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The Future of Business:
The Phone Call
Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis
June 2015
dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com @disruptivedean
1876 was a good year for inventions
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
Alexander Graham Bell
Nikolaus Otto
(+Daimler & Maybach)
In the beginning – “Proxi-phone”
Near voice
Distant voice [Tele-phone]
>130 years ago
Transformative change
4 billion users
>10 trillion minutes
c$1Trillion market
But now…. “Peak Phone”
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
136%
74%
63%
40% 38%
15% 15%
5% 5%
1% 0%
0%
-7% -7%
-12% -14% -14%-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
IND CHN BRA RUS POL SGP FRA AUS JPN ITA KOR
GER NED USA ESP SWE UK
Source: Ofcom, IHS, Disruptive Analysis
Aggregate Fixed+Mobile Outgoing Voice
Telephony Volumes, Minutes, 2013 vs. 2008
UK phone
minutes fell
another 5% in
2014
Old distant voice [Tele-phone]
Interruptive
One-size fits all
Session-based
Limited context
Unnatural etiquette
Heavily regulated
Expensive
>130 years ago
Pretty good for the 19th century... but for 2015?
Services fragmentation: The best tool for the job
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2014June 2015
The question nobody bothers asking
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
Why do people make phone
calls anyway?
“Calls” are jacks-of-all trades. Many use-cases:
Conference
Meeting up
Gossip
B2C Cust Svc
B2B internal
Spam
Flirting
Voicemail
Wasting time
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
Diagram is illustrative, not actual data
Paris telephony - opera
Three routes to the future
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
Better User-
Interaction
Context &
Purpose
Embedded
Comms
Tech Enablers
Apps & browsers
WebRTC
Sensors
Audio processing
Cloud PaaS
Security & crypto
Machine learning
4G / 5G / WiFi
Analytics & Big Data
UI tools & APIs
Embedded communications
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
In-app In-Browser In-Thing
Key enabler of embedded comms: WebRTC
Source: Disruptive Analysis
2014 Edition WebRTC Report,
March’15 Update
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
No context
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
Photo by Staffage via: kaboompics.com
Communications using Context
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
App-context Analytic-contextSensor-context
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015
Click here to
speak to an agent
Browsing for:
Darren
Delaney
= Magician
HOT SALES PROSPECT!!
Hand off call
with context
data to affiliate
Context
Dean Bubley
www.disruptive-analysis.com
disruptivewireless.blogspot.com
@disruptivedean
information@disruptive-analysis.com
Skype:disruptiveanalysis
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015

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Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call