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Michael Bazigos, PhD   Strategy and Change Executive, IBM Talent
12 May 2011
    ay 0




How IBM Develops Global Leaders
METRO Association of Applied Psychologists
New York, NY




 This document is an incomplete representation of the presentation without the speaker’s accompanying comments.


                                                                                                 © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


We began as a small company in a different era, and have been in
business f 100 years
b i      for

                                         International Business Machines
                                                      1924




      Tabulating Machine Corporation
                           1893




2                                                                  © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Insert slides re: changes from annual report




                           1970   1980   1990   2000

3                                                      © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders




4
                      1992        Current   © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Years ago, we saw change coming, and began changing the business mix
        g ,              g         g,       g       g g
to higher-value, more profitable technologies and market opportunities




5                                                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders



Today,
Today we run a business model that delivers long-term value
and high performance
    Key objectives over the next five years:
    •G
     Growth markets approach 30% of geographic revenue
         th    k t         h      f        hi
    • Software becomes about half of segment profit
    • $100 b in free cash flow
    • $ b of capital returned to shareholders
      $70
    • $20 b in spending on acquisitions




      * Excludes acquisition-related and nonoperating retirement-related charges.
     ** 2000 & 2001 exclude Enterprise Investments and not restated for stock-based compensation. Sum of external segment pre-tax income not equal to IBM
     pre-tax income.
6                                                                                                                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Business strategy




      GROWTH                        CLOUD          BUSINESS          SMARTER
      MARKETS                     COMPUTING        ANALYTICS          PLANET




    Approach 30%                  $7 billion in   $16 billion in   $10 billion in
    of geographic                 revenue by      revenue by       revenue by
    revenue by                    2015            2015             2015
    2015

7                                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


We became a globally integrated enterprise, improving productivity and
capturing new growth
   t i            th




8                                                                © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders




Major Markets
M j M k t vs. G
              Growth Markets
                  th M k t




     Source: 2008 IBM Annual Report

9                                     © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders




              LEADERSHIP FOR GROWTH
                     MARKETS




10                                © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


20 countries for selected market expansion and growth
                                                                                             Market Expansion
     IT Market Size & Growth
     IT as a % of GDP
     Macro-economic
                                                                                             Russia
     Business Environment
     Political Environment
     Human Capital
     Physical Infrastructure
                                                                                    Russia
     Economic Recovery
     Government Effectiveness                    Poland
                                         Czech Republic

                                                                                                      South Korea
                                                                                                      China
                                                                                                      Taiwan
               Mexico                                                    UAE                          Vietnam
                                                               Saudi Arabia                           Philippines
                                                                               India
                                                                               Thailand
                                        Brazil                                 Malaysia
                                                                               Singapore                  Australia

                                Chile                                          Indonesia
                                                          South Africa




11
11                                                                                                      © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


IBM is expanding into new markets and creating branches in
established countries
                                                                                                                         Market Expansion
                                2000        2010 2015
 Countries with
 IBM offices
      ff                         42          56   74
                                2000        2010 2015
 Branch Offices
 Countries with                  95         261 455
 IBM offices                     42           56  74
 Branch Offices                  95          261 455                        Riga
                                                                        Warsaw P Prague
                                                                                         Moscow

                                                                        Budapest       Kiev
                                                                                      Bucharest
                                                                           Zagreb
                                                                                             Sofia                             Seoul
                                                                                  Istanbul            Lahore          Beijing
                                                                            Tunis                                                Busan
                                                         Casablanca                          Islamabad     Delhi
                                                                                Cairo                                         Shanghai
                           Monterrey                                                          Karachi
                                                                                                      Mumbai                Guangzhou
                           Mexico City                                                         Dubai
                                                                                               D b i                   Hanoi
             Guadalajara                                                                                      Bangkok
                           Barranquilla Caracas                                                    Bangalore                  Manila
                           Medellin     Valencia
                               Cali Bogota                                                           Kuala Lumpur
                            Quito                     Fortaleza                                                          Singapore
                                                      Recife                                                   Jakarta
                              Lima         Brasilia
                            Arequipa
                                q p                  Salvador                                                                         Northern Territory
                           Antofagasta             Belo Horizonte
                                                  Rio de Janeiro                                                                                  Queensland
                                Tucuman        Sao Paulo                                                          Western Australia
                                Cordoba       Porto Alegre                          Johannesburg                                          NSW
                              Mendoza        Montevideo                                                                                            Auckland
                                                                      Cape Town     Durban                                                ACT
                            Santiago                                                                                                 Victoria
                                          Buenos Aires                                                                                     Wellington
                                                                                                                                 Tasmania Christchurch




12
12                                                                                                                                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders

IBM has invested in growth markets in infrastructure & skills for long
t         th
term growth
A Globally Integrated Enterprise

     Global Delivery Center
     Software & Hardware Lab
                                                             Poland                 Russia
     Research Lab
     Innovation Center                      Czech Republic   Slovakia
     Cloud Computing Center                                  Hungary
                                                   Romania
     Micro-financing Hub
                                                             Turkey                              South Korea
                                                                                    China
     Natural Resources
                                                             Egypt
     Telecommunications                     Morocco
                              Mexico
                                                                                                    Vietnam
     Rail                                                                   India

     Health                                                                                      Philippines

     Energy                                                                          Malaysia
                                              Brazil                                 Singapore
     Finance
                            Peru
     Retail
                                                                                        Australia
                                                             South Africa
                                       Argentina




13
13                                                                                                        © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


 IBM has become a globally integrated enterprise in order to capture
 the b t
 th best growth opportunities and improve profitability
             th      t iti      di            fit bilit




14                                                          © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Global Enablement Teams

 Program links small teams of global executives to IBM country
 leaders and their teams in emerging economies


  Deepen global mindsets
  Enable competence in cultural
   adaptability
  Better connect local country
   teams to the global company
             h l b l
   agenda
  Consistent with our philosophy
   of l d
     f leaders d
               developing l d
                   l i leaders,
   leaders developing themselves



                                          Khazakhstan
15                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Eighteen countries have been commissioned across three waves



           WAVE 1                      WAVE 2             WAVE 3
 • Egypt                          • Chile            • Argentina
 • K
   Kazakhstan
       kh t                       • C
                                    Czech R
                                        h Republic
                                              bli    • C l bi
                                                       Columbia
 • Mexico                         • Indonesia        • Hungary
 • Nigeria                        • Malaysia         • Philippines
 • Poland                                            • Saudi Arabia
 • South Africa                                      • Slovakia
 • Vietnam                                           • Thailand



16                                                             © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Program Results



 Positive reaction to program by both GET members and
  country leaders
 Increased knowledge and capability in:
                     g        p    y
    – developing strategy and
    –executing strategy
 Country leader behavior change
 Business continuity during times of challenge and change




17                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Corporate Service Corps
    A global training ground to develop
     leaders in strategic emerging markets

    Short-term assignments that engage
     IBMers with communities,
     governments and non-governmental
     organizations

    Since July of 2008, we have sent more
     than 1,000 IBMers globally to 20
     countries

    IBM clients launching or considering
     similar programs: Deere, Dow,
     Corning, FedEx, JP Morgan Chase,
            g,       ,       g          ,
     Novartis, Pepsi

    US Agency for International
     Development (USAID) collaborating
     with IBM to help smaller companies
     create their own programs
18                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


The growth agenda has been infused throughout the talent management
process


 Topline organization redesign: Growth Market Unit (GMU)
 Deep dive reviews of leadership talent pipelines
 Chairman involvement in GMU leadership development
 Competency model revalidation (next section)
 University partnerships
 Assessment Centers: “Global Development Centers”
 Mobility assignments




19                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Linguistically diverse teams can either build incredible solutions... or
construct a tower of babble
    t t t            f b bbl




                        Patented IBM translation technology at the
                            League of Nations, Geneva, 1931
20                                                                    © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Enter n.Fluent…

                                   Translates English to and from:
                                     – Arabic
                                     – Chinese (simplified and traditional)
                                     – French
                                     – German
                                     – Italian
                                     – Japanese
                                     – Korean
                                     – Portuguese
                                             g
                                     – Russian
                                     – Spanish
                                   Crowdsources translation corrections
                                    to improve the software in real time
                                   More secure than external providers
                                   Next step: speech-to-speech
                                    translation (“MASTOR”) in beta

21                                                             © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders




                                  COMPETENCIES




22                                               © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


The IBM Leadership Framework




23                                © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


In 2010 IBM announced a new set of nine capabilities called “IBMers at our
Best”
B t”

      Embrace challenge

      Partner for clients' success

      Collaborate globally

      Act with a systemic perspective              IBMers
      Build mutual trust                            at our
      Influence through expertise                    Best
      Continuously transform

      Communicate for impact

      Help IBMers succeed



24                                                               © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Act with a systemic perspective

     IBMers are systems thinkers. We help
     our clients, our colleagues and the world
     understand and design the essential
     dimensions of any system – how it
     senses, maps and analyzes information,
                                                         Thinking Systemically
     detects underlying patterns, and
     translates that knowledge into belief and       Gathering data to identify root
     action. We help others see this end-to-                    causes
     end view, synthesizing information from
     many dimensions – whether the system             Making timely and effective
     in question is technological economic
                    technological, economic,                   decisions
                                                               d i i
     societal, cultural or natural. This systemic
     view allows us to frame problems
     properly, and to take the right action in
                                                     Acting decisively, taking risks
     the right way at the right time. It also lets
                                time                       when appropriate
                                                                  pp p
     us anticipate the impact of our actions on
     others. Knowing all this, we act wisely
     while boldly taking the right risks.



25                                                                             © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Competencies Explain Most of What Matters to Performance
Relative contribution of competencies to performance




                     Factors Influencing
                                                                                                   Breakdown of the 56%
                    Performance Ratings
                                                                                                    Competency Portion
     All underlying correlations statistically significant. Odds of a chance finding are less than 1 in 100.
26   Data sources:Senior leaders’ 360-degree competency ratings (“Total Others”) and performance ratings by their manager   © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Does a 56% explanation matter? Compared to what?

                                 LINKAGE                                               r                      % variance
                                                                                                              explained
       Smoking and lung cancer after 25                                              .08
                                                                                      08                            < 1%
       years*
       Antihistamines and reduced nasal                                               .11                            1%
       discharge*
       Ibuprofen and pain reduction*                                                  .14                            2%


       Height and weight of US adults*                                                .44                           19%


       SAT (verbal) and freshman GPA**                                                .47                           22%


       SAT (math) and freshman GPA
                               GPA**                                                  .48                           23%


       IBM Competencies and executive                                                 .75                           56%
       performance
     * Hogan, R.T. (2011). Issues, controversies, and advancements in workplace assessment . Panel discussion at the 2011 Conference of I/O
     Psychologists, Session #193.

     ** http://fairtest.org/sat-i-faulty-instrument-predicting-college-success
27                                                                                                                             © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


IBMers at Our Best: Creating the Future of IBM




         Expertise                +       Capabilities             +        Leadership




     Job Role Expertise:                Career Capabilities:           Leadership Competencies:

     Combination f kill
     C bi i of skills                 The broader
                                      Th b d qualifications
                                                       lifi i          Behaviors unique to IBM
                                                                       B h i        i       IBMers
        and behaviors                  to grow and flourish in a          that distinguish the
     required to perform a              chosen career at IBM.                  company.
      specific job at IBM.



28                                                                                      © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders




                SELECTING FOR GROWTH




29                                 © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Approach


      New scoring process was used to retro-score MD incumbents and place them into three
       categories

        – Recommend
        – Needs Development / Not at this time
        – Not recommended
      Two assessments were then made
        – Comparison of utility gains for prediction of new selection method vs. “Acme” firm’s
          predictions
        – Revenue dollar utility of the incremental gain in selection accuracy




30                                                                                     © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Populating the MD role with superstars begins with accurate
identification

                                            Identifying Superstar MDs

                           20%



                           15%
                                                                                            History
               enue CAGR
                       R




                                                                                         suggests an
                                                                                         multi-billion
                           10%                                                           3-year gain
                                                                                           for MDs
     3-Year Reve




                           5%
                                                                                          using the
                                                                                         new, robust
                                                                                         assessment
                           0%
                                 Not recommended     Needs development /   Recommended
                                                      Not Recommended

                           -5%
                                                   Assessment Status


31                                                                                          © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


Our stress test retro “selected” top 39%. Resulting success rate of 82% is in line
with (and exceeds) i d t b
 ith ( d         d ) industry benchmarks when di i i ti at th 40% l
                                   h   k   h discriminating t the         level.l




                                                                                         82%




                                                                            Benchmark    IBM




Source: “Business value of employee selection”, Wayne Cascio, 11/2009, NYC to METRO Applied Psychology Association

32                                                                                                      © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders


External estimates of executive success rates


90%

                                                                                                                          82%
80%


                                                                                                          70%
70%


                                                           60%                        61%
60%


                                    50%
50%



40%
              33%

30%



20%



10%



 0%
         Peter Drucker         Hogan, Hogan            Old (BEI) MD         Actual IBM MD assessment   Jack & Suzy      New IBM
         estimate (1985)
           ti t               &K i
                               Kaiser (I press)
                                      (In     )   recommendations (2002
                                                            d ti   (2002-           (2002 - 2009)      Welch
                                                                                                       W l h (2007)   MD assessment
                                                                                                                                  t
                                                           2009)                                                          (2009)




33                                                                                                                     © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders




                                  Questions?
                                  Q   ti   ?




34                                             © 2011 IBM Corporation
How IBM Develops Global Leaders




                                  Michael N. Bazigos, PhD
                                  mnb12@columbia.edu
                                  www.bazigos.com


                                  Connect with me on                   :
                                  http://www.linkedin.com/in/bazigos
                                  http://www linkedin com/in/bazigos




35                                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation

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How IBM develops global leaders

  • 1. Michael Bazigos, PhD Strategy and Change Executive, IBM Talent 12 May 2011 ay 0 How IBM Develops Global Leaders METRO Association of Applied Psychologists New York, NY This document is an incomplete representation of the presentation without the speaker’s accompanying comments. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 2. How IBM Develops Global Leaders We began as a small company in a different era, and have been in business f 100 years b i for International Business Machines 1924 Tabulating Machine Corporation 1893 2 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 3. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Insert slides re: changes from annual report 1970 1980 1990 2000 3 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 4. How IBM Develops Global Leaders 4 1992 Current © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 5. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Years ago, we saw change coming, and began changing the business mix g , g g, g g g to higher-value, more profitable technologies and market opportunities 5 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 6. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Today, Today we run a business model that delivers long-term value and high performance Key objectives over the next five years: •G Growth markets approach 30% of geographic revenue th k t h f hi • Software becomes about half of segment profit • $100 b in free cash flow • $ b of capital returned to shareholders $70 • $20 b in spending on acquisitions * Excludes acquisition-related and nonoperating retirement-related charges. ** 2000 & 2001 exclude Enterprise Investments and not restated for stock-based compensation. Sum of external segment pre-tax income not equal to IBM pre-tax income. 6 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 7. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Business strategy GROWTH CLOUD BUSINESS SMARTER MARKETS COMPUTING ANALYTICS PLANET Approach 30% $7 billion in $16 billion in $10 billion in of geographic revenue by revenue by revenue by revenue by 2015 2015 2015 2015 7 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 8. How IBM Develops Global Leaders We became a globally integrated enterprise, improving productivity and capturing new growth t i th 8 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 9. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Major Markets M j M k t vs. G Growth Markets th M k t Source: 2008 IBM Annual Report 9 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 10. How IBM Develops Global Leaders LEADERSHIP FOR GROWTH MARKETS 10 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 11. How IBM Develops Global Leaders 20 countries for selected market expansion and growth Market Expansion IT Market Size & Growth IT as a % of GDP Macro-economic Russia Business Environment Political Environment Human Capital Physical Infrastructure Russia Economic Recovery Government Effectiveness Poland Czech Republic South Korea China Taiwan Mexico UAE Vietnam Saudi Arabia Philippines India Thailand Brazil Malaysia Singapore Australia Chile Indonesia South Africa 11 11 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 12. How IBM Develops Global Leaders IBM is expanding into new markets and creating branches in established countries Market Expansion 2000 2010 2015 Countries with IBM offices ff 42 56 74 2000 2010 2015 Branch Offices Countries with 95 261 455 IBM offices 42 56 74 Branch Offices 95 261 455 Riga Warsaw P Prague Moscow Budapest Kiev Bucharest Zagreb Sofia Seoul Istanbul Lahore Beijing Tunis Busan Casablanca Islamabad Delhi Cairo Shanghai Monterrey Karachi Mumbai Guangzhou Mexico City Dubai D b i Hanoi Guadalajara Bangkok Barranquilla Caracas Bangalore Manila Medellin Valencia Cali Bogota Kuala Lumpur Quito Fortaleza Singapore Recife Jakarta Lima Brasilia Arequipa q p Salvador Northern Territory Antofagasta Belo Horizonte Rio de Janeiro Queensland Tucuman Sao Paulo Western Australia Cordoba Porto Alegre Johannesburg NSW Mendoza Montevideo Auckland Cape Town Durban ACT Santiago Victoria Buenos Aires Wellington Tasmania Christchurch 12 12 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 13. How IBM Develops Global Leaders IBM has invested in growth markets in infrastructure & skills for long t th term growth A Globally Integrated Enterprise Global Delivery Center Software & Hardware Lab Poland Russia Research Lab Innovation Center Czech Republic Slovakia Cloud Computing Center Hungary Romania Micro-financing Hub Turkey South Korea China Natural Resources Egypt Telecommunications Morocco Mexico Vietnam Rail India Health Philippines Energy Malaysia Brazil Singapore Finance Peru Retail Australia South Africa Argentina 13 13 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 14. How IBM Develops Global Leaders IBM has become a globally integrated enterprise in order to capture the b t th best growth opportunities and improve profitability th t iti di fit bilit 14 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 15. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Global Enablement Teams Program links small teams of global executives to IBM country leaders and their teams in emerging economies  Deepen global mindsets  Enable competence in cultural adaptability  Better connect local country teams to the global company h l b l agenda  Consistent with our philosophy of l d f leaders d developing l d l i leaders, leaders developing themselves Khazakhstan 15 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 16. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Eighteen countries have been commissioned across three waves WAVE 1 WAVE 2 WAVE 3 • Egypt • Chile • Argentina • K Kazakhstan kh t • C Czech R h Republic bli • C l bi Columbia • Mexico • Indonesia • Hungary • Nigeria • Malaysia • Philippines • Poland • Saudi Arabia • South Africa • Slovakia • Vietnam • Thailand 16 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 17. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Program Results  Positive reaction to program by both GET members and country leaders  Increased knowledge and capability in: g p y – developing strategy and –executing strategy  Country leader behavior change  Business continuity during times of challenge and change 17 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 18. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Corporate Service Corps  A global training ground to develop leaders in strategic emerging markets  Short-term assignments that engage IBMers with communities, governments and non-governmental organizations  Since July of 2008, we have sent more than 1,000 IBMers globally to 20 countries  IBM clients launching or considering similar programs: Deere, Dow, Corning, FedEx, JP Morgan Chase, g, , g , Novartis, Pepsi  US Agency for International Development (USAID) collaborating with IBM to help smaller companies create their own programs 18 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 19. How IBM Develops Global Leaders The growth agenda has been infused throughout the talent management process  Topline organization redesign: Growth Market Unit (GMU)  Deep dive reviews of leadership talent pipelines  Chairman involvement in GMU leadership development  Competency model revalidation (next section)  University partnerships  Assessment Centers: “Global Development Centers”  Mobility assignments 19 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 20. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Linguistically diverse teams can either build incredible solutions... or construct a tower of babble t t t f b bbl Patented IBM translation technology at the League of Nations, Geneva, 1931 20 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 21. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Enter n.Fluent…  Translates English to and from: – Arabic – Chinese (simplified and traditional) – French – German – Italian – Japanese – Korean – Portuguese g – Russian – Spanish  Crowdsources translation corrections to improve the software in real time  More secure than external providers  Next step: speech-to-speech translation (“MASTOR”) in beta 21 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 22. How IBM Develops Global Leaders COMPETENCIES 22 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 23. How IBM Develops Global Leaders The IBM Leadership Framework 23 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 24. How IBM Develops Global Leaders In 2010 IBM announced a new set of nine capabilities called “IBMers at our Best” B t”  Embrace challenge  Partner for clients' success  Collaborate globally  Act with a systemic perspective IBMers  Build mutual trust at our  Influence through expertise Best  Continuously transform  Communicate for impact  Help IBMers succeed 24 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 25. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Act with a systemic perspective IBMers are systems thinkers. We help our clients, our colleagues and the world understand and design the essential dimensions of any system – how it senses, maps and analyzes information, Thinking Systemically detects underlying patterns, and translates that knowledge into belief and Gathering data to identify root action. We help others see this end-to- causes end view, synthesizing information from many dimensions – whether the system Making timely and effective in question is technological economic technological, economic, decisions d i i societal, cultural or natural. This systemic view allows us to frame problems properly, and to take the right action in Acting decisively, taking risks the right way at the right time. It also lets time when appropriate pp p us anticipate the impact of our actions on others. Knowing all this, we act wisely while boldly taking the right risks. 25 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 26. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Competencies Explain Most of What Matters to Performance Relative contribution of competencies to performance Factors Influencing Breakdown of the 56% Performance Ratings Competency Portion All underlying correlations statistically significant. Odds of a chance finding are less than 1 in 100. 26 Data sources:Senior leaders’ 360-degree competency ratings (“Total Others”) and performance ratings by their manager © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 27. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Does a 56% explanation matter? Compared to what? LINKAGE r % variance explained Smoking and lung cancer after 25 .08 08 < 1% years* Antihistamines and reduced nasal .11 1% discharge* Ibuprofen and pain reduction* .14 2% Height and weight of US adults* .44 19% SAT (verbal) and freshman GPA** .47 22% SAT (math) and freshman GPA GPA** .48 23% IBM Competencies and executive .75 56% performance * Hogan, R.T. (2011). Issues, controversies, and advancements in workplace assessment . Panel discussion at the 2011 Conference of I/O Psychologists, Session #193. ** http://fairtest.org/sat-i-faulty-instrument-predicting-college-success 27 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 28. How IBM Develops Global Leaders IBMers at Our Best: Creating the Future of IBM Expertise + Capabilities + Leadership Job Role Expertise: Career Capabilities: Leadership Competencies: Combination f kill C bi i of skills The broader Th b d qualifications lifi i Behaviors unique to IBM B h i i IBMers and behaviors to grow and flourish in a that distinguish the required to perform a chosen career at IBM. company. specific job at IBM. 28 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 29. How IBM Develops Global Leaders SELECTING FOR GROWTH 29 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 30. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Approach  New scoring process was used to retro-score MD incumbents and place them into three categories – Recommend – Needs Development / Not at this time – Not recommended  Two assessments were then made – Comparison of utility gains for prediction of new selection method vs. “Acme” firm’s predictions – Revenue dollar utility of the incremental gain in selection accuracy 30 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 31. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Populating the MD role with superstars begins with accurate identification Identifying Superstar MDs 20% 15% History enue CAGR R suggests an multi-billion 10% 3-year gain for MDs 3-Year Reve 5% using the new, robust assessment 0% Not recommended Needs development / Recommended Not Recommended -5% Assessment Status 31 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 32. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Our stress test retro “selected” top 39%. Resulting success rate of 82% is in line with (and exceeds) i d t b ith ( d d ) industry benchmarks when di i i ti at th 40% l h k h discriminating t the level.l 82% Benchmark IBM Source: “Business value of employee selection”, Wayne Cascio, 11/2009, NYC to METRO Applied Psychology Association 32 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 33. How IBM Develops Global Leaders External estimates of executive success rates 90% 82% 80% 70% 70% 60% 61% 60% 50% 50% 40% 33% 30% 20% 10% 0% Peter Drucker Hogan, Hogan Old (BEI) MD Actual IBM MD assessment Jack & Suzy New IBM estimate (1985) ti t &K i Kaiser (I press) (In ) recommendations (2002 d ti (2002- (2002 - 2009) Welch W l h (2007) MD assessment t 2009) (2009) 33 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 34. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Questions? Q ti ? 34 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 35. How IBM Develops Global Leaders Michael N. Bazigos, PhD mnb12@columbia.edu www.bazigos.com Connect with me on : http://www.linkedin.com/in/bazigos http://www linkedin com/in/bazigos 35 © 2011 IBM Corporation