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introduction




Inflation
Inflation
• 1. This is the process by which the price level rises
  and money loses value.
• There are two kinds of inflation:
• a) Demand pull
• b) Cost push
UNDERSIRABILITY OF
      INFLATION

• Fixed Incomes
• Net loss
• Depreciation
INFLATION GAINERS
2-4
• Flexible Incomes
• Speculators
• Debtors
Hyper inflation
• 5. Extremely rapid or out of control inflation.
• There is no precise numerical definition to
  hyperinflation.
• Price increases are so out of control that the
  concept of inflation is meaningless.
• The most famous example of hyperinflation
  occurred in Germany between January 1922 and
  November 1923.
• By some estimates, the average price level
  increased by a factor of 20 billion!
Money and Prices During Hyperinflations




                                     (a) Austria                                                   (b) Hungary

           Index                                                            Index
(Jan. 1921 = 100)                                                (July 1921 = 100)
         100,000                                                          100,000
                                                                                                       Price level
                           Price level
          10,000                                                           10,000
                                           Money supply
                                                                                                                  Money supply
           1,000                                                            1,000

             100                                                              100
                    1921      1922       1923      1924   1925                       1921   1922      1923        1924        1925




                                                                                             Copyright © 2004 South-Western
Demand pull inflation
• 6- 8 pull inflation may be due to :
a) Increase in money supply
b) Increase in government purchases
c) Increase in exports
Quantity Theory of Money
• states that there is a direct relationship
  between the quantity of money in an
  economy and the level of prices of goods and
  services sold. 9.According to QTM, if the
  amount of money in an economy doubles,
  price levels also double, causing inflation (the
  percentage rate at which the level of prices is
  rising in an economy). The consumer
  therefore pays twice as much for the same
  amount of the good or service.
The Theory’s Calculations
  In its simplest form, the theory is expressed as:

• MV = PT (the Fisher Equation)

 Each variable denotes the following:
 M = Money Supply
 V = Velocity of Circulation (the number of
 times money changes hands)
 P = Average Price Level
 T = Volume of Transactions of Goods and
 Services
Modern QTM
• Monetarists are a group of economists
  so     named     because    of     their
  preoccupation with money and its
  effects. The most famous Monetarist is
  10.Milton Friedman who developed
  much of the Monetarist theory we learn.
Cost push Inflation
• 11-12Cost push inflation may arise
  because of :
a)Increase in money wage rates
b)Increase in money prices of raw
  materials.
THE PHILLIPS’ CURVE



• The essence of the 13.Phillips Curve is
  that there is a short-term trade-off
  between unemployment and inflation.
MEASUREMENT OF PRICE INCREASES

• Consumer Price Index - CPI
  14.A measure that examines the
  weighted average of prices of a basket of
  consumer goods and services, such as
  transportation, food and medical care.
• Retail Price Index (RPI)
  15. Design to measure monthly changes of the
  prices at which retailers dispose of their good
  to consumers and end-users.
• Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
  16.Measures monthly changes in the
  general price level of commodities that
  flow into wholesale trade, also measures
  price changes during trade turnover.
THE MEANING OF THE INDEX
• 17.Is a statistical measure design to show
  changes in a variable or group of related
  variables (prices, quantity, value), with
  respect to time, geographic location, or
  other characteristics such as income,
  profession, and the like.
The Base Year
18.Is the year which the variables during a given
  year are being compared.
19-20PRICE INDEX NUMBERS
1. Price Relative

2. Unweighted Priced Index

3. Weighted Price Index
Unweighted Priced Index
Weighted Price Index
3. Weighted Price Index
• A price-weighted index is an index in which
  the member companies are weighted in
  proportion to their price per share, rather
  than by number of shares outstanding, market
  capitalization, or other factors
Chap. 9. inflation

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Chap. 9. inflation

  • 2. Inflation • 1. This is the process by which the price level rises and money loses value. • There are two kinds of inflation: • a) Demand pull • b) Cost push
  • 3. UNDERSIRABILITY OF INFLATION • Fixed Incomes • Net loss • Depreciation
  • 4. INFLATION GAINERS 2-4 • Flexible Incomes • Speculators • Debtors
  • 5. Hyper inflation • 5. Extremely rapid or out of control inflation. • There is no precise numerical definition to hyperinflation. • Price increases are so out of control that the concept of inflation is meaningless. • The most famous example of hyperinflation occurred in Germany between January 1922 and November 1923. • By some estimates, the average price level increased by a factor of 20 billion!
  • 6. Money and Prices During Hyperinflations (a) Austria (b) Hungary Index Index (Jan. 1921 = 100) (July 1921 = 100) 100,000 100,000 Price level Price level 10,000 10,000 Money supply Money supply 1,000 1,000 100 100 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 Copyright © 2004 South-Western
  • 7.
  • 8. Demand pull inflation • 6- 8 pull inflation may be due to : a) Increase in money supply b) Increase in government purchases c) Increase in exports
  • 9.
  • 10. Quantity Theory of Money • states that there is a direct relationship between the quantity of money in an economy and the level of prices of goods and services sold. 9.According to QTM, if the amount of money in an economy doubles, price levels also double, causing inflation (the percentage rate at which the level of prices is rising in an economy). The consumer therefore pays twice as much for the same amount of the good or service.
  • 11. The Theory’s Calculations In its simplest form, the theory is expressed as: • MV = PT (the Fisher Equation) Each variable denotes the following: M = Money Supply V = Velocity of Circulation (the number of times money changes hands) P = Average Price Level T = Volume of Transactions of Goods and Services
  • 12. Modern QTM • Monetarists are a group of economists so named because of their preoccupation with money and its effects. The most famous Monetarist is 10.Milton Friedman who developed much of the Monetarist theory we learn.
  • 13. Cost push Inflation • 11-12Cost push inflation may arise because of : a)Increase in money wage rates b)Increase in money prices of raw materials.
  • 14.
  • 15. THE PHILLIPS’ CURVE • The essence of the 13.Phillips Curve is that there is a short-term trade-off between unemployment and inflation.
  • 16.
  • 17. MEASUREMENT OF PRICE INCREASES • Consumer Price Index - CPI 14.A measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food and medical care.
  • 18. • Retail Price Index (RPI) 15. Design to measure monthly changes of the prices at which retailers dispose of their good to consumers and end-users.
  • 19. • Wholesale Price Index (WPI) 16.Measures monthly changes in the general price level of commodities that flow into wholesale trade, also measures price changes during trade turnover.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. THE MEANING OF THE INDEX • 17.Is a statistical measure design to show changes in a variable or group of related variables (prices, quantity, value), with respect to time, geographic location, or other characteristics such as income, profession, and the like.
  • 23.
  • 24. The Base Year 18.Is the year which the variables during a given year are being compared.
  • 25. 19-20PRICE INDEX NUMBERS 1. Price Relative 2. Unweighted Priced Index 3. Weighted Price Index
  • 27.
  • 29.
  • 30. 3. Weighted Price Index • A price-weighted index is an index in which the member companies are weighted in proportion to their price per share, rather than by number of shares outstanding, market capitalization, or other factors