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The future
Gavin Giovannoni
Disclosures
Professor Giovannoni has received personal compensation for
participating on Advisory Boards in relation to clinical trial design,
trial steering committees and data and safety monitoring
committees from: Abbvie, Bayer-Schering Healthcare, Biogen-Idec,
Canbex, Eisai, Elan, Fiveprime, Genzyme, Genentech, GSK, GW
Pharma, Ironwood, Merck-Serono, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche,
Sanofi-Aventis, Synthon BV, Teva, UCB Pharma and Vertex
Pharmaceuticals.
Professor Giovannoni would like to acknowledge several
companies and colleagues for making available data slides for this
presentation.
Musings
21 October 2015
4 December 1985
21 October 2015
4 December 1985
21 October 2015
?
The Future
Images courtesy of Professor Gavin Giovannoni
ESRF
end-stage renal failure
Epstein Bar Virus
Genetics
Vitamin D
Smoking
Risks
Adverse events
Differentia
l
Diagnosis
MRI
Evoked
Potentials
Lumbar
puncture
Blood
Tests
Diagnostic
Criteria
Cognition
Depression
Fatigue
Bladder
Bowel
Sexual
dysfunction Tremor
Pain
Swallowing
SpasticityFalls
Balance
problems Insomnia
Restless
legsFertility
Clinical trials
Gait
Pressure
sores
Oscillopsia
Emotional
lability
Seizures
Gastrostomy
Rehab
Suprapubic
catheter Intrathecal
baclofen
Physio-
therapy
Speech
therapy
Occupational
Therapy
Functional
neurosurgery
Colostomy
Tendonotomy
Studying
Employment
Relationships
Travel
Vaccination
Anxiety
Driving
Nurse
specialists
Family
counselling
Relapse
s
1st line
2nd line
Maintenance Escalation Induction
Monitoring
Disease-free
Disease
progression
DMTs
Side Effects
Advanced
Directive
Exercise
Diet
Alternative
Medicine
Pregnancy
Breast
Feeding
Research
Insurance
Visual loss
Palliative
Care
Assisted
suicide
Social
service
s
Legal
aid
Genetic
counselling
Prevention
Diagnosis
DMT
Symptomatic
Therapist
Terminal
Counselling
Intrathecal
phenol
Fractures
Movement
disorders
Osteopaeni
a
Brain
atrophy
Hearing loss
Tinnitus
Photophobia
Hiccoughs
DVLA
Neuroprotection
Psychosis
Depersonaliation
Brain
Health
Cognitive
Reserve
Sudden
death
Suicide
OCD
Narcolepsy
Apnoea
Carers
Respite
Hospic
e
Respite
Dignita
s
Advanced
Directive
Rhiztomy
Wheelchair
Walking aids
Blood/Organ
donation
Brain
donation
Exercise therapy
NABs
Autoimmunit
y
Infections
Outcome measures
Web
Resources
Pathogenesis
Double
vision
What is
MS?
NEDA
T2T
OCT
Neurofilaments
JCV status
Pharma
Anaesthesia
www.ms-res.org
CIS
End-
organPPMS
The therapeutic pyramid
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
The therapeutic pyramid
The Future
or
Futility?
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
The therapeutic pyramid
Consequences of increasing EDSS scores: loss of employment
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Work Capacity by Disability Level
0.0/1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 6.5 7.0 8.0/9.0
EDSS Score
ProportionofMSers≤65YearsOld
Working(%)
The proportion of MSers employed or on long-term sick leave is calculated as a percentage of MSers aged 65 or younger.
1. Kobelt G et al. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2006;77:918-926;
2. Pfleger CC et al. Mult Scler. 2010;16:121-126.
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Italy
Germany
Belgium
Austria
~10 yrs2
57%
7%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
CISers
n = 40
Feuillet et al. Mult Scler. 2007.
Healthy Controls
n = 30
p < 0.0001
Deficits were found mainly in memory, speed of information
processing, attention and executive functioning.
MSers failing
≥ 2 cognitive
tests
Cognition in early multiple sclerosis
Brain atrophy occurs across all stages of the disease
De Stefano, et al. Neurology 2010
n= 963 MSers
11,000 to 1
Trapp, et al. NEJM 1998;338:278-85
Juxtacortical gray matter lesion Intra-cortical gray matter lesions Subpial gray matter lesions
Cortex
White matter
Types of cortical lesions
Social functioning
Pfleger et al. Multiple Sclerosis 2010; 16(7) 878–882.
‘Rebranding’ MS a dementia - definition of
dementia
Dementia is a loss of mental ability severe enough to interfere
with normal activities of daily living, lasting more than six
months, not present since birth, and not associated with a loss
or alteration of consciousness.
• Interfere with normal activities of daily living
• Physical
• Mental
• Social
• Occupational
• Lasting more than six months
• Not present since birth
• Not associated with a loss or alteration of consciousness







“Multiple sclerosis is therefore a preventable
dementia.”
DSM IV
Remyelination
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
The therapeutic pyramid
Remyelination
Nogo, MAG, OMgP
Lingo-1-NgR-
p75NTR
GAP-43
NCAM
Neuregulin
Slide courtesy of Klaus Schmierer.
Premyelinating oligodendrocytes
in chronic MS lesions1
Negative regulators of OPC
differentiation have been identified2,3
Investigating LINGO-1 as a target for
remyelination
and neuroprotection/neuroreparation
OPC=oligodendrocyte precursor cells; NCAM=neural cell adhesion molecule;
PSA=polysialic acid; RNAi=ribonucleic acid interference.
1. Chang A et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;346:165-173; 2. Adapted from Rudick RA et al. Expert Opin Biol Ther. 2008;8:1561-1570;
3. Mi S et al. Ann Neurol. 2009;65:304-315; 4. Mi S et al. Nat Neurosci. 2005;8:745-751; 5. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Philadelphia, USA; 2014:P2.262.
In vivo effects of anti-LINGO-1 in
rat optic nerve crush model5
Reduced neurodegeneration and
increased axonal outgrowth (arrows) vs
control
Control RNAiLINGO-1 RNAi
In vitro effects of LINGO-1 blockade4
Mature
oligodendrocy
te
OPCs
Differentiatio
n
LINGO-1,
PSA-NCAM,
Notch
Anti-LINGO-
1
treatment
Proximal Distal
Control
treatment
Fluorescein isothiocyanate-conjugated
cholera toxin B–labeled axons after optic
nerve crush and vehicle injection
Premyelinating oligodendrocytes
in chronic MS lesions1
Negative regulators of OPC
differentiation have been identified2,3
Investigating LINGO-1 as a target for
remyelination
and neuroprotection/neuroreparation
OPC=oligodendrocyte precursor cells; NCAM=neural cell adhesion molecule;
PSA=polysialic acid; RNAi=ribonucleic acid interference.
1. Chang A et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;346:165-173; 2. Adapted from Rudick RA et al. Expert Opin Biol Ther. 2008;8:1561-1570;
3. Mi S et al. Ann Neurol. 2009;65:304-315; 4. Mi S et al. Nat Neurosci. 2005;8:745-751; 5. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Philadelphia, USA; 2014:P2.262.
In vivo effects of anti-LINGO-1 in
rat optic nerve crush model5
Reduced neurodegeneration and
increased axonal outgrowth (arrows) vs
control
Control RNAiLINGO-1 RNAi
In vitro effects of LINGO-1 blockade4
Mature
oligodendrocy
te
OPCs
Differentiatio
n
LINGO-1,
PSA-NCAM,
Notch
Anti-LINGO-
1
treatment
Proximal Distal
Fluorescein isothiocyanate-conjugated
cholera toxin B–labeled axons after optic
nerve crush and vehicle injection
Anti-LINGO-1 results in remyelination in animal models of CNS
demyelination2
LPC=lysophosphatidylcholine/lysolecithin; mAb=monoclonal antibody.
Adapted from 1. Mi S et al. Nature Neurosci. 2004;7:221-228; 2. Mi S et al. Ann Neurol. 2009;65:304-315.
1 µm
Control mAb Anti-LINGO-1
1 µm
Cuprizone
LPC
*
*
*
*
Demyelinated axons
*Remyelinated axons
EAE
New phase 2 study designs: Acute optic neuritis
to assess neuroprotection and remyelination
1. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Philadelphia, USA; 2014:P2.262
2. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA; 2015:P7.202.
RENEW1,2
Anti-LINGO-
1
(multi-
centre)
Anti-LINGO-1 (100 mg/kg IV Q4W
x 6)
Placebo (IV Q4W x 6)
Participants with
first episode of
unilateral AON
(n=82)
Randomised
within 4 weeks
of symptom
onset
Dosing period
20 weeks
Assessments at
24 and 32
weeks
3–5
days’
IV
steroid
s End of study
follow-up
32 weeks
Primary outcome: VEP
RENEW primary outcome: Anti-LINGO-1 and recovery of full-field VEP
latency in AON
*Adjusted mean change in optic nerve conduction latency of the affected eye compared with the unaffected fellow eye at baseline, Week 24
(ANCOVA), Week 32 (MMRM). ANCOVA=analysis of covariance; ITT=intent-to-treat; MMRM=mixed-effect model repeated measure; PP=per-
protocol.
Adapted from 1. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA; 2015:P008; 2. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA;
2015:P7.202.
Placebo 100 mg/kg anti-LINGO-1
25
20
15
10
5
0
PP ITT
22.24
14.69
20.83
17.34
Week 24
34%
Latency
recovery
P=0.05
17%
Latency
recovery
P=0.33
Adjustedmeanchangein
Full-fieldVEPlatency*(ms)
n=36 n=33 n=41 n=41
PP=Subjects who completed the study, did not miss >1 dose of treatment
and did not receive MS modifying therapy
ITT=All randomised subjects who received ≥1 dose of study treatment
PP ITT
22.35
13.22
21.15
15.08
Week 32
41%
Latency
recovery
P=0.01
29%
Latency
recovery
P=0.07
n=36 n=33 n=41 n=41
Remyelination
Nogo, MAG, OMgP
Lingo-1-NgR-
p75NTR
GAP-43
NCAM
Neuregulin
Slide courtesy of Klaus Schmierer.
Agents in trial
1. GSK239512: histamine H(3)
receptor antagonist
2. BIIB033: anti-LINGO-1
3. Clemastine: anti-histamine
4. IRX4204 & Bexarotene: RXR-
agonist
5. Etc.
Neuroprotection
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
The therapeutic pyramid
Acuteaxonal
transection
“Inflammatory scissors or shredder”
Acute neuroprotection
Axon
NO
Microglia
Na+
Na+/K+
ATPaseNaV1.6
Reverse
NCX
ATP
ATP
Ca2+
ATPase
Ca2+
Na+
NaV1.6
Na+
Figure courtesy of Dr Raju Kapoor
ATP=adenosine triphosphate; NaV1.6=Sodium channel, voltage gated, type VIII, alpha subunit; NCX=sodium-calcium exchanger.
1. BD Trapp et al. N Engl J Med. 1998;338:278-285; 2. Bittner S et al. Ther Adv Neurol Disord. 2013;6:322-336.
Acute neuroprotection: targeting axonal energy levels may
achieve acute neuroprotection1,2
Acute optic neuritis (AON) to assess phenytoin (neuroprotection)
Phenytoin
Participants with
AON N=86
Phenytoin (4 mg/kg OD)
Placebo
Randomised
within 2 wks
of symptom
onset
Treatment
period
3 months
Monitoring
period
3 months
Primary
outcome
measures
Primary outcome measure: RNFL thickness
RNFL thickness Macular volume
1. Kapoor R et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA; 2015; 2. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01451593;
Primary outcome: RNFL
• Active-placebo
adjusted
difference 7.15 mm
(95% CI 1.08, 13.22
p=0.02)
• 30% reduction of
atrophy
in active group
• PP comparison:
Active-placebo
adjusted
difference 7.40 mm
(95% CI 0.76, 14.04
p=0.03)
50100150
RNFLaveragemm
Placebo Phenytoin
baseline UNaffected eye
Placebo Phenytoin
6m affected eye
Bars are standard errors around the unadjusted group means
Delayed/ongoing secondary
neurodegeneration1
“Post-inflammatory slow-burn”
Ongoing neuroprotection
TreatmentTargets
1. Inflammation2
a. Adaptive (B-cell follicles)3
b. Innate (activated microglia4 and
astrocytes5)
2. Axonal mechanisms6
a. Mitochondrial/energetics7
b. Axonal targets6
3. Remyelination8
4. Comorbidities/ageing (simvastatin)9
1. Trapp BD et al. N Engl J Med. 1998;338:278-285; 2. Loleit V et al. Curr Pharm Biotechnol. 2014;15:276–296; 3 Magliozzi R et al. Brain. 2007;130:1089-1104;
4. Rissanen E et al. J Nucl Med. 2014;55:939-944; 5. Mayo L et al. Nat Med. 2014;20:1147-1156; 6. Haines JD et al. Mt Sinai J Med. 2011;78:231-243;
7. Mahad D et al. Neuropathol Appl Neurobiol. 2008;34:577-589; 8. Münzel EJ et al. Drugs. 2013;73:2017-2029; 9. Chataway J et al. Lancet. 2014;383:2213-2221.
Targeting ongoing chronic neurodegeneration
Slide courtesy of Jeremy Chataway Chataway et al. Lancet 2014; 383: 2213–21.
BSI (Boundary Shift Integral)
Effect of high-dose simvastatin on brain atrophy and disability in secondary progressive
multiple sclerosis (MS-STAT): a randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial
www.ms-res.org
The off-patent
drug bill
Trial activity targeting progressive pathology
MRI Events
1st clinical
attack
Time (Years)
Subclinical
disease
Inflammation
Brain volume loss
Neuroaxonal loss
DiseaseSeverity
SPMSRRMS
1st MRI
lesion
Relapses
CISRIS R-SPMS
RIS = radiologically isolated syndrome; CIS = clinically isolated syndrome, RRMS = relapsing-remitting MS;
R-SPMS = relapsing secondary progressive MS; SPMS = secondary progressive MS; PPMS = primary progressive MS
Late SPMS: SMART STUDY
fluoxetine, amiloride, riluzole
Early SPMS:
oxcarbazepine
CIS: PHENYTOIN RRMS:
? DE-FLAMES STUDY
PPMS
PPMS: Laquinimod
SP&PPMS: Ibudilast
New antiinflammatories
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
The therapeutic pyramid
Flipping the pyramid
IMS, immunosuppressant; TNF, tumour necrosis factor
Reproduced from Gut, Ordás I, Feagan BG and Sandborn WJ, 1754–63, 2011 with permission from BMJ Publishing Group Ltd.
Corticosteroids
+ IMS
Corticosteroids
TNF
antagonist
± IMS
Conventional
step care
Accelerated
step care
Moderate
Severe
Early top-down
Levelofdisease
Flipping the
pyramid
Fingolimod
Fingolimod
Dimethyl
fumarate
Alemtuzumab
Natalizumab
Laquinimod
Daclizumab HYP
Rituximab
Cladribine
Teriflunomid
e
Ocrelizumab
Ofatumumab
Targeting immune regulation has been successful previously in RRMS
Lymph node
APC=antigen-presenting cell; B=B cell; BBB=blood-brain barrier; CD=cluster of differentiation; CNS=central nervous system; IFN=interferon; IL=interleukin; MØ=macrophage; NK=natural killer cell;
NO=nitric oxide; PC=plasma cell; S1P-R=Sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor; T=T cell; Th=T-helper cell; TNF=tumour necrosis factor; VCAM=vascular cell adhesion molecule; VLA=Integrin alpha4beta1.
Adapted from 1. Barten LJ et al. Drug Des Devel Ther. 2010;4:343-366; 2. Loleit V et al. Curr Pharm Biotechnol. 2014;15:276-296.
BBB CNSPeriphery
Approved
therapies
Investigational
agents
Daclizumab
Immunomodulatory Effect of Daclizumab Treatment
DAC treatment increases CD56bright NK cell proliferation via intermediate affinity IL-2
signaling1
Martin J et. al., J. Immunol, 2010.
53
Click to edit Master title styleDECIDE Study Design Overview
All patients had a minimum of 2 years and maximum of 3 years of treatment
The trial ended when the last patient randomized completed 2 years of treatment
96-144 week treatment period
RRMS Patients
(N=1841)
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 96 144
IM IFN beta-1a 30 mcg every 1 week (n=922)
SC DAC HYP 150 mg every 4 weeks (n=919)
Follow-up
Brain MRI
EDSS* EDSS* EDSS* EDSS* EDSS* EDSS*
*Also assessed at weeks 60, 72, 84, 108, 120, 132, 144. EDSS, Expanded Disability Status Scale; IFN, interferon; IM, intramuscular; mcg, micrograms;
MRI, magnetic resonance imagine; RRMS, relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis; SC, subcutaneous.
Inclusion Criteria:
• Age 18-55 years
• Confirmed RRMS1
• MRI consistent with MS
• Baseline EDSS 0-5
• ≥2 relapses within 3 years (≥1
in year prior to study)
• ≥1 relapse (or new MRI lesion)
within 2 years (≥1 in year prior
to study)
Time (weeks)
1:1 Randomization
53
54
Click to edit Master title styleAnnualized Relapse Rate (ARR)
(n=922) (n=919)
ARR
Estimated from a negative binomial regression model adjusted for baseline relapse rate, history of prior IFN beta use, baseline EDSS (≤2.5 vs > 2.5) and baseline age
(≤35 vs >35). Patients were censored at the earliest of the following events: 1) start of alternative MS medication, 2) 180 days post treatment discontinuation or 3)
end of treatment period. CI, confidence interval.
54
55
Click to edit Master title style
3-Month and 6-Month Confirmed Disability
Progression
Risk reduction: 16%; p=0.16
Proportion with progression
Week 48: 6% vs. 8%
Week 96: 12% vs. 14%
Week 144: 16% vs. 20%
BL 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144
Time on study (weeks)
BL 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144
Time on study (weeks)
Risk reduction: 27%; p=0.0332
Proportion with progression
Week 48: 4% vs. 7%
Week 96: 9% vs. 12%
Week 144: 13% vs. 18%
3-month* 6-month†
Proportionofpatientswith
confirmedprogressionofdisability
*3-month confirmed: Patients censored after tentative progression (n=67) analyzed per primary method in the statistical analysis plan: all imputed as non-progressors;
†6-month confirmed: Patients censored after tentative progression (n=108) imputed per observed rate in trial; tertiary endpoint. Estimated proportions are the average
over imputed datasets. For both endpoints risk reductions based on Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for baseline EDSS, history of prior IFN use, and age.
Ocrelizumab
Ocrelizumab is a humanized mAb that depletes CD20+ B cells
via multiple mechanisms
57
mAb, monoclonal antibody.
1. Jaglowski SM, et al. Blood 2010;116:3705–14; 2. Winiarska M, et al. Front Biosci 2011;16277–306; 3. Klein C, et al. MAbs 2013;5:22–33.
COMPLEMENT-DEPENDENT
CYTOTOXICITY1-3
DIRECT
APOPTOSIS1-3
ANTIBODY-DEPENDENT
CELLULAR PHAGOCYTOSIS1-3
ANTIBODY-DEPENDENT
CELLULAR CYTOTOXICITY1-3
58
B cells are depleted to a greater extent in lymphoid
compartments compared with bone marrow
58
LN-ing, lymph node-inguinal; LN-man, LN-mandibular.
Gelzleichter T, et al. ACTRIMS-ECTRIMS 2014; Poster 64654.
Cladribine
Cladribine is an analog of deoxyadenosine
• Cladribine is an analog of deoxyadenosine, one of the building blocks of DNA, that
differs from the naturally occurring nucleoside, deoxyadenosine by a chlorine
substitution for hydrogen1,2
• Cladribine is resistant to deamination by the enzyme adenosine deaminase (ADA) by
virtue of its structural design1,2
1. Carson DA et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 1980;77:6865-9. 2. Beutler E. Lancet 1992;340:952-6
OH
HO
O
N NCI
N
NH2
N
2-chlorodeoxyadenosine
(cladribine)
OH
HO
O
N NH
N
NH
2
N
Deoxyadenosine
Nitrogenou
s
base
Sugar
Phosphate
Backbone
Base pair
Adenine
Ribose
Cladribine Tablets lead to reductions in CD4+ T and CD8+
T cells
Placebo
(n=79)
Cladribine Tablets 3.5 mg/kg
(n=81)
Months
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324LA*
Cells/µL
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324LA*
Cells/µL
BLBL
Normal range:
500-1500/µL
Normal range:
300-1000/µL
CD4+ T cells CD8+ T cells
Months
Arrows indicate administration of Cladribine Tablets. 1 treatment week = 1 or 2 tablets over 4-5 days
during a 28-day period.
*LA performed at 26 months. BL, baseline; LA, last assessment.
Soelberg-Sørensen S et al. ENS 2009 [P359]. Leist TP, Weissert R. Clin Neuropharmacol 2011;34:28-35
Significant reduction in ARR vs
placebo over 2 years (primary endpoint)
0.33
0.14 0.15
Placebo
(n=437)
Cladribine
3.5 mg/kg
(n=433)
Annualizedrelapserate(95%CI)
Cladribine
5.25 mg/kg
(n=456)
(0.29, 0.38)
(0.12, 0.17)
(0.12, 0.17)
0.3
0
0.2
0
0.1
0
0.0
0
0.4
0
3.5 mg/kg vs placebo
57.6% relative
reduction
p<0.001
5.25 mg/kg vs
placebo
54.5% relative
reduction
p<0.001
ARR, annualized relapse rate.
Intent-to-treat population. Giovannoni G et al. N Engl J Med 2010;362:416-26
Significant delay in time to 3-month confirmed
disability progression (secondary endpoint)
Placebo
Cladribine Tablets 5.25 mg/kg
Cladribine Tablets 3.5 mg/kg
~30% reduction in
risk of developing
disability
progression at any
time point over 2
years
(96 weeks on
study)
Cladribine Tablets:
5.25 mg/kg and 3.5 mg/kg
10th percentile = 14.8 Study
months
Proportionof
patientswithprogression
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0 4 14 16 24
Study months
2 6 8 10 12 18 20 22
Placebo:
10th percentile = 11.8 Study months
5.25 mg/kg vs
placebo
Hazard ratio: 0.69
95% CI: 0.49, 0.96
p=0.026a
3.5 mg/kg vs placebo
Hazard ratio: 0.67
95% CI: 0.48, 0.93
p=0.018a
Prolongation of time to
sustained disability
progression by ~3
months
aThe hazard ratio, 95% CI, and p-values were estimated using Cox proportional hazards model with fixed effects for treatment
group and region.
Intent-to-treat population. Giovannoni G et al. N Engl J Med 2010;362:416-26. Data on file
Significantly more patients achieve
NEDAa over 2 years vs placebo
15.8
44.3
46
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Placebo
(n=379)
Cladribine 3.5
mg/kg (n=402)
ProportionofpatientswithNEDA
(%)
Cladribine 5.25
mg/kg
(n=411)
3.5 mg/kg vs placebo
Odds ratio: 4.28
95% CI: 3.05, 6.02
p<0.0001
5.25 mg/kg vs
placebo
Odds ratio: 4.62
95% CI: 3.29, 6.48
p<0.0001
NEDA, no evidence of disease activity.
Post hoc analysis. aNEDA was defined as having no relapses, no 3-month sustained change in EDSS score, no new T1 Gd+ lesions, and no
active T2 lesions. Giovannoni G et al. Lancet Neurol 2011;10:329-37
CLARITY EXT demonstrates the durable
efficacy of Cladribine Tablets on relapses and
reconfirms the efficacy outcomes of CLARITY
0.14 0.15 0.14 0.15
0.33
0.15 0.16
0.10 0.11 0.10
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
3.5 mg/kg CP 5.25 mg/kg CP 7 mg/kg CC 8.75 mg/kg CC 3.5 mg/kg PC
Cladribine Placebo
98 186 186 244437456456 433433 92
Annualizedrelapserate
n=
CLARITY
EXT
CLARITY CLARITY
EXT
CLARITY CLARITY
EXT
CLARITY CLARITY
EXT
CLARITY CLARITY
EXT
CLARITY
The similar ARRs seen in CLARITY and CLARITY EXT suggest that treatment with Cladribine Tablets leads to a
durable effect on ARR for up to 4 years. In addition, within-treatment group analysis of the 3.5 mg/kg PC group
(n=244)
demonstrated that switching to cladribine treatment in Years 3 and 4 led to a significant reduction in ARR in
patients previously treated with placebo in Years 1 and 2 (ARR fell from 0.25 to 0.10; p<0.001)a
CP=cladribine (3.5 mg/kg) in CLARITY, placebo in CLARITY EXT; PC=placebo in CLARITY, cladribine (3.5 mg/kg) in CLARITY EXT; CC=cladribine (3.5 or
5.25 mg/kg) in CLARITY, cladribine (3.5 mg/kg only) in CLARITY EXT. For each group, cladribine dose refers to cumulative dose over 4 years in
CLARITY EXT. ap-values for within-group comparisons were based on the two-sided Wilcoxon signed–rank test (see slide notes for more details).
Giovannoni G et al. N Engl J Med 2010;362:416-26. Giovannoni G et al. AAN 2013 [P07.119]
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
M3 M6 M9 M12 M15 M18 M21 M24
Time to McDonald MS conversion from randomization date (Months)
203 (0) 165 (37) 119 (82) 113 (87) 108 (88) 87 (95) 71 (96) 39 (98) 1 (99)Cladribine 5.25 mg/kg
204 (0) 167 (36) 114 (88) 108 (92) 92 (102) 82 (104) 71 (107) 39 (110) 3 (110)Cladribine 3.5 mg/kg
201 (0) 143 (58) 71 (128) 58 (141) 43 (154) 32 (162) 23 (165) 13 (169) 2 (169)Placebo
Patients at risk
(conversions):
87.1%
51.4%
56.1%
Hazard ratio vs placebob
5.25 mg/kg: 0.425, p<0.0001
3.5 mg/kg: 0.496, p<0.0001
Cumulativeincidence(%)
Risk reduction
5.25 mg/kg: 57.5%
3.5 mg/kg: 50.4%
Treatment with Cladribine Tablets reduces the risk of conversion
to McDonald 2005 MS in treatment-naïve patients with an FCDEa
– Cladribine 5.25 mg/kg
– Cladribine 3.5 mg/kg
– Placebo
M0
aPatients enrolled in ORACLE-MS were treatment-naïve with an FCDE at high risk of converting to MS. bCox proportional hazards model controlling for the
randomization stratification factor (region). FCDE, first clinical demyelinating event; M, Month. Leist TP et al. Lancet Neurol 2014;13:257-67
Affordable DMTs
Unequal access to DMTs
www.ms-res.org
Vetoing NICE
www.ms-res.org
www.ms-res.org
Adoption of innovations
Rapid adoption of innovations is “biggest unmet need
of all”
Adapted from Everett M. Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations
Large disparities exist in access to disease-modifying
therapies
1. Hollingworth S et al. J Clin Neurosci 2014;21:2083–7; 2. World Bank, 2015. http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL;
3. MSIF, 2013. http://www.atlasofms.org; 4. Wilsdon T et al. 2013. http://crai.com/sites/default/files/publications/CRA-Biogen-
Access-to-MS-Treatment-Final-Report.pdf
Australia
Norway
Denmark
Sweden
Belgium
Austria
Germany
France
Finland
Spain
Italy
Slovenia
United Kingdom
Poland
0 20 40 60 80 100
Newer DMT
Established DMT
No DMT
All people with MS (%)
All data are from 2013
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
1–3
Established DMTs
DMTs approved for relapsing
forms of MS during the 1990s
and reformulations or generic
versions of these substances.
Newer DMTs
DMTs approved for relapsing
forms of MS that have a
different mechanism of action
from established DMTs.
1st line
2nd line
3rd line
www.msbrainhealth.org
www.msbrainhealth.org
Baseline Month 6
Month 12 Month 18
Baseline Month 6
Month 12 Month 18
www.msbrainhealth.org
Neuro-restoration
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
Therapeutic pyramid
Anti-ageing
BrainHealthInitiative
• Smoking
• Exercise
• Diet
• Alcohol
• Sleep
• Co-morbidities
• Infections
• Concomitant medications
• ? Menopause / HRT
MS-specific
MS non-specific
Brain Health
Symptomatic therapies
10%
60%
5%
15%
5%
DMTs Symptomatic Diagnostic Admin Blog
Neurologist’s ClinicTime – Prof G
10%
20%
10%
15%
45%
DMTs Symptomatic Counselling Admin Monitoring
Clinical Nurse Specialist (CNS) ClinicTime
Epstein Bar Virus
Genetics
Vitamin D
Smoking
Risks
Adverse events
Differential
Diagnosis
MRI
Evoked
Potentials
Lumbar
puncture
Blood
Tests
Diagnostic
Criteria
Cognition
Depression
Fatigue
Bladder
Bowel
Sexual
dysfunction Tremor
Pain
Swallowing
SpasticityFalls
Balance
problems Insomnia
Restless
legsFertility
Clinical trials
Gait
Pressure
sores
Oscillopsia
Emotional
lability
Seizures
Gastrostomy
Rehab
Suprapubic
catheter Intrathecal
baclofen
Physio-
therapy
Speech
therapy
Occupational
Therapy
Functional
neurosurgery
Colostomy
Tendonotomy
Studying
Employment
Relationships
Travel
Vaccination
Anxiety
Driving
Nurse
specialists
Family
counselling
Relapses
1st line
2nd line
Maintenance Escalation Induction
Monitoring
Disease-free
Disease
progression
DMTs
Side Effects
Advanced
Directive
Exercise
Diet
Alternative
Medicine
Pregnancy
Breast
Feeding
Research
Insurance
Visual loss
Palliative
Care
Assisted
suicide
Social
services
Legal
aid
Genetic
counselling
Prevention
Diagnosis
DMT
Symptomatic
Therapist
Terminal
Counselling
Intrathecal
phenol
Fractures
Movement
disorders
Osteopaenia
Brain atrophy
Hearing loss
Tinnitus
Photophobia
Hiccoughs
DVLA
Neuroprotection
Psychosis
Depersonaliation
Brain
Health
Cognitive
Reserve
Sudden
death
Suicide
OCD
Narcolepsy
Apnoea
Carers
Respite
Hospice
Respite
Dignitas
Advanced
Directive
Rhiztomy
Wheelchair
Walking aids
Blood/Organ
donation
Brain donation
Exercise therapy
NABs
Autoimmunity
Infections
Outcome measures
Web
Resources
Pathogenesis
Double
vision
What is
MS?
NEDA
T2T
OCT
Neurofilaments
JCV status
Pharma
Anaesthesia
www.ms-res.org
Services
NHS 1950
NHS 2000
Uberization of Healthcare
Email
SMS
Private
ePortal
Letters
Clinic
Group
Clinics
Tele-
phone
Skype
Apps
Blog
Apps
Group
ePortal
SERVICEDEVELOPMENT
Lateral thinking
Is there a “Black Swan”?
Is the MS dogma wrong?
immune activation
innate and adaptive responses
focal inflammation
BBB breakdown
oligodendrocyte toxicity & demyelination
Acute axonal transection and loss
“autoimmune endophenotype”
axonal plasticity
& remyelination
delayed neuroaxonal loss and gliosis
Gd-enhancement
T2 & T1 lesions
brain & spinal cord atrophy
release of soluble markers
Clinical Attack
Disease Progression
Clinical Recovery
- biology
- clinical outcomes
- biomarkers
VIRUS
(EBV, HERVs)
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
The therapeutic pyramid
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
Prevention
The therapeutic pyramid
Neuroreparation
Remyelination
Neuroprotection
Anti-inflammatory
Prevention
The therapeutic pyramid
EBV Vitamin D
SmokingGenes
www.digestingscience.co.uk
Conclusions: the ‘future’ in MS
• MS service development – ‘uberization’ of MS care
• Better symptomatic therapies
• Need quicker adoption of innovations
• Brain Health Policy (www.msbrainhealth.org)
• UK move up the league tables
• Affordable DMTs , particularly in resource-poor settings
• New legislation for repurposing of off-patent drugs
• New therapeutic targets
• Therapeutic pyramid
• Neuroprotection / Remyelination
• New trial design
• Brain Health
• New anti-inflammatories
• Daclizumab
• Ocrelizumab
• Cladribine
• Black Swan
• Viral and other hypotheses
• Prevention of MS
Conclusions: the ‘future’ in MS
• MS service development – ‘uberization’ of MS care
• Better symptomatic therapies
• Need quicker adoption of innovations
• Brain Health Policy (www.msbrainhealth.org)
• UK move up the league tables
• Affordable DMTs , particularly in resource-poor settings
• New legislation for repurposing of off-patent drugs
• New therapeutic targets
• Therapeutic pyramid
• Neuroprotection / Remyelination
• New trial design
• Brain Health
• New anti-inflammatories
• Daclizumab
• Ocrelizumab
• Cladribine
• Black Swan
• Viral and other hypotheses
• Prevention of MS
Rheumatoid arthritis
End-stage joint disease
Acknowledgements
• Neurofilament
• Sharmilee Gnanapavan
• Axel Petzold
• Jens Kuhle
• Andrea Malaspina
• EAE
• David Baker
• Gareth Pryce
• Sarah Al-Izki
• Sam Jackson
• Katie Lidster
• Siddharthan Chandran
• David Hampton
• VSN16
• David Baker
• David Selwood
• Rachel Farrell, et al.
• Optic neuritis
• Raj Kapoor, et al.
• PROXIMUS
• Monica Marta, et al.
• MS Services
• AlisonThomson, et al.
• Affordable DMTs
• Klaus Schmierer, et al.
• Charcot Project (viruses in MS)
• JulianGold, et al.
• MS@UCLP
• Barts-MS, et al.
• UCL-UCLH
• RFH
• Queens Romford
Questions

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The future: Presentation by Gavin Giovannoni

  • 2. Disclosures Professor Giovannoni has received personal compensation for participating on Advisory Boards in relation to clinical trial design, trial steering committees and data and safety monitoring committees from: Abbvie, Bayer-Schering Healthcare, Biogen-Idec, Canbex, Eisai, Elan, Fiveprime, Genzyme, Genentech, GSK, GW Pharma, Ironwood, Merck-Serono, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, Sanofi-Aventis, Synthon BV, Teva, UCB Pharma and Vertex Pharmaceuticals. Professor Giovannoni would like to acknowledge several companies and colleagues for making available data slides for this presentation.
  • 5.
  • 6. 4 December 1985 21 October 2015
  • 7. 4 December 1985 21 October 2015 ?
  • 8.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Images courtesy of Professor Gavin Giovannoni
  • 14. Epstein Bar Virus Genetics Vitamin D Smoking Risks Adverse events Differentia l Diagnosis MRI Evoked Potentials Lumbar puncture Blood Tests Diagnostic Criteria Cognition Depression Fatigue Bladder Bowel Sexual dysfunction Tremor Pain Swallowing SpasticityFalls Balance problems Insomnia Restless legsFertility Clinical trials Gait Pressure sores Oscillopsia Emotional lability Seizures Gastrostomy Rehab Suprapubic catheter Intrathecal baclofen Physio- therapy Speech therapy Occupational Therapy Functional neurosurgery Colostomy Tendonotomy Studying Employment Relationships Travel Vaccination Anxiety Driving Nurse specialists Family counselling Relapse s 1st line 2nd line Maintenance Escalation Induction Monitoring Disease-free Disease progression DMTs Side Effects Advanced Directive Exercise Diet Alternative Medicine Pregnancy Breast Feeding Research Insurance Visual loss Palliative Care Assisted suicide Social service s Legal aid Genetic counselling Prevention Diagnosis DMT Symptomatic Therapist Terminal Counselling Intrathecal phenol Fractures Movement disorders Osteopaeni a Brain atrophy Hearing loss Tinnitus Photophobia Hiccoughs DVLA Neuroprotection Psychosis Depersonaliation Brain Health Cognitive Reserve Sudden death Suicide OCD Narcolepsy Apnoea Carers Respite Hospic e Respite Dignita s Advanced Directive Rhiztomy Wheelchair Walking aids Blood/Organ donation Brain donation Exercise therapy NABs Autoimmunit y Infections Outcome measures Web Resources Pathogenesis Double vision What is MS? NEDA T2T OCT Neurofilaments JCV status Pharma Anaesthesia www.ms-res.org CIS End- organPPMS
  • 19. Consequences of increasing EDSS scores: loss of employment 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Work Capacity by Disability Level 0.0/1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 6.5 7.0 8.0/9.0 EDSS Score ProportionofMSers≤65YearsOld Working(%) The proportion of MSers employed or on long-term sick leave is calculated as a percentage of MSers aged 65 or younger. 1. Kobelt G et al. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2006;77:918-926; 2. Pfleger CC et al. Mult Scler. 2010;16:121-126. Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom Netherlands Italy Germany Belgium Austria ~10 yrs2
  • 20. 57% 7% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% CISers n = 40 Feuillet et al. Mult Scler. 2007. Healthy Controls n = 30 p < 0.0001 Deficits were found mainly in memory, speed of information processing, attention and executive functioning. MSers failing ≥ 2 cognitive tests Cognition in early multiple sclerosis
  • 21. Brain atrophy occurs across all stages of the disease De Stefano, et al. Neurology 2010 n= 963 MSers
  • 22. 11,000 to 1 Trapp, et al. NEJM 1998;338:278-85
  • 23. Juxtacortical gray matter lesion Intra-cortical gray matter lesions Subpial gray matter lesions Cortex White matter Types of cortical lesions
  • 24. Social functioning Pfleger et al. Multiple Sclerosis 2010; 16(7) 878–882.
  • 25. ‘Rebranding’ MS a dementia - definition of dementia Dementia is a loss of mental ability severe enough to interfere with normal activities of daily living, lasting more than six months, not present since birth, and not associated with a loss or alteration of consciousness. • Interfere with normal activities of daily living • Physical • Mental • Social • Occupational • Lasting more than six months • Not present since birth • Not associated with a loss or alteration of consciousness        “Multiple sclerosis is therefore a preventable dementia.” DSM IV
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 31. Premyelinating oligodendrocytes in chronic MS lesions1 Negative regulators of OPC differentiation have been identified2,3 Investigating LINGO-1 as a target for remyelination and neuroprotection/neuroreparation OPC=oligodendrocyte precursor cells; NCAM=neural cell adhesion molecule; PSA=polysialic acid; RNAi=ribonucleic acid interference. 1. Chang A et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;346:165-173; 2. Adapted from Rudick RA et al. Expert Opin Biol Ther. 2008;8:1561-1570; 3. Mi S et al. Ann Neurol. 2009;65:304-315; 4. Mi S et al. Nat Neurosci. 2005;8:745-751; 5. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Philadelphia, USA; 2014:P2.262. In vivo effects of anti-LINGO-1 in rat optic nerve crush model5 Reduced neurodegeneration and increased axonal outgrowth (arrows) vs control Control RNAiLINGO-1 RNAi In vitro effects of LINGO-1 blockade4 Mature oligodendrocy te OPCs Differentiatio n LINGO-1, PSA-NCAM, Notch Anti-LINGO- 1 treatment Proximal Distal Control treatment Fluorescein isothiocyanate-conjugated cholera toxin B–labeled axons after optic nerve crush and vehicle injection
  • 32. Premyelinating oligodendrocytes in chronic MS lesions1 Negative regulators of OPC differentiation have been identified2,3 Investigating LINGO-1 as a target for remyelination and neuroprotection/neuroreparation OPC=oligodendrocyte precursor cells; NCAM=neural cell adhesion molecule; PSA=polysialic acid; RNAi=ribonucleic acid interference. 1. Chang A et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;346:165-173; 2. Adapted from Rudick RA et al. Expert Opin Biol Ther. 2008;8:1561-1570; 3. Mi S et al. Ann Neurol. 2009;65:304-315; 4. Mi S et al. Nat Neurosci. 2005;8:745-751; 5. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Philadelphia, USA; 2014:P2.262. In vivo effects of anti-LINGO-1 in rat optic nerve crush model5 Reduced neurodegeneration and increased axonal outgrowth (arrows) vs control Control RNAiLINGO-1 RNAi In vitro effects of LINGO-1 blockade4 Mature oligodendrocy te OPCs Differentiatio n LINGO-1, PSA-NCAM, Notch Anti-LINGO- 1 treatment Proximal Distal Fluorescein isothiocyanate-conjugated cholera toxin B–labeled axons after optic nerve crush and vehicle injection
  • 33. Anti-LINGO-1 results in remyelination in animal models of CNS demyelination2 LPC=lysophosphatidylcholine/lysolecithin; mAb=monoclonal antibody. Adapted from 1. Mi S et al. Nature Neurosci. 2004;7:221-228; 2. Mi S et al. Ann Neurol. 2009;65:304-315. 1 µm Control mAb Anti-LINGO-1 1 µm Cuprizone LPC * * * * Demyelinated axons *Remyelinated axons EAE
  • 34. New phase 2 study designs: Acute optic neuritis to assess neuroprotection and remyelination 1. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Philadelphia, USA; 2014:P2.262 2. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA; 2015:P7.202. RENEW1,2 Anti-LINGO- 1 (multi- centre) Anti-LINGO-1 (100 mg/kg IV Q4W x 6) Placebo (IV Q4W x 6) Participants with first episode of unilateral AON (n=82) Randomised within 4 weeks of symptom onset Dosing period 20 weeks Assessments at 24 and 32 weeks 3–5 days’ IV steroid s End of study follow-up 32 weeks Primary outcome: VEP
  • 35. RENEW primary outcome: Anti-LINGO-1 and recovery of full-field VEP latency in AON *Adjusted mean change in optic nerve conduction latency of the affected eye compared with the unaffected fellow eye at baseline, Week 24 (ANCOVA), Week 32 (MMRM). ANCOVA=analysis of covariance; ITT=intent-to-treat; MMRM=mixed-effect model repeated measure; PP=per- protocol. Adapted from 1. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA; 2015:P008; 2. Cadavid D et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA; 2015:P7.202. Placebo 100 mg/kg anti-LINGO-1 25 20 15 10 5 0 PP ITT 22.24 14.69 20.83 17.34 Week 24 34% Latency recovery P=0.05 17% Latency recovery P=0.33 Adjustedmeanchangein Full-fieldVEPlatency*(ms) n=36 n=33 n=41 n=41 PP=Subjects who completed the study, did not miss >1 dose of treatment and did not receive MS modifying therapy ITT=All randomised subjects who received ≥1 dose of study treatment PP ITT 22.35 13.22 21.15 15.08 Week 32 41% Latency recovery P=0.01 29% Latency recovery P=0.07 n=36 n=33 n=41 n=41
  • 36. Remyelination Nogo, MAG, OMgP Lingo-1-NgR- p75NTR GAP-43 NCAM Neuregulin Slide courtesy of Klaus Schmierer. Agents in trial 1. GSK239512: histamine H(3) receptor antagonist 2. BIIB033: anti-LINGO-1 3. Clemastine: anti-histamine 4. IRX4204 & Bexarotene: RXR- agonist 5. Etc.
  • 39. Acuteaxonal transection “Inflammatory scissors or shredder” Acute neuroprotection Axon NO Microglia Na+ Na+/K+ ATPaseNaV1.6 Reverse NCX ATP ATP Ca2+ ATPase Ca2+ Na+ NaV1.6 Na+ Figure courtesy of Dr Raju Kapoor ATP=adenosine triphosphate; NaV1.6=Sodium channel, voltage gated, type VIII, alpha subunit; NCX=sodium-calcium exchanger. 1. BD Trapp et al. N Engl J Med. 1998;338:278-285; 2. Bittner S et al. Ther Adv Neurol Disord. 2013;6:322-336. Acute neuroprotection: targeting axonal energy levels may achieve acute neuroprotection1,2
  • 40. Acute optic neuritis (AON) to assess phenytoin (neuroprotection) Phenytoin Participants with AON N=86 Phenytoin (4 mg/kg OD) Placebo Randomised within 2 wks of symptom onset Treatment period 3 months Monitoring period 3 months Primary outcome measures Primary outcome measure: RNFL thickness RNFL thickness Macular volume 1. Kapoor R et al. Presented at AAN; Washington, USA; 2015; 2. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01451593;
  • 41. Primary outcome: RNFL • Active-placebo adjusted difference 7.15 mm (95% CI 1.08, 13.22 p=0.02) • 30% reduction of atrophy in active group • PP comparison: Active-placebo adjusted difference 7.40 mm (95% CI 0.76, 14.04 p=0.03) 50100150 RNFLaveragemm Placebo Phenytoin baseline UNaffected eye Placebo Phenytoin 6m affected eye Bars are standard errors around the unadjusted group means
  • 42. Delayed/ongoing secondary neurodegeneration1 “Post-inflammatory slow-burn” Ongoing neuroprotection TreatmentTargets 1. Inflammation2 a. Adaptive (B-cell follicles)3 b. Innate (activated microglia4 and astrocytes5) 2. Axonal mechanisms6 a. Mitochondrial/energetics7 b. Axonal targets6 3. Remyelination8 4. Comorbidities/ageing (simvastatin)9 1. Trapp BD et al. N Engl J Med. 1998;338:278-285; 2. Loleit V et al. Curr Pharm Biotechnol. 2014;15:276–296; 3 Magliozzi R et al. Brain. 2007;130:1089-1104; 4. Rissanen E et al. J Nucl Med. 2014;55:939-944; 5. Mayo L et al. Nat Med. 2014;20:1147-1156; 6. Haines JD et al. Mt Sinai J Med. 2011;78:231-243; 7. Mahad D et al. Neuropathol Appl Neurobiol. 2008;34:577-589; 8. Münzel EJ et al. Drugs. 2013;73:2017-2029; 9. Chataway J et al. Lancet. 2014;383:2213-2221. Targeting ongoing chronic neurodegeneration
  • 43. Slide courtesy of Jeremy Chataway Chataway et al. Lancet 2014; 383: 2213–21. BSI (Boundary Shift Integral) Effect of high-dose simvastatin on brain atrophy and disability in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS-STAT): a randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial
  • 45. Trial activity targeting progressive pathology MRI Events 1st clinical attack Time (Years) Subclinical disease Inflammation Brain volume loss Neuroaxonal loss DiseaseSeverity SPMSRRMS 1st MRI lesion Relapses CISRIS R-SPMS RIS = radiologically isolated syndrome; CIS = clinically isolated syndrome, RRMS = relapsing-remitting MS; R-SPMS = relapsing secondary progressive MS; SPMS = secondary progressive MS; PPMS = primary progressive MS Late SPMS: SMART STUDY fluoxetine, amiloride, riluzole Early SPMS: oxcarbazepine CIS: PHENYTOIN RRMS: ? DE-FLAMES STUDY PPMS PPMS: Laquinimod SP&PPMS: Ibudilast
  • 48. Flipping the pyramid IMS, immunosuppressant; TNF, tumour necrosis factor Reproduced from Gut, Ordás I, Feagan BG and Sandborn WJ, 1754–63, 2011 with permission from BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. Corticosteroids + IMS Corticosteroids TNF antagonist ± IMS Conventional step care Accelerated step care Moderate Severe Early top-down Levelofdisease Flipping the pyramid
  • 49.
  • 50. Fingolimod Fingolimod Dimethyl fumarate Alemtuzumab Natalizumab Laquinimod Daclizumab HYP Rituximab Cladribine Teriflunomid e Ocrelizumab Ofatumumab Targeting immune regulation has been successful previously in RRMS Lymph node APC=antigen-presenting cell; B=B cell; BBB=blood-brain barrier; CD=cluster of differentiation; CNS=central nervous system; IFN=interferon; IL=interleukin; MØ=macrophage; NK=natural killer cell; NO=nitric oxide; PC=plasma cell; S1P-R=Sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor; T=T cell; Th=T-helper cell; TNF=tumour necrosis factor; VCAM=vascular cell adhesion molecule; VLA=Integrin alpha4beta1. Adapted from 1. Barten LJ et al. Drug Des Devel Ther. 2010;4:343-366; 2. Loleit V et al. Curr Pharm Biotechnol. 2014;15:276-296. BBB CNSPeriphery Approved therapies Investigational agents
  • 52. Immunomodulatory Effect of Daclizumab Treatment DAC treatment increases CD56bright NK cell proliferation via intermediate affinity IL-2 signaling1 Martin J et. al., J. Immunol, 2010.
  • 53. 53 Click to edit Master title styleDECIDE Study Design Overview All patients had a minimum of 2 years and maximum of 3 years of treatment The trial ended when the last patient randomized completed 2 years of treatment 96-144 week treatment period RRMS Patients (N=1841) 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 96 144 IM IFN beta-1a 30 mcg every 1 week (n=922) SC DAC HYP 150 mg every 4 weeks (n=919) Follow-up Brain MRI EDSS* EDSS* EDSS* EDSS* EDSS* EDSS* *Also assessed at weeks 60, 72, 84, 108, 120, 132, 144. EDSS, Expanded Disability Status Scale; IFN, interferon; IM, intramuscular; mcg, micrograms; MRI, magnetic resonance imagine; RRMS, relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis; SC, subcutaneous. Inclusion Criteria: • Age 18-55 years • Confirmed RRMS1 • MRI consistent with MS • Baseline EDSS 0-5 • ≥2 relapses within 3 years (≥1 in year prior to study) • ≥1 relapse (or new MRI lesion) within 2 years (≥1 in year prior to study) Time (weeks) 1:1 Randomization 53
  • 54. 54 Click to edit Master title styleAnnualized Relapse Rate (ARR) (n=922) (n=919) ARR Estimated from a negative binomial regression model adjusted for baseline relapse rate, history of prior IFN beta use, baseline EDSS (≤2.5 vs > 2.5) and baseline age (≤35 vs >35). Patients were censored at the earliest of the following events: 1) start of alternative MS medication, 2) 180 days post treatment discontinuation or 3) end of treatment period. CI, confidence interval. 54
  • 55. 55 Click to edit Master title style 3-Month and 6-Month Confirmed Disability Progression Risk reduction: 16%; p=0.16 Proportion with progression Week 48: 6% vs. 8% Week 96: 12% vs. 14% Week 144: 16% vs. 20% BL 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 Time on study (weeks) BL 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 Time on study (weeks) Risk reduction: 27%; p=0.0332 Proportion with progression Week 48: 4% vs. 7% Week 96: 9% vs. 12% Week 144: 13% vs. 18% 3-month* 6-month† Proportionofpatientswith confirmedprogressionofdisability *3-month confirmed: Patients censored after tentative progression (n=67) analyzed per primary method in the statistical analysis plan: all imputed as non-progressors; †6-month confirmed: Patients censored after tentative progression (n=108) imputed per observed rate in trial; tertiary endpoint. Estimated proportions are the average over imputed datasets. For both endpoints risk reductions based on Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for baseline EDSS, history of prior IFN use, and age.
  • 57. Ocrelizumab is a humanized mAb that depletes CD20+ B cells via multiple mechanisms 57 mAb, monoclonal antibody. 1. Jaglowski SM, et al. Blood 2010;116:3705–14; 2. Winiarska M, et al. Front Biosci 2011;16277–306; 3. Klein C, et al. MAbs 2013;5:22–33. COMPLEMENT-DEPENDENT CYTOTOXICITY1-3 DIRECT APOPTOSIS1-3 ANTIBODY-DEPENDENT CELLULAR PHAGOCYTOSIS1-3 ANTIBODY-DEPENDENT CELLULAR CYTOTOXICITY1-3
  • 58. 58 B cells are depleted to a greater extent in lymphoid compartments compared with bone marrow 58 LN-ing, lymph node-inguinal; LN-man, LN-mandibular. Gelzleichter T, et al. ACTRIMS-ECTRIMS 2014; Poster 64654.
  • 60. Cladribine is an analog of deoxyadenosine • Cladribine is an analog of deoxyadenosine, one of the building blocks of DNA, that differs from the naturally occurring nucleoside, deoxyadenosine by a chlorine substitution for hydrogen1,2 • Cladribine is resistant to deamination by the enzyme adenosine deaminase (ADA) by virtue of its structural design1,2 1. Carson DA et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 1980;77:6865-9. 2. Beutler E. Lancet 1992;340:952-6 OH HO O N NCI N NH2 N 2-chlorodeoxyadenosine (cladribine) OH HO O N NH N NH 2 N Deoxyadenosine Nitrogenou s base Sugar Phosphate Backbone Base pair Adenine Ribose
  • 61. Cladribine Tablets lead to reductions in CD4+ T and CD8+ T cells Placebo (n=79) Cladribine Tablets 3.5 mg/kg (n=81) Months 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324LA* Cells/µL 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324LA* Cells/µL BLBL Normal range: 500-1500/µL Normal range: 300-1000/µL CD4+ T cells CD8+ T cells Months Arrows indicate administration of Cladribine Tablets. 1 treatment week = 1 or 2 tablets over 4-5 days during a 28-day period. *LA performed at 26 months. BL, baseline; LA, last assessment. Soelberg-Sørensen S et al. ENS 2009 [P359]. Leist TP, Weissert R. Clin Neuropharmacol 2011;34:28-35
  • 62. Significant reduction in ARR vs placebo over 2 years (primary endpoint) 0.33 0.14 0.15 Placebo (n=437) Cladribine 3.5 mg/kg (n=433) Annualizedrelapserate(95%CI) Cladribine 5.25 mg/kg (n=456) (0.29, 0.38) (0.12, 0.17) (0.12, 0.17) 0.3 0 0.2 0 0.1 0 0.0 0 0.4 0 3.5 mg/kg vs placebo 57.6% relative reduction p<0.001 5.25 mg/kg vs placebo 54.5% relative reduction p<0.001 ARR, annualized relapse rate. Intent-to-treat population. Giovannoni G et al. N Engl J Med 2010;362:416-26
  • 63. Significant delay in time to 3-month confirmed disability progression (secondary endpoint) Placebo Cladribine Tablets 5.25 mg/kg Cladribine Tablets 3.5 mg/kg ~30% reduction in risk of developing disability progression at any time point over 2 years (96 weeks on study) Cladribine Tablets: 5.25 mg/kg and 3.5 mg/kg 10th percentile = 14.8 Study months Proportionof patientswithprogression 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0 4 14 16 24 Study months 2 6 8 10 12 18 20 22 Placebo: 10th percentile = 11.8 Study months 5.25 mg/kg vs placebo Hazard ratio: 0.69 95% CI: 0.49, 0.96 p=0.026a 3.5 mg/kg vs placebo Hazard ratio: 0.67 95% CI: 0.48, 0.93 p=0.018a Prolongation of time to sustained disability progression by ~3 months aThe hazard ratio, 95% CI, and p-values were estimated using Cox proportional hazards model with fixed effects for treatment group and region. Intent-to-treat population. Giovannoni G et al. N Engl J Med 2010;362:416-26. Data on file
  • 64. Significantly more patients achieve NEDAa over 2 years vs placebo 15.8 44.3 46 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Placebo (n=379) Cladribine 3.5 mg/kg (n=402) ProportionofpatientswithNEDA (%) Cladribine 5.25 mg/kg (n=411) 3.5 mg/kg vs placebo Odds ratio: 4.28 95% CI: 3.05, 6.02 p<0.0001 5.25 mg/kg vs placebo Odds ratio: 4.62 95% CI: 3.29, 6.48 p<0.0001 NEDA, no evidence of disease activity. Post hoc analysis. aNEDA was defined as having no relapses, no 3-month sustained change in EDSS score, no new T1 Gd+ lesions, and no active T2 lesions. Giovannoni G et al. Lancet Neurol 2011;10:329-37
  • 65. CLARITY EXT demonstrates the durable efficacy of Cladribine Tablets on relapses and reconfirms the efficacy outcomes of CLARITY 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.33 0.15 0.16 0.10 0.11 0.10 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 3.5 mg/kg CP 5.25 mg/kg CP 7 mg/kg CC 8.75 mg/kg CC 3.5 mg/kg PC Cladribine Placebo 98 186 186 244437456456 433433 92 Annualizedrelapserate n= CLARITY EXT CLARITY CLARITY EXT CLARITY CLARITY EXT CLARITY CLARITY EXT CLARITY CLARITY EXT CLARITY The similar ARRs seen in CLARITY and CLARITY EXT suggest that treatment with Cladribine Tablets leads to a durable effect on ARR for up to 4 years. In addition, within-treatment group analysis of the 3.5 mg/kg PC group (n=244) demonstrated that switching to cladribine treatment in Years 3 and 4 led to a significant reduction in ARR in patients previously treated with placebo in Years 1 and 2 (ARR fell from 0.25 to 0.10; p<0.001)a CP=cladribine (3.5 mg/kg) in CLARITY, placebo in CLARITY EXT; PC=placebo in CLARITY, cladribine (3.5 mg/kg) in CLARITY EXT; CC=cladribine (3.5 or 5.25 mg/kg) in CLARITY, cladribine (3.5 mg/kg only) in CLARITY EXT. For each group, cladribine dose refers to cumulative dose over 4 years in CLARITY EXT. ap-values for within-group comparisons were based on the two-sided Wilcoxon signed–rank test (see slide notes for more details). Giovannoni G et al. N Engl J Med 2010;362:416-26. Giovannoni G et al. AAN 2013 [P07.119]
  • 66. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 M3 M6 M9 M12 M15 M18 M21 M24 Time to McDonald MS conversion from randomization date (Months) 203 (0) 165 (37) 119 (82) 113 (87) 108 (88) 87 (95) 71 (96) 39 (98) 1 (99)Cladribine 5.25 mg/kg 204 (0) 167 (36) 114 (88) 108 (92) 92 (102) 82 (104) 71 (107) 39 (110) 3 (110)Cladribine 3.5 mg/kg 201 (0) 143 (58) 71 (128) 58 (141) 43 (154) 32 (162) 23 (165) 13 (169) 2 (169)Placebo Patients at risk (conversions): 87.1% 51.4% 56.1% Hazard ratio vs placebob 5.25 mg/kg: 0.425, p<0.0001 3.5 mg/kg: 0.496, p<0.0001 Cumulativeincidence(%) Risk reduction 5.25 mg/kg: 57.5% 3.5 mg/kg: 50.4% Treatment with Cladribine Tablets reduces the risk of conversion to McDonald 2005 MS in treatment-naïve patients with an FCDEa – Cladribine 5.25 mg/kg – Cladribine 3.5 mg/kg – Placebo M0 aPatients enrolled in ORACLE-MS were treatment-naïve with an FCDE at high risk of converting to MS. bCox proportional hazards model controlling for the randomization stratification factor (region). FCDE, first clinical demyelinating event; M, Month. Leist TP et al. Lancet Neurol 2014;13:257-67
  • 70.
  • 75. Rapid adoption of innovations is “biggest unmet need of all” Adapted from Everett M. Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations
  • 76. Large disparities exist in access to disease-modifying therapies 1. Hollingworth S et al. J Clin Neurosci 2014;21:2083–7; 2. World Bank, 2015. http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL; 3. MSIF, 2013. http://www.atlasofms.org; 4. Wilsdon T et al. 2013. http://crai.com/sites/default/files/publications/CRA-Biogen- Access-to-MS-Treatment-Final-Report.pdf Australia Norway Denmark Sweden Belgium Austria Germany France Finland Spain Italy Slovenia United Kingdom Poland 0 20 40 60 80 100 Newer DMT Established DMT No DMT All people with MS (%) All data are from 2013 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 1–3 Established DMTs DMTs approved for relapsing forms of MS during the 1990s and reformulations or generic versions of these substances. Newer DMTs DMTs approved for relapsing forms of MS that have a different mechanism of action from established DMTs. 1st line 2nd line 3rd line
  • 78. www.msbrainhealth.org Baseline Month 6 Month 12 Month 18 Baseline Month 6 Month 12 Month 18
  • 80. Neuro-restoration Remyelination Neuroprotection Anti-inflammatory Therapeutic pyramid Anti-ageing BrainHealthInitiative • Smoking • Exercise • Diet • Alcohol • Sleep • Co-morbidities • Infections • Concomitant medications • ? Menopause / HRT MS-specific MS non-specific Brain Health
  • 82. 10% 60% 5% 15% 5% DMTs Symptomatic Diagnostic Admin Blog Neurologist’s ClinicTime – Prof G
  • 83. 10% 20% 10% 15% 45% DMTs Symptomatic Counselling Admin Monitoring Clinical Nurse Specialist (CNS) ClinicTime
  • 84. Epstein Bar Virus Genetics Vitamin D Smoking Risks Adverse events Differential Diagnosis MRI Evoked Potentials Lumbar puncture Blood Tests Diagnostic Criteria Cognition Depression Fatigue Bladder Bowel Sexual dysfunction Tremor Pain Swallowing SpasticityFalls Balance problems Insomnia Restless legsFertility Clinical trials Gait Pressure sores Oscillopsia Emotional lability Seizures Gastrostomy Rehab Suprapubic catheter Intrathecal baclofen Physio- therapy Speech therapy Occupational Therapy Functional neurosurgery Colostomy Tendonotomy Studying Employment Relationships Travel Vaccination Anxiety Driving Nurse specialists Family counselling Relapses 1st line 2nd line Maintenance Escalation Induction Monitoring Disease-free Disease progression DMTs Side Effects Advanced Directive Exercise Diet Alternative Medicine Pregnancy Breast Feeding Research Insurance Visual loss Palliative Care Assisted suicide Social services Legal aid Genetic counselling Prevention Diagnosis DMT Symptomatic Therapist Terminal Counselling Intrathecal phenol Fractures Movement disorders Osteopaenia Brain atrophy Hearing loss Tinnitus Photophobia Hiccoughs DVLA Neuroprotection Psychosis Depersonaliation Brain Health Cognitive Reserve Sudden death Suicide OCD Narcolepsy Apnoea Carers Respite Hospice Respite Dignitas Advanced Directive Rhiztomy Wheelchair Walking aids Blood/Organ donation Brain donation Exercise therapy NABs Autoimmunity Infections Outcome measures Web Resources Pathogenesis Double vision What is MS? NEDA T2T OCT Neurofilaments JCV status Pharma Anaesthesia www.ms-res.org
  • 91. Is there a “Black Swan”?
  • 92. Is the MS dogma wrong? immune activation innate and adaptive responses focal inflammation BBB breakdown oligodendrocyte toxicity & demyelination Acute axonal transection and loss “autoimmune endophenotype” axonal plasticity & remyelination delayed neuroaxonal loss and gliosis Gd-enhancement T2 & T1 lesions brain & spinal cord atrophy release of soluble markers Clinical Attack Disease Progression Clinical Recovery - biology - clinical outcomes - biomarkers VIRUS (EBV, HERVs)
  • 97. Conclusions: the ‘future’ in MS • MS service development – ‘uberization’ of MS care • Better symptomatic therapies • Need quicker adoption of innovations • Brain Health Policy (www.msbrainhealth.org) • UK move up the league tables • Affordable DMTs , particularly in resource-poor settings • New legislation for repurposing of off-patent drugs • New therapeutic targets • Therapeutic pyramid • Neuroprotection / Remyelination • New trial design • Brain Health • New anti-inflammatories • Daclizumab • Ocrelizumab • Cladribine • Black Swan • Viral and other hypotheses • Prevention of MS
  • 98. Conclusions: the ‘future’ in MS • MS service development – ‘uberization’ of MS care • Better symptomatic therapies • Need quicker adoption of innovations • Brain Health Policy (www.msbrainhealth.org) • UK move up the league tables • Affordable DMTs , particularly in resource-poor settings • New legislation for repurposing of off-patent drugs • New therapeutic targets • Therapeutic pyramid • Neuroprotection / Remyelination • New trial design • Brain Health • New anti-inflammatories • Daclizumab • Ocrelizumab • Cladribine • Black Swan • Viral and other hypotheses • Prevention of MS
  • 100. Acknowledgements • Neurofilament • Sharmilee Gnanapavan • Axel Petzold • Jens Kuhle • Andrea Malaspina • EAE • David Baker • Gareth Pryce • Sarah Al-Izki • Sam Jackson • Katie Lidster • Siddharthan Chandran • David Hampton • VSN16 • David Baker • David Selwood • Rachel Farrell, et al. • Optic neuritis • Raj Kapoor, et al. • PROXIMUS • Monica Marta, et al. • MS Services • AlisonThomson, et al. • Affordable DMTs • Klaus Schmierer, et al. • Charcot Project (viruses in MS) • JulianGold, et al. • MS@UCLP • Barts-MS, et al. • UCL-UCLH • RFH • Queens Romford