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Attitudes, Ambitions and Entrepreneurship
Potentials of Youth in Karachi

Mehtab S. Karim
&
Ammar A. Malik
School of Public Policy,
George Mason University
October 10, 2012
Pakistan’s Youth Bulge
• Proportion of Pakistanis in the 15-29 year age bracket: 33
percent overall & 40 percent in cities
• National demographic trends and youth migration to cities
• Over 7 percent annual GDP growth rate needed to absorb
growing labor force
The City of Karachi
• A microcosm of Pakistan, representation of all ethnicities
• Home to 7.5 - 10 percent of Pakistan’s entire population,
11th largest city in the world (UN 2012)
• Produces 20% of national GDP, 25% of national
revenues, handles 95% of foreign trade, retains 45% of
employment in large-scale manufacturing (ADB 2005)
The Two Faces of Youth in Karachi

Photos Courtesy Express Tribune & Pakistan Today
Population Growth in Karachi
Year

Population
(millions)

Average Annual
Growth Rate (%)

1941

0.387

3.1

1951

1.070

9.4

1961

1.917

6.0

1972

3.500

5.7

1981

5.210

4.5

1998

9.200 (11.200*)

3.5

2012

18.0 (estimated)
Youth 7.2 million

3.5

*The 1998 Census counted an estimated 2 million additional people, however since
they were born in Bangladesh and Afghanistan , they were considered aliens, therefore,
were not included in the official figures
Population Growth Comparison between

Developing Country Megacities
18
16
14
12

Cairo
Beijing
Jakarta
Delhi
Karachi

10
8
6
4
2

0
1970
Source: United Nations

1980

1990

2000

2010
Survey of Youth in Karachi
The Objectives
• Gathering first-hand information from young adults
covering the following key themes:
o Present economic conditions and challenges
o Religious practices and degrees of tolerance
o Perceptions on current conditions and future prospects,
both for themselves and for the country
o Opinions on key players in the country
o Preferences for employment versus entrepreneurship (and
its potentials)
Sampling Methodology
• Cross section representative survey of randomly selected
young people living in Karachi, aged between 20 and 29
• Federal Bureau of Statistics Sampling Frame utilized
• 90 clusters from a total of 4000 were randomly selected,
thus equal chance of selection
• 12 young adults (both males and females) selected for
interview at home or its vicinity

• 1,000 interviews were conducted in total
The Results
Religious Practices and Tolerance
77.5
70.9

70.2

61.9

41.6

37

35.4

30.3

30
20.3

33.5

18

Males

Females

10th Grade or below

College or above

Pray 5 times a day.
Would avoid having neighbours of a different religion.
Would avoid having neighbours associated with a religious extremist group.
Use of Internet and Mobile Phones
100

95
89

90

80

80

75

73

70
60

55

52

50
40

31

30
20
10
0
Males

Females

Use Internet Frequently (%)

10th Grade or below

College or above

Have Mobile Phone (%)
Marital Status and Marriage Decisions
64
62

62

62

60

60
58

59
58
57

57

56
54

54

52
50
Males

Females

Currently Single (%)

10th Grade or below

College or above

Marriage is Parents' Decision (%)
Employment Status by Gender
Male

Female

1.3

30.8

16.2

38.6
46.8

26.8

9.7

29.3
0.5
Full Time job or Self-employed
Full Time Student
Unemployed (looking for job)
Unpaid apprentice

Full Time job or Self-employed

Full Time Student
Unemployed (looking for job)
Unpaid apprentice
Housewife/At home
Employment Status by Education
10th Grade or below
19.3

College or above
19.6

26

1

32.1

1

16.6
28.7
25
30.7
Full Time job or Self-employed
Full Time Student
Unemployed (looking for job)
Unpaid apprentice
Housewife/At home

Full Time job or Self-employed
Full Time Student
Unemployed (looking for job)
Unpaid apprentice
Housewife/At home
Job Preferences by Gender and Education
80
70

68

65

68

65

64
58

60

54

50

47

46

42
40

42

35

29

28

30

23

23

20

10
0
Have Preference for
Government Job

Male

Well Known BrandName Company

Female

Work for NGO

10th Grade or below

Want to Start Own
Business Once

College or above
Any Past Entrepreneurship Training?
100
90

93.5

92.2

87.8

85.1

80

70
60
50
40

30
20

14.9

12.1

7.8

10

6.5

0
Male

Female
No

10th Class or below
Yes

College or above
Desire for Entrepreneurship Training
90
80

83.8

80.5

77

74

70
60

50
40
30
20

18.6

18.5
13.3

12.7

10
0
Male

Female
Negative

10th Class or below
Positive

College or above
Youth’s Concerns by Education
10th Grade or below

College or above

100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

60

60

50

50

40

40

30

30

20

20

10

10

0

0

Highly

Somewhat

Not at all

Highly

Somewhat

Not at all
Youth’s Concerns by Gender
Male

Female
100

100

90

90
80

80

70

70

60

60

50

50

40

40

30

30

20

20

10

10

0

0

Highly

Somewhat

Not at all

Highly

Somewhat

Not at all
Prospects of Improvement in Pakistan’s Overall Situation
50
43.8

45
40

37.1

35.9 36

35
30.5
30

29.5

28.5

25

22.5 22.4

20.8

18.2

20
15.6

15.4
15

17.8

13

13

10
5
0
Will Improve
Male (%)

Remain the Same
Female (%)

Get Worse

10th Class or below (%)

No Opinion
College or above (%)
Desire to Move Abroad
60
49.6

50

46.5
43.4
40.1

40

37.1
34

33.9

30

26.5

20
14.3
10.5
10

14.4

12.8

11.7

9.5

8.9

6.7

0
Male (%)
Will Always Live in Pakistan

Female (%)

10th Class or below (%)

Go Abroad for Work

College or above (%)

Migrate Indefinitely

No Opinion
Attitudes, Ambitions and Entrepreneurship
Potentials of Youth in Karachi

Mehtab S. Karim
&
Ammar A. Malik
School of Public Policy,
George Mason University
October 10, 2012

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Determinants of Entrepreneurship in Pakistan Oct 2012

  • 1. Attitudes, Ambitions and Entrepreneurship Potentials of Youth in Karachi Mehtab S. Karim & Ammar A. Malik School of Public Policy, George Mason University October 10, 2012
  • 2. Pakistan’s Youth Bulge • Proportion of Pakistanis in the 15-29 year age bracket: 33 percent overall & 40 percent in cities • National demographic trends and youth migration to cities • Over 7 percent annual GDP growth rate needed to absorb growing labor force
  • 3. The City of Karachi • A microcosm of Pakistan, representation of all ethnicities • Home to 7.5 - 10 percent of Pakistan’s entire population, 11th largest city in the world (UN 2012) • Produces 20% of national GDP, 25% of national revenues, handles 95% of foreign trade, retains 45% of employment in large-scale manufacturing (ADB 2005)
  • 4. The Two Faces of Youth in Karachi Photos Courtesy Express Tribune & Pakistan Today
  • 5. Population Growth in Karachi Year Population (millions) Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 1941 0.387 3.1 1951 1.070 9.4 1961 1.917 6.0 1972 3.500 5.7 1981 5.210 4.5 1998 9.200 (11.200*) 3.5 2012 18.0 (estimated) Youth 7.2 million 3.5 *The 1998 Census counted an estimated 2 million additional people, however since they were born in Bangladesh and Afghanistan , they were considered aliens, therefore, were not included in the official figures
  • 6. Population Growth Comparison between Developing Country Megacities 18 16 14 12 Cairo Beijing Jakarta Delhi Karachi 10 8 6 4 2 0 1970 Source: United Nations 1980 1990 2000 2010
  • 7. Survey of Youth in Karachi
  • 8. The Objectives • Gathering first-hand information from young adults covering the following key themes: o Present economic conditions and challenges o Religious practices and degrees of tolerance o Perceptions on current conditions and future prospects, both for themselves and for the country o Opinions on key players in the country o Preferences for employment versus entrepreneurship (and its potentials)
  • 9. Sampling Methodology • Cross section representative survey of randomly selected young people living in Karachi, aged between 20 and 29 • Federal Bureau of Statistics Sampling Frame utilized • 90 clusters from a total of 4000 were randomly selected, thus equal chance of selection • 12 young adults (both males and females) selected for interview at home or its vicinity • 1,000 interviews were conducted in total
  • 11. Religious Practices and Tolerance 77.5 70.9 70.2 61.9 41.6 37 35.4 30.3 30 20.3 33.5 18 Males Females 10th Grade or below College or above Pray 5 times a day. Would avoid having neighbours of a different religion. Would avoid having neighbours associated with a religious extremist group.
  • 12. Use of Internet and Mobile Phones 100 95 89 90 80 80 75 73 70 60 55 52 50 40 31 30 20 10 0 Males Females Use Internet Frequently (%) 10th Grade or below College or above Have Mobile Phone (%)
  • 13. Marital Status and Marriage Decisions 64 62 62 62 60 60 58 59 58 57 57 56 54 54 52 50 Males Females Currently Single (%) 10th Grade or below College or above Marriage is Parents' Decision (%)
  • 14. Employment Status by Gender Male Female 1.3 30.8 16.2 38.6 46.8 26.8 9.7 29.3 0.5 Full Time job or Self-employed Full Time Student Unemployed (looking for job) Unpaid apprentice Full Time job or Self-employed Full Time Student Unemployed (looking for job) Unpaid apprentice Housewife/At home
  • 15. Employment Status by Education 10th Grade or below 19.3 College or above 19.6 26 1 32.1 1 16.6 28.7 25 30.7 Full Time job or Self-employed Full Time Student Unemployed (looking for job) Unpaid apprentice Housewife/At home Full Time job or Self-employed Full Time Student Unemployed (looking for job) Unpaid apprentice Housewife/At home
  • 16. Job Preferences by Gender and Education 80 70 68 65 68 65 64 58 60 54 50 47 46 42 40 42 35 29 28 30 23 23 20 10 0 Have Preference for Government Job Male Well Known BrandName Company Female Work for NGO 10th Grade or below Want to Start Own Business Once College or above
  • 17. Any Past Entrepreneurship Training? 100 90 93.5 92.2 87.8 85.1 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 14.9 12.1 7.8 10 6.5 0 Male Female No 10th Class or below Yes College or above
  • 18. Desire for Entrepreneurship Training 90 80 83.8 80.5 77 74 70 60 50 40 30 20 18.6 18.5 13.3 12.7 10 0 Male Female Negative 10th Class or below Positive College or above
  • 19. Youth’s Concerns by Education 10th Grade or below College or above 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Highly Somewhat Not at all Highly Somewhat Not at all
  • 20. Youth’s Concerns by Gender Male Female 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Highly Somewhat Not at all Highly Somewhat Not at all
  • 21. Prospects of Improvement in Pakistan’s Overall Situation 50 43.8 45 40 37.1 35.9 36 35 30.5 30 29.5 28.5 25 22.5 22.4 20.8 18.2 20 15.6 15.4 15 17.8 13 13 10 5 0 Will Improve Male (%) Remain the Same Female (%) Get Worse 10th Class or below (%) No Opinion College or above (%)
  • 22. Desire to Move Abroad 60 49.6 50 46.5 43.4 40.1 40 37.1 34 33.9 30 26.5 20 14.3 10.5 10 14.4 12.8 11.7 9.5 8.9 6.7 0 Male (%) Will Always Live in Pakistan Female (%) 10th Class or below (%) Go Abroad for Work College or above (%) Migrate Indefinitely No Opinion
  • 23. Attitudes, Ambitions and Entrepreneurship Potentials of Youth in Karachi Mehtab S. Karim & Ammar A. Malik School of Public Policy, George Mason University October 10, 2012