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Industrial Base Implications of the
                 FY13 Defense Budget
    David J. Berteau                     Brett Lambert                        Byron Callan
         Director,            Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense,             Director,
CSIS International Security     Manufacturing and Industrial Base      Capital Alpha Partners, LLC
         Program                              Policy
Department of Defense Budget, 2001-2017
                           $800
                                                                                      $725
                                                                                             $715   $727   $711
                                                                             $673                                  $659
                           $700
                                                                      $615                                                $614
                                                       $579 $569                                                                  $523   $524 $522     $522
                           $600                 $559                                                $171
                                                                                             $156          $164    $117
                                                                                                                            $89
Constant 2013 $ billions




                                                                                    $203                                           ?      ?      ?      ?
                                         $456                                $186            $551   $555   $547    $541
                           $500                 $93    $112     $90   $133          $521                                  $525    $523   $524   $522   $522
                                  $429   $22
                                                               $475   $472   $483
                                   $18          $467   $466
                           $400          $434
                                  $403

                           $300

                                                                                                                                  FY 2013 Request
                           $200
                                                                                                                  FY 2012
                                                                                                                  Enacted
                           $100
                                                              FY 2001 – 2011 Actual
                             $0
                                  2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
      Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding
      Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
Base Budget Authority
                     $600
                                       FY 2012 Enacted                            FY 2013 Request
                                               RDT&E
                     $500
                                                $71.3
                                                                     -2.8%                  $69.4

                                            Procurement              -5.5%
                     $400                      $104.5                                       $98.8



                     $300
                                                O&M                  +5.9%
                                                                                           $208.8
                                               $197.2
                     $200

                                              Military               -4.7%
                     $100                    Personnel                                     $135.1
                                               $141.8
                                                                     -14.9%
                        $0                Other        $15.7                                $13.3
Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding
Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
Total Budget Authority (Base + OCO)
                     $700
                                       FY 2012 Enacted                            FY 2013 Request
                                               RDT&E
                     $600                       $71.9                -3.1%                 $69.7
                                           Procurement
                     $500                       $120.6                -10%                 $108.5

                     $400
                                               O&M
                     $300                       $284.0                 -4%
                                                                                            $272.7


                     $200

                                              Military
                     $100                    Personnel                                     $149.2
                                                                     -2.6%
                                                $153.1
                        $0                Other         $16.1        -14.1%                  $13.8
Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding
Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
Share of Budget                                           vs.                      Share of Cuts
100%
                                                                 RDT&E                                      7%
                             11%
90%

                                                             Procurement
80%                          18%
                                                                                                           38%
70%

60%

50%                          44%
                                                                   O&M
40%
                                                                                                           35%
30%

20%                                                              Military
                             24%
                                                                Personnel                                  12%
10%

                              2%                                   Other                                     7%
  0%
Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding
Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
Total Budget Authority (Base + OCO)
                     $700
                                       FY 2012 Enacted                            FY 2013 Request
                     $600                     Air Force
                                               $161.7                -4.5%                 $154.3
                     $500


                     $400                       Army
                                                $201.4               -8.3%                 $184.6

                     $300

                                                 Navy
                     $200                       $172.5                                     $170.1
                                                                     -1.4%

                     $100
                                          Defense-Wide
                                                                     -4.8%                 $104.8
                                                $110.1
                        $0
Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding
Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
Share of Budget                                            vs.                   Share of Cuts
100%

90%                                                                                                          23%
                              25%                                Air Force
80%

70%

60%                           30%                                   Army
50%                                                                                                          53%
40%

30%                           28%
                                                                    Navy
20%                                                                                                           7%

10%
                              17%                            Defense-Wide                                    17%
  0%
Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding
Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
Cuts, Consolidations and Savings
          Terminations                             Program Restructuring                                     Retirements

  Global Hawk Block 30
                                            F-35 Joint Strike Fighter                              KC-135 Tanker
  Defense Weather Satellite
  System                                    SSBN(X) Ohio-class Replacement
  C-27J Joint Cargo Aircraft                                                                       C-130J Super Hercules
                                            Littoral Combat Ship
  HMMWV Recapitalization
                                                                                                   C-27 Spartan
                                            V-22 Osprey
  C-130 AMP
  Cruiser Modernization                     P-8A Poseidon                                          C-5A Galaxy
  Program

  Joint Air-to-Ground Missile               CVN-79 Ford-class Aircraft Carrier
                                                                                                   RC-26 Metroliner
  Sea-Based X-Band Radar                    JLENS (Cruise missile defense sensor)
  Light Attack and Armed                                                                           Landing Ship, Dock (LSD)
  Reconnaissance Aircraft                   Ground Combat Vehicle

  Joint High Speed Vessel                   Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles                     CG Cruisers
Source: Office of Management and Budget, FY 2013 Budget of the U.S. Government: Cuts, Consolidations and Savings.
Industrial Base Implications of the
                 FY13 Defense Budget
    David J. Berteau                     Brett Lambert                        Byron Callan
         Director,            Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense,             Director,
CSIS International Security     Manufacturing and Industrial Base      Capital Alpha Partners, LLC
         Program                              Policy

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Industrial Base Implications of the FY13 Budget

  • 1. Industrial Base Implications of the FY13 Defense Budget David J. Berteau Brett Lambert Byron Callan Director, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, Director, CSIS International Security Manufacturing and Industrial Base Capital Alpha Partners, LLC Program Policy
  • 2. Department of Defense Budget, 2001-2017 $800 $725 $715 $727 $711 $673 $659 $700 $615 $614 $579 $569 $523 $524 $522 $522 $600 $559 $171 $156 $164 $117 $89 Constant 2013 $ billions $203 ? ? ? ? $456 $186 $551 $555 $547 $541 $500 $93 $112 $90 $133 $521 $525 $523 $524 $522 $522 $429 $22 $475 $472 $483 $18 $467 $466 $400 $434 $403 $300 FY 2013 Request $200 FY 2012 Enacted $100 FY 2001 – 2011 Actual $0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
  • 3. Base Budget Authority $600 FY 2012 Enacted FY 2013 Request RDT&E $500 $71.3 -2.8% $69.4 Procurement -5.5% $400 $104.5 $98.8 $300 O&M +5.9% $208.8 $197.2 $200 Military -4.7% $100 Personnel $135.1 $141.8 -14.9% $0 Other $15.7 $13.3 Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
  • 4. Total Budget Authority (Base + OCO) $700 FY 2012 Enacted FY 2013 Request RDT&E $600 $71.9 -3.1% $69.7 Procurement $500 $120.6 -10% $108.5 $400 O&M $300 $284.0 -4% $272.7 $200 Military $100 Personnel $149.2 -2.6% $153.1 $0 Other $16.1 -14.1% $13.8 Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
  • 5. Share of Budget vs. Share of Cuts 100% RDT&E 7% 11% 90% Procurement 80% 18% 38% 70% 60% 50% 44% O&M 40% 35% 30% 20% Military 24% Personnel 12% 10% 2% Other 7% 0% Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
  • 6. Total Budget Authority (Base + OCO) $700 FY 2012 Enacted FY 2013 Request $600 Air Force $161.7 -4.5% $154.3 $500 $400 Army $201.4 -8.3% $184.6 $300 Navy $200 $172.5 $170.1 -1.4% $100 Defense-Wide -4.8% $104.8 $110.1 $0 Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
  • 7. Share of Budget vs. Share of Cuts 100% 90% 23% 25% Air Force 80% 70% 60% 30% Army 50% 53% 40% 30% 28% Navy 20% 7% 10% 17% Defense-Wide 17% 0% Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding Source: Department of Defense, FY 2013 Budget Request Overview Book, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller), February 2012
  • 8. Cuts, Consolidations and Savings Terminations Program Restructuring Retirements Global Hawk Block 30 F-35 Joint Strike Fighter KC-135 Tanker Defense Weather Satellite System SSBN(X) Ohio-class Replacement C-27J Joint Cargo Aircraft C-130J Super Hercules Littoral Combat Ship HMMWV Recapitalization C-27 Spartan V-22 Osprey C-130 AMP Cruiser Modernization P-8A Poseidon C-5A Galaxy Program Joint Air-to-Ground Missile CVN-79 Ford-class Aircraft Carrier RC-26 Metroliner Sea-Based X-Band Radar JLENS (Cruise missile defense sensor) Light Attack and Armed Landing Ship, Dock (LSD) Reconnaissance Aircraft Ground Combat Vehicle Joint High Speed Vessel Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles CG Cruisers Source: Office of Management and Budget, FY 2013 Budget of the U.S. Government: Cuts, Consolidations and Savings.
  • 9. Industrial Base Implications of the FY13 Defense Budget David J. Berteau Brett Lambert Byron Callan Director, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, Director, CSIS International Security Manufacturing and Industrial Base Capital Alpha Partners, LLC Program Policy