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Genesis of the report

I have done my summer training at SHAREKHANLtd. It is one of the reputed company& brand name
in the share broking companies in India.
       During my interns I have got the practical knowledge of Stock market. Working in share khan I
have got to know that research team of Share Khan makes analysis of the companies & prepares
research report which contains information & news about different companies. Through this research
report researcher recommends investors about what stock should be buy, sale or hold etc. it contains the
performance of the companies. So investor can invest in stock market by reading this report. This
report appears daily on the Share Khan website. After getting this I have decided to do my summer
project on Equity research.
       There is a lot of scope and growth opportunities in the Automobile sector. Development of
Automobile sector is the key for the economic growth of developing countries like India and so I have
selected this sector. During the training session I had observed the price rise and decline inthese sectors
every day. Even I have earned some money by trading in this sector companies.
       This report constitutes the detailed analysis of automobile sector& Analysis of two companies.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 1
OBJECTIVE OF STUDY


    To acquire a deep knowledge of the Automobile Sector which I am studying.
    To predict expected share price with the projected company‟s financial performance (2009-
      20010)
    Fundamental analysis of the company.
    Comparative analysis of Tata Motors & Mahindra & Mahindra.
    To study the demand of Automobile sector.
    Projection about improving performance of the company.
    To evaluate management & internal business decisions.
    Application of various fundamental & technical tools.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                   Page 2
Share Khan ltd.

Name of the company-          Share Khan ltd.
Year of establishment -       1925
Headquarter           -       Share Khan SSKI
                              A 206 phoenix house
                              Phoenix Mills Compound
                              Lower Parel Mumbai.


Nature of business    -       Service Provider


Services              - Depository services, online services & technical research.
Website               - www.sharekhan.com
Slogan                - Your guide to financial jungle.


Vision     -   TO be the best broking brand in the retail broking business.


Mission -      to educate & empower individual investor to make better investment decision through
quality advice & superior services.




      Share Khan is the one of the leading retail brokerage company of SSKI group which is running
successfullysince 1022 in the country. It is the leading retail firm of Mumbai based SSKI group. Which
has over 8 decades of experience in retail broking? Sharekhan offers its customers wide range of equity
related services including trade execution on BSE, NSE, DERIVATIVES, DEPOSITORY SERVICES,
ONLINE TRADING & DMAT ACCOUNT.
 The firms online site “ www.sharekahn.com” Was launched in 8 Feb 2000. the site give access to
superior content & transaction facility to retail customers across the country. The site has registered
base of over 100000 lakh client & number is increasing day by day. Share Khan stands for 32 % of the
EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 3
volume traded online. The site is very user friendly. It gives superior market information. Share Khan
daily provides research report on its site. It involves recommendation to its clients regarding different
deferent stocks. Investor can get an idea about investment from this research report.
 Share Khan Networks include over 588 centers in 148 cities in India of which 32 are fully owed
branches.
 Share Khanalways believein investment in technology to build its business. The company has used
some of the best names in IT Industry. Like Sun Microsystem, Oracle, Microsoft, Cambridge
Technologies, Nexgenix, Spider Software pvt.ltd. To build its online trading terminal.
 The Morakhiya family holds a majority stakes in company. HSBC, Intel & Carlyle are the other
investors.
With a legacy of more than 80 years in stock market, the SSKI group ventured in to institutional
broking & corporate finance 18 years ago. Presently SSKI is one of the leading players in institutional
broking & corporate finance activity. SSKI holds a Sizable portion of the market in each of this
segment. SSKI's institutional broking arm accounts for a 7 % of the market for foreign institutional
portfolio investment & 5 % of all the domestic institutional portfolio investment in the country. It has
60 institutional client spread over India, far East UK, & U.S. Foreign institutional investors generate
about 65 % of the organizations revenue, with a daily turnover of over US$ 2 million. The corporate
finance section has a list of very prestigious clients & has many first to its credit in terms of the size of
deal, sector tapped etc. The group has placed over US$ 1 million in private equity deals. Some of the
client includes BPL, Cellular holding, GujaratPipavav, Assar, Hutchison, Planet Asia, &Shoppers Stop.
Products offered by Share Khan-
       BOLT for online trading
       NEAT for online trading
       Port Folio management services
       Online trade & commodities
       Mutual Fund Advisory
       Insurance




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                 Page 4
Three types of online terminal
     trade Tiger
     classic
     fast trade


                                        1- Trade Tiger-


     A single platform for multiple exchange BSE & NSE (Cash & F&O), MCX, NCDEX, Mutual
     Funds, IPOs
     Multiple Market Watch available on Single Screen
     Multiple Charts with Tick by Tick Intraday and End of Day Charting powered with various
     Studies
     Graph Studies include Average, Band- Bollinger, Know SureThing, MACD, RSI, etc
     Apply studies such as Vertical, Horizontal, Trend, Retracement & Free lines
     User can save his own defined screen as well as graph template, that is, saving the layout for
     future use
     User-defined alert settings on an input Stock Price trigger
     Tools available to guage market such as Tick Query, Ticker, Market Summary, Action Watch,
     Option Premium Calculator, Span Calculator
     Shortcut key for FAST access to order placements & reports Online fund transfer activated
     with 12 Banks




                                      2- classic account-


     Online trading account for investing in Equities and Derivatives via sharekhan.com
     Integration of: Online trading + Bank + Demat account
     Instant cash transfer facility against purchase & sale of shares
     Make IPO bookings
     You get Instant order and trade confirmations by e-mail

     Streaming Quotes
EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                          Page 5
Personalized Market Scan with your own customized stock ticker!
       Single screen interface for cash and derivatives
       Your very own Portfolio Tracker!



                               Reasons to choose Share Kahn ltd.


Experience-
       SSKI has more than 8 years of trust & credibility in the Indian Stock Market. SSKI has won the
“ best broking house award” in the year 2004. Share Khan has been providing Institutional research &
broking services to individual investors.
 Technology-
       with online trading account anyone who is having demat account in Share Khan can buy & sell
stocks instantly from any PC with an internet connections. The online trading terminal is technically
very strong & user friendly. You get all details regarding your demat account. Anyone can transfer his
fund online from bank account to demat account or from demat account to his bank account.
Knowledge-
       Access to the wide range of information on content rich portal, also get a knowledge based tools
that will empower you to take right decisions.
 Convenience-
       You can call our “DIAL & TRADE” number to get investment advice & execute yor
transaction. Share Khan is having a dedicated call centre to provide this service via a toll free number
1800-22-7500 & 1800-22-7050.
Customer Service-
       Share Khan Customer service team will assist you for any help that you need relating to
transactions, billing, demat & other queries. Customer service can be contracted via a toll free no, email
or online chat on “harekhan.com”.
 Investment Advice-
        Share Khan has a dedicated research team of more than 30 people for fundamental & technical
research. Analyst constantly tracks the pulse of the market & provides timely investment advice to you
in the form of daily research emails, online chats, printed reports & SMS on your mobile phone.


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 6
Sharekhan Demat Account
       A Demat Account is an account which you need in India in order to buy and sell shares. Earlier
shares or stocks or a company were bought and sold in paper format. Now they are stored
electronically. Just like money is saved in your bank account, Shares are stored in your Demat Account
(sometimes also called DMAT account). You can open a Demat Account with sharekhan. This is
especially recommended if you have an online trading account with Share khan. You can then link you
Share khan trading account with your Share khan Demat Account so that any shares bought with the
trading account can be directly transferred to your Demat. Here is all information you need about Share
khan Demat Account.

Documents Needed to Open a Sharekhan Demat Account.

    1. PAN Card. Pan card is now mandatory in order to open a Demat Account.
    2. Address Proof. Example- your ration card, driver's licence, electricity bill, voters id or election
       card, etc.
    3. Your recent photographs. Two or three.
    4. A cancelled check. This may or may not be required. But carry your bank passbook and check
       book when you go to open a Sharekhan Demat Account.



Sharekhan Demat Account Charges
    1. Share khan Demat Account Opening Charges: NIL
    2. Share khan Demat Account Maintenance Charges: Rs. 75 per quarter, i.e. Rs. 300 per anum.
    3. Share khan Demat Account Closing Charges: Rs. 100.
    4. Brokerage -
       for trading in Equity-


         Intraday- 0.10%
         Delivery- 0.50%



EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                              Page 7
for trading in derivatives-
         100 RS per lot.( per lot includes 50 shares)


    5. Share khan Dematerialization Charges: RS.3 per certificate or RS.15 per request, whichever is
        higher.


    6. Share khan Demat Account Custody Fee: NIL


        Minimum amount requires to open demat account- 5000 Rs. You can do trading from this
amount & 750 advance brokerage for 6 months validity. There are different plans for reducing the
amount of brokerage.



                         Brokerage slab

                         Cash                               F&O
Scheme Period       in
                         Trading          Delivery          Futures           Options
Name      Months
                                Min              Min               Min
                         %                %                 %                 %
                                (paisa)          (paisa)           (paisa)
                                                                              2% of premium
AMC                                                                           or       Rs.   90,
          12             0.07 5           0.40   10         0.07   1
2000                                                                          whichever       is
                                                                              higher
                                                                              1.5% of premium
AMC                                                                           or       Rs.   75,
          12             0.05 5           0.25   5          0.05   1
6000                                                                          whichever       is
                                                                              higher
                                                                              1% of premium
AMC                                                                           or       Rs.   50,
          12             0.04 4           0.20   4          0.04   1
18000                                                                         whichever       is
                                                                              higher




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                           Page 8
Table 1: Brokerage slab




                                     Indian Stock Market


Indian Stock market contains more than 20 stock exchanges, some of which are popular nationally as
well as regionally. The first stock market started in country was Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE ) stock
market. It‟s the oldest stock market in Asia. It has around 5000 listings & a volume of more than US$
1 Trillion. The other most popular stock exchange is National Stock Exchange(NSE). Its also largest
stock exchange in the country & third in the world. These two Exchanges constitutes major part of
Indian Capital Market.

Purpose of stock market?
      Stock markets basic role to provide platform for the people of the country to invest their
savings & also a source of funds for the various institutions & organizations. It provides an opportunity
for any person to become a part owner of the company by buying the companies share. One can deal in
variety of financial instruments such as Equity, futures & options, currency future, commodities etc.

Impact on the economy

    Provides source of funding for the organization
    An investment avenue
    A source of income for investors
    A source of revenue for government in the form of taxes.
    A source of employment




       Present scenario-

        Current condition of Stock Market has drastically improved. SENSEX has already crossed
17000 Mark & Nifty has crossed 5000 mark. We have seen that in the recession SENSEX has come
down to 8000 point from 21000. But now market is gearing up & crossed 17000 points. Lot of people
invest in stock market. Indian Stock Market has been giving average 19% return on investment much

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                             Page 9
more than returns which we get from bank or any other sources. Though the Indian Stock Market can
be very rewarding avenue of investment but the constant changes & the inherent dynamic changes in
the market can wipe your funds or savings. Because market is very volatile. So every investor has to
very alert & observant. People from across the country & globe get in touch with minute wise reading
on the stock market & gain a lot of trading aptitude after daily seeing BSE Stop Gainers or BSE top
losers list which does a world of good to their investment portfolio.



                                            Stock Analysis
       Indian Securities markets are touching new heights as it has surpassed 17,000 marks. More and
more investors are attracting towards equity investment and trading. But this is not always the case that
no one can assure you certain returns there is always uncertainty and risk in investment and that push
investors on back seats. Sometimes it becomes very difficult for investors to predict the share price of
the particular company in this very volatile market. It raises questions in investor‟s mind that
       At what price I should buy? When to sell it... hold?
       As trading and investments are increasing on the markets as SEBI made it compulsory for all
the companies to disclose important information to its Shareholder and investor. So they can get as
possible as information about the companies of which they are holding the shares or going to buy.
now-a-days brokers and some analyst providing some future predictions of stocks price movements. So
now investment has become somewhat easy for investors.
       This is done with a Stock Analysis getting the information about company and its price
movements on stock markets and tries to predict the value of shares. So, there is great importance of
stock analysis among investors. Stock analysis is usually done by Broking Firms. They recommends
there investors regarding buying & selling of shares.


       Types of Stock Analysis-
   1. Technical Analysis
   2. Fundamental Analysis


   Here we have selected a Fundamental analysis as subject of our project so we would do it in detail
with practical analysis. We would get only some flavor of technical analysis and then we would
understand about fundamental analysis.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 10
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS1


“Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing the statistics generated by market
activity, such as past prices and volume. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's
intrinsic value, but instead use charts and other tools to identify patterns that can suggest future
activity.”


Just as there are many investment styles on the fundamental side, there are also many different types of
technical traders. Some rely on chart patterns; others use technical indicators and oscillators, and most
use some combination of the two. In any case, technical analysts' exclusive use of historical price and
volume data is what separates them from their fundamental counterparts. Unlike fundamental analysts,
technical analysts don't care whether a stock is undervalued - the only thing that matters is a security's
past trading data and what information this data can provide about where the security might move in
the future. Technical analysis is very useful for short term investors.




The field of technical analysis is based on three assumptions: 2
1.    The Market discounts everything.
2.    Price moves in trends.
3.    History tends to repeat itself.


     1. The Market Discounts Everything
                 A major criticism of technical analysis is that it only considers price movement, ignoring
the fundamental factors of the company. However, technical analysis assumes that, at any given time, a
stock's price reflects everything that has or could affect the company - including fundamental factors.
Technical analysts believe that the company's fundamentals, along with broader economic factors and
marketpsychology, are all priced into the stock, removing the need to actually consider these factors
separately. This only leaves the analysis of price movement, which technical theory views as a product
of the supply and demand for a particular stock in the market.

1

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_analysis
2
  ttp://www.tradegreeks.com/articles/Article-Technical-Analysis-Indepth1.htm

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                   Page 11
2. Price Moves in Trends
In technical analysis, price movements are believed to follow trends. This means that after a trend has
been established, the future price movement is more likely to be in the same direction as the trend than
to be against it. Most technical trading strategies are based on this assumption.


      3. History Tends To Repeat Itself
Another important idea in technical analysis is that history tends to repeat itself, mainly in terms of
price movement. The repetitive nature of price movements is attributed to market psychology; in other
words, market participants tend to provide a consistent reaction to similar market stimuli over time.
Technical analysis uses chart patterns to analyze market movements and understand trends. Although
many of these charts have been used for more than 100 years, they are still believed to be relevant
because        they    illustrate    patterns    in    price    movements        that   often   repeat   themselves.


       Other Usage


Technical analysis can be used on any security with historical trading data. This includes stocks, futures
and commodities, fixed-income securities, forex, etc. these concepts can be applied to any type of
security. In fact, technical analysis is more frequently associated with commodities and forex, where
the participants are predominantly traders.




       Strengths of Technical Analysis3

           Focus on Price
If the objective is to predict the future price, then it makes sense to focus on price movements. Price
movements usually precede fundamental developments. By focusing on price action, technicians are
automatically focusing on the future. The market is thought of as a leading indicator and generally
leads the economy by 6 to 9 months. To keep pace with the market, it makes sense to look directly at
the price movements. More often than not, change is a subtle beast. Even though the market is prone to

3
    ttp://www.tradegreeks.com/articles/Article-Technical-Analysis-Indepth1.htm
EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                        Page 12
sudden knee-jerk reactions, hints usually develop before significant moves. A technician will refer to
periods of accumulation as evidence of an impending advance and periods of distribution as evidence
of an impending decline.

          Supply, Demand, and Price Action
Many technicians use the open, high, low and close when analyzing the price action of a security.
Separately, these will not be able to tell much. However, taken together, the open, high, low and close
reflect forces of supply and demand.

 Before the open, the number of buy orders exceeded the number of sell orders and the price was
raised to attract more sellers. Demand was brisk from the start. The intraday high reflects the strength
of demand (buyers). The intraday low reflects the availability of supply (sellers). The close represents
the final price agreed upon by the buyers and the sellers. Even after this selling pressure, the close
remained above the open. higher prices reflect increased demand and lower prices reflect increased
supply.


          Support/Resistance
Simple chart analysis can help identify support and resistance levels. These are usually marked by
periods of congestion (trading range) where the prices move within a confined range for an extended
period, telling us that the forces of supply and demand are deadlocked. When prices move out of the
trading range, it signals that either supply or demand has started to get the upper hand. If prices move
above the upper band of the trading range, then demand is winning. If prices move below the lower
band, then supply is winning.

          Pictorial Price History
A price chart can offer plenty of valuable information. The price chart is an easy to read historical
account of a security's price movement over a period of time. Charts are much easier to read than a
table of numbers. On most stock charts, volume bars are displayed at the bottom. With this historical
picture, it is easy to identify the following:

          Reactions prior to and after important events.
          Past and present volatility.
          Historical volume or trading levels.

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                           Page 13
Relative strength of a stock versus the overall market.

       Assist with Entry Point

   Technical analysis can help with timing a proper entry point. Someanalysts use fundamental
analysis to decide what to buy and technical analysis to decide when to buy. It is no secret that timing
can play an important role in performance. Technical analysis can help spot demand (support) and
supply (resistance) levels as well as breakouts. Simply waiting for a breakout above resistance or
buying near support levels can improve returns.




    Weaknesses of Technical Analysis

       Analyst Bias
Just as with fundamental analysis, technical analysis is subjective and our personal biases can be
reflected in the analysis. It is important to be aware of these biases when analyzing a chart. If the
analyst is a perpetual bull, then a bullish bias will overshadow the analysis. On the other hand, if the
analyst is a disgruntled eternal bear, then the analysis will probably have a bearish tilt.

       Open to Interpretation
Furthering the bias argument is the fact that technical analysis is open to interpretation. Even though
there are standards, many times two technicians will look at the same chart and paint two different
scenarios or see different patterns. Both will be able to come up with logical support and resistance
levels as well as key breaks to justify their position. While this can be frustrating, it should be pointed
out that technical analysis is more like an art than a science, somewhat like economics. Is the cup half-
empty or half-full? It is in the eye of the beholder.

       Too Late
Technical analysis has been criticized for being too late. By the time the trend is identified, a
substantial portion of the move has already taken place. After such a large move, the reward to risk
ratio is not great. Lateness is a particular criticism of Dow theory.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                              Page 14
Predictions may go wrong-
Sometimes predictions may go wrong. Analysis is done only by charts & past trends. Generally if a
particular stock going up it is predicted that this stock will go up in future also. If a stock of a particular
company increasing from last 1 year it is not sure that it will increase in future also. It may go down if
the company fails to perform well or any other economic reason.


                                        Fundamental Analysis
     Meaning: -Fundamental analysis is the examination of the underlying forces that affect the
        wellbeing of the economy, industry groups, and companies. As with most analysis, the goal is to
        derive a forecast and profit from future price movements.

        At the company level, fundamental analysis may involve examination of financial data,
           management, business concept and competition.

        At the industry level, there might be an examination of supply and demand forces for the
           products offered.

        For the national economy, fundamental analysis might focus on economic data to assess the
           present and future growth of the economy.




        Strengths of Fundamental Analysis
        Useful for Long-term-

        Fundamental analysis is good for long-term investments based on long-term. It is very
        important for those who wants to invest in market for long term.

        Value prediction-

        Sound fundamental analysis help to identify companies that represent a good value. Some of
        the most legendary investors think long-term and value. Graham and Dodd, Warren Buffett and
        John Neff are seen as the champions of value investing.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                  Page 15
Business Accuracy-

           Fundamental analysis is the development of a thorough understanding of the business. After
           research and analysis, an investor will be familiar with the key revenue and profit drivers
           behind a company. Earnings and earnings expectations can be main drivers of equity prices. A
           good understanding can help investors avoid companies that are to be going to shortfalls and
           identify those that continue to deliver.


                                          Weaknesses of Fundamental Analysis4
           Time Constraints

           Fundamental analysis may offer excellent insights, but it can be extraordinarily         time-
           consuming. It requires lot of research.

           Industry/Company Specific

           Valuation techniques vary depending on the industry group and specifics of each company. For
           this reason, a different technique and model is required for different industries and different
           companies. This can get quite time-consuming, which can limit the amount of research that can
           be performed. A subscription-based model may work great for an Internet Service Provider
           (ISP), but is not likely to be the best model to value an oil company.

           Subjectivity

           Fair value is based on assumptions. Any changes to growth or assumptions can greatly alter the
           ultimate valuation. & i will cause loss to the investors.




4
    http://www.tradegreeks.com/articles/Article-Fundamental-Analysis-Indepth1.htm

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                             Page 16
Economic Analysis-
       The purpose of analyze economic condition of the country in fundamental analysis to asses the
general economic situation both within the country and inter nationally.

       The economy is like the tide and the various industry groups and individual companies are like
boats. When economy expands most industry groups and companies benefits and grows. When the
economy declines, most sectors and companies usually suffer. The stock market does not operate in a
vacuum it is an integral part of ht whole economy of a country, more so in a free economy that of
United States and to some extent in mixed economy like ours.
       To gain an insight into the complexities of stock market. One needs to develop a sound
economic understanding and be able to interpret the impact of important economic indicators on stock
markets.


The following are some important factors which should be taken into account while doing
fundamental analysis:
       Economic Growth
       Per capita income
       Industrial Production
       Inflation
       Interest Rates
       Foreign Exchange Reserves
       Budgetary Deficit
       Domestic Savings and Investment
       Tax Rates
       Infrastructure
       Political Situation




       In absolute terms, India is 16th in the world in terms of nominal factory output. The service
sector is growing rapidly in the past few years. This is the pie- chart showing contributions of different
sectors in Indian economy. The per capita Income is near about Rs38,000 reflecting improvement in the


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                              Page 17
living standards of an average Indian.
   Today, automobile sector in India is one of the key sectors of the economy in terms of the
employment. Directly and indirectly it employs more than 10 million people and if we add the number
of people employed in the auto-component and auto ancillary industry then the number goes even
higher.




Figure 1: Composition of GDP by industries(08-09)




India GDP Growth Rate-

      India Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded 8.5% over the last quarter. The India Gross
Domestic Product is worth 1217 billion dollars or 1.96% of the world economy, according to the World
Bank




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 18
Figure 2: Quarterly GDP growth


       Contribution of automobile sector in GDP is about 5% & will be doubled by 2016.


FDI(Foreign Direct Investment)
        In India FDI has been permitted up to 100% in automobile sector. Which has led to a turnover
of USD 12 billion in Indian Auto industry & USD 3 billion in auto parts industry. Manufacturing cost
in India is 25% to 30% lower than there foreign counterparts. Investment commission has set a target of
US $ 5 billion in next 7 years to increase the share of India in global Auto market. From existing .9 %
to 2.5 % by 2015.




Highlights of 2010-11 budget regarding Automobile Industry-
    The correction in Excise duty on Electric Vehicles which will enable the manufacturers take
       CENVAT credit and exemption of Customs duty on Electric Vehicles parts.
    Payment made to an approved association engaged in research in Social Sciences or Statistical
       Research will be allowed as a weighted deduction of 125 per cent. The income of such
       approved research association shall be exempted from tax.
    increase in weighted deduction for in-house R&D to 200% from 150% and outsourced R&D
       from 125% to 175%.

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 19
 2% hike in Excise duty
            The budget did not meet all the expectations as the sector is yet to recover fully from
         recession.
         Indian automobile industry is expected to grow at 9-11 % in near future.
From the above analysis we have seen that our economic condition is preferable to Automobile
Industry.


                                        Industry Analysis
Brief history of Automobile Industry-
         In 1898 car had touched the Indian streets for the first time. The Automobile Industry in India
is the seventh largest in the world with an annual production of over 2.6 million units in 2009. In 2009,
India emerged as Asia's fourth largest exporter of automobiles, behind Japan, South Korea and
Thailand. By 2050, the country is expected to top the world in car volumes with approximately 611
million vehicles on the nations road.

         Following economic liberalization in India     in 1991, allowed foreign companies to enter into
India for the business purpose. The Indian automotive industry has demonstrated sustained growth as
a result of increased competitiveness and relaxed restrictions. Several Indian automobile manufacturers
such as Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki and Mahindra and Mahindra, expanded their domestic and
international operations. In February 2009, monthly sales of passenger cars in India exceeded 100,000
units.
         India‟s automobile sector consists of the passenger cars and utility vehicles, commercial
vehicle, two wheelers and tractors segment. The total market size of the auto sector in India is
approximately RS. 540 billion and has been growing at around 8 percent per annum for the last few
years. Since the last four to five years, the two wheelers segment has driven the overall volume growth
on account of the spurt in the sales of motorcycles. However, lately the passenger cars and commercial
vehicles segment has also seen a good growth due to high discounts, lower financing rates and a pickup
in industrial activity respectively.
In the initial years after independence Indian automobile industry was plagued by unfavorable
government policies. All it had to offer in the passenger car segment was a 1940s Morris model called
the Ambassador and a 1960s Suzuki-derived model called the Maruti 800. The automobile sector in
India underwent a metamorphosis as a result of the liberalization policies initiated in the 1991.


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                  Page 20
Measures such as relaxation of the foreign exchange and equity regulations, reduction of tariffs on
imports, and refining the banking policies played a vital role in turning around the Indian
automobileindustry. Until the mid 1990s, the Indian auto sector consisted of just a handful of local
companies. However, after the sector opened to foreign direct investment in 1996, global majors moved
in. Automobile industry in India also received an unintended boost from stringent government auto
emission regulations over the past few years. This ensured that vehicles produced in India conformed to
the standards of the developed world.


Indian automobile industry has matured in last few years and offers differentiated products for different
segments of the society. It is currently making inroads into the rural middle class market after its
inroads into the urban markets and rural rich. In the recent years Indian automobile sector has
witnessed a slew of investments. India is on every major global automobile player's radar. Indian
automobile industry is also fast becoming an outsourcing hub for automobile companies worldwide, as
indicated by the zooming automobile exports from the country. Today, Hyundai, Honda, Toyota, GM,
Ford and Mitsubishi have set up their manufacturing bases in India. Due to rapid economic growth and
higher disposable income it is believed that the success story of the Indian automobile industry is not
going to end soon..




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 21
Figure3: Indian automobile industry




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                    Page 22
Industry Analysis
Analysis of automobile industry-
   this is the pie chart showing segment wise market share in automobile induistry.

Figure 2: Composition of GDP by industries (08-09)




                             Figure 4: Proportion of different type of vehicles




                 FIVE FORCES MODEL-
   Porter identifies five forces model that influences industry.
          degree of rivalry-
          Rivalry in the Indian Auto sector is intense due to entry of foreign companies. The rivalry is
   too high because any new kind of product manufactured by a particular company is being is being
   manufactured by competitors also. This is done because technical capabilities of companies under
   the technical collaboration with foreign players.


                  Threat of Substitutes-
          The threat of substitutes to the Automobile Sector is fairly low. Many forms of


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 23
transportation are available but none offered utility, convenience, independence & value offered by
   automobiles. & the cost associated with other modes of transport may be high in terms of personal
   time, convenience & utility.
               Barriers to entry-
           The barriers to enter automobile sector is substantial. For a new company the initial capital
   require to establish new manufacturing setup up achieve minimum efficient scale is prohibitive. But
   existing companies entered in to market by alliance with domestic partner acquiring stake. However
   the domestic company with potentials & expertise has the potential to compete with foreign
   players.
               Suppliers Power-
           Relationship between the industry & its suppliers the power is in favor of industry.The
industry is powerful buyer who is generally able to dictate their terms to suppliers.
               Buyers Power-
       In the relationship between industry & its consumers the power axis is in favor of its
       consumers. This is because of the competition.




                                         SWOT ANALYSIS
       Scanning of internal & external factors of industry is very essential while analyzing the
Automobile industry. Internal factors include strengths, weakness & external factors includes
opportunities, threats.
                                                  Strengths-
       Large domestic market
       Sustainable labor cost advantage
       Competitive Auto component vendor base
       Government incentives for manufacturing plants
       Strong engineering skills in design etc.



EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 24
Weakness-
     Low labor productivity
     High interest cost & high overheads
     various forms of taxes
     low investment in research & developments
     infrastructure problem


                                         Opportunities-
     Commercial vehicles- SC ban on overloading
     Heavy thrust on mining & construction activity
     increase in the income level
     cut in excise duty
     rising rural demand




                                                Threats-
     Rising input cost
     Rising interest rates
     Cut throat competition
     Largest three wheeler market in the world.
     2nd largest two wheeler market in the world.
     4th largest passenger vehicle market in Asia.
     4th largest tractor market in the world.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                        Page 25
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN5
      A mission for development of automobile industry


        VISION
      “To emerge as the destination of choice in
      The world for design and manufacture of
      Automobiles and auto components with
      Output reaching a level of US$ 145 billion
      Accounting for more than 10% of the GDP
      And providing additional employment to
      25 million people by 2016.”




           The necessity of this Mission Plan arises in the background of a newfound strength and
      resurgence in the Indian manufacturing sector. For most of the decade of the 1990s, post economic
      deregulation in 1991, growth in the Indian economy has been led by growth in the service sector, a
      growth that has overshadowed the growth in the manufacturing sector. In the past few years, several
      industries in the Indian manufacturing sector have become internationally competitive and have
      acquired a new energy to grow. Several industries, including the automotive industry, genuinely
      believe that they can become world-beaters.
      4.2 In developing a Mission Plan for India‟s automotive sector, answer to the following questions
      has been sought:
       i) Where is automotive sector in India today? What linkages does the automotive sector have with
           other facets of the India‟s economy?
      (ii) What do we want the automotive sector of India to look like in 2016? in other words, what is
           the potential of 4th largest position in world to grow along other segments of its value chain. &
           what can be the maximum impact on its shareholder.
      (iii) How do we attain the vision? What policy interventions will facilitate the attainment of this
           potential?
           Vision for the Future: The opportunity landscape for the Indian auto industry would
encompass manufacture of vehicles and components for domestic sales, manufacture for exports (both

5
    ttp://www.dhi.nic.in/draft_automotive_mission_plan.pdf
EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                Page 26
vehicles and components), and export of services in areas such as design, engineering, and back office
operations. It is estimated that the total turnover of the automotive industry in India would be in the
order of USD 122-159 billion in 2016 (a substantial increase from the size of USD 34 billion in 2006).


4. It is expected that in real terms, India would continue to enjoy its eminent position of being the
   largest tractor and three wheeler manufacturers in the world and the world‟s second largest two
   wheeler manufacturer By 2016, India would emerge as the world‟s seventh largest car producer
   (as compared to the In eleventh largest currently) and retain the automotive sector to grow along
   manufacturing sector. Further, by 2016 and the automotive sector would double its contribution to
   the country‟s GDP up to10 % the share of industry in GDP is expected to go up to around 35% from
   current level of 24% by 2016.
       So this Automotive Mission Plan is already helping Automobile sector & this plan contributes
   to the growth of the Automobile Sector. & it will boost this sector in future also.


                         Current status of Indian Automobile Industry-


       The time has gone when people just wanted to have vehicles as a means of transportation but
nowadays they are more aware about the vehicle model, their price and various other features. India
opened its gates for the foreign companies in 1991 various automobiles giants entered our country
seeking it as their target market. We Indians also got a wide variety of cars to choose from. Hyundai
entered in India with a view to capture the small market segment earlier captured mostly by two giant
Indian companies- Tata Motors and Maruti Udyog Limited.
       Tata is one of the company in which the Indians trust like anything. It has diversified itself in a
number of sectors gaining the trust and proving its competence in every such field. Tata when come up
with a small car segments it was welcomed by people in the same way as it welcomed all its products.
It has a wide choice of four wheelers to satisfy the varied Indian choices. In the other hand MARUTI
also is said to capture the pulse of Indian middle class by giving them their MARUTI 800.To its wing it
added many other cars to competition to TATA motors.
         TATA has Launched TATA NANO the world‟s cheapest car. This was the remarkable point in
Indian Automobile history. This car is generally made for middle class people. Tata Nano‟s launch
could expand the Indian car market by 65%. TATA has launched world‟s cheapest car so now other
players will invent the car like TATA NANO. The customers will have the different options in that price

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 27
segment. Middle class people can afford Rs.1 lack car. This leads to increase in the number of car
holders. & this automatically leads to growth of car segment.




Indian Automobile Industry


       Largest three wheeler market in the world.


       2nd largest two wheeler market in the world.


       4th largest passenger vehicle market in Asia.


       4th largest tractor market in the world.


       5th largest commercial vehicle market in the world.


The industry structure spans all segments and is concentrated in regional clusters


       The India automotive sector has a presence across all vehicle segments and key components. In
terms of volume, two wheelers dominate the sector, with nearly 80 per cent share, followed by
passenger vehicles with 13 per cent. The industry had few players and was protected from global
competition till the 1990s. After government lifted licensing in 1993, 17 new ventures have come up.
At present, there are 12 manufacturers of passenger cars, 5 manufacturers of multi utility vehicles
(MUVs), 9 manufacturers of commercial vehicles, 12 of two wheelers and 4 of three wheelers, besides
5 manufacturers of engines. With the arrival of global players, the sector has become highly
competitive.
Concentrated in regional clusters


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 28
Automobile manufacturing units are located all over India. These are, however, concentrated in
some pockets such as Chennai and Bangalore in the south, Pune in the west, the National Capital
Region (NCR, which includes New Delhi and its suburban districts) in the north, Jamshedpur and
Kolkata in the east and Pithampur in the central region. Following global trends, the Indian automotive
sector also has most auto
Suppliers located close to the manufacturing locations of OEMs, forming regional automotive clusters.
Broadly, the three main clusters are centered around Chennai, Pune and the NCR.




Auto Components sector is highly fragmented
        India is emerging as one of the most attractive automotive markets in the world, and is
poised to become a key sourcing base for auto components.
The Indian automotive component industry is highly fragmented. There-are nearly 6,400 players in the
sector, of which only about 6 per cent are organized and the remaining 94 per cent are small-scale,
unorganized players. In terms of value added, however, the organized players account for nearly 77 per
cent of the output in the sector. The sector manufactures components across all key vehicle systems.
The break-up of the output from the organized sector, in value terms, across key vehicle systems, is
shown in the figure.


Exports of automobiles from India are booming
        While the domestic sales of automobiles have been increasing at a significant rate,exports have
taken a quantum leap in recent years. The exports of automobiles from India have been growing at a
CAGR of 39 per cent for the past four years.
        Exports growth has been spearheaded by the passenger vehicle segment, which has grown at a
rate of 57.4 per cent. Europe is the biggest importer of cars from the country while predominantly
African nations import buses and trucks.The Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) region
is the prime destination for Indian two wheelers.
        Most of the key auto component manufacturers in India are very positive about the outlook for
exports, and expect about 15 per cent of their revenue to come from exports over the next 3-5 years. It
has been estimated that exports of auto components from India could be around US$ 20-25 billion by
2015.

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 29
Competitive Advantages
       India has several competitive advantages in the automobile sector,which have been analyzed
using the following framework. Availability of skilled manpower with engineering and design
capabilities India has a growing workforce that is English-speaking, highly skilled and trained in
designing and machining skills required by
The automotive and engineering industries. In a combined assessment of manpower availability and
capabilities, India ranks much ahead of other competing economies (see figure).




                             Figure 5: India competitiveness compared to other industries


Many Indian and global players are leveraging this advantage by increasingly outsourcing activities
like design and R&D to their Indian arms. The Society of Indian Automobile manufacturers(SIAM)
estimates that automotive vehicle manufacturers are
Expected to invest US$ 5.7 billion in the Indian market from 2010 to 2012. Of this, about US$ 2.3
billion will be on research and development and the rest probably on capex.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                        Page 30
Table 2: Key players in automobile industry
       The Indian automobile industry is highly competitive with a large number of players in each
industry segment. Most of the global majors are present in the passenger vehicle and two wheeler
segments. In the components industry too,global players such as VISTEON, Delphi and Bosch are well
established,competing with domestic players. The presence of global competition has led to an overall
increase in capabilities of the Indian auto sector. Increase in competition has led to a pressure on
margins, and players have become increasingly cost efficient. Quality levels have gone up, and there is
an increasing focus on compliance to TPM, TQM and Six Sigma processes. This has led to an
increased confidence among domestic players, who are now focusing on opportunities abroad. Key
players in the components sector like Bharat Forge and Sundaram Fasteners have become key global
suppliers in their categories.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                          Page 31
Expected Growth by 2015-16




                Potential Vehicle sales in India in 2015 - 16 ( in mn)




                        0.87

                                                                                                27.8
   2015-16
                        0.64

                             2.65



                    0                        10                        20                         30
                              Three Wheelers           Two wheelers          CVs       Cars
                                                            Figure 6: potential vehicle sales




       After this whole analysis of Automobile Industry we can say that though there are some
backlogs like regional clusters, some threats & weaknesses of Automobile Industry there are more
positive sign than the negative. There is a lot of potential in this industry. This is the industry which
will go day by day. Because the population level of India is increasing. Many of the villages in India is


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 32
developing.
car segment -
today car is not meant for need only it becomes a luxury & income level of people is increasing this can
b leads to increase in sale of cars.

TATA NANO RS. 1 lack car.
Petrol prices are increasing but it does not affect the sale of car because people gives more important to
need & luxury than the petrol & diesel prices.


Commercial vehicles-
today transportation facilities are developing.
 Business is expanding so it leads to requirement of more & more commercial vehicles.


Two Wheeler-
Even lower middle class people can afford two wheelers. Today almost every company provides two
wheeler at a price of RS. 35000 to 40000.
it is cheaper than the other mode of transport & less time consuming.
       So we can say that there is so much potential to invest in Automobile sector. in future also this
sector will grow.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                             Page 33
Company Analysis-
i have taken two companies from the Automobile Sector-
1- TATA Motors
2- MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA




                                          TATA MOTORS



TATA Motors Limited is India's largest automobile company, with consolidated revenues of RS. 92,519
crores (USD 20 billion) in 2009-10. It is the leader in commercial vehicles in each segment, and among
the top three in passenger vehicles with winning products in the compact, midsize car and utility
vehicle segments. The company is the world's fourth largest truck manufacturer, and the world's second
largest bus manufacturer.

The company's 24,000 employees are guided by the vision to be "best in the manner in which we
operate, best in the products we deliver, and best in our value system and ethics."

Established in 1945, Tata Motors' presence indeed cuts across the length and breadth of India. Over 5.9
million Tata vehicles ply on Indian roads, since the first rolled out in 1954. The company's
manufacturing base in India is spread across Jamshedpur (Jharkhand), Pune (Maharashtra), Lucknow
(Uttar Pradesh), Patagar (Uttarakhand) and Dhār wad (Karnataka). Following a strategic alliance with
Fiat in 2005, it has set up an industrial joint venture with Fiat Group Automobiles at Ranjangaon
(Maharashtra) to produce both Fiat and Tata cars and Fiat powertrains. The company is establishing a
new plant at Sanand (Gujarat). The company's dealership, sales, services and spare parts network
comprises over 3500 touch points; Tata Motors also distributes and markets Fiat branded cars in India.

Tata Motors, the first company from India's engineering sector to be listed in the New York Stock
Exchange (September 2004), has also emerged as an international automobile company. Through
subsidiaries and associate companies, Tata Motors has operations in the UK, South Korea, Thailand

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                           Page 34
and Spain. Among them is Jaguar Land Rover, a business comprising the two iconic British brands that
was acquired in 2008. In 2004, it acquired the Daewoo Commercial Vehicles Company, South Korea's
second largest truck maker. The rechristened Tata Daewoo Commercial Vehicles Company has
launched several new products in the Korean market, while also exporting these products to several
international markets. Today two-thirds of heavy commercial vehicle exports out of South Korea are
from Tata Daewoo. In 2005, Tata Motors acquired a 21% stake in Hispano Carrocera, a reputed
Spanish bus and coach manufacturer, and subsequently the remaining stake in 2009. Hispano's presence
is being expanded in other markets. In 2006, Tata Motors formed a joint venture with the Brazil-based
Marco polo, a global leader in body-building for buses and coaches to manufacture fully-built buses
and coaches for India and select international markets. In 2006, Tata Motors entered into joint venture
with Thornburg Automotive Assembly Plant Company of Thailand to manufacture and market the
company's pickup vehicles in Thailand. The new plant of Tata Motors (Thailand) has begun production
of the Xenon pickup truck, with the Xenon having been launched in Thailand in 2008.

Tata Motors is also expanding its international footprint, established through exports since 1961. The
company's commercial and passenger vehicles are already being marketed in several countries in
Europe, Africa, the Middle East, South East Asia, South Asia and South America. It has franchisee/joint
venture assembly operations in Kenya, Bangladesh, Ukraine, Russia, Senegal and South Africa.

The foundation of the company's growth over the last 50 years is a deep understanding of economic
stimuli and customer needs, and the ability to translate them into customer-desired offerings through
leading edge R&D. With over 3,000 engineers and scientists, the company's Engineering Research
Centre, established in 1966, has enabled pioneering technologies and products. The company today has
R&D centers in Pune, Jamshedpur, Lucknow, Dharwad in India, and in South Korea, Spain, and the
UK. It was Tata Motors, which developed the first indigenously developed Light Commercial Vehicle,
India's first Sports Utility Vehicle and, in 1998, the Tata Indica, India's first fully indigenous passenger
car. Within two years of launch, Tata Indica became India's largest selling car in its segment. In 2005,
Tata Motors created a new segment by launching the Tata Ace, India's first indigenously developed
mini-truck.

In January 2008, Tata Motors unveiled its People's Car, the Tata Nano, which India and the world have
been looking forward to. The Tata Nano has been subsequently launched, as planned, in India in March
2009. A development, which signifies a first for the global automobile industry, the Nano brings the

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                Page 35
comfort and safety of a car within the reach of thousands of families. The standard version has been
priced at Rs.100, 000 (excluding VAT and transportation cost).

Designed with a family in mind, it has a roomy passenger compartment with generous leg space and
head room. It can comfortably seat four persons. Its mono-volume design will set a new benchmark
among small cars. Its safety performance exceeds regulatory requirements in India. Its tailpipe
emission performance too exceeds regulatory requirements. In terms of overall pollutants, it has a
lower pollution level than two-wheelers being manufactured in India today. The lean design strategy
has helped minimize weight, which helps maximize performance per unit of energy consumed and
delivers high fuel efficiency. The high fuel efficiency also ensures that the car has low carbon dioxide
emissions, thereby providing the twin benefits of an affordable transportation solution with a low
carbon footprint.

In May 2009, Tata Motors introduced ushered in a new era in the Indian automobile industry, in
keeping with its pioneering tradition, by unveiling its new range of world standard trucks called Prima.
In their power, speed, carrying capacity, operating economy and trims, they will introduce new
benchmarks in India and match the best in the world in performance at a lower life-cycle cost.

Tata Motors is equally focused on environment-friendly technologies in emissions and alternative fuels.
. It has developed electric and hybrid vehicles both for personal and public transportation. It has also
been implementing several environment-friendly technologies in manufacturing processes,
significantly enhancing resource conservation

Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in engineering and automotive solutions, construction
equipment manufacturing, automotive vehicle components manufacturing and supply chain activities,
machine tools and factory automation solutions, high-precision tooling and plastic and electronic
components for automotive and computer applications, and automotive retailing and service operations.

Tata Motors is committed to improving the quality of life of communities by working on four thrust
areas – employability, education, health and environment. The activities touch the lives of more than a
million citizens. The company's support on education and employability is focused on youth and
women. They range from schools to technical education institutes to actual facilitation of income
generation. In health, our intervention is in both preventive and curative health care. The goal of


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                              Page 36
environment protection is achieved through tree plantation, conserving water and creating new water
bodies and, last but not the least, by introducing appropriate technologies in our vehicles and operations
for constantly enhancing environment care.

With the foundation of its rich heritage, Tata Motors today is etching a refulgent future.




                                           Technical Chart




                                        Figure 7: Technical chart




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                             Page 37
Profit & Loss account of
Tata Motors                                         ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------

                                    Mar '05      Mar '06      Mar '07       Mar '08       Mar '09
                                    12 mths      12 mths      12 mths       12 mths       12 mths
   Total Income                   17,747.15 21,197.95 28,128.31 29,461.60 26,343.92


   Operating Profit                2,000.05      2,146.36    2,586.51      3,030.52      1,723.10

   PBIT                            2,404.03      2,998.77    3,700.89      3,764.69      2,644.39

   Interest                          234.30       350.24       455.75        471.56         704.92

   Profit Before Tax               1,652.45      2,053.81    2,573.83      2,576.47      1,013.76

   Reported Net Profit             1,236.95      1,528.88    1,913.46      2,028.92      1,001.26

   Preference Dividend                    0.00       0.00         0.00          0.00          0.00

   Equity Dividend                   452.19       497.94       578.07        578.43         311.61
   Per share data (annualised)
   Shares in issue (lakhs)         3,617.52      3,828.34    3,853.74      3,855.04      5,140.08

   Earning Per Share (Rs)             34.19        39.94        49.65          52.63         19.48

   Equity Dividend (%)               125.00       130.00       150.00        150.00          60.00
   Book Value (Rs)                   113.65       143.94       177.59        202.70         240.64


  Table 3: P & L account of TATA motors

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                             Page 38
Quarterly Results of Tata Motors                             ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------

                                                             Mar '09     Jun '09    Sep '09 Dec '09         Mar '10

Total Income                                                6,976.45 6,723.99 8,399.75 8,980.11 13,342.65
Operating Profit                                              535.91 716.79 1,050.27 1,129.29 1,137.90
Net Profit                                                    591.42 513.76 729.14 400.14          597.04
Dividend                                                           --       --       --       --        --
Earnings Per Share                                             11.51     9.99    14.18     7.36     10.46
Equity                                                        514.05 514.05 514.05 543.96          570.60
Face Value                                                     10.00    10.00    10.00    10.00     10.00
       Table 3:Quarterly P & L account of TATA motors


                                           Analysis of profit & loss
      Total income of the company in the year 2009-10 has increased drastically as compare to previous
      year but in previous year income had gone down as compare to the year 2008. After a Sharp decline
      in sales volume auto industry recovered with the sales growth in the year 2009-10. This is because
      improved economic activity reflected by improvement in industry production, favorable impact ogf
      government packages & overall improvement in financial environment.Because of increase in the
      total income net profit of the company has also increased. Company didn‟t pay any dividend in the
      year 2009-10. Earning per share doubled as compare to previous year.




  EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                Page 39
Balance sheet

(Rs. In crore)
                                  Mar ' 09     Mar ' 08    Mar ' 07    Mar ' 06   Mar ' 05


Sources of funds

Owner's fund
Equity share capital              514.05       385.54      385.41      382.87     361.79

Share application money           -            -           -           -          -

Preference share capital          -            -           -           -          -

Reserves & surplus                11,855.15    7,428.45    6,458.39    5,127.81   3,749.60


Loan funds

Secured loans                     5,251.65     2,461.99    2,022.04    822.76     489.81

Unsecured loans                   7,913.91     3,818.53    1,987.10    2,114.08   2,005.61

Total                             25,534.76    14,094.51   10,852.94   8,447.52   6,606.81


Uses of funds

Fixed assets

Gross block                       13,905.17    10,830.83   8,775.80    7,971.55   6,611.95

Less : revaluation reserve        25.07        25.51       25.95       26.39      -

Less : accumulated depreciation   6,259.90     5,443.52    4,894.54    4,401.51   3,454.28

Net block                         7,620.20     5,361.80    3,855.31    3,543.65   3,157.67

Capital work-in-progress          6,954.04     5,064.96    2,513.32    951.19     538.84

Investments                       12,968.13    4,910.27    2,477.00    2,015.15   2,912.06


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                  Page 40
Mar ' 09      Mar ' 08     Mar ' 07    Mar ' 06    Mar ' 05


Net current assets

Current assets, loans & advances            10,836.58     10,781.23    10,318.42   9,812.06    7,248.88

Less : current liabilities & provisions     12,846.21     12,029.80    8,321.20    7,888.65    7,268.80

Total net current assets                    -2,009.63     -1,248.57    1,997.22    1,923.41    -19.92

                                                                                               18.12
Miscellaneous expenses not written          2.02          6.05         10.09       14.12


Total                                       25,534.76     14,094.51    10,852.94   8,447.52    6,606.81


Notes:

Book value of unquoted investments          12,358.84     4,145.82     2,117.86    1,648.57    2,480.15

Market value of quoted investments          558.32        2,530.55     1,323.08    1,550.00    1,260.05

Contingent liabilities                      5,433.07      5,590.83     5,196.07    2,185.63    1,450.32

Number of equity sharesoutstanding
                                            5140.08       3855.04      3853.74     3828.34     3617.52
(Lacs)
                                                       Table 4: Balance sheet of TATA motors


                                          Analysis of Balance Sheet
   Share capital of a company is continuously increasing. It means no. of shares also increasing.
   Company is trying to raise more & more funds. Current liabilities of the company is more than the
   current assets it means company‟s liquidity position is so poor. Company is blocking more & more
   funds in the form of fixed assets. Investment of the company has increased substantially in the year
   2009 which may help the company in long run. But this investment increase the risk of the
   company because there is a chances of losses on this investment. & if company earns profit through
   this investment it will boost the company in long run.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                             Page 41
Key Financial Ratios of                      ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
      Tata Motors
                                    Mar
                                                  Mar '06            Mar '07             Mar '08        Mar '09
                                     '05
Dividend Per Share                 12.50            13.00               15.00              15.00          6.00
Profitability Ratios
Net Profit Margin(%)                7.02             7.35                6.94               6.96          3.77
Return On Net Worth(%)             30.09            27.74               27.96              25.98          8.09
Return on Long Term Funds(%)       28.72            28.65               31.18              22.85          8.89
Debt Equity Ratio                   0.61             0.53                0.59               0.80          1.06
Long Term Debt Equity Ratio         0.59             0.42                0.31               0.50          0.49
Debt Coverage Ratios
Total Debt to Owners Fund           0.61             0.53                0.59                0.80         1.06
Earnings Per Share                 34.19            39.94               49.65              52.63        19.48
                                   113.6
Book Value                                        143.94              177.59              202.70          240.64
                                       5

                                           Table 5: Key financial ratios of TATA motors




      EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                      Page 42
Ratio Analysis
  Dividend per share has decreased by 100 % from the year 2005 to 2009. Net profit margin also
  decreased more than 100 %. In the year 2009 the company‟s debt is more than its own fund. It is a
  negative sign. Because higher the debt higher the risk.Earnings per share in the year 2009-10 were
  approx. 39 RS. Doubled than the previous year. This leads to the growth prospects in future. Return
  on long term funds are quite better.




                          Report Card-


         PE ratio -          20.64       (15/7/2010)
         EPS                 39.26 Rs.
         Sales               12,229.70 Rs.
         Face Value          10 Rs
         Net profit margin     3.77 % (Mar, 09)
         Last bonus3:5         ( 28/09/95)
         Last dividend 150 (27/05/10)
         Return on avg.         8.09 (march 2009)
         Equity
         Table 6:Report card




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                         Page 43
-




        Dividend paid by TATA MOTORS

        Year Month Dividend (%)
        2010 May     150

        2009 May     60
        2008 May     150

        2007 May     150

        2006 May     130

        2005 May     125

        Table 7- Dividend paid by Tata Motors.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR             Page 44
Share holding pattern as on : 30/06/2010 31/03/2010 31/12/2009
Face value                          10.00          10.00       10.00
                          No.        Of               No.        Of                No.        Of
                                          % Holding                    % Holding                   % Holding
                          Shares                      Shares                       Shares
Promoter's holding
Indian Promoters          23213396        36.17       187376876        37.00       182666241       38.08
Sub total                 23213396        36.17       187376876        37.00       182666241       38.08
Non promoter's holding
Institutional investors
Banks Fin. Inst. and
                          649461          1.01        79506752         15.70       72352755        15.08
Insurance
FII's                     17141913        26.71       90736036         17.92       79801995        16.63
Sub total                 32196708        50.17       181123079        35.77       162862945       33.95
Other investors
Private       Corporate
                          2807249         4.37        2978660          0.59        2988981         0.62
Bodies
NRI's/OCB's/Foreign
                          489478          0.76        27471578         5.43        28637088        5.97
Others
Direcctors/Employee
                          46671           0.07        239972           0.05        238172          0.05
s
Govt                      -               -           407181           0.08        407181          0.08
Others                    221562          0.35        62719713         12.39       59565497        12.42
Sub total                 3564960         5.55        93817104         18.53       91835419        19.14
General public            5201496         8.10        44064111         8.70        42371799        8.83
Grand total               64176560        100.00      506381170        100.00      479736404       100.00




                                                                          Table 8: Share holding patterns


EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                      Page 45
Share Market watch of TATA MOTORS



Month                       Price
August                      449.45
September                   489.35
October                     580.10
November                    551.85
December                    629.50
January                     792.60
February                    707.95
March                       668.70
April                       739.65
May                         844.60
June                        673.70
July                        798.05
Table 9: Share Market watch of TATA MOTORS



From the above table we can see that the share price of TATA MOTORS has almost doubled in the last
12 months. In the month of May it goes up to 872.85. it is very good performance. This trend shows
that the in future also market price of share will increase.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                         Page 46
News related to TATA MOTORS
    TATA MOTORS raised US $ 750 through issue of global depository shares & convertible notes.
    15-7-2010 Tata Motors global sales grew by 46 %.
    07-7-2010 Tata Motors to invest RS. 10000 crore in 2 to 3
    IndusInd Bank ties-up with Tata Motors for dealer financing.

    Raising of long term capital funds

    Tata Motors launches the all-new Tata Indigo e-CS, the most fuel efficient sedan in the country.
    Tata Nano bags the Gold Prize in the 2010 Edison Awards

    Tata Motors ties up with Indian Overseas Bank for financing its range of commercial vehicles


       From above whole analysis we can say that there is a lot of potential to invest in this company.
on 17-7-2019 also the share price of TATA MOTRS was up by 30 Rs. TATA has launched TATA
NANO & acquired land rover & they are planning to invest more & more money. & TATA is brand on
which people blindly trust. So that‟s why this company definitely gives maximum returns in the future.
Investment in long term is beneficial. Hike in fuel prices may affect the industry in short run. Then too
small investor can go for short term investment because fluctuation in share price is more.

                 .




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                            Page 47
Mahindra & Mahindra ltd.
   Mahindra & Mahindra Limited. The Group's principal activities are to manufacture and distribute
  automobiles and farm equipment. The Group also provides IT, Financial, trading and management
 services. The Group operates in nine segments: Automotive, Farm equipment, IT services, Financial
  services, Steel Processing and Trading, Infrastructure, Hospitality, Systech. The Automotive sector
     manufactures multi utility vehicles and light commercial vehicles. The Farm equipment sector
manufactures and markets tractors. The IT segment comprises of services rendered to IT and Telecom.
     The Financial services segment includes services like financing, leasing and hire purchase of
  automobiles and tractors. Infrastructure comprise of operating of complex, Project management and
     development. Hospitality comprise of sale of time share. SYSTECH comprise of automotive
components and other segment includes steel trading, project management, Investment and power plant


Mahindra & Mahindra Limited was set up in 1945 as Mahindra & Mohammed. Later in 1948 it‟s name
changed to present Mahindra & Mahindra. Initially it manufactured light commercial vehicles (LCVs)
and agricultural tractors and later it grown rapidly into manufacturing of utility vehicles.
Mahindra & Mahindra Limited is part of the US $6.7 billion Mahindra Group. M&M has entered into
partnership with international companies like Renault SA, France, and International Truck and Engine
Corporation, USA. Its UV models include Scorpio, Bolero, Legend, Major, Commander and Logan.


Automotive Sector: Mahindra Group is the market leader in utility vehicles in India since inception.
Mahindra also manufactures and markets utility vehicles and light commercial vehicles, including
three-wheelers. Some of the famous automobile brands of Mahindra are: Scorpio and Bolero. Recently,
Mahindra joined hands with French automobile major Renault to enter passenger car segment. It has
launched a car called Mahindra Renault Logan.


Farm Equipment Sector: Mahindra is the largest producer of tractors in India and is among the top
five tractor brands in the world. It has its own state-of-the-art plants in India, USA, China and
Australia, and a capacity to produce 1,50,000 tractors a year.


Trade & Financial Services: Mahindra Limited and its subsidiaries have specialized domain
knowledge in imports and exports of commodities, domestic trading, marketing and distribution
services. Mahindra Finance is one of the largest Non-Banking Finance Companies in India with an

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                Page 48
asset base of about RS. 5000 crores. Mahindra Insurance Brokers offer Life and Non-life Insurance
plans to retail and corporate customers. Mahindra Steel Service Centre is the first steel service center in
the organized sector in India.


Infrastructure Development: Mahindra Group has interests in real estate, special economic zones,
hospitality industry, infrastructure development, project engineering consultancy and design. Mahindra
Holidays & Resorts is the leader in the lifetime holiday market in India. Mahindra Gesco is fastest
growing Construction Company in India. Mahindra World City is developing and promoting India's
first Integrated Business City. Mahindra Acres Consulting Engineers is a multidisciplinary engineering
consultancy organization.


Information Technology: Mahindra Group entered into IT sector in 1986 when it formed a joint
venture with British Telecommunications plc. The company was called Mahindra-British Telecom. The
Company has recently changed its name to Tech Mahindra. Tech Mahindra is a leading provider of
telecommunication solution and service industry world-wide. It is India's 8th largest software exporter.


Specialty Businesses: Mahindra Group companies such as Mahindra AshTech, Mahindra Defense,
Spares Business Unit and Mahindra Logistics are into Specialty Businesses. Mahindra AshTech
undertakes turnkey contract execution for Ash Slurry System and Travelling Water Screens. Mahindra
Defense Systems looks after the requirements of India's defense and security forces. Mahindra
Logistics provide complete logistics solutions to complex transportation needs of clients across the
world.
While the world-class Scorpio (declared to be the „Car of the Year‟ by CNBC Auto car, BBC Wheels
and Business Standard Motoring) is the Automotive Sector‟s current flagship, it has many more
products that have made it popular with individuals and institutions in India and the world. The
Automotive Sector of the Mahindra Group is currently present in the multi-utility vehicle, light
commercial vehicle and three-wheeler segments. Now, with its joint ventures, it will have a presence in
the passenger car and the medium and heavy commercial vehicle segments too.


 Mahindra Group is one of the largest corporate groups of India. It is a US $4.5 billion conglomerate
with employee strength of over 40,000. The group has diverse business interests such as automotive,
farm equipment‟s, infrastructure, information technology, hospitality, and financial services. Mahindra

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 49
Group has global presence and it is ranked amongst Forbes Top 200 list of the World's Most Reputable
Companies and in the Top 10 list of Most Reputable Indian companies.




                                   Technical Analysis chart




Figure 8: Technical analysis




Profit & Loss account of                              ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
Mahindra and Mahindra
                                      Mar '06         Mar '07            Mar '08            Mar '09        Mar '10

Net Sales                             8,136.5        9,921.34         11,310.37           13,125.98 18,588.82
Total Income                          8,694.9       10,458.92         12,035.44           13,339.54 18,902.61
Operating Profit                       871.55        1,136.23           1,157.65           1,092.25        2,955.24
Reported Net Profit                    857.10        1,068.39           1,103.37             836.78        2,087.75

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                               Page 50
Preference Dividend                      0.00               0.00               0.00                0.00          0.00
Equity Dividend                        243.97             282.23             282.61              278.83        549.52
Per share data (annualized)
Shares in issue (lakhs)                2,334.0           2,380.33          2,390.73           2,726.16        5,659.08
Earnings Per Share (Rs)                  36.72              44.88             46.15              30.69           36.89
Equity Dividend (%)                     100.00             115.00            115.00             100.00          190.00




                                                         ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------

Quarterly Results of
Mahindra and Mahindra
                                              Mar '09           Jun '09          Sep '09         Dec '09      Mar '10
Total Income                                 3,715.88         4,266.16         4,691.08         4,521.47 5,322.75
Net Profit                                     418.07           400.85           702.94           413.70 570.26
Dividend                                            --               --               --               --       --
Dividend (%)                                        --               --               --               --       --
Earnings Per Share                              15.34            14.68            25.71            15.12    10.08
Book Value                                          --               --               --               --       --
Equity                                         272.62           272.98           273.36           273.56 282.95
Face Value                                      10.00            10.00            10.00            10.00     5.00


                         Table 10: Quarterly results of Mahindra & Mahindra


                               Analysis of profit or loss account
Sales of the company in the year 2019-2010get doubled as compare to year 2005-06. Sale increased by
more than 100 % in the span of 4 years. In March 2009 profit was down because of economic
slowdown. Shareholders get on an average 30 to 35 RS. As EPS. This is a positive sign for future
growth.


Dividend
Year Month Dividend (%)
2010   May    190
2009   May    100
2008   May    115
2007   May    40

EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                  Page 51
Year Month Dividend (%)
   2007 Mar      75
   2006 May 100
   Table 11: Dividend



Balance Sheet of                               ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
Mahindra and Mahindra
                                     Mar '06        Mar '07            Mar '08            Mar '09        Mar '10

   Sources Of Funds
   Total Share Capital                233.40         238.03             239.07             272.62         282.95
   Equity Share Capital               233.40         238.03             239.07             272.62         282.95
   Share Application Money              0.00           0.00               0.00               0.00           8.01
   Preference Share Capital             0.00           0.00               0.00               0.00           0.00
                                     2,662.1
   Reserves                                        3,302.01           4,098.53           4,959.26       7,539.27
                                           4
   Revaluation Reserves                13.33           12.86              12.47             12.09             0.00
                                     2,908.8
   Networth                                        3,552.90           4,350.07           5,243.97       7,830.23
                                           7
   Secured Loans                      216.68         106.65             617.26             981.00         602.45
   Unsecured Loans                    666.71       1,529.35           1,969.80           3,071.76       2,277.70
   Total Debt                         883.39       1,636.00           2,587.06           4,052.76       2,880.15
   Total Liabilities                 3,792.2       5,188.90           6,937.13           9,296.73      10,710.38
   Application Of Funds
                                     2,859.2
   Gross Block                                     3,180.57           3,552.64           4,893.89       5,276.29
                                           5
                                     1,510.2
   Less: Accumulated. Depreciation                 1,639.12           1,841.68           2,326.29       2,537.77
                                           7
                                     1,348.9
   Net Block                                       1,541.45           1,710.96           2,567.60       2,738.52
                                           8
   Capital Work in Progress           205.46         329.72             649.94             646.73         964.20
                                     1,669.0
   Investments                                     2,237.46           4,215.06           5,786.41       6,398.02
                                           9
   Inventories                        878.74         878.48           1,084.11           1,060.67       1,188.78
   Sundry Debtors                     637.97         700.89           1,004.88           1,043.65       1,258.08
   Cash and Bank Balance              258.39         415.89             310.58             635.61       1,743.23
                                     1,775.1
   Total Current Assets                            1,995.26           2,399.57           2,739.93       4,190.09
                                           0
   Loans and Advances                 558.02       1,011.50             866.19           1,402.45       1,852.30
   Fixed Deposits                     471.92         910.18             550.65             938.82           0.00
                                     2,805.0
   Total CA, Loans & Advances                      3,916.94           3,816.41           5,081.20       6,042.39
                                           4
   Deferred Credit                      0.00           0.00               0.00               0.00           0.00
   Current Liabilities               1,711.2       2,138.77           2,525.31           3,520.20       3,640.33

   EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                             Page 52
3
Provisions                              543.14           715.43             943.46          1,277.56           1,796.54
                                       2,254.3
Total CL & Provisions                                  2,854.20          3,468.77           4,797.76           5,436.87
                                             7
Net Current Assets                      550.67         1,062.74             347.64            283.44            605.52
Miscellaneous Expenses                   18.05            17.55              13.53             12.55              4.12
                                       3,792.2
Total Assets                                           5,188.92          6,937.13           9,296.73          10,710.38
                                             5

                                                  Table 12: Balance sheet of Mahindra & Mahindra



                                    Analysis of balance sheet
Company has raised good amount of equity share capital in the year 2008 & 2009. Investment of the
company is also increasing. In the year 2009 company‟s debt decreased by more than 100 %. Company
has paid their debt so the amount of risk of the company also decreased.




Key Financial Ratios of                                  ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
Mahindra and Mahindra

                                         Mar
                                                        Mar '07             Mar '08             Mar '09        Mar '10
                                          '06
Dividend Per Share                      10.00             11.50               11.50               10.00          19.00
Profitability Ratios
Operating Profit Margin(%)              10.71             11.45               10.23                8.32          15.89
Net Profit Margin(%)                    10.28             10.34                9.45                6.22          11.11
Return On Net Worth(%)                  29.60             30.18               25.51               16.03          26.70
Return on Long Term Funds(%)            23.17             26.09               19.64               12.36          26.01
Liquidity And Solvency Ratios
Current Ratio                            1.21              1.31                0.86                0.90           1.11
Debt Equity Ratio                        0.31              0.46                0.60                0.77           0.37
Long Term Debt Equity Ratio              0.40              0.53                0.63                0.83           0.37
Total Debt to Owners Fund                0.31              0.46                0.60                0.77           0.37
Dividend Payout Ratio Net Profit        32.45             30.39               29.10               37.29          29.87
Cash Earning Retention Ratio            65.14             72.28               71.61               70.69          73.66
Earnings Per Share                      36.72             44.88               46.15               30.69         36.89
Book Value                             124.06            148.72              181.43              191.91        138.22

                                                Table 13: Key financial ratios of Mahindra & Mahindra
EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                                  Page 53
Analysis of Ratio.

       Company has paid 19 RS.Dividend per share in the year 2010. Means 9 RS. More than the
previous year. It states that company was able to earn more profit. Good amount of dividend holds the
interest of Share Holders. It is a positive sign so Company can raise more amount of share capital in
near future.Company is giving sufficient amount of return on its total net worth.
       We can see that from the above ratios, every ratio shows downward trend in the year 2008-0
but company bounce back in the year 2009-10. In the year 2009-10 every ratio has increased compare
to previous year.




Report Card

        Attribute            Value      Date
PE ratio                   16.37      16/07/10
EPS (Rs)                   36.89      Mar, 10
Sales (Rscrore)            5,304.63   Mar, 10
Face Value (Rs)            5
Net profit margin (%)      11.11      Mar, 10
Last bonus                 1:1        14/06/05
Last dividend (%)          190        24/05/10
Return on average equity   26.7       Mar, 10
Table 14: Report card




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                        Page 54
Share market watch of Mahindra & Mahindra ltd.
Month                 PRICE
August                 920.00
September              847.30
October                896.45
November               921.95
December              1028.25
January               1062.40
February              1019.40
March                  958.85
April                  549.55
May                    526.10
June                   519.45
July                   627.65
Table 15: Share market watch of Mahindra & Mahindra ltd.

        Abovechart shows the share market prices of per month of Mahindra & Mahindra in last year
share price has gone down from 920 to 627.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                       Page 55
Share holding
Share holding pattern as on : 30/06/2010 31/03/2010 31/12/2009
Face value                    5.00       5.00       10.00
                             No. Of        %          No. Of       %         No. Of        %
                             Shares    Holding        Shares     Holding     Shares      Holding
                                      Promoter's holding
Indian Promoters           138114984 23.88        138114984      23.88     69063784      24.68
Foreign Promoters          14070507   2.43        14254608       2.46      7127304       2.55
Sub total                  152185491 26.31        152369592      26.34     76191088      27.23
                                    Non promoter's holding
                                     Institutional investors
Banks Fin. Inst. and
                           117220102   20.27      119657640      20.69     59592156      21.30
Insurance
FII's                      133190960   23.03      135337813      23.40     64064714      22.89
Sub total                  277852033   48.04      279081526      48.25     139908653     50.00
                                         Other investors
Private Corporate Bodies   45672952    7.90       44223273       7.65      21273737      7.60
NRI's/OCB's/Foreign
                           22274297    3.85       22122061       3.82      1645395       0.59
Others
Govt                       448442      0.08       445132         0.08      221416        0.08
Others                     30495372    5.27       30600421       5.29      16060852      5.74
Sub total                  98890069    17.10      97389943       16.84     39201200      14.01
General public             49505891    8.56       49592473       8.57      24520124      8.76
Grand total                578433484   100.00     578433534      100.00    279821065     100.00



                            Table 16: Share Holding pattern of Mahindra& Mahindra ltd.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                       Page 56
News related to Mahindra & Mahindra


       30-06-2010:M&M to acquire Boeing's Australian facility.


       26-06-2010: Mahindra to invest RS. 250 crore in Aerospace.


       Mahindra scores high on ET 500 list.


       01-07-2010: Shortage of components constrained sales in June


       M & M to acquire boings Australian facility.


       Mahindra to invest re. 250 crore in Aerospace




       From the whole company Analysis of Mahindra & Mahindra we have seen that the financial
result of a company for the year 2009-10 is quite good as compare to previous year but then too the
company‟s share decreased by more than 300 RS.In last 12 months. At this moment long term
investment in Mahindra is much preferable. Because hike in fuel prices will affect the Automobile
Industry in short run.




EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                           Page 57
Learning’s-
Whilemaking this project I have got the in-depth knowledge &learning’s
mentioned below.
    Got the knowledge of equity market, equity analysis,
    Fundamental & technical analysis of the company
    Ratio analysis
    Knowledge about trading.
    Got deep knowledge of Automobile Industry
    Got deep knowledge of Indian stock market, Economy.
    There are different kinds of perceptions in the mind of investor while investing and it changes
       from investor to investor
    This study helps me to analyze the stock as per the objective of investment
    Every investor needs to analyze the fundamental and technical aspects




                                          Limitation of study


Study focused only on equity market. Have not taken derivatives & commodity market.
Analysis has been done on some parameters. Have not taken all the parameters which is required to
analyze the equity.



EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR                                                         Page 58
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Summer projct

  • 1. Genesis of the report I have done my summer training at SHAREKHANLtd. It is one of the reputed company& brand name in the share broking companies in India. During my interns I have got the practical knowledge of Stock market. Working in share khan I have got to know that research team of Share Khan makes analysis of the companies & prepares research report which contains information & news about different companies. Through this research report researcher recommends investors about what stock should be buy, sale or hold etc. it contains the performance of the companies. So investor can invest in stock market by reading this report. This report appears daily on the Share Khan website. After getting this I have decided to do my summer project on Equity research. There is a lot of scope and growth opportunities in the Automobile sector. Development of Automobile sector is the key for the economic growth of developing countries like India and so I have selected this sector. During the training session I had observed the price rise and decline inthese sectors every day. Even I have earned some money by trading in this sector companies. This report constitutes the detailed analysis of automobile sector& Analysis of two companies. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 1
  • 2. OBJECTIVE OF STUDY  To acquire a deep knowledge of the Automobile Sector which I am studying.  To predict expected share price with the projected company‟s financial performance (2009- 20010)  Fundamental analysis of the company.  Comparative analysis of Tata Motors & Mahindra & Mahindra.  To study the demand of Automobile sector.  Projection about improving performance of the company.  To evaluate management & internal business decisions.  Application of various fundamental & technical tools. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 2
  • 3. Share Khan ltd. Name of the company- Share Khan ltd. Year of establishment - 1925 Headquarter - Share Khan SSKI A 206 phoenix house Phoenix Mills Compound Lower Parel Mumbai. Nature of business - Service Provider Services - Depository services, online services & technical research. Website - www.sharekhan.com Slogan - Your guide to financial jungle. Vision - TO be the best broking brand in the retail broking business. Mission - to educate & empower individual investor to make better investment decision through quality advice & superior services. Share Khan is the one of the leading retail brokerage company of SSKI group which is running successfullysince 1022 in the country. It is the leading retail firm of Mumbai based SSKI group. Which has over 8 decades of experience in retail broking? Sharekhan offers its customers wide range of equity related services including trade execution on BSE, NSE, DERIVATIVES, DEPOSITORY SERVICES, ONLINE TRADING & DMAT ACCOUNT. The firms online site “ www.sharekahn.com” Was launched in 8 Feb 2000. the site give access to superior content & transaction facility to retail customers across the country. The site has registered base of over 100000 lakh client & number is increasing day by day. Share Khan stands for 32 % of the EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 3
  • 4. volume traded online. The site is very user friendly. It gives superior market information. Share Khan daily provides research report on its site. It involves recommendation to its clients regarding different deferent stocks. Investor can get an idea about investment from this research report. Share Khan Networks include over 588 centers in 148 cities in India of which 32 are fully owed branches. Share Khanalways believein investment in technology to build its business. The company has used some of the best names in IT Industry. Like Sun Microsystem, Oracle, Microsoft, Cambridge Technologies, Nexgenix, Spider Software pvt.ltd. To build its online trading terminal. The Morakhiya family holds a majority stakes in company. HSBC, Intel & Carlyle are the other investors. With a legacy of more than 80 years in stock market, the SSKI group ventured in to institutional broking & corporate finance 18 years ago. Presently SSKI is one of the leading players in institutional broking & corporate finance activity. SSKI holds a Sizable portion of the market in each of this segment. SSKI's institutional broking arm accounts for a 7 % of the market for foreign institutional portfolio investment & 5 % of all the domestic institutional portfolio investment in the country. It has 60 institutional client spread over India, far East UK, & U.S. Foreign institutional investors generate about 65 % of the organizations revenue, with a daily turnover of over US$ 2 million. The corporate finance section has a list of very prestigious clients & has many first to its credit in terms of the size of deal, sector tapped etc. The group has placed over US$ 1 million in private equity deals. Some of the client includes BPL, Cellular holding, GujaratPipavav, Assar, Hutchison, Planet Asia, &Shoppers Stop. Products offered by Share Khan- BOLT for online trading NEAT for online trading Port Folio management services Online trade & commodities Mutual Fund Advisory Insurance EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 4
  • 5. Three types of online terminal trade Tiger classic fast trade 1- Trade Tiger- A single platform for multiple exchange BSE & NSE (Cash & F&O), MCX, NCDEX, Mutual Funds, IPOs Multiple Market Watch available on Single Screen Multiple Charts with Tick by Tick Intraday and End of Day Charting powered with various Studies Graph Studies include Average, Band- Bollinger, Know SureThing, MACD, RSI, etc Apply studies such as Vertical, Horizontal, Trend, Retracement & Free lines User can save his own defined screen as well as graph template, that is, saving the layout for future use User-defined alert settings on an input Stock Price trigger Tools available to guage market such as Tick Query, Ticker, Market Summary, Action Watch, Option Premium Calculator, Span Calculator Shortcut key for FAST access to order placements & reports Online fund transfer activated with 12 Banks 2- classic account- Online trading account for investing in Equities and Derivatives via sharekhan.com Integration of: Online trading + Bank + Demat account Instant cash transfer facility against purchase & sale of shares Make IPO bookings You get Instant order and trade confirmations by e-mail Streaming Quotes EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 5
  • 6. Personalized Market Scan with your own customized stock ticker! Single screen interface for cash and derivatives Your very own Portfolio Tracker! Reasons to choose Share Kahn ltd. Experience- SSKI has more than 8 years of trust & credibility in the Indian Stock Market. SSKI has won the “ best broking house award” in the year 2004. Share Khan has been providing Institutional research & broking services to individual investors. Technology- with online trading account anyone who is having demat account in Share Khan can buy & sell stocks instantly from any PC with an internet connections. The online trading terminal is technically very strong & user friendly. You get all details regarding your demat account. Anyone can transfer his fund online from bank account to demat account or from demat account to his bank account. Knowledge- Access to the wide range of information on content rich portal, also get a knowledge based tools that will empower you to take right decisions. Convenience- You can call our “DIAL & TRADE” number to get investment advice & execute yor transaction. Share Khan is having a dedicated call centre to provide this service via a toll free number 1800-22-7500 & 1800-22-7050. Customer Service- Share Khan Customer service team will assist you for any help that you need relating to transactions, billing, demat & other queries. Customer service can be contracted via a toll free no, email or online chat on “harekhan.com”. Investment Advice- Share Khan has a dedicated research team of more than 30 people for fundamental & technical research. Analyst constantly tracks the pulse of the market & provides timely investment advice to you in the form of daily research emails, online chats, printed reports & SMS on your mobile phone. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 6
  • 7. Sharekhan Demat Account A Demat Account is an account which you need in India in order to buy and sell shares. Earlier shares or stocks or a company were bought and sold in paper format. Now they are stored electronically. Just like money is saved in your bank account, Shares are stored in your Demat Account (sometimes also called DMAT account). You can open a Demat Account with sharekhan. This is especially recommended if you have an online trading account with Share khan. You can then link you Share khan trading account with your Share khan Demat Account so that any shares bought with the trading account can be directly transferred to your Demat. Here is all information you need about Share khan Demat Account. Documents Needed to Open a Sharekhan Demat Account. 1. PAN Card. Pan card is now mandatory in order to open a Demat Account. 2. Address Proof. Example- your ration card, driver's licence, electricity bill, voters id or election card, etc. 3. Your recent photographs. Two or three. 4. A cancelled check. This may or may not be required. But carry your bank passbook and check book when you go to open a Sharekhan Demat Account. Sharekhan Demat Account Charges 1. Share khan Demat Account Opening Charges: NIL 2. Share khan Demat Account Maintenance Charges: Rs. 75 per quarter, i.e. Rs. 300 per anum. 3. Share khan Demat Account Closing Charges: Rs. 100. 4. Brokerage - for trading in Equity- Intraday- 0.10% Delivery- 0.50% EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 7
  • 8. for trading in derivatives- 100 RS per lot.( per lot includes 50 shares) 5. Share khan Dematerialization Charges: RS.3 per certificate or RS.15 per request, whichever is higher. 6. Share khan Demat Account Custody Fee: NIL Minimum amount requires to open demat account- 5000 Rs. You can do trading from this amount & 750 advance brokerage for 6 months validity. There are different plans for reducing the amount of brokerage. Brokerage slab Cash F&O Scheme Period in Trading Delivery Futures Options Name Months Min Min Min % % % % (paisa) (paisa) (paisa) 2% of premium AMC or Rs. 90, 12 0.07 5 0.40 10 0.07 1 2000 whichever is higher 1.5% of premium AMC or Rs. 75, 12 0.05 5 0.25 5 0.05 1 6000 whichever is higher 1% of premium AMC or Rs. 50, 12 0.04 4 0.20 4 0.04 1 18000 whichever is higher EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 8
  • 9. Table 1: Brokerage slab Indian Stock Market Indian Stock market contains more than 20 stock exchanges, some of which are popular nationally as well as regionally. The first stock market started in country was Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE ) stock market. It‟s the oldest stock market in Asia. It has around 5000 listings & a volume of more than US$ 1 Trillion. The other most popular stock exchange is National Stock Exchange(NSE). Its also largest stock exchange in the country & third in the world. These two Exchanges constitutes major part of Indian Capital Market. Purpose of stock market? Stock markets basic role to provide platform for the people of the country to invest their savings & also a source of funds for the various institutions & organizations. It provides an opportunity for any person to become a part owner of the company by buying the companies share. One can deal in variety of financial instruments such as Equity, futures & options, currency future, commodities etc. Impact on the economy  Provides source of funding for the organization  An investment avenue  A source of income for investors  A source of revenue for government in the form of taxes.  A source of employment Present scenario- Current condition of Stock Market has drastically improved. SENSEX has already crossed 17000 Mark & Nifty has crossed 5000 mark. We have seen that in the recession SENSEX has come down to 8000 point from 21000. But now market is gearing up & crossed 17000 points. Lot of people invest in stock market. Indian Stock Market has been giving average 19% return on investment much EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 9
  • 10. more than returns which we get from bank or any other sources. Though the Indian Stock Market can be very rewarding avenue of investment but the constant changes & the inherent dynamic changes in the market can wipe your funds or savings. Because market is very volatile. So every investor has to very alert & observant. People from across the country & globe get in touch with minute wise reading on the stock market & gain a lot of trading aptitude after daily seeing BSE Stop Gainers or BSE top losers list which does a world of good to their investment portfolio. Stock Analysis Indian Securities markets are touching new heights as it has surpassed 17,000 marks. More and more investors are attracting towards equity investment and trading. But this is not always the case that no one can assure you certain returns there is always uncertainty and risk in investment and that push investors on back seats. Sometimes it becomes very difficult for investors to predict the share price of the particular company in this very volatile market. It raises questions in investor‟s mind that At what price I should buy? When to sell it... hold? As trading and investments are increasing on the markets as SEBI made it compulsory for all the companies to disclose important information to its Shareholder and investor. So they can get as possible as information about the companies of which they are holding the shares or going to buy. now-a-days brokers and some analyst providing some future predictions of stocks price movements. So now investment has become somewhat easy for investors. This is done with a Stock Analysis getting the information about company and its price movements on stock markets and tries to predict the value of shares. So, there is great importance of stock analysis among investors. Stock analysis is usually done by Broking Firms. They recommends there investors regarding buying & selling of shares. Types of Stock Analysis- 1. Technical Analysis 2. Fundamental Analysis Here we have selected a Fundamental analysis as subject of our project so we would do it in detail with practical analysis. We would get only some flavor of technical analysis and then we would understand about fundamental analysis. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 10
  • 11. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS1 “Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing the statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's intrinsic value, but instead use charts and other tools to identify patterns that can suggest future activity.” Just as there are many investment styles on the fundamental side, there are also many different types of technical traders. Some rely on chart patterns; others use technical indicators and oscillators, and most use some combination of the two. In any case, technical analysts' exclusive use of historical price and volume data is what separates them from their fundamental counterparts. Unlike fundamental analysts, technical analysts don't care whether a stock is undervalued - the only thing that matters is a security's past trading data and what information this data can provide about where the security might move in the future. Technical analysis is very useful for short term investors. The field of technical analysis is based on three assumptions: 2 1. The Market discounts everything. 2. Price moves in trends. 3. History tends to repeat itself. 1. The Market Discounts Everything A major criticism of technical analysis is that it only considers price movement, ignoring the fundamental factors of the company. However, technical analysis assumes that, at any given time, a stock's price reflects everything that has or could affect the company - including fundamental factors. Technical analysts believe that the company's fundamentals, along with broader economic factors and marketpsychology, are all priced into the stock, removing the need to actually consider these factors separately. This only leaves the analysis of price movement, which technical theory views as a product of the supply and demand for a particular stock in the market. 1 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_analysis 2 ttp://www.tradegreeks.com/articles/Article-Technical-Analysis-Indepth1.htm EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 11
  • 12. 2. Price Moves in Trends In technical analysis, price movements are believed to follow trends. This means that after a trend has been established, the future price movement is more likely to be in the same direction as the trend than to be against it. Most technical trading strategies are based on this assumption. 3. History Tends To Repeat Itself Another important idea in technical analysis is that history tends to repeat itself, mainly in terms of price movement. The repetitive nature of price movements is attributed to market psychology; in other words, market participants tend to provide a consistent reaction to similar market stimuli over time. Technical analysis uses chart patterns to analyze market movements and understand trends. Although many of these charts have been used for more than 100 years, they are still believed to be relevant because they illustrate patterns in price movements that often repeat themselves.  Other Usage Technical analysis can be used on any security with historical trading data. This includes stocks, futures and commodities, fixed-income securities, forex, etc. these concepts can be applied to any type of security. In fact, technical analysis is more frequently associated with commodities and forex, where the participants are predominantly traders.  Strengths of Technical Analysis3 Focus on Price If the objective is to predict the future price, then it makes sense to focus on price movements. Price movements usually precede fundamental developments. By focusing on price action, technicians are automatically focusing on the future. The market is thought of as a leading indicator and generally leads the economy by 6 to 9 months. To keep pace with the market, it makes sense to look directly at the price movements. More often than not, change is a subtle beast. Even though the market is prone to 3 ttp://www.tradegreeks.com/articles/Article-Technical-Analysis-Indepth1.htm EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 12
  • 13. sudden knee-jerk reactions, hints usually develop before significant moves. A technician will refer to periods of accumulation as evidence of an impending advance and periods of distribution as evidence of an impending decline. Supply, Demand, and Price Action Many technicians use the open, high, low and close when analyzing the price action of a security. Separately, these will not be able to tell much. However, taken together, the open, high, low and close reflect forces of supply and demand. Before the open, the number of buy orders exceeded the number of sell orders and the price was raised to attract more sellers. Demand was brisk from the start. The intraday high reflects the strength of demand (buyers). The intraday low reflects the availability of supply (sellers). The close represents the final price agreed upon by the buyers and the sellers. Even after this selling pressure, the close remained above the open. higher prices reflect increased demand and lower prices reflect increased supply. Support/Resistance Simple chart analysis can help identify support and resistance levels. These are usually marked by periods of congestion (trading range) where the prices move within a confined range for an extended period, telling us that the forces of supply and demand are deadlocked. When prices move out of the trading range, it signals that either supply or demand has started to get the upper hand. If prices move above the upper band of the trading range, then demand is winning. If prices move below the lower band, then supply is winning. Pictorial Price History A price chart can offer plenty of valuable information. The price chart is an easy to read historical account of a security's price movement over a period of time. Charts are much easier to read than a table of numbers. On most stock charts, volume bars are displayed at the bottom. With this historical picture, it is easy to identify the following: Reactions prior to and after important events. Past and present volatility. Historical volume or trading levels. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 13
  • 14. Relative strength of a stock versus the overall market. Assist with Entry Point Technical analysis can help with timing a proper entry point. Someanalysts use fundamental analysis to decide what to buy and technical analysis to decide when to buy. It is no secret that timing can play an important role in performance. Technical analysis can help spot demand (support) and supply (resistance) levels as well as breakouts. Simply waiting for a breakout above resistance or buying near support levels can improve returns.  Weaknesses of Technical Analysis Analyst Bias Just as with fundamental analysis, technical analysis is subjective and our personal biases can be reflected in the analysis. It is important to be aware of these biases when analyzing a chart. If the analyst is a perpetual bull, then a bullish bias will overshadow the analysis. On the other hand, if the analyst is a disgruntled eternal bear, then the analysis will probably have a bearish tilt. Open to Interpretation Furthering the bias argument is the fact that technical analysis is open to interpretation. Even though there are standards, many times two technicians will look at the same chart and paint two different scenarios or see different patterns. Both will be able to come up with logical support and resistance levels as well as key breaks to justify their position. While this can be frustrating, it should be pointed out that technical analysis is more like an art than a science, somewhat like economics. Is the cup half- empty or half-full? It is in the eye of the beholder. Too Late Technical analysis has been criticized for being too late. By the time the trend is identified, a substantial portion of the move has already taken place. After such a large move, the reward to risk ratio is not great. Lateness is a particular criticism of Dow theory. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 14
  • 15. Predictions may go wrong- Sometimes predictions may go wrong. Analysis is done only by charts & past trends. Generally if a particular stock going up it is predicted that this stock will go up in future also. If a stock of a particular company increasing from last 1 year it is not sure that it will increase in future also. It may go down if the company fails to perform well or any other economic reason. Fundamental Analysis  Meaning: -Fundamental analysis is the examination of the underlying forces that affect the wellbeing of the economy, industry groups, and companies. As with most analysis, the goal is to derive a forecast and profit from future price movements.  At the company level, fundamental analysis may involve examination of financial data, management, business concept and competition.  At the industry level, there might be an examination of supply and demand forces for the products offered.  For the national economy, fundamental analysis might focus on economic data to assess the present and future growth of the economy.  Strengths of Fundamental Analysis Useful for Long-term- Fundamental analysis is good for long-term investments based on long-term. It is very important for those who wants to invest in market for long term. Value prediction- Sound fundamental analysis help to identify companies that represent a good value. Some of the most legendary investors think long-term and value. Graham and Dodd, Warren Buffett and John Neff are seen as the champions of value investing. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 15
  • 16. Business Accuracy- Fundamental analysis is the development of a thorough understanding of the business. After research and analysis, an investor will be familiar with the key revenue and profit drivers behind a company. Earnings and earnings expectations can be main drivers of equity prices. A good understanding can help investors avoid companies that are to be going to shortfalls and identify those that continue to deliver. Weaknesses of Fundamental Analysis4 Time Constraints Fundamental analysis may offer excellent insights, but it can be extraordinarily time- consuming. It requires lot of research. Industry/Company Specific Valuation techniques vary depending on the industry group and specifics of each company. For this reason, a different technique and model is required for different industries and different companies. This can get quite time-consuming, which can limit the amount of research that can be performed. A subscription-based model may work great for an Internet Service Provider (ISP), but is not likely to be the best model to value an oil company. Subjectivity Fair value is based on assumptions. Any changes to growth or assumptions can greatly alter the ultimate valuation. & i will cause loss to the investors. 4 http://www.tradegreeks.com/articles/Article-Fundamental-Analysis-Indepth1.htm EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 16
  • 17. Economic Analysis- The purpose of analyze economic condition of the country in fundamental analysis to asses the general economic situation both within the country and inter nationally. The economy is like the tide and the various industry groups and individual companies are like boats. When economy expands most industry groups and companies benefits and grows. When the economy declines, most sectors and companies usually suffer. The stock market does not operate in a vacuum it is an integral part of ht whole economy of a country, more so in a free economy that of United States and to some extent in mixed economy like ours. To gain an insight into the complexities of stock market. One needs to develop a sound economic understanding and be able to interpret the impact of important economic indicators on stock markets. The following are some important factors which should be taken into account while doing fundamental analysis: Economic Growth Per capita income Industrial Production Inflation Interest Rates Foreign Exchange Reserves Budgetary Deficit Domestic Savings and Investment Tax Rates Infrastructure Political Situation In absolute terms, India is 16th in the world in terms of nominal factory output. The service sector is growing rapidly in the past few years. This is the pie- chart showing contributions of different sectors in Indian economy. The per capita Income is near about Rs38,000 reflecting improvement in the EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 17
  • 18. living standards of an average Indian. Today, automobile sector in India is one of the key sectors of the economy in terms of the employment. Directly and indirectly it employs more than 10 million people and if we add the number of people employed in the auto-component and auto ancillary industry then the number goes even higher. Figure 1: Composition of GDP by industries(08-09) India GDP Growth Rate- India Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded 8.5% over the last quarter. The India Gross Domestic Product is worth 1217 billion dollars or 1.96% of the world economy, according to the World Bank EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 18
  • 19. Figure 2: Quarterly GDP growth Contribution of automobile sector in GDP is about 5% & will be doubled by 2016. FDI(Foreign Direct Investment) In India FDI has been permitted up to 100% in automobile sector. Which has led to a turnover of USD 12 billion in Indian Auto industry & USD 3 billion in auto parts industry. Manufacturing cost in India is 25% to 30% lower than there foreign counterparts. Investment commission has set a target of US $ 5 billion in next 7 years to increase the share of India in global Auto market. From existing .9 % to 2.5 % by 2015. Highlights of 2010-11 budget regarding Automobile Industry-  The correction in Excise duty on Electric Vehicles which will enable the manufacturers take CENVAT credit and exemption of Customs duty on Electric Vehicles parts.  Payment made to an approved association engaged in research in Social Sciences or Statistical Research will be allowed as a weighted deduction of 125 per cent. The income of such approved research association shall be exempted from tax.  increase in weighted deduction for in-house R&D to 200% from 150% and outsourced R&D from 125% to 175%. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 19
  • 20.  2% hike in Excise duty The budget did not meet all the expectations as the sector is yet to recover fully from recession. Indian automobile industry is expected to grow at 9-11 % in near future. From the above analysis we have seen that our economic condition is preferable to Automobile Industry. Industry Analysis Brief history of Automobile Industry- In 1898 car had touched the Indian streets for the first time. The Automobile Industry in India is the seventh largest in the world with an annual production of over 2.6 million units in 2009. In 2009, India emerged as Asia's fourth largest exporter of automobiles, behind Japan, South Korea and Thailand. By 2050, the country is expected to top the world in car volumes with approximately 611 million vehicles on the nations road. Following economic liberalization in India in 1991, allowed foreign companies to enter into India for the business purpose. The Indian automotive industry has demonstrated sustained growth as a result of increased competitiveness and relaxed restrictions. Several Indian automobile manufacturers such as Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki and Mahindra and Mahindra, expanded their domestic and international operations. In February 2009, monthly sales of passenger cars in India exceeded 100,000 units. India‟s automobile sector consists of the passenger cars and utility vehicles, commercial vehicle, two wheelers and tractors segment. The total market size of the auto sector in India is approximately RS. 540 billion and has been growing at around 8 percent per annum for the last few years. Since the last four to five years, the two wheelers segment has driven the overall volume growth on account of the spurt in the sales of motorcycles. However, lately the passenger cars and commercial vehicles segment has also seen a good growth due to high discounts, lower financing rates and a pickup in industrial activity respectively. In the initial years after independence Indian automobile industry was plagued by unfavorable government policies. All it had to offer in the passenger car segment was a 1940s Morris model called the Ambassador and a 1960s Suzuki-derived model called the Maruti 800. The automobile sector in India underwent a metamorphosis as a result of the liberalization policies initiated in the 1991. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 20
  • 21. Measures such as relaxation of the foreign exchange and equity regulations, reduction of tariffs on imports, and refining the banking policies played a vital role in turning around the Indian automobileindustry. Until the mid 1990s, the Indian auto sector consisted of just a handful of local companies. However, after the sector opened to foreign direct investment in 1996, global majors moved in. Automobile industry in India also received an unintended boost from stringent government auto emission regulations over the past few years. This ensured that vehicles produced in India conformed to the standards of the developed world. Indian automobile industry has matured in last few years and offers differentiated products for different segments of the society. It is currently making inroads into the rural middle class market after its inroads into the urban markets and rural rich. In the recent years Indian automobile sector has witnessed a slew of investments. India is on every major global automobile player's radar. Indian automobile industry is also fast becoming an outsourcing hub for automobile companies worldwide, as indicated by the zooming automobile exports from the country. Today, Hyundai, Honda, Toyota, GM, Ford and Mitsubishi have set up their manufacturing bases in India. Due to rapid economic growth and higher disposable income it is believed that the success story of the Indian automobile industry is not going to end soon.. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 21
  • 22. Figure3: Indian automobile industry EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 22
  • 23. Industry Analysis Analysis of automobile industry- this is the pie chart showing segment wise market share in automobile induistry. Figure 2: Composition of GDP by industries (08-09) Figure 4: Proportion of different type of vehicles FIVE FORCES MODEL- Porter identifies five forces model that influences industry. degree of rivalry- Rivalry in the Indian Auto sector is intense due to entry of foreign companies. The rivalry is too high because any new kind of product manufactured by a particular company is being is being manufactured by competitors also. This is done because technical capabilities of companies under the technical collaboration with foreign players. Threat of Substitutes- The threat of substitutes to the Automobile Sector is fairly low. Many forms of EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 23
  • 24. transportation are available but none offered utility, convenience, independence & value offered by automobiles. & the cost associated with other modes of transport may be high in terms of personal time, convenience & utility. Barriers to entry- The barriers to enter automobile sector is substantial. For a new company the initial capital require to establish new manufacturing setup up achieve minimum efficient scale is prohibitive. But existing companies entered in to market by alliance with domestic partner acquiring stake. However the domestic company with potentials & expertise has the potential to compete with foreign players. Suppliers Power- Relationship between the industry & its suppliers the power is in favor of industry.The industry is powerful buyer who is generally able to dictate their terms to suppliers. Buyers Power- In the relationship between industry & its consumers the power axis is in favor of its consumers. This is because of the competition. SWOT ANALYSIS Scanning of internal & external factors of industry is very essential while analyzing the Automobile industry. Internal factors include strengths, weakness & external factors includes opportunities, threats. Strengths- Large domestic market Sustainable labor cost advantage Competitive Auto component vendor base Government incentives for manufacturing plants Strong engineering skills in design etc. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 24
  • 25. Weakness- Low labor productivity High interest cost & high overheads various forms of taxes low investment in research & developments infrastructure problem Opportunities- Commercial vehicles- SC ban on overloading Heavy thrust on mining & construction activity increase in the income level cut in excise duty rising rural demand Threats- Rising input cost Rising interest rates Cut throat competition Largest three wheeler market in the world. 2nd largest two wheeler market in the world. 4th largest passenger vehicle market in Asia. 4th largest tractor market in the world. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 25
  • 26. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN5 A mission for development of automobile industry VISION “To emerge as the destination of choice in The world for design and manufacture of Automobiles and auto components with Output reaching a level of US$ 145 billion Accounting for more than 10% of the GDP And providing additional employment to 25 million people by 2016.” The necessity of this Mission Plan arises in the background of a newfound strength and resurgence in the Indian manufacturing sector. For most of the decade of the 1990s, post economic deregulation in 1991, growth in the Indian economy has been led by growth in the service sector, a growth that has overshadowed the growth in the manufacturing sector. In the past few years, several industries in the Indian manufacturing sector have become internationally competitive and have acquired a new energy to grow. Several industries, including the automotive industry, genuinely believe that they can become world-beaters. 4.2 In developing a Mission Plan for India‟s automotive sector, answer to the following questions has been sought: i) Where is automotive sector in India today? What linkages does the automotive sector have with other facets of the India‟s economy? (ii) What do we want the automotive sector of India to look like in 2016? in other words, what is the potential of 4th largest position in world to grow along other segments of its value chain. & what can be the maximum impact on its shareholder. (iii) How do we attain the vision? What policy interventions will facilitate the attainment of this potential? Vision for the Future: The opportunity landscape for the Indian auto industry would encompass manufacture of vehicles and components for domestic sales, manufacture for exports (both 5 ttp://www.dhi.nic.in/draft_automotive_mission_plan.pdf EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 26
  • 27. vehicles and components), and export of services in areas such as design, engineering, and back office operations. It is estimated that the total turnover of the automotive industry in India would be in the order of USD 122-159 billion in 2016 (a substantial increase from the size of USD 34 billion in 2006). 4. It is expected that in real terms, India would continue to enjoy its eminent position of being the largest tractor and three wheeler manufacturers in the world and the world‟s second largest two wheeler manufacturer By 2016, India would emerge as the world‟s seventh largest car producer (as compared to the In eleventh largest currently) and retain the automotive sector to grow along manufacturing sector. Further, by 2016 and the automotive sector would double its contribution to the country‟s GDP up to10 % the share of industry in GDP is expected to go up to around 35% from current level of 24% by 2016. So this Automotive Mission Plan is already helping Automobile sector & this plan contributes to the growth of the Automobile Sector. & it will boost this sector in future also. Current status of Indian Automobile Industry- The time has gone when people just wanted to have vehicles as a means of transportation but nowadays they are more aware about the vehicle model, their price and various other features. India opened its gates for the foreign companies in 1991 various automobiles giants entered our country seeking it as their target market. We Indians also got a wide variety of cars to choose from. Hyundai entered in India with a view to capture the small market segment earlier captured mostly by two giant Indian companies- Tata Motors and Maruti Udyog Limited. Tata is one of the company in which the Indians trust like anything. It has diversified itself in a number of sectors gaining the trust and proving its competence in every such field. Tata when come up with a small car segments it was welcomed by people in the same way as it welcomed all its products. It has a wide choice of four wheelers to satisfy the varied Indian choices. In the other hand MARUTI also is said to capture the pulse of Indian middle class by giving them their MARUTI 800.To its wing it added many other cars to competition to TATA motors. TATA has Launched TATA NANO the world‟s cheapest car. This was the remarkable point in Indian Automobile history. This car is generally made for middle class people. Tata Nano‟s launch could expand the Indian car market by 65%. TATA has launched world‟s cheapest car so now other players will invent the car like TATA NANO. The customers will have the different options in that price EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 27
  • 28. segment. Middle class people can afford Rs.1 lack car. This leads to increase in the number of car holders. & this automatically leads to growth of car segment. Indian Automobile Industry Largest three wheeler market in the world. 2nd largest two wheeler market in the world. 4th largest passenger vehicle market in Asia. 4th largest tractor market in the world. 5th largest commercial vehicle market in the world. The industry structure spans all segments and is concentrated in regional clusters The India automotive sector has a presence across all vehicle segments and key components. In terms of volume, two wheelers dominate the sector, with nearly 80 per cent share, followed by passenger vehicles with 13 per cent. The industry had few players and was protected from global competition till the 1990s. After government lifted licensing in 1993, 17 new ventures have come up. At present, there are 12 manufacturers of passenger cars, 5 manufacturers of multi utility vehicles (MUVs), 9 manufacturers of commercial vehicles, 12 of two wheelers and 4 of three wheelers, besides 5 manufacturers of engines. With the arrival of global players, the sector has become highly competitive. Concentrated in regional clusters EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 28
  • 29. Automobile manufacturing units are located all over India. These are, however, concentrated in some pockets such as Chennai and Bangalore in the south, Pune in the west, the National Capital Region (NCR, which includes New Delhi and its suburban districts) in the north, Jamshedpur and Kolkata in the east and Pithampur in the central region. Following global trends, the Indian automotive sector also has most auto Suppliers located close to the manufacturing locations of OEMs, forming regional automotive clusters. Broadly, the three main clusters are centered around Chennai, Pune and the NCR. Auto Components sector is highly fragmented India is emerging as one of the most attractive automotive markets in the world, and is poised to become a key sourcing base for auto components. The Indian automotive component industry is highly fragmented. There-are nearly 6,400 players in the sector, of which only about 6 per cent are organized and the remaining 94 per cent are small-scale, unorganized players. In terms of value added, however, the organized players account for nearly 77 per cent of the output in the sector. The sector manufactures components across all key vehicle systems. The break-up of the output from the organized sector, in value terms, across key vehicle systems, is shown in the figure. Exports of automobiles from India are booming While the domestic sales of automobiles have been increasing at a significant rate,exports have taken a quantum leap in recent years. The exports of automobiles from India have been growing at a CAGR of 39 per cent for the past four years. Exports growth has been spearheaded by the passenger vehicle segment, which has grown at a rate of 57.4 per cent. Europe is the biggest importer of cars from the country while predominantly African nations import buses and trucks.The Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) region is the prime destination for Indian two wheelers. Most of the key auto component manufacturers in India are very positive about the outlook for exports, and expect about 15 per cent of their revenue to come from exports over the next 3-5 years. It has been estimated that exports of auto components from India could be around US$ 20-25 billion by 2015. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 29
  • 30. Competitive Advantages India has several competitive advantages in the automobile sector,which have been analyzed using the following framework. Availability of skilled manpower with engineering and design capabilities India has a growing workforce that is English-speaking, highly skilled and trained in designing and machining skills required by The automotive and engineering industries. In a combined assessment of manpower availability and capabilities, India ranks much ahead of other competing economies (see figure). Figure 5: India competitiveness compared to other industries Many Indian and global players are leveraging this advantage by increasingly outsourcing activities like design and R&D to their Indian arms. The Society of Indian Automobile manufacturers(SIAM) estimates that automotive vehicle manufacturers are Expected to invest US$ 5.7 billion in the Indian market from 2010 to 2012. Of this, about US$ 2.3 billion will be on research and development and the rest probably on capex. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 30
  • 31. Table 2: Key players in automobile industry The Indian automobile industry is highly competitive with a large number of players in each industry segment. Most of the global majors are present in the passenger vehicle and two wheeler segments. In the components industry too,global players such as VISTEON, Delphi and Bosch are well established,competing with domestic players. The presence of global competition has led to an overall increase in capabilities of the Indian auto sector. Increase in competition has led to a pressure on margins, and players have become increasingly cost efficient. Quality levels have gone up, and there is an increasing focus on compliance to TPM, TQM and Six Sigma processes. This has led to an increased confidence among domestic players, who are now focusing on opportunities abroad. Key players in the components sector like Bharat Forge and Sundaram Fasteners have become key global suppliers in their categories. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 31
  • 32. Expected Growth by 2015-16 Potential Vehicle sales in India in 2015 - 16 ( in mn) 0.87 27.8 2015-16 0.64 2.65 0 10 20 30 Three Wheelers Two wheelers CVs Cars Figure 6: potential vehicle sales After this whole analysis of Automobile Industry we can say that though there are some backlogs like regional clusters, some threats & weaknesses of Automobile Industry there are more positive sign than the negative. There is a lot of potential in this industry. This is the industry which will go day by day. Because the population level of India is increasing. Many of the villages in India is EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 32
  • 33. developing. car segment - today car is not meant for need only it becomes a luxury & income level of people is increasing this can b leads to increase in sale of cars. TATA NANO RS. 1 lack car. Petrol prices are increasing but it does not affect the sale of car because people gives more important to need & luxury than the petrol & diesel prices. Commercial vehicles- today transportation facilities are developing. Business is expanding so it leads to requirement of more & more commercial vehicles. Two Wheeler- Even lower middle class people can afford two wheelers. Today almost every company provides two wheeler at a price of RS. 35000 to 40000. it is cheaper than the other mode of transport & less time consuming. So we can say that there is so much potential to invest in Automobile sector. in future also this sector will grow. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 33
  • 34. Company Analysis- i have taken two companies from the Automobile Sector- 1- TATA Motors 2- MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA TATA MOTORS TATA Motors Limited is India's largest automobile company, with consolidated revenues of RS. 92,519 crores (USD 20 billion) in 2009-10. It is the leader in commercial vehicles in each segment, and among the top three in passenger vehicles with winning products in the compact, midsize car and utility vehicle segments. The company is the world's fourth largest truck manufacturer, and the world's second largest bus manufacturer. The company's 24,000 employees are guided by the vision to be "best in the manner in which we operate, best in the products we deliver, and best in our value system and ethics." Established in 1945, Tata Motors' presence indeed cuts across the length and breadth of India. Over 5.9 million Tata vehicles ply on Indian roads, since the first rolled out in 1954. The company's manufacturing base in India is spread across Jamshedpur (Jharkhand), Pune (Maharashtra), Lucknow (Uttar Pradesh), Patagar (Uttarakhand) and Dhār wad (Karnataka). Following a strategic alliance with Fiat in 2005, it has set up an industrial joint venture with Fiat Group Automobiles at Ranjangaon (Maharashtra) to produce both Fiat and Tata cars and Fiat powertrains. The company is establishing a new plant at Sanand (Gujarat). The company's dealership, sales, services and spare parts network comprises over 3500 touch points; Tata Motors also distributes and markets Fiat branded cars in India. Tata Motors, the first company from India's engineering sector to be listed in the New York Stock Exchange (September 2004), has also emerged as an international automobile company. Through subsidiaries and associate companies, Tata Motors has operations in the UK, South Korea, Thailand EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 34
  • 35. and Spain. Among them is Jaguar Land Rover, a business comprising the two iconic British brands that was acquired in 2008. In 2004, it acquired the Daewoo Commercial Vehicles Company, South Korea's second largest truck maker. The rechristened Tata Daewoo Commercial Vehicles Company has launched several new products in the Korean market, while also exporting these products to several international markets. Today two-thirds of heavy commercial vehicle exports out of South Korea are from Tata Daewoo. In 2005, Tata Motors acquired a 21% stake in Hispano Carrocera, a reputed Spanish bus and coach manufacturer, and subsequently the remaining stake in 2009. Hispano's presence is being expanded in other markets. In 2006, Tata Motors formed a joint venture with the Brazil-based Marco polo, a global leader in body-building for buses and coaches to manufacture fully-built buses and coaches for India and select international markets. In 2006, Tata Motors entered into joint venture with Thornburg Automotive Assembly Plant Company of Thailand to manufacture and market the company's pickup vehicles in Thailand. The new plant of Tata Motors (Thailand) has begun production of the Xenon pickup truck, with the Xenon having been launched in Thailand in 2008. Tata Motors is also expanding its international footprint, established through exports since 1961. The company's commercial and passenger vehicles are already being marketed in several countries in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, South East Asia, South Asia and South America. It has franchisee/joint venture assembly operations in Kenya, Bangladesh, Ukraine, Russia, Senegal and South Africa. The foundation of the company's growth over the last 50 years is a deep understanding of economic stimuli and customer needs, and the ability to translate them into customer-desired offerings through leading edge R&D. With over 3,000 engineers and scientists, the company's Engineering Research Centre, established in 1966, has enabled pioneering technologies and products. The company today has R&D centers in Pune, Jamshedpur, Lucknow, Dharwad in India, and in South Korea, Spain, and the UK. It was Tata Motors, which developed the first indigenously developed Light Commercial Vehicle, India's first Sports Utility Vehicle and, in 1998, the Tata Indica, India's first fully indigenous passenger car. Within two years of launch, Tata Indica became India's largest selling car in its segment. In 2005, Tata Motors created a new segment by launching the Tata Ace, India's first indigenously developed mini-truck. In January 2008, Tata Motors unveiled its People's Car, the Tata Nano, which India and the world have been looking forward to. The Tata Nano has been subsequently launched, as planned, in India in March 2009. A development, which signifies a first for the global automobile industry, the Nano brings the EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 35
  • 36. comfort and safety of a car within the reach of thousands of families. The standard version has been priced at Rs.100, 000 (excluding VAT and transportation cost). Designed with a family in mind, it has a roomy passenger compartment with generous leg space and head room. It can comfortably seat four persons. Its mono-volume design will set a new benchmark among small cars. Its safety performance exceeds regulatory requirements in India. Its tailpipe emission performance too exceeds regulatory requirements. In terms of overall pollutants, it has a lower pollution level than two-wheelers being manufactured in India today. The lean design strategy has helped minimize weight, which helps maximize performance per unit of energy consumed and delivers high fuel efficiency. The high fuel efficiency also ensures that the car has low carbon dioxide emissions, thereby providing the twin benefits of an affordable transportation solution with a low carbon footprint. In May 2009, Tata Motors introduced ushered in a new era in the Indian automobile industry, in keeping with its pioneering tradition, by unveiling its new range of world standard trucks called Prima. In their power, speed, carrying capacity, operating economy and trims, they will introduce new benchmarks in India and match the best in the world in performance at a lower life-cycle cost. Tata Motors is equally focused on environment-friendly technologies in emissions and alternative fuels. . It has developed electric and hybrid vehicles both for personal and public transportation. It has also been implementing several environment-friendly technologies in manufacturing processes, significantly enhancing resource conservation Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in engineering and automotive solutions, construction equipment manufacturing, automotive vehicle components manufacturing and supply chain activities, machine tools and factory automation solutions, high-precision tooling and plastic and electronic components for automotive and computer applications, and automotive retailing and service operations. Tata Motors is committed to improving the quality of life of communities by working on four thrust areas – employability, education, health and environment. The activities touch the lives of more than a million citizens. The company's support on education and employability is focused on youth and women. They range from schools to technical education institutes to actual facilitation of income generation. In health, our intervention is in both preventive and curative health care. The goal of EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 36
  • 37. environment protection is achieved through tree plantation, conserving water and creating new water bodies and, last but not the least, by introducing appropriate technologies in our vehicles and operations for constantly enhancing environment care. With the foundation of its rich heritage, Tata Motors today is etching a refulgent future. Technical Chart Figure 7: Technical chart EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 37
  • 38. Profit & Loss account of Tata Motors ------------------- in Rs. Cr. ------------------- Mar '05 Mar '06 Mar '07 Mar '08 Mar '09 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths Total Income 17,747.15 21,197.95 28,128.31 29,461.60 26,343.92 Operating Profit 2,000.05 2,146.36 2,586.51 3,030.52 1,723.10 PBIT 2,404.03 2,998.77 3,700.89 3,764.69 2,644.39 Interest 234.30 350.24 455.75 471.56 704.92 Profit Before Tax 1,652.45 2,053.81 2,573.83 2,576.47 1,013.76 Reported Net Profit 1,236.95 1,528.88 1,913.46 2,028.92 1,001.26 Preference Dividend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Equity Dividend 452.19 497.94 578.07 578.43 311.61 Per share data (annualised) Shares in issue (lakhs) 3,617.52 3,828.34 3,853.74 3,855.04 5,140.08 Earning Per Share (Rs) 34.19 39.94 49.65 52.63 19.48 Equity Dividend (%) 125.00 130.00 150.00 150.00 60.00 Book Value (Rs) 113.65 143.94 177.59 202.70 240.64 Table 3: P & L account of TATA motors EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 38
  • 39. Quarterly Results of Tata Motors ------------------- in Rs. Cr. ------------------- Mar '09 Jun '09 Sep '09 Dec '09 Mar '10 Total Income 6,976.45 6,723.99 8,399.75 8,980.11 13,342.65 Operating Profit 535.91 716.79 1,050.27 1,129.29 1,137.90 Net Profit 591.42 513.76 729.14 400.14 597.04 Dividend -- -- -- -- -- Earnings Per Share 11.51 9.99 14.18 7.36 10.46 Equity 514.05 514.05 514.05 543.96 570.60 Face Value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 Table 3:Quarterly P & L account of TATA motors Analysis of profit & loss Total income of the company in the year 2009-10 has increased drastically as compare to previous year but in previous year income had gone down as compare to the year 2008. After a Sharp decline in sales volume auto industry recovered with the sales growth in the year 2009-10. This is because improved economic activity reflected by improvement in industry production, favorable impact ogf government packages & overall improvement in financial environment.Because of increase in the total income net profit of the company has also increased. Company didn‟t pay any dividend in the year 2009-10. Earning per share doubled as compare to previous year. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 39
  • 40. Balance sheet (Rs. In crore) Mar ' 09 Mar ' 08 Mar ' 07 Mar ' 06 Mar ' 05 Sources of funds Owner's fund Equity share capital 514.05 385.54 385.41 382.87 361.79 Share application money - - - - - Preference share capital - - - - - Reserves & surplus 11,855.15 7,428.45 6,458.39 5,127.81 3,749.60 Loan funds Secured loans 5,251.65 2,461.99 2,022.04 822.76 489.81 Unsecured loans 7,913.91 3,818.53 1,987.10 2,114.08 2,005.61 Total 25,534.76 14,094.51 10,852.94 8,447.52 6,606.81 Uses of funds Fixed assets Gross block 13,905.17 10,830.83 8,775.80 7,971.55 6,611.95 Less : revaluation reserve 25.07 25.51 25.95 26.39 - Less : accumulated depreciation 6,259.90 5,443.52 4,894.54 4,401.51 3,454.28 Net block 7,620.20 5,361.80 3,855.31 3,543.65 3,157.67 Capital work-in-progress 6,954.04 5,064.96 2,513.32 951.19 538.84 Investments 12,968.13 4,910.27 2,477.00 2,015.15 2,912.06 EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 40
  • 41. Mar ' 09 Mar ' 08 Mar ' 07 Mar ' 06 Mar ' 05 Net current assets Current assets, loans & advances 10,836.58 10,781.23 10,318.42 9,812.06 7,248.88 Less : current liabilities & provisions 12,846.21 12,029.80 8,321.20 7,888.65 7,268.80 Total net current assets -2,009.63 -1,248.57 1,997.22 1,923.41 -19.92 18.12 Miscellaneous expenses not written 2.02 6.05 10.09 14.12 Total 25,534.76 14,094.51 10,852.94 8,447.52 6,606.81 Notes: Book value of unquoted investments 12,358.84 4,145.82 2,117.86 1,648.57 2,480.15 Market value of quoted investments 558.32 2,530.55 1,323.08 1,550.00 1,260.05 Contingent liabilities 5,433.07 5,590.83 5,196.07 2,185.63 1,450.32 Number of equity sharesoutstanding 5140.08 3855.04 3853.74 3828.34 3617.52 (Lacs) Table 4: Balance sheet of TATA motors Analysis of Balance Sheet Share capital of a company is continuously increasing. It means no. of shares also increasing. Company is trying to raise more & more funds. Current liabilities of the company is more than the current assets it means company‟s liquidity position is so poor. Company is blocking more & more funds in the form of fixed assets. Investment of the company has increased substantially in the year 2009 which may help the company in long run. But this investment increase the risk of the company because there is a chances of losses on this investment. & if company earns profit through this investment it will boost the company in long run. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 41
  • 42. Key Financial Ratios of ------------------- in Rs. Cr. ------------------- Tata Motors Mar Mar '06 Mar '07 Mar '08 Mar '09 '05 Dividend Per Share 12.50 13.00 15.00 15.00 6.00 Profitability Ratios Net Profit Margin(%) 7.02 7.35 6.94 6.96 3.77 Return On Net Worth(%) 30.09 27.74 27.96 25.98 8.09 Return on Long Term Funds(%) 28.72 28.65 31.18 22.85 8.89 Debt Equity Ratio 0.61 0.53 0.59 0.80 1.06 Long Term Debt Equity Ratio 0.59 0.42 0.31 0.50 0.49 Debt Coverage Ratios Total Debt to Owners Fund 0.61 0.53 0.59 0.80 1.06 Earnings Per Share 34.19 39.94 49.65 52.63 19.48 113.6 Book Value 143.94 177.59 202.70 240.64 5 Table 5: Key financial ratios of TATA motors EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 42
  • 43. Ratio Analysis Dividend per share has decreased by 100 % from the year 2005 to 2009. Net profit margin also decreased more than 100 %. In the year 2009 the company‟s debt is more than its own fund. It is a negative sign. Because higher the debt higher the risk.Earnings per share in the year 2009-10 were approx. 39 RS. Doubled than the previous year. This leads to the growth prospects in future. Return on long term funds are quite better. Report Card- PE ratio - 20.64 (15/7/2010) EPS 39.26 Rs. Sales 12,229.70 Rs. Face Value 10 Rs Net profit margin 3.77 % (Mar, 09) Last bonus3:5 ( 28/09/95) Last dividend 150 (27/05/10) Return on avg. 8.09 (march 2009) Equity Table 6:Report card EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 43
  • 44. - Dividend paid by TATA MOTORS Year Month Dividend (%) 2010 May 150 2009 May 60 2008 May 150 2007 May 150 2006 May 130 2005 May 125 Table 7- Dividend paid by Tata Motors. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 44
  • 45. Share holding pattern as on : 30/06/2010 31/03/2010 31/12/2009 Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 No. Of No. Of No. Of % Holding % Holding % Holding Shares Shares Shares Promoter's holding Indian Promoters 23213396 36.17 187376876 37.00 182666241 38.08 Sub total 23213396 36.17 187376876 37.00 182666241 38.08 Non promoter's holding Institutional investors Banks Fin. Inst. and 649461 1.01 79506752 15.70 72352755 15.08 Insurance FII's 17141913 26.71 90736036 17.92 79801995 16.63 Sub total 32196708 50.17 181123079 35.77 162862945 33.95 Other investors Private Corporate 2807249 4.37 2978660 0.59 2988981 0.62 Bodies NRI's/OCB's/Foreign 489478 0.76 27471578 5.43 28637088 5.97 Others Direcctors/Employee 46671 0.07 239972 0.05 238172 0.05 s Govt - - 407181 0.08 407181 0.08 Others 221562 0.35 62719713 12.39 59565497 12.42 Sub total 3564960 5.55 93817104 18.53 91835419 19.14 General public 5201496 8.10 44064111 8.70 42371799 8.83 Grand total 64176560 100.00 506381170 100.00 479736404 100.00 Table 8: Share holding patterns EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 45
  • 46. Share Market watch of TATA MOTORS Month Price August 449.45 September 489.35 October 580.10 November 551.85 December 629.50 January 792.60 February 707.95 March 668.70 April 739.65 May 844.60 June 673.70 July 798.05 Table 9: Share Market watch of TATA MOTORS From the above table we can see that the share price of TATA MOTORS has almost doubled in the last 12 months. In the month of May it goes up to 872.85. it is very good performance. This trend shows that the in future also market price of share will increase. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 46
  • 47. News related to TATA MOTORS  TATA MOTORS raised US $ 750 through issue of global depository shares & convertible notes.  15-7-2010 Tata Motors global sales grew by 46 %.  07-7-2010 Tata Motors to invest RS. 10000 crore in 2 to 3  IndusInd Bank ties-up with Tata Motors for dealer financing.  Raising of long term capital funds  Tata Motors launches the all-new Tata Indigo e-CS, the most fuel efficient sedan in the country.  Tata Nano bags the Gold Prize in the 2010 Edison Awards  Tata Motors ties up with Indian Overseas Bank for financing its range of commercial vehicles From above whole analysis we can say that there is a lot of potential to invest in this company. on 17-7-2019 also the share price of TATA MOTRS was up by 30 Rs. TATA has launched TATA NANO & acquired land rover & they are planning to invest more & more money. & TATA is brand on which people blindly trust. So that‟s why this company definitely gives maximum returns in the future. Investment in long term is beneficial. Hike in fuel prices may affect the industry in short run. Then too small investor can go for short term investment because fluctuation in share price is more. . EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 47
  • 48. Mahindra & Mahindra ltd. Mahindra & Mahindra Limited. The Group's principal activities are to manufacture and distribute automobiles and farm equipment. The Group also provides IT, Financial, trading and management services. The Group operates in nine segments: Automotive, Farm equipment, IT services, Financial services, Steel Processing and Trading, Infrastructure, Hospitality, Systech. The Automotive sector manufactures multi utility vehicles and light commercial vehicles. The Farm equipment sector manufactures and markets tractors. The IT segment comprises of services rendered to IT and Telecom. The Financial services segment includes services like financing, leasing and hire purchase of automobiles and tractors. Infrastructure comprise of operating of complex, Project management and development. Hospitality comprise of sale of time share. SYSTECH comprise of automotive components and other segment includes steel trading, project management, Investment and power plant Mahindra & Mahindra Limited was set up in 1945 as Mahindra & Mohammed. Later in 1948 it‟s name changed to present Mahindra & Mahindra. Initially it manufactured light commercial vehicles (LCVs) and agricultural tractors and later it grown rapidly into manufacturing of utility vehicles. Mahindra & Mahindra Limited is part of the US $6.7 billion Mahindra Group. M&M has entered into partnership with international companies like Renault SA, France, and International Truck and Engine Corporation, USA. Its UV models include Scorpio, Bolero, Legend, Major, Commander and Logan. Automotive Sector: Mahindra Group is the market leader in utility vehicles in India since inception. Mahindra also manufactures and markets utility vehicles and light commercial vehicles, including three-wheelers. Some of the famous automobile brands of Mahindra are: Scorpio and Bolero. Recently, Mahindra joined hands with French automobile major Renault to enter passenger car segment. It has launched a car called Mahindra Renault Logan. Farm Equipment Sector: Mahindra is the largest producer of tractors in India and is among the top five tractor brands in the world. It has its own state-of-the-art plants in India, USA, China and Australia, and a capacity to produce 1,50,000 tractors a year. Trade & Financial Services: Mahindra Limited and its subsidiaries have specialized domain knowledge in imports and exports of commodities, domestic trading, marketing and distribution services. Mahindra Finance is one of the largest Non-Banking Finance Companies in India with an EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 48
  • 49. asset base of about RS. 5000 crores. Mahindra Insurance Brokers offer Life and Non-life Insurance plans to retail and corporate customers. Mahindra Steel Service Centre is the first steel service center in the organized sector in India. Infrastructure Development: Mahindra Group has interests in real estate, special economic zones, hospitality industry, infrastructure development, project engineering consultancy and design. Mahindra Holidays & Resorts is the leader in the lifetime holiday market in India. Mahindra Gesco is fastest growing Construction Company in India. Mahindra World City is developing and promoting India's first Integrated Business City. Mahindra Acres Consulting Engineers is a multidisciplinary engineering consultancy organization. Information Technology: Mahindra Group entered into IT sector in 1986 when it formed a joint venture with British Telecommunications plc. The company was called Mahindra-British Telecom. The Company has recently changed its name to Tech Mahindra. Tech Mahindra is a leading provider of telecommunication solution and service industry world-wide. It is India's 8th largest software exporter. Specialty Businesses: Mahindra Group companies such as Mahindra AshTech, Mahindra Defense, Spares Business Unit and Mahindra Logistics are into Specialty Businesses. Mahindra AshTech undertakes turnkey contract execution for Ash Slurry System and Travelling Water Screens. Mahindra Defense Systems looks after the requirements of India's defense and security forces. Mahindra Logistics provide complete logistics solutions to complex transportation needs of clients across the world. While the world-class Scorpio (declared to be the „Car of the Year‟ by CNBC Auto car, BBC Wheels and Business Standard Motoring) is the Automotive Sector‟s current flagship, it has many more products that have made it popular with individuals and institutions in India and the world. The Automotive Sector of the Mahindra Group is currently present in the multi-utility vehicle, light commercial vehicle and three-wheeler segments. Now, with its joint ventures, it will have a presence in the passenger car and the medium and heavy commercial vehicle segments too. Mahindra Group is one of the largest corporate groups of India. It is a US $4.5 billion conglomerate with employee strength of over 40,000. The group has diverse business interests such as automotive, farm equipment‟s, infrastructure, information technology, hospitality, and financial services. Mahindra EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 49
  • 50. Group has global presence and it is ranked amongst Forbes Top 200 list of the World's Most Reputable Companies and in the Top 10 list of Most Reputable Indian companies. Technical Analysis chart Figure 8: Technical analysis Profit & Loss account of ------------------- in Rs. Cr. ------------------- Mahindra and Mahindra Mar '06 Mar '07 Mar '08 Mar '09 Mar '10 Net Sales 8,136.5 9,921.34 11,310.37 13,125.98 18,588.82 Total Income 8,694.9 10,458.92 12,035.44 13,339.54 18,902.61 Operating Profit 871.55 1,136.23 1,157.65 1,092.25 2,955.24 Reported Net Profit 857.10 1,068.39 1,103.37 836.78 2,087.75 EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 50
  • 51. Preference Dividend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Equity Dividend 243.97 282.23 282.61 278.83 549.52 Per share data (annualized) Shares in issue (lakhs) 2,334.0 2,380.33 2,390.73 2,726.16 5,659.08 Earnings Per Share (Rs) 36.72 44.88 46.15 30.69 36.89 Equity Dividend (%) 100.00 115.00 115.00 100.00 190.00 ------------------- in Rs. Cr. ------------------- Quarterly Results of Mahindra and Mahindra Mar '09 Jun '09 Sep '09 Dec '09 Mar '10 Total Income 3,715.88 4,266.16 4,691.08 4,521.47 5,322.75 Net Profit 418.07 400.85 702.94 413.70 570.26 Dividend -- -- -- -- -- Dividend (%) -- -- -- -- -- Earnings Per Share 15.34 14.68 25.71 15.12 10.08 Book Value -- -- -- -- -- Equity 272.62 272.98 273.36 273.56 282.95 Face Value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 5.00 Table 10: Quarterly results of Mahindra & Mahindra Analysis of profit or loss account Sales of the company in the year 2019-2010get doubled as compare to year 2005-06. Sale increased by more than 100 % in the span of 4 years. In March 2009 profit was down because of economic slowdown. Shareholders get on an average 30 to 35 RS. As EPS. This is a positive sign for future growth. Dividend Year Month Dividend (%) 2010 May 190 2009 May 100 2008 May 115 2007 May 40 EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 51
  • 52. Year Month Dividend (%) 2007 Mar 75 2006 May 100 Table 11: Dividend Balance Sheet of ------------------- in Rs. Cr. ------------------- Mahindra and Mahindra Mar '06 Mar '07 Mar '08 Mar '09 Mar '10 Sources Of Funds Total Share Capital 233.40 238.03 239.07 272.62 282.95 Equity Share Capital 233.40 238.03 239.07 272.62 282.95 Share Application Money 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.01 Preference Share Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2,662.1 Reserves 3,302.01 4,098.53 4,959.26 7,539.27 4 Revaluation Reserves 13.33 12.86 12.47 12.09 0.00 2,908.8 Networth 3,552.90 4,350.07 5,243.97 7,830.23 7 Secured Loans 216.68 106.65 617.26 981.00 602.45 Unsecured Loans 666.71 1,529.35 1,969.80 3,071.76 2,277.70 Total Debt 883.39 1,636.00 2,587.06 4,052.76 2,880.15 Total Liabilities 3,792.2 5,188.90 6,937.13 9,296.73 10,710.38 Application Of Funds 2,859.2 Gross Block 3,180.57 3,552.64 4,893.89 5,276.29 5 1,510.2 Less: Accumulated. Depreciation 1,639.12 1,841.68 2,326.29 2,537.77 7 1,348.9 Net Block 1,541.45 1,710.96 2,567.60 2,738.52 8 Capital Work in Progress 205.46 329.72 649.94 646.73 964.20 1,669.0 Investments 2,237.46 4,215.06 5,786.41 6,398.02 9 Inventories 878.74 878.48 1,084.11 1,060.67 1,188.78 Sundry Debtors 637.97 700.89 1,004.88 1,043.65 1,258.08 Cash and Bank Balance 258.39 415.89 310.58 635.61 1,743.23 1,775.1 Total Current Assets 1,995.26 2,399.57 2,739.93 4,190.09 0 Loans and Advances 558.02 1,011.50 866.19 1,402.45 1,852.30 Fixed Deposits 471.92 910.18 550.65 938.82 0.00 2,805.0 Total CA, Loans & Advances 3,916.94 3,816.41 5,081.20 6,042.39 4 Deferred Credit 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Current Liabilities 1,711.2 2,138.77 2,525.31 3,520.20 3,640.33 EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 52
  • 53. 3 Provisions 543.14 715.43 943.46 1,277.56 1,796.54 2,254.3 Total CL & Provisions 2,854.20 3,468.77 4,797.76 5,436.87 7 Net Current Assets 550.67 1,062.74 347.64 283.44 605.52 Miscellaneous Expenses 18.05 17.55 13.53 12.55 4.12 3,792.2 Total Assets 5,188.92 6,937.13 9,296.73 10,710.38 5 Table 12: Balance sheet of Mahindra & Mahindra Analysis of balance sheet Company has raised good amount of equity share capital in the year 2008 & 2009. Investment of the company is also increasing. In the year 2009 company‟s debt decreased by more than 100 %. Company has paid their debt so the amount of risk of the company also decreased. Key Financial Ratios of ------------------- in Rs. Cr. ------------------- Mahindra and Mahindra Mar Mar '07 Mar '08 Mar '09 Mar '10 '06 Dividend Per Share 10.00 11.50 11.50 10.00 19.00 Profitability Ratios Operating Profit Margin(%) 10.71 11.45 10.23 8.32 15.89 Net Profit Margin(%) 10.28 10.34 9.45 6.22 11.11 Return On Net Worth(%) 29.60 30.18 25.51 16.03 26.70 Return on Long Term Funds(%) 23.17 26.09 19.64 12.36 26.01 Liquidity And Solvency Ratios Current Ratio 1.21 1.31 0.86 0.90 1.11 Debt Equity Ratio 0.31 0.46 0.60 0.77 0.37 Long Term Debt Equity Ratio 0.40 0.53 0.63 0.83 0.37 Total Debt to Owners Fund 0.31 0.46 0.60 0.77 0.37 Dividend Payout Ratio Net Profit 32.45 30.39 29.10 37.29 29.87 Cash Earning Retention Ratio 65.14 72.28 71.61 70.69 73.66 Earnings Per Share 36.72 44.88 46.15 30.69 36.89 Book Value 124.06 148.72 181.43 191.91 138.22 Table 13: Key financial ratios of Mahindra & Mahindra EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 53
  • 54. Analysis of Ratio. Company has paid 19 RS.Dividend per share in the year 2010. Means 9 RS. More than the previous year. It states that company was able to earn more profit. Good amount of dividend holds the interest of Share Holders. It is a positive sign so Company can raise more amount of share capital in near future.Company is giving sufficient amount of return on its total net worth. We can see that from the above ratios, every ratio shows downward trend in the year 2008-0 but company bounce back in the year 2009-10. In the year 2009-10 every ratio has increased compare to previous year. Report Card Attribute Value Date PE ratio 16.37 16/07/10 EPS (Rs) 36.89 Mar, 10 Sales (Rscrore) 5,304.63 Mar, 10 Face Value (Rs) 5 Net profit margin (%) 11.11 Mar, 10 Last bonus 1:1 14/06/05 Last dividend (%) 190 24/05/10 Return on average equity 26.7 Mar, 10 Table 14: Report card EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 54
  • 55. Share market watch of Mahindra & Mahindra ltd. Month PRICE August 920.00 September 847.30 October 896.45 November 921.95 December 1028.25 January 1062.40 February 1019.40 March 958.85 April 549.55 May 526.10 June 519.45 July 627.65 Table 15: Share market watch of Mahindra & Mahindra ltd. Abovechart shows the share market prices of per month of Mahindra & Mahindra in last year share price has gone down from 920 to 627. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 55
  • 56. Share holding Share holding pattern as on : 30/06/2010 31/03/2010 31/12/2009 Face value 5.00 5.00 10.00 No. Of % No. Of % No. Of % Shares Holding Shares Holding Shares Holding Promoter's holding Indian Promoters 138114984 23.88 138114984 23.88 69063784 24.68 Foreign Promoters 14070507 2.43 14254608 2.46 7127304 2.55 Sub total 152185491 26.31 152369592 26.34 76191088 27.23 Non promoter's holding Institutional investors Banks Fin. Inst. and 117220102 20.27 119657640 20.69 59592156 21.30 Insurance FII's 133190960 23.03 135337813 23.40 64064714 22.89 Sub total 277852033 48.04 279081526 48.25 139908653 50.00 Other investors Private Corporate Bodies 45672952 7.90 44223273 7.65 21273737 7.60 NRI's/OCB's/Foreign 22274297 3.85 22122061 3.82 1645395 0.59 Others Govt 448442 0.08 445132 0.08 221416 0.08 Others 30495372 5.27 30600421 5.29 16060852 5.74 Sub total 98890069 17.10 97389943 16.84 39201200 14.01 General public 49505891 8.56 49592473 8.57 24520124 8.76 Grand total 578433484 100.00 578433534 100.00 279821065 100.00 Table 16: Share Holding pattern of Mahindra& Mahindra ltd. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 56
  • 57. News related to Mahindra & Mahindra 30-06-2010:M&M to acquire Boeing's Australian facility. 26-06-2010: Mahindra to invest RS. 250 crore in Aerospace. Mahindra scores high on ET 500 list. 01-07-2010: Shortage of components constrained sales in June M & M to acquire boings Australian facility. Mahindra to invest re. 250 crore in Aerospace From the whole company Analysis of Mahindra & Mahindra we have seen that the financial result of a company for the year 2009-10 is quite good as compare to previous year but then too the company‟s share decreased by more than 300 RS.In last 12 months. At this moment long term investment in Mahindra is much preferable. Because hike in fuel prices will affect the Automobile Industry in short run. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 57
  • 58. Learning’s- Whilemaking this project I have got the in-depth knowledge &learning’s mentioned below.  Got the knowledge of equity market, equity analysis,  Fundamental & technical analysis of the company  Ratio analysis  Knowledge about trading.  Got deep knowledge of Automobile Industry  Got deep knowledge of Indian stock market, Economy.  There are different kinds of perceptions in the mind of investor while investing and it changes from investor to investor  This study helps me to analyze the stock as per the objective of investment  Every investor needs to analyze the fundamental and technical aspects Limitation of study Study focused only on equity market. Have not taken derivatives & commodity market. Analysis has been done on some parameters. Have not taken all the parameters which is required to analyze the equity. EQUITY RESEARCH ON AUTOMOBILE SECTOR Page 58