8. Generating ideas for capital budgeting projects Research and Development Division Management Plant Management Production Management Strategic Planning ideas ideas ideas ideas ideas ideas ideas ideas
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16. IRR example 7.03 A project costs $10,000 and is expected to generate cash flows of $2,100 each year for six years. What is the project’s IRR? CALCULATOR SOLUTION Data Input Function Key N I PV PMT FV 6 10,000 – 2,100 0
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19. NPV Profile: Example Cash Flow Initial Investment Cash Flow in years 1 to 5 Cash Flow in years 6 to 9 Cash Flow in year 10 - $3,985,000 $806,000 $926,000 $1,151,000 Consider a 10-year project with these cash flows:
20. NPV Profile NPV ($ thousands) Discount Rate The project has a positive NPV at discount rates less than 16.95% And a negative NPV at discount rates more than 16.95% IRR 16.95%
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26. If the discount rate is less than 45%, project A is the best choice. If the discount rate is more than 45%, project B is the best choice. If the discount rate is more than 68% don’t take A or B rate -over Cross 45%
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29. NPV Profile of Non-Conventional Projects Discount Rate NPV IRR 2 = 25% Here we see that the project actually has two IRRs: 12% and 25% You have to be careful interpreting IRR. IRR 1 = 12%
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32. Profitability Index Decision Rule: Undertake the project if PI > 1.0 PI PV of Future Cash Flows Initial Investment NPV Initial Investment = = + 1
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34. Profitability Index Project Alpha Project Beta Year 0 Cash Flow Year 1 Cash Flow ($1,000) $1,200 ($8,000) $9,200 NPV @ 12% PI $71.43 1.071 $214.29 1.027
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39. Payback and Discounted Payback Year Project X Project Y 0 1 2 3 4 ($8,000) $4,000 $4,000 $2,000 $2,000 ($8,000) $2,000 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000
41. Payback and Discounted Payback for Projects X and Y * Discount rate = 12% Project X Project Y Payback Discounted Payback* NPV* 2 years 2.87 years $1,455 3 years 3.46 years $2,040
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43. Average Rate of Return (ARR) The ARR method distorts all cash flows by averaging them over time. It ignores the time value of money. It is a useless method. ARR Average Cash Flow Average Amount Invested =