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SEC. JOSE RENE D. ALMENDRAS
Department of Energy
Diversified Energy Mix
  2010 Primary Energy Mix

                                                          Total Energy = 40.73 MTOE
        Biomass
         13.1%*                                    Oil    Shares
                                                  36.4%
                                                          Self-Sufficiency = 57.5%
Geothermal                                                Green Energy = 46.3%
  21.0%                                                   RE               = 38.9%

                                                          Biomass Breakdown

                                                          Industry           = 27%
                                                          Residential        = 67%
          Hydro                                           Commercial         = 6%
          4.8%                               Coal
                  NatGas
                                             17.3%
                   7.4%
 Note:
 a) Wind and Solar contribute 0.001% with total capacity of 39 MW
Diversified Energy Mix
2010 Power Generation Fuel Mix
Biomass                  Solar and
 0.05% Oil                 Wind
      7.52%                0.05%           Total Energy = 19.81 MTOE

                                           Shares
   Coal
  25.69%
                                           Self-sufficiency = 66.8%
                                           Green Energy = 66.8%
                                           RE               = 53.0%


                                     Geothermal
                                       43.11%


       Natural Gas       Hydro
         13.78%          9.79%
Diversified Energy Mix
      2010 Power Generation Mix


                                          Solar
                                 Biomass 0.002%
                                                Wind
                           Hydro 0.04%                                             Total Generation   = 67,743 GWh
                           11.52%               0.09%
                                                                       Coal
     Geothermal
                                                                      34.40%
                                                                                   Shares
       14.66%
                                                                                   Self-sufficiency   = 62.9%
                                                                                   Green Energy       = 55.1 %
                                                                                   RE                 = 26.3%

                  Natural Gas                                 Oil Based
                    28.81%                                     10.48%


                           Gross Generatiopn = 67,743 GWh



Note: Generation data includes grid connected, embedded, and off-grid generators
Energy Resource Development
a. Fossil Fuel
        Oil and Gas Exploration
b. Renewable Energy
c. Liquified Natural Gas
On-going Challenge of
   Hydro Carbons
Oil/Hydro Carbons
   Global oil demand is expected to rise to 89.9 mb/d as
    economic growth accelerates through end-2012;

   Non-OPEC supply fell in March to 52.7 mb/d. For the
    remaining months, supply is expected to grow to 53.4
    mb/d

   March OPEC supply held near 3 ½ year highs, up by 135
    kb/d to 31.43 mb/d
Fuelling Sustainable Transport Program

Compressed Natural Gas   Electric Tricycle (E-trike)
       (CNG)
Energy Efficiency
and Conservation
Electricity
Ave. Spot Price:
2010 – P6.75
2011 – P4.60
2012 – P5.08 (March 2012)
Power Situation
  April 2012
Spot
                               Peak        Market
     Reserve Margin
      Requirement

MW                         Intermediate


                                          Bilateral
                             Base-load    Contract




                      TIME OF DAY
Capacity Mix
                LUZON                               VISAYAS                       MINDANAO




           Installed Capacity                   Installed Capacity                Installed Capacity
             = 11,869 MW                           = 2,393 MW                        = 1,971 MW
              BASELOAD                             BASELOAD                         BASELOAD
            POWER PLANTS:                        POWER PLANTS:                    POWER PLANTS:

            63.94%                                71.88%                           37.31%
Note:
• Base-load Power Plants are the facilities used to meet some or all of a given continuous energy demand,
   and produce energy at a constant rate, usually at low cost relative to other facilities available to the
   system
2012 Max Peak                                                     Min Capacity    Max Capacity
                 = 7,463 MW                                                       = 7,592 MW      = 9,127 MW
                                    Required Reserve
                                        Margin




                                                                                  2012 Min Peak
                                                                                   = 5847 MW




Legend:
          Geothermal            Hydro                  2012 System Peak Demand
          Coal                  Oil-based               Required Reserve Margin
          Natgas
Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
2012 Max Peak              Max Capacity
                                            = 1,423 MW                = 1,843 MW
                            Min Capacity
 Required Reserve           = 1,545 MW
     Margin




       2012 Min Peak
        = 1,205 MW




Legend:
           Geothermal        Hydro          2012 System Peak Demand
           Coal              Oil-based      Required Reserve Margin

Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
Min Capacity   Required Reserve
      2012 Curtailed Demand                      Max Capacity        = 1,097 MW         Margin
           = 1,219 MW                            = 1,287 MW




                                                                                     2011 Min Demand =
                                                                                         1,034 MW




Legend:
                                          2012 Curtailed Demand
       Geothermal             Hydro
       Coal                   Oil-based    Required Reserve Margin

Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
Power Supply-Demand Situation
Power Supply and Demand           LUZON          VISAYAS             MINDANAO
Available Capacity                 9,127          1,843                1,280
Peak Demand*                       7,346          1,423                1,300
Surplus/(Deficit)                  1,781           420                  (20)
Required Reserve Margin            1,588           257                  150
Peak Demand + Reserve
                                  8,934            1,680                  1,450
Margin
Surplus/(Deficit) @ Demand
                                   193             163                    (170)
+ Reserve Margin
                                                             Pulangi after
                                                                                   100
                                                             repair
                                                             Embedded
                                                                                   74
                                                             Generation
Notes:
• Source of data, NGCP Daily Operation Report
• * Actual System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Luzon-Visayas Grid
• * Projected System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Mindanao Grid
SEC. JOSE RENE D. ALMENDRAS
Department of Energy

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DOE Philippine Power Situationer, S.Almendras 2012

  • 1. SEC. JOSE RENE D. ALMENDRAS Department of Energy
  • 2. Diversified Energy Mix 2010 Primary Energy Mix Total Energy = 40.73 MTOE Biomass 13.1%* Oil Shares 36.4% Self-Sufficiency = 57.5% Geothermal Green Energy = 46.3% 21.0% RE = 38.9% Biomass Breakdown Industry = 27% Residential = 67% Hydro Commercial = 6% 4.8% Coal NatGas 17.3% 7.4% Note: a) Wind and Solar contribute 0.001% with total capacity of 39 MW
  • 3. Diversified Energy Mix 2010 Power Generation Fuel Mix Biomass Solar and 0.05% Oil Wind 7.52% 0.05% Total Energy = 19.81 MTOE Shares Coal 25.69% Self-sufficiency = 66.8% Green Energy = 66.8% RE = 53.0% Geothermal 43.11% Natural Gas Hydro 13.78% 9.79%
  • 4. Diversified Energy Mix 2010 Power Generation Mix Solar Biomass 0.002% Wind Hydro 0.04% Total Generation = 67,743 GWh 11.52% 0.09% Coal Geothermal 34.40% Shares 14.66% Self-sufficiency = 62.9% Green Energy = 55.1 % RE = 26.3% Natural Gas Oil Based 28.81% 10.48% Gross Generatiopn = 67,743 GWh Note: Generation data includes grid connected, embedded, and off-grid generators
  • 6. a. Fossil Fuel Oil and Gas Exploration
  • 9. On-going Challenge of Hydro Carbons
  • 10. Oil/Hydro Carbons  Global oil demand is expected to rise to 89.9 mb/d as economic growth accelerates through end-2012;  Non-OPEC supply fell in March to 52.7 mb/d. For the remaining months, supply is expected to grow to 53.4 mb/d  March OPEC supply held near 3 ½ year highs, up by 135 kb/d to 31.43 mb/d
  • 11. Fuelling Sustainable Transport Program Compressed Natural Gas Electric Tricycle (E-trike) (CNG)
  • 13.
  • 15. Ave. Spot Price: 2010 – P6.75 2011 – P4.60 2012 – P5.08 (March 2012)
  • 16. Power Situation April 2012
  • 17. Spot Peak Market Reserve Margin Requirement MW Intermediate Bilateral Base-load Contract TIME OF DAY
  • 18. Capacity Mix LUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO Installed Capacity Installed Capacity Installed Capacity = 11,869 MW = 2,393 MW = 1,971 MW BASELOAD BASELOAD BASELOAD POWER PLANTS: POWER PLANTS: POWER PLANTS: 63.94% 71.88% 37.31% Note: • Base-load Power Plants are the facilities used to meet some or all of a given continuous energy demand, and produce energy at a constant rate, usually at low cost relative to other facilities available to the system
  • 19. 2012 Max Peak Min Capacity Max Capacity = 7,463 MW = 7,592 MW = 9,127 MW Required Reserve Margin 2012 Min Peak = 5847 MW Legend: Geothermal Hydro 2012 System Peak Demand Coal Oil-based Required Reserve Margin Natgas Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
  • 20.
  • 21. 2012 Max Peak Max Capacity = 1,423 MW = 1,843 MW Min Capacity Required Reserve = 1,545 MW Margin 2012 Min Peak = 1,205 MW Legend: Geothermal Hydro 2012 System Peak Demand Coal Oil-based Required Reserve Margin Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
  • 22.
  • 23. Min Capacity Required Reserve 2012 Curtailed Demand Max Capacity = 1,097 MW Margin = 1,219 MW = 1,287 MW 2011 Min Demand = 1,034 MW Legend: 2012 Curtailed Demand Geothermal Hydro Coal Oil-based Required Reserve Margin Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
  • 24.
  • 25. Power Supply-Demand Situation Power Supply and Demand LUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO Available Capacity 9,127 1,843 1,280 Peak Demand* 7,346 1,423 1,300 Surplus/(Deficit) 1,781 420 (20) Required Reserve Margin 1,588 257 150 Peak Demand + Reserve 8,934 1,680 1,450 Margin Surplus/(Deficit) @ Demand 193 163 (170) + Reserve Margin Pulangi after 100 repair Embedded 74 Generation Notes: • Source of data, NGCP Daily Operation Report • * Actual System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Luzon-Visayas Grid • * Projected System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Mindanao Grid
  • 26. SEC. JOSE RENE D. ALMENDRAS Department of Energy