1. Enron Sutton Bridge Power Project — Presentation Transcript
1. Group 5 AnirudhVemula Jason Rager Joaquin
HirschfeldJunyaTomoiOlukayodeAfolabiShanyu Lao Pia Yasuko Rask Enron Sutton Bridge
Power Project
2. Agenda Project Background Ownership & Equity Consortium Term sheet & Funding
Financial Model Risks & Mitigation Sensitivity Analysis Key Lessons What‟s Happened since?
3. Power generation in UK Source: IEA/OECD Energy Prices & Taxes (2008)
4. Traditional Electricity Market
5. A deregulated electricity market
6. Setting the Price 24 hours, broken into 48 ½-hours Demand forecasted by National Grid
Generators asked how much at what price for each slot Marginal generator decides the price
Rapidly changing and volatile market! Time 10-10.30AM Demand forecast: 10MW
Generator Price Amount Total A 0.7 2MW 2MW B 0.8 3MW 5MW C 0.8 5MW 10MW D 0.9
E 0.1 F 0.1 N N
7. Virtual Power Plant Trade electricity as any other commodity. One party own the power
plant(s) while another party has the disposal of the capacity. No specific power plant, but
electricity is delivered into a specified grid. The party with disposal of capacity will pay an
option price.
8. The Project
9. The Project
10. The Project (cont.)
11. www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15116.pdf O&M Construction Equity Power Supply
12. Major stakeholders Eastern Facing deregulation & regulation More options, Expand business
opportunity . Reach its generating capacity restriction by r egulat ion. –Cannot be in Equity
Consortium! Enron High capability of managing risk (ex. derivatives), More profit, more risk!!
GE Wants to sell new turbine s and O&M contractor.
13. Ownership & Composition of Equity Consortium Equity £51M (£ 42M+ £ 9M), 15% of total
fund 50% of 42M - Enron Corp 50% of 42M- SB Investors Ltd. £9MM from Eastern Electricity
as Up-front fee We assume SB investors Ltd. is composed of GE and other investors Enron

2. would initially own Sutton Bridge, but was likely to sell part of its holdings to investors over
time.
14. Funding Structure
15. Debt structure Sterling Bond Dollar Bond Rate BBB Tenor 25 years Total amount £28 6 M
Arranger Barclays Merrill Lynch Amount £ 195M £ 9 1 M ($150M) Coupon rate 8.625% 7.97%
Issued At 99.523 At par Others Fully amortizing from 2002 until maturity in 2022 Rule 144A,
issued May 1997
16. Term Sheet/Bond Structure Strengths of Contractual set up Strong Equity Partners: Enron
(BBB+) assumes construction, market, gas supply risk GE (AAA) guarantees turbine
performance, O&M agreement. CTA covers all fixed and most variable payments until 2014
CCGT replaces coal-fired generation technology
17. Term Sheet/Bond Structure Strengths of Contractual set up contd: Only 30% debt left during
merchant period, potentially unlimited profit for Enron Bond will rank paripassu in right of
payment with all future additional senior debts Debt Service Reserve Account Healthy DSCR &
Interest Coverage ratios Swap Agreement mitigate currency risk Results: Both bonds were well
oversubscribed
18. Capacity Tolling Agreements (CTA) Eastern/Enron CTA Enron / Sutton-Bridge CTA Term
15 Years beginning May 1, 1999 Same Fixed Payments £9M Upfront One-Time £ 68.8M per
Annum, Payable on a Daily Basis Actual fixed costs Variable Payments £ 357.50 per Half-Hour
Each Start-up/Shutdown costs Two Half-Hour Periods Eastern will Pay for 15,000 Half-Hour
Periods per Year Actual variable costs Maximum Contractual Volume 700MW April to
September 735MW October to March Eastern Provides Contractual Capacity for Each Half-
Hour Period Eastern Provides an Estimate for Volume of Gas to be Delivered Same capacity
19. Capacity Tolling Agreements (CTA) Eastern/Enron CTA Enron / Sutton-Bridge CTA Force
Majeure Relieves both parties of their obligations, but only to the extent that the affected party(s)
is prevented from complying with their obligations Credit Terms Each company will provide
reasonable credit support including a parent company guarantee.
20. So, What‟s in it for Eastern?
21. What‟s in it for Enron? Strengthen its Reputation as an Innovator Further Develop its
European Trading Operations Power Plant Enters the Merchant Phase after Expiration of the
CTA Unbounded Returns Hedge Risk and Lower Costs through Trading Electricity & Natural
Gas Contracts
22. Assumptions Physical Plant capacity: 790 MW Permitted generating capacity: 700 MW
(Apr-Sep) 735 MW (Oct-Mar) Average annual generating capacity (max): 717.5 MW Min.
number of operating days: 312.5 days Sales price of electricity (1996) 0.02386 £/kWh Cost of
Natural Gas (1996) 1.28 £/MMBTU Escalation rate (assumed) 5% WACC (Calculated) 6.53%
Financial model description

3. 23. Results/Projections
24. Results/Projections (2) Revenue & EBITDA Profit
25. Results/Projections (3) Cash Flow & NPV (15yr period) NPV: £ 252,466,324.80 300 250
200 150 100 50 0 -50 -100 -150 -200 -250 -300 Terminal value
26. Gas Purchase & Electricity Off-take Construction Contract Fluctuating Market Prices Long-
term Project Bonds after CTA? CTA period of 15 years? Force Majeure Political Currency &
Exchange Rate New Turbine Technology Enron-Sutton Project “ A House of Risk?” Not
structured as a traditional IPP, so Enron assumes more risks in expectation of better returns!
Legal O & M Risks & Mitigation
27. Why assume all these risks? Extensive risk mitigation in a traditional IPP leads to a low-
risk/low-return investment Development fee (about 4% of total investment) and annuity spread
from on-going operations produced acceptable though not exceptional returns. Traditional IPP
Structure did not capitalize on Enron's Strengths in trading & risk management In summary,
Enron was willing to take MORE RISK in exchange for BIGGER RETURNS
28. Actual Risks & Mitigation Project Level Risks Cost overrun – Fixed Equipment prices
Completion Risks – GE „new product' guarantee against completion delays and performance
problems. Completion tests verified by an independent consultant Technology – GE to guarantee
plant performance for the duration of the life of the project Financial Risks Exchange rate –
SWAPs arrangement, Options Merchant phase risk – Enron to ensure most of project debt is
repaid within the 15-year period of CTA. Enron also to issue long project bonds. (Supported by
Enron Treasury Group) O&M Risks GE to operate the plant on a fixed-price management fee (
allowed GE to expand its service operations )
29. Actual Risks & Mitigation Economic Risks During CTA - Fixed payment by Enron covers
all fixed and operating costs. No pool risk. Supply of Gas at fixed prices After CTA - Most
project debt to be repaid during the CTA phase Market Conditions - Enron traders role in
determining operating or dispatch decisions (long & short positions) DSCR
30. IRR EQ. IRR
31. Risk Matrix
32. Risks Classification & Ratings (Sutton Bridge Project) Step 5: Credit Enhancements (10%)
Step 4: Force Majeure Risk (10%) Step 3: Institutional Risk (17%) Step 1: Project-Level Risk
(20%) Step 2: Sovereign Risk (23%) 30% 15% 20% 10% 25% Total of 80%. We apply a rating
of „BBB‟
33. Sensitivity Analysis (Project IRR)
34.
35. Sensitivity Analysis (Project IRR cont)

4. 36. Sensitivity Analysis (Equity IRR)
37. Sensitivity Analysis (DSCR)
38. Sensitivity Analysis (DSCR cont)
39. Key Lessons As one of the earliest virtual power plants it was able to float with no PPA.
Innovation in adapting to new opportunity in regards to the new regulations. Securing
investment grade rating despite having no Power Purchase Agreement Extensive risk mitigation
in a traditional IPP leads to a low-risk/low-return investment
40. Project Financing was done with a great Debt-Equity Ratio. Project enable to unbounded
returns with limited loss. Key Lessons (Millions) Amount Percent Long Term Debt: Total
Long Term Debt £286.00 85.% Equity: Partners Equity £51.00 15% Total
Capitalization £337.0 100.0%
41. What Happened Since Enron put Sutton Bridge up for sale in Sept 1999, just four months
after it went into operation. London Electricity, through its affiliate London Power, agreed to
buy Enron's equity interest in Sutton Bridge power station. The pant was purchased for
£156million plus working capital balances of £ 22.8 million and assumed £286 million of debt
EDF announced in 2008 that it would sell Sutton Bridge to overcome objections to its takeover
of British Energy.
42. What Happened Since Enron reported earnings of $101 billion in 2000. Enron used
accounting techniques to prevent significant losses from appearing on its financial statements.
Enron Corporation filed for Bankruptcy on late 2001.
43. What happened Since Eastern Group is to change its name to TXU Europe following its
recent acquisition by Texas Utilities, although the Eastern name will be retained for its UK
power distribution and household electricity supply businesses. The Eastern Group, is well on
the way to generating 10% of its electricity from renewable sources by the year 2010.
44. Thank you for your time Interested in doing business with us? Contact us at: 617-
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