Overview


 The process of obtaining Finance depends on the type of finance


 As a first step, target capital structure (Debt / Equity ratio) must be defined
  – Appropriate finance (Debt or Equity) should be issued to meet capital structure


 External equity is typically raised via
  – Initial Public Offering
  – Equity Private Placement
  – Private Equity / Venture Capital


 External Debt is typically raised via
  – Debt Private Placement
  – Public Bond Offering


 In this section, we cover the process of raising External Debt




                                                                                      13
Debt Financing
 Process overview



       Advisor selection                      Credit Rating                               Debt offering



   Strategy &                               Rating
                    Due Diligence
   Preparation                             decision

 Information      Rating agency       Information
  gathering         presentation         gathering
 Rating agency    Due diligence by    Due diligence
  selection         Rating agency
                                        Rating agency
                   Meeting with         selection
                    rating analysts
                                                            Strategy             Preparation           Issuance


                                                        Decide on debt        Appoint issue       Secure
                                                         requirements           managers /           commitments
                                                         (size, maturity,       underwriter          from participants
                                                         service capability
                                                                               Prepare support     Finalize issue
                                                         etc)
                                                                                materials            size by tranche
                                                        Secure approval
                                                                               Prepare bid book    Legal & financial
                                                         from board of
                                                                                                     documentation
                                                         directors

    The same process applies to both public and private debt placement

                                                                                                                       14
Raising Debt                                                                        Advisor selection
                                                                                                        Credit
                                                                                                        Rating
                                                                                                                  Debt
                                                                                                                 offering




What is Credit Rating?


 A credit rating assesses the credit worthiness of an individual, corporation, or even a country.
  Credit ratings are calculated from financial history and current assets and liabilities

  – Sovereign rating: Assess the country credit risk; used as a point of reference for country
    borrowings from WB, IMF, ADB, IDB

  – Entity rating: Risk rating of Corporate entities

  – Instrument rating: Rating of the bonds issued by different corporations and municipalities


 A credit rating tells a lender or investor the probability of the subject being able to pay back a loan
 Poor credit rating indicates a high risk of defaulting on a loan, and thus leads to high interest rates


 Major Credit Rating Companies:
  – Standard & Poor‟s
  – Moody‟s
  – Fitch Ratings



                                                                                                                            15
Credit Rating
Benefits of Credit Rating


 Investors use ratings in several different ways, which provide value to Issuers also


 For Investors, Credit ratings are:
  – A source of additional certification
  – A source that forewarns risk
  – A guide for pricing securities


 For Issuers, Credit ratings:
  – Increase the investor population
  – Encourage financial discipline within the organization
  – Lower the cost of borrowing
  – Provide a marketing tool
  – Make foreign collaborations easy


 In summary, Credit ratings benefit the industry as a whole




                                                                                         16
Credit Rating
The process to get „rated‟

 Obtaining a Credit Rating for the first time is a 3-step process

                                             Issuer /                          Credit Rating
                                            Borrower                             Agency


                                                                          Assigns analytical team,
                                       Requests for a Rating
          Step 1: Strategy &                                              conducts basic research
             Preparation
                                                                              Collects additional
                                        Prepares documents
                                                                                 information



                                                   Rating presentations, site visits,
         Step 2: Due Diligence                         management meetings


                                                      Rating Committee assigns
                                                               rating
                                                                                          Appeal Rating decision
                                                                                              (if required)
        Step 3: Rating decision                      Communication of Rating to
          & Communication                                   Issuers

                                                        Dissemination of rating /
                                                              publication


           Follow-up step:                               Surveillance & Annual
           Constant Review                                       Review




                                                                                                                   17
Credit Rating
Rating methodology


 Rating Agencies follow a rigorous methodology to assess Issuers seeking rating

  – Financial and legal due diligence

  – Site visits

  – One-on-one meetings with management and key personnel

 Following major factors are assessed in the Credit Rating process:


            Non-Financial factors                                      Financial factors


  Industry Risk                                         Earning & performance

  Market position                                       Cash flows

  Ownership & support                                   Capital & Debt structure

  Management Evaluation                                 Funding & Flexibility

  Corporate Governance



                                                                                           18
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                                           Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                                           Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                                               




                                                                                        
                                                                                            Ownership & support




                                                                                            Management Evaluation
                                                                                                                         




                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                             Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                                             Funding & Flexibility




Industry Risk assessment – Key considerations                                              Corporate Governance




 Economic importance of the industry to the country

 Potential for support

 Employment significance

 Industrial relations record

 Significance of legislation: protective / harmful, relationship with government

 Maturity of the industry

 International competition

 Barriers to Entry

 Competitive situation domestically: monopoly, oligopoly, fragmentation

 Nature of the industry: capital intensity, product lifespan, marketing requirements

 Cyclic factors: demand, supply, implications for price volatility

 Industry cost & revenue structure: susceptibility to energy prices, interest rate levels, government
  policies (subsidies etc)

 Important developments and trends in the industry


                                                                                                                                                     19
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                                            Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                                            Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                                                




                                                                                         
                                                                                             Ownership & support




                                                                                             Management Evaluation
                                                                                                                          




                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                              Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                                              Funding & Flexibility




Market position assessment – Key considerations                                             Corporate Governance




 Competitive position within the industry: size, market share & trend, price-setting ability

 Major product importance

 Product lives and competition

 Degree of product diversification

 Significance of R&D expenditure and of new product development

 Geographic diversity of sales and production

 Significance of major customers

 Dependence on major suppliers and access to alternatives

 Marketing needs

 Distribution network, control and susceptibility to external factors

 What are growth trends, and sources of growth?




                                                                                                                                                      20
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                            Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                            Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                




                                                         
                                                             Ownership & support




                                                             Management Evaluation
                                                                                          




                                                                                          
                                                                                              Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                              Funding & Flexibility




Ownership & Support assessment – Key considerations         Corporate Governance




 The specific issues include:

  – Ownership of the entity

  – Relationship with the owners, autonomy, control

  – Financial strength of the owner(s)

  – Potential for support and / or fund withdrawals

  – Structure of ownership

  – Other benefits: access to technology, products etc

  – Access to capital markets




                                                                                                                      21
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                          Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                          Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                              




                                                                       
                                                                           Ownership & support




                                                                           Management Evaluation
                                                                                                        




                                                                                                        
                                                                                                            Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                            Funding & Flexibility




Management evaluation – Key considerations                                Corporate Governance




 The specific issues include:

  – Record to date in financial terms

  – Corporate goals and outlook: aggressive stance, attitude to risk

  – Experience, background and credibility

  – Depth of management: key individuals, succession

  – Record compared with peers




                                                                                                                                    22
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                                      Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                                      Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                                          




                                                                                   
                                                                                       Ownership & support




                                                                                       Management Evaluation
                                                                                                                    




                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                        Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                                        Funding & Flexibility




Corporate Governance assessment – Key considerations                                  Corporate Governance




 The independence and effectiveness of the Board of Directors

 Oversight of related party transactions that may lead to conflicts of interest

 Board oversight of the audit function

 Executive and Director remuneration

 Complex holding company structures

 Ownership by private individuals and families

 Other aspects of Corporate governance whose impact on bondholders is less clear-cut – e.g.
  ownership by executives and directors




                                                                                                                                                23
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                                            Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                                            Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                                                




                                                                                         
                                                                                             Ownership & support




                                                                                             Management Evaluation
                                                                                                                          




                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                              Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                                              Funding & Flexibility




Earnings & Performance assessment – Key considerations                                      Corporate Governance




 Consistency and trend of core earnings

 Earnings mix by activity and geography

 Exceptional and extraordinary items: non-recurring impacts of past earning levels

 True earnings available for cash flow: equity accounting, restrictions on profit repatriation

 Internal growth vs acquired earnings

 Profitability and protection measures

 Profit margins

 Interest and pre-tax coverage measures

 Dividend cover, payment levels and future policy

 Taxation situation – effective tax rate, specific relief

 Sufficiency of retained earnings to finance growth internally




                                                                                                                                                      24
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                                           Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                                           Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                                               




                                                                                        
                                                                                            Ownership & support




                                                                                            Management Evaluation
                                                                                                                         




                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                             Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                                             Funding & Flexibility




Cash Flows assessment – Key considerations                                                 Corporate Governance




 Relationship of cash flows to leverage and ability to internally meet all cash requirements is
  evaluated. The volatility of cash flow over time and the impact of seasonality on cash flow is also
  assessed


 The specific issues include:
  – Adequacy of cash flows to maintain the operating capacity of the business: working capital
    levels, replacement of fixed assets etc
  – Contribution from cash flow towards expansion – major capital spending projects, acquisitions
  – Discretionary spending included in cash flow including advertising, exploration, research &
    development, etc
  – Volatility of cash flow over time
  – Relationship between cash flow and total debt
  – Restrictions on cash flow: limits on repatriation, potential tax effects, access to dividends from
    subsidiaries
  – Liquidity levels and fluctuations: seasonality, sensitivities
  – Working capital management and measurements




                                                                                                                                                     25
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                                          Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                                          Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                                              




                                                                                       
                                                                                           Ownership & support




                                                                                           Management Evaluation
                                                                                                                        




                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                            Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                                            Funding & Flexibility




Capital & Debt Structure assessment – Key considerations                                  Corporate Governance




 Debt / Equity measures: historic, present and projected
 Leverage (total liabilities / equity) measures: historic, present and projected
 Sensitivity analysis on projected levels
 Seasonal variations
 Coverage measures on interest and leasing
 Adjustment for off-balance sheet items
 Appropriateness of capital structure for the business: over-reliance on short-term
  funding, sensitivity to interest rate changes
 Debt structure: Type, maturity, currency, service schedule, covenants, security, default clause




                                                                                                                                                    26
Non-Financial factors               Financial factors




                                                                                            Industry Risk                   Earning & performance




                                                                                            Market position                 Cash flows




Credit Rating Methodology                                                                




                                                                                         
                                                                                             Ownership & support




                                                                                             Management Evaluation
                                                                                                                          




                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                              Capital & Debt structure




                                                                                                                              Funding & Flexibility




Funding & Flexibility assessment – Key considerations                                       Corporate Governance




 Flexibility of planned financial needs: capital spending, dividend levels, acquisitions etc
 Ability to raise additional financing under stress
 Back-up and standby lines of credit: periods and covenants of underwriting facilities and committed
  lines, bank relationships generally
 Ability to attract capital: shareholder make-up, access to equity markets
 Capital commitments
 Margin of safety in present and planned gearing / leverage levels
 Asset make-up: nature of assets and potential for reductions or disposals under stress, scalable
  units
 Off-balance sheet assets and liabilities: goodwill or other intangibles written off, undervalued
  assets, pension under funding




                                                                                                                                                      27
Credit Rating
Due diligence – Documents required


Indicative summary of required documents


               Company Profile                                  Financial Section


  Overview of Company history                     3 years (ideally, but Rating Agencies flexible
  Shareholder structure                            on this point) of consolidated IFRS audited
                                                    financial accounts, including P&L, Balance
  Corporate organizational and legal charts        Sheet, Cash Flow Statement and notes
  Breakdown of main business areas                Consolidated Business Plan for the next 5
   (Revenues, Earnings, Cash flow, Assets)          years, including assumptions, management
  Information about specific projects              discussion and detailed description of P&L,
                                                    Cash Flow and Balance Sheet projections
  Detailed description of the Media / Real
   Estate sector in the region, including legal    Description of capital expenditure plans and
   framework evolution                              funding policy
  Management and future strategy (e.g.            Description of cash management policy and
   growth ambitions)                                liquidity overview (existing bank credit lines
                                                    etc)
                                                   Overview of financial contingencies
                                                   Current and target capital structure




                                                                                                     28
Raising Debt
Debt Offering process

 Issuing debt (or any public security) is a complicated and tedious process

                                            Issuer /
                                                                                Underwriter
                                           Borrower


                                        Secures Board of                     Proposes best debt
                                        Director approval                        structure
           Step 1: Strategy


                                                       Draft offering prospectus


                                                     File registration statement
                                                    with listing body (if required)


          Step 2: Preparation                       Define an issue price (guide)


                                                     Identify potential investors /
                                                         and host road show


                                                       Prepare bid book / record
                                                                orders


           Step 3: Issuance                            Decide size of issue and
                                                              final price


                                                    Complete legal and financial
                                                         documentation


                                                                                                  29
Debt Offering
General cash offering


 Almost all debt is sold in general cash offerings


 There are two methods for issuing securities for cash:

  – Firm Commitment
    - Under a firm commitment underwriting, the investment bank buys the securities outright from
       the issuing firm
    - Obviously, they need to make a profit, so they buy at “wholesale” and try to resell at “retail”
    - To minimize their risk, the investment bankers combine to form an underwriting syndicate to
       share the risk and help sell the issue to other investors / public

  – Best Efforts
    - Under a best efforts underwriting, the underwriter does not buy the issue from the issuing firm
    - Instead, the underwriter acts as an agent, receiving a commission for each unit sold, and
      using its “best efforts” to sell the entire issue




                                                                                                        30
Contents




I.    Capital Structure

II.   Financing Options

III. Financing Process

IV. Financing in Middle East




                               31
Debt-Financing in Abu Dhabi
         2009 YTD major activity

                                  2007 - 2008                                               2009 YTD

                      Lebanon, Other, 9%                                               Bahrain, 6                 Saudi
                         3%                                                               %                      Arabia, 2            Abu Dhabi borrowers
                                                                                                                    %
                   Egypt, 4%               Saudi
                                                                                                                                       have been the most
                                         Arabia, 20                                                                                    active in the market
                                             %
                                                                                                                                       (2009 YTD)
                            Rest of                                                  Qatar, 36         Abu
                           UAE, 24%                                                     %            Dhabi, 56
                                           Dubai, 40                                                    %
                                              %




               Date                         Issuer                 Credit rating *               Amount                Term (years)         Coupon    Spread

           Mar 2009            Abu Dhabi Government               Aa2 / AA / AA           $ 1,500 million        5 yr (Apr – 2014)         5.500 %   T + 400

           Mar 2009            Abu Dhabi government               AA2 / AA / AA           $ 1,500 million        10 yr (Apr – 2019)        6.750 %   T + 420

           May 2009            Mubadala Development Co.           Aa2 / AA / AA           US $1,250m             5-yr (May – 2014)         5.750 %   T + 395

           May 2009            Mubadala Development Co.           Aa2 / AA / AA           US $500m               10 yr (May – 2019)        7.625 %   T + 462.5

           May 2009            Aldar Properties                   A3 / A- / NR            US$1,250m              5-yr (May – 2014)         8.750 %   N/A

           Jun 2009            Tourism Development &              Aa2 / AA / AA           US$1,000m              5-yr (Jun – 2014)         6.500 %   T + 390
                               Infrastructure Company (TDIC)

           Jul 2009            Dolphin Energy Ltd.                Aa3 / NR / A+           US$ 1,250m             10 yr (Jul – 2019)        5.888%    T + 337.5

*: Ratings are provided for Moody’s / Standard & Poor’s / Fitch


                                                                                                                                                                 32
Abu Dhabi Government
US $10bn Sovereign Bond Programme



  Credit Rating – Aa2 / AA / AA                                    US$1.5bn 5-year tranche

    ‒ Abu Dhabi‟s revenue expected to be stable (dividends          Asia, 6%
                                                                                      Other, 6
                                                                                         %
      from ADNOC and ADIA)
    ‒ Will maintain budget surplus, if oil price exceeds $40   Middle
                                                                                     US, 25%
                                                               East, 21
                                                                  %
  Total bond programme - $10 bn
                                                                                    Europe,
    ‒ Issue over-subscribed: Total interest $7bn                                     42%

    ‒ $3bn raised in Mar 2009
    ‒ 2 tranches of $1.5bn each (one 5-yr and another 10-yr)
                                                                   US$1.5bn 10-year tranche
    ‒ Pricing(1):                                                                       Other, 7
                                                                     Middle
                                                                                           %
          ‒ 5-yr bond priced 400bps above US treasuries             East, 8%

          ‒ 10-yr bond priced 420bps above US treasuries
  Bond purpose:                                                          Europe,      US, 57%
                                                                           28%
    ‒ General government budget expenditures




                                                                                                   33
Mubadala Development Co.
US $1.75bn offering



  Credit Rating – Aa2 / AA / AA                                US$1.25bn 5-year tranche

   ‒ Rating achieved on the backing of Abu Dhabi government                 Asia, 6%

   ‒ Comparables receive lower rating
                                                                     Middle            US, 24%
         ‒ E.g. Blackstone group has S&P „A‟ rating (2 levels        East, 28
           below best) despite strong earnings and $91bn                %
                                                                                   Europe,
           assets under management                                                  42%

  $1.75 bn bonds issued
   ‒ 5-yr $1.25bn issue at 395bps(1) over US treasuries
   ‒ 10-yr $500m issue at 462.5bps over US treasuries           US$500mn 10-year tranche
                                                                 Middle                  Other, 6
   ‒ Offering managed by Citibank, Goldman Sachs & Royal         East, 12                   %
     Bank of Scotland                                               %

  Purpose                                                                               US, 43%

   ‒ Project financing (acquisitions, investments)                     Europe,
                                                                        39%




                                                                                                    34
Aldar Properties
US $1.25bn offering



   Credit Rating – A3 / A- / NR
    ‒ Rating reflects its strong market position in Abu Dhabi & large land bank


   $1.25 bn bonds issued
    ‒ 5-yr maturity with 8.75 percent fixed-coupon
    ‒ Higher coupon than Abu Dhabi Sovereign & Mubadala bonds
    ‒ Offering managed by Goldman Sachs, Barclay‟s Capital, NBAD and ADCB


   Purpose
    ‒ Construction project execution




                                                                                  35
Tourism Development & Infrastructure Company (TDIC)
US $1.0bn offering



  Credit Rating – Aa2 / AA / AA
    ‒ Rating achieved on the backing of Abu Dhabi government
  $1.0 bn bonds issued (debut issue)                          US$1.0bn 5-year tranche
    ‒ 5-yr bond @390 bps over US treasury                      Asia, 12
                                                                  %
    ‒ Offering managed by HSBC Holdings PLC, Banco
      Santander Sa, Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi
                                                                                US, 30%
                                                                  Middle
  Purpose                                                        East, 25
                                                                     %
    ‒ Fund infrastructure development projects                               Europe,
                                                                              33%




                                                                                          36
Dolphin Energy Ltd
US $1.25bn offering



   Credit Rating – Aa3 / NR / A+
    ‒ Rating reflects existing capital structure (70:30 debt:equity)
      and ownership structure (51% Mubadala, 24.5% Total &
      24.5% Occidental)
   $1.25 bn bonds issued
    ‒ Part of total debt package of $4.1 bn (incl. $1.6bn debt
      facility and $1.2bn co-lending from Total & Occidental)
    ‒ 10-yr bond @390 bps over US treasury
    ‒ Offering managed by Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), BNP
      Paribas, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, National Bank of
      Abu Dhabi
   Purpose
    ‒ Refinance $3.45 bn loan secured in 2005
    ‒ Finance construction costs of Taweelah-Fujairah gas
      pipeline (70% of total costs)




                                                                       Draft – For Discussion 37
                                                                                              Only

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20090829 financing overview

  • 1. August, 2009 Financing – Overview Abu Dhabi CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © 2009 Mahender Bisht
  • 2. Contents I. Capital Structure II. Financing Options III. Financing Process IV. Financing in Middle East 2
  • 3. Capital Structure The Need for Capital  The goal of a Firm is Value Creation Revenue Value Investment Creation Working Raw materials Capital assets Labor Taxes capital and supplies  Value is measured by the Cash produced by a firm  A firm must generate Revenues to produce Cash  Revenue generation requires Capital to establish and operate the firm‟s business 3
  • 4. Capital Structure Sources of Capital  A Firm‟s Capital requirement can be met externally or internally  Capital provided by a third-party Debt  Allows first-claim on cash generated by the Firm  Obligation to repay a fixed amount by a certain date External Capital  Capital provided by the owner(s) of the Firm Owner’s Equity  Gives Owner(s) full claim on the Firm‟s earnings, after payment to debtor(s)  Capital generated by the Firm and retained after Internal Retained payment to external capital providers Capital Earnings  Most preferred source of financing, if available  Other sources of capital also exist, depending on business situation ‒ For example, factoring (selling account receivables), asset liquidation, working capital (delaying supplier payments, securing advance payments from customers) etc. 4
  • 5. Capital Structure Cost of Capital  Given the availability of different capital sources, cost of capital becomes a key determinant for choosing the capital source  Cost of Capital has financial as well as non-financial aspects Equity Debt Retained Earnings  High financial cost – equity  Lower financial cost than  Minimal financial cost holders carry high risk and equity  Reduces the dividend hence demand appropriate  Reduces agency costs payment to equity holders payment ‒ Managers must choose  Introduces agency cost  Introduces agency costs projects that deliver returns ‒ Managers may select ‒ Managers may select sufficient to service debt negative NPV projects over negative NPV projects over  Introduces Bankruptcy costs positive NPV projects to positive NPV projects to minimize own effort and minimize own effort and ‒ Firm might be forced to liquidate assets or give-up risk risk control in case of missed  Zero transaction costs and debt-service payments easily available  Increases firm value by amount of tax-deductible interest payment Least Most preferred preferred 5
  • 6. Capital Structure Optimal Capital Structure  The value of the firm can be thought of as a pie 30%  The goal of the manager is to increase the size of the pie Equity (from equity holder‟s perspective) 70%  Everything else the same, cost of capital employed can Debt increase the value of the firm  The most appropriate measure of a Firm‟s capital cost is the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)  The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) measures the WACC Value cost of each component of financing – e.g. debt and equity WACC Value – weighted by its relative size 6
  • 7. Capital Structure Optimal Capital Structure (contd.)  The Optimal Capital Structure minimizes the WACC and hence maximizes the firm value Ke Ke = Cost of Equity Kd = Cost of Debt WACC Capital Kd Costs Debt as % of market value  A change in leverage changes the risk profile and Cost of Capital of the firm  Even though Cost of Debt is lower, the benefits of borrowing have to be weighed off against the cost of higher leverage ‒ Inability to service debt may lead to financial distress and ultimate liquidation 7
  • 8. Contents I. Capital Structure II. Financing Options III. Financing Process IV. Financing in Middle East 8
  • 9. Financing Options Debt Finance  Basic loan – contract between a borrower and a lender (typically a bank)  Syndicated loan – contract between a borrower and a syndicate (group) of lenders Loans  Typically short terms (less than 5 years) with principal repayment typically during the bond‟s life (on a regular basis)  Can be publicly traded or be used as collaterals for other structured products by the lenders  Issued by a Company (or Government) directly to Investors (or public)  Can be traded on public exchange Bonds  Typically longer terms (5 yr, 10 yr, 30 yr)  Typically principal repayment at the end of bond term  Typically an agreement with a between a buyer and a supplier to use assets without upfront payment  Repayment during the term of the lease Lease  Can be Operating lease (off-balance sheet) if term is shorter than the useful life of asset leased 9
  • 10. Debt Finance Key Characteristics of Debt  Fixed rate – guaranteed payment amounts throughout debt term Coupon /  Floating rate – typically, reference rate (e.g. T-bonds) + spread Interest rate  Zero coupon – no interest payments; debt sold at a discount to face value  Coupon payment dates (monthly / quarterly / semi-annually / annually) Payment  Principal repayment – at the end of term or with coupon payments schedule  Secured debt: asset-backed, mortgage-backed  Non-recourse debt: claim limited to collateral used as security Security  Unsecured debt: no collateral  Order in which creditors can lay claim on borrower‟s asset in case of liquidation ‒ Senior debt: Priority over other unsecured debt Status ‒ Subordinated debt: Lower priority than senior debt ‒ Mezzanine debt: Lower priority that other debt but higher than common shares  Agreements to protect debt-holders Covenants / ‒ Negative covenants restrict debtor from taking certain actions (e.g. issuing more senior debt) Call Provisions ‒ Positive covenants encourage debtor to take certain actions (e.g. use asset-sale proceeds to buy other assets only) 10
  • 11. Financing Options Equity Finance  Equity – Basic types of equity - Preferred stock - Common stock – Basic characteristics of equity - Terms of preferred stock - Liquidation value - Dividend preference - Terms of common stock 11
  • 12. Contents I. Capital Structure II. Financing Options III. Financing Process IV. Financing in Middle East 12
  • 13. Financing process Overview  The process of obtaining Finance depends on the type of finance  As a first step, target capital structure (Debt / Equity ratio) must be defined – Appropriate finance (Debt or Equity) should be issued to meet capital structure  External equity is typically raised via – Initial Public Offering – Equity Private Placement – Private Equity / Venture Capital  External Debt is typically raised via – Debt Private Placement – Public Bond Offering  In this section, we cover the process of raising External Debt 13
  • 14. Debt Financing Process overview Advisor selection Credit Rating Debt offering Strategy & Rating Due Diligence Preparation decision  Information  Rating agency  Information gathering presentation gathering  Rating agency  Due diligence by  Due diligence selection Rating agency  Rating agency  Meeting with selection rating analysts Strategy Preparation Issuance  Decide on debt  Appoint issue  Secure requirements managers / commitments (size, maturity, underwriter from participants service capability  Prepare support  Finalize issue etc) materials size by tranche  Secure approval  Prepare bid book  Legal & financial from board of documentation directors The same process applies to both public and private debt placement 14
  • 15. Raising Debt Advisor selection Credit Rating Debt offering What is Credit Rating?  A credit rating assesses the credit worthiness of an individual, corporation, or even a country. Credit ratings are calculated from financial history and current assets and liabilities – Sovereign rating: Assess the country credit risk; used as a point of reference for country borrowings from WB, IMF, ADB, IDB – Entity rating: Risk rating of Corporate entities – Instrument rating: Rating of the bonds issued by different corporations and municipalities  A credit rating tells a lender or investor the probability of the subject being able to pay back a loan  Poor credit rating indicates a high risk of defaulting on a loan, and thus leads to high interest rates  Major Credit Rating Companies: – Standard & Poor‟s – Moody‟s – Fitch Ratings 15
  • 16. Credit Rating Benefits of Credit Rating  Investors use ratings in several different ways, which provide value to Issuers also  For Investors, Credit ratings are: – A source of additional certification – A source that forewarns risk – A guide for pricing securities  For Issuers, Credit ratings: – Increase the investor population – Encourage financial discipline within the organization – Lower the cost of borrowing – Provide a marketing tool – Make foreign collaborations easy  In summary, Credit ratings benefit the industry as a whole 16
  • 17. Credit Rating The process to get „rated‟  Obtaining a Credit Rating for the first time is a 3-step process Issuer / Credit Rating Borrower Agency Assigns analytical team, Requests for a Rating Step 1: Strategy & conducts basic research Preparation Collects additional Prepares documents information Rating presentations, site visits, Step 2: Due Diligence management meetings Rating Committee assigns rating Appeal Rating decision (if required) Step 3: Rating decision Communication of Rating to & Communication Issuers Dissemination of rating / publication Follow-up step: Surveillance & Annual Constant Review Review 17
  • 18. Credit Rating Rating methodology  Rating Agencies follow a rigorous methodology to assess Issuers seeking rating – Financial and legal due diligence – Site visits – One-on-one meetings with management and key personnel  Following major factors are assessed in the Credit Rating process: Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows  Ownership & support  Capital & Debt structure  Management Evaluation  Funding & Flexibility  Corporate Governance 18
  • 19. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Industry Risk assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  Economic importance of the industry to the country  Potential for support  Employment significance  Industrial relations record  Significance of legislation: protective / harmful, relationship with government  Maturity of the industry  International competition  Barriers to Entry  Competitive situation domestically: monopoly, oligopoly, fragmentation  Nature of the industry: capital intensity, product lifespan, marketing requirements  Cyclic factors: demand, supply, implications for price volatility  Industry cost & revenue structure: susceptibility to energy prices, interest rate levels, government policies (subsidies etc)  Important developments and trends in the industry 19
  • 20. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Market position assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  Competitive position within the industry: size, market share & trend, price-setting ability  Major product importance  Product lives and competition  Degree of product diversification  Significance of R&D expenditure and of new product development  Geographic diversity of sales and production  Significance of major customers  Dependence on major suppliers and access to alternatives  Marketing needs  Distribution network, control and susceptibility to external factors  What are growth trends, and sources of growth? 20
  • 21. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Ownership & Support assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  The specific issues include: – Ownership of the entity – Relationship with the owners, autonomy, control – Financial strength of the owner(s) – Potential for support and / or fund withdrawals – Structure of ownership – Other benefits: access to technology, products etc – Access to capital markets 21
  • 22. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Management evaluation – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  The specific issues include: – Record to date in financial terms – Corporate goals and outlook: aggressive stance, attitude to risk – Experience, background and credibility – Depth of management: key individuals, succession – Record compared with peers 22
  • 23. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Corporate Governance assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  The independence and effectiveness of the Board of Directors  Oversight of related party transactions that may lead to conflicts of interest  Board oversight of the audit function  Executive and Director remuneration  Complex holding company structures  Ownership by private individuals and families  Other aspects of Corporate governance whose impact on bondholders is less clear-cut – e.g. ownership by executives and directors 23
  • 24. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Earnings & Performance assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  Consistency and trend of core earnings  Earnings mix by activity and geography  Exceptional and extraordinary items: non-recurring impacts of past earning levels  True earnings available for cash flow: equity accounting, restrictions on profit repatriation  Internal growth vs acquired earnings  Profitability and protection measures  Profit margins  Interest and pre-tax coverage measures  Dividend cover, payment levels and future policy  Taxation situation – effective tax rate, specific relief  Sufficiency of retained earnings to finance growth internally 24
  • 25. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Cash Flows assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  Relationship of cash flows to leverage and ability to internally meet all cash requirements is evaluated. The volatility of cash flow over time and the impact of seasonality on cash flow is also assessed  The specific issues include: – Adequacy of cash flows to maintain the operating capacity of the business: working capital levels, replacement of fixed assets etc – Contribution from cash flow towards expansion – major capital spending projects, acquisitions – Discretionary spending included in cash flow including advertising, exploration, research & development, etc – Volatility of cash flow over time – Relationship between cash flow and total debt – Restrictions on cash flow: limits on repatriation, potential tax effects, access to dividends from subsidiaries – Liquidity levels and fluctuations: seasonality, sensitivities – Working capital management and measurements 25
  • 26. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Capital & Debt Structure assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  Debt / Equity measures: historic, present and projected  Leverage (total liabilities / equity) measures: historic, present and projected  Sensitivity analysis on projected levels  Seasonal variations  Coverage measures on interest and leasing  Adjustment for off-balance sheet items  Appropriateness of capital structure for the business: over-reliance on short-term funding, sensitivity to interest rate changes  Debt structure: Type, maturity, currency, service schedule, covenants, security, default clause 26
  • 27. Non-Financial factors Financial factors  Industry Risk  Earning & performance  Market position  Cash flows Credit Rating Methodology   Ownership & support Management Evaluation   Capital & Debt structure Funding & Flexibility Funding & Flexibility assessment – Key considerations  Corporate Governance  Flexibility of planned financial needs: capital spending, dividend levels, acquisitions etc  Ability to raise additional financing under stress  Back-up and standby lines of credit: periods and covenants of underwriting facilities and committed lines, bank relationships generally  Ability to attract capital: shareholder make-up, access to equity markets  Capital commitments  Margin of safety in present and planned gearing / leverage levels  Asset make-up: nature of assets and potential for reductions or disposals under stress, scalable units  Off-balance sheet assets and liabilities: goodwill or other intangibles written off, undervalued assets, pension under funding 27
  • 28. Credit Rating Due diligence – Documents required Indicative summary of required documents Company Profile Financial Section  Overview of Company history  3 years (ideally, but Rating Agencies flexible  Shareholder structure on this point) of consolidated IFRS audited financial accounts, including P&L, Balance  Corporate organizational and legal charts Sheet, Cash Flow Statement and notes  Breakdown of main business areas  Consolidated Business Plan for the next 5 (Revenues, Earnings, Cash flow, Assets) years, including assumptions, management  Information about specific projects discussion and detailed description of P&L, Cash Flow and Balance Sheet projections  Detailed description of the Media / Real Estate sector in the region, including legal  Description of capital expenditure plans and framework evolution funding policy  Management and future strategy (e.g.  Description of cash management policy and growth ambitions) liquidity overview (existing bank credit lines etc)  Overview of financial contingencies  Current and target capital structure 28
  • 29. Raising Debt Debt Offering process  Issuing debt (or any public security) is a complicated and tedious process Issuer / Underwriter Borrower Secures Board of Proposes best debt Director approval structure Step 1: Strategy Draft offering prospectus File registration statement with listing body (if required) Step 2: Preparation Define an issue price (guide) Identify potential investors / and host road show Prepare bid book / record orders Step 3: Issuance Decide size of issue and final price Complete legal and financial documentation 29
  • 30. Debt Offering General cash offering  Almost all debt is sold in general cash offerings  There are two methods for issuing securities for cash: – Firm Commitment - Under a firm commitment underwriting, the investment bank buys the securities outright from the issuing firm - Obviously, they need to make a profit, so they buy at “wholesale” and try to resell at “retail” - To minimize their risk, the investment bankers combine to form an underwriting syndicate to share the risk and help sell the issue to other investors / public – Best Efforts - Under a best efforts underwriting, the underwriter does not buy the issue from the issuing firm - Instead, the underwriter acts as an agent, receiving a commission for each unit sold, and using its “best efforts” to sell the entire issue 30
  • 31. Contents I. Capital Structure II. Financing Options III. Financing Process IV. Financing in Middle East 31
  • 32. Debt-Financing in Abu Dhabi 2009 YTD major activity 2007 - 2008 2009 YTD Lebanon, Other, 9% Bahrain, 6 Saudi 3% % Arabia, 2 Abu Dhabi borrowers % Egypt, 4% Saudi have been the most Arabia, 20 active in the market % (2009 YTD) Rest of Qatar, 36 Abu UAE, 24% % Dhabi, 56 Dubai, 40 % % Date Issuer Credit rating * Amount Term (years) Coupon Spread Mar 2009 Abu Dhabi Government Aa2 / AA / AA $ 1,500 million 5 yr (Apr – 2014) 5.500 % T + 400 Mar 2009 Abu Dhabi government AA2 / AA / AA $ 1,500 million 10 yr (Apr – 2019) 6.750 % T + 420 May 2009 Mubadala Development Co. Aa2 / AA / AA US $1,250m 5-yr (May – 2014) 5.750 % T + 395 May 2009 Mubadala Development Co. Aa2 / AA / AA US $500m 10 yr (May – 2019) 7.625 % T + 462.5 May 2009 Aldar Properties A3 / A- / NR US$1,250m 5-yr (May – 2014) 8.750 % N/A Jun 2009 Tourism Development & Aa2 / AA / AA US$1,000m 5-yr (Jun – 2014) 6.500 % T + 390 Infrastructure Company (TDIC) Jul 2009 Dolphin Energy Ltd. Aa3 / NR / A+ US$ 1,250m 10 yr (Jul – 2019) 5.888% T + 337.5 *: Ratings are provided for Moody’s / Standard & Poor’s / Fitch 32
  • 33. Abu Dhabi Government US $10bn Sovereign Bond Programme  Credit Rating – Aa2 / AA / AA US$1.5bn 5-year tranche ‒ Abu Dhabi‟s revenue expected to be stable (dividends Asia, 6% Other, 6 % from ADNOC and ADIA) ‒ Will maintain budget surplus, if oil price exceeds $40 Middle US, 25% East, 21 %  Total bond programme - $10 bn Europe, ‒ Issue over-subscribed: Total interest $7bn 42% ‒ $3bn raised in Mar 2009 ‒ 2 tranches of $1.5bn each (one 5-yr and another 10-yr) US$1.5bn 10-year tranche ‒ Pricing(1): Other, 7 Middle % ‒ 5-yr bond priced 400bps above US treasuries East, 8% ‒ 10-yr bond priced 420bps above US treasuries  Bond purpose: Europe, US, 57% 28% ‒ General government budget expenditures 33
  • 34. Mubadala Development Co. US $1.75bn offering  Credit Rating – Aa2 / AA / AA US$1.25bn 5-year tranche ‒ Rating achieved on the backing of Abu Dhabi government Asia, 6% ‒ Comparables receive lower rating Middle US, 24% ‒ E.g. Blackstone group has S&P „A‟ rating (2 levels East, 28 below best) despite strong earnings and $91bn % Europe, assets under management 42%  $1.75 bn bonds issued ‒ 5-yr $1.25bn issue at 395bps(1) over US treasuries ‒ 10-yr $500m issue at 462.5bps over US treasuries US$500mn 10-year tranche Middle Other, 6 ‒ Offering managed by Citibank, Goldman Sachs & Royal East, 12 % Bank of Scotland %  Purpose US, 43% ‒ Project financing (acquisitions, investments) Europe, 39% 34
  • 35. Aldar Properties US $1.25bn offering  Credit Rating – A3 / A- / NR ‒ Rating reflects its strong market position in Abu Dhabi & large land bank  $1.25 bn bonds issued ‒ 5-yr maturity with 8.75 percent fixed-coupon ‒ Higher coupon than Abu Dhabi Sovereign & Mubadala bonds ‒ Offering managed by Goldman Sachs, Barclay‟s Capital, NBAD and ADCB  Purpose ‒ Construction project execution 35
  • 36. Tourism Development & Infrastructure Company (TDIC) US $1.0bn offering  Credit Rating – Aa2 / AA / AA ‒ Rating achieved on the backing of Abu Dhabi government  $1.0 bn bonds issued (debut issue) US$1.0bn 5-year tranche ‒ 5-yr bond @390 bps over US treasury Asia, 12 % ‒ Offering managed by HSBC Holdings PLC, Banco Santander Sa, Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi US, 30% Middle  Purpose East, 25 % ‒ Fund infrastructure development projects Europe, 33% 36
  • 37. Dolphin Energy Ltd US $1.25bn offering  Credit Rating – Aa3 / NR / A+ ‒ Rating reflects existing capital structure (70:30 debt:equity) and ownership structure (51% Mubadala, 24.5% Total & 24.5% Occidental)  $1.25 bn bonds issued ‒ Part of total debt package of $4.1 bn (incl. $1.6bn debt facility and $1.2bn co-lending from Total & Occidental) ‒ 10-yr bond @390 bps over US treasury ‒ Offering managed by Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), BNP Paribas, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, National Bank of Abu Dhabi  Purpose ‒ Refinance $3.45 bn loan secured in 2005 ‒ Finance construction costs of Taweelah-Fujairah gas pipeline (70% of total costs) Draft – For Discussion 37 Only