2. Prof. Jean-François ETTER, PhD Faculty of Medicine University of Geneva, Switzerland
E-cigarette Summit, London
November 13, 2014
Product diversity, user behavior, players in the e-cig market
3. Conflicts of Interest
Tobacco industry: - never received any funding, no CoI
Pharmaceutical industry - no funding in past 8 years, no CoI
E-cigarette industry - plane ticket + hotel (London + China, 2013) - no honorarium
4. 3 broad types of e-cigarettes, but no distinction is made in many sales statistics, user surveys
Cig-alike:
Tanks, vaporizers:
Mods:
5. Speed of nicotine delivery to the blood: 1st generation e-cig, 2nd generation e-cig, tobacco cigarettes
Source: Farsalinos et al Sci Rep. 2014; 4: 4133
6. Machine tests: depending on puff conditions and product features,
ECIG can provide far less or far more nicotine than a tobacco
cigarette (50-fold variation).
Talih et al. Nicotine & Tobacco Research, Sept 2014
7. E-cig global sales, $ million 2014: probably $5 billion <1% of tobacco cigarette market
190
350
700
1200
240
160
150
100
480
770
950
1200
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2010
2011
2012
2013
USA
China
International
(source: Philip Morris)
8. England: prevalence of electronic cigarette use: smokers and recent ex-smokers
8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Percent of smokers and recent ex- smokers
Any
Daily
Growth in prevalence of e-cigarette use has not increased since Q3 2013
N=14490 adults who smoke or who stopped in the past year; increase p<0.001
Source: STS - Smoking Toolkit Study
10. USA: dollar share by company: convenience stores
and XAOC = expanded all outlets combined
(Nielsen bar code data)
Lorillard
Reynolds
Logic
NJoy
Altria
11. UK e-cigarette retail market share (%) Total U.K. retail market, including U.K. Major Multiples, Household, Impulse and Chemist Channels, 52 weeks ending Sept 2014. Source: Wells Fargo
33.6
32.8
11
6.7
3.3
2.1
1.9
1.4
1.4
1
0.9
0.9
3
UK 2014
Ecig Group (FIN, VIP, Ten Motives)
Nicocig - PMI
E-Lites - Japan Tob
Halco
blu - Lorillard
Gamucci
BAT
Vapouriz
Dekang
NJOY
Vapourlites
Supreme Imports
Other
12. Tobacco company
Brands of e-cigarette / vaporizers
Altria
MarkTen
Green Smoke
Reynolds + Lorillard, merged July 2014
Vuse
SkyCigs
Imperial Tobacco
Blu (sold by Lorillard)
Puritane
+ intellectual rights on Dragonite
Japan Tobacco
Ploom (tobacco vaporizer)
E-Lites
Philip Morris
Nicolite
iQos (heat not burn)
+ partners with Altria / MarkTen
British American Tobacco
Vype
Intellicig (CNCreative)
Voke (Nicoventures)
ITC (Imperial Tobacco Company of India)
Eon
NTC (National Tobacco Company, distributor of Zig-Zag cig. paper)
V2 Cig
13.
14. New nicotine + tobacco vaporizers: no combustion of tobacco
Nicotine vaporizers, without tobacco:
1.E-cigarettes (3 broad categories: cig-alike, tank, mod)
2.Nicotine vaporizer using the technology of asthma vaporizers VOKE (Nicoventures = BAT: British American Tobacco):
3.Nicotine pyruvate (chemical reaction that vaporizes nicotine, Jed Rose) (PMI: Philip Morris, under development)
Tobacco vaporizers:
1.Heated tobacco products, «heat not burn»: - electric heating (e.g. iQos by PMI, Chinese models) - charcoal heating (ember)
2.Hot air flow - Nespresso-like cartridge (Ploom: distributed by Japan Tobacco) - loose tobacco (various brands of vaporizers)
20. Snus: first FDA application as reduced risk product (Swedish Match)
For FDA registration as reduced risk product, applicant must show that: - the product is less harmful to the individual user - the total effect on the population is beneficial
Very costly process, very long
Will e-cig / vaporizers follow ?
21. Philip Morris:
4 new reduced risk products
See presentation on PM Investor’s day 2014:
https://www.media-server.com/m/instances/8hjnb6wm/items/29n825fv/assets/75ngrwuk/0/file.pdf
iQos Coal ember Nicotine pyruvate E-cig ‘cig-alike’
24. Tobacco industry involvement
New situation: tobacco industry sells reduced risk vaporizers
Science
Huge investments in R&D on vaporizers ($2bn for PMI only)
Regulation
Intense lobbying (EU, US, nationally)
Large numbers of experienced, professional lobbyists
Long tradition, historically strong influence on tobacco laws
Suspicion that aim of tobacco industry involvement in regulation is to: . avoid “unfriendly” rules . raise technical + legal barriers at entry in this market . eliminate (Chinese) competitors + small players
25. Tobacco industry: history
Denied - that nicotine is addictive - risks of smoking - risks of passive smoking
Produced bogus science
Artificially created controversy, confusion
Deception campaign to block smoking bans
Will e-cig / vaporizers enable the tobacco industry to re-emerge as a legitimate stakeholder ?
26. How to react to tobacco industry involvement ?
Science:
Need for independent research, not just research conducted by tobacco industry + its subsidiaries
If collaborations emerge between academy + industry, there is a need to define conditions / limits
Transparency is crucial
Follow example of guidelines for academic collaboration with pharma industry
A framework is needed to manage conflicts of interest
27. Management of conflicts of interest
Goals = protect the integrity of research, = preserve public trust
Core principle = transparency
Declaration of conflict of interest + registration of studies = insufficient
Define policies, rules and restrictions, code of practice
Rely on organizations / institutions that define + enforce + monitor these policies (national academy of sciences, ethics committees, etc.)
28. Perspectives
New situation: are we prepared ?
We have no choice but to rethink academic + political interactions with the industries that produce nicotine + tobacco vaporizers
Need for transparency
Need to develop rules, policies
Need for a debate involving all stakeholders