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What Happens When Prophecy Fails  &  Facts Collide with Beliefs? Based  partly on Leon Festinger , When Prophecy Fails , originally published in 1956 and co-authored by Henry W. Riecken and Stanley Schachter
Leon Festinger , When Prophecy Fails,  1956
“ The present crisis is a clear sign of the imminent collapse of the western  world” “ I belief that politicians and the news media exaggerate the present global crisis  ”
“ I am absolutely sure I am right! Bob I disagree with your facts – they are based on bad sources” “ Irving your Beliefs are all wrong! Look at these facts”
"The facts are simple, the earth is flat.“ Charles K. Johnson , president of the International Flat Earth Research Society.  “ I know the earth is a globe. I sailed around it solo.” Donna Lange,  2005-07
Holocaust Denier Bishop Richard Williamson Reinstated By Pope  | Huffington Post "there was not one Jew killed in the gas chambers. It was all lies, lies, lies. The Jews created the Holocaust …”  Bishop Richard Willamson  Speech at Notre-Dame-de Lourdes Church, Sherbrooke, Canada, 1989 Commandant Ziereis of Mauthausen Concentration Camp  witnessed the death of many prisoners, most in the Gas Chamber”
“ We have all experienced the uselessness of trying to change strong convictions, especially if the convinced person has some investment  in his  belief”
[object Object],Because we believe things intensely  we are  committed to our beliefs and have taken irrevocable actions because of it  The beliefs are part of our self concept and identity.
Now lets  suppose that we are presented with undeniable evidence, that the beliefs are wrong:  what will happen?
[object Object],“ We will frequently emerge, not only unshaken, but even more convinced of the truth of our beliefs than ever before.  Leon Festinger , When Prophecy Fails,  1956
[object Object],What is COGNITIVE DISSONANCE? the mental conflict that occurs when beliefs or assumptions are contradicted by new information
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Throughout History more than 220 Dates for the End of the world have been set and  We are still here
But when they persecute you in this city, flee ye into another: for verily I say unto you,  Ye shall not have gone over the cities of Israel , till the Son of man be come. –  Matthew 10:23 Truly I say to you, there are some of those who are standing here who shall not taste death until they see the Son of Man coming in his kingdom –  Matthew 16:28 ,  Mark 9:1 ,  Luke 9:27 "Heaven and earth will pass away, but My words shall not pass away. But of that day and hour no one knows, not even the angels of heaven, nor the Son, but the Father alone." Jesus Christ.  Mathew 24:35-36
The end of the world would happen in Montanus lifetime. The Lord will return to  Pepuza  in Phrygia and set up the New Jerusalem.  Phrygia, Pepuza Montanist New Jerusalem
Joachim of Fiore (ca. A.D. 1135 1202) wrote Exposition on Revelation, 1183. Later near the end of his life, he summarized his prophetic knowledge in the Book of Figures. His followers concluded that the "Age of Grace" would end and the "Age of the Spirit" would begin in A.D. 1260. Frederick II. Who ruled from 1220 to 1250 was the "Emperor of the Last Days" 1260   End of the World and Christ’s Return
Michael Stifel, a German associate of Martin Luther, urged his band of followers to sell all their property after becoming convinced by his mathematical study of the Bible that  the end of the world will take place Oct.3, 1533.  On the appointed day he led his followers to the top of a hill so they could be delivered to heaven.  (Luther Martin, Date Setters, Guardian of Truth, Sept. 15, 1994) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Stifel
Christ’s will return  on   Easter, April 5, 1534 according to Jan Mattijs at Munster (Gary K. Waite "David Joris and Dutch Anabaptism 1524-1543" Wilfrid Laurier University Press (Waterloo, Ontario), 1990.)
Cutting off an Old Believer’s beard” In 1698 20,000 burned themselves in their churches rather than give in. The Old Believers in Russia believed  the end of the world would come in 1669
Sir Isaac Newton Isaac Newton  expected Christ’s Coming in 1715,  based on a note in his research on the Law of Gravity  (Luther Martin, Date Setters, Guardian of Truth, Sept. 15, 1994)
John Wesley Charles Wesley John Wesley  wrote that "the time, times and half a time" of Revelation 12:14 were 1058­ 1836 ,  "when Christ should come“  (A. M. Morris, The Prophecies Unveiled, p. 361)  Charles Wesley believed that the world was going to end in 1794
Johann Albrecht Bengel (1687-1752)  Christ returns in  1836  and the Millennium begins  (Luther Martin, Date Setters, Guardian of Truth, Sept. 15, 1994)
The Shakers , believed that  the world will end by 1792 Canterbury Shaker Village
Britain's Rev  Edward Irving   predicted that Christ will return in 1864  Forerunne r  of  Catholic Apostolic Church Edward Irving
[object Object],Kirtland,Oh “ I prophesy in the name of the Lord God, and let it be written--the Son of Man will not come in the clouds of heaven till I am eighty-five years old.  (History of the Church, Vol.5, pp.336-37).
It was all going  to end in 1982 ,  when the planets lined up and created magnetic forces that would bring Armageddon to the earth.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
Instead: Expansion  of the Movement    The world did not ended, Christ did not return but the Adventist Churches today claims more than 20 million members worldwide.  
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Charles Taze Russell Captivated by Adventist preaching on Christ’s Second Coming Joined staff of Adventist publication “Herald of the Morning” in 1876 In 1894 he set  1914  for the return of Christ and beginning of millennium
“ Judge” Rutherford  1869-1942 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  *The Rev. Charles Taze Russell, Rutherford and his followers predicted that Christ would return /  Armageddon and the End of the World  in: 1873 or 1874; 1881; 1914; 1918; 1925; 1975;  1984.   ,[object Object],[object Object],No one would be able to top their record of most wrong doomsday predictions.
Instead: Expansion  of the Movement   The Jehovah's Witnesses, founded by Russell, now number more than 3.5 million worldwide.  They grow at a rate of about 5% per year worldwide and have over 9 million sympathizers!   Sources: Jon R. Stone, Expecting Armageddon: Essential Readings in Failed Prophecy  (Routledge: New York and London, 2000);  www.watchtower.org   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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What Happens when Prophecy Fails and Facts Collide with Beliefs?

  • 1. What Happens When Prophecy Fails & Facts Collide with Beliefs? Based partly on Leon Festinger , When Prophecy Fails , originally published in 1956 and co-authored by Henry W. Riecken and Stanley Schachter
  • 2. Leon Festinger , When Prophecy Fails, 1956
  • 3. “ The present crisis is a clear sign of the imminent collapse of the western world” “ I belief that politicians and the news media exaggerate the present global crisis ”
  • 4. “ I am absolutely sure I am right! Bob I disagree with your facts – they are based on bad sources” “ Irving your Beliefs are all wrong! Look at these facts”
  • 5. "The facts are simple, the earth is flat.“ Charles K. Johnson , president of the International Flat Earth Research Society. “ I know the earth is a globe. I sailed around it solo.” Donna Lange, 2005-07
  • 6. Holocaust Denier Bishop Richard Williamson Reinstated By Pope | Huffington Post "there was not one Jew killed in the gas chambers. It was all lies, lies, lies. The Jews created the Holocaust …” Bishop Richard Willamson Speech at Notre-Dame-de Lourdes Church, Sherbrooke, Canada, 1989 Commandant Ziereis of Mauthausen Concentration Camp witnessed the death of many prisoners, most in the Gas Chamber”
  • 7. “ We have all experienced the uselessness of trying to change strong convictions, especially if the convinced person has some investment in his belief”
  • 8.
  • 9. Now lets suppose that we are presented with undeniable evidence, that the beliefs are wrong: what will happen?
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Throughout History more than 220 Dates for the End of the world have been set and We are still here
  • 14. But when they persecute you in this city, flee ye into another: for verily I say unto you, Ye shall not have gone over the cities of Israel , till the Son of man be come. – Matthew 10:23 Truly I say to you, there are some of those who are standing here who shall not taste death until they see the Son of Man coming in his kingdom – Matthew 16:28 , Mark 9:1 , Luke 9:27 "Heaven and earth will pass away, but My words shall not pass away. But of that day and hour no one knows, not even the angels of heaven, nor the Son, but the Father alone." Jesus Christ. Mathew 24:35-36
  • 15. The end of the world would happen in Montanus lifetime. The Lord will return to Pepuza in Phrygia and set up the New Jerusalem. Phrygia, Pepuza Montanist New Jerusalem
  • 16. Joachim of Fiore (ca. A.D. 1135 1202) wrote Exposition on Revelation, 1183. Later near the end of his life, he summarized his prophetic knowledge in the Book of Figures. His followers concluded that the "Age of Grace" would end and the "Age of the Spirit" would begin in A.D. 1260. Frederick II. Who ruled from 1220 to 1250 was the "Emperor of the Last Days" 1260 End of the World and Christ’s Return
  • 17. Michael Stifel, a German associate of Martin Luther, urged his band of followers to sell all their property after becoming convinced by his mathematical study of the Bible that the end of the world will take place Oct.3, 1533. On the appointed day he led his followers to the top of a hill so they could be delivered to heaven. (Luther Martin, Date Setters, Guardian of Truth, Sept. 15, 1994) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Stifel
  • 18. Christ’s will return on Easter, April 5, 1534 according to Jan Mattijs at Munster (Gary K. Waite "David Joris and Dutch Anabaptism 1524-1543" Wilfrid Laurier University Press (Waterloo, Ontario), 1990.)
  • 19. Cutting off an Old Believer’s beard” In 1698 20,000 burned themselves in their churches rather than give in. The Old Believers in Russia believed the end of the world would come in 1669
  • 20. Sir Isaac Newton Isaac Newton expected Christ’s Coming in 1715, based on a note in his research on the Law of Gravity (Luther Martin, Date Setters, Guardian of Truth, Sept. 15, 1994)
  • 21. John Wesley Charles Wesley John Wesley wrote that "the time, times and half a time" of Revelation 12:14 were 1058­ 1836 , "when Christ should come“ (A. M. Morris, The Prophecies Unveiled, p. 361) Charles Wesley believed that the world was going to end in 1794
  • 22. Johann Albrecht Bengel (1687-1752) Christ returns in 1836 and the Millennium begins (Luther Martin, Date Setters, Guardian of Truth, Sept. 15, 1994)
  • 23. The Shakers , believed that the world will end by 1792 Canterbury Shaker Village
  • 24. Britain's Rev Edward Irving predicted that Christ will return in 1864 Forerunne r of Catholic Apostolic Church Edward Irving
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  • 26. It was all going to end in 1982 , when the planets lined up and created magnetic forces that would bring Armageddon to the earth.
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  • 32. Instead: Expansion of the Movement   The world did not ended, Christ did not return but the Adventist Churches today claims more than 20 million members worldwide.  
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  • 34. Charles Taze Russell Captivated by Adventist preaching on Christ’s Second Coming Joined staff of Adventist publication “Herald of the Morning” in 1876 In 1894 he set 1914 for the return of Christ and beginning of millennium
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